| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 MIA | 113.1 | 84 | 78.9 |
Scoring Opportunities
HOU
74
+12
-10
86
MIA
77
+6
-7
83
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
0.94 47.1%
MIA
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | HOU | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 81 0% | 95 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | HOU | Piatkowski 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST) | 81 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | MIA | Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Alston 8 AST) | 78 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 78 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:41.0 | HOU | Alston BLOCK (1 BLK) | 78 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 78 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 78 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 78 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:54.0 | HOU | MISS Mobley Driving Layup | 78 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 78 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | MIA | MISS Butler 21' Jump Shot | 78 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13) | 78 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | HOU | Jones BLOCK (1 BLK) | 78 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:34 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 78 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:05 | HOU | Taylor Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 78 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | HOU | Piatkowski Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10) | 76 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:29 | HOU | Piatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:31 | MIA | MISS Alston 19' Jump Shot | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12) | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | HOU | MISS Taylor 20' Jump Shot | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:03 | MIA | Odom Foul Turnover (P1.T8) | 76 0.4% | 90 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | HOU | MISS Mobley Driving Layup | 76 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | HOU | Piatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 76 0.4% | 90 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:32 | MIA | MISS Butler 19' Jump Shot | 76 0.8% | 90 99.2% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | HOU | Mobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 76 0.5% | 90 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | HOU | Mobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 75 0.5% | 90 99.5% |
| Q4 - 4:00 | HOU | Piatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 74 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | HOU | MISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 1 | 74 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | HOU | Francis Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 74 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 72 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:11 | HOU | MISS Mobley Layup | 72 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 72 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:19 | HOU | MISS Taylor 14' Jump Shot | 72 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | MIA | Butler Foul Turnover (P3.T7) | 72 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:46 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11) | 72 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | HOU | MISS Taylor 14' Jump Shot | 72 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 72 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:06 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 | 72 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:06 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 | 72 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | HOU | MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:31 | MIA | Odom 8' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Alston 7 AST) | 72 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 72 0.4% | 88 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | HOU | MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 0.5% | 88 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Odom 4 AST) | 72 1.1% | 88 98.9% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | HOU | Jackson 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 72 1.8% | 85 98.2% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | HOU | MISS Jackson Free Throw Technical | 70 1.4% | 85 98.6% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 70 1.4% | 85 98.6% |
| Q4 - 6:49 | MIA | MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 1.2% | 85 98.8% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | HOU | Yao Slam Dunk (12 PTS) | 70 1.5% | 85 98.5% |
| Q4 - 7:22 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 68 1.2% | 85 98.8% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | HOU | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 1.0% | 85 99.0% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 68 1.2% | 85 98.8% |
| Q4 - 7:36 | MIA | MISS Jones 11' Jump Shot | 68 1.1% | 85 98.9% |
| Q4 - 7:55 | HOU | Taylor Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9) | 68 0.9% | 85 99.1% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | MIA | Butler 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Odom 3 AST) | 68 1.6% | 85 98.4% |
| Q4 - 8:49 | HOU | Taylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 68 2.1% | 83 97.9% |
| Q4 - 8:49 | HOU | Taylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 67 2.0% | 83 98.0% |
| Q4 - 8:57 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 66 1.6% | 83 98.4% |
| Q4 - 8:59 | MIA | MISS Odom 19' Jump Shot | 66 1.5% | 83 98.5% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 66 1.7% | 83 98.3% |
| Q4 - 9:21 | HOU | MISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 1.8% | 83 98.2% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | MIA | Jones 9' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 66 2.1% | 83 97.9% |
| Q4 - 9:46 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 66 2.6% | 81 97.4% |
| Q4 - 9:48 | HOU | MISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot | 66 2.8% | 81 97.2% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 66 3.4% | 81 96.6% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | MIA | MISS Grant 17' Jump Shot | 66 3.1% | 81 96.9% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 66 3.2% | 81 96.8% |
| Q4 - 10:22 | HOU | MISS Mobley Free Throw 2 of 2 | 66 3.3% | 81 96.7% |
| Q4 - 10:22 | HOU | Mobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 66 3.9% | 81 96.1% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | MIA | Allen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 65 3.2% | 81 96.8% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | HOU | Mobley Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 65 4.0% | 79 96.0% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | MIA | Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 63 3.2% | 79 96.8% |
| Q4 - 11:11 | HOU | Jones STEAL (5 STL) | 63 5.6% | 76 94.4% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 63 6.9% | 76 93.1% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 63 7.2% | 75 92.8% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | HOU | Jones STEAL (4 STL) | 63 8.4% | 74 91.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 63 10.3% | 74 89.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 63 9.7% | 74 90.3% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | HOU | MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot | 63 10.2% | 74 89.8% |
| Q3 - 0:10.0 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 63 11.6% | 74 88.4% |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | MIA | MISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 10.9% | 74 89.1% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 63 9.6% | 74 90.4% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | HOU | MISS Cato 19' Jump Shot | 63 10.1% | 74 89.9% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Butler 4 AST) | 63 11.4% | 74 88.6% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | HOU | Cato Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 63 17.7% | 71 82.3% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | HOU | MISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 2 | 62 16.8% | 71 83.2% |
| Q3 - 1:05 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 62 17.8% | 71 82.2% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | MIA | MISS Allen 19' Jump Shot | 62 16.9% | 71 83.1% |
| Q3 - 1:25 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 62 15.0% | 71 85.0% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | HOU | MISS Taylor 14' Jump Shot | 62 15.8% | 71 84.2% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 62 17.7% | 71 82.3% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | MIA | MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot | 62 16.8% | 71 83.2% |
| Q3 - 2:00 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 62 15.0% | 71 85.0% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | HOU | MISS Taylor 20' Turnaround Jump Shot | 62 16.8% | 71 83.2% |
| Q3 - 2:29 | MIA | Haslem Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 62 18.8% | 71 81.2% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | HOU | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 62 21.5% | 69 78.5% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | HOU | Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 61 20.9% | 69 79.1% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 60 18.7% | 69 81.3% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 60 19.1% | 68 80.9% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | HOU | Taylor 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Francis 3 AST) | 60 22.6% | 67 77.4% |
| Q3 - 3:43 | MIA | Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 3 AST) | 58 19.7% | 67 80.3% |
| Q3 - 4:05 | HOU | Taylor 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 2 AST) | 58 26.5% | 64 73.5% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | MIA | Grant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 56 23.7% | 64 76.3% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | MIA | MISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 2 | 56 24.3% | 63 75.7% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | HOU | Yao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6) | 56 23.2% | 63 76.8% |
| Q3 - 5:03 | MIA | Alston Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 56 27.8% | 63 72.2% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 56 31.0% | 61 69.0% |
| Q3 - 5:08 | HOU | MISS Francis 16' Jump Shot | 56 32.2% | 61 67.8% |
| Q3 - 5:23 | MIA | Butler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 56 34.9% | 61 65.1% |
| Q3 - 5:30 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 56 30.9% | 61 69.1% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | HOU | MISS Francis 11' Jump Shot | 56 32.1% | 61 67.9% |
| Q3 - 5:35 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 56 34.9% | 61 65.1% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | HOU | MISS Taylor 9' Hook Shot | 56 32.1% | 61 67.9% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 56 34.9% | 61 65.1% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | HOU | Jones STEAL (3 STL) | 56 31.7% | 61 68.3% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | MIA | Grant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 56 35.5% | 61 64.5% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | MIA | Grant Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 56 39.3% | 60 60.7% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 56 42.9% | 58 57.1% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 55 42.2% | 58 57.8% |
| Q3 - 6:35 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 54 39.2% | 58 60.8% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | HOU | MISS Taylor 14' Jump Shot | 54 36.4% | 58 63.6% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | MIA | Odom 9' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 54 39.2% | 58 60.8% |
| Q3 - 7:13 | HOU | Yao 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST) | 54 42.7% | 56 57.3% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | MIA | Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 6 AST) | 52 39.5% | 56 60.5% |
| Q3 - 7:42 | HOU | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 52 46.5% | 53 53.5% |
| Q3 - 7:42 | HOU | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 51 45.8% | 53 54.2% |
| Q3 - 7:50 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 50 43.2% | 53 56.8% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | HOU | MISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 40.2% | 53 59.8% |
| Q3 - 8:10 | MIA | Grant 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 50 43.7% | 53 56.3% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 50 46.9% | 51 53.1% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | HOU | MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 48.2% | 51 51.8% |
| Q3 - 8:39 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 51.2% | 51 48.8% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | MIA | MISS Odom 5' Running Jump Shot | 50 49.9% | 51 50.1% |
| Q3 - 8:49 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 50 46.9% | 51 53.1% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | HOU | MISS Yao 5' Jump Shot | 50 48.2% | 51 51.8% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | MIA | Jones 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 50 51.0% | 51 49.0% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 50 54.5% | 49 45.5% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | MIA | MISS Jones Reverse Layup | 50 57.1% | 49 42.9% |
| Q3 - 9:20 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 50 54.5% | 49 45.5% |
| Q3 - 9:22 | HOU | MISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot | 50 55.7% | 49 44.3% |
| Q3 - 9:44 | MIA | Odom 5' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) | 50 58.3% | 49 41.7% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | HOU | Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 50 61.5% | 47 38.6% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 48 58.4% | 47 41.6% |
| Q3 - 10:18 | MIA | MISS Butler 10' Jump Shot | 48 57.3% | 47 42.7% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 48 54.5% | 47 45.5% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | HOU | Odom BLOCK (1 BLK) | 48 55.7% | 47 44.3% |
| Q3 - 10:48 | MIA | Odom 12' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 5 AST) | 48 58.4% | 47 41.6% |
| Q3 - 11:12 | HOU | Mobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 48 61.6% | 45 38.4% |
| Q3 - 11:15 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 48 65.0% | 45 35.0% |
| Q3 - 11:18 | MIA | MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot | 48 63.9% | 45 36.0% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 48 61.6% | 45 38.4% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 64.0% | 45 36.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 48 61.6% | 45 38.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 48 65.0% | 45 35.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | HOU | MISS Francis 47' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 62.6% | 45 37.4% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 48 64.1% | 45 35.9% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 63.4% | 45 36.6% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | HOU | Mobley 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 48 62.0% | 45 38.0% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4) | 46 57.8% | 45 42.2% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 46 55.5% | 45 44.5% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | MIA | MISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 57.1% | 45 42.9% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | HOU | Padgett 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 46 55.8% | 45 44.2% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 1 | 43 47.6% | 45 52.4% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | Haslem Layup (2 PTS) | 43 47.8% | 45 52.2% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 43 52.6% | 43 47.4% |
| Q2 - 1:30 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 43 53.7% | 43 46.3% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 43 52.6% | 43 47.4% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS Jones 10' Running Jump Shot | 43 53.7% | 43 46.3% |
| Q2 - 2:07 | HOU | Yao 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 43 51.9% | 43 48.1% |
| Q2 - 2:31 | MIA | Jones Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 41 48.6% | 43 51.4% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | HOU | Cato Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 41 52.0% | 41 48.0% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | HOU | Cato Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 40 51.0% | 41 49.0% |
| Q2 - 3:02 | MIA | Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 39 49.2% | 41 50.8% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 39 54.8% | 38 45.2% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | HOU | MISS Yao 13' Jump Shot | 39 55.8% | 38 44.2% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 39 58.1% | 38 41.9% |
| Q2 - 3:34 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 39 57.1% | 38 42.9% |
| Q2 - 3:52 | HOU | Jackson 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 39 54.8% | 38 45.2% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 37 52.1% | 38 47.9% |
| Q2 - 4:10 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 51.2% | 38 48.8% |
| Q2 - 4:25 | HOU | Jackson Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 37 49.2% | 38 50.8% |
| Q2 - 4:31 | HOU | Jackson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 35 46.3% | 38 53.7% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 43.4% | 38 56.6% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | MIA | MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 42.6% | 38 57.4% |
| Q2 - 5:04 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 34 40.8% | 38 59.2% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | HOU | MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 41.8% | 38 58.2% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 43.9% | 38 56.1% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | MIA | MISS Grant 19' Jump Shot | 34 42.9% | 38 57.1% |
| Q2 - 5:50 | HOU | Cato Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST) | 34 40.8% | 38 59.2% |
| Q2 - 6:13 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 4 AST) | 32 39.1% | 38 60.9% |
| Q2 - 6:19 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 43.9% | 35 56.1% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | HOU | MISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 44.9% | 35 55.1% |
| Q2 - 6:47 | MIA | Butler Running Dunk (10 PTS) | 32 47.1% | 35 52.9% |
| Q2 - 7:09 | HOU | Yao 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST) | 32 49.8% | 33 50.2% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 30 47.4% | 33 52.6% |
| Q2 - 7:29 | MIA | MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot | 30 46.5% | 33 53.5% |
| Q2 - 7:52 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 30 44.5% | 33 55.5% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | HOU | MISS Weatherspoon Reverse Layup | 30 45.4% | 33 54.6% |
| Q2 - 8:15 | MIA | Butler Layup (8 PTS) | 30 47.4% | 33 52.6% |
| Q2 - 8:30 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 30 49.6% | 31 50.4% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | HOU | MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 50.5% | 31 49.5% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | MIA | Odom Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 30 52.6% | 31 47.4% |
| Q2 - 9:09 | HOU | Weatherspoon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST) | 30 54.8% | 29 45.2% |
| Q2 - 9:23 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 28 52.5% | 29 47.5% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | MIA | MISS Zhi-zhi 7' Jump Shot | 28 51.7% | 29 48.3% |
| Q2 - 9:35 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 49.7% | 29 50.3% |
| Q2 - 9:37 | HOU | Zhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK) | 28 50.6% | 29 49.4% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | MIA | Butler 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 1 AST) | 28 52.5% | 29 47.5% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | HOU | Cato 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 28 54.6% | 27 45.4% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | HOU | Weatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 26 52.4% | 27 47.6% |
| Q2 - 10:33 | HOU | MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot | 26 50.5% | 27 49.5% |
| Q2 - 10:41 | MIA | Butler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 26 52.4% | 27 47.6% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | HOU | Cato Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 26 49.8% | 27 50.2% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | HOU | Cato Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 25 49.0% | 27 51.0% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | HOU | Weatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 24 47.3% | 27 52.7% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | HOU | MISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot | 24 45.7% | 27 54.3% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | MIA | Zhi-zhi Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 24 47.3% | 27 52.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 24 49.8% | 25 50.2% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 24 52.2% | 25 47.8% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | HOU | MISS Francis 31' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 50.5% | 25 49.5% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Zhi-zhi 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 3 AST) | 24 51.8% | 25 48.2% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | HOU | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 24 57.1% | 22 42.9% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | HOU | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 23 56.6% | 22 43.4% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 54.2% | 22 45.8% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | MIA | MISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 53.6% | 22 46.4% |
| Q1 - 1:14 | HOU | Mobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 22 52.4% | 22 47.6% |
| Q1 - 1:14 | HOU | MISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 2 | 21 52.1% | 22 47.9% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | MIA | Zhi-zhi Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 21 51.9% | 22 48.1% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw Technical | 21 50.0% | 22 50.0% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | HOU | Taylor Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 21 50.0% | 22 50.0% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | MIA | Alston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 21 51.9% | 22 48.1% |
| Q1 - 2:11 | HOU | Taylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 21 50.1% | 22 49.9% |
| Q1 - 2:11 | HOU | Taylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 20 49.5% | 22 50.5% |
| Q1 - 2:24 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 19 47.6% | 22 52.4% |
| Q1 - 2:24 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 19 48.2% | 21 51.8% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 47.8% | 21 52.2% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | HOU | MISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot | 19 48.4% | 21 51.6% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 49.9% | 21 50.1% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | MIA | MISS Grant 18' Jump Shot | 19 49.3% | 21 50.7% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | HOU | Taylor 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 19 47.7% | 21 52.3% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 45.7% | 21 54.3% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | MIA | MISS Jones 17' Jump Bank Shot | 17 45.0% | 21 55.0% |
| Q1 - 4:04 | HOU | Taylor Layup (4 PTS) (Francis 1 AST) | 17 43.4% | 21 56.6% |
| Q1 - 4:07 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 15 41.7% | 21 58.3% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | MIA | MISS Grant 19' Jump Shot | 15 40.9% | 21 59.1% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | HOU | Mobley Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS) | 15 39.1% | 21 60.9% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | HOU | Mobley 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 14 37.0% | 21 63.0% |
| Q1 - 4:42 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 12 35.4% | 21 64.6% |
| Q1 - 4:44 | MIA | MISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 34.7% | 21 65.3% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 12 33.0% | 21 67.0% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | HOU | MISS Taylor 19' Jump Shot | 12 33.7% | 21 66.3% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | MIA | Jones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 12 36.1% | 21 63.9% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | MIA | Alston Layup (7 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 12 38.1% | 20 61.9% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 12 39.9% | 18 60.1% |
| Q1 - 5:23 | HOU | MISS Yao Layup | 12 40.5% | 18 59.5% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 12 42.1% | 18 57.9% |
| Q1 - 5:27 | HOU | MISS Taylor Layup | 12 40.5% | 18 59.5% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | MIA | Jones Layup (4 PTS) | 12 42.1% | 18 57.9% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | HOU | Jones STEAL (2 STL) | 12 43.9% | 16 56.1% |
| Q1 - 6:00 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 46.2% | 16 53.8% |
| Q1 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS Butler 8' Fadeaway Jumper | 12 45.7% | 16 54.3% |
| Q1 - 6:17 | HOU | Taylor Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 12 44.3% | 16 55.7% |
| Q1 - 6:37 | MIA | Butler Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 10 42.4% | 16 57.6% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 10 44.2% | 14 55.8% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | HOU | MISS Yao 6' Hook Shot | 10 44.9% | 14 55.1% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | HOU | Taylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 46.9% | 14 53.1% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 | 10 46.6% | 14 53.4% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 45.3% | 14 54.7% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 46.7% | 13 53.3% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | HOU | MISS Jackson 4' Running Jump Shot | 10 47.3% | 13 52.7% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | MIA | Alston 9' Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS) | 10 48.8% | 13 51.2% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | MIA | Jones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 10 50.9% | 11 49.1% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | HOU | Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Yao 1 AST) | 10 52.7% | 10 47.3% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | MIA | Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST) | 7 49.2% | 10 50.8% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 7 52.7% | 7 47.3% |
| Q1 - 8:59 | HOU | MISS Francis 12' Jump Shot | 7 53.3% | 7 46.7% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 54.8% | 7 45.2% |
| Q1 - 9:14 | MIA | MISS Jones 12' Jump Shot | 7 54.1% | 7 45.9% |
| Q1 - 9:22 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 7 52.4% | 7 47.6% |
| Q1 - 9:24 | HOU | MISS Mobley 11' Jump Shot | 7 53.1% | 7 46.9% |
| Q1 - 9:48 | MIA | Butler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST) | 7 54.8% | 7 45.2% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | HOU | Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 7 56.2% | 5 43.8% |
| Q1 - 10:25 | HOU | Jackson Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 4 52.7% | 5 47.3% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | MIA | Grant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST) | 3 50.9% | 5 49.1% |
| Q1 - 10:55 | HOU | Jones STEAL (1 STL) | 3 52.5% | 3 47.5% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | MIA | Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST) | 3 54.4% | 3 45.6% |
| Q1 - 11:23 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 3 58.1% | 0 41.9% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | MIA | MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 3 59.3% | 0 40.7% |
| Q1 - 11:46 | HOU | Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST) | 3 58.1% | 0 41.9% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Grant vs. Cato: Tip to Mobley | 0 54.4% | 0 45.6% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
0.94 47.1%
MIA
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
9
20
45%
MIA
13
15
87%
Midrange
HOU
12
31
39%
MIA
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
HOU
24
29
83%
MIA
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Rockets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Taylor | 16 | 47% | 8.0 / 17 | |
| C. Mobley | 14 | 41% | 7.0 / 17 | |
| Yao | 12 | 60% | 6.0 / 10 | |
| S. Francis | 9 | 38% | 4.5 / 12 | |
| K. Cato | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| M. Jackson | 8 | 100% | 4.0 / 4 | |
| J. Jackson | 5 | 21% | 2.5 / 12 | |
| S. Padgett | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| E. Piatkowski | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| C. Weatherspoon | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Jones | 27 | 75% | 13.5 / 18 | |
| L. Odom | 20 | 63% | 10.0 / 16 | |
| R. Alston | 15 | 63% | 7.5 / 12 | |
| C. Butler | 14 | 50% | 7.0 / 14 | |
| B. Grant | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| W. Zhi-zhi | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| U. Haslem | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| M. Allen | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
HOU
74
+12
-10
86
MIA
77
+6
-7
83
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
0.94 47.1%
MIA
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 98.5 99.3 | HOU 96.4 +16.7 MIA 113.1 |
| Pace | 90.1 90.6 | HOU 90.1 +11.3 MIA 78.9 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.7 16.0 | HOU 16.0 +2.3 MIA 18.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.4% 46.3% | HOU 40.7% MIA 59.3% +18.6% |
| TO % | 17.3% 14.4% | HOU 10.8% MIA 9.2% +1.6% |
| ORB % | 26.4% 27.5% | HOU 23.8% +9.9% MIA 13.9% |
| FTrt | 28.6 29.8 | HOU 41.4 +11.4 MIA 30.0 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.7% 57.3% | HOU 46.2% MIA 58.3% +12.1% |
| STL % | 7.5% 7.9% | HOU 2.4% MIA 6.0% +3.6% |
| BLK % | 8.6% 6.3% | HOU 2.1% MIA 7.8% +5.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.0% 48.3% | HOU 47.1% MIA 57.2% +10.1% |
| Rim FG% | 57.1% 53.9% | HOU 45.0% MIA 86.7% +41.7% |
| Mid FG% | 39.5% 36.9% | HOU 38.7% +1.2% MIA 37.5% |
| 3P % | 36.6% 35.7% | HOU 26.3% MIA 47.8% +21.5% |
| FT % | 77.3% 76.2% | HOU 82.8% +25.7% MIA 57.1% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.5% 34.4% | HOU 28.6% +7.1% MIA 21.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 46.8% 44.5% | HOU 44.3% +1.4% MIA 45.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.7% 21.1% | HOU 27.1% MIA 32.9% +5.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | HOU | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 84 | 84 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.4 | 25.6 |
| Points | 81 | 95 |
| Rebounds | 41 | 37 |
| Assists | 12 | 21 |
| Steals | 2 | 5 |
| Blocks | 1 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 10 (0) | 7 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (2) | 5 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 31 (1) | 32 (2) |
| Field Goals | 26-70 | 36-70 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 9-20 | 13-15 |
| Midrange FG | 12-31 | 12-32 |
| 2-Point FG | 21-51 | 25-47 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-19 | 11-23 |
| Free Throws | 24-29 | 12-21 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.