for complete access.
All Games Saturday, January 31, 2004
FinalWin Prob.pScore
26
Heat
28%89
94
10
Hornets
72%96
70
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.98487.0
NOH
84.38380.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
100%
70
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHSmith Driving Dunk (9 PTS)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 194
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)94
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0NOHMISS Lynch 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 23' Jump Shot92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15NOHBrown Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24MIAButler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 292
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49MIAHaslem Dunk (20 PTS)92
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51MIALynch BLOCK (1 BLK)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHeat Rebound90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30NOHMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAJones Layup (24 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26MIAHeat Rebound85
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)85
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 3:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 3:59NOHMISS Mashburn 7' Jump Shot85
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 4:21MIAHaslem 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)85
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 4:37NOHArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)83
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 4:45MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 4:45MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 4:45MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 4:47NOHMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)81
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 4:59MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)80
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 5:12MIAJones Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)79
96.8%
67
3.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
95.7%
67
4.3%
Q4 - 5:14NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot78
95.2%
67
4.8%
Q4 - 5:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)78
94.1%
67
5.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAHeat Rebound75
89.3%
67
10.7%
Q4 - 5:59NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot75
88.3%
67
11.7%
Q4 - 6:17MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)75
81.1%
67
18.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
71.1%
67
28.9%
Q4 - 6:31NOHMISS Lynch 21' Jump Shot72
68.9%
67
31.1%
Q4 - 6:45NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
63.6%
67
36.4%
Q4 - 6:46NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 272
70.3%
67
29.7%
Q4 - 6:46NOHTraylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
66.9%
67
33.1%
Q4 - 6:49NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
70.4%
66
29.6%
Q4 - 6:50NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
75.1%
66
24.9%
Q4 - 7:02NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
66.4%
66
33.6%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot72
68.5%
66
31.5%
Q4 - 7:33NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)72
73.2%
66
26.8%
Q4 - 7:33NOHWest Layup (8 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)72
78.3%
65
21.7%
Q4 - 7:41MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#12)72
82.1%
63
17.9%
Q4 - 7:49NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 1 of 172
85.8%
63
14.2%
Q4 - 7:49NOHTraylor Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)72
86.3%
63
13.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIAOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)72
86.5%
61
13.5%
Q4 - 8:29NOHArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)69
79.5%
61
20.5%
Q4 - 8:34NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
86.6%
58
13.4%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot69
87.5%
58
12.5%
Q4 - 8:58NOHWest 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
89.4%
58
10.6%
Q4 - 9:09NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
89.5%
56
10.5%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot69
90.2%
56
9.8%
Q4 - 9:33NOHWest Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 8 AST)69
91.8%
56
8.2%
Q4 - 9:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
93.3%
54
6.7%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Odom 6' Hook Shot69
93.8%
54
6.2%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Alston Free Throw Technical69
94.8%
54
5.2%
Q4 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
93.5%
54
6.5%
Q4 - 10:08NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 269
93.3%
54
6.7%
Q4 - 10:08NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 1 of 269
92.5%
54
7.5%
Q4 - 10:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)69
91.9%
54
8.1%
Q4 - 10:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
90.3%
54
9.7%
Q4 - 10:40NOHMISS Lynch Layup67
89.6%
54
10.4%
Q4 - 10:45NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
87.9%
54
12.1%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade Layup67
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q4 - 11:07NOHTraylor Dunk (6 PTS)67
88.9%
54
11.1%
Q4 - 11:08NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
90.8%
52
9.2%
Q4 - 11:09NOHMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot67
92.0%
52
8.0%
Q4 - 11:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)67
90.8%
52
9.2%
Q4 - 11:47MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
89.0%
52
11.0%
Q4 - 11:48NOHMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
86.6%
52
13.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHTraylor 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Armstrong 7 AST)65
87.0%
52
13.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
89.3%
50
10.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
87.2%
50
12.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOHArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
87.5%
49
12.5%
Q3 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
87.4%
48
12.6%
Q3 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
86.9%
48
13.1%
Q3 - 1:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
85.2%
48
14.8%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Alston Layup61
83.3%
48
16.7%
Q3 - 1:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
85.2%
48
14.8%
Q3 - 1:09NOHMISS Traylor Layup61
84.4%
48
15.6%
Q3 - 1:14NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
82.5%
48
17.5%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMashburn BLOCK (2 BLK)61
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
83.5%
48
16.5%
Q3 - 2:02NOHMashburn Layup (18 PTS)61
83.1%
48
16.9%
Q3 - 2:22MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
85.5%
46
14.5%
Q3 - 2:45NOHAugmon Layup (8 PTS)58
80.6%
46
19.4%
Q3 - 2:47NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)58
83.1%
44
16.9%
Q3 - 2:48NOHMISS Augmon Tip Shot58
85.0%
44
15.0%
Q3 - 2:49NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
83.1%
44
16.9%
Q3 - 2:50NOHMISS Augmon Layup58
85.0%
44
15.0%
Q3 - 3:03MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)58
81.7%
44
18.3%
Q3 - 3:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
84.4%
44
15.6%
Q3 - 3:25NOHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
83.7%
44
16.3%
Q3 - 3:34NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
81.8%
44
18.2%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot58
82.6%
44
17.4%
Q3 - 3:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
84.5%
44
15.5%
Q3 - 3:59NOHMISS Traylor 8' Jump Shot58
83.7%
44
16.3%
Q3 - 4:16MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q3 - 4:16MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
79.1%
44
20.9%
Q3 - 4:32NOHLynch 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)56
77.4%
44
22.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T10)56
82.5%
41
17.5%
Q3 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
83.6%
41
16.4%
Q3 - 5:04NOHMISS Traylor Layup56
82.9%
41
17.1%
Q3 - 5:05NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
81.1%
41
18.9%
Q3 - 5:06NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
82.9%
41
17.1%
Q3 - 5:12MIAAugmon STEAL (1 STL)56
81.1%
41
18.9%
Q3 - 5:31NOHTraylor Foul Turnover (P1.T9)56
83.7%
41
16.3%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
81.1%
41
18.9%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
80.5%
41
19.5%
Q3 - 6:04NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P2.T8)54
76.7%
41
23.3%
Q3 - 6:10NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q3 - 6:11NOHMISS Mashburn Layup54
75.8%
41
24.2%
Q3 - 6:23NOHArmstrong Free Throw Clear Path (4 PTS)54
73.6%
41
26.4%
Q3 - 6:24MIAArmstrong STEAL (2 STL)54
76.6%
40
23.4%
Q3 - 6:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
79.6%
40
20.4%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Jones Layup54
77.6%
40
22.4%
Q3 - 7:04MIAHeat Rebound54
78.0%
40
22.0%
Q3 - 7:05NOHMISS Magloire Dunk54
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q3 - 7:15MIAOdom 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
74.9%
40
25.1%
Q3 - 7:39NOHAugmon Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)52
72.4%
40
27.6%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)52
68.7%
40
31.3%
Q3 - 8:11NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
61.1%
40
38.9%
Q3 - 8:11NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)49
61.6%
39
38.4%
Q3 - 8:17NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
64.2%
38
35.8%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot49
65.4%
38
34.6%
Q3 - 8:36NOHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
68.1%
38
31.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)49
70.9%
36
29.1%
Q3 - 9:16NOHMashburn 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST)46
62.5%
36
37.5%
Q3 - 9:34MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)46
65.9%
34
34.1%
Q3 - 9:55NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)46
69.3%
34
30.7%
Q3 - 10:06MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)46
63.9%
34
36.1%
Q3 - 10:13NOHAugmon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)44
61.0%
34
39.0%
Q3 - 10:29MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
57.2%
34
42.8%
Q3 - 10:29MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
56.4%
34
43.6%
Q3 - 10:50NOHAugmon Layup (6 PTS) (Magloire 2 AST)42
54.2%
34
45.8%
Q3 - 11:02NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
55.8%
32
44.2%
Q3 - 11:03NOHMISS Mashburn 22' Jump Shot42
58.2%
32
41.8%
Q3 - 11:16NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
55.8%
32
44.2%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 242
56.3%
32
43.7%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
58.7%
32
41.3%
Q3 - 11:32NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)41
56.0%
32
44.0%
Q3 - 11:34NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
52.4%
32
47.6%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMagloire BLOCK (3 BLK)41
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical41
56.1%
32
43.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
56.1%
32
43.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
56.1%
32
43.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 62' 3PT Jump Shot41
53.6%
32
46.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
54.0%
32
46.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHMISS Mashburn 6' Jump Shot41
53.3%
32
46.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJones Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)41
51.8%
32
48.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
47.5%
32
52.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHMISS Augmon 10' Jump Bank Shot39
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
45.2%
32
54.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Odom 17' Jump Shot39
45.9%
32
54.1%
Q2 - 1:12NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
46.5%
32
53.5%
Q2 - 1:12NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
47.0%
31
53.0%
Q2 - 1:45MIAButler Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)39
51.3%
30
48.7%
Q2 - 1:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
46.6%
30
53.4%
Q2 - 1:55NOHMISS Augmon 16' Jump Shot37
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q2 - 1:57NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
44.9%
30
55.1%
Q2 - 1:58NOHMISS Mashburn Layup37
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q2 - 2:14NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q2 - 2:34NOHArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)37
46.2%
30
53.8%
Q2 - 2:40NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot37
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q2 - 2:59NOHMashburn Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)37
55.6%
27
44.4%
Q2 - 3:05NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Odom 23' Jump Shot37
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 3:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
53.9%
27
46.1%
Q2 - 3:13MIABrown BLOCK (4 BLK)37
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 3:34NOHBrown Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
54.0%
27
46.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)37
56.7%
25
43.3%
Q2 - 4:10MIAHeat Rebound35
52.2%
25
47.8%
Q2 - 4:11NOHMISS Mashburn Layup35
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q2 - 4:19NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q2 - 4:22NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot35
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q2 - 4:40MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)35
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q2 - 4:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Wade Layup33
44.5%
25
55.5%
Q2 - 5:16NOHSmith 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)33
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q2 - 5:34NOHHORNETS Rebound33
48.4%
23
51.6%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMashburn BLOCK (1 BLK)33
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q2 - 5:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
51.5%
23
48.5%
Q2 - 5:41NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot33
50.6%
23
49.4%
Q2 - 6:00NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
48.5%
23
51.5%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)33
48.3%
23
51.7%
Q2 - 6:29NOHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
50.7%
23
49.3%
Q2 - 6:53NOHJump Ball Brown vs. Haslem: Tip to Brown33
52.9%
21
47.1%
Q2 - 6:55MIABrown BLOCK (3 BLK)33
53.9%
21
46.1%
Q2 - 7:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
54.3%
21
45.7%
Q2 - 7:07NOHMISS Armstrong 13' Jump Shot33
53.5%
21
46.5%
Q2 - 7:25NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Odom 7' Fadeaway Jumper33
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHeat Rebound33
54.5%
21
45.5%
Q2 - 7:45NOHMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot33
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q2 - 7:50NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
51.7%
21
48.3%
Q2 - 7:52MIABrown BLOCK (2 BLK)33
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q2 - 8:15NOHSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)33
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q2 - 8:34MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)33
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q2 - 8:47MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
56.4%
18
43.6%
Q2 - 8:49NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
55.5%
18
44.5%
Q2 - 9:00NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)31
53.5%
18
46.5%
Q2 - 9:02NOHMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
54.2%
18
45.8%
Q2 - 9:19MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
52.3%
18
47.7%
Q2 - 9:19MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q2 - 9:38NOHTraylor Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)29
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q2 - 9:51NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
52.4%
16
47.6%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
53.2%
16
46.8%
Q2 - 10:25NOHSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T2)29
54.7%
16
45.3%
Q2 - 10:36MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)29
51.9%
16
48.1%
Q2 - 10:46MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
49.7%
16
50.3%
Q2 - 10:47NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q2 - 11:03MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)27
45.8%
16
54.2%
Q2 - 11:31NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q2 - 11:31NOHSmith Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q2 - 11:33NOHMISS Traylor Layup24
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q2 - 11:40NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot24
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Traylor 20' Jump Shot24
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIALynch STEAL (1 STL)24
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
44.9%
14
55.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Lynch 19' Jump Shot24
44.4%
14
55.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 1:24NOHWest Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)24
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 1:45NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
47.6%
12
52.4%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 224
47.9%
12
52.1%
Q1 - 1:46MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
49.5%
12
50.5%
Q1 - 1:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
47.1%
12
52.9%
Q1 - 1:59NOHMISS West Layup23
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 2:01NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
44.8%
12
55.2%
Q1 - 2:02NOHMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot23
46.3%
12
53.7%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)23
44.9%
12
55.1%
Q1 - 2:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot20
38.7%
12
61.3%
Q1 - 2:49MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 2:51NOHMISS Armstrong Layup20
39.5%
12
60.5%
Q1 - 3:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 3:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)17
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 3:19MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 3:21NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot17
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 3:36MIAZhi-zhi Layup (2 PTS)17
30.9%
12
69.1%
Q1 - 3:37MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)15
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 3:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 3:57NOHMISS Mashburn 13' Fadeaway Jumper15
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 4:17MIAAllen 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)15
26.6%
12
73.4%
Q1 - 4:43NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 4:43NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 4:44NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 4:45NOHMISS Mashburn 21' Jump Shot13
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)13
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 5:08NOHArmstrong Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 5:22MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 5:41NOHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
28.0%
10
72.0%
Q1 - 6:01MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 6:09NOHMISS Magloire Layup11
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade Tip Shot (4 PTS)11
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Odom Layup9
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 6:36MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)9
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 6:50NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 6:50NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
23.1%
7
76.9%
Q1 - 7:09MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 7:30NOHAugmon Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)8
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 7:33NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot8
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 7:47MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 7:49NOHMISS Mashburn 19' Jump Shot8
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 8:06MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)8
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 8:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 8:19NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 8:30NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot6
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 8:42NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 8:42NOHMISS Brown Tip Shot6
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 8:43NOHMISS Magloire Layup6
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 8:44NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 8:46NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Fadeaway Jumper6
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 9:05MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)6
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 9:29NOHMashburn 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot4
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 9:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 9:53NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot4
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 10:14MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 10:35NOHAugmon Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)2
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 10:43MIAWade Layup (2 PTS)2
23.3%
0
76.7%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 10:58NOHMISS Magloire 12' Jump Shot0
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 11:37MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 11:38NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Haslem: Tip to Armstrong0
20.8%
0
79.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.7%
NOH
0.79 39.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
25
44%
NOH
14
29
48%
Midrange
MIA
12
29
41%
NOH
8
34
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
16
63%
94%
NOH
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
18
23
78%
NOH
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2492%12.0 / 13
U. Haslem2077%10.0 / 13
L. Odom1250%6.0 / 12
C. Butler1139%5.5 / 14
D. Wade1045%5.0 / 11
R. Alston867%4.0 / 6
M. Allen660%3.0 / 5
W. Zhi-zhi325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn1839%9.0 / 23
D. Armstrong935%4.5 / 13
S. Smith956%4.5 / 8
R. Traylor938%4.5 / 12
D. West956%4.5 / 8
S. Augmon850%4.0 / 8
G. Lynch330%1.5 / 5
T. Brown375%1.5 / 2
P. Brown217%1.0 / 6
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+13
-12
85
NOH
72
+16
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.7%
NOH
0.79 39.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.8
MIA 111.9
NOH 84.3 +27.6
Pace
90.6
91.4
MIA 87.0 +6.6
NOH 80.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
MIA 16.6 +1.4
NOH 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.0%
MIA 54.3% +18.9%
NOH 35.4%
TO %
14.4%
15.3%
MIA 14.9%
NOH 11.2% +3.7%
ORB %
27.5%
30.6%
MIA 31.6% +0.2%
NOH 31.4%
FTrt
29.8
29.3
MIA 32.9 +8.8
NOH 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
61.9%
MIA 69.7% +15.9%
NOH 53.8%
STL %
7.9%
9.4%
MIA 4.8%
NOH 4.8%
BLK %
6.3%
6.7%
MIA 11.1%
NOH 18.5% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.1%
MIA 54.7% +15.4%
NOH 39.3%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.9%
MIA 44.0%
NOH 48.3% +4.3%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.9%
MIA 41.4% +17.9%
NOH 23.5%
3P %
35.7%
31.9%
MIA 62.5% +37.5%
NOH 25.0%
FT %
76.2%
75.1%
MIA 78.3% +4.6%
NOH 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
32.8%
MIA 35.7%
NOH 36.7% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
42.0%
MIA 41.4% +1.6%
NOH 43.0%
3P Att. %
21.1%
25.2%
MIA 22.9% +2.6%
NOH 20.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8483
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points9470
Rebounds4742
Assists2314
Steals44
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)16 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (6)26 (1)
Field Goals33-7026-79
At-the-Rim FG11-2514-29
Midrange FG12-298-34
2-Point FG23-5422-63
3-Point FG10-164-16
Free Throws18-2314-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
26 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
38.3
24
92%
5
7
0
2
3
3
1
4
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
5-7
71%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
37.8
12
50%
6
3
1
2
1
3
0
6
4-4
100%
1-7
14%
2-3
67%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
37.0
11
39%
6
1
0
1
3
4
1
5
0-0
-
4-12
33%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
C · 6'8" 235 · 24
35.4
20
77%
9
2
0
0
2
3
5
4
4-4
100%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
28.8
10
45%
5
3
3
0
2
2
2
3
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
26.4
8
67%
4
6
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
24.0
6
60%
7
1
0
2
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
10.7
3
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
55%
47
23
4
7
12
0
12
35
18-23
78%
23-54
43%
10-16
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.