FinalWin Prob.pScore
2532%89
85
1568%95
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.08586.6
UTA logo UTA
111.58785.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIABell STEAL (1 STL)85
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Odom 9' Running Jump Shot85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0UTAPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0UTAMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 285
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)85
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTALopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTALopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIALopez STEAL (1 STL)83
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 1:13MIAHeat Rebound83
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 1:13UTAMISS Pavlovic 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 1:37MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)83
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 1:53UTALopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 1:53UTALopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)80
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 2:06UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 2:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 2:20UTAMISS Lopez Free Throw 2 of 280
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 2:20UTAMISS Lopez Free Throw 1 of 280
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 2:40MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 2:40MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 2:48UTAPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:48UTAPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 3:01MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)78
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 3:16UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bell 5 AST)75
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 3:34UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot75
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 3:44MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 3:45UTAMISS Bell 24' Jump Shot75
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIAAllen 5' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)75
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 4:28UTAKirilenko 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)73
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 4:48UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 4:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)73
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q4 - 4:50MIAKirilenko BLOCK (5 BLK)73
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Jones 12' Running Jump Shot73
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 5:05MIAJones Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)73
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q4 - 5:15UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 5:15UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 272
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 5:15UTAJAZZ Rebound72
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot72
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 5:29UTABell Foul Turnover (P1.T18)72
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 5:44MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)72
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIAHeat Rebound72
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q4 - 6:02UTAMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 6:26MIAGrant Layup (13 PTS)72
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 6:49UTALopez 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)70
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 7:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 269
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q4 - 7:09MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q4 - 7:11UTAMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot69
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 268
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 7:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 7:33UTAMISS Collins Layup68
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 7:47UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot68
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 8:11UTAKirilenko Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)68
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q4 - 8:30UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 8:49UTAKirilenko 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)68
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q4 - 9:09UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Odom 18' Jump Shot68
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q4 - 9:28UTALopez 16' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q4 - 9:43MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)68
14.4%
72
85.6%
Q4 - 10:03UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)66
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q4 - 10:18MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q4 - 10:18MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q4 - 10:29UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)64
15.2%
69
84.8%
Q4 - 10:29UTAKirilenko Layup (13 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)64
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q4 - 10:53UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
21.7%
66
78.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS Coles 17' Jump Shot64
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q4 - 11:26UTAPavlovic 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)64
26.5%
66
73.5%
Q4 - 11:44UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
30.7%
64
69.3%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 264
31.4%
64
68.6%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 264
34.4%
64
65.6%
Q4 - 11:55UTALopez Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)64
35.8%
64
64.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
30.7%
64
69.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
35.2%
64
64.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
36.4%
63
63.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
40.1%
62
59.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 264
40.8%
62
59.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
44.0%
62
56.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0UTACollins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T16)63
40.1%
62
59.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAColes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
35.3%
62
64.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAColes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
34.5%
62
65.5%
Q3 - 1:08UTACollins Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)61
30.5%
62
69.5%
Q3 - 1:23MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
26.4%
62
73.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 260
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 1:33UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
26.5%
62
73.5%
Q3 - 1:33UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
27.5%
61
72.5%
Q3 - 1:33UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
30.4%
60
69.6%
Q3 - 1:35UTAMISS Pavlovic 11' Fadeaway Jumper60
33.4%
60
66.6%
Q3 - 1:56MIAOdom Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
30.4%
60
69.6%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHeat Rebound58
26.3%
60
73.7%
Q3 - 2:08UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
22.5%
60
77.5%
Q3 - 2:08UTAMISS Collins Layup58
25.1%
60
74.9%
Q3 - 2:10UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 258
25.8%
60
74.2%
Q3 - 2:10UTAStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
23.7%
60
76.3%
Q3 - 2:19UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
26.0%
59
74.0%
Q3 - 2:22UTAMISS Stevenson 13' Jump Shot58
28.8%
59
71.2%
Q3 - 2:42MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)58
26.0%
59
74.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIAOdom Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 2:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 3:01UTAMISS Lopez Free Throw 2 of 255
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 3:01UTALopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 3:19MIAGrant 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
19.9%
58
80.1%
Q3 - 3:46UTAKirilenko Layup (11 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)53
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q3 - 4:01MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q3 - 4:01MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q3 - 4:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q3 - 4:17UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q3 - 4:38UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
14.9%
56
85.1%
Q3 - 4:39UTAMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 251
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 4:39UTARuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q3 - 4:39UTAJAZZ Rebound51
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 4:39UTAMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot51
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 5:05UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot51
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 5:23MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q3 - 5:25UTAMISS Stevenson Driving Layup51
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q3 - 5:33MIAJones Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)51
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q3 - 5:34MIAKirilenko STEAL (3 STL)50
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 5:57UTAStevenson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)50
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q3 - 6:19UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot50
21.1%
53
78.9%
Q3 - 6:43UTARuffin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)50
23.2%
53
76.8%
Q3 - 6:56UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 250
20.7%
53
79.3%
Q3 - 6:57MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
22.4%
53
77.6%
Q3 - 7:15UTAArroyo 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)49
20.6%
53
79.4%
Q3 - 7:22UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Allen 12' Turnaround Jump Shot49
23.8%
51
76.2%
Q3 - 7:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q3 - 7:40UTAMISS Kirilenko 4' Jump Shot49
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q3 - 7:58MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 7:58MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q3 - 7:58UTAKirilenko Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)47
20.6%
51
79.4%
Q3 - 8:22UTAStevenson Layup (9 PTS)47
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q3 - 8:25MIAArroyo STEAL (1 STL)47
25.7%
48
74.3%
Q3 - 8:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)47
29.2%
48
70.8%
Q3 - 8:36UTAMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.1%
48
71.9%
Q3 - 9:05MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)47
25.5%
48
74.5%
Q3 - 9:19MIAHeat Rebound44
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q3 - 9:19UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup44
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q3 - 9:19UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q3 - 9:21UTAMISS Ostertag 10' Jump Shot44
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q3 - 9:36MIAAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)44
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q3 - 9:41UTAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)44
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q3 - 10:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)44
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q3 - 10:00MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS)44
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q3 - 10:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot42
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q3 - 10:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot42
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot42
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q3 - 10:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q3 - 10:11MIARuffin BLOCK (2 BLK)42
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q3 - 10:28UTAOstertag Layup (11 PTS) (Ruffin 2 AST)42
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q3 - 10:52MIAStevenson STEAL (2 STL)42
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q3 - 10:56MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q3 - 10:57MIARuffin BLOCK (1 BLK)42
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q3 - 11:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q3 - 11:29UTAStevenson 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ostertag 2 AST)42
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q3 - 11:46MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)42
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound40
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot40
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0UTALopez Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)40
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAKirilenko STEAL (2 STL)40
18.8%
44
81.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAStevenson 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ruffin 1 AST)40
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWallace Reverse Layup (6 PTS)40
23.1%
42
76.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0UTACollins 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)38
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 1:16UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
23.5%
40
76.5%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 238
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 1:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 1:40UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
22.4%
40
77.6%
Q2 - 1:40UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
22.9%
39
77.1%
Q2 - 1:47MIAWallace 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)37
25.9%
38
74.1%
Q2 - 1:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
22.4%
38
77.6%
Q2 - 1:56UTAMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot35
22.1%
38
77.9%
Q2 - 2:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 234
20.5%
38
79.5%
Q2 - 2:22UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q2 - 2:22UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 2:46MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)34
23.2%
36
76.8%
Q2 - 3:12UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 132
20.8%
36
79.2%
Q2 - 3:12UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
21.1%
36
78.9%
Q2 - 3:12UTAOstertag Layup (9 PTS)32
21.1%
36
78.9%
Q2 - 3:13UTAMISS Lopez Layup32
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 3:23UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
22.9%
34
77.1%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot32
23.6%
34
76.4%
Q2 - 3:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 3:34UTAMISS Kirilenko 18' Fadeaway Jumper32
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
22.9%
34
77.1%
Q2 - 3:57MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)32
22.9%
34
77.1%
Q2 - 4:01MIAKirilenko BLOCK (4 BLK)30
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 4:14UTARuffin Foul Turnover (P3.T11)30
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)30
19.1%
34
80.9%
Q2 - 4:47UTAKirilenko Dunk (6 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)30
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 4:50UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
22.9%
32
77.1%
Q2 - 4:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q2 - 4:53MIAKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)30
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot30
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 5:15UTALopez Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)30
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWallace Layup (2 PTS)30
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot28
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q2 - 6:02MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot28
19.7%
32
80.3%
Q2 - 6:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.7%
32
80.3%
Q2 - 6:39UTALopez 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 6:57UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 7:00MIAKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)28
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 7:00MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q2 - 7:04MIAPavlovic BLOCK (1 BLK)28
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q2 - 7:23UTAKirilenko Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)28
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q2 - 7:35MIAJones Foul Turnover (P4.T6)28
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 7:46MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q2 - 7:48UTAMISS Kirilenko 22' Jump Shot28
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 8:06MIAJones 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)28
22.9%
30
77.1%
Q2 - 8:10MIAHeat Rebound26
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIAOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)26
20.0%
30
80.0%
Q2 - 8:29UTAPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q2 - 8:29UTAPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q2 - 8:47UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot26
23.5%
28
76.5%
Q2 - 8:59UTALopez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)26
25.0%
28
75.0%
Q2 - 9:06UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
22.8%
28
77.2%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Odom 3PT Jump Shot26
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 9:31UTAPavlovic 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
24.9%
28
75.1%
Q2 - 9:40UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q2 - 9:42UTAMISS Pavlovic Layup26
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q2 - 9:47MIAKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)26
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q2 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q2 - 9:51UTAMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot26
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q2 - 9:57UTAJAZZ Rebound26
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q2 - 9:57UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q2 - 10:12UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot26
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 10:39UTAPavlovic Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)26
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q2 - 10:41UTAJAZZ Rebound26
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 10:41UTAMISS Kirilenko 6' Jump Shot26
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q2 - 10:51UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 10:52UTAMISS Bell Layup26
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q2 - 11:06MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)26
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q2 - 11:27UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q2 - 11:27UTAOstertag Tip Shot (7 PTS)24
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q2 - 11:28UTAMISS Kirilenko Driving Layup24
31.8%
22
68.2%
Q2 - 11:45MIAWoods Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
32.5%
22
67.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
32.5%
22
67.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones Layup24
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0UTALopez Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)24
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0UTACollins Foul Turnover (P2.T6)22
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
26.5%
22
73.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0UTARuffin Layup (4 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)20
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 1:11UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Alston Layup20
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 1:20UTACollins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)20
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAJones 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 1:48MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 1:50UTAMISS Pavlovic 20' Jump Shot18
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 2:08MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 217
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q1 - 2:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 2:24UTAMISS Arroyo Layup17
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 2:29MIAStevenson STEAL (1 STL)17
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 2:48UTAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)17
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 3:07MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)17
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 3:25UTARuffin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)15
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 3:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)15
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 4:03UTAStevenson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)12
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 4:14UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
16.9%
18
83.1%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot12
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 4:30UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 4:30UTAStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)12
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 4:30UTAMISS Arroyo Free Throw Technical12
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 4:55MIAJones Driving Dunk (2 PTS)12
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 5:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 5:05UTAMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot10
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 5:29MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
17.1%
16
82.9%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 29
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 5:34UTAOstertag Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 5:53MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)9
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 6:14UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 6:14UTARuffin Dunk (2 PTS)7
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 6:15UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup7
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 6:30UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 6:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 6:46UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup7
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 7:00UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 7:22UTAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 7:32UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot7
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 7:54UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 7:54UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 8:00UTAJAZZ Rebound7
21.0%
10
79.0%
Q1 - 8:02UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 27
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 8:02UTAStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 8:12MIAOstertag STEAL (1 STL)7
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 8:25UTAMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot7
23.3%
9
76.7%
Q1 - 8:43MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)7
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 9:06UTAArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
19.8%
9
80.2%
Q1 - 9:20MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
20.7%
7
79.3%
Q1 - 9:34UTAOstertag Layup (5 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)4
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 9:55MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)4
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 9:58MIAHeat Rebound2
22.3%
5
77.7%
Q1 - 9:58MIAKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)2
21.2%
5
78.8%
Q1 - 10:11UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 10:11UTAOstertag Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)2
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 10:33MIAOdom 2' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:58UTAKirilenko Dunk (2 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:18UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot0
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:40UTARuffin 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Ostertag vs. Grant: Tip to Arroyo0
24.8%
0
75.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
UTA
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
20
55%
UTA
16
28
57%
Midrange
MIA
12
33
36%
UTA
14
27
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
UTA
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
24
35
69%
UTA
31
41
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1864%9.0 / 14
L. Odom1444%7.0 / 16
B. Grant1346%6.5 / 14
R. Alston1150%5.5 / 11
M. Allen850%4.0 / 8
U. Haslem750%3.5 / 7
R. Butler650%3.0 / 6
J. Wallace660%3.0 / 5
B. Coles250%1.0 / 2
C. Butler0-0.0 / 2
L. Woods0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko2662%13.0 / 21
R. Lopez1372%6.5 / 9
D. Stevenson1246%6.0 / 13
G. Ostertag1169%5.5 / 8
S. Pavlovic1150%5.5 / 11
J. Collins964%4.5 / 7
C. Arroyo880%4.0 / 5
M. Ruffin583%2.5 / 3
R. Bell214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+18
-15
88
UTA
69
+14
-18
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
UTA
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.5
MIA 100.0
UTA 111.5 +11.5
Pace
90.6
88.8
MIA 86.6 +1.2
UTA 85.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
17.1
MIA 16.6 +0.2
UTA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.6%
MIA 43.6%
UTA 52.4% +8.8%
TO %
14.4%
17.2%
MIA 14.9% +3.3%
UTA 18.2%
ORB %
27.5%
34.1%
MIA 34.1%
UTA 34.5% +0.4%
FTrt
29.8
35.6
MIA 50.0
UTA 65.1 +15.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
62.1%
MIA 57.1%
UTA 65.6% +8.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
MIA 8.2%
UTA 10.3% +2.1%
BLK %
6.3%
10.6%
MIA 14.5%
UTA 17.0% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.0%
MIA 46.7%
UTA 57.7% +11.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
53.4%
MIA 55.0%
UTA 57.1% +2.1%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.8%
MIA 36.4%
UTA 51.9% +15.5%
3P %
35.7%
32.1%
MIA 29.4% +4.4%
UTA 25.0%
FT %
76.2%
74.6%
MIA 68.6%
UTA 75.6% +7.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
38.9%
MIA 28.6%
UTA 44.4% +15.9%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
48.4%
MIA 47.1%
UTA 42.9% +4.3%
3P Att. %
21.1%
12.7%
MIA 24.3% +11.6%
UTA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8597
Rebounds3337
Assists1621
Steals79
Blocks89
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (4)27 (1)
Field Goals28-7032-63
At-the-Rim FG11-2016-28
Midrange FG12-3314-27
2-Point FG23-5330-55
3-Point FG5-172-8
Free Throws24-3531-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
41.5
11
50%
2
7
2
0
3
5
1
1
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
38.5
13
46%
11
1
1
1
0
4
6
5
1-2
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
31.6
14
44%
5
3
0
3
3
4
0
5
5-9
56%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
30.4
18
64%
0
4
1
0
4
6
0
0
6-6
100%
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
23.1
8
50%
2
0
1
1
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
22.8
7
50%
4
0
1
1
2
3
3
1
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
16.2
0
0%
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
15.7
6
50%
2
1
1
0
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
7.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
6.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
5.9
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
47%
33
16
7
8
15
0
14
19
24-35
69%
23-53
43%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.