FinalWin Prob.pScore
247%86
79
553%87
89
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
86.89193.5
IND logo IND
96.79289.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND79
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASParker 2' Layup (14 PTS)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDMiller 28' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (World Peace 5 AST)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASParker 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDO'Neal 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASDuncan Dunk (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05SASDuncan 2' Layup (14 PTS)73
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 1:08SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 1:16INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:16INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 1:17SASO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)71
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 1:25SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 1:25INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 271
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 1:25INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 271
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 1:26INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 1:28SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot71
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 1:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 1:33SASO'Neal BLOCK (5 BLK)71
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 1:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 1:49INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot71
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 2:04INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 2:06SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot71
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 2:23SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)71
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 2:25SASSpurs Rebound71
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 2:25SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot71
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 2:38INDJump Ball Foster vs. Horry: Tip to Duncan71
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 2:40INDMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot71
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 3:02SASGinobili 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Duncan 7 AST)71
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 3:16INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 3:16INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 3:16INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Parker 2' Layup69
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 3:19SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q4 - 3:22INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 3:24INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 3:27SASO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)69
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 3:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 3:41INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 3:54SASJones STEAL (1 STL)69
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 4:00SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q4 - 4:01INDMISS Jones 5' Running Jump Shot69
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 4:26INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 4:27SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot69
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q4 - 4:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q4 - 4:42SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot69
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q4 - 4:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q4 - 4:51INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot69
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q4 - 5:12SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 5:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 268
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q4 - 5:27INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)68
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 5:42SASMiller STEAL (3 STL)68
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q4 - 5:49SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
9.5%
75
90.5%
Q4 - 5:51INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot68
8.6%
75
91.4%
Q4 - 6:09INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q4 - 6:10SASMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot68
9.3%
75
90.7%
Q4 - 6:29INDO'Neal 10' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)68
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q4 - 6:46SASTurkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)68
14.4%
73
85.6%
Q4 - 6:58SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q4 - 6:59SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q4 - 7:20INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
10.6%
73
89.4%
Q4 - 7:20INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q4 - 7:36INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q4 - 7:38SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Layup65
14.2%
71
85.8%
Q4 - 7:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
17.0%
71
83.0%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot65
14.2%
71
85.8%
Q4 - 8:01INDJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)65
18.5%
71
81.5%
Q4 - 8:19INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
27.3%
68
72.7%
Q4 - 8:23SASJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)65
28.9%
68
71.1%
Q4 - 8:45INDO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)65
32.7%
68
67.3%
Q4 - 9:05INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
39.0%
66
61.0%
Q4 - 9:07SASMISS Horry 9' Jump Shot65
40.8%
66
59.2%
Q4 - 9:16SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
45.1%
66
54.9%
Q4 - 9:17INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot65
43.2%
66
56.8%
Q4 - 9:19INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
39.0%
66
61.0%
Q4 - 9:21INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot65
43.2%
66
56.8%
Q4 - 9:45INDPACERS Rebound65
39.0%
66
61.0%
Q4 - 9:46INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 265
44.2%
66
55.8%
Q4 - 9:46INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
40.5%
66
59.5%
Q4 - 10:07INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Ward 2' Reverse Layup65
46.5%
65
53.5%
Q4 - 10:27SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
50.8%
65
49.2%
Q4 - 10:29INDMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
49.0%
65
51.0%
Q4 - 10:32INDPACERS Rebound65
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q4 - 10:32INDMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
49.0%
65
51.0%
Q4 - 10:59SASWard 4' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)65
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q4 - 11:18INDJones Foul Turnover (P1.T16)63
39.6%
65
60.4%
Q4 - 11:29SASHarrington STEAL (2 STL)63
34.4%
65
65.6%
Q4 - 11:47INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
39.6%
65
60.4%
Q4 - 11:47INDPollard 2' Tip Shot (3 PTS)63
39.6%
65
60.4%
Q4 - 11:48INDMISS Jones 1' Layup63
48.6%
63
51.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS63
44.7%
63
55.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound63
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 40' 3PT Jump Shot63
46.4%
63
53.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
50.2%
63
49.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot63
48.7%
63
51.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup63
46.6%
63
53.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDPollard Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)63
50.2%
63
49.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 1 of 263
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDPACERS Rebound63
50.2%
62
49.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDMISS Jones 2' Layup63
53.8%
62
46.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
50.2%
62
49.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot63
51.8%
62
48.2%
Q3 - 1:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
55.0%
62
45.0%
Q3 - 1:15INDMISS Pollard 2' Layup63
53.5%
62
46.5%
Q3 - 1:31INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
50.0%
62
50.0%
Q3 - 1:33SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Shot63
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 1:47INDHarrington 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)63
55.1%
62
44.9%
Q3 - 2:06SASWard 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)63
58.5%
60
41.5%
Q3 - 2:24INDMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot61
52.8%
60
47.2%
Q3 - 2:33INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
54.4%
60
45.6%
Q3 - 2:34INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 161
53.7%
60
46.3%
Q3 - 2:34INDHarrington 2' Layup (2 PTS)61
54.4%
60
45.6%
Q3 - 2:35INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
58.5%
58
41.5%
Q3 - 2:37INDMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot61
61.9%
58
38.1%
Q3 - 3:02SASWard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)61
58.4%
58
41.6%
Q3 - 3:18INDMiller 9' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)58
49.7%
58
50.3%
Q3 - 3:37SASWard 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)58
53.9%
56
46.1%
Q3 - 3:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
45.2%
56
54.8%
Q3 - 3:42SASMISS Bowen 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q3 - 4:02INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
45.3%
56
54.7%
Q3 - 4:02INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)55
46.1%
55
53.9%
Q3 - 4:02INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
48.9%
54
51.1%
Q3 - 4:02SASMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot55
50.4%
54
49.6%
Q3 - 4:17SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
53.9%
54
46.1%
Q3 - 4:18INDMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 255
53.2%
54
46.8%
Q3 - 4:18INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)55
50.1%
54
49.9%
Q3 - 4:28SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
53.3%
53
46.7%
Q3 - 4:28SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
52.1%
53
47.9%
Q3 - 4:39INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)53
49.6%
53
50.4%
Q3 - 4:47INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 4:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
49.6%
53
50.4%
Q3 - 4:49SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup53
46.2%
53
53.8%
Q3 - 4:50SASMISS Parker 2' Layup53
46.2%
53
53.8%
Q3 - 5:07INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)53
49.4%
53
50.6%
Q3 - 5:12SASBowen 5 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)53
57.3%
50
42.7%
Q3 - 5:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q3 - 5:26INDMISS Harrington 2' Reverse Layup53
60.4%
50
39.6%
Q3 - 5:42SASParker 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
57.3%
50
42.7%
Q3 - 6:02SASSpurs Rebound51
53.1%
50
46.9%
Q3 - 6:02INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 251
52.5%
50
47.5%
Q3 - 6:02INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 251
50.1%
50
49.9%
Q3 - 6:09SASWorld Peace STEAL (3 STL)51
48.8%
50
51.2%
Q3 - 6:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
53.1%
50
46.9%
Q3 - 6:21INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup51
51.8%
50
48.2%
Q3 - 6:41SASHorry 2' Dunk (4 PTS)51
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q3 - 6:44INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)49
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q3 - 6:47INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
41.0%
50
59.0%
Q3 - 6:49SASPollard BLOCK (1 BLK)49
42.2%
50
57.8%
Q3 - 7:05INDWorld Peace 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)49
45.0%
50
55.0%
Q3 - 7:28INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
48.3%
48
51.7%
Q3 - 7:30SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 249
48.9%
48
51.1%
Q3 - 7:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
51.1%
48
48.9%
Q3 - 7:41INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)48
48.8%
48
51.2%
Q3 - 7:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
44.4%
48
55.6%
Q3 - 7:52SASMISS Willis 9' Jump Shot48
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q3 - 7:59SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
48.9%
48
51.1%
Q3 - 8:02INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup48
47.6%
48
52.4%
Q3 - 8:16INDTinsley Free Throw Clear Path (9 PTS)48
44.7%
48
55.3%
Q3 - 8:18SASFoster STEAL (1 STL)48
48.4%
47
51.6%
Q3 - 8:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q3 - 8:27INDMISS Miller 2' Layup48
51.4%
47
48.6%
Q3 - 8:45SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)48
48.4%
47
51.6%
Q3 - 8:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
45.1%
47
54.9%
Q3 - 8:51SASMISS Willis 17' Jump Shot46
42.2%
47
57.8%
Q3 - 9:16INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)46
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q3 - 9:22SASTinsley STEAL (3 STL)46
52.0%
44
48.0%
Q3 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
55.8%
44
44.2%
Q3 - 9:33INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot46
54.6%
44
45.4%
Q3 - 9:46SASMiller STEAL (2 STL)46
52.0%
44
48.0%
Q3 - 10:05INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)46
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q3 - 10:09SASNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)46
62.1%
41
37.9%
Q3 - 10:27INDMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T12)46
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q3 - 10:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
62.1%
41
37.9%
Q3 - 10:47SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
63.3%
41
36.7%
Q3 - 10:50SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q3 - 10:53SASO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)46
63.3%
41
36.7%
Q3 - 11:11INDWorld Peace 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)46
65.2%
41
34.8%
Q3 - 11:17SASTinsley STEAL (2 STL)46
68.2%
39
31.8%
Q3 - 11:28INDWorld Peace Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T11)46
71.2%
39
28.8%
Q3 - 11:46INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
68.2%
39
31.8%
Q3 - 11:48SASWorld Peace BLOCK (1 BLK)46
69.1%
39
30.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND46
71.3%
39
28.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)46
68.2%
39
31.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
71.3%
39
28.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot46
69.3%
39
30.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
68.0%
39
32.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup46
68.6%
39
31.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDFoster 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)46
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 1:09SASMercer 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)46
73.1%
37
26.9%
Q2 - 1:26INDFoster 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)44
69.2%
37
30.8%
Q2 - 1:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 1:32INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup44
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 1:37INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 1:39INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup44
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 1:40INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 1:43INDMISS Harrington 8' Jump Shot44
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 2:01SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)44
71.7%
35
28.3%
Q2 - 2:16SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 2:17INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
68.3%
35
31.7%
Q2 - 2:24INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
66.5%
35
33.5%
Q2 - 2:25SASMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot42
67.3%
35
32.7%
Q2 - 2:39SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 2:41INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot42
68.3%
35
31.7%
Q2 - 3:01SASMercer 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)42
65.4%
35
34.6%
Q2 - 3:16SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
63.0%
35
37.0%
Q2 - 3:17INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
62.0%
35
38.0%
Q2 - 3:28SASMercer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)40
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 3:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
57.3%
35
42.7%
Q2 - 3:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 3:42INDMISS Foster Tip Shot38
56.3%
35
43.7%
Q2 - 3:44INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup38
56.3%
35
43.7%
Q2 - 3:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 3:58SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
53.3%
35
46.7%
Q2 - 4:17SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
50.9%
35
49.1%
Q2 - 4:19INDMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot36
50.0%
35
50.0%
Q2 - 4:29INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
48.1%
35
51.9%
Q2 - 4:30SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot36
48.9%
35
51.1%
Q2 - 4:45INDWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P4.T10)36
50.9%
35
49.1%
Q2 - 4:57SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 4:57SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
47.2%
35
52.8%
Q2 - 4:57SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 4:57SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot34
43.2%
35
56.8%
Q2 - 5:18SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
45.3%
35
54.7%
Q2 - 5:20INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot34
44.4%
35
55.6%
Q2 - 5:36SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)34
42.3%
35
57.7%
Q2 - 5:56INDMiller 2' Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS)32
39.8%
35
60.2%
Q2 - 6:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
42.3%
33
57.7%
Q2 - 6:09SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)31
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 6:12INDWorld Peace Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)30
40.2%
33
59.8%
Q2 - 6:25SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
37.1%
33
62.9%
Q2 - 6:25SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
36.4%
33
63.6%
Q2 - 6:25INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)28
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 6:34SASHarrington STEAL (1 STL)28
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 6:48INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)28
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 7:22INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
40.2%
30
59.8%
Q2 - 7:23SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 228
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 7:23SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
42.2%
30
57.8%
Q2 - 7:29SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q2 - 7:31SASMISS Horry 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
38.5%
30
61.5%
Q2 - 7:37SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q2 - 7:39INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup27
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q2 - 8:07SASWillis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
37.6%
30
62.4%
Q2 - 8:17SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q2 - 8:19INDMISS Jones 1' Layup27
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q2 - 8:36SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)27
37.6%
30
62.4%
Q2 - 8:39SASSpurs Rebound25
35.5%
30
64.5%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Horry 9' Jump Shot25
33.7%
30
66.3%
Q2 - 8:41SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
35.5%
30
64.5%
Q2 - 8:42SASMISS Willis 15' Jump Shot25
33.7%
30
66.3%
Q2 - 9:04INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)25
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q2 - 9:04INDPACERS Rebound25
33.2%
30
66.8%
Q2 - 9:04INDMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot25
34.9%
30
65.1%
Q2 - 9:36SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 9:36SASWillis 1' Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)25
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 9:38SASMISS Turkoglu 3' Layup23
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 9:43SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
31.2%
30
68.8%
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 223
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q2 - 9:44SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
30.5%
30
69.5%
Q2 - 9:48INDBender Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)22
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q2 - 10:00SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
26.8%
30
73.2%
Q2 - 10:00SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q2 - 10:13INDBender 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)20
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 10:31INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
27.0%
28
73.0%
Q2 - 10:32SASMISS Ward 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q2 - 10:47INDHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)20
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 11:02SASWard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)20
27.4%
28
72.6%
Q2 - 11:17INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)17
23.6%
28
76.4%
Q2 - 11:17INDJohnson 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q2 - 11:37INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27.3%
25
72.7%
Q2 - 11:38SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 217
27.6%
25
72.4%
Q2 - 11:38SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 217
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND17
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
27.8%
25
72.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
27.2%
25
72.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDMISS Pollard 2' Layup15
25.0%
25
75.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot15
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDWorld Peace Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)15
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 1:11SASHorry Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)15
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 1:30INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)13
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 1:54INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 1:55SASMISS Ward 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
21.3%
25
78.7%
Q1 - 2:19INDO'Neal 1' Layup (8 PTS)13
22.6%
25
77.4%
Q1 - 2:21INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)13
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 2:23INDMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot13
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q1 - 2:31INDPACERS Rebound13
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 2:33INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot13
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q1 - 2:50INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot13
24.9%
23
75.1%
Q1 - 3:05SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 3:07INDMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot13
26.2%
23
73.8%
Q1 - 3:34SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)13
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 3:46SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.8%
23
78.2%
Q1 - 3:48INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot10
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 3:55INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot10
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 4:07SASSpurs Rebound10
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q1 - 4:08SASO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)10
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 4:24INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)10
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q1 - 4:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q1 - 4:35SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot10
24.0%
21
76.0%
Q1 - 4:45SASSpurs Rebound10
25.4%
21
74.6%
Q1 - 4:47INDMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot10
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q1 - 5:06SASParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)10
24.4%
21
75.6%
Q1 - 5:20INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 5:32SASBowen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)8
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 5:51INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)6
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 6:03INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 6:05SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 26
23.7%
18
76.3%
Q1 - 6:05SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 26
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 6:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 6:19INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot6
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 6:38SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)6
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 7:01INDTinsley 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
23.3%
18
76.7%
Q1 - 7:09INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
24.5%
16
75.5%
Q1 - 7:11SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot4
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 7:28INDMiller 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)4
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 7:32SASTinsley STEAL (1 STL)4
27.4%
14
72.6%
Q1 - 7:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 7:44INDMISS Foster 17' Jump Shot4
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 7:53INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 7:55SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup4
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 8:10INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)4
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 8:25INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 8:27SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.0%
11
67.0%
Q1 - 8:46INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)4
34.3%
11
65.7%
Q1 - 8:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.6%
8
62.4%
Q1 - 8:57SASMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)4
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 9:12INDFoster 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)4
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 9:23INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 9:25SASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)4
41.6%
6
58.4%
Q1 - 9:43INDWorld Peace 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)4
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 10:00SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)4
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 10:10INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 10:26SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)4
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 10:43INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 11:01SASNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:13INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:17SASWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:31SASSpurs Rebound0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:32INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:37SASMiller STEAL (1 STL)0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:45SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:47INDMISS World Peace 3' Jump Shot0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Duncan: Tip to World Peace0
44.8%
0
55.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.86 42.9%
IND
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
33
45%
IND
13
30
43%
Midrange
SAS
8
29
28%
IND
10
32
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
IND
10
15.0
17
59%
88%
Free Throws
SAS
18
26
69%
IND
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1635%8.0 / 23
T. Parker1447%7.0 / 15
C. Ward1381%6.5 / 8
M. Ginobili1155%5.5 / 10
R. Mercer660%3.0 / 5
B. Bowen542%2.5 / 6
R. Horry433%2.0 / 6
H. Turkoglu440%2.0 / 5
K. Willis440%2.0 / 5
R. Nesterovic217%1.0 / 6
D. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Miller2888%14.0 / 16
J. O'Neal2048%10.0 / 21
J. Tinsley975%4.5 / 6
J. Foster867%4.0 / 6
A. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
M. World Peace725%3.5 / 14
A. Harrington422%2.0 / 9
S. Pollard338%1.5 / 4
J. Bender2100%1.0 / 1
F. Jones0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
73
+19
-18
92
IND
78
+14
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.86 42.9%
IND
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
101.1
SAS 86.8
IND 96.7 +9.9
Pace
91.3
89.9
SAS 93.5 +3.8
IND 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
SAS 15.4 +0.7
IND 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
47.1%
SAS 39.1%
IND 48.1% +9.0%
TO %
15.4%
15.0%
SAS 16.8%
IND 15.3% +1.5%
ORB %
29.5%
28.5%
SAS 28.8% +7.4%
IND 21.4%
FTrt
32.2
31.9
SAS 33.3 +6.7
IND 26.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
64.4%
SAS 78.6% +5.9%
IND 72.7%
STL %
8.8%
9.8%
SAS 7.7%
IND 15.2% +7.5%
BLK %
9.9%
8.0%
SAS 17.7% +3.2%
IND 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
49.2%
SAS 42.9%
IND 46.8% +3.9%
Rim FG%
57.6%
55.2%
SAS 45.5% +2.2%
IND 43.3%
Mid FG%
37.0%
38.5%
SAS 27.6%
IND 31.3% +3.7%
3P %
35.8%
35.1%
SAS 31.3%
IND 58.8% +27.5%
FT %
68.1%
76.4%
SAS 69.2% +7.3%
IND 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
34.4%
SAS 42.3% +4.3%
IND 38.0%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
45.4%
SAS 37.2% +3.3%
IND 40.5%
3P Att. %
17.7%
20.3%
SAS 20.5%
IND 21.5% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASIND
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points7989
Rebounds4846
Assists2224
Steals714
Blocks119
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)37 (0)
Field Goals28-7833-79
At-the-Rim FG15-3313-30
Midrange FG8-2910-32
2-Point FG23-6223-62
3-Point FG5-1610-17
Free Throws18-2613-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
43.2
16
35%
9
7
2
6
2
1
3
6
8-12
67%
4-18
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
34.9
14
47%
6
3
0
0
6
3
0
6
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 200 · 33
30.4
5
42%
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 205 · 26
27.8
11
55%
3
7
1
0
3
2
2
1
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
18.9
2
17%
6
0
0
0
3
3
3
3
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
26.4
4
33%
10
3
2
2
0
4
4
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 25
24.3
4
40%
4
1
1
3
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
14.7
13
81%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
9.2
6
60%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
7.5
4
40%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
43%
48
22
7
11
18
0
15
33
18-26
69%
23-62
37%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.