FinalWin Prob.pScore
263%91
83
1837%87
65
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
97.68588.3
UTA logo UTA
78.38380.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA83
100%
65
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASWard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)83
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASSpurs Rebound80
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTAMISS Moore 13' Fadeaway Jumper80
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASBrown Foul Turnover (P2.T12)80
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0UTAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)80
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Willis 15' Jump Shot80
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32UTAMISS Lopez 20' Jump Shot80
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35SASLopez STEAL (1 STL)80
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46UTALopez 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pavlovic 3 AST)80
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02SASPavlovic BLOCK (3 BLK)80
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06UTAPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)80
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25SASMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot80
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)80
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51SASRose 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)80
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11UTAMISS Pavlovic 20' Jump Shot78
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 277
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41UTAOstertag Dunk (9 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)77
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08SASSpurs Rebound75
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 4:09SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot75
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 4:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 4:26SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot75
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 4:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47UTAMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot75
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q4 - 5:13SASOstertag BLOCK (2 BLK)75
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q4 - 5:31SASSpurs Rebound75
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 5:32SASMISS Turkoglu 23' Jump Shot75
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q4 - 5:53SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 5:55UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot75
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q4 - 6:15SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q4 - 6:15SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q4 - 6:26UTAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)73
99.3%
59
0.7%
Q4 - 6:31SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)73
99.0%
59
1.0%
Q4 - 6:52UTABell Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)71
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q4 - 7:09SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
97.6%
59
2.4%
Q4 - 7:23UTAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q4 - 7:23UTAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)71
98.3%
58
1.7%
Q4 - 7:26UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q4 - 7:53UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q4 - 7:53UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
99.0%
56
1.0%
Q4 - 8:04UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
98.9%
55
1.1%
Q4 - 8:06SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
99.0%
55
1.0%
Q4 - 8:24UTABell Driving Layup (6 PTS)71
99.1%
55
0.9%
Q4 - 8:29SASOstertag STEAL (1 STL)71
99.3%
53
0.7%
Q4 - 8:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q4 - 8:40UTAMISS Bell 23' Jump Shot71
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q4 - 9:01SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q4 - 9:01SASBrown Tip Shot (4 PTS)71
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q4 - 9:03SASPavlovic BLOCK (2 BLK)69
98.7%
53
1.3%
Q4 - 9:05SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
98.9%
53
1.1%
Q4 - 9:08UTAMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.9%
53
1.1%
Q4 - 9:27SASWard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)69
98.6%
53
1.4%
Q4 - 9:49UTALopez 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)66
97.9%
53
2.1%
Q4 - 9:56UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q4 - 9:58SASKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)66
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q4 - 10:22UTAOstertag Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)66
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q4 - 10:38UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q4 - 10:40SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot66
98.1%
51
1.9%
Q4 - 11:07UTAKirilenko Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)66
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q4 - 11:26SASWard 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
97.5%
51
2.5%
Q4 - 11:45UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)64
97.0%
51
3.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS64
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound64
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)64
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0UTACollins Foul Turnover (P3.T12)64
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)64
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 263
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 263
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
97.3%
48
2.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASDuncan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)63
97.7%
47
2.3%
Q3 - 1:04UTAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
96.8%
47
3.2%
Q3 - 1:04UTAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 261
96.9%
46
3.1%
Q3 - 1:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)61
96.8%
46
3.2%
Q3 - 1:14SASDuncan Driving Layup (27 PTS) (Ward 1 AST)60
96.1%
46
3.9%
Q3 - 1:29SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
95.4%
46
4.6%
Q3 - 1:31UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Fadeaway Jumper58
95.1%
46
4.9%
Q3 - 1:48UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
94.4%
46
5.6%
Q3 - 1:48UTAMISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
95.1%
46
4.9%
Q3 - 1:51UTAJAZZ Rebound58
94.4%
46
5.6%
Q3 - 1:52UTAMISS Stevenson Driving Layup58
95.1%
46
4.9%
Q3 - 2:13SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)58
93.7%
46
6.3%
Q3 - 2:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 257
93.4%
46
6.6%
Q3 - 2:28SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
93.8%
46
6.2%
Q3 - 2:32UTAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot57
93.5%
46
6.5%
Q3 - 2:48SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)57
92.6%
46
7.4%
Q3 - 3:06SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
90.8%
46
9.2%
Q3 - 3:07UTAMISS Collins Layup55
90.3%
46
9.7%
Q3 - 3:20UTAJAZZ Rebound55
89.1%
46
10.9%
Q3 - 3:20SASMISS Ginobili Layup55
89.7%
46
10.3%
Q3 - 3:22UTACollins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)55
90.8%
46
9.2%
Q3 - 3:52SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T8)55
89.1%
46
10.9%
Q3 - 4:00SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
90.9%
46
9.1%
Q3 - 4:01UTAMISS Moore 17' Jump Shot55
89.9%
46
10.1%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 155
88.9%
46
11.1%
Q3 - 4:26SASGinobili Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
88.6%
46
11.4%
Q3 - 4:28UTAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)53
87.0%
46
13.0%
Q3 - 4:41UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
84.6%
46
15.4%
Q3 - 4:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 253
85.0%
46
15.0%
Q3 - 4:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 253
86.2%
46
13.8%
Q3 - 4:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
87.0%
46
13.0%
Q3 - 4:50UTAMISS Ruffin Driving Layup53
86.3%
46
13.7%
Q3 - 5:05SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)53
84.2%
46
15.8%
Q3 - 5:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
86.4%
46
13.6%
Q3 - 5:05SASRuffin BLOCK (1 BLK)53
84.9%
46
15.1%
Q3 - 5:31UTACollins Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
86.5%
46
13.5%
Q3 - 5:47UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
88.2%
44
11.8%
Q3 - 5:49SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 253
88.4%
44
11.6%
Q3 - 5:49SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 253
89.4%
44
10.6%
Q3 - 5:49UTARuffin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)53
89.9%
44
10.1%
Q3 - 6:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)53
87.6%
44
12.4%
Q3 - 6:02SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 252
87.1%
44
12.9%
Q3 - 6:05SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
87.8%
44
12.2%
Q3 - 6:07UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot52
87.2%
44
12.8%
Q3 - 6:32SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
85.8%
44
14.2%
Q3 - 6:32SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 251
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q3 - 7:00UTAArroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)51
86.0%
44
14.0%
Q3 - 7:07UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
88.6%
41
11.4%
Q3 - 7:07SASMISS Bowen Tip Shot51
89.1%
41
10.9%
Q3 - 7:08SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
90.3%
41
9.7%
Q3 - 7:09SASMISS Parker Layup51
89.1%
41
10.9%
Q3 - 7:31UTAStevenson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)51
90.3%
41
9.7%
Q3 - 7:44UTAJAZZ Rebound51
91.4%
39
8.6%
Q3 - 7:44SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot51
91.8%
39
8.2%
Q3 - 7:57SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
92.7%
39
7.3%
Q3 - 7:59UTAMISS Ostertag 9' Jump Shot51
92.3%
39
7.7%
Q3 - 8:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
91.2%
39
8.8%
Q3 - 8:22SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
90.9%
39
9.1%
Q3 - 8:35UTAOstertag Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
90.1%
39
9.9%
Q3 - 8:35UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 249
90.6%
38
9.4%
Q3 - 8:58SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 149
90.1%
38
9.9%
Q3 - 8:58SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
89.9%
38
10.1%
Q3 - 9:03SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
88.2%
38
11.8%
Q3 - 9:05SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot47
87.1%
38
12.9%
Q3 - 9:21UTAStevenson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)47
88.2%
38
11.8%
Q3 - 9:42SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)47
89.6%
36
10.4%
Q3 - 9:57SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
88.3%
36
11.7%
Q3 - 9:59UTAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot45
87.8%
36
12.2%
Q3 - 10:16SASTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
86.3%
36
13.7%
Q3 - 10:35UTAStevenson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)43
84.7%
36
15.3%
Q3 - 10:52UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
86.3%
34
13.7%
Q3 - 10:53UTAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup43
87.6%
34
12.4%
Q3 - 11:10UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
86.3%
34
13.7%
Q3 - 11:12UTAMISS Kirilenko 21' Jump Shot43
87.4%
34
12.6%
Q3 - 11:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
86.3%
34
13.7%
Q3 - 11:32SASDuncan Layup (19 PTS)43
86.3%
34
13.7%
Q3 - 11:34SASOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)41
83.3%
34
16.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA41
84.7%
34
15.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound41
82.7%
34
17.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Collins 52' 3PT Jump Shot41
84.1%
34
15.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASDuncan Driving Dunk (17 PTS)41
82.6%
34
17.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0UTALopez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)39
80.0%
34
20.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASGinobili 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
84.5%
31
15.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0UTAOstertag Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)37
82.1%
31
17.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
80.6%
31
19.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot37
81.1%
31
18.9%
Q2 - 1:00UTACollins 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)37
82.1%
31
17.9%
Q2 - 1:25SASDuncan 7' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)37
84.2%
29
15.8%
Q2 - 1:44UTAKirilenko Dunk (4 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)35
81.5%
29
18.5%
Q2 - 1:56SASDuncan 19' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)35
84.2%
27
15.8%
Q2 - 2:09UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
81.6%
27
18.4%
Q2 - 2:09UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 233
82.0%
26
18.0%
Q2 - 2:31SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
81.7%
26
18.3%
Q2 - 2:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
81.3%
26
18.7%
Q2 - 2:44UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
79.6%
26
20.4%
Q2 - 2:44UTAOstertag Tip Shot (6 PTS)31
79.6%
26
20.4%
Q2 - 2:45UTAMISS Collins Driving Layup31
82.9%
24
17.1%
Q2 - 3:02UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
81.2%
24
18.8%
Q2 - 3:04SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot31
81.8%
24
18.2%
Q2 - 3:17SASSpurs Rebound31
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q2 - 3:18SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot31
81.8%
24
18.2%
Q2 - 3:32UTABell Foul Turnover (P2.T7)31
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q2 - 3:47UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
81.2%
24
18.8%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Duncan 11' Fadeaway Jumper31
81.8%
24
18.2%
Q2 - 4:10SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
82.7%
24
17.3%
Q2 - 4:13UTAMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot31
82.2%
24
17.8%
Q2 - 4:35SASBowen 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
81.0%
24
19.0%
Q2 - 4:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 4:54UTAMISS Moore 17' Jump Shot29
78.6%
24
21.4%
Q2 - 4:58UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
77.2%
24
22.8%
Q2 - 4:59SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 4:59SASMoore BLOCK (1 BLK)29
77.9%
24
22.1%
Q2 - 5:03SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot29
77.8%
24
22.2%
Q2 - 5:17SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 5:21UTAMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot29
78.6%
24
21.4%
Q2 - 5:35UTAJAZZ Rebound29
77.1%
24
22.9%
Q2 - 5:35SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Fadeaway Jumper29
77.8%
24
22.2%
Q2 - 5:50SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 5:53UTAMISS Bell Layup29
78.6%
24
21.4%
Q2 - 6:02SASBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T6)29
77.0%
24
23.0%
Q2 - 6:23UTABell 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 6:40UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
80.7%
22
19.3%
Q2 - 6:42SASMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot29
81.3%
22
18.7%
Q2 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
82.6%
22
17.4%
Q2 - 6:57UTAMISS Collins 8' Jump Shot29
82.1%
22
17.9%
Q2 - 7:19SASWard Foul Turnover (P2.T5)29
80.4%
22
19.6%
Q2 - 7:28SASSpurs Rebound29
82.2%
22
17.8%
Q2 - 7:28UTAMISS Lopez 20' Jump Shot29
81.7%
22
18.3%
Q2 - 7:48UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
80.5%
22
19.5%
Q2 - 7:50SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
81.0%
22
19.0%
Q2 - 7:55SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
82.2%
22
17.8%
Q2 - 7:58SASPavlovic BLOCK (1 BLK)29
81.0%
22
19.0%
Q2 - 8:03UTALopez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
81.9%
22
18.1%
Q2 - 8:13SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
80.1%
22
19.9%
Q2 - 8:27UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
81.9%
22
18.1%
Q2 - 8:27UTACollins Layup (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)29
83.4%
21
16.6%
Q2 - 8:29UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
84.6%
19
15.4%
Q2 - 8:31UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot29
85.6%
19
14.4%
Q2 - 8:47UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
84.6%
19
15.4%
Q2 - 8:48SASMISS Ward 23' Jump Shot29
85.1%
19
14.9%
Q2 - 9:03UTABell 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
85.7%
19
14.3%
Q2 - 9:24SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
86.8%
17
13.2%
Q2 - 9:34UTALopez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
84.5%
17
15.5%
Q2 - 9:43UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
83.0%
17
17.0%
Q2 - 9:45UTAMISS Lopez 22' Jump Shot26
84.0%
17
16.0%
Q2 - 10:05UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
82.6%
17
17.4%
Q2 - 10:06SASMISS Ward 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
83.1%
17
16.9%
Q2 - 10:33UTAMoore 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)26
84.2%
17
15.8%
Q2 - 10:56SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
85.3%
15
14.7%
Q2 - 10:56SASGinobili Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)25
84.0%
15
16.0%
Q2 - 11:07UTABell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
82.5%
15
17.5%
Q2 - 11:27SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)23
81.0%
15
19.0%
Q2 - 11:37SASMISS Brown Free Throw Technical21
79.5%
15
20.5%
Q2 - 11:44SASSpurs Rebound21
79.5%
15
20.5%
Q2 - 11:45SASMISS Ward 19' Jump Shot21
78.4%
15
21.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
79.5%
15
20.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTACollins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
79.5%
15
20.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBrown 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
77.9%
15
22.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0UTAStevenson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
75.7%
15
24.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASCollins STEAL (1 STL)19
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0UTAOstertag Layup (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)19
75.7%
15
24.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
77.8%
13
22.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 219
78.9%
13
21.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 219
77.9%
13
22.1%
Q1 - 1:16SASGinobili Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)19
77.8%
13
22.2%
Q1 - 1:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
75.7%
13
24.3%
Q1 - 1:20UTAMISS Arroyo Layup17
75.3%
13
24.7%
Q1 - 1:26UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
74.3%
13
25.7%
Q1 - 1:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
75.7%
13
24.3%
Q1 - 1:27SASKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)17
74.8%
13
25.2%
Q1 - 1:31SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
74.8%
13
25.2%
Q1 - 1:55UTAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ostertag 2 AST)17
75.7%
13
24.3%
Q1 - 2:14SASDuncan 11' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)17
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 2:26SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
76.0%
11
24.0%
Q1 - 2:29UTAMISS Ruffin Driving Layup15
75.5%
11
24.5%
Q1 - 2:54SASDuncan 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
74.4%
11
25.6%
Q1 - 3:09UTARuffin Slam Dunk (2 PTS)13
72.5%
11
27.5%
Q1 - 3:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
74.0%
9
26.0%
Q1 - 3:33SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
72.3%
9
27.7%
Q1 - 3:52UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
70.6%
9
29.4%
Q1 - 3:52UTAKirilenko Layup (2 PTS)10
70.6%
9
29.4%
Q1 - 3:54UTAMISS Ostertag 21' Jump Shot10
73.7%
7
26.3%
Q1 - 4:18SASParker 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
72.3%
7
27.7%
Q1 - 4:25SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
70.9%
7
29.1%
Q1 - 4:26SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot8
69.3%
7
30.7%
Q1 - 4:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
70.9%
7
29.1%
Q1 - 4:47UTAMISS Ruffin 17' Jump Shot8
70.2%
7
29.8%
Q1 - 5:03SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
68.9%
7
31.1%
Q1 - 5:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
67.3%
7
32.7%
Q1 - 5:25UTAMISS Ruffin 6' Jump Hook Shot6
66.6%
7
33.4%
Q1 - 5:44SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
65.2%
7
34.8%
Q1 - 5:44SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
64.4%
7
35.6%
Q1 - 5:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.4%
7
36.6%
Q1 - 5:50UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
61.2%
7
38.8%
Q1 - 5:50UTAMISS Kirilenko Tip Shot4
62.8%
7
37.2%
Q1 - 5:52UTAMISS Stevenson Layup4
62.8%
7
37.2%
Q1 - 5:57UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
61.2%
7
38.8%
Q1 - 5:59UTAMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
62.8%
7
37.2%
Q1 - 6:14UTAArroyo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)4
61.5%
7
38.5%
Q1 - 6:28SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
63.4%
6
36.6%
Q1 - 6:39UTAOstertag 12' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)4
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 6:50UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Turkoglu Layup4
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 7:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 7:04UTAMISS Ruffin 16' Jump Shot4
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 7:21UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
67.3%
4
32.7%
Q1 - 7:22UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 24
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 7:22UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 24
67.8%
4
32.2%
Q1 - 7:38SASArroyo STEAL (1 STL)4
67.3%
4
32.7%
Q1 - 7:45UTARuffin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
69.1%
4
30.9%
Q1 - 7:47UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
67.3%
4
32.7%
Q1 - 7:48SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot4
67.9%
4
32.1%
Q1 - 8:10UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 8:10UTAStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
70.1%
3
29.9%
Q1 - 8:31UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.1%
2
28.9%
Q1 - 8:33SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
71.6%
2
28.4%
Q1 - 8:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 8:56UTAMISS Ruffin 18' Jump Shot4
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 9:07UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
70.8%
2
29.2%
Q1 - 9:09SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot4
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 9:33SASSpurs Rebound4
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 9:35UTAMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot4
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 9:51UTAJAZZ Rebound4
70.9%
2
29.1%
Q1 - 9:52SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 10:05SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 10:07UTAMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot4
72.1%
2
27.9%
Q1 - 10:34SASNesterovic 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
70.9%
2
29.1%
Q1 - 10:55UTAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)2
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 11:21SASDuncan 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)2
71.0%
0
29.0%
Q1 - 11:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 11:37UTAMISS Ostertag Layup0
69.0%
0
31.0%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Ostertag vs. Duncan: Tip to Arroyo0
67.9%
0
32.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.90 45.1%
UTA
0.80 40.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
23
52%
UTA
10
21
48%
Midrange
SAS
16
37
43%
UTA
12
39
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
UTA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
18
30
60%
UTA
12
20
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3157%15.5 / 27
T. Parker1341%6.5 / 16
M. Ginobili1243%6.0 / 14
C. Ward857%4.0 / 7
B. Bowen450%2.0 / 4
R. Nesterovic450%2.0 / 4
D. Brown467%2.0 / 3
M. Rose440%2.0 / 5
H. Turkoglu321%1.5 / 7
R. Horry0-0.0 / 1
K. Willis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko1056%5.0 / 9
G. Ostertag956%4.5 / 8
C. Arroyo956%4.5 / 8
D. Stevenson833%4.0 / 12
J. Collins844%4.0 / 9
R. Lopez758%3.5 / 6
R. Bell633%3.0 / 9
M. Williams450%2.0 / 4
M. Ruffin214%1.0 / 7
M. Moore225%1.0 / 4
S. Pavlovic0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+15
-11
89
UTA
66
+14
-17
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.90 45.1%
UTA
0.80 40.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
99.5
SAS 97.6 +19.3
UTA 78.3
Pace
91.3
88.8
SAS 88.3 +8.3
UTA 80.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
17.1
SAS 16.3 +1.7
UTA 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
45.6%
SAS 45.1% +6.7%
UTA 38.4%
TO %
15.4%
17.2%
SAS 12.3% +5.6%
UTA 17.9%
ORB %
29.5%
34.1%
SAS 27.8% +1.0%
UTA 26.8%
FTrt
32.2
35.6
SAS 41.7 +12.7
UTA 29.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
62.1%
SAS 48.4%
UTA 64.0% +15.6%
STL %
8.8%
7.9%
SAS 14.1% +9.3%
UTA 4.8%
BLK %
9.9%
10.6%
SAS 11.7%
UTA 16.7% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
48.0%
SAS 45.1% +5.0%
UTA 40.1%
Rim FG%
57.6%
53.4%
SAS 52.2% +4.6%
UTA 47.6%
Mid FG%
37.0%
38.8%
SAS 43.2% +12.4%
UTA 30.8%
3P %
35.8%
32.1%
SAS 25.0%
UTA 33.3% +8.3%
FT %
68.1%
74.6%
SAS 60.0%
UTA 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
38.9%
SAS 31.9% +1.5%
UTA 30.4%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
48.4%
SAS 51.4% +5.1%
UTA 56.5%
3P Att. %
17.7%
12.7%
SAS 16.7% +3.6%
UTA 13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASUTA
Possessions8583
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8365
Rebounds4037
Assists1516
Steals124
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)26 (4)
Field Goals31-7225-69
At-the-Rim FG12-2310-21
Midrange FG16-3712-39
2-Point FG28-6022-60
3-Point FG3-123-9
Free Throws18-3012-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
41.8
31
57%
11
3
3
5
0
1
2
9
5-12
42%
13-20
65%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
32.8
13
41%
4
6
1
0
2
0
1
3
7-9
78%
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'10" 220 · 25
27.8
3
21%
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 33
25.4
4
50%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
23.8
4
50%
5
1
0
1
1
4
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
24.8
12
43%
2
1
4
0
2
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
18.1
4
67%
5
1
0
0
2
3
2
3
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
16.0
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
15.2
8
57%
1
1
1
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
12.0
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
45%
40
15
12
7
11
0
10
30
18-30
60%
28-60
47%
3-12
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.