FinalWin Prob.pScore
259%96
92
1241%93
93
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
97.99498.9
MIL logo MIL
103.39085.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASSpurs Rebound92
8.0%
93
92.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)92
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILRedd Layup (21 PTS)92
47.3%
93
52.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T16)92
63.5%
91
36.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
82.9%
91
17.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 292
85.0%
90
15.0%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)92
78.2%
90
21.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)89
49.1%
90
50.9%
Q4 - 1:16MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)89
34.4%
90
65.6%
Q4 - 1:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 289
36.5%
90
63.5%
Q4 - 1:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 289
44.3%
90
55.7%
Q4 - 1:18MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)89
50.4%
90
49.6%
Q4 - 1:37MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)89
63.0%
88
37.0%
Q4 - 1:39SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot89
67.0%
88
33.0%
Q4 - 1:59SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
74.4%
88
25.6%
Q4 - 2:01MILMISS Kukoc Layup89
72.2%
88
27.8%
Q4 - 2:10SASSkinner STEAL (1 STL)89
62.4%
88
37.6%
Q4 - 2:30MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)89
76.7%
88
23.3%
Q4 - 2:46MILThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)89
62.2%
88
37.8%
Q4 - 2:48MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
72.9%
88
27.1%
Q4 - 2:55MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
61.3%
88
38.7%
Q4 - 2:56SASMISS Parker Layup89
65.4%
88
34.6%
Q4 - 3:11SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
74.3%
88
25.7%
Q4 - 3:13MILMISS Skinner Layup89
70.8%
88
29.2%
Q4 - 3:33SASParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)89
62.5%
88
37.5%
Q4 - 3:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
44.6%
88
55.4%
Q4 - 3:47MILMISS Skinner 13' Jump Shot86
41.7%
88
58.3%
Q4 - 4:07SASDuncan Driving Layup (22 PTS)86
34.8%
88
65.2%
Q4 - 4:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
27.0%
88
73.0%
Q4 - 4:25SASMISS Horry 13' Jump Shot84
21.9%
88
78.1%
Q4 - 4:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
26.8%
88
73.2%
Q4 - 4:47MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
24.5%
88
75.5%
Q4 - 5:09MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
23.8%
88
76.2%
Q4 - 5:10SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
25.8%
88
74.2%
Q4 - 5:34MILRedd Layup (17 PTS) (Kukoc 5 AST)84
30.5%
88
69.5%
Q4 - 5:48SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)84
37.7%
86
62.3%
Q4 - 5:48SASParker Layup (22 PTS)83
30.2%
86
69.8%
Q4 - 6:06MILMason Foul Turnover (P1.T11)81
27.5%
86
72.5%
Q4 - 6:23SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 181
21.8%
86
78.2%
Q4 - 6:23MILThomas Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)81
21.0%
86
79.0%
Q4 - 6:23SASDuncan Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)81
26.5%
85
73.5%
Q4 - 6:32MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
21.7%
85
78.3%
Q4 - 6:32MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
22.8%
84
77.2%
Q4 - 6:43MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
26.4%
83
73.6%
Q4 - 6:45MILMISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot79
31.3%
83
68.7%
Q4 - 6:58SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)79
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q4 - 6:58SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
24.9%
83
75.1%
Q4 - 7:12SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
25.0%
83
75.0%
Q4 - 7:14MILMISS Mason 10' Jump Shot77
23.2%
83
76.8%
Q4 - 7:26SASThomas STEAL (2 STL)77
19.5%
83
80.5%
Q4 - 7:49MILMason Dunk (12 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)77
24.8%
83
75.2%
Q4 - 7:53SASMason STEAL (1 STL)77
29.5%
81
70.5%
Q4 - 8:04SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
37.8%
81
62.2%
Q4 - 8:06MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
36.0%
81
64.0%
Q4 - 8:09MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
31.9%
81
68.1%
Q4 - 8:11MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
36.0%
81
64.0%
Q4 - 8:28SASDuncan Dunk (18 PTS)77
31.9%
81
68.1%
Q4 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
26.7%
81
73.3%
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Duncan Layup75
23.3%
81
76.7%
Q4 - 8:44MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
26.7%
81
73.3%
Q4 - 8:44MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
27.9%
80
72.1%
Q4 - 9:06SASGinobili Dunk (9 PTS) (Ward 3 AST)75
33.8%
79
66.2%
Q4 - 9:09SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
28.9%
79
71.1%
Q4 - 9:11MILMISS Kukoc Layup73
27.3%
79
72.7%
Q4 - 9:28SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
23.9%
79
76.1%
Q4 - 9:28SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
23.1%
79
76.9%
Q4 - 9:28SASSpurs Rebound71
20.0%
79
80.0%
Q4 - 9:29SASMISS Ward 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
17.3%
79
82.7%
Q4 - 9:33MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
20.0%
79
80.0%
Q4 - 9:38SASWard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
16.2%
79
83.8%
Q4 - 9:54MILMason 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)68
10.8%
79
89.2%
Q4 - 10:01MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q4 - 10:03SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q4 - 10:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q4 - 10:16MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot68
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q4 - 10:31MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q4 - 10:32SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 268
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q4 - 10:32SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 268
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q4 - 10:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)68
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q4 - 10:34SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q4 - 10:34SASMISS Nesterovic Layup68
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q4 - 10:35SASMISS Ward Layup68
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q4 - 10:46SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q4 - 10:57SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q4 - 10:59MILMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot68
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q4 - 11:03MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
15.7%
77
84.3%
Q4 - 11:05SASGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)68
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 11:29MILRedd 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)68
18.9%
77
81.1%
Q4 - 11:46SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
22.3%
75
77.7%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 267
20.7%
75
79.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL67
22.4%
75
77.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASBrown 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ward 2 AST)67
18.7%
75
81.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILFord Foul Turnover (P2.T9)65
17.6%
75
82.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
14.8%
75
85.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 264
14.3%
75
85.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0MILRedd Running Layup (13 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)64
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASThomas STEAL (1 STL)64
17.5%
73
82.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)64
20.6%
73
79.4%
Q3 - 1:02MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
29.9%
70
70.1%
Q3 - 1:05SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot64
31.2%
70
68.8%
Q3 - 1:20MILThomas 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Skinner 2 AST)64
34.3%
70
65.7%
Q3 - 1:34MILThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
38.6%
68
61.4%
Q3 - 1:35MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot64
42.0%
68
58.0%
Q3 - 1:58SASBowen 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)64
38.6%
68
61.4%
Q3 - 2:17SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
35.3%
68
64.7%
Q3 - 2:18MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot62
33.8%
68
66.2%
Q3 - 2:33SASNesterovic 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)62
30.7%
68
69.3%
Q3 - 2:49MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
27.2%
68
72.8%
Q3 - 2:49MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
27.8%
67
72.2%
Q3 - 2:49MILBUCKS Rebound60
30.7%
66
69.3%
Q3 - 2:50MILMISS Ford Layup60
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 2:55MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
30.7%
66
69.3%
Q3 - 2:58MILMISS Redd Layup60
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 3:13SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)60
32.0%
66
68.0%
Q3 - 3:35MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
28.4%
66
71.6%
Q3 - 3:35MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
29.0%
65
71.0%
Q3 - 3:57SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)58
31.9%
64
68.1%
Q3 - 4:17MILThomas 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)58
37.4%
64
62.6%
Q3 - 4:48SASBrown Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)58
40.9%
62
59.1%
Q3 - 4:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
37.3%
62
62.7%
Q3 - 4:53MILMISS Skinner Layup56
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 5:09SASDuncan 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)56
34.1%
62
65.9%
Q3 - 5:12SASSpurs Rebound54
30.7%
62
69.3%
Q3 - 5:12SASSkinner BLOCK (2 BLK)54
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q3 - 5:33SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
30.7%
62
69.3%
Q3 - 5:34MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 254
30.1%
62
69.9%
Q3 - 5:34MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 254
28.4%
62
71.6%
Q3 - 5:38MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
27.0%
62
73.0%
Q3 - 5:39SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot54
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 5:46SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
30.6%
62
69.4%
Q3 - 5:48MILMISS Ford 11' Jump Shot54
29.5%
62
70.5%
Q3 - 6:12SASGinobili Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)54
28.2%
62
71.8%
Q3 - 6:42MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)54
31.7%
62
68.3%
Q3 - 6:49MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q3 - 6:50MILMISS Skinner Layup54
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 6:51MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q3 - 6:53MILMISS Ford 4' Jump Shot54
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 7:13SASRose Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)54
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 7:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
43.3%
59
56.7%
Q3 - 7:21MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot54
42.0%
59
58.0%
Q3 - 7:24MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 7:26MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot54
42.0%
59
58.0%
Q3 - 7:45SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 7:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 253
38.0%
59
62.0%
Q3 - 7:59MILSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)53
39.5%
59
60.5%
Q3 - 8:29SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)53
43.5%
57
56.5%
Q3 - 8:44SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
36.8%
57
63.2%
Q3 - 8:46MILMISS Skinner 4' Jump Shot50
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q3 - 9:07SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 9:13SASSpurs Rebound48
30.9%
57
69.1%
Q3 - 9:13SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)48
28.7%
57
71.3%
Q3 - 9:34MILFord Layup (7 PTS)48
30.9%
57
69.1%
Q3 - 9:39MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
34.0%
55
66.0%
Q3 - 9:41SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot48
35.0%
55
65.0%
Q3 - 9:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
37.4%
55
62.6%
Q3 - 9:50MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot48
36.4%
55
63.6%
Q3 - 10:14SASDuncan Layup (9 PTS)48
35.0%
55
65.0%
Q3 - 10:34MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 10:34MILSkinner Layup (11 PTS)46
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 10:35MILMISS Ford Layup46
37.5%
53
62.5%
Q3 - 10:40MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
35.0%
53
65.0%
Q3 - 10:42SASMISS Rose Layup46
36.1%
53
63.9%
Q3 - 10:43SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q3 - 10:45SASSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)46
36.1%
53
63.9%
Q3 - 10:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q3 - 10:57MILMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot46
37.5%
53
62.5%
Q3 - 11:20SASDuncan Layup (7 PTS)46
36.3%
53
63.7%
Q3 - 11:32MILSkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
33.3%
53
66.7%
Q3 - 11:32MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 244
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q3 - 11:32MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
33.1%
52
66.9%
Q3 - 11:34MILMISS Ford Running Layup44
35.4%
52
64.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL44
33.1%
52
66.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
33.1%
52
66.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot44
35.6%
52
64.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)44
37.0%
52
63.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
44.4%
49
55.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot44
45.1%
49
54.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0MILSantiago Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
46.7%
49
53.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MILSantiago Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
47.7%
48
52.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MILBUCKS Rebound44
50.9%
47
49.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 244
51.3%
47
48.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
53.3%
47
46.7%
Q2 - 1:00MILMason Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)43
50.0%
47
50.0%
Q2 - 1:15MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
54.8%
45
45.2%
Q2 - 1:17SASMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot43
55.3%
45
44.7%
Q2 - 1:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
56.5%
45
43.5%
Q2 - 1:33MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot43
56.0%
45
44.0%
Q2 - 1:52SASBrown 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)43
54.8%
45
45.2%
Q2 - 2:16MILThomas Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)41
51.1%
45
48.9%
Q2 - 2:27SASJones STEAL (1 STL)41
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q2 - 2:37SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
57.3%
43
42.7%
Q2 - 2:40MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
56.4%
43
43.6%
Q2 - 2:52SASParker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)41
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q2 - 3:11MILSantiago Layup (2 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)38
49.1%
43
50.9%
Q2 - 3:25SASParker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)38
51.7%
41
48.3%
Q2 - 3:36MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)35
46.1%
41
53.9%
Q2 - 3:39MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
42.8%
41
57.2%
Q2 - 3:42MILMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot35
45.1%
41
54.9%
Q2 - 4:01SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
43.9%
41
56.1%
Q2 - 4:01SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q2 - 4:09MILMason 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)33
41.1%
41
58.9%
Q2 - 4:26MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 4:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 233
47.1%
38
52.9%
Q2 - 4:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 233
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 4:44MILJones Layup (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)33
49.6%
38
50.4%
Q2 - 4:49SASKukoc STEAL (1 STL)33
52.5%
36
47.5%
Q2 - 5:02MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)33
55.8%
36
44.2%
Q2 - 5:02MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)33
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 5:10MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
58.3%
34
41.7%
Q2 - 5:11SASMISS Rose 9' Jump Shot33
59.2%
34
40.8%
Q2 - 5:31MILThomas 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q2 - 5:47SASParker 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)33
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 5:56SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
61.3%
32
38.7%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot31
59.2%
32
40.8%
Q2 - 6:08MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T7)31
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 6:18SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
58.5%
32
41.5%
Q2 - 6:18SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
58.0%
32
42.0%
Q2 - 6:26MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
56.4%
32
43.6%
Q2 - 6:42SASRose Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)29
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q2 - 6:47SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
50.9%
32
49.1%
Q2 - 6:49MILMISS Mason 3' Layup27
49.9%
32
50.1%
Q2 - 6:58SASWillis Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
47.6%
32
52.4%
Q2 - 7:09SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
51.4%
32
48.6%
Q2 - 7:10MILMISS Mason Layup27
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 7:33SASParker 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)27
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 7:46MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
46.1%
32
53.9%
Q2 - 7:46MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 225
46.7%
31
53.3%
Q2 - 8:04SASRose 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)25
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q2 - 8:31MILMason 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)23
43.8%
31
56.2%
Q2 - 8:35MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
46.0%
29
54.0%
Q2 - 8:36SASKukoc BLOCK (2 BLK)23
46.9%
29
53.1%
Q2 - 8:46MILGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
48.9%
29
51.1%
Q2 - 9:11SASBrown Layup (2 PTS) (Ward 1 AST)23
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 9:25MILSkinner 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)21
44.3%
29
55.7%
Q2 - 9:41MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)21
46.5%
27
53.5%
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Ward 12' Jump Shot21
47.3%
27
52.7%
Q2 - 10:02MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)21
49.3%
27
50.7%
Q2 - 10:09MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 10:11SASMISS Rose Layup21
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q2 - 10:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q2 - 10:22MILMISS Skinner 3' Hook Shot21
55.9%
24
44.1%
Q2 - 10:33MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 10:35SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot21
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 10:53MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q2 - 10:53MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 221
57.4%
23
42.6%
Q2 - 11:00MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q2 - 11:02SASMISS Ward 18' Jump Shot21
57.6%
23
42.4%
Q2 - 11:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
59.2%
23
40.8%
Q2 - 11:12MILMISS Thomas 7' Jump Shot21
58.4%
23
41.6%
Q2 - 11:28MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
56.8%
23
43.2%
Q2 - 11:31SASKukoc BLOCK (1 BLK)21
57.5%
23
42.5%
Q2 - 11:48MILSkinner Dunk (6 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)21
59.1%
23
40.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL21
61.5%
21
38.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound21
61.5%
21
38.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 3' Jump Shot21
62.2%
21
37.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
63.3%
21
36.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Mercer 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
62.1%
21
37.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
63.3%
21
36.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASMISS Ward Free Throw 2 of 221
61.9%
21
38.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASWard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
63.4%
21
36.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
61.1%
21
38.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)20
59.4%
21
40.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
61.1%
21
38.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot20
60.6%
21
39.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASBrown Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T4)20
59.4%
21
40.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILSkinner Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)20
61.1%
21
38.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
63.9%
19
36.1%
Q1 - 1:00SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot20
64.4%
19
35.6%
Q1 - 1:21MILFord 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)20
65.6%
19
34.4%
Q1 - 1:42SASWard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
68.1%
17
31.9%
Q1 - 1:58MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)20
69.7%
17
30.3%
Q1 - 2:13MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
74.0%
14
26.0%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot20
74.5%
14
25.5%
Q1 - 2:40MILFord 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)20
75.6%
14
24.4%
Q1 - 3:02MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 3:04SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
78.8%
11
21.2%
Q1 - 3:09SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
80.0%
11
20.0%
Q1 - 3:11MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot20
79.5%
11
20.5%
Q1 - 3:30SASNesterovic 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)20
78.4%
11
21.6%
Q1 - 3:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
77.0%
11
23.0%
Q1 - 3:46MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot18
76.4%
11
23.6%
Q1 - 4:02MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
75.0%
11
25.0%
Q1 - 4:04SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
75.6%
11
24.4%
Q1 - 4:25MILRedd 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)18
76.9%
11
23.1%
Q1 - 4:46SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
78.1%
9
21.9%
Q1 - 5:02MILThomas 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
79.2%
9
20.8%
Q1 - 5:23SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)18
80.5%
7
19.5%
Q1 - 5:42MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)16
79.3%
7
20.7%
Q1 - 5:50MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
81.8%
4
18.2%
Q1 - 5:52SASMISS Nesterovic 13' Jump Shot16
82.3%
4
17.7%
Q1 - 6:13MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)16
82.4%
4
17.6%
Q1 - 6:28MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
83.6%
2
16.4%
Q1 - 6:30SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Shot16
83.9%
2
16.1%
Q1 - 6:35SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
84.7%
2
15.3%
Q1 - 6:41MILMISS Skinner 4' Jump Shot16
84.4%
2
15.6%
Q1 - 6:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)16
83.6%
2
16.4%
Q1 - 6:56SASParker Layup (9 PTS)15
82.4%
2
17.6%
Q1 - 6:58MILSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
81.3%
2
18.7%
Q1 - 7:18SASParker Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)13
79.2%
2
20.8%
Q1 - 7:23MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 7:44SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)11
76.6%
2
23.4%
Q1 - 8:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
75.7%
2
24.3%
Q1 - 8:05MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot9
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 8:26SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)9
74.1%
2
25.9%
Q1 - 8:39MILThomas Layup (2 PTS)7
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 8:54MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot7
74.6%
0
25.4%
Q1 - 9:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
75.7%
0
24.3%
Q1 - 9:17MILMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot7
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 9:26MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
73.9%
0
26.1%
Q1 - 9:28SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot7
74.4%
0
25.6%
Q1 - 9:42MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)7
75.7%
0
24.3%
Q1 - 9:43MILBUCKS Rebound7
73.9%
0
26.1%
Q1 - 9:43MILMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot7
75.2%
0
24.8%
Q1 - 10:08SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
73.8%
0
26.2%
Q1 - 10:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
75.4%
0
24.6%
Q1 - 10:18MILMISS Skinner 7' Jump Shot7
75.0%
0
25.0%
Q1 - 10:37SASBowen Layup (2 PTS)7
73.8%
0
26.2%
Q1 - 10:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 10:50MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot5
72.0%
0
28.0%
Q1 - 11:10SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)5
70.9%
0
29.1%
Q1 - 11:18SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 11:20MILMISS Thomas Dunk2
67.2%
0
32.8%
Q1 - 11:37SASParker 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Smith vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
64.4%
0
35.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
30
53%
MIL
16
33
48%
Midrange
SAS
12
31
39%
MIL
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
MIL
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
SAS
15
27
56%
MIL
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2676%13.0 / 17
T. Duncan2242%11.0 / 26
D. Brown1179%5.5 / 7
M. Ginobili964%4.5 / 7
B. Bowen770%3.5 / 5
R. Horry536%2.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic440%2.0 / 5
C. Ward429%2.0 / 7
M. Rose429%2.0 / 7
R. Mercer0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Thomas2279%11.0 / 14
M. Redd2153%10.5 / 20
D. Mason1464%7.0 / 11
B. Skinner1137%5.5 / 15
T. Ford735%3.5 / 10
J. Smith643%3.0 / 7
T. Kukoc643%3.0 / 7
D. Santiago4100%2.0 / 2
D. Jones233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+13
-16
91
MIL
78
+13
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
103.6
SAS 97.9 +5.5
MIL 103.3
Pace
91.3
94.2
SAS 98.9 +13.2
MIL 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
SAS 14.6 +2.2
MIL 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
47.7%
SAS 51.3% +2.6%
MIL 48.7%
TO %
15.4%
13.7%
SAS 15.6%
MIL 12.9% +2.7%
ORB %
29.5%
27.6%
SAS 22.5%
MIL 25.6% +3.1%
FTrt
32.2
33.0
SAS 36.0 +6.5
MIL 29.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
63.0%
SAS 62.9%
MIL 82.4% +19.5%
STL %
8.8%
7.1%
SAS 6.4%
MIL 7.8% +1.4%
BLK %
9.9%
7.1%
SAS 9.4%
MIL 11.5% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
50.3%
SAS 50.5% +0.5%
MIL 50.0%
Rim FG%
57.6%
55.7%
SAS 53.3% +4.8%
MIL 48.5%
Mid FG%
37.0%
39.4%
SAS 38.7% +6.4%
MIL 32.3%
3P %
35.8%
35.0%
SAS 50.0%
MIL 57.1% +7.1%
FT %
68.1%
77.5%
SAS 55.6%
MIL 73.9% +18.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
36.8%
SAS 40.0%
MIL 42.3% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
46.0%
SAS 41.3%
MIL 39.7% +1.6%
3P Att. %
17.7%
17.2%
SAS 18.7% +0.7%
MIL 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions9490
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points9293
Rebounds4142
Assists2228
Steals67
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)31 (2)
Field Goals35-7534-78
At-the-Rim FG16-3016-33
Midrange FG12-3110-31
2-Point FG28-6126-64
3-Point FG7-148-14
Free Throws15-2717-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
41.8
22
42%
8
5
0
2
1
2
1
7
2-9
22%
10-21
48%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 33
36.0
7
70%
5
2
2
1
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
34.0
26
76%
4
6
0
0
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
4-5
80%
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
33.4
9
64%
5
4
1
1
6
4
0
5
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
22.6
4
40%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
19.8
11
79%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
15.3
5
36%
6
1
2
0
0
4
3
3
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
13.9
4
29%
2
3
0
0
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
12.6
4
29%
3
0
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
6.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
3.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
51%
41
22
6
6
16
0
9
32
15-27
56%
28-61
46%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.