FinalWin Prob.pScore
855%89
102
2245%88
100
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
103.09993.4
MIA logo MIA
105.39582.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA102
100%
100
0%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound102
95.4%
100
4.6%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.0%
100
1.0%
OT1 - 0:10.0MIAHEAT Rebound102
84.1%
100
15.9%
OT1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup102
92.2%
100
7.8%
OT1 - 0:14.0DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)102
83.1%
100
16.9%
OT1 - 0:34.0MIAButler 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)100
65.5%
100
34.5%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
76.6%
98
23.4%
OT1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot100
85.2%
98
14.8%
OT1 - 0:54.0DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)100
74.6%
98
25.4%
OT1 - 0:54.0DETPistons Rebound100
85.7%
98
14.3%
OT1 - 0:55.0DETMISS Prince 8' Jump Shot100
78.3%
98
21.7%
OT1 - 1:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)100
83.1%
98
16.9%
OT1 - 1:19MIAMISS Odom Layup100
80.0%
98
20.0%
OT1 - 1:24MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)100
71.8%
98
28.2%
OT1 - 1:27DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot100
75.4%
98
24.6%
OT1 - 1:51MIAOdom Layup (18 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)100
80.4%
98
19.6%
OT1 - 2:05DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T10)100
85.7%
96
14.3%
OT1 - 2:20DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
92.1%
96
7.9%
OT1 - 2:22MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot100
90.5%
96
9.5%
OT1 - 2:42DETBillups 23' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)100
85.4%
96
14.6%
OT1 - 3:01MIAButler Foul Turnover (P4.T15)98
79.3%
96
20.7%
OT1 - 3:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
68.1%
96
31.9%
OT1 - 3:08DETMISS Williamson 14' Jump Shot98
72.0%
96
28.0%
OT1 - 3:20DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
79.8%
96
20.2%
OT1 - 3:22MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot98
76.7%
96
23.3%
OT1 - 3:43DETBillups Layup (21 PTS)98
67.8%
96
32.2%
OT1 - 3:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)96
59.7%
96
40.3%
OT1 - 3:59DETMISS Williamson Layup96
52.9%
96
47.1%
OT1 - 4:22MIAButler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)96
59.7%
96
40.4%
OT1 - 4:44MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)96
49.6%
96
50.4%
OT1 - 4:46DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot96
52.7%
96
47.3%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups96
59.6%
96
40.4%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)96
68.1%
96
31.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
71.4%
95
28.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
82.4%
94
17.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
91.0%
94
9.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)96
79.1%
94
20.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETMISS Williamson Layup96
83.6%
94
16.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
90.9%
94
9.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETMISS Wallace Layup96
82.8%
94
17.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)96
90.4%
94
9.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMISS Wallace Layup96
82.8%
94
17.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETPistons Rebound96
87.7%
94
12.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETJones BLOCK (1 BLK)96
80.2%
94
19.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)96
85.4%
94
14.6%
Q4 - 1:08DETWilliamson Layup (17 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)96
72.5%
94
27.5%
Q4 - 1:29DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
62.0%
94
38.0%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
57.6%
94
42.4%
Q4 - 1:39DETButler STEAL (2 STL)94
47.7%
94
52.3%
Q4 - 1:53MIAButler Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)94
61.1%
94
38.9%
Q4 - 2:14DETWilliamson 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)94
69.8%
92
30.2%
Q4 - 2:24DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
64.2%
92
35.8%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot92
59.3%
92
40.7%
Q4 - 2:58DETPrince Layup (24 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)92
47.5%
92
52.5%
Q4 - 3:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
41.4%
92
58.6%
Q4 - 3:13DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
31.5%
92
68.5%
Q4 - 3:26MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)90
41.7%
92
58.3%
Q4 - 3:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
50.1%
90
49.9%
Q4 - 3:44DETOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)90
53.0%
90
47.0%
Q4 - 4:03MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)90
59.7%
90
40.3%
Q4 - 4:19DETBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)90
67.9%
88
32.1%
Q4 - 4:19DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)89
67.0%
88
33.0%
Q4 - 4:19DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)88
66.1%
88
33.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAOdom Driving Layup (16 PTS)87
50.3%
88
49.7%
Q4 - 4:54DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)87
59.1%
86
40.9%
Q4 - 5:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
42.8%
86
57.2%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
40.2%
86
59.8%
Q4 - 5:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
34.5%
86
65.5%
Q4 - 5:21DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot84
37.0%
86
63.0%
Q4 - 5:45MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
42.7%
86
57.3%
Q4 - 5:57MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
59.0%
83
41.0%
Q4 - 5:59DETMISS Williamson 13' Jump Shot84
61.6%
83
38.4%
Q4 - 6:14MIAJones 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
66.7%
83
33.3%
Q4 - 6:36DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
72.2%
81
27.8%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 283
71.1%
81
28.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
73.1%
81
26.9%
Q4 - 7:21DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)83
76.7%
79
23.3%
Q4 - 7:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
81.8%
79
18.2%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot83
80.4%
79
19.6%
Q4 - 7:35MIAHEAT Rebound83
76.7%
79
23.3%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Odom 11' Turnaround Jump Shot83
80.4%
79
19.6%
Q4 - 7:55DETButler STEAL (1 STL)83
76.8%
79
23.2%
Q4 - 8:08MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
80.0%
79
20.0%
Q4 - 8:08MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
80.9%
78
19.1%
Q4 - 8:28DETHamilton 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)83
83.8%
77
16.2%
Q4 - 8:47MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)81
80.1%
77
19.9%
Q4 - 9:10DETWilliamson Layup (12 PTS)81
82.7%
75
17.3%
Q4 - 9:29MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)79
79.2%
75
20.8%
Q4 - 9:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
82.7%
73
17.3%
Q4 - 9:45DETMISS Sura Tip Shot79
83.8%
73
16.2%
Q4 - 9:47DETSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
86.1%
73
13.9%
Q4 - 9:49DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot79
83.8%
73
16.2%
Q4 - 9:59DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
86.1%
73
13.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot79
83.9%
73
16.1%
Q4 - 10:22DETHamilton Layup (13 PTS) (Williamson 2 AST)79
81.5%
73
18.5%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
78.2%
73
21.8%
Q4 - 10:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
81.6%
71
18.4%
Q4 - 10:53DETAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)77
82.7%
71
17.3%
Q4 - 11:09MIAWade Reverse Layup (13 PTS)77
83.7%
71
16.3%
Q4 - 11:28DETWilliamson 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)77
86.4%
69
13.6%
Q4 - 11:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
83.8%
69
16.2%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Atkins 14' Jump Shot75
81.5%
69
18.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET75
83.8%
69
16.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)75
79.8%
69
20.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETHamilton Driving Layup (10 PTS)74
76.2%
69
23.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
72.3%
69
27.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)72
76.3%
67
23.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)69
68.0%
67
32.0%
Q3 - 1:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
63.2%
67
36.8%
Q3 - 1:06DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot69
64.6%
67
35.4%
Q3 - 1:26MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)69
67.7%
67
32.3%
Q3 - 1:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
63.2%
67
36.8%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
66.4%
67
33.6%
Q3 - 2:06MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)69
62.4%
67
37.6%
Q3 - 2:08DETMISS Williamson 6' Hook Shot69
63.8%
67
36.2%
Q3 - 2:26MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)69
67.0%
67
33.0%
Q3 - 2:49DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)69
70.7%
65
29.3%
Q3 - 3:08MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)67
66.8%
65
33.2%
Q3 - 3:08MIAOdom 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
70.6%
64
29.4%
Q3 - 3:24MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)67
74.0%
62
26.0%
Q3 - 3:25DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 267
74.5%
62
25.5%
Q3 - 3:25DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 267
75.9%
62
24.1%
Q3 - 3:38MIAOdom Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)67
77.5%
62
22.5%
Q3 - 3:49DETWade STEAL (1 STL)67
74.0%
62
26.0%
Q3 - 4:07MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)67
77.0%
62
23.0%
Q3 - 4:23DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
82.2%
59
17.8%
Q3 - 4:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
77.0%
59
23.0%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Odom 8' Hook Shot64
75.9%
59
24.1%
Q3 - 4:56DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
73.3%
59
26.7%
Q3 - 4:56DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
73.0%
59
27.0%
Q3 - 5:07DETPistons Rebound62
69.8%
59
30.2%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Odom Layup62
68.6%
59
31.4%
Q3 - 5:31DETHamilton Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
65.9%
59
34.1%
Q3 - 5:56MIAAlston Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
62.4%
59
37.6%
Q3 - 6:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
65.5%
57
34.5%
Q3 - 6:03DETMISS Billups Layup60
66.7%
57
33.3%
Q3 - 6:07DETOkur REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)60
69.3%
57
30.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Wade Layup60
68.2%
57
31.8%
Q3 - 6:14MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
65.6%
57
34.4%
Q3 - 6:15DETMISS Hamilton Layup60
66.7%
57
33.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)60
69.3%
57
30.7%
Q3 - 6:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
65.6%
57
34.4%
Q3 - 6:29DETMISS Prince Layup60
66.7%
57
33.3%
Q3 - 6:42DETPistons Rebound60
69.4%
57
30.6%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
68.2%
57
31.8%
Q3 - 6:49MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
65.6%
57
34.4%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup60
68.2%
57
31.8%
Q3 - 7:01MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
64.7%
57
35.3%
Q3 - 7:03DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot60
66.0%
57
34.0%
Q3 - 7:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
68.7%
57
31.3%
Q3 - 7:16DETMISS Billups 4' Jump Shot60
66.0%
57
34.0%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)60
68.8%
57
31.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
71.5%
55
28.5%
Q3 - 7:45DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
72.6%
55
27.4%
Q3 - 8:05MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)60
74.8%
55
25.2%
Q3 - 8:27DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)60
77.2%
53
22.8%
Q3 - 8:27DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)59
76.6%
53
23.4%
Q3 - 8:40MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
74.8%
53
25.2%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
77.2%
51
22.8%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Wade Dunk58
79.2%
51
20.8%
Q3 - 8:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
77.2%
51
22.8%
Q3 - 9:00DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot58
78.1%
51
21.9%
Q3 - 9:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
79.4%
51
20.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Odom Layup58
78.6%
51
21.4%
Q3 - 9:31DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (20 PTS)58
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 9:46MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)56
74.2%
51
25.8%
Q3 - 9:46MIAOdom 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
76.9%
50
23.1%
Q3 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
79.4%
48
20.6%
Q3 - 9:53DETMISS Okur Tip Shot56
80.1%
48
19.9%
Q3 - 9:55DETOkur REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)56
81.7%
48
18.3%
Q3 - 9:57DETMISS Hamilton 4' Running Jump Shot56
80.1%
48
19.9%
Q3 - 10:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
81.4%
48
18.6%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Wade Layup56
80.6%
48
19.4%
Q3 - 10:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade Layup56
80.6%
48
19.4%
Q3 - 10:31DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS)56
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q3 - 10:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
76.7%
48
23.3%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot54
75.8%
48
24.2%
Q3 - 11:13DETOkur Tip Shot (7 PTS)54
73.7%
48
26.3%
Q3 - 11:15DETOkur REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
71.1%
48
28.9%
Q3 - 11:17DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot52
69.0%
48
31.0%
Q3 - 11:18DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
71.1%
48
28.9%
Q3 - 11:19DETMISS Okur Tip Shot52
69.0%
48
31.0%
Q3 - 11:20DETOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
71.1%
48
28.9%
Q3 - 11:22DETMISS Okur Layup52
69.0%
48
31.0%
Q3 - 11:41MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)52
71.1%
48
28.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
76.3%
45
23.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
76.3%
45
23.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot52
77.1%
45
22.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETPistons Rebound52
77.8%
45
22.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
77.9%
45
22.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 252
78.4%
44
21.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
77.5%
44
22.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q2 - 1:11DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T5)50
80.4%
41
19.6%
Q2 - 1:23MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T8)50
81.4%
41
18.6%
Q2 - 1:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
80.4%
41
19.6%
Q2 - 1:41DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot50
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 2:02MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)50
81.2%
41
18.8%
Q2 - 2:19DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)50
83.2%
39
16.8%
Q2 - 2:19DETPrince Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)49
81.4%
39
18.6%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)47
79.2%
39
20.8%
Q2 - 2:44DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
77.3%
39
22.7%
Q2 - 2:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
74.8%
39
25.2%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
74.2%
39
25.8%
Q2 - 3:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
71.8%
39
28.2%
Q2 - 3:03DETMISS Okur Tip Shot45
72.7%
39
27.3%
Q2 - 3:04DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
74.5%
39
25.5%
Q2 - 3:06DETMISS Okur Tip Shot45
72.7%
39
27.3%
Q2 - 3:07DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
74.5%
39
25.5%
Q2 - 3:08DETMISS Billups Layup45
72.7%
39
27.3%
Q2 - 3:28MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)45
74.5%
39
25.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
76.5%
37
23.5%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 3:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
78.8%
37
21.2%
Q2 - 3:45DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot45
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)45
78.1%
37
21.9%
Q2 - 4:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
80.0%
35
20.0%
Q2 - 4:12DETMISS Billups Driving Layup45
80.6%
35
19.4%
Q2 - 4:18DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
81.8%
35
18.2%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
81.3%
35
18.7%
Q2 - 4:34DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)45
80.0%
35
20.0%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
76.1%
35
23.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
76.6%
34
23.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)42
78.1%
33
21.9%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot42
79.5%
33
20.5%
Q2 - 5:04DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
77.8%
33
22.2%
Q2 - 5:04DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
77.4%
33
22.6%
Q2 - 5:25MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)40
75.9%
33
24.1%
Q2 - 5:31DETJones STEAL (1 STL)40
77.8%
31
22.2%
Q2 - 5:46MIAOdom 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
79.8%
31
20.2%
Q2 - 6:07MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
80.9%
29
19.1%
Q2 - 6:09DETMISS Williamson 5' Hook Shot40
81.5%
29
18.5%
Q2 - 6:34MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
82.9%
29
17.1%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 240
83.3%
28
16.7%
Q2 - 6:48DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
82.6%
28
17.4%
Q2 - 6:48DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
82.3%
28
17.7%
Q2 - 7:06MIAButler Layup (2 PTS)38
80.5%
28
19.5%
Q2 - 7:09MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
82.0%
26
18.0%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
83.1%
26
16.9%
Q2 - 7:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
82.0%
26
18.0%
Q2 - 7:18DETMISS Atkins 18' Jump Shot38
82.5%
26
17.5%
Q2 - 7:21DETSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
83.6%
26
16.4%
Q2 - 7:23DETMISS Atkins 13' Jump Shot38
82.5%
26
17.5%
Q2 - 7:29DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
83.6%
26
16.4%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot38
83.2%
26
16.8%
Q2 - 7:50DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
82.1%
26
17.9%
Q2 - 7:50DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 237
81.8%
26
18.2%
Q2 - 8:00MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
82.2%
26
17.8%
Q2 - 8:00MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)37
82.4%
25
17.6%
Q2 - 8:22DETWilliamson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)37
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q2 - 8:43DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
81.8%
24
18.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Allen Layup35
81.2%
24
18.8%
Q2 - 9:00DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)35
80.0%
24
20.0%
Q2 - 9:00DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)34
78.3%
24
21.7%
Q2 - 9:11DETSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
76.2%
24
23.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot32
75.6%
24
24.4%
Q2 - 9:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
74.1%
24
25.9%
Q2 - 9:20DETMISS Okur Layup32
74.8%
24
25.2%
Q2 - 9:39MIAZhi-zhi Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)32
76.3%
24
23.7%
Q2 - 9:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
77.8%
22
22.2%
Q2 - 9:45DETMISS Williamson Layup32
78.4%
22
21.6%
Q2 - 9:50DETSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
79.7%
22
20.3%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot32
79.2%
22
20.8%
Q2 - 10:17DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)32
77.4%
22
22.6%
Q2 - 10:32MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)32
79.4%
22
20.6%
Q2 - 10:49DETSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
77.5%
22
22.5%
Q2 - 10:49DETMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 231
77.0%
22
23.0%
Q2 - 11:15MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)31
77.1%
22
22.9%
Q2 - 11:35DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
80.4%
19
19.6%
Q2 - 11:35DETMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 230
80.1%
19
19.9%
Q2 - 11:38MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
80.4%
19
19.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
78.8%
19
21.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETAtkins Driving Layup (5 PTS)30
78.5%
19
21.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
76.5%
19
23.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
76.1%
19
23.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)28
75.2%
19
24.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Allen 9' Hook Shot26
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q1 - 1:08MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
71.4%
19
28.6%
Q1 - 1:10DETWade BLOCK (1 BLK)26
71.9%
19
28.1%
Q1 - 1:24MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 226
73.3%
18
26.7%
Q1 - 1:44DETAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)26
73.3%
18
26.7%
Q1 - 1:49DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
69.0%
18
31.0%
Q1 - 1:51DETMISS Atkins 17' Jump Shot23
67.9%
18
32.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)23
69.0%
18
31.0%
Q1 - 2:15DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)23
67.4%
18
32.6%
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 222
66.9%
18
33.1%
Q1 - 2:20DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
67.3%
18
32.7%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade Layup22
66.7%
18
33.3%
Q1 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
66.6%
18
33.4%
Q1 - 2:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 2:47DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
65.9%
18
34.1%
Q1 - 2:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
67.2%
18
32.8%
Q1 - 3:12DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q1 - 3:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 220
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 220
61.3%
18
38.7%
Q1 - 3:50DETPrince Dunk (10 PTS)20
60.6%
18
39.4%
Q1 - 3:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 3:54DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
56.9%
18
43.1%
Q1 - 4:03MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
58.8%
18
41.2%
Q1 - 4:17DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 4:20MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
58.8%
18
41.2%
Q1 - 4:37DETWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T1)18
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)18
58.8%
18
41.2%
Q1 - 4:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
60.5%
16
39.5%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot18
62.2%
16
37.8%
Q1 - 5:18DETWallace Layup (4 PTS)18
60.5%
16
39.5%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
58.7%
16
41.3%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
59.2%
15
40.8%
Q1 - 5:49DETPrince 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)16
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 6:06MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)14
58.5%
14
41.5%
Q1 - 6:27DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
62.3%
11
37.7%
Q1 - 6:27DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 6:31DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
60.4%
11
39.6%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
59.8%
11
40.2%
Q1 - 6:51DETPrince Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)12
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 7:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
56.5%
11
43.5%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup10
56.1%
11
43.9%
Q1 - 7:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
54.7%
11
45.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
56.1%
11
43.9%
Q1 - 7:37DETPrince 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
54.6%
11
45.4%
Q1 - 7:57MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)8
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 8:06MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 8:09DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot8
55.7%
9
44.3%
Q1 - 8:28MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)8
57.2%
9
42.8%
Q1 - 8:34MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
58.8%
7
41.2%
Q1 - 8:35DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
59.4%
7
40.6%
Q1 - 8:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
60.8%
7
39.2%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot8
60.2%
7
39.8%
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
58.4%
7
41.6%
Q1 - 9:05DETMISS Okur 8' Fadeaway Jumper8
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 9:16DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
60.8%
7
39.2%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot8
60.1%
7
39.9%
Q1 - 9:41DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
58.5%
7
41.5%
Q1 - 10:06MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)6
57.0%
7
43.0%
Q1 - 10:27DETOkur Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)6
58.6%
5
41.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
57.0%
5
43.0%
Q1 - 10:50MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
57.4%
4
42.6%
Q1 - 11:01DETMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 14
59.0%
3
41.0%
Q1 - 11:01DETOkur Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)4
58.7%
3
41.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
56.8%
3
43.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
18
40
45%
MIA
15
27
56%
Midrange
DET
14
36
39%
MIA
16
33
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
DET
23
31
74%
MIA
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2460%12.0 / 20
C. Billups2372%11.5 / 16
R. Hamilton1745%8.5 / 19
C. Williamson1747%8.5 / 18
M. Okur729%3.5 / 12
B. Wallace630%3.0 / 10
C. Atkins531%2.5 / 8
E. Campbell2100%1.0 / 1
B. Sura117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1953%9.5 / 18
L. Odom1845%9.0 / 20
D. Wade1753%8.5 / 16
U. Haslem1689%8.0 / 9
R. Alston1454%7.0 / 13
C. Butler1056%5.0 / 9
M. Allen440%2.0 / 5
W. Zhi-zhi250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
89
+21
-10
110
MIA
80
+14
-15
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.1
99.3
DET 103.0
MIA 105.3 +2.2
Pace
90.5
90.6
DET 93.4 +10.7
MIA 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.0
DET 15.4 +2.0
MIA 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
46.3%
DET 43.9%
MIA 51.9% +8.0%
TO %
15.8%
14.4%
DET 9.6% +4.7%
MIA 14.3%
ORB %
30.2%
27.5%
DET 33.3% +4.4%
MIA 28.9%
FTrt
32.8
29.8
DET 34.4 +6.9
MIA 27.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
57.3%
DET 51.4%
MIA 60.5% +9.1%
STL %
8.9%
7.9%
DET 8.1% +2.8%
MIA 5.3%
BLK %
11.0%
6.3%
DET 8.3% +3.0%
MIA 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.5%
48.3%
DET 46.4%
MIA 52.6% +6.2%
Rim FG%
54.7%
53.9%
DET 45.0%
MIA 55.6% +10.6%
Mid FG%
37.6%
36.9%
DET 38.9%
MIA 48.5% +9.6%
3P %
34.4%
35.7%
DET 35.7% +0.7%
MIA 35.0%
FT %
75.3%
76.2%
DET 74.2%
MIA 77.3% +3.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
34.4%
DET 44.4% +10.7%
MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %
47.3%
44.5%
DET 40.0% +1.2%
MIA 41.3%
3P Att. %
15.3%
21.1%
DET 15.6%
MIA 25.0% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9995
Possession Minutes25.427.6
Points102100
Rebounds4445
Assists1923
Steals85
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (4)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)34 (0)
Field Goals37-9038-80
At-the-Rim FG18-4015-27
Midrange FG14-3616-33
2-Point FG32-7631-60
3-Point FG5-147-20
Free Throws23-3117-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 26
44.6
17
45%
4
7
2
0
3
3
1
3
1-1
100%
8-16
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 212 · 24
42.7
24
60%
6
0
2
0
1
1
2
4
4-5
80%
10-15
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
40.3
6
30%
12
3
1
1
2
3
5
7
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 27
33.7
23
72%
2
5
1
0
1
3
0
2
7-7
100%
2-6
33%
4-7
57%
C · 6'11" 260 · 25
30.7
7
29%
10
0
0
3
0
2
5
5
1-3
33%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 30
30.8
17
47%
4
2
0
1
0
4
2
2
5-7
71%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 29
19.3
5
31%
1
1
2
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 200 · 31
13.7
1
17%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36
4.2
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 32
C · 7'0" 275 · 19
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
102
46%
44
19
8
5
10
0
17
27
23-31
74%
32-76
42%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.