FinalWin Prob.pScore
2713%92
86
187%107
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.98274.5
SAC logo SAC
105.98594.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)86
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0SACMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 286
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0SACJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)86
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0SACBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Divac 5 AST)84
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAOdom 5' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)84
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)82
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0SACMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot82
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 1:15SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 1:30SACDivac Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
5.2%
86
94.8%
Q4 - 1:30SACDivac Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q4 - 1:44MIAChristie STEAL (1 STL)82
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q4 - 1:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)82
13.9%
84
86.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot82
10.1%
84
89.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
14.4%
84
85.6%
Q4 - 2:09SACMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot82
12.1%
84
87.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)82
7.9%
84
92.1%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 281
7.3%
84
92.7%
Q4 - 2:44SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)81
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 2:44SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)81
10.0%
83
90.0%
Q4 - 2:51SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot81
15.6%
82
84.4%
Q4 - 3:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
21.5%
82
78.5%
Q4 - 3:11SACMISS Divac 6' Jump Shot81
18.5%
82
81.5%
Q4 - 3:27MIAStojakovic STEAL (2 STL)81
12.9%
82
87.1%
Q4 - 3:40SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
20.2%
82
79.8%
Q4 - 3:40SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 281
21.0%
81
79.0%
Q4 - 3:55MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
20.0%
81
80.0%
Q4 - 4:18SACDivac 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)79
14.9%
81
85.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
20.1%
79
79.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
18.7%
79
81.3%
Q4 - 4:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)77
14.9%
79
85.1%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
11.7%
79
88.3%
Q4 - 5:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)77
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q4 - 5:16SACMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot77
13.2%
79
86.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)77
10.7%
79
89.3%
Q4 - 5:48SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)74
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q4 - 5:48SACMiller 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
8.0%
78
92.0%
Q4 - 5:52SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
10.7%
76
89.3%
Q4 - 5:54SACMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot74
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q4 - 6:03MIABibby STEAL (1 STL)74
10.4%
76
89.6%
Q4 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)74
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot74
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q4 - 6:23MIAHeat Rebound74
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q4 - 6:25SACMISS Divac 4' Finger Roll74
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q4 - 6:44SACDivac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 274
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)74
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q4 - 6:59MIAHeat Rebound73
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q4 - 7:01SACMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
10.1%
76
89.9%
Q4 - 7:25MIAButler 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)73
8.3%
76
91.7%
Q4 - 7:26MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q4 - 7:28MIAJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)71
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q4 - 7:50SACChristie Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)71
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)71
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHaslem 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)70
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot68
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 8:23SACJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)68
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q4 - 8:33SACJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot68
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 8:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q4 - 8:56SACMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot68
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 9:14SACKINGS Rebound68
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Odom 4' Running Jump Shot68
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 9:21MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q4 - 9:22SACMISS Massenburg 7' Hook Shot68
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q4 - 9:23SACMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 9:25SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q4 - 9:38SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMassenburg BLOCK (1 BLK)68
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 9:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot68
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q4 - 10:02SACMISS Massenburg 7' Jump Hook Shot68
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q4 - 10:16MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)68
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 10:19MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q4 - 10:21SACMISS Peeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q4 - 10:37MIAOdom 9' Hook Shot (19 PTS)68
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 10:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot66
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 10:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Odom 10' Jump Shot66
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 11:06SACMassenburg Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)66
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 11:17SACMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot66
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q4 - 11:40SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 11:40SACMiller Tip Shot (11 PTS)66
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 11:42SACMISS Miller Layup66
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC66
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACKINGS Rebound66
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACMISS Jackson 32' 3PT Jump Shot66
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAAllen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)66
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Allen Tip Shot66
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot66
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0SACMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot66
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAJones Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)66
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 1:08SACJackson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)64
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 1:24SACKINGS Rebound64
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 1:41SACDivac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 1:46SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 1:49SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 2:09MIAJones Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)64
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 2:13SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)62
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 2:27MIAAlston 5' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)62
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 2:46SACBibby 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Divac 4 AST)60
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIAJones Dunk (9 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)60
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 3:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 3:22SACMISS Divac 5' Finger Roll58
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 3:37SACDivac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 3:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 3:54SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 4:08SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot58
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 4:20SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)58
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 4:20SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 4:20SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 4:21SACMISS Stojakovic 5' Jump Shot58
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 4:22SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 4:24SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 4:43MIAAlston Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 4:50SACDivac Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 4:50SACDivac Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 5:10MIAAllen Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)56
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 5:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 5:25SACMISS Divac Free Throw 2 of 254
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 5:25SACMISS Divac Free Throw 1 of 254
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 5:25SACKINGS Rebound54
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot54
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 5:31MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 5:33SACMISS Miller Layup54
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 5:53MIAAlston Driving Layup (7 PTS)54
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 6:02SACMISS Stojakovic Free Throw Technical52
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 6:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 6:15SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 252
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 6:15SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 6:29MIAWoods Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)52
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 6:49SACMiller 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 7:11MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)52
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 7:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 7:28SACMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot50
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 7:44MIAOdom Driving Layup (17 PTS)50
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 8:01SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)48
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 8:01SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)48
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 8:19MIAOdom Driving Layup (15 PTS)48
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 8:43SACKINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)46
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q3 - 9:12MIAAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)46
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q3 - 9:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q3 - 9:17SACMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot44
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q3 - 9:31MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)44
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q3 - 10:00SACBibby 7' Running Layup (13 PTS)41
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 10:07MIADivac STEAL (2 STL)41
1.5%
57
98.5%
Q3 - 10:31SACChristie 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)41
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q3 - 10:53SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 11:18SACMiller 7' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)41
2.7%
54
97.3%
Q3 - 11:40MIADivac STEAL (1 STL)41
3.1%
52
96.9%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot41
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAC41
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T6)41
3.1%
52
96.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot41
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Odom 10' Running Hook Shot41
3.4%
52
96.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)41
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0SACDivac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
3.3%
52
96.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.4%
52
96.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 1:34SACDivac Layup (6 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)39
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q2 - 1:44SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones 23' Jump Shot39
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 2:08SACStojakovic 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)39
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 2:23MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 2:23MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 2:42SACMassenburg Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)37
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 2:51SACPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 2:53MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot37
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 3:15SACStojakovic Dunk (16 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)37
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 3:19MIAPeeler STEAL (1 STL)37
4.6%
46
95.4%
Q2 - 3:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
4.7%
46
95.3%
Q2 - 3:49SACMassenburg 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)37
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 4:13MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
4.6%
46
95.4%
Q2 - 4:13MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
4.5%
46
95.5%
Q2 - 4:38SACMassenburg 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)35
4.1%
46
95.9%
Q2 - 4:59MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)35
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 5:11MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 5:12SACMISS Peeler 17' Jump Shot35
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 5:22MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)35
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 5:44SACPeeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)32
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAAllen 7' Hook Shot (3 PTS)32
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 6:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Allen 16' Turnaround Jump Shot30
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 6:40SACMiller 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)30
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q2 - 6:56SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 6:57SACMISS Christie 19' Jump Shot30
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 7:09SACJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 7:19SACJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 7:37SACMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 230
4.9%
39
95.1%
Q2 - 7:38MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 7:44SACJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
4.9%
39
95.1%
Q2 - 7:52MIAButler Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)29
4.4%
39
95.6%
Q2 - 7:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
4.0%
39
96.0%
Q2 - 7:59SACMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
3.8%
39
96.2%
Q2 - 8:22MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
3.6%
39
96.4%
Q2 - 8:22MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
3.6%
39
96.4%
Q2 - 8:43SACJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)25
3.3%
39
96.7%
Q2 - 9:00SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot25
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 9:25SACBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)25
4.5%
36
95.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)25
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q2 - 10:15SACBibby Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q2 - 10:27MIAOdom 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)23
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q2 - 10:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
4.2%
33
95.8%
Q2 - 10:44SACMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot21
4.0%
33
96.0%
Q2 - 10:59SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
3.7%
33
96.3%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Odom 17' Jump Shot21
3.9%
33
96.1%
Q2 - 11:24SACJackson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)21
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q2 - 11:40MIAOdom 7' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)21
4.5%
31
95.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC19
4.1%
31
95.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot19
3.9%
31
96.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
4.1%
31
95.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot19
4.0%
31
96.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
3.4%
31
96.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0SACMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
3.4%
31
96.6%
Q1 - 1:08SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Woods 5' Jump Shot17
3.3%
31
96.7%
Q1 - 1:34SACChristie 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)17
3.5%
31
96.5%
Q1 - 1:51SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
3.9%
29
96.1%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot17
4.0%
29
96.0%
Q1 - 2:02SACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
4.2%
29
95.8%
Q1 - 2:21MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)17
3.9%
29
96.1%
Q1 - 2:45SACDivac 5' Finger Roll (4 PTS)14
3.2%
29
96.8%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)14
3.6%
27
96.4%
Q1 - 3:11MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
4.0%
27
96.0%
Q1 - 3:12SACMISS Stojakovic Layup14
3.8%
27
96.2%
Q1 - 3:31MIAOdom 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
3.6%
27
96.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
3.3%
27
96.7%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot12
3.1%
27
96.9%
Q1 - 4:13SACBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Divac 3 AST)12
3.3%
27
96.7%
Q1 - 4:27SACDivac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
3.9%
24
96.1%
Q1 - 4:28MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
4.3%
24
95.7%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Woods Tip Shot12
4.0%
24
96.0%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Woods 6' Hook Shot12
4.0%
24
96.0%
Q1 - 4:58SACDivac Layup (2 PTS)12
4.3%
24
95.7%
Q1 - 5:09SACKINGS Rebound12
4.6%
22
95.4%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
4.8%
22
95.2%
Q1 - 5:27SACBibby 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Divac 2 AST)12
5.1%
22
94.9%
Q1 - 5:34SACStojakovic Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)12
5.9%
19
94.1%
Q1 - 5:48MIAOdom 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
6.4%
18
93.6%
Q1 - 6:17SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)10
6.0%
18
94.0%
Q1 - 6:17SACStojakovic 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)10
6.5%
17
93.5%
Q1 - 6:26MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)10
6.9%
15
93.1%
Q1 - 6:54SACStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)8
6.4%
15
93.6%
Q1 - 7:12MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)8
6.9%
13
93.1%
Q1 - 7:33SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)8
7.5%
13
92.5%
Q1 - 7:46MIAOdom 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)8
8.5%
10
91.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
7.8%
10
92.2%
Q1 - 8:06SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot6
7.7%
10
92.3%
Q1 - 8:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
7.3%
10
92.7%
Q1 - 8:20MIAButler Layup (4 PTS)6
7.3%
10
92.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot4
6.5%
10
93.5%
Q1 - 8:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6.8%
10
93.2%
Q1 - 8:36SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
6.7%
10
93.3%
Q1 - 8:43SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
6.3%
10
93.7%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot4
6.5%
10
93.5%
Q1 - 9:08SACStojakovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)4
6.8%
10
93.2%
Q1 - 9:15SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.1%
8
92.9%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot4
7.3%
8
92.7%
Q1 - 9:32SACBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
7.8%
8
92.2%
Q1 - 9:35SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.1%
8
92.9%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
7.3%
8
92.7%
Q1 - 9:51SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
7.8%
8
92.2%
Q1 - 9:51SACMiller Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)4
8.4%
7
91.6%
Q1 - 10:01MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
8.8%
5
91.2%
Q1 - 10:22SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
8.3%
5
91.7%
Q1 - 10:45MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
9.4%
2
90.6%
Q1 - 11:03MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 11:05SACMISS Divac 6' Finger Roll0
8.6%
2
91.4%
Q1 - 11:25MIAStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)0
8.3%
2
91.7%
Q1 - 11:44SACBibby Layup (2 PTS) (Divac 1 AST)0
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Divac vs. Grant: Tip to Stojakovic0
9.4%
0
90.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
SAC
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
22
73%
SAC
12
18
67%
Midrange
MIA
15
40
38%
SAC
11
26
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
SAC
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
12
15
80%
SAC
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2170%10.5 / 15
E. Jones1850%9.0 / 18
R. Alston1338%6.5 / 17
C. Butler1267%6.0 / 9
M. Allen1146%5.5 / 12
B. Grant744%3.5 / 8
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
L. Woods0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic2463%12.0 / 19
M. Bibby2067%10.0 / 15
B. Miller1447%7.0 / 15
V. Divac1255%6.0 / 11
B. Jackson850%4.0 / 8
D. Christie583%2.5 / 3
T. Massenburg450%2.0 / 4
A. Peeler350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
68
+19
-14
87
SAC
73
+8
-12
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
SAC
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
107.1
MIA 104.9
SAC 105.9 +1.0
Pace
90.6
95.6
MIA 74.5
SAC 94.6 +20.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.2
MIA 19.3
SAC 15.2 +4.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.7%
MIA 46.8%
SAC 55.3% +8.5%
TO %
14.4%
14.1%
MIA 14.1% +0.5%
SAC 14.6%
ORB %
27.5%
26.1%
MIA 45.2% +24.6%
SAC 20.6%
FTrt
29.8
30.4
MIA 19.0
SAC 34.8 +15.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
69.4%
MIA 48.6%
SAC 65.6% +17.0%
STL %
7.9%
9.0%
MIA 9.8% +0.4%
SAC 9.4%
BLK %
6.3%
5.7%
MIA 6.8% +3.6%
SAC 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
52.9%
MIA 48.9%
SAC 54.9% +6.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
59.2%
MIA 72.7% +6.0%
SAC 66.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
40.0%
MIA 37.5%
SAC 42.3% +4.8%
3P %
35.7%
40.1%
MIA 23.5%
SAC 40.9% +17.4%
FT %
76.2%
79.5%
MIA 80.0% +6.1%
SAC 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
32.4%
MIA 27.8% +0.6%
SAC 27.3%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
45.3%
MIA 50.6%
SAC 39.4% +11.2%
3P Att. %
21.1%
22.3%
MIA 21.5%
SAC 33.3% +11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions8285
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points8690
Rebounds4630
Assists1721
Steals88
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (0)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)23 (4)
Field Goals35-7932-66
At-the-Rim FG16-2212-18
Midrange FG15-4011-26
2-Point FG31-6223-44
3-Point FG4-179-22
Free Throws12-1517-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
43.6
13
38%
6
5
0
0
1
4
3
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-9
11%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
42.9
18
50%
2
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
2-7
29%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
41.5
7
44%
5
2
1
2
1
5
1
4
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
36.6
21
70%
12
4
2
1
3
3
2
10
0-0
-
9-14
64%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
22.9
12
67%
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
19.8
11
46%
7
1
2
0
3
3
3
4
5-6
83%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
15.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
1
3
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
12.7
4
40%
9
0
0
0
2
1
6
3
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
4.4
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
49%
46
17
8
3
14
0
19
27
12-15
80%
31-62
50%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.