FinalWin Prob.pScore
1126%94
108
374%103
111
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
114.99499.1
DAL logo DAL
118.19489.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL108
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)106
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)106
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETSura Driving Layup (11 PTS)106
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)104
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)104
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETBillups Driving Layup (15 PTS)104
1.8%
107
98.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)102
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)102
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
3.0%
105
97.0%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
7.0%
105
93.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
5.2%
105
94.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)102
5.6%
105
94.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)102
7.0%
105
93.0%
Q4 - 1:07DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)102
11.2%
105
88.8%
Q4 - 1:09DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot102
7.4%
105
92.6%
Q4 - 1:19DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)102
11.7%
105
88.3%
Q4 - 1:19DETWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)102
7.8%
105
92.2%
Q4 - 1:35DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (40 PTS)102
12.5%
105
87.5%
Q4 - 1:46DETWilliamson 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)102
18.9%
103
81.1%
Q4 - 1:53DALNash Driving Finger Roll (23 PTS)100
13.0%
103
87.0%
Q4 - 2:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)100
17.8%
101
82.2%
Q4 - 2:09DETMISS Hamilton Layup100
20.8%
101
79.2%
Q4 - 2:24DALWalker Layup (11 PTS)100
29.6%
101
70.4%
Q4 - 2:25DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
35.0%
99
65.0%
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot100
46.5%
99
53.5%
Q4 - 2:45DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)100
34.8%
99
65.2%
Q4 - 2:45DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)99
33.9%
99
66.1%
Q4 - 2:59DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)98
29.4%
99
70.6%
Q4 - 3:16DETWallace 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)98
45.1%
96
54.9%
Q4 - 3:36DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)96
35.9%
96
64.1%
Q4 - 3:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
44.7%
94
55.3%
Q4 - 3:54DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot96
47.6%
94
52.4%
Q4 - 4:13DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)96
54.9%
94
45.1%
Q4 - 4:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
45.1%
94
54.9%
Q4 - 4:36DETWallace Slam Dunk (8 PTS)96
45.1%
94
54.9%
Q4 - 4:39DETMISS Prince 11' Jump Shot94
30.2%
94
69.8%
Q4 - 4:58DALNash 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)94
36.5%
94
63.5%
Q4 - 5:10DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
41.8%
92
58.2%
Q4 - 5:10DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
40.3%
92
59.7%
Q4 - 5:26DALNowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper (35 PTS)92
34.4%
92
65.6%
Q4 - 5:52DETNowitzki STEAL (4 STL)92
42.0%
90
58.0%
Q4 - 6:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
47.5%
90
52.5%
Q4 - 6:14DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot92
44.8%
90
55.2%
Q4 - 6:23DETNowitzki STEAL (3 STL)92
39.0%
90
61.0%
Q4 - 6:45DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)92
47.6%
90
52.4%
Q4 - 6:49DALMAVERICKS Rebound92
54.2%
88
45.8%
Q4 - 6:50DALMISS Nowitzki Layup92
60.1%
88
39.9%
Q4 - 6:57DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)92
54.2%
88
45.8%
Q4 - 7:23DALNash 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)90
45.1%
88
54.9%
Q4 - 7:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
51.1%
86
48.9%
Q4 - 7:32DETMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
53.5%
86
46.5%
Q4 - 7:52DALNowitzki Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)90
59.0%
86
41.0%
Q4 - 8:04DETNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)90
49.4%
86
50.6%
Q4 - 8:25DALHoward 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
56.0%
86
44.0%
Q4 - 8:28DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
62.1%
84
37.9%
Q4 - 8:30DALMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot90
66.3%
84
33.7%
Q4 - 8:40DETSura Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)90
62.1%
84
37.9%
Q4 - 9:01DALNash 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)88
53.6%
84
46.4%
Q4 - 9:12DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)88
59.2%
82
40.8%
Q4 - 9:35DALNash Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)85
47.7%
82
52.3%
Q4 - 9:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
53.5%
80
46.5%
Q4 - 9:46DETMISS Williamson 8' Jump Shot85
55.4%
80
44.6%
Q4 - 10:03DALFinley Foul Turnover (P1.T15)85
57.6%
80
42.4%
Q4 - 10:17DETWilliamson 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Campbell 2 AST)85
51.6%
80
48.4%
Q4 - 10:35DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
46.4%
80
53.6%
Q4 - 10:37DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot83
44.5%
80
55.5%
Q4 - 10:52DETCampbell 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
40.4%
80
59.6%
Q4 - 11:12DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
35.2%
80
64.8%
Q4 - 11:12DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
35.8%
79
64.2%
Q4 - 11:28DETSura Slam Dunk (7 PTS)81
40.0%
78
60.0%
Q4 - 11:32DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)79
35.2%
78
64.8%
Q4 - 11:42DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
30.2%
78
69.8%
Q4 - 11:42DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
29.2%
78
70.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET77
26.0%
78
74.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot77
23.0%
78
77.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETPistons Rebound77
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
24.4%
78
75.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETFinley STEAL (2 STL)77
21.9%
78
78.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Best 2 AST)77
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)77
34.3%
75
65.7%
Q3 - 1:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
37.8%
75
62.2%
Q3 - 1:14DALMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 277
37.2%
75
62.8%
Q3 - 1:14DALMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 277
34.2%
75
65.8%
Q3 - 1:27DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical77
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q3 - 1:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q3 - 1:33DETMISS Williamson 6' Jump Shot77
34.6%
75
65.4%
Q3 - 1:55DETHam REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
37.9%
75
62.1%
Q3 - 1:57DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot77
36.4%
75
63.6%
Q3 - 2:21DETAtkins 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)77
32.1%
75
67.9%
Q3 - 2:46DALNowitzki Finger Roll (28 PTS)75
28.5%
75
71.5%
Q3 - 3:07DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
31.9%
73
68.1%
Q3 - 3:10DETFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)75
33.2%
73
66.8%
Q3 - 3:16DETBillups Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)75
36.2%
73
63.8%
Q3 - 3:19DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)74
32.1%
73
67.9%
Q3 - 3:31DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
28.1%
73
71.9%
Q3 - 3:34DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
29.3%
73
70.7%
Q3 - 3:37DETHam REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
32.1%
73
67.9%
Q3 - 3:39DETWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)74
29.3%
73
70.7%
Q3 - 3:59DALWilliams 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)74
32.1%
73
67.9%
Q3 - 4:09DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
34.6%
71
65.4%
Q3 - 4:09DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
37.8%
71
62.2%
Q3 - 4:27DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
34.7%
71
65.3%
Q3 - 4:28DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 274
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 4:28DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q3 - 4:31DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 4:34DALMISS Walker 5' Hook Shot73
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q3 - 4:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
30.9%
71
69.1%
Q3 - 4:47DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 2 of 273
31.5%
71
68.5%
Q3 - 4:47DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
34.0%
71
66.0%
Q3 - 5:02DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)72
30.9%
71
69.1%
Q3 - 5:02DALFortson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
27.3%
71
72.7%
Q3 - 5:02DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot72
29.8%
71
70.2%
Q3 - 5:28DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q3 - 5:30DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
28.3%
71
71.7%
Q3 - 5:44DALNash Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)72
30.9%
71
69.1%
Q3 - 5:58DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q3 - 5:58DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q3 - 6:42DETCampbell Foul Turnover (P2.T13)70
26.8%
69
73.2%
Q3 - 7:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)70
29.9%
69
70.1%
Q3 - 7:04DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)70
33.2%
68
66.8%
Q3 - 7:32DETHamilton Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)70
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q3 - 7:36DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
36.8%
65
63.2%
Q3 - 7:38DALMISS Nowitzki Layup68
35.5%
65
64.5%
Q3 - 7:43DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 7:45DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
35.5%
65
64.5%
Q3 - 8:02DETCampbell Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)68
32.3%
65
67.7%
Q3 - 8:18DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)68
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q3 - 8:18DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
32.4%
65
67.6%
Q3 - 8:18DALMISS Fortson Layup68
35.0%
65
65.0%
Q3 - 8:43DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)68
32.4%
65
67.6%
Q3 - 8:43DETWilliamson Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)67
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 8:47DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)65
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 9:01DALFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
22.8%
65
77.2%
Q3 - 9:02DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 2 of 265
23.2%
65
76.8%
Q3 - 9:02DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
24.9%
65
75.1%
Q3 - 9:20DALNowitzki 6' Driving Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)64
22.9%
65
77.1%
Q3 - 9:34DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 9:34DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
25.0%
63
75.0%
Q3 - 10:00DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)62
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 10:26DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
24.9%
61
75.1%
Q3 - 10:48DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)60
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 11:04DETHamilton 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)60
24.4%
59
75.6%
Q3 - 11:20DALNowitzki Layup (18 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)58
22.1%
59
77.9%
Q3 - 11:31DETOkur Foul Turnover (P2.T11)58
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q3 - 11:43DALNowitzki 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)58
27.2%
57
72.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET58
29.9%
55
70.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
32.0%
55
68.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
32.3%
54
67.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)58
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)58
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)58
41.3%
52
58.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T9)58
45.5%
50
54.5%
Q2 - 1:09DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)58
46.7%
50
53.3%
Q2 - 1:20DALMAVERICKS Rebound58
54.7%
47
45.3%
Q2 - 1:20DETNash BLOCK (1 BLK)58
55.2%
47
44.8%
Q2 - 1:31DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)58
56.4%
47
43.6%
Q2 - 1:40DETBillups Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)58
61.0%
45
39.0%
Q2 - 1:45DALWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T8)58
62.6%
45
37.4%
Q2 - 1:51DETPrince Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)58
61.0%
45
39.0%
Q2 - 1:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
56.4%
45
43.6%
Q2 - 2:00DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot56
55.9%
45
44.1%
Q2 - 2:11DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
52.8%
45
47.2%
Q2 - 2:11DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
52.4%
45
47.6%
Q2 - 2:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
49.5%
45
50.5%
Q2 - 2:26DALMISS Jamison 13' Jump Shot54
48.6%
45
51.4%
Q2 - 2:40DETWallace Foul Turnover (P3.T7)54
46.7%
45
53.3%
Q2 - 2:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
49.5%
45
50.5%
Q2 - 2:49DALMISS Nash 13' Fadeaway Jumper54
48.6%
45
51.4%
Q2 - 2:59DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)54
46.7%
45
53.3%
Q2 - 3:27DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
39.2%
45
60.8%
Q2 - 3:45DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
41.8%
43
58.2%
Q2 - 3:45DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
41.5%
43
58.5%
Q2 - 4:14DALHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)49
37.8%
43
62.2%
Q2 - 4:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
40.6%
41
59.4%
Q2 - 4:20DETMISS Hamilton 4' Jump Shot49
41.4%
41
58.6%
Q2 - 4:23DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)49
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q2 - 4:25DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
40.6%
41
59.4%
Q2 - 4:27DETHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)49
41.4%
41
58.6%
Q2 - 4:29DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q2 - 4:30DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot49
41.4%
41
58.6%
Q2 - 4:45DALNash Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)49
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q2 - 4:54DALNash 4' Finger Roll (7 PTS)49
46.3%
40
53.7%
Q2 - 5:01DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
48.0%
38
52.0%
Q2 - 5:03DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot49
49.0%
38
51.0%
Q2 - 5:24DALHoward 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)49
51.2%
38
48.8%
Q2 - 5:52DETWallace Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)49
53.8%
36
46.2%
Q2 - 6:05DALNowitzki Driving Layup (7 PTS)47
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 6:23DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
52.4%
34
47.6%
Q2 - 6:24DETMISS Williamson 6' Hook Shot47
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 6:42DALNash 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 6:56DETSura Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)47
57.9%
32
42.1%
Q2 - 7:00DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
55.7%
32
44.3%
Q2 - 7:14DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
51.0%
32
49.0%
Q2 - 7:14DETWilliamson Tip Shot (6 PTS)45
51.0%
32
49.0%
Q2 - 7:15DETMISS Sura Layup43
46.6%
32
53.4%
Q2 - 7:22DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 7:24DETMISS Atkins 19' Jump Shot43
46.6%
32
53.4%
Q2 - 7:50DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
48.7%
32
51.3%
Q2 - 7:53DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
47.8%
32
52.2%
Q2 - 8:06DETWilliamson Layup (4 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)43
45.0%
32
55.0%
Q2 - 8:20DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
42.9%
32
57.1%
Q2 - 8:21DALMISS Jamison Layup41
42.0%
32
58.0%
Q2 - 8:40DETSura Running Layup (3 PTS)41
40.0%
32
60.0%
Q2 - 8:52DALBest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)39
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 8:56DETBest STEAL (2 STL)39
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 9:17DALBradley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)39
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 9:38DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)39
39.2%
30
60.8%
Q2 - 9:48DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
37.1%
30
62.9%
Q2 - 9:50DALMISS Walker 11' Turnaround Jump Shot37
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 10:06DETSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 236
33.8%
30
66.2%
Q2 - 10:09DETSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
34.6%
30
65.4%
Q2 - 10:11DALMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
33.8%
30
66.2%
Q2 - 10:23DETBest STEAL (1 STL)36
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q2 - 10:24DETAtkins Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)36
34.6%
30
65.4%
Q2 - 10:39DALWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
32.4%
30
67.6%
Q2 - 10:39DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q2 - 10:47DETCampbell 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)35
34.3%
28
65.7%
Q2 - 11:03DALBest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q2 - 11:03DALBest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
31.6%
27
68.4%
Q2 - 11:13DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
33.5%
26
66.5%
Q2 - 11:15DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot33
35.0%
26
65.0%
Q2 - 11:29DETHam Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q2 - 11:29DETMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 232
32.7%
26
67.3%
Q2 - 11:33DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q2 - 11:35DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot32
32.9%
26
67.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET32
31.5%
26
68.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0DETHam Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0DETHam Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
30.4%
26
69.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0DETHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
28.8%
26
71.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETMISS Campbell 15' Jump Shot30
27.7%
26
72.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
28.8%
26
71.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETHamilton 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ham 2 AST)30
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALBest Reverse Layup (4 PTS)28
30.8%
23
69.2%
Q1 - 1:15DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)28
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 1:28DALBest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
30.7%
21
69.3%
Q1 - 1:40DETCampbell 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)26
33.2%
19
66.8%
Q1 - 1:50DETHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 1:52DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot24
30.2%
19
69.8%
Q1 - 2:09DETAtkins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 2:15DALBest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
26.9%
19
73.1%
Q1 - 2:19DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)22
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 2:31DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)22
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 2:31DETPistons Rebound22
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 2:31DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot22
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 2:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 2:36DETMISS Ham 18' Jump Shot22
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 2:56DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)22
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 3:04DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)22
26.3%
18
73.7%
Q1 - 3:04DETPistons Rebound22
28.3%
18
71.7%
Q1 - 3:05DETBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)22
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 3:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
28.3%
18
71.7%
Q1 - 3:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
28.5%
17
71.5%
Q1 - 3:46DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 3:48DETMISS Prince 10' Jump Shot22
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 4:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
31.5%
16
68.5%
Q1 - 4:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 4:19DETHamilton Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)22
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 4:36DALWalker 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)20
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 4:44DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 4:46DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot20
35.8%
11
64.2%
Q1 - 5:03DALWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)20
35.8%
11
64.2%
Q1 - 5:08DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 5:32DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
32.2%
11
67.8%
Q1 - 5:46DETOkur Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)18
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 5:51DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 5:53DALMISS Nowitzki Dunk16
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 5:58DETFinley STEAL (1 STL)16
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 6:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 6:11DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 6:26DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)16
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 6:52DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 6:52DALWalker Tip Shot (4 PTS)14
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 6:54DALMISS Walker Layup14
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 7:10DETBillups 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 7:19DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 7:21DETMISS Hamilton 22' Jump Shot12
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 7:41DALWalker Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)12
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 7:58DETOkur 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)12
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 8:07DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 8:26DETHamilton Reverse Layup (4 PTS)10
26.6%
4
73.4%
Q1 - 8:30DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 8:32DALMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot8
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 8:45DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 8:45DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 9:04DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
22.5%
4
77.5%
Q1 - 9:22DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 9:23DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot6
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 9:29DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 9:31DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot6
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 9:59DETWallace Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 10:16DALHoward 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)6
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 10:20DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 10:22DETMISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot6
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 10:34DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 10:36DALMISS Nowitzki 23' Jump Shot6
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 10:57DETOkur 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)6
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:09DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot4
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:26DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:34DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 11:35DALMISS Finley 5' Hook Shot2
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 11:45DETWallace 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups0
19.6%
0
80.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.17 58.7%
DAL
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
23
32
72%
DAL
13
21
62%
Midrange
DET
15
34
44%
DAL
21
38
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
2
3.0
6
33%
50%
DAL
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
DET
26
31
84%
DAL
22
25
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups1765%8.5 / 13
R. Hamilton1640%8.0 / 20
C. Williamson1563%7.5 / 12
E. Campbell1275%6.0 / 8
T. Prince1169%5.5 / 8
B. Sura1169%5.5 / 8
B. Wallace1071%5.0 / 7
M. Okur880%4.0 / 5
C. Atkins583%2.5 / 3
D. Ham350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki4071%20.0 / 28
S. Nash2997%14.5 / 15
M. Finley1137%5.5 / 15
A. Walker1150%5.5 / 11
J. Howard1071%5.0 / 7
T. Best6100%3.0 / 3
S. Bradley2100%1.0 / 1
S. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
A. Jamison0-0.0 / 3
D. Fortson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
78
+13
-16
91
DAL
79
+9
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.17 58.7%
DAL
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.1
109.8
DET 114.9
DAL 118.1 +3.2
Pace
90.5
95.3
DET 99.1 +9.7
DAL 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.9
DET 14.5 +1.6
DAL 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
49.5%
DET 56.9%
DAL 60.1% +3.2%
TO %
15.8%
12.3%
DET 17.4%
DAL 16.7% +0.7%
ORB %
30.2%
31.4%
DET 34.4% +9.4%
DAL 25.0%
FTrt
32.8
25.6
DET 43.1 +9.3
DAL 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
59.1%
DET 55.0%
DAL 56.1% +1.1%
STL %
8.9%
8.3%
DET 8.5%
DAL 9.6% +1.1%
BLK %
11.0%
8.2%
DET 8.5%
DAL 10.6% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.5%
51.4%
DET 58.7%
DAL 63.1% +4.4%
Rim FG%
54.7%
59.0%
DET 71.9% +10.0%
DAL 61.9%
Mid FG%
37.6%
41.4%
DET 44.1%
DAL 55.3% +11.2%
3P %
34.4%
34.8%
DET 33.3%
DAL 46.7% +13.4%
FT %
75.3%
79.6%
DET 83.9%
DAL 88.0% +4.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
33.5%
DET 44.4% +16.1%
DAL 28.4%
Mid Att. %
47.3%
46.4%
DET 47.2% +4.1%
DAL 51.4%
3P Att. %
15.3%
20.1%
DET 8.3%
DAL 20.3% +11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points108111
Rebounds3529
Assists2223
Steals89
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)21 (1)
Field Goals40-7241-74
At-the-Rim FG23-3213-21
Midrange FG15-3421-38
2-Point FG38-6634-59
3-Point FG2-67-15
Free Throws26-3122-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 26
36.6
16
40%
5
6
2
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
7-19
37%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
36.2
10
71%
8
2
3
0
4
3
2
6
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 27
30.9
17
65%
1
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
6-7
86%
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 212 · 24
29.6
11
69%
2
1
0
2
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 260 · 25
17.1
8
80%
4
0
0
0
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 30
29.0
15
63%
6
1
1
1
1
4
4
2
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36
18.3
12
75%
3
2
0
2
3
4
0
3
6-8
75%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 29
17.9
5
83%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 31
12.6
11
69%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31
11.9
3
50%
4
2
0
0
1
3
2
2
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 32
C · 7'0" 275 · 19
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
59%
35
22
8
5
16
0
11
24
26-31
84%
38-66
58%
2-6
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.