FinalWin Prob.pScore
2246%93
93
2854%94
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.78488.0
CLE logo CLE
109.38682.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound93
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIANewble BLOCK (2 BLK)93
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0CLEWagner Running Layup (10 PTS) (Ollie 6 AST)93
33.9%
94
66.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0CLEOllie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
60.5%
92
39.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEMISS Wagner 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
77.2%
92
22.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAAllen 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)93
55.8%
92
44.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0CLEJames Foul Turnover (P1.T11)91
41.2%
92
58.8%
Q4 - 1:20CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
27.3%
92
72.7%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot91
31.5%
92
68.5%
Q4 - 1:49CLEJump Ball Williams vs. Odom: Tip to Wade91
42.3%
92
57.7%
Q4 - 1:56CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)91
30.3%
92
69.7%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot91
33.7%
92
66.3%
Q4 - 2:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
45.0%
92
55.0%
Q4 - 2:13CLEMISS Wagner 4' Running Jump Shot91
40.1%
92
59.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)91
29.3%
92
70.7%
Q4 - 3:00CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)88
18.1%
92
81.9%
Q4 - 3:00CLEJames 1' Slam Dunk (26 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)88
25.4%
91
74.6%
Q4 - 3:19MIAAllen 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)88
30.4%
89
69.6%
Q4 - 3:38CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
26.8%
89
73.2%
Q4 - 3:38CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 286
28.3%
88
71.7%
Q4 - 3:38CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
26.4%
88
73.6%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Odom 6' Running Hook Shot86
28.7%
88
71.3%
Q4 - 3:59CLEWagner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ollie 5 AST)86
34.2%
88
65.8%
Q4 - 4:30CLEOllie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
51.9%
85
48.1%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot86
55.0%
85
45.0%
Q4 - 4:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
61.8%
85
38.2%
Q4 - 4:40CLEMISS Ilgauskas 15' Turnaround Jump Shot86
58.9%
85
41.1%
Q4 - 4:50CLECAVALIERS Rebound86
51.9%
85
48.1%
Q4 - 4:51CLEMISS Ollie 19' Jump Shot86
58.9%
85
41.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)86
51.2%
85
48.8%
Q4 - 5:27CLEJames 2' Layup (23 PTS) (Ollie 4 AST)86
59.9%
85
40.1%
Q4 - 5:35CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
67.3%
83
32.7%
Q4 - 5:37CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot86
72.4%
83
27.6%
Q4 - 5:48CLECAVALIERS Rebound86
67.3%
83
32.7%
Q4 - 5:50CLEMISS James 1' Layup86
72.5%
83
27.5%
Q4 - 6:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
64.8%
83
35.2%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 285
63.2%
83
36.8%
Q4 - 6:30CLEBattie 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)85
66.0%
83
34.0%
Q4 - 6:49MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
71.6%
81
28.4%
Q4 - 6:49MIAOdom 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS)85
71.6%
81
28.4%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot83
60.4%
81
39.6%
Q4 - 7:12CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)83
64.5%
81
35.5%
Q4 - 7:12CLEJames 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ollie 3 AST)83
70.5%
80
29.5%
Q4 - 7:15CLEOllie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
75.3%
78
24.7%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot83
77.0%
78
23.0%
Q4 - 7:44CLEIlgauskas 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)83
80.7%
78
19.3%
Q4 - 8:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)83
82.3%
76
17.7%
Q4 - 8:19CLEIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)83
85.8%
76
14.2%
Q4 - 8:22CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
82.4%
76
17.6%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot83
83.5%
76
16.5%
Q4 - 8:46CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
85.9%
76
14.1%
Q4 - 8:46CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (28 PTS)83
85.9%
76
14.1%
Q4 - 8:48CLEMISS James 2' Running Layup83
90.4%
74
9.6%
Q4 - 8:59CLECAVALIERS Rebound83
88.7%
74
11.3%
Q4 - 9:00CLEMISS Wagner 3' Running Layup83
90.4%
74
9.6%
Q4 - 9:03CLECAVALIERS Rebound83
87.2%
74
12.8%
Q4 - 9:03CLEMISS James 5' Jump Shot83
89.0%
74
11.0%
Q4 - 9:23MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)83
87.2%
74
12.8%
Q4 - 9:28MIAHeat Rebound81
84.5%
74
15.5%
Q4 - 9:30MIADiop BLOCK (2 BLK)81
82.0%
74
18.0%
Q4 - 9:50CLEJames Reverse Layup (18 PTS)81
84.5%
74
15.5%
Q4 - 9:58CLEBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
87.3%
72
12.7%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup81
88.1%
72
11.9%
Q4 - 10:24CLEWagner 6' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)81
88.5%
72
11.5%
Q4 - 10:44MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 6 AST)81
90.5%
70
9.5%
Q4 - 11:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q4 - 11:04CLEMISS Wagner 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
86.5%
70
13.5%
Q4 - 11:22CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
84.6%
70
15.4%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Jump Shot79
85.5%
70
14.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
87.4%
70
12.6%
Q4 - 11:42CLEMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot79
86.6%
70
13.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
84.7%
70
15.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound79
87.4%
70
12.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot79
85.6%
70
14.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0CLEWagner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)79
86.1%
70
13.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)79
83.5%
70
16.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)77
80.5%
70
19.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 277
81.2%
69
18.8%
Q3 - 1:02MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)77
79.1%
69
20.9%
Q3 - 1:23CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
72.1%
69
27.9%
Q3 - 1:23CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
72.9%
68
27.1%
Q3 - 1:27CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
75.7%
67
24.3%
Q3 - 1:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
79.3%
67
20.7%
Q3 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot74
76.9%
67
23.1%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 6' Jump Shot74
76.9%
67
23.1%
Q3 - 1:45CLEOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
79.3%
67
20.7%
Q3 - 1:45CLEOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
79.8%
66
20.2%
Q3 - 1:45CLEOllie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
82.2%
65
17.8%
Q3 - 1:47CLEMISS Wagner 9' Jump Shot74
84.2%
65
15.8%
Q3 - 2:08MIAWade 1' Dunk (15 PTS)74
80.6%
65
19.4%
Q3 - 2:12CLEWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)72
77.8%
65
22.2%
Q3 - 2:23CLEMcInnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
74.1%
65
25.9%
Q3 - 2:24CLEMISS James 4' Running Jump Shot72
76.7%
65
23.3%
Q3 - 2:48MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)72
74.2%
65
25.8%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
70.8%
65
29.2%
Q3 - 2:54CLEMISS McInnis 1' Layup70
69.5%
65
30.5%
Q3 - 3:04MIAWade 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)70
65.9%
65
34.1%
Q3 - 3:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
62.0%
65
38.0%
Q3 - 3:12CLEMISS McInnis 4' Running Jump Shot68
60.6%
65
39.4%
Q3 - 3:35MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
57.4%
65
42.6%
Q3 - 3:35MIAOdom 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)68
57.4%
65
42.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot66
49.9%
65
50.1%
Q3 - 4:03CLEIlgauskas 5' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)66
52.9%
65
47.1%
Q3 - 4:27CLECAVALIERS Rebound66
56.6%
63
43.4%
Q3 - 4:28CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 266
60.8%
63
39.2%
Q3 - 4:28CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 266
58.1%
63
41.9%
Q3 - 4:44MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)66
56.6%
63
43.4%
Q3 - 4:44MIAOdom 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)65
52.4%
63
47.6%
Q3 - 5:03CLEJames 1' Running Layup (14 PTS)63
48.4%
63
51.6%
Q3 - 5:32MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)63
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 5:57CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
48.4%
61
51.6%
Q3 - 5:57CLEIlgauskas 2' Tip Shot (23 PTS)61
48.4%
61
51.6%
Q3 - 6:01CLEMISS McInnis 4' Running Jump Shot61
54.8%
59
45.2%
Q3 - 6:16MIAButler Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)61
51.9%
59
48.1%
Q3 - 6:21CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)59
48.2%
59
51.8%
Q3 - 6:25CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
43.9%
59
56.1%
Q3 - 6:27CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot59
46.9%
59
53.1%
Q3 - 6:43MIAOdom 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS)59
43.9%
59
56.1%
Q3 - 6:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
40.3%
59
59.7%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot57
37.4%
59
62.6%
Q3 - 7:09CLEIlgauskas Slam Dunk (21 PTS) (McInnis 8 AST)57
40.2%
59
59.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)57
43.5%
57
56.5%
Q3 - 7:38MIAHeat Rebound55
40.2%
57
59.8%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot55
37.3%
57
62.7%
Q3 - 7:54CLEIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)55
40.2%
57
59.8%
Q3 - 8:05MIAButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)55
36.4%
57
63.6%
Q3 - 8:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
40.5%
57
59.5%
Q3 - 8:17CLEMISS James 4' Jump Shot55
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 8:22CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
36.4%
57
63.6%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot55
37.6%
57
62.4%
Q3 - 8:47CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)55
40.5%
57
59.5%
Q3 - 8:47CLEIlgauskas 2' Layup (18 PTS) (James 3 AST)55
44.2%
56
55.8%
Q3 - 9:05MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)55
47.3%
54
52.7%
Q3 - 9:16CLEMcInnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
43.8%
54
56.2%
Q3 - 9:16CLEMcInnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
44.4%
53
55.6%
Q3 - 9:27CLENewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
47.3%
52
52.7%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot53
48.5%
52
51.5%
Q3 - 9:51CLEIlgauskas 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)53
51.1%
52
48.9%
Q3 - 10:12MIAButler 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)53
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q3 - 10:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
51.1%
50
48.9%
Q3 - 10:22CLEMISS James 2' Layup51
49.9%
50
50.1%
Q3 - 10:26CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
47.1%
50
52.9%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
48.3%
50
51.7%
Q3 - 10:41MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
51.0%
50
49.0%
Q3 - 10:43CLEMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot51
49.8%
50
50.2%
Q3 - 11:01MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q3 - 11:31CLEWilliams 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McInnis 7 AST)49
44.0%
50
56.0%
Q3 - 11:40CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
47.2%
48
52.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot49
48.3%
48
51.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE49
50.9%
48
49.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound49
47.2%
48
52.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEMISS McInnis 52' 3PT Jump Shot49
49.8%
48
50.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
47.2%
48
52.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
50.1%
48
49.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
49.4%
48
50.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
47.8%
48
52.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
47.0%
48
53.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
46.9%
48
53.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0CLEMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot48
46.1%
48
53.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
44.5%
48
55.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q2 - 1:07CLEJames 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q2 - 1:28MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)46
44.9%
46
55.1%
Q2 - 1:31MIAHeat Rebound44
40.2%
46
59.8%
Q2 - 1:31MIAJames BLOCK (1 BLK)44
39.1%
46
60.9%
Q2 - 1:43CLEMcInnis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)44
40.2%
46
59.8%
Q2 - 1:57MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
38.6%
46
61.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 243
37.8%
46
62.2%
Q2 - 2:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
38.0%
46
62.0%
Q2 - 2:16CLEMISS Wagner Free Throw 2 of 243
37.6%
46
62.4%
Q2 - 2:16CLEWagner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
35.5%
46
64.5%
Q2 - 2:30MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)43
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 2:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q2 - 2:33CLEMISS Newble 19' Jump Shot43
40.1%
45
59.9%
Q2 - 2:40CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 2:42CLEMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot43
40.1%
45
59.9%
Q2 - 2:47CLEMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup43
39.0%
45
61.0%
Q2 - 3:01CLEIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)43
41.4%
45
58.6%
Q2 - 3:13MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)43
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 3:40CLENewble 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McInnis 6 AST)40
33.0%
45
67.0%
Q2 - 3:51CLEMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
35.3%
43
64.7%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 240
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 240
37.5%
43
62.5%
Q2 - 4:15CLEIlgauskas Layup (14 PTS) (McInnis 5 AST)40
38.5%
43
61.5%
Q2 - 4:28MIAButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T7)40
41.2%
41
58.8%
Q2 - 4:46CLEDiop Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)40
44.1%
41
55.9%
Q2 - 5:02MIAZhi-zhi 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)40
41.2%
41
58.8%
Q2 - 5:12MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
38.7%
41
61.3%
Q2 - 5:13CLEMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot38
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
35.2%
41
64.8%
Q2 - 5:49CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 6:11MIAZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
38.6%
39
61.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
34.0%
39
66.0%
Q2 - 6:22CLEMISS James 13' Jump Shot34
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 6:24CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
31.1%
39
68.9%
Q2 - 6:27CLEMISS Ollie 7' Jump Shot34
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 6:31MIADiop STEAL (1 STL)34
31.1%
39
68.9%
Q2 - 6:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
34.0%
39
66.0%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot34
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q2 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
34.0%
39
66.0%
Q2 - 6:55CLEMISS Wagner 10' Jump Shot34
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 7:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 7:18MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS)34
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 15' Running Jump Shot32
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 7:33MIAHeat Rebound32
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot32
28.1%
39
71.9%
Q2 - 7:49CLEJames 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)32
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:55MIAJames STEAL (2 STL)32
31.8%
37
68.2%
Q2 - 8:16CLEWagner 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
34.5%
37
65.5%
Q2 - 8:36CLEWagner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36.5%
35
63.5%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q2 - 8:50CLEBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
39.3%
35
60.7%
Q2 - 8:50CLEBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 9:11MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)32
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 9:16MIAHeat Rebound30
39.3%
33
60.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIADiop BLOCK (1 BLK)30
37.5%
33
62.5%
Q2 - 9:24MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
39.3%
33
60.7%
Q2 - 9:28CLEMISS Battie 17' Turnaround Jump Shot30
38.5%
33
61.5%
Q2 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
36.6%
33
63.4%
Q2 - 9:48MIAWade 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)29
34.3%
33
65.7%
Q2 - 9:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 9:57CLEMISS Wagner 4' Running Jump Shot27
31.6%
33
68.4%
Q2 - 10:20MIAOdom Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)27
30.1%
33
69.9%
Q2 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 10:27CLEMISS McInnis 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
27.6%
33
72.4%
Q2 - 10:51MIAHaslem 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
26.1%
33
73.9%
Q2 - 11:09MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 11:11CLEMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot23
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q2 - 11:25MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 11:25MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
22.4%
33
77.6%
Q2 - 11:34MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Odom 1' Running Layup21
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE21
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
18.5%
32
81.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)19
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 119
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0CLEIlgauskas Driving Layup (12 PTS) (James 2 AST)19
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
23.2%
29
76.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot19
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q1 - 1:03CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q1 - 1:03CLEWilliams 1' Layup (7 PTS)19
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q1 - 1:09CLEMISS James 4' Running Hook Shot19
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q1 - 1:13CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 1:15MIAWilliams BLOCK (2 BLK)19
27.4%
27
72.6%
Q1 - 1:35CLEJames Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q1 - 2:00MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)19
30.8%
25
69.2%
Q1 - 2:22CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q1 - 2:22CLEWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (McInnis 4 AST)16
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 2:24CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Odom Layup16
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q1 - 2:45CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 2:45CLEIlgauskas Layup (10 PTS)16
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 2:48CLEMISS Newble 4' Running Jump Shot16
36.4%
20
63.6%
Q1 - 3:05CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot16
35.8%
20
64.2%
Q1 - 3:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 3:20CLEMISS James 7' Turnaround Jump Shot16
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q1 - 3:31CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot16
35.8%
20
64.2%
Q1 - 4:00CLEIlgauskas 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)16
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 4:25MIAOdom 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 4:44CLENewble 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)14
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 4:48CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
39.2%
16
60.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)14
40.0%
16
60.0%
Q1 - 5:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.7%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 5:04CLEMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper14
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIAButler 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)14
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 5:44CLEIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)12
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 5:56CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
39.4%
14
60.6%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 212
39.7%
14
60.3%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 212
41.1%
14
58.9%
Q1 - 6:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.6%
14
58.4%
Q1 - 6:06CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot12
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 6:08CLECAVALIERS Rebound12
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 6:12CLEMISS McInnis 16' Running Jump Shot12
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 6:28MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 6:48MIAHeat Rebound9
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 6:50CLEMISS Newble 18' Jump Shot9
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 7:09MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 7:33CLEJames 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 7:48MIAIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)9
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 8:06CLENewble 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
40.2%
12
59.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
41.8%
10
58.2%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIAHeat Rebound7
40.2%
10
59.8%
Q1 - 8:24MIANewble BLOCK (1 BLK)7
38.8%
10
61.2%
Q1 - 8:40CLENewble Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
40.2%
10
59.8%
Q1 - 8:40CLENewble Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 8:54MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)7
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 9:24CLEMcInnis Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)4
38.3%
8
61.7%
Q1 - 9:40MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)4
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 9:58CLEWilliams 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 10:16CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 10:18MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot2
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 10:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 10:25CLEMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot2
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 10:41MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)2
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 11:02CLEIlgauskas 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Newble 2 AST)0
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 11:07CLEMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 11:10MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)0
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 11:19CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 11:29MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 11:43CLEIlgauskas 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Newble 1 AST)0
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Allen: Tip to McInnis0
43.5%
0
56.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
CLE
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
31
52%
CLE
25
39
64%
Midrange
MIA
14
35
40%
CLE
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
10
70%
105%
CLE
1
1.5
7
14%
21%
Free Throws
MIA
12
20
60%
CLE
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1680%8.0 / 10
L. Odom1547%7.5 / 16
D. Wade1550%7.5 / 15
M. Allen1450%7.0 / 14
U. Haslem1161%5.5 / 9
C. Butler1042%5.0 / 12
R. Alston770%3.5 / 5
W. Zhi-zhi542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Ilgauskas3079%15.0 / 19
L. James2744%13.5 / 31
D. Wagner1042%5.0 / 12
E. Williams950%4.5 / 9
I. Newble857%4.0 / 7
J. McInnis425%2.0 / 8
T. Battie450%2.0 / 4
K. Ollie233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+16
-12
88
CLE
75
+18
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
CLE
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.3
MIA 110.7 +1.4
CLE 109.3
Pace
90.6
92.8
MIA 88.0 +5.7
CLE 82.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.8
MIA 16.4 +1.1
CLE 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.1%
MIA 53.3% +5.2%
CLE 48.1%
TO %
14.4%
15.2%
MIA 12.4%
CLE 11.0% +1.4%
ORB %
27.5%
31.1%
MIA 24.2%
CLE 30.6% +6.4%
FTrt
29.8
30.1
MIA 26.3
CLE 32.1 +5.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
61.9%
MIA 62.2%
CLE 64.9% +2.7%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
MIA 7.1% +1.3%
CLE 5.8%
BLK %
6.3%
9.6%
MIA 4.2%
CLE 12.1% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
47.5%
MIA 52.2% +2.7%
CLE 49.5%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.3%
MIA 51.6%
CLE 64.1% +12.5%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.5%
MIA 40.0% +5.6%
CLE 34.4%
3P %
35.7%
31.4%
MIA 70.0% +55.7%
CLE 14.3%
FT %
76.2%
75.3%
MIA 60.0%
CLE 76.0% +16.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
38.5%
MIA 40.8%
CLE 50.0% +9.2%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
49.8%
MIA 46.1%
CLE 41.0% +5.0%
3P Att. %
21.1%
11.6%
MIA 13.2% +4.2%
CLE 9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points9394
Rebounds3336
Assists2324
Steals65
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (8)11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)25 (0)
Field Goals37-7637-78
At-the-Rim FG16-3125-39
Midrange FG14-3511-32
2-Point FG30-6636-71
3-Point FG7-101-7
Free Throws12-2019-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
40.4
10
42%
1
6
1
0
5
5
0
1
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
38.6
7
70%
4
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
36.0
16
80%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
4-5
80%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
35.6
15
47%
9
6
1
0
2
5
4
5
3-5
60%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 26
27.3
14
50%
2
0
1
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
24.5
15
50%
3
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3-5
60%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
19.0
11
61%
10
0
0
1
2
1
2
8
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
18.6
5
42%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
#44 · F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
33
23
6
3
12
0
8
25
12-20
60%
30-66
45%
7-10
70%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.