FinalWin Prob.pScore
941%93
99
1459%96
94
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
107.69288.2
MIL logo MIL
103.39195.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET99
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)99
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)99
98.6%
94
1.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)98
98.5%
94
1.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)97
96.9%
94
3.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)97
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 296
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)96
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
96.9%
91
3.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
96.4%
91
3.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILMason 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)94
91.3%
91
8.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)94
96.2%
88
3.8%
Q4 - 1:03DETPistons Rebound91
87.6%
88
12.4%
Q4 - 1:04DETSkinner BLOCK (4 BLK)91
81.2%
88
18.8%
Q4 - 1:15MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)91
85.6%
88
14.4%
Q4 - 1:36DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)91
92.5%
85
7.5%
Q4 - 1:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
87.6%
85
12.4%
Q4 - 1:54MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
85.9%
85
14.1%
Q4 - 2:02MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
79.1%
85
20.9%
Q4 - 2:04DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot89
82.1%
85
17.9%
Q4 - 2:21DETPistons Rebound89
87.9%
85
12.1%
Q4 - 2:21MILMISS Skinner Reverse Layup89
85.6%
85
14.4%
Q4 - 2:40DETBillups 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS)89
78.3%
85
21.7%
Q4 - 2:57MILRedd Driving Layup (27 PTS)87
71.0%
85
29.0%
Q4 - 3:19DETWilliamson Layup (11 PTS)87
76.1%
83
23.9%
Q4 - 3:20DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
71.5%
83
28.5%
Q4 - 3:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
71.5%
83
28.5%
Q4 - 3:22DETMISS Wallace Layup85
62.0%
83
38.0%
Q4 - 3:24DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
62.0%
83
38.0%
Q4 - 3:42MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)85
66.0%
83
34.0%
Q4 - 3:49DETThomas STEAL (2 STL)85
73.6%
81
26.4%
Q4 - 4:09MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)85
80.8%
81
19.2%
Q4 - 4:30DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
74.1%
81
25.9%
Q4 - 4:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
66.8%
81
33.2%
Q4 - 4:46MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
64.0%
81
36.0%
Q4 - 4:58DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)83
57.3%
81
42.7%
Q4 - 4:58DETPistons Rebound83
66.9%
81
33.1%
Q4 - 4:59DETSkinner BLOCK (3 BLK)83
60.3%
81
39.7%
Q4 - 5:22DETPistons Rebound83
63.5%
81
36.5%
Q4 - 5:23MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
61.0%
81
39.0%
Q4 - 5:30MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
55.2%
81
44.8%
Q4 - 5:32DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot83
57.8%
81
42.2%
Q4 - 5:52MILMason Layup (8 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)83
63.7%
81
36.3%
Q4 - 6:12DETWilliamson Foul Turnover (P1.T16)83
67.4%
79
32.6%
Q4 - 6:23DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
74.6%
79
25.4%
Q4 - 6:24DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot83
69.8%
79
30.2%
Q4 - 6:46DETPistons Rebound83
74.7%
79
25.3%
Q4 - 6:47MILMISS Jones Layup83
72.6%
79
27.4%
Q4 - 7:02DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
65.4%
79
34.6%
Q4 - 7:02DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
62.7%
79
37.3%
Q4 - 7:15DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
59.8%
79
40.2%
Q4 - 7:18MILMISS Redd 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
57.5%
79
42.5%
Q4 - 7:41DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)81
52.2%
79
47.8%
Q4 - 7:46MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)78
39.4%
79
60.6%
Q4 - 8:05MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
33.2%
79
66.8%
Q4 - 8:07DETMISS Williamson 5' Jump Shot78
34.9%
79
65.1%
Q4 - 8:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
39.1%
79
60.9%
Q4 - 8:31MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 278
38.3%
79
61.7%
Q4 - 8:31MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
34.5%
79
65.5%
Q4 - 8:49DETOkur 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)78
39.0%
78
61.0%
Q4 - 9:12MILJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)76
33.7%
78
66.3%
Q4 - 9:24DETKukoc STEAL (3 STL)76
44.8%
75
55.2%
Q4 - 9:34DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
51.1%
75
48.9%
Q4 - 9:36MILMISS Mason 21' Jump Shot76
49.2%
75
50.8%
Q4 - 9:46MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
44.8%
75
55.2%
Q4 - 9:48DETMISS Atkins Layup76
46.7%
75
53.3%
Q4 - 10:16MILRedd 9' Jump Shot (23 PTS)76
50.4%
75
49.6%
Q4 - 10:32DETWilliamson 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)76
55.7%
73
44.3%
Q4 - 10:48MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
50.5%
73
49.5%
Q4 - 10:48MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)74
51.3%
72
48.7%
Q4 - 11:03DETHamilton Driving Layup (20 PTS)74
55.0%
71
45.0%
Q4 - 11:16DETHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
49.8%
71
50.2%
Q4 - 11:18MILMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot72
48.1%
71
51.9%
Q4 - 11:31DETKukoc STEAL (2 STL)72
44.2%
71
55.8%
Q4 - 11:48DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
49.9%
71
50.1%
Q4 - 11:50MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
48.1%
71
51.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET72
44.2%
71
55.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound72
49.9%
71
50.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 43' 3PT Jump Shot72
45.9%
71
54.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILRedd Layup (19 PTS)72
49.2%
71
50.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
54.4%
69
45.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot72
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T13)72
54.4%
69
45.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILRedd 7' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
59.5%
69
40.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0DETOkur 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
64.4%
67
35.6%
Q3 - 1:02MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
58.4%
67
41.6%
Q3 - 1:02MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
59.1%
66
40.9%
Q3 - 1:18DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
63.0%
65
37.0%
Q3 - 1:18DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 1:31MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)68
58.5%
65
41.5%
Q3 - 1:49DETWilliamson 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)68
67.5%
62
32.5%
Q3 - 2:05MILFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)66
61.7%
62
38.3%
Q3 - 2:05MILFord Layup (9 PTS)66
66.0%
61
34.0%
Q3 - 2:25DETCampbell Foul Turnover (P2.T12)66
69.7%
59
30.3%
Q3 - 2:46MILThomas 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
73.9%
59
26.1%
Q3 - 3:13DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)66
76.1%
57
23.9%
Q3 - 3:20DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
72.9%
57
27.1%
Q3 - 3:22DETSkinner BLOCK (2 BLK)64
70.2%
57
29.8%
Q3 - 3:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
72.9%
57
27.1%
Q3 - 3:27DETSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)64
70.2%
57
29.8%
Q3 - 3:39DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
72.9%
57
27.1%
Q3 - 3:40DETMISS Hamilton Layup64
70.2%
57
29.8%
Q3 - 3:56MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)64
72.9%
57
27.1%
Q3 - 4:01DETPrince 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)64
67.4%
57
32.6%
Q3 - 4:18MILSmith Dunk (7 PTS)62
64.2%
57
35.8%
Q3 - 4:19MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q3 - 4:20MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot62
70.5%
55
29.5%
Q3 - 4:33DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T11)62
67.6%
55
32.4%
Q3 - 4:52MILRedd Layup (10 PTS)62
71.8%
55
28.2%
Q3 - 5:14DETPrince Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)62
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q3 - 5:17MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)60
70.6%
53
29.4%
Q3 - 5:21MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)60
66.8%
53
33.2%
Q3 - 5:23DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot60
68.0%
53
32.0%
Q3 - 5:43MILThomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)60
70.6%
53
29.4%
Q3 - 6:03DETOkur 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)60
75.4%
50
24.6%
Q3 - 6:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
72.6%
50
27.4%
Q3 - 6:09DETMISS Wallace Layup58
70.2%
50
29.8%
Q3 - 6:23DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
72.7%
50
27.3%
Q3 - 6:25MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
71.6%
50
28.4%
Q3 - 6:44MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
69.2%
50
30.8%
Q3 - 6:46DETMISS Billups Layup58
70.3%
50
29.7%
Q3 - 6:50MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)58
72.7%
50
27.3%
Q3 - 7:02DETOkur Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)58
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q3 - 7:06MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)58
71.5%
50
28.5%
Q3 - 7:26DETHamilton Layup (14 PTS)58
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q3 - 7:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
64.9%
50
35.1%
Q3 - 7:38MILMISS Redd Layup56
63.7%
50
36.3%
Q3 - 7:42MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
60.8%
50
39.2%
Q3 - 7:45MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot56
63.7%
50
36.3%
Q3 - 8:02DETPrince Layup (2 PTS)56
60.3%
50
39.7%
Q3 - 8:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
57.2%
50
42.8%
Q3 - 8:04DETSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)54
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q3 - 8:15DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
57.2%
50
42.8%
Q3 - 8:18MILMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot54
55.9%
50
44.1%
Q3 - 8:48MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)54
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q3 - 8:50DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot54
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q3 - 9:15MILThomas Layup (14 PTS)54
56.0%
50
44.0%
Q3 - 9:43DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
59.5%
48
40.5%
Q3 - 10:01MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)52
55.5%
48
44.5%
Q3 - 10:15DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)52
58.6%
46
41.4%
Q3 - 10:15DETBillups Layup (16 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)51
55.1%
46
44.9%
Q3 - 10:18MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)49
52.0%
46
48.0%
Q3 - 10:31MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
48.0%
46
52.0%
Q3 - 10:32MILMISS Redd Layup49
50.8%
46
49.2%
Q3 - 10:37DETRedd STEAL (1 STL)49
48.0%
46
52.0%
Q3 - 11:05MILFord Layup (7 PTS)49
51.3%
46
48.7%
Q3 - 11:09MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
54.7%
44
45.3%
Q3 - 11:11DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q3 - 11:28MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 149
57.8%
44
42.2%
Q3 - 11:28MILThomas Layup (12 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)49
58.2%
44
41.8%
Q3 - 11:43DETHamilton 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)49
61.4%
42
38.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET47
58.3%
42
41.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILThomas 38' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)47
58.3%
42
41.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETHamilton 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
64.2%
39
35.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)45
60.2%
39
39.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)45
57.9%
39
42.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
57.6%
39
42.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILSmith 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)43
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETBillups Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
57.9%
37
42.1%
Q2 - 1:09MILSkinner Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)41
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q2 - 1:25DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
51.3%
37
48.7%
Q2 - 1:25DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
51.0%
37
49.0%
Q2 - 1:37DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 1:38DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 139
45.1%
37
54.9%
Q2 - 1:38DETWallace Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)39
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 1:57MILFord 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 2:08MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)37
44.0%
35
56.0%
Q2 - 2:10MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot37
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q2 - 2:26MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)37
44.0%
35
56.0%
Q2 - 2:28MILMISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot37
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q2 - 2:47DETHamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)37
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 3:01MILSantiago Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)35
40.8%
35
59.2%
Q2 - 3:09MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q2 - 3:11DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot35
44.3%
33
55.7%
Q2 - 3:32MILThomas 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 3:53MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
49.3%
31
50.7%
Q2 - 3:55DETMISS Williamson 13' Jump Shot35
50.4%
31
49.6%
Q2 - 4:13MILMason 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)35
51.7%
31
48.3%
Q2 - 4:29DETWallace Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)35
54.7%
29
45.3%
Q2 - 4:43DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
51.8%
29
48.2%
Q2 - 4:45MILMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot33
50.9%
29
49.1%
Q2 - 5:02MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
48.5%
29
51.5%
Q2 - 5:04DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot33
49.4%
29
50.6%
Q2 - 5:19MILFord 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)33
51.6%
29
48.4%
Q2 - 5:49DETOkur 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
57.0%
26
43.0%
Q2 - 5:58DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
54.4%
26
45.6%
Q2 - 6:00MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
53.5%
26
46.5%
Q2 - 6:17DETAtkins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
50.8%
26
49.2%
Q2 - 6:39MILMason Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)29
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q2 - 6:44MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
50.8%
24
49.2%
Q2 - 6:46DETMISS Atkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 7:07DETSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
53.3%
24
46.7%
Q2 - 7:08MILMISS Santiago Layup29
52.4%
24
47.6%
Q2 - 7:18DETKukoc STEAL (1 STL)29
50.5%
24
49.5%
Q2 - 7:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
53.3%
24
46.7%
Q2 - 7:30MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 229
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q2 - 7:30MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q2 - 7:47DETWilliamson Layup (5 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)29
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q2 - 8:01MILJones Layup (4 PTS)27
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q2 - 8:25DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
52.6%
21
47.4%
Q2 - 8:25DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS)26
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q2 - 8:46MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
47.8%
21
52.2%
Q2 - 8:53MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
52.7%
18
47.3%
Q2 - 8:56DETSantiago BLOCK (2 BLK)24
53.5%
18
46.5%
Q2 - 9:14DETSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
54.9%
18
45.1%
Q2 - 9:16MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
54.1%
18
45.9%
Q2 - 9:30MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q2 - 9:32DETSantiago BLOCK (1 BLK)24
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q2 - 9:47DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
55.0%
18
45.0%
Q2 - 9:48MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 2 of 224
54.6%
18
45.4%
Q2 - 9:48MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q2 - 10:08DETCampbell Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)24
54.3%
17
45.7%
Q2 - 10:19DETHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
57.1%
17
42.9%
Q2 - 10:21MILMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot24
56.3%
17
43.7%
Q2 - 10:40DETHam Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)24
54.3%
17
45.7%
Q2 - 10:50DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
57.1%
17
42.9%
Q2 - 10:53MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
56.3%
17
43.7%
Q2 - 11:13DETCampbell 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
53.8%
17
46.2%
Q2 - 11:25DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
51.4%
17
48.6%
Q2 - 11:28MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot22
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q2 - 11:35MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
49.0%
17
51.0%
Q2 - 11:36DETMISS Sura Reverse Layup22
49.7%
17
50.3%
Q2 - 11:41DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
51.4%
17
48.6%
Q2 - 11:42MILMISS Jones Layup22
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q2 - 11:47DETSantiago STEAL (1 STL)22
49.0%
17
51.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
51.4%
17
48.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound22
49.0%
17
51.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Santiago 19' Jump Shot22
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 0:07.0DETWallace 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)22
48.8%
17
51.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILSmith 5' Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
45.9%
17
54.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
48.8%
15
51.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILMISS Jones Layup20
50.1%
15
49.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETWallace Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)20
48.8%
15
51.2%
Q1 - 1:16MILJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
45.9%
15
54.1%
Q1 - 1:23MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 1:25DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot18
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 1:32DETPistons Rebound18
50.6%
13
49.4%
Q1 - 1:33DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)18
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 1:36DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
50.6%
13
49.4%
Q1 - 1:38MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot18
50.0%
13
50.0%
Q1 - 1:51MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 1:53DETMISS Hamilton Layup18
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 2:13MILSkinner 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 2:15MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 2:17MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot18
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 2:34DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)18
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 2:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 2:41MILMISS Skinner Layup16
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 3:02DETCampbell Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)16
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 3:18MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 3:32MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
47.8%
9
52.2%
Q1 - 3:34DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot14
48.6%
9
51.4%
Q1 - 3:53MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
50.4%
9
49.6%
Q1 - 4:08DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)14
51.7%
7
48.3%
Q1 - 4:18DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 4:20MILMISS Skinner 12' Jump Shot12
49.2%
7
50.8%
Q1 - 4:38DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
47.3%
7
52.7%
Q1 - 4:38DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 4:45MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
45.6%
7
54.4%
Q1 - 4:52MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 4:54DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot10
43.7%
7
56.3%
Q1 - 5:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
44.8%
7
55.2%
Q1 - 5:10MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 210
44.5%
7
55.5%
Q1 - 5:10MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
43.1%
7
56.9%
Q1 - 5:28DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)10
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 5:35DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 5:37MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 5:53DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)8
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 6:08DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 6:10MILMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot6
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 6:31DETOkur Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)6
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 6:32DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 6:33DETMISS Okur Layup6
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 6:59MILThomas 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 7:11DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 7:11DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 7:15DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 7:17MILMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot4
37.7%
4
62.3%
Q1 - 7:34DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 7:34DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 7:36DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 7:38MILMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 7:46MILBUCKS Rebound2
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 7:47MILMISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 8:04MILBUCKS Rebound2
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 8:05DETMISS Billups Layup2
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 8:17MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
34.8%
4
65.2%
Q1 - 8:31DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 8:44MILRedd Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)0
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 8:47DETFord STEAL (1 STL)0
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 9:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 9:05MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 9:14DETThomas STEAL (1 STL)0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 9:34DETPistons Rebound0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 9:35MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot0
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 9:56DETHamilton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 9:57DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 9:59DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 10:25MILSkinner Dunk (2 PTS)0
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 10:26MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 10:27MILMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot0
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 10:41MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 10:42DETMISS Wallace Layup0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 10:52DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:54MILMISS Skinner 11' Jump Shot0
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 11:03MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:05DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:21MILMISS Skinner 13' Jump Shot0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:31MILBUCKS Rebound0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:31MILMISS Smith Layup0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:32MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:34MILMISS Thomas Layup0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:51MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:52MILMISS Redd Layup0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Skinner vs. Wallace: Tip to Redd0
36.2%
0
63.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.09 54.4%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
19
34
56%
MIL
18
30
60%
Midrange
DET
17
34
50%
MIL
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
2
3.0
6
33%
50%
MIL
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
Free Throws
DET
21
23
91%
MIL
9
14
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2665%13.0 / 20
R. Hamilton2255%11.0 / 20
B. Wallace1346%6.5 / 14
C. Williamson1365%6.5 / 10
M. Okur880%4.0 / 5
T. Prince633%3.0 / 9
E. Campbell675%3.0 / 4
C. Atkins563%2.5 / 4
B. Sura0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd3058%15.0 / 26
T. Thomas2258%11.0 / 19
D. Mason1169%5.5 / 8
T. Ford1083%5.0 / 6
J. Smith744%3.5 / 8
D. Jones735%3.5 / 10
B. Skinner429%2.0 / 7
D. Santiago233%1.0 / 3
T. Kukoc18%0.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
75
+15
-17
90
MIL
80
+14
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.09 54.4%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.1
103.6
DET 107.6 +4.3
MIL 103.3
Pace
90.5
94.2
DET 88.2
MIL 95.1 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.0
DET 16.3
MIL 15.1 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
47.7%
DET 52.7% +2.7%
MIL 50.0%
TO %
15.8%
13.7%
DET 17.6%
MIL 10.8% +6.8%
ORB %
30.2%
27.6%
DET 34.4% +10.0%
MIL 24.4%
FTrt
32.8
33.0
DET 31.1 +14.6
MIL 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
63.0%
DET 55.3% +7.9%
MIL 47.4%
STL %
8.9%
7.1%
DET 8.7%
MIL 8.8% +0.1%
BLK %
11.0%
7.1%
DET 11.3%
MIL 11.8% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.5%
50.3%
DET 54.4% +4.4%
MIL 50.0%
Rim FG%
54.7%
55.7%
DET 55.9%
MIL 60.0% +4.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.4%
DET 50.0% +15.6%
MIL 34.4%
3P %
34.4%
35.0%
DET 33.3%
MIL 39.1% +5.8%
FT %
75.3%
77.5%
DET 91.3% +27.0%
MIL 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
36.8%
DET 45.9% +10.7%
MIL 35.3%
Mid Att. %
47.3%
46.0%
DET 45.9%
MIL 37.6% +8.3%
3P Att. %
15.3%
17.2%
DET 8.1%
MIL 27.1% +19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points9994
Rebounds4532
Assists2118
Steals88
Blocks78
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)21 (1)
Field Goals38-7438-85
At-the-Rim FG19-3418-30
Midrange FG17-3411-32
2-Point FG36-6829-62
3-Point FG2-69-23
Free Throws21-239-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
40.5
13
46%
11
4
4
3
1
1
3
8
3-5
60%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 26
38.2
22
55%
4
5
1
1
3
3
1
3
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 27
37.7
26
65%
4
6
1
0
1
3
1
3
11-11
100%
6-12
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 24
33.2
6
33%
7
4
2
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 260 · 25
24.0
8
80%
7
1
0
2
5
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 30
23.1
13
65%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 29
13.9
5
63%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35
11.4
6
75%
4
0
0
0
2
5
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30
8.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 31
6.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 32
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 19
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
45
21
8
7
17
0
11
34
21-23
91%
36-68
53%
2-6
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.