FinalWin Prob.pScore
1452%105
99
2348%104
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
98.010199.8
ORL logo ORL
109.39798.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL99
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLGiricek Slam Dunk (11 PTS)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILGiricek STEAL (2 STL)99
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)99
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)99
1.7%
103
98.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILStrickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)99
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLMcGrady Slam Dunk (32 PTS)96
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)96
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)96
5.4%
100
94.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
6.2%
99
93.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)96
10.2%
98
89.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot93
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 1:01MILStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)93
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 1:08ORLStrickland Driving Layup (12 PTS)90
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 1:17MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 1:17MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 1:17MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 1:19ORLMISS Giricek 10' Running Jump Shot88
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 1:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)88
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 1:44MILMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 288
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 1:44MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)88
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 1:49MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 1:51ORLMISS Strickland 23' Jump Shot87
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 2:14MILRedd Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)87
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 2:26MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 2:28ORLMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot85
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 2:48MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)85
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 2:48MILThomas 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 2:57ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)82
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 2:57ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 3:08MILMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot82
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 3:22ORLStrickland 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 3:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 3:31MILMISS Thomas 10' Running Jump Shot82
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 3:35MILBucks Rebound82
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 3:35MILHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)82
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 3:39MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMISS Gooden 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 3:54ORLMAGIC Rebound82
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 3:56ORLMISS Gooden 13' Hook Shot82
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 4:17MILMason 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)82
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 4:23ORLGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)79
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 4:42MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 4:42MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 4:42MILBucks Rebound77
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:43MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:48MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:50ORLMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 5:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:18MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 277
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:18MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 5:36ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (17 PTS)76
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:58MILSkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:58MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:58MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)74
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 6:00MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot74
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 6:13MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 6:15ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot74
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 6:30ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)74
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 6:32ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot74
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 6:49MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 6:49MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 273
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 7:18ORLHoward 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)73
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 7:40MILSmith 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)73
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 7:48MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 7:50ORLMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot71
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 8:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 8:02MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 8:14MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 8:17ORLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 8:33ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 8:35MILMISS Mason Layup71
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 8:52ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)71
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 9:03ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 9:05MILMISS Mason Alley Oop Dunk71
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 9:19MILBucks Rebound71
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 9:21ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 9:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 9:33MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 9:45MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 9:47ORLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot71
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 10:08MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)71
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 10:08MILSmith Layup (16 PTS)70
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 10:09MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 10:10MILMISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot68
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 10:19MILBucks Rebound68
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 10:20MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot68
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 10:40ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)68
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 10:46ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 10:48MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Shot68
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 11:13ORLPachulia Layup (11 PTS)68
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 11:25MILWilliams STEAL (1 STL)68
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q4 - 11:42ORLGooden 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)68
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL68
10.2%
78
89.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.2%
78
86.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILBogans STEAL (1 STL)68
11.6%
78
88.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)68
13.8%
78
86.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)68
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILMason 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)68
16.4%
76
83.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)66
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q3 - 1:13MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
20.8%
73
79.2%
Q3 - 1:13MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
20.3%
73
79.7%
Q3 - 1:15MILBucks Rebound64
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q3 - 1:17MILMISS Kukoc 7' Running Jump Shot64
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q3 - 1:37ORLStrickland 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q3 - 1:48ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
20.7%
71
79.3%
Q3 - 1:51MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
21.7%
71
78.3%
Q3 - 2:08ORLStrickland 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)64
25.2%
71
74.8%
Q3 - 2:29ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
28.5%
69
71.5%
Q3 - 2:31MILMISS Redd Reverse Layup64
29.8%
69
70.2%
Q3 - 2:39MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
32.8%
69
67.2%
Q3 - 2:41ORLMISS McGrady 23' Jump Shot64
31.4%
69
68.6%
Q3 - 2:47ORLMAGIC Rebound64
28.5%
69
71.5%
Q3 - 2:47ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot64
31.4%
69
68.6%
Q3 - 3:02MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
29.6%
69
70.4%
Q3 - 3:25ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
33.6%
69
66.4%
Q3 - 3:25ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
34.3%
68
65.7%
Q3 - 3:44MILSmith 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)64
37.4%
67
62.6%
Q3 - 3:56MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
33.5%
67
66.5%
Q3 - 3:57ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 262
33.0%
67
67.0%
Q3 - 3:57ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
30.4%
67
69.6%
Q3 - 4:08MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 4:08MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
33.2%
66
66.8%
Q3 - 4:21ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)60
30.6%
66
69.4%
Q3 - 4:21ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 260
31.2%
65
68.8%
Q3 - 4:34MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 4:34MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 259
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 4:52ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (22 PTS)59
30.5%
65
69.5%
Q3 - 5:01ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
34.7%
63
65.3%
Q3 - 5:04MILMISS Redd Driving Layup59
35.9%
63
64.1%
Q3 - 5:10MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q3 - 5:12ORLMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot59
37.5%
63
62.5%
Q3 - 5:32MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
34.6%
63
65.4%
Q3 - 5:32MILSkinner Tip Shot (11 PTS)59
34.6%
63
65.4%
Q3 - 5:34MILMISS Thomas Layup57
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q3 - 5:42MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
31.2%
63
68.8%
Q3 - 5:45ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q3 - 6:02MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
28.4%
63
71.6%
Q3 - 6:02MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
27.8%
63
72.2%
Q3 - 6:11ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)55
25.5%
63
74.5%
Q3 - 6:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
22.3%
63
77.7%
Q3 - 6:23MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 255
22.7%
63
77.3%
Q3 - 6:23MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
24.8%
63
75.2%
Q3 - 6:41ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)54
22.5%
63
77.5%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q3 - 6:58MILHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)54
26.2%
61
73.8%
Q3 - 7:16MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
29.1%
61
70.9%
Q3 - 7:17ORLMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
28.0%
61
72.0%
Q3 - 7:36MILSkinner 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 7:52MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
23.1%
61
76.9%
Q3 - 7:53ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 252
22.7%
61
77.3%
Q3 - 7:53ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 252
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q3 - 8:06MILThomas Driving Layup (9 PTS)52
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q3 - 8:25MILBucks Rebound50
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 8:25ORLMISS Bogans Layup50
18.0%
61
82.0%
Q3 - 8:30ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)50
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 8:33MILMISS Redd Layup50
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 8:38ORLDeClercq Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)50
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 8:41MILSkinner 3' Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 8:57ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)48
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q3 - 8:57ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 248
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 9:03ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
15.2%
60
84.8%
Q3 - 9:04MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot48
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q3 - 9:14MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
17.2%
60
82.8%
Q3 - 9:16ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot48
16.6%
60
83.4%
Q3 - 9:29MILMason 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
15.1%
60
84.9%
Q3 - 9:48MILBucks Rebound46
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 9:49ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot46
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q3 - 10:07ORLMAGIC Rebound46
12.5%
60
87.5%
Q3 - 10:07MILDeClercq BLOCK (1 BLK)46
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 10:19ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)46
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 10:19ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bogans 5 AST)46
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 10:34MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 146
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 10:34MILRedd Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)46
17.9%
57
82.1%
Q3 - 10:39MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
16.1%
57
83.9%
Q3 - 10:41ORLMISS Howard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot44
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q3 - 10:52ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q3 - 10:54MILMISS Skinner 19' Jump Shot44
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 11:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 11:20ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 11:45MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)44
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL42
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)42
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound42
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)42
12.2%
57
87.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot42
13.4%
57
86.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 242
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILMason 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (14 PTS)40
12.5%
56
87.5%
Q2 - 1:07ORLMAGIC Rebound40
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 1:09MILMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot40
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q2 - 1:29ORLHoward 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)40
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q2 - 1:34ORLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q2 - 1:36ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Layup40
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q2 - 1:42MILMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)40
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q2 - 2:03ORLGooden 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q2 - 2:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q2 - 2:19MILMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot40
24.3%
50
75.7%
Q2 - 2:27MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
25.8%
50
74.2%
Q2 - 2:29ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
25.2%
50
74.8%
Q2 - 2:47MILMason Layup (8 PTS)40
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q2 - 3:07ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)38
22.7%
50
77.3%
Q2 - 3:33MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)38
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 3:56ORLGiricek 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 4:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
23.5%
46
76.5%
Q2 - 4:09MILMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot35
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 4:30ORLGooden 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)35
25.5%
46
74.5%
Q2 - 4:47MILMason 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
27.8%
44
72.2%
Q2 - 4:57MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
25.5%
44
74.5%
Q2 - 5:00ORLMISS McGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot33
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 5:14MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 5:14MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q2 - 5:31ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)31
22.0%
44
78.0%
Q2 - 5:39ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
26.0%
41
74.0%
Q2 - 5:41MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q2 - 6:01ORLStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)31
29.3%
41
70.7%
Q2 - 6:16MILMason Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Gadzuric 2 AST)31
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 6:20ORLStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
24.9%
41
75.1%
Q2 - 6:22ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 6:24ORLMISS Nailon Layup29
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 6:39MILMason 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)29
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 6:56ORLGiricek 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 7:10MILThomas 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
23.8%
39
76.2%
Q2 - 7:30ORLGiricek Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Bogans 4 AST)25
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 7:51ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 7:53MILMISS Kukoc 18' Jump Shot25
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 8:09ORLGiricek 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)25
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q2 - 8:23MILMason Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
30.1%
34
69.9%
Q2 - 8:41ORLPachulia 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)25
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q2 - 8:50ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
34.7%
32
65.3%
Q2 - 8:51MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot25
35.5%
32
64.5%
Q2 - 9:01MILBucks Rebound25
37.7%
32
62.3%
Q2 - 9:02MILMISS Kukoc 21' Jump Shot25
35.9%
32
64.1%
Q2 - 9:14ORLStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
37.7%
32
62.3%
Q2 - 9:25MILGadzuric Layup (2 PTS)25
39.8%
30
60.2%
Q2 - 9:29ORLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)23
37.7%
30
62.3%
Q2 - 9:34MILGiricek STEAL (1 STL)23
35.1%
30
64.9%
Q2 - 9:50ORLPachulia Layup (7 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)23
37.7%
30
62.3%
Q2 - 10:08ORLNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
39.9%
28
60.1%
Q2 - 10:10MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot23
40.7%
28
59.3%
Q2 - 10:27ORLStrickland 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)23
42.6%
28
57.4%
Q2 - 10:40ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q2 - 10:42MILMISS Gadzuric 7' Hook Shot23
45.6%
26
54.4%
Q2 - 10:56MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
47.5%
26
52.5%
Q2 - 10:59ORLMISS Bogans 18' Jump Shot23
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q2 - 11:14ORLMAGIC Rebound23
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Redd Driving Layup23
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q2 - 11:27ORLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
47.4%
26
52.6%
Q2 - 11:43ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Redd 18' Turnaround Jump Shot23
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL23
47.4%
26
52.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound23
47.4%
26
52.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ford 33' 3PT Jump Shot23
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLPachulia Layup (5 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)23
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILRedd 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)23
50.0%
24
50.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
47.1%
24
52.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
45.3%
24
54.7%
Q1 - 1:08MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q1 - 1:10MILMISS Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q1 - 1:33ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)21
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q1 - 1:48MILSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)21
50.1%
22
49.9%
Q1 - 2:09ORLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 2:09ORLPachulia Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)19
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q1 - 2:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
52.5%
19
47.5%
Q1 - 2:12MILMISS Skinner Layup19
53.2%
19
46.8%
Q1 - 2:17MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
54.7%
19
45.3%
Q1 - 2:23ORLMISS McGrady 6' Running Jump Shot19
54.0%
19
46.0%
Q1 - 2:45MILSmith Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)19
52.5%
19
47.5%
Q1 - 2:59MILBucks Rebound17
50.0%
19
50.0%
Q1 - 2:59MILMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot17
48.5%
19
51.5%
Q1 - 3:06MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
50.3%
19
49.7%
Q1 - 3:09ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot17
49.5%
19
50.5%
Q1 - 3:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 3:15MILMISS Redd 9' Running Jump Shot17
48.5%
19
51.5%
Q1 - 3:23ORLGooden Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
50.3%
19
49.7%
Q1 - 3:41MILFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
47.8%
19
52.2%
Q1 - 3:41MILFord Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
45.5%
19
54.5%
Q1 - 3:55ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)14
43.5%
19
56.5%
Q1 - 4:01ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 4:03MILMISS Skinner 9' Jump Shot14
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 4:22ORLGooden 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)14
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 4:40MILThomas 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
50.0%
15
50.0%
Q1 - 5:01ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)12
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 5:17MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)12
50.3%
13
49.7%
Q1 - 5:39ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)10
48.4%
13
51.6%
Q1 - 5:44ORLMAGIC Rebound10
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 5:44ORLMISS McGrady Reverse Layup10
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 5:56ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 5:58MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 6:05MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 6:07ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot10
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 6:16ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)10
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 6:18MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 6:31ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 6:35ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 6:37MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 6:44MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 6:46ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 6:52ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 6:55MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 7:11ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)10
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 7:24ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
54.3%
9
45.7%
Q1 - 7:25MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 210
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 7:25MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
55.6%
9
44.4%
Q1 - 7:39MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
54.5%
9
45.5%
Q1 - 7:41ORLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot9
53.9%
9
46.1%
Q1 - 7:52ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.4%
9
47.6%
Q1 - 7:53MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot9
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 8:12ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 8:16MILMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)9
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 8:35ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS)9
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 8:49MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
56.5%
7
43.5%
Q1 - 8:49MILSkinner Slam Dunk (4 PTS)9
56.5%
7
43.5%
Q1 - 8:52MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot7
53.4%
7
46.6%
Q1 - 8:57MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
54.9%
7
45.1%
Q1 - 8:59ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup7
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 9:13ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
52.4%
7
47.6%
Q1 - 9:16ORLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
54.1%
7
45.9%
Q1 - 9:29MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
52.5%
7
47.5%
Q1 - 9:39ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
49.2%
7
50.8%
Q1 - 9:39ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
49.5%
6
50.5%
Q1 - 9:55MILFord Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
50.6%
5
49.4%
Q1 - 10:01MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.0%
5
51.0%
Q1 - 10:03ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot2
48.4%
5
51.6%
Q1 - 10:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
46.9%
5
53.1%
Q1 - 10:08ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot2
48.4%
5
51.6%
Q1 - 10:23MILSkinner 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
46.9%
5
53.1%
Q1 - 10:37MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.3%
5
54.7%
Q1 - 10:39ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot0
44.7%
5
55.3%
Q1 - 10:48ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 10:50MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.8%
5
56.2%
Q1 - 11:10ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)0
45.3%
5
54.7%
Q1 - 11:20ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 11:22MILMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot0
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 11:40ORLLue 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball DeClercq vs. Skinner: Tip to Bogans0
52.7%
0
47.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.94 47.1%
ORL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
27
56%
ORL
15
20
75%
Midrange
MIL
14
38
37%
ORL
20
43
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
ORL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIL
23
30
77%
ORL
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith1959%9.5 / 16
M. Redd1838%9.0 / 24
D. Mason1856%9.0 / 16
T. Thomas1750%8.5 / 17
B. Skinner1359%6.5 / 11
E. Strickland788%3.5 / 4
T. Ford536%2.5 / 7
D. Gadzuric250%1.0 / 2
D. Jones0-0.0 / 2
T. Kukoc0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3453%17.0 / 32
J. Howard1948%9.5 / 20
R. Strickland1255%6.0 / 11
Z. Pachulia1179%5.5 / 7
G. Giricek1192%5.5 / 6
D. Gooden964%4.5 / 7
K. Bogans857%4.0 / 7
T. Lue233%1.0 / 3
A. DeClercq0-0.0 / 0
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
L. Nailon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
91
+14
-10
105
ORL
87
+8
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.94 47.1%
ORL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
100.3
MIL 98.0 +11.3
ORL 109.3
Pace
94.2
93.1
MIL 99.8 +1.7
ORL 98.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.2
MIL 14.4 +0.2
ORL 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
46.1%
MIL 44.7%
ORL 53.7% +9.0%
TO %
13.7%
13.8%
MIL 10.1%
ORL 9.8% +0.3%
ORB %
27.6%
28.1%
MIL 13.6% +0.1%
ORL 13.5%
FTrt
33.0
29.6
MIL 35.3 +6.0
ORL 29.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.0%
54.5%
MIL 48.6%
ORL 53.7% +5.1%
STL %
7.1%
7.1%
MIL 5.0%
ORL 7.2% +2.2%
BLK %
7.1%
5.6%
MIL 6.3% +0.1%
ORL 6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
48.1%
MIL 47.1%
ORL 54.6% +7.5%
Rim FG%
55.7%
52.9%
MIL 55.6%
ORL 75.0% +19.4%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.2%
MIL 36.8%
ORL 46.5% +9.7%
3P %
35.0%
34.4%
MIL 30.0%
ORL 31.6% +1.6%
FT %
77.5%
73.7%
MIL 76.7% +1.7%
ORL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.8%
29.7%
MIL 31.8% +7.4%
ORL 24.4%
Mid Att. %
46.0%
51.8%
MIL 44.7% +7.7%
ORL 52.4%
3P Att. %
17.2%
18.4%
MIL 23.5% +0.4%
ORL 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions10197
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points99106
Rebounds3843
Assists1722
Steals57
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (8)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)38 (3)
Field Goals35-8541-82
At-the-Rim FG15-2715-20
Midrange FG14-3820-43
2-Point FG29-6535-63
3-Point FG6-206-19
Free Throws23-3018-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
38.0
17
50%
5
2
1
0
0
5
0
5
6-7
86%
4-7
57%
1-6
17%
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
35.0
18
38%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
6-9
67%
3-13
23%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
32.6
19
59%
8
0
0
2
1
3
2
6
5-5
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 255 · 28
29.8
13
59%
11
0
0
1
1
1
4
7
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 21
29.7
5
36%
4
10
1
0
3
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 222 · 26
28.9
18
56%
3
0
0
0
3
3
0
3
1-2
50%
7-13
54%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
18.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 35
16.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
5.4
2
50%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 30
5.3
7
88%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 256 · 28
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
47%
38
17
5
4
10
0
6
32
23-30
77%
29-65
45%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.