Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 19, 2004

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	11	Hornets	29%	90	90
	3	Timberwolves	71%	97	97

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
NOH	97.8	92	94.6
MIN	107.8	90	87.6

Scoring Opportunities

NOH

+10

-19

MIN

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.08 54.2%

MIN

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	NOH	MIN
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIN		90 0%	97 100%
Q4 - 0:04.0	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)	90 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0	MIN	MISS Hassell Free Throw 2 of 2	90 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0	MIN	Hassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	90 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0	MIN	Hassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	90 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0	NOH	MISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot	90 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0	MIN	Cassell Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)	90 0.4%	96 99.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0	MIN	MISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 1	90 0.8%	95 99.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0	MIN	Garnett 11' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)	90 0.9%	95 99.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)	90 4.5%	93 95.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0	NOH	MISS Smith 15' Jump Shot	90 5.8%	93 94.2%
Q4 - 1:02	MIN	Cassell 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	90 11.8%	93 88.2%
Q4 - 1:12	NOH	Brown Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T19)	90 18.8%	91 81.2%
Q4 - 1:21	NOH	Hornets Rebound	90 30.8%	91 69.2%
Q4 - 1:23	NOH	MISS Augmon 17' Jump Shot	90 22.2%	91 77.8%
Q4 - 1:48	MIN	Cassell 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Sprewell 4 AST)	90 30.5%	91 69.5%
Q4 - 2:04	MIN	Hoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	90 38.5%	89 61.5%
Q4 - 2:06	NOH	MISS Augmon Dunk	90 43.1%	89 56.9%
Q4 - 2:35	MIN	Cassell 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	90 54.7%	89 45.3%
Q4 - 2:48	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)	90 60.3%	87 39.7%
Q4 - 2:49	NOH	MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot	90 65.3%	87 34.7%
Q4 - 3:14	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	90 72.4%	87 27.6%
Q4 - 3:16	MIN	MISS Sprewell 10' Jump Shot	90 68.6%	87 31.4%
Q4 - 3:31	NOH	Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)	90 55.9%	87 44.1%
Q4 - 3:59	MIN	Madsen Layup (8 PTS) (Sprewell 3 AST)	87 38.9%	87 61.1%
Q4 - 4:23	NOH	Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	87 47.8%	85 52.2%
Q4 - 4:23	NOH	MISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 2	86 46.6%	85 53.4%
Q4 - 4:25	MIN	Hoiberg Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	86 48.4%	85 51.6%
Q4 - 4:40	NOH	Armstrong 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)	86 38.5%	85 61.5%
Q4 - 4:57	MIN	Madsen Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)	84 30.5%	85 69.5%
Q4 - 5:16	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	84 23.0%	85 77.0%
Q4 - 5:18	NOH	MISS Smith 18' Jump Shot	84 24.9%	85 75.1%
Q4 - 5:57	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	84 29.8%	85 70.2%
Q4 - 5:57	MIN	Garnett Follow Up Dunk (27 PTS)	84 29.8%	85 70.2%
Q4 - 6:01	MIN	MISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot	84 40.6%	83 59.4%
Q4 - 6:10	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	84 34.9%	83 65.1%
Q4 - 6:11	NOH	MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	84 37.4%	83 62.6%
Q4 - 6:31	NOH	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	84 43.3%	83 56.7%
Q4 - 6:33	MIN	MISS Hoiberg 24' 3PT Jump Shot	84 40.7%	83 59.3%
Q4 - 6:46	NOH	Smith 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	84 35.1%	83 64.9%
Q4 - 7:06	NOH	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	82 29.1%	83 70.9%
Q4 - 7:08	MIN	MISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot	82 27.2%	83 72.8%
Q4 - 7:20	MIN	Hoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	82 23.1%	83 76.9%
Q4 - 7:22	NOH	MISS Davis 7' Jump Shot	82 24.8%	83 75.2%
Q4 - 7:46	MIN	Cassell 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Garnett 7 AST)	82 29.1%	83 70.9%
Q4 - 8:02	NOH	Smith 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)	82 34.3%	81 65.7%
Q4 - 8:22	MIN	Hassell 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 6 AST)	80 28.9%	81 71.1%
Q4 - 8:37	NOH	Augmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	80 34.3%	79 65.7%
Q4 - 8:37	NOH	Augmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	79 33.0%	79 67.0%
Q4 - 8:57	MIN	Sprewell Driving Layup (15 PTS)	78 28.9%	79 71.1%
Q4 - 9:16	NOH	Armstrong Driving Layup (12 PTS)	78 33.5%	77 66.5%
Q4 - 9:34	MIN	Trent Foul Turnover (P1.T12)	76 28.6%	77 71.4%
Q4 - 9:44	NOH	Rooks Traveling Turnover (P1.T18)	76 23.8%	77 76.2%
Q4 - 9:45	NOH	Rooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	76 28.6%	77 71.4%
Q4 - 9:46	MIN	MISS Hudson 14' Jump Shot	76 27.1%	77 72.9%
Q4 - 9:48	MIN	Hudson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	76 23.8%	77 76.2%
Q4 - 9:50	MIN	MISS Hudson 10' Jump Shot	76 27.1%	77 72.9%
Q4 - 9:55	MIN	Hoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	76 23.8%	77 76.2%
Q4 - 9:57	NOH	MISS Traylor 20' Jump Shot	76 25.2%	77 74.8%
Q4 - 10:23	MIN	Sprewell 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)	76 28.6%	77 71.4%
Q4 - 10:38	NOH	Smith Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Armstrong 8 AST)	76 33.1%	75 66.9%
Q4 - 11:01	MIN	Madsen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	74 28.8%	75 71.2%
Q4 - 11:01	MIN	Madsen Tip Shot (6 PTS)	74 28.8%	75 71.2%
Q4 - 11:02	MIN	MISS Madsen Layup	74 36.8%	73 63.2%
Q4 - 11:14	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	74 33.2%	73 66.8%
Q4 - 11:14	NOH	MISS Smith 11' Jump Shot	74 34.7%	73 65.3%
Q4 - 11:30	NOH	Traylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	74 38.4%	73 61.6%
Q4 - 11:31	MIN	MISS Trent 10' Jump Shot	74 36.8%	73 63.2%
Q4 - 11:41	MIN	Trent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	74 33.2%	73 66.8%
Q4 - 11:43	NOH	MISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot	74 34.7%	73 65.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH		74 38.4%	73 61.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	74 38.4%	73 61.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH	MISS Brown 14' Jump Shot	74 34.7%	73 65.3%
Q3 - 0:17.0	MIN	Hudson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	74 37.5%	73 62.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0	MIN	Hudson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	74 42.4%	71 57.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0	MIN	MISS Sprewell 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 45.9%	71 54.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0	NOH	Augmon 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	74 42.5%	71 57.5%
Q3 - 1:04	MIN	Sprewell 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)	72 36.7%	71 63.3%
Q3 - 1:24	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	72 41.2%	69 58.8%
Q3 - 1:25	NOH	MISS Davis Layup	72 42.7%	69 57.3%
Q3 - 1:42	NOH	Traylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	72 46.2%	69 53.8%
Q3 - 1:43	MIN	MISS Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	72 44.7%	69 55.3%
Q3 - 1:55	NOH	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)	72 41.3%	69 58.7%
Q3 - 1:55	NOH	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)	71 39.8%	69 60.2%
Q3 - 1:55	MIN	Madsen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)	70 36.7%	69 63.3%
Q3 - 1:59	MIN	Madsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	70 32.2%	69 67.8%
Q3 - 2:01	NOH	Garnett BLOCK (1 BLK)	70 32.6%	69 67.4%
Q3 - 2:20	MIN	Garnett 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)	70 35.8%	69 64.2%
Q3 - 2:49	NOH	Brown 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)	70 39.8%	67 60.2%
Q3 - 3:03	NOH	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	68 35.5%	67 64.5%
Q3 - 3:05	MIN	MISS Hoiberg 24' 3PT Jump Shot	68 34.2%	67 65.8%
Q3 - 3:19	NOH	Magloire Foul Turnover (P6.T17)	68 31.3%	67 68.7%
Q3 - 3:29	MIN	Hoiberg Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)	68 35.5%	67 64.5%
Q3 - 3:48	MIN	Hudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	68 39.5%	65 60.5%
Q3 - 3:49	NOH	MISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2	68 40.1%	65 59.9%
Q3 - 3:49	NOH	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	68 42.5%	65 57.5%
Q3 - 4:05	MIN	Garnett 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	67 38.8%	65 61.2%
Q3 - 4:10	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	67 42.3%	63 57.7%
Q3 - 4:11	MIN	MISS Sprewell 24' 3PT Jump Shot	67 45.8%	63 54.2%
Q3 - 4:33	NOH	Davis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Armstrong 7 AST)	67 42.5%	63 57.5%
Q3 - 4:51	NOH	Hornets Rebound	65 38.9%	63 61.1%
Q3 - 4:52	NOH	MISS Brown 13' Jump Shot	65 35.7%	63 64.3%
Q3 - 5:01	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	65 38.2%	63 61.8%
Q3 - 5:03	MIN	MISS Miller 5' Jump Shot	65 36.9%	63 63.1%
Q3 - 5:26	NOH	Armstrong 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)	65 34.1%	63 65.9%
Q3 - 5:46	MIN	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	63 30.7%	63 69.3%
Q3 - 5:49	NOH	Miller STEAL (2 STL)	63 27.0%	63 73.0%
Q3 - 6:09	MIN	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	63 30.2%	63 69.8%
Q3 - 6:10	NOH	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	63 26.7%	63 73.3%
Q3 - 6:10	NOH	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	62 25.7%	63 74.3%
Q3 - 6:27	MIN	Garnett 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	61 23.9%	63 76.1%
Q3 - 6:57	NOH	Magloire Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST)	61 26.8%	61 73.2%
Q3 - 7:02	MIN	Cassell Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)	59 23.9%	61 76.1%
Q3 - 7:22	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	59 20.8%	61 79.2%
Q3 - 7:23	NOH	MISS Lynch Layup	59 21.7%	61 78.3%
Q3 - 7:26	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	59 23.9%	61 76.1%
Q3 - 7:27	NOH	MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	59 21.7%	61 78.3%
Q3 - 7:49	MIN	Cassell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	59 23.9%	61 76.1%
Q3 - 7:51	MIN	Cassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	59 20.8%	61 79.2%
Q3 - 7:52	NOH	MISS Magloire 8' Jump Shot	59 21.7%	61 78.3%
Q3 - 8:16	MIN	Garnett Alley Oop Layup (19 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	59 23.8%	61 76.2%
Q3 - 8:28	NOH	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	59 26.3%	59 73.7%
Q3 - 8:28	NOH	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	58 25.8%	59 74.2%
Q3 - 8:46	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	57 23.8%	59 76.2%
Q3 - 8:48	NOH	MISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot	57 21.7%	59 78.3%
Q3 - 8:55	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	57 23.8%	59 76.2%
Q3 - 8:58	NOH	MISS Davis Layup	57 21.7%	59 78.3%
Q3 - 9:02	MIN	Garnett Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	57 23.2%	59 76.8%
Q3 - 9:18	NOH	Brown Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	57 20.7%	59 79.3%
Q3 - 9:18	NOH	Brown Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)	56 18.4%	59 81.6%
Q3 - 9:31	NOH	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	54 16.3%	59 83.7%
Q3 - 9:33	MIN	MISS Sprewell 21' Jump Shot	54 15.7%	59 84.3%
Q3 - 9:49	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	54 14.4%	59 85.6%
Q3 - 9:51	NOH	MISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 15.0%	59 85.0%
Q3 - 9:56	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	54 16.4%	59 83.6%
Q3 - 9:58	MIN	MISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot	54 15.7%	59 84.3%
Q3 - 10:14	MIN	Cassell Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)	54 14.3%	59 85.7%
Q3 - 10:14	NOH	Lynch Foul Turnover (P1.T15)	54 16.2%	58 83.8%
Q3 - 10:32	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 18.4%	58 81.6%
Q3 - 10:34	MIN	MISS Johnson Layup	54 17.7%	58 82.3%
Q3 - 10:51	MIN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	54 16.2%	58 83.8%
Q3 - 10:52	MIN	MISS Garnett Layup	54 17.7%	58 82.3%
Q3 - 11:09	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	54 16.2%	58 83.8%
Q3 - 11:11	NOH	MISS Davis 24' Jump Shot	54 16.8%	58 83.2%
Q3 - 11:40	MIN	Garnett 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	54 18.2%	58 81.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH		54 20.3%	56 79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	54 22.7%	56 77.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	MISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot	54 21.0%	56 79.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0	MIN	Cassell 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)	54 22.4%	56 77.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0	NOH	Armstrong Layup (8 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	54 25.6%	54 74.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	52 22.4%	54 77.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0	MIN	MISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot	52 21.9%	54 78.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0	NOH	Traylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	52 20.8%	54 79.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0	NOH	Traylor Tip Shot (11 PTS)	52 20.8%	54 79.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0	NOH	MISS Armstrong 23' Jump Shot	50 17.2%	54 82.8%
Q2 - 1:04	MIN	Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	50 18.2%	54 81.8%
Q2 - 1:04	MIN	MISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2	50 18.6%	53 81.4%
Q2 - 1:20	NOH	Magloire Foul Turnover (P5.T14)	50 19.1%	53 80.9%
Q2 - 1:33	MIN	Miller Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)	50 20.2%	53 79.8%
Q2 - 1:52	NOH	Augmon Layup (6 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)	50 23.4%	51 76.6%
Q2 - 1:58	MIN	Garnett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	48 20.2%	51 79.8%
Q2 - 2:20	NOH	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	48 18.8%	51 81.2%
Q2 - 2:20	NOH	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	47 18.2%	51 81.8%
Q2 - 2:32	NOH	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	46 16.9%	51 83.1%
Q2 - 2:33	MIN	MISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot	46 16.4%	51 83.6%
Q2 - 2:47	NOH	Davis Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)	46 15.3%	51 84.7%
Q2 - 3:05	MIN	Sprewell Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	46 17.1%	51 82.9%
Q2 - 3:09	NOH	Miller STEAL (1 STL)	46 18.7%	49 81.3%
Q2 - 3:26	MIN	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	46 20.8%	49 79.2%
Q2 - 3:26	MIN	Miller Tip Shot (2 PTS)	46 20.8%	49 79.2%
Q2 - 3:27	MIN	MISS Hassell 12' Jump Shot	46 24.3%	47 75.7%
Q2 - 3:40	NOH	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	46 22.6%	47 77.4%
Q2 - 3:40	NOH	MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 2	45 22.0%	47 78.0%
Q2 - 3:53	MIN	Garnett 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)	45 22.8%	47 77.2%
Q2 - 4:14	MIN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	45 24.6%	45 75.4%
Q2 - 4:16	NOH	MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 25.2%	45 74.8%
Q2 - 4:27	MIN	Garnett Layup (12 PTS)	45 26.8%	45 73.2%
Q2 - 4:42	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	45 29.1%	43 70.9%
Q2 - 4:44	NOH	MISS Magloire 19' Jump Shot	45 29.8%	43 70.2%
Q2 - 5:16	MIN	Garnett 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)	45 31.3%	43 68.7%
Q2 - 5:34	NOH	Davis Dunk (15 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)	45 33.6%	41 66.4%
Q2 - 5:37	MIN	Sprewell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	43 31.3%	41 68.7%
Q2 - 5:41	NOH	Sprewell STEAL (2 STL)	43 28.7%	41 71.3%
Q2 - 5:58	NOH	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 31.3%	41 68.7%
Q2 - 6:00	MIN	MISS Sprewell 3PT Jump Shot	43 30.5%	41 69.5%
Q2 - 6:21	NOH	Garnett STEAL (2 STL)	43 28.3%	41 71.7%
Q2 - 6:39	MIN	Cassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	43 31.1%	41 68.9%
Q2 - 6:39	MIN	Cassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	43 31.4%	40 68.6%
Q2 - 6:55	NOH	Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)	43 33.0%	39 67.0%
Q2 - 7:10	MIN	Cassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	40 28.4%	39 71.6%
Q2 - 7:10	MIN	Cassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	40 28.7%	38 71.3%
Q2 - 7:15	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	40 30.5%	37 69.5%
Q2 - 7:21	MIN	MISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot	40 32.2%	37 67.8%
Q2 - 7:31	NOH	Hoiberg STEAL (1 STL)	40 30.5%	37 69.5%
Q2 - 7:47	NOH	Traylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	40 33.0%	37 67.0%
Q2 - 7:48	MIN	MISS Trent 11' Jump Shot	40 32.2%	37 67.8%
Q2 - 7:58	MIN	Trent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	40 30.5%	37 69.5%
Q2 - 8:00	NOH	MISS Rooks 16' Jump Shot	40 31.2%	37 68.8%
Q2 - 8:12	MIN	Hoiberg Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	40 32.7%	37 67.3%
Q2 - 8:26	NOH	Augmon 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)	40 30.2%	37 69.8%
Q2 - 8:46	MIN	Hudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	38 28.3%	37 71.7%
Q2 - 8:46	MIN	Hudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	38 28.5%	36 71.5%
Q2 - 8:58	NOH	Smith Layup (3 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)	38 30.2%	35 69.8%
Q2 - 9:02	NOH	Rooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36 27.9%	35 72.1%
Q2 - 9:04	MIN	MISS Hassell 18' Jump Shot	36 27.2%	35 72.8%
Q2 - 9:24	NOH	Traylor Dunk (9 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)	36 25.7%	35 74.3%
Q2 - 9:32	MIN	Hassell 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Trent 1 AST)	34 24.1%	35 75.9%
Q2 - 9:53	NOH	Traylor Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	34 25.8%	33 74.2%
Q2 - 9:53	NOH	Traylor Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	33 23.9%	33 76.1%
Q2 - 10:14	MIN	Hassell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hoiberg 2 AST)	31 22.4%	33 77.6%
Q2 - 10:22	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	31 23.9%	31 76.1%
Q2 - 10:23	MIN	MISS Garnett 13' Jump Shot	31 25.4%	31 74.6%
Q2 - 10:39	NOH	Traylor 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rooks 1 AST)	31 23.9%	31 76.1%
Q2 - 10:59	MIN	Sprewell 17' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)	29 22.4%	31 77.6%
Q2 - 11:14	NOH	Traylor 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)	29 23.7%	29 76.3%
Q2 - 11:38	MIN	Garnett Dunk (8 PTS) (Sprewell 2 AST)	27 22.0%	29 78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIN		27 23.7%	27 76.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIN	MISS Madsen 63' 3PT Jump Shot	27 24.9%	27 75.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	27 23.7%	27 76.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0	NOH	Augmon 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)	27 23.7%	27 76.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0	MIN	Hudson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)	25 21.7%	27 78.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0	MIN	MISS Hoiberg Free Throw Technical	25 23.7%	25 76.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0	NOH	Davis Foul Turnover (P5.T8)	25 23.7%	25 76.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0	MIN	Madsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	25 25.1%	25 74.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0	MIN	Madsen Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)	25 25.1%	25 74.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0	MIN	MISS Garnett Layup	25 28.4%	23 71.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0	MIN	Madsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	25 27.3%	23 72.7%
Q1 - 1:01	NOH	MISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot	25 27.7%	23 72.3%
Q1 - 1:25	MIN	Garnett 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hoiberg 1 AST)	25 28.8%	23 71.2%
Q1 - 1:39	NOH	Madsen STEAL (2 STL)	25 31.2%	21 68.8%
Q1 - 1:49	NOH	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	25 32.8%	21 67.2%
Q1 - 1:50	MIN	MISS Sprewell 15' Jump Shot	25 32.3%	21 67.7%
Q1 - 2:03	NOH	Magloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	25 31.0%	21 69.0%
Q1 - 2:03	NOH	Magloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	24 30.5%	21 69.5%
Q1 - 2:05	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	23 28.9%	21 71.1%
Q1 - 2:07	MIN	MISS Cassell Layup	23 28.4%	21 71.6%
Q1 - 2:13	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	23 27.1%	21 72.9%
Q1 - 2:15	NOH	MISS Brown 10' Jump Shot	23 27.7%	21 72.3%
Q1 - 2:36	MIN	Cassell 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	23 28.9%	21 71.1%
Q1 - 2:44	NOH	Davis 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	23 31.0%	19 69.0%
Q1 - 2:58	NOH	Hornets Rebound	21 28.9%	19 71.1%
Q1 - 3:00	MIN	MISS Garnett 9' Jump Shot	21 28.3%	19 71.7%
Q1 - 3:08	NOH	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	21 26.6%	19 73.4%
Q1 - 3:08	NOH	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	20 26.0%	19 74.0%
Q1 - 3:08	NOH	Smith Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	19 25.1%	19 74.9%
Q1 - 3:23	NOH	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	18 23.4%	19 76.6%
Q1 - 3:24	MIN	MISS Garnett 12' Jump Shot	18 22.9%	19 77.1%
Q1 - 3:40	MIN	Cassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 21.7%	19 78.3%
Q1 - 3:41	NOH	MISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot	18 22.2%	19 77.8%
Q1 - 3:50	NOH	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 23.4%	19 76.6%
Q1 - 3:52	MIN	MISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot	18 22.9%	19 77.1%
Q1 - 4:09	NOH	Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	18 21.3%	19 78.7%
Q1 - 4:28	MIN	Sprewell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)	15 18.8%	19 81.2%
Q1 - 4:37	NOH	Madsen STEAL (1 STL)	15 21.4%	16 78.6%
Q1 - 4:51	NOH	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	15 23.2%	16 76.8%
Q1 - 4:52	NOH	MISS Magloire 16' Jump Shot	15 21.9%	16 78.1%
Q1 - 5:10	MIN	Hoiberg 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)	15 22.8%	16 77.2%
Q1 - 5:16	MIN	Madsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 24.1%	14 75.9%
Q1 - 5:18	NOH	MISS Magloire 10' Jump Shot	15 24.7%	14 75.3%
Q1 - 5:40	MIN	Cassell Driving Layup (4 PTS)	15 25.9%	14 74.1%
Q1 - 5:46	NOH	Garnett STEAL (1 STL)	15 27.4%	12 72.6%
Q1 - 6:05	MIN	Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	15 28.7%	12 71.3%
Q1 - 6:05	MIN	Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	15 29.1%	11 70.9%
Q1 - 6:16	NOH	Davis Foul Turnover (P3.T4)	15 30.3%	10 69.7%
Q1 - 6:19	NOH	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 32.1%	10 67.9%
Q1 - 6:21	MIN	MISS Cassell 13' Jump Shot	15 31.6%	10 68.4%
Q1 - 6:33	NOH	Sprewell STEAL (1 STL)	15 30.3%	10 69.7%
Q1 - 6:46	MIN	Madsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	15 32.2%	10 67.8%
Q1 - 6:46	MIN	Madsen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	15 32.8%	9 67.2%
Q1 - 7:07	NOH	Davis Layup (6 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)	15 32.7%	8 67.3%
Q1 - 7:11	MIN	Sprewell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	13 31.3%	8 68.7%
Q1 - 7:24	NOH	Magloire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	13 29.5%	8 70.5%
Q1 - 7:33	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	13 31.3%	8 68.7%
Q1 - 7:34	MIN	MISS Hassell 12' Jump Shot	13 30.8%	8 69.2%
Q1 - 7:40	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	13 29.6%	8 70.4%
Q1 - 7:41	NOH	MISS Brown 19' Jump Shot	13 30.1%	8 69.9%
Q1 - 8:00	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	13 31.4%	8 68.6%
Q1 - 8:02	MIN	MISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	13 30.5%	8 69.5%
Q1 - 8:24	NOH	Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)	13 29.3%	8 70.7%
Q1 - 8:42	NOH	Hornets Rebound	10 26.4%	8 73.6%
Q1 - 8:42	MIN	MISS Garnett 8' Jump Shot	10 25.9%	8 74.1%
Q1 - 8:56	NOH	Magloire Slam Dunk (2 PTS)	10 24.8%	8 75.2%
Q1 - 9:07	MIN	Sprewell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	8 23.5%	8 76.5%
Q1 - 9:07	MIN	Sprewell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	8 23.8%	7 76.2%
Q1 - 9:12	NOH	Lynch Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)	8 24.5%	6 75.5%
Q1 - 9:31	MIN	Garnett 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sprewell 1 AST)	6 23.5%	6 76.5%
Q1 - 9:42	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 24.6%	4 75.4%
Q1 - 9:43	NOH	MISS Armstrong Layup	6 25.1%	4 74.9%
Q1 - 9:50	MIN	Johnson Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)	6 26.4%	4 73.6%
Q1 - 10:07	NOH	Brown 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)	6 27.4%	2 72.6%
Q1 - 10:20	NOH	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 26.1%	2 73.9%
Q1 - 10:21	MIN	MISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot	4 25.6%	2 74.4%
Q1 - 10:46	NOH	Davis Driving Layup (4 PTS)	4 24.5%	2 75.5%
Q1 - 10:51	MIN	Cassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	2 23.4%	2 76.6%
Q1 - 11:05	NOH	Davis Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	2 21.9%	2 78.1%
Q1 - 11:10	MIN	Cassell Layup (2 PTS)	0 20.6%	2 79.4%
Q1 - 11:16	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 21.9%	0 78.1%
Q1 - 11:17	NOH	MISS Davis Layup	0 22.3%	0 77.7%
Q1 - 11:29	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 23.1%	0 76.9%
Q1 - 11:31	NOH	MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	0 22.3%	0 77.7%
Q1 - 11:36	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 23.1%	0 76.9%
Q1 - 11:38	MIN	MISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot	0 22.8%	0 77.2%
Q1 - 11:42	NOH	Johnson STEAL (1 STL)	0 21.9%	0 78.1%
Q1 - 12:00	MIN	Jump Ball Garnett vs. Magloire: Tip to Armstrong	0 23.1%	0 76.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.08 54.2%

MIN

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOH

73%

MIN

71%

Midrange

NOH

41%

MIN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOH

6.0

27%

40%

MIN

1.5

11%

17%

Free Throws

NOH

87%

MIN

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Davis	25	50%	12.5 / 25
D. Armstrong	18	69%	9.0 / 13
R. Traylor	11	79%	5.5 / 7
S. Augmon	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Brown	9	45%	4.5 / 10
S. Smith	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Magloire	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Lynch	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Rooks	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Garnett	29	58%	14.5 / 25
S. Cassell	22	61%	11.0 / 18
L. Sprewell	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Madsen	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Hassell	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. Hudson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
F. Hoiberg	4	50%	2.0 / 4
O. Miller	4	67%	2.0 / 3
E. Johnson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Trent	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH

+10

-19

MIN

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.08 54.2%

MIN

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	99.8 103.3	NOH 97.8 +10.0 MIN 107.8
Pace	91.4 91.2	NOH 94.6 +7.1 MIN 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15.5 16.1	NOH 15.2 +1.2 MIN 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	46.0% 48.6%	NOH 50.7% MIN 51.9% +1.2%
TO %	15.3% 13.4%	NOH 19.4% MIN 13.9% +5.5%
ORB %	30.6% 26.8%	NOH 19.4% MIN 25.7% +6.3%
FTrt	29.3 26.5	NOH 33.3 +7.7 MIN 25.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	61.9% 62.3%	NOH 75.8% +18.3% MIN 57.5%
STL %	9.4% 7.5%	NOH 8.7% MIN 11.1% +2.4%
BLK %	6.7% 8.5%	NOH 2.9% +1.0% MIN 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	48.1% 50.3%	NOH 54.2% MIN 54.5% +0.3%
Rim FG%	54.9% 59.8%	NOH 72.7% +1.3% MIN 71.4%
Mid FG%	37.9% 42.9%	NOH 40.6% MIN 50.0% +9.4%
3P %	31.9% 36.3%	NOH 26.7% +15.6% MIN 11.1%
FT %	75.1% 78.1%	NOH 87.0% +7.0% MIN 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.8% 24.5%	NOH 31.9% +5.0% MIN 26.9%
Mid Att. %	42.0% 61.8%	NOH 46.4% +15.2% MIN 61.5%
3P Att. %	25.2% 13.7%	NOH 21.7% +10.2% MIN 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.5 and 3.5.

Game Totals	NOH	MIN
Possessions	92	90
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	90	97
Rebounds	32	34
Assists	25	23
Steals	8	10
Blocks	2	1
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	25 (2)
Field Goals	33-69	40-78
At-the-Rim FG	16-22	15-21
Midrange FG	13-32	24-48
2-Point FG	29-54	39-69
3-Point FG	4-15	1-9
Free Throws	20-23	16-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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11 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 36	41.0	18	69%	3	8	1	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
P.J. Brown F · 6'11" 239 · 34	36.7	9	45%	3	2	2	1	1	3	1	2	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 26	35.2	6	43%	9	1	0	0	6	4	0	9	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Baron Davis G · 6'3" 212 · 25	32.8	25	50%	3	5	3	0	7	3	1	2	10-12	83%	6-12	50%	1-7	14%
George Lynch F · 6'8" 235 · 33	20.0	2	50%	7	2	1	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Stacey Augmon F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35	28.0	10	71%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Steven Smith G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35	22.2	9	50%	1	5	0	1	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Robert Traylor F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27	15.8	11	79%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Sean Rooks C · 6'10" 260 · 34	8.2	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 23
Bryce Drew G · 6'3" 184 · 29
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	54%	32	25	8	2	19	0	6	26	20-23	87%	29-54	54%	4-15	27%

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11 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 36	41.0	18	69%	3	8	1	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
P.J. Brown F · 6'11" 239 · 34	36.7	9	45%	3	2	2	1	1	3	1	2	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 26	35.2	6	43%	9	1	0	0	6	4	0	9	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Baron Davis G · 6'3" 212 · 25	32.8	25	50%	3	5	3	0	7	3	1	2	10-12	83%	6-12	50%	1-7	14%
George Lynch F · 6'8" 235 · 33	20.0	2	50%	7	2	1	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Stacey Augmon F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35	28.0	10	71%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Steven Smith G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35	22.2	9	50%	1	5	0	1	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Robert Traylor F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27	15.8	11	79%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Sean Rooks C · 6'10" 260 · 34	8.2	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 23
Bryce Drew G · 6'3" 184 · 29
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	54%	32	25	8	2	19	0	6	26	20-23	87%	29-54	54%	4-15	27%

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3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 28	40.8	29	58%	15	7	2	1	2	1	3	12	3-5	60%	13-22	59%	0-0	-
Latrell Sprewell F · 6'5" 195 · 33	39.9	15	58%	0	4	2	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Sam Cassell G · 6'3" 185 · 34	34.9	22	61%	2	4	0	0	3	3	0	2	6-6	100%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Trenton Hassell G · 6'5" 227 · 25	27.9	7	50%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Ervin Johnson C · 6'11" 245 · 36	7.8	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Mark Madsen F · 6'9" 255 · 28	26.9	8	67%	5	0	2	0	2	3	2	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Fred Hoiberg G · 6'5" 210 · 31	26.2	4	50%	3	2	1	0	2	4	0	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Troy Hudson G · 6'1" 178 · 28	15.4	6	50%	3	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Oliver Miller C · 6'9" 315 · 34	13.1	4	67%	2	2	2	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Gary Trent F · 6'8" 250 · 29	7.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Anthony Goldwire G · 6'2" 182 · 32
Ndudi Ebi F · 6'9" 195 · 20
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	55%	34	23	10	1	14	0	9	25	16-20	80%	39-69	57%	1-9	11%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE