FinalWin Prob.pScore
1847%93
86
2653%94
84
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
95.690125.3
MIA logo MIA
102.48264.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound86
95.4%
84
4.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)86
84.2%
84
15.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSMISS James Free Throw 2 of 286
83.9%
84
16.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
91.4%
84
8.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
83.5%
84
16.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot85
77.8%
84
22.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)85
60.4%
84
39.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSCeltics Rebound85
82.8%
84
17.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSJones BLOCK (1 BLK)85
68.0%
84
32.0%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
75.3%
84
24.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)85
56.0%
84
44.0%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot85
69.9%
84
30.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Odom 16' Running Jump Shot85
69.7%
84
30.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)85
56.4%
84
43.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0BOSBlount Tip Shot (16 PTS)85
56.4%
84
43.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot83
29.9%
84
70.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
41.7%
84
58.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Odom Layup83
36.5%
84
63.5%
Q4 - 1:12BOSPierce Driving Layup (29 PTS)83
26.9%
84
73.1%
Q4 - 1:20BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
19.4%
84
80.6%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
16.8%
84
83.2%
Q4 - 1:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)81
14.0%
84
86.0%
Q4 - 1:44BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 281
15.0%
84
85.0%
Q4 - 1:44BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)81
19.9%
84
80.1%
Q4 - 1:55MIAOdom 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)80
14.9%
84
85.1%
Q4 - 2:18BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P2.T10)80
21.2%
82
78.8%
Q4 - 2:25BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
34.9%
82
65.1%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Haslem 13' Running Hook Shot80
30.3%
82
69.7%
Q4 - 2:52BOSBlount Layup (14 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)80
22.9%
82
77.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P6.T17)78
18.6%
82
81.4%
Q4 - 3:28BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS)78
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 3:45MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Odom 9 AST)76
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q4 - 4:09BOSJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)76
19.7%
79
80.3%
Q4 - 4:28MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)73
10.5%
79
89.5%
Q4 - 4:34MIAHEAT Rebound73
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot73
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
7.2%
79
92.8%
Q4 - 4:57BOSMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot73
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 5:07MIAAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)73
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q4 - 5:23BOSMcCarty 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)73
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q4 - 5:38MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)70
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 5:55MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q4 - 5:57BOSMISS Banks 16' Jump Shot70
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q4 - 6:18MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)70
15.0%
76
85.0%
Q4 - 6:44BOSBlount Dunk (12 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)70
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q4 - 7:00MIAHaslem Layup (16 PTS)68
14.8%
74
85.2%
Q4 - 7:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)68
20.9%
72
79.1%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup68
24.6%
72
75.4%
Q4 - 7:17BOSBanks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)68
20.7%
72
79.3%
Q4 - 7:25BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
26.3%
72
73.7%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot68
24.5%
72
75.5%
Q4 - 7:49BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)68
20.6%
72
79.4%
Q4 - 8:09MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
18.4%
72
81.6%
Q4 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)66
22.4%
70
77.6%
Q4 - 8:28BOSMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
23.9%
70
76.1%
Q4 - 8:35BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
27.3%
70
72.7%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot66
25.7%
70
74.3%
Q4 - 8:59BOSBanks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)66
22.4%
70
77.6%
Q4 - 9:12MIAButler Layup (12 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)63
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q4 - 9:16MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
22.5%
68
77.5%
Q4 - 9:36MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
19.5%
68
80.5%
Q4 - 9:38BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
20.8%
68
79.2%
Q4 - 9:59MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)63
23.8%
68
76.2%
Q4 - 10:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)63
20.5%
68
79.5%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q4 - 10:41BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)63
20.5%
68
79.5%
Q4 - 10:57MIAAlston 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
14.2%
68
85.8%
Q4 - 11:00BOSAlston STEAL (1 STL)60
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q4 - 11:24MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)60
21.6%
66
78.4%
Q4 - 11:47MIAHEAT Rebound60
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q4 - 11:47BOSWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)60
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
34.5%
63
65.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS James 21' Jump Shot60
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAWallace Layup (8 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)60
35.2%
63
64.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0BOSDavis Driving Dunk (7 PTS)60
40.0%
61
60.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)58
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0BOSWelsch Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)58
30.6%
61
69.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAOdom 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 1:10BOSWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
40.3%
59
59.7%
Q3 - 1:10BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
39.3%
59
60.7%
Q3 - 1:37MIAWallace 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)56
35.8%
59
64.2%
Q3 - 1:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)56
40.3%
57
59.7%
Q3 - 1:42BOSMISS Welsch 6' Jump Shot56
41.8%
57
58.2%
Q3 - 2:00MIAOdom 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q3 - 2:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)56
49.1%
55
50.9%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot56
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 2:18MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
49.2%
55
50.8%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 2:41MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
49.2%
55
50.8%
Q3 - 2:43BOSMISS Welsch Free Throw 2 of 256
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q3 - 2:43BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)56
53.0%
55
47.0%
Q3 - 2:54BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
49.6%
55
50.4%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Alston 6' Running Jump Shot55
48.1%
55
51.9%
Q3 - 3:04MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
44.9%
55
55.1%
Q3 - 3:06BOSMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot55
46.3%
55
53.7%
Q3 - 3:24MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)55
49.6%
55
50.4%
Q3 - 3:37BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
53.8%
53
46.2%
Q3 - 3:37BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 254
52.8%
53
47.2%
Q3 - 3:44BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
54.1%
53
45.9%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot54
52.6%
53
47.4%
Q3 - 4:03BOSStewart 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)54
48.8%
53
51.2%
Q3 - 4:18BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
53.8%
53
46.2%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Odom 16' Turnaround Jump Shot54
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q3 - 4:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
48.9%
53
51.1%
Q3 - 4:42BOSMISS James 18' Jump Shot54
50.4%
53
49.6%
Q3 - 4:56BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
53.8%
53
46.2%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot54
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q3 - 5:17BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
49.0%
53
51.0%
Q3 - 5:17BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
48.1%
53
51.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
45.1%
53
54.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
45.8%
52
54.2%
Q3 - 5:30MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
49.0%
51
51.0%
Q3 - 5:32BOSMISS McCarty 14' Jump Shot52
50.3%
51
49.7%
Q3 - 5:49BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
53.5%
51
46.5%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
52.1%
51
47.9%
Q3 - 6:10BOSBlount Layup (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)52
48.7%
51
51.3%
Q3 - 6:26MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)50
45.1%
51
54.9%
Q3 - 6:55BOSJames Driving Layup (5 PTS)50
48.8%
49
51.2%
Q3 - 6:57BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
45.1%
49
54.9%
Q3 - 6:59BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot48
42.1%
49
57.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)48
44.9%
49
55.1%
Q3 - 7:40BOSDavis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)48
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q3 - 7:45BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
48.8%
46
51.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Odom 17' Jump Shot46
47.4%
46
52.6%
Q3 - 8:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
44.6%
46
55.4%
Q3 - 8:09BOSMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
45.9%
46
54.1%
Q3 - 8:31BOSCeltics Rebound46
48.8%
46
51.2%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot46
47.5%
46
52.5%
Q3 - 8:55BOSMcCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)46
44.5%
46
55.5%
Q3 - 9:08MIAOdom Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)43
37.6%
46
62.4%
Q3 - 9:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
41.0%
44
59.0%
Q3 - 9:24BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot43
42.1%
44
57.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIAAlston Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
44.7%
44
55.3%
Q3 - 10:01BOSMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot43
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q3 - 10:07BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)43
48.0%
42
52.0%
Q3 - 10:09BOSMISS McCarty Free Throw 1 of 143
48.6%
42
51.4%
Q3 - 10:09BOSMcCarty 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)43
48.0%
42
52.0%
Q3 - 10:25BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
44.9%
42
55.1%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
43.7%
42
56.3%
Q3 - 10:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
41.0%
42
59.0%
Q3 - 10:43BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot41
42.2%
42
57.8%
Q3 - 10:54MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)41
44.9%
42
55.1%
Q3 - 11:24BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 2 AST)41
41.4%
42
58.6%
Q3 - 11:38MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q3 - 11:38MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS39
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound39
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 41' 3PT Jump Shot39
43.8%
40
56.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)39
42.3%
40
57.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0BOSPierce 15' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)38
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 236
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)36
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)36
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Odom 4' Hook Shot36
37.4%
39
62.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0BOSWelsch Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)35
32.9%
39
67.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)33
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0BOSMISS Welsch 20' Jump Shot33
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 1:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot33
34.6%
37
65.4%
Q2 - 1:11MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 1:14BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup33
34.0%
37
66.0%
Q2 - 1:19MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)33
35.1%
37
64.9%
Q2 - 1:35BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)33
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 1:54MIAHaslem 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)31
29.4%
37
70.6%
Q2 - 2:03MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
33.3%
35
66.7%
Q2 - 2:04BOSMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
34.1%
35
65.9%
Q2 - 2:20BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
36.0%
35
64.0%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Odom 19' Jump Shot31
35.2%
35
64.8%
Q2 - 2:49BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)31
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 2:54MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)29
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 3:09BOSMcCarty Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 3:09BOSMISS McCarty Free Throw 1 of 228
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 3:10BOSCeltics Rebound28
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 3:11BOSMISS Pierce 11' Jump Shot28
26.9%
35
73.1%
Q2 - 3:20MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)28
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 3:20MIAHEAT Rebound28
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Odom 6' Jump Shot28
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 3:22MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)28
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 3:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)28
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 4:10BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)28
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)26
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 4:52BOSBlount Tip Shot (8 PTS)26
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 4:54BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)24
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 4:55BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 224
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 4:55BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 224
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 5:18BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 5:20BOSMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q2 - 5:34MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)24
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 5:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)24
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot24
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q2 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)24
23.3%
33
76.7%
Q2 - 6:07BOSMISS Welsch 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q2 - 6:11BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
25.7%
33
74.3%
Q2 - 6:13BOSMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q2 - 6:13MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)24
25.7%
33
74.3%
Q2 - 6:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)24
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 6:39BOSHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)24
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q2 - 6:46MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
25.7%
33
74.3%
Q2 - 7:03BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P1.T5)24
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 7:12MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)24
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)24
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q2 - 7:25BOSMISS James Free Throw 2 of 224
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q2 - 7:25BOSJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
34.7%
29
65.3%
Q2 - 7:49BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
32.9%
29
67.1%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 8:09BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)23
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 8:09BOSPierce Driving Finger Roll (7 PTS)22
28.4%
29
71.6%
Q2 - 8:25MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)20
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 8:48BOSJames Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)20
30.6%
26
69.4%
Q2 - 8:59MIAWoods Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q2 - 9:01MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot18
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q2 - 9:19BOSBlount Foul Turnover (P2.T4)18
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q2 - 9:22BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS Woods Driving Finger Roll18
32.5%
24
67.5%
Q2 - 9:47BOSBlount Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
30.8%
24
69.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)18
33.4%
24
66.6%
Q2 - 10:29BOSBlount Layup (6 PTS)18
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q2 - 10:31BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
35.7%
21
64.3%
Q2 - 10:34BOSWoods BLOCK (1 BLK)16
33.9%
21
66.1%
Q2 - 10:52MIAWallace Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
35.7%
21
64.3%
Q2 - 11:13BOSMcCarty Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
37.8%
19
62.2%
Q2 - 11:13BOSMcCarty Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
37.2%
19
62.8%
Q2 - 11:33BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS14
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Banks Layup14
34.0%
19
66.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)14
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)14
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSBanks Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 1:12BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 214
35.3%
19
64.7%
Q1 - 1:14MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 1:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
36.0%
18
64.0%
Q1 - 1:23BOSOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)14
36.5%
18
63.5%
Q1 - 1:30MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 1:30MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)14
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 1:37BOSMISS Pierce 21' Jump Shot14
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 1:52MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)14
42.2%
16
57.8%
Q1 - 2:19BOSMcCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)14
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 2:34MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 211
43.1%
12
56.9%
Q1 - 2:52BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
42.7%
12
57.3%
Q1 - 3:08MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)11
45.0%
12
55.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
47.0%
10
53.0%
Q1 - 3:25BOSMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot11
47.8%
10
52.2%
Q1 - 3:43MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 3:54BOSBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
47.0%
10
53.0%
Q1 - 3:54BOSMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 210
46.5%
10
53.5%
Q1 - 4:05BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.3%
10
52.7%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot10
46.5%
10
53.5%
Q1 - 4:31BOSPierce 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 4:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
42.9%
10
57.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot8
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 4:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 4:47BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup8
41.1%
10
58.9%
Q1 - 5:03BOSCeltics Rebound8
42.8%
10
57.2%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot8
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
40.5%
10
59.5%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot8
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
40.5%
10
59.5%
Q1 - 5:34BOSMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 5:52MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)8
42.8%
10
57.2%
Q1 - 6:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)8
40.6%
10
59.4%
Q1 - 6:18BOSMISS Blount 6' Turnaround Jump Shot8
41.3%
10
58.7%
Q1 - 6:37MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)8
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
46.1%
8
53.9%
Q1 - 7:00MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 7:02BOSMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 7:07MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 7:26BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)5
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 7:50MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
42.7%
6
57.3%
Q1 - 7:52BOSMISS Welsch 3PT Jump Shot5
43.3%
6
56.7%
Q1 - 8:01BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot5
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
42.9%
6
57.1%
Q1 - 8:19BOSMISS McCarty 11' Jump Shot5
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 8:36MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)5
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 8:52BOSWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 8:52BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 9:11MIAAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)3
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 9:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 9:28BOSMISS Blount 5' Hook Shot3
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 9:38MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 9:45MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 9:47BOSMISS Welsch 15' Jump Shot3
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 9:48BOSCeltics Rebound3
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 9:49BOSAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)3
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 9:58BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot3
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:14MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 10:16BOSMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 23
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 10:16BOSBlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 10:29BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 10:50BOSBlount Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:53BOSCeltics Rebound0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:55BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 11:09MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:09MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
43.1%
1
56.9%
Q1 - 11:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:27BOSMISS Welsch 19' Jump Shot0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:36BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:48MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:50BOSMISS Pierce 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Allen vs. Blount: Tip to James0
46.4%
0
53.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.93 46.7%
MIA
0.92 46.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
14
22
64%
MIA
15
21
71%
Midrange
BOS
9
32
28%
MIA
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIA
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
BOS
19
30
63%
MIA
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2952%14.5 / 28
M. Blount1667%8.0 / 12
W. McCarty1454%7.0 / 13
M. James945%4.5 / 10
J. Welsch831%4.0 / 13
R. Davis739%3.5 / 9
M. Banks338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
U. Haslem1875%9.0 / 12
E. Jones1753%8.5 / 16
C. Butler1246%6.0 / 13
L. Odom1230%6.0 / 20
R. Alston1146%5.5 / 12
J. Wallace857%4.0 / 7
M. Allen467%2.0 / 3
L. Woods250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
80
+12
-10
92
MIA
69
+20
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.93 46.7%
MIA
0.92 46.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.2
99.3
BOS 95.6 +6.9
MIA 102.4
Pace
96.0
90.6
BOS 125.3 +61.4
MIA 64.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.0
BOS 11.5 +11.0
MIA 22.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
46.3%
BOS 46.5% +0.3%
MIA 46.2%
TO %
16.4%
14.4%
BOS 11.4% +5.2%
MIA 16.6%
ORB %
25.2%
27.5%
BOS 18.2%
MIA 38.1% +19.9%
FTrt
32.7
29.8
BOS 41.7 +24.0
MIA 17.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.2%
57.3%
BOS 53.3%
MIA 66.7% +13.4%
STL %
9.8%
7.9%
BOS 8.9% +7.7%
MIA 1.2%
BLK %
6.5%
6.3%
BOS 0.0%
MIA 11.1% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
48.3%
BOS 46.7% +0.5%
MIA 46.2%
Rim FG%
56.3%
53.9%
BOS 63.6%
MIA 71.4% +7.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
36.9%
BOS 28.1%
MIA 34.4% +6.3%
3P %
34.6%
35.7%
BOS 38.9% +12.0%
MIA 26.9%
FT %
75.0%
76.2%
BOS 63.3%
MIA 78.6% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
34.4%
BOS 30.6% +4.0%
MIA 26.6%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
44.5%
BOS 44.4%
MIA 40.5% +3.9%
3P Att. %
24.9%
21.1%
BOS 25.0%
MIA 32.9% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9082
Possession Minutes17.230.8
Points8684
Rebounds3452
Assists1622
Steals81
Blocks06
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals30-7233-79
At-the-Rim FG14-2215-21
Midrange FG9-3211-32
2-Point FG23-5426-53
3-Point FG7-187-26
Free Throws19-3011-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 245 · 30
45.5
14
54%
5
1
1
0
0
3
0
5
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
F · 6'7" 235 · 26
40.9
29
52%
8
3
3
0
2
4
1
7
3-6
50%
10-21
48%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 250 · 28
39.6
16
67%
7
2
0
0
2
3
6
1
2-4
50%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 29
33.9
9
45%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 208 · 24
26.5
8
31%
6
1
1
0
2
0
0
6
6-7
86%
1-7
14%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 24
29.1
7
39%
5
3
2
0
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 22
14.1
3
38%
0
1
1
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 230 · 29
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
F · 6'11" 240 · 32
F · 6'8" 230 · 25
F · 6'7" 266 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
34
16
8
0
10
0
8
26
19-30
63%
23-54
43%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.