FinalWin Prob.pScore
2532%93
80
1668%99
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.99192.2
DEN logo DEN
98.98987.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN80
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENLenard 8' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)80
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIANene BLOCK (2 BLK)80
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 1:12DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P5.T19)80
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHaslem Layup (7 PTS)80
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)78
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 1:51DENWhite 7' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)78
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 2:13MIAOdom Driving Finger Roll (26 PTS)78
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 2:32DENAnthony Layup (31 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)76
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 2:55MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)76
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 3:08DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)74
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 3:15MIAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)74
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 3:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 3:21DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot74
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 3:36DENNUGGETS Rebound74
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 3:36DENMISS White 20' Jump Shot74
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)74
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 4:02DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T17)74
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q4 - 4:21MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 4:21MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 4:34DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)72
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS)72
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:59DENMISS Lenard Driving Layup70
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 5:19MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)70
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)69
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 5:33DENWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 5:33DENWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)68
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 6:04DENWhite 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 6:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Jones 11' Turnaround Jump Shot66
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 6:30DENAnthony Driving Dunk (29 PTS)66
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 6:46DENNUGGETS Rebound66
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 6:47DENMISS White 23' Jump Shot66
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 7:16MIAOdom Dunk (22 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)66
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q4 - 7:23DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)64
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 7:27DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS Grant 8' Turnaround Jump Shot64
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 7:54DENLenard Layup (16 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)64
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 8:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot64
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q4 - 8:37DENWhite Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)64
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 8:53MIAGrant Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)64
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q4 - 9:06DENNene Foul Turnover (P3.T14)64
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q4 - 9:17MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)64
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q4 - 9:17MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)63
5.8%
72
94.2%
Q4 - 9:17MIAHeat Rebound62
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q4 - 9:17MIALenard BLOCK (1 BLK)62
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 9:24DENLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)62
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q4 - 9:34DENNUGGETS Rebound62
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q4 - 9:34DENMISS White 17' Jump Shot62
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q4 - 9:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q4 - 9:42MIAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)62
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 10:04DENWhite Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)62
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q4 - 10:06DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS Odom 11' Jump Bank Shot62
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q4 - 10:20MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q4 - 10:22DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot62
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q4 - 10:29DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Butler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot62
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q4 - 10:47DENLenard 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (White 1 AST)62
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q4 - 11:07MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)62
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q4 - 11:07MIAOdom Driving Layup (17 PTS)61
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q4 - 11:24DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q4 - 11:24DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q4 - 11:31DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q4 - 11:34DENMISS Elson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot59
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA59
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound59
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 62' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)59
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)59
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)59
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)57
11.6%
64
88.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot57
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 1:00DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot57
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q3 - 1:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 1:19DENMISS Boykins 17' Fadeaway Jumper57
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q3 - 1:27MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)57
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q3 - 1:33DENPope Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)55
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 1:58MIAOdom Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)55
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 2:08DENPope Foul Turnover (P1.T11)53
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 2:13DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 2:14MIAElson BLOCK (4 BLK)53
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 2:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)53
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 2:25DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)53
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 2:35MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q3 - 2:35MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 2:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 2:43DENMISS Pope 7' Jump Hook Shot51
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 2:56DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot51
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 3:12MIAHeat Rebound51
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Butler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot51
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 3:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 3:24DENMISS Nene Driving Finger Roll51
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 3:43DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 3:45MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot51
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 3:51MIAHeat Rebound51
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup51
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 4:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q3 - 4:06DENMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot51
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 4:30MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)51
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 4:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 4:45DENMISS Lenard Layup49
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q3 - 4:54DENNUGGETS Rebound49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Butler 16' Turnaround Jump Shot49
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 5:16MIAHeat Rebound49
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 5:17DENMISS Lenard 23' Jump Shot49
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 5:31MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)49
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 5:42DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)47
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 5:42DENAnthony Alley Oop Layup (24 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)47
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 5:48DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q3 - 6:07MIAHeat Rebound47
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q3 - 6:08DENMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot47
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q3 - 6:27DENNUGGETS Rebound47
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Butler Layup47
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q3 - 6:35DENMISS Anthony 16' Fadeaway Jumper47
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q3 - 6:55DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 7:01MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot47
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 7:26DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Nene 5 AST)47
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q3 - 7:38MIAAlston Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T10)47
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 7:55DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)47
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 7:55DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 247
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 8:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup47
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q3 - 8:26DENAnthony Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)47
8.4%
58
91.6%
Q3 - 8:37MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)47
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q3 - 9:03DENNene 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)44
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q3 - 9:21MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)44
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q3 - 9:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q3 - 9:44DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
7.2%
54
92.8%
Q3 - 9:53DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot42
6.8%
54
93.2%
Q3 - 10:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q3 - 10:11DENMISS Nene 9' Turnaround Jump Shot42
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q3 - 10:29DENLenard Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)42
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q3 - 10:29DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q3 - 10:30MIANene BLOCK (1 BLK)42
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 10:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q3 - 10:40MIAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)42
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 10:52DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T9)42
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q3 - 11:00MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)42
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q3 - 11:26DENAnthony Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)42
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q3 - 11:44MIAOdom 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)42
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound40
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot40
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENNUGGETS Rebound40
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMISS Andersen Layup40
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)40
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENAnthony 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)37
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 1:02MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q2 - 1:02MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
7.7%
49
92.3%
Q2 - 1:20DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)35
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 1:40MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)35
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 1:58DENLenard 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)35
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 2:13MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)35
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 2:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 2:19DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup33
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 2:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup33
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 2:45DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 2:45DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 2:54MIAOdom 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
8.1%
45
91.9%
Q2 - 3:12DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)31
7.6%
45
92.4%
Q2 - 3:28MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T7)31
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 3:46DENAnthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)31
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 4:06MIAJones 16' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)31
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 4:18DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T7)29
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 4:25DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 4:40DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)29
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 4:40DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 4:49MIAOdom Driving Layup (7 PTS)29
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 4:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 4:57DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q2 - 5:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot27
9.2%
39
90.8%
Q2 - 5:45DENElson Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)27
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
10.9%
37
89.1%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 6:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 6:09DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot25
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 6:34MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)25
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 6:51DENNene Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)23
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 7:01MIAColes Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)23
9.7%
35
90.3%
Q2 - 7:10DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
8.8%
35
91.2%
Q2 - 7:10DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 121
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 7:19MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 7:42DENNene Layup (12 PTS)19
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q2 - 7:58MIAButler Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)19
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 8:16DENMiller 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIAColes Foul Turnover (P1.T6)17
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q2 - 8:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
10.8%
29
89.2%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 217
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q2 - 9:00MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q2 - 9:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
10.0%
29
90.0%
Q2 - 9:18DENMISS Lenard 4' Jump Shot16
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q2 - 9:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q2 - 9:35MIAElson BLOCK (3 BLK)16
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q2 - 9:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
10.0%
29
90.0%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot16
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIAHeat Rebound16
10.0%
29
90.0%
Q2 - 9:54DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot16
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q2 - 10:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
9.2%
29
90.8%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 215
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q2 - 10:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
9.4%
29
90.6%
Q2 - 10:08MIAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)15
8.7%
29
91.3%
Q2 - 10:26DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q2 - 10:48MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)15
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q2 - 11:10DENLenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)12
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q2 - 11:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q2 - 11:18MIAElson BLOCK (2 BLK)12
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q2 - 11:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q2 - 11:30DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q2 - 11:37MIAElson STEAL (1 STL)12
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA12
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound12
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 65' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENMISS Boykins Free Throw 2 of 212
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENMISS Boykins Free Throw 1 of 212
10.4%
24
89.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)12
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)10
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENNUGGETS Rebound10
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Allen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot10
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
9.3%
24
90.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot10
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q1 - 1:01MIAElson BLOCK (1 BLK)10
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 1:20DENMiller Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)10
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q1 - 1:38MIANene STEAL (1 STL)10
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 2:05MIAHeat Rebound10
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 2:05DENMISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot10
11.2%
22
88.8%
Q1 - 2:12DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot10
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 2:36DENNene Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)10
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 2:41DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.5%
20
87.5%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot10
12.8%
20
87.2%
Q1 - 3:01DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)10
13.9%
20
86.1%
Q1 - 3:01DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)10
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)10
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 3:35DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)10
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 3:55MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)10
18.6%
15
81.4%
Q1 - 4:08MIAHeat Rebound8
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 4:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
16.0%
15
84.0%
Q1 - 4:08DENMISS Nene Tip Shot8
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 4:09DENMISS Lenard Layup8
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 4:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.0%
15
84.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 4:45DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T5)8
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 5:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 5:09DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)8
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 5:18DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Odom 18' Fadeaway Jumper8
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 5:34DENLenard Foul Turnover (P2.T3)8
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 5:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 5:49MIAAllen Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Odom Layup6
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 6:16DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 6:16DENAnthony Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 6:34DENNUGGETS Rebound6
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot6
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 7:00DENLenard 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)6
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 7:11MIAOdom Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 7:23MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 7:25DENMISS Anthony Reverse Layup4
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAJones 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)4
17.8%
10
82.2%
Q1 - 8:15DENLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 8:24MIAGrant Backcourt Turnover (P1.T2)2
15.7%
10
84.3%
Q1 - 8:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot2
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 8:47DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)2
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 8:47DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)2
17.2%
9
82.8%
Q1 - 8:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot2
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 9:17DENAnthony Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 9:23MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 9:42DENNene Layup (4 PTS)2
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 10:04MIAOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 10:20DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 10:33DENNUGGETS Rebound0
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot0
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 11:05DENLenard Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)0
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 11:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot0
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:34DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Grant: Tip to Miller0
25.2%
0
74.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.85 42.6%
DEN
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
29
55%
DEN
19
28
68%
Midrange
MIA
12
37
32%
DEN
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
DEN
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
15
18
83%
DEN
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2650%13.0 / 26
E. Jones1246%6.0 / 13
C. Butler1235%6.0 / 17
R. Alston1155%5.5 / 10
U. Haslem735%3.5 / 10
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
M. Allen233%1.0 / 3
R. Butler225%1.0 / 4
B. Coles2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3174%15.5 / 21
V. Lenard1853%9.0 / 17
Nene1771%8.5 / 12
R. White1056%5.0 / 9
A. Miller857%4.0 / 7
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
E. Boykins220%1.0 / 5
M. Camby0-0.0 / 0
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 2
M. Pope0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+16
-13
94
DEN
70
+6
-19
76
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.85 42.6%
DEN
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
101.4
MIA 87.9
DEN 98.9 +11.0
Pace
90.6
95.7
MIA 92.2 +4.3
DEN 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
MIA 15.6 +0.8
DEN 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.7%
MIA 40.1%
DEN 53.1% +13.0%
TO %
14.4%
15.3%
MIA 12.8% +7.6%
DEN 20.4%
ORB %
27.5%
30.5%
MIA 25.0% +16.3%
DEN 8.7%
FTrt
29.8
31.9
MIA 22.2
DEN 35.9 +13.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
59.9%
MIA 61.3%
DEN 72.7% +11.4%
STL %
7.9%
9.5%
MIA 9.9% +6.5%
DEN 3.4%
BLK %
6.3%
9.3%
MIA 5.3%
DEN 15.2% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
49.0%
MIA 42.6%
DEN 57.1% +14.5%
Rim FG%
53.9%
57.8%
MIA 55.2%
DEN 67.9% +12.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.0%
MIA 32.4%
DEN 41.4% +9.0%
3P %
35.7%
33.6%
MIA 20.0%
DEN 28.6% +8.6%
FT %
76.2%
76.7%
MIA 83.3%
DEN 87.0% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
37.4%
MIA 35.8%
DEN 43.8% +7.9%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
48.0%
MIA 45.7%
DEN 45.3% +0.4%
3P Att. %
21.1%
14.6%
MIA 18.5% +7.6%
DEN 10.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8088
Rebounds3132
Assists1924
Steals93
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)2 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (5)30 (6)
Field Goals31-8133-64
At-the-Rim FG16-2919-28
Midrange FG12-3712-29
2-Point FG28-6631-57
3-Point FG3-152-7
Free Throws15-1820-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
43.2
26
50%
6
8
1
0
0
4
0
6
8-9
89%
9-20
45%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
37.8
12
46%
3
1
2
0
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
35.0
11
55%
1
6
1
1
5
4
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
32.0
6
43%
7
0
2
0
3
3
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
20.6
2
33%
4
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
35.4
12
35%
2
2
1
0
2
4
0
2
0-1
0%
6-13
46%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
20.5
7
35%
8
1
0
1
0
1
5
3
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
11.7
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
3.7
2
100%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
43%
31
19
9
3
13
0
10
21
15-18
83%
28-66
42%
3-15
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.