FinalWin Prob.pScore
1538%97
103
1362%101
111
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
101.0102104.8
MIL logo MIL
106.7104101.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL103
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0BOSMISS Pierce 28' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)103
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)103
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSBanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)103
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSBanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)102
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)101
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)101
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0BOSDavis 3' Jump Shot (33 PTS)101
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 1:03BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:03BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 298
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:09MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)98
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 1:09MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)98
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 1:16BOSDavis Layup (31 PTS) (James 9 AST)98
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 1:24MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 1:24MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 296
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 1:24BOSMason STEAL (2 STL)96
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 1:32BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 1:34MILMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 1:59MILJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 2:01MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot96
1.8%
104
98.2%
Q4 - 2:18BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 2:18BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 2:24MILFord Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T24)94
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 2:38MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 2:41BOSMISS Blount 3' Hook Shot94
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:58MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)94
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 2:58MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 3:03BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)94
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 3:03BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 293
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 3:03BOSCeltics Rebound93
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 3:03BOSMISS Pierce Layup93
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 3:06MILStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T23)93
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 3:14BOSDavis Reverse Layup (28 PTS) (James 8 AST)93
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 3:19MILStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T22)91
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 3:35BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)91
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 3:53BOSCeltics Rebound88
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 3:54MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot88
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 4:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 4:15BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot88
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 4:36MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)88
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 4:36MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)88
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 4:54BOSDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Pierce 8 AST)88
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 5:05MILJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)85
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 5:34BOSDavis Layup (23 PTS) (Welsch 4 AST)85
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 5:38BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 5:40MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 6:01BOSBanks Driving Layup (8 PTS)83
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 6:13MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)81
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 6:23MILBUCKS Rebound81
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 6:24MILMISS Mason 3PT Jump Shot81
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 6:46BOSMcCarty Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 7 AST)81
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 6:55BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 6:57MILMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 7:25BOSMcCarty Layup (2 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 7:48MILStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 7:48MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 7:54BOSMason STEAL (1 STL)77
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 8:13MILStrickland Driving Layup (12 PTS)77
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 8:19MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 8:21BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot77
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 8:31MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)77
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 8:47BOSDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Welsch 3 AST)77
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q4 - 8:58BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 9:00MILMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot74
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 9:24MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 9:25BOSMISS Welsch Layup74
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 9:30BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 9:32MILMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot74
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 9:38MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 9:40BOSMISS Welsch 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 9:55MILSantiago Traveling Turnover (P1.T21)74
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 9:55MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 9:58BOSMISS Welsch 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 10:18MILSantiago 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)74
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 10:32BOSDavis 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 7 AST)74
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 10:42MILStrickland 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)72
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 10:57MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 10:59BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot72
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 11:11MILKukoc Foul Turnover (P2.T20)72
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 11:26BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 11:26BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 11:31BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)70
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q4 - 11:33MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 270
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 11:33MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 270
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 11:49BOSWelsch Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)70
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS70
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 170
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSkinner Layup (8 PTS)70
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 0:16.0BOSDavis Tip Shot (16 PTS)70
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0BOSMISS Davis Layup68
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMason 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)68
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0BOSBanks Dunk (6 PTS)68
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILJones Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)66
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 1:07BOSBanks Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)66
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 1:07BOSCeltics Rebound66
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 1:08BOSMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot66
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 1:22MILMason 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)66
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 1:35BOSMihm 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T17)66
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 1:45BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q3 - 1:48MILMISS Smith Layup66
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q3 - 2:07BOSDavis Dunk (14 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)66
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 2:11MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)64
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 2:23MILBUCKS Rebound64
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 2:25MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot64
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 2:50BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)64
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 2:56BOSBanks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 2:57MILMISS Skinner Layup61
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 2:58MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 3:01MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 3:19MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)61
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 3:21BOSMISS Jones Layup61
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 3:26MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)61
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 3:44MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 3:45BOSMISS Mihm Free Throw 2 of 261
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 3:45BOSMihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 3:45BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)60
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 3:46BOSMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot60
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 3:48BOSBanks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 3:51BOSMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot60
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 4:02MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)60
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 4:02MILSmith Tip Shot (12 PTS)60
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 4:03MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot60
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 4:17BOSMihm Foul Turnover (P1.T16)60
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 4:28MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)60
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 4:47BOSBanks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)60
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 5:02MILFord 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q3 - 5:23BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 5:23BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 5:38MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
5.0%
73
95.0%
Q3 - 5:38MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 5:43MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 5:45BOSMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q3 - 5:53BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 5:55MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 6:12BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 6:18BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 6:19MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 6:19MILMISS Skinner Tip Shot55
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 6:22MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot55
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 6:37BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 6:37BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 6:42MILThomas 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)53
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 6:46BOSFord STEAL (2 STL)53
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 6:52BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)53
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 6:54BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q3 - 7:09MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)53
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 7:24BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 7:24BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 252
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 7:34MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)52
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 7:34MILSmith Dunk (9 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)52
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q3 - 7:41MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 7:43BOSMISS Welsch 8' Jump Shot52
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 8:00MILSkinner Layup (6 PTS)52
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 8:01MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
13.6%
60
86.4%
Q3 - 8:02MILMISS Skinner Layup52
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 8:08MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
13.6%
60
86.4%
Q3 - 8:10BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
14.2%
60
85.8%
Q3 - 8:19MILSkinner Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)52
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 8:40BOSPierce Layup (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)52
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q3 - 8:53MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
12.1%
60
87.9%
Q3 - 8:53MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q3 - 9:07MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q3 - 9:09BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot50
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q3 - 9:21BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
15.8%
58
84.2%
Q3 - 9:23MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot50
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 9:41BOSJames 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pierce 6 AST)50
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q3 - 9:54MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 9:54MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 9:57BOSSmith STEAL (1 STL)47
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 10:07BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
14.4%
56
85.6%
Q3 - 10:08BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot47
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 10:24BOSMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
14.3%
56
85.7%
Q3 - 10:24BOSMISS James 17' Jump Shot47
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 10:33BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)47
14.3%
56
85.7%
Q3 - 10:36MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
13.7%
56
86.3%
Q3 - 10:43MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
12.5%
56
87.5%
Q3 - 10:45BOSMISS James 17' Jump Shot47
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 11:01MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)47
14.6%
56
85.4%
Q3 - 11:01MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)47
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q3 - 11:11BOSJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
18.3%
53
81.7%
Q3 - 11:11BOSJames 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
16.3%
53
83.7%
Q3 - 11:18BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 11:20MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot44
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 11:24MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q3 - 11:26BOSMISS Welsch 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q3 - 11:42MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)44
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS44
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILStrickland Layup (8 PTS)44
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0BOSDavis Dunk (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)44
23.7%
48
76.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)42
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P2.T12)42
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILStrickland 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)42
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0BOSDavis 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)42
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)40
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 1:12BOSDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)40
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 1:22BOSCeltics Rebound37
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 1:22BOSMISS Blount 12' Jump Shot37
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 1:37MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)37
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 1:43MILBUCKS Rebound37
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q2 - 1:44MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 237
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 1:44MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 1:53MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
16.0%
45
84.0%
Q2 - 1:55BOSMISS Pierce 13' Jump Shot37
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 2:06MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 2:06MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 237
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 2:30BOSJames Layup (9 PTS) (Welsch 2 AST)37
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q2 - 2:32BOSCeltics Rebound35
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 2:33BOSMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 2:36BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 2:38BOSMISS Welsch 3PT Jump Shot35
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 2:49BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 2:51MILMISS Mason 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 3:03MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 3:04BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 3:18MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)35
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 3:27BOSMcCarty Foul Turnover (P1.T11)35
19.9%
41
80.1%
Q2 - 3:40MILSantiago Dunk (6 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)35
22.1%
41
77.9%
Q2 - 3:54BOSBlount Foul Turnover (P3.T10)35
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 4:16BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)35
26.4%
39
73.6%
Q2 - 4:18MILMISS Santiago Layup35
25.7%
39
74.3%
Q2 - 4:34BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
24.2%
39
75.8%
Q2 - 4:52MILKukoc Dunk (4 PTS)33
22.2%
39
77.8%
Q2 - 4:55BOSKukoc STEAL (1 STL)33
24.2%
37
75.8%
Q2 - 5:01BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
26.6%
37
73.4%
Q2 - 5:02MILMISS Kukoc Layup33
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 5:24MILBUCKS Rebound33
24.2%
37
75.8%
Q2 - 5:24BOSMISS Banks 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
24.9%
37
75.1%
Q2 - 5:43MILSantiago Layup (4 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)33
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 5:51MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
28.6%
35
71.4%
Q2 - 5:53MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 6:01BOSStrickland STEAL (1 STL)33
28.6%
35
71.4%
Q2 - 6:24MILMason 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Santiago 1 AST)33
31.4%
35
68.6%
Q2 - 6:30MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
33.3%
33
66.7%
Q2 - 6:32BOSSantiago BLOCK (1 BLK)33
34.2%
33
65.8%
Q2 - 6:50MILStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
36.3%
33
63.7%
Q2 - 6:50MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
36.6%
32
63.4%
Q2 - 7:12BOSBanks 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
38.4%
31
61.6%
Q2 - 7:17BOSBanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
36.1%
31
63.9%
Q2 - 7:18MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot31
35.3%
31
64.7%
Q2 - 7:35BOSBanks 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)31
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q2 - 7:56MILJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)29
31.4%
31
68.6%
Q2 - 8:03MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
35.6%
28
64.4%
Q2 - 8:05BOSMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot29
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 8:11BOSBanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 8:13MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
37.5%
28
62.5%
Q2 - 8:18MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35.6%
28
64.4%
Q2 - 8:20BOSMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot29
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 8:35MILStrickland 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)29
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 8:51BOSDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T7)29
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q2 - 8:54BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)29
43.4%
26
56.6%
Q2 - 8:56MILMISS Kukoc Layup29
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q2 - 9:08MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q2 - 9:09BOSMISS McCarty 16' Jump Shot29
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 9:18BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q2 - 9:20MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.1%
26
57.9%
Q2 - 9:31BOSBanks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q2 - 9:37MILKukoc Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q2 - 9:49MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q2 - 9:50BOSMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot29
46.0%
24
54.0%
Q2 - 10:10MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)29
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q2 - 10:18MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
44.9%
24
55.1%
Q2 - 10:20BOSMISS McCarty 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
45.8%
24
54.2%
Q2 - 10:35MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q2 - 10:35MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
48.2%
23
51.8%
Q2 - 10:57BOSDavis Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
49.9%
22
50.1%
Q2 - 11:21MILSantiago Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
46.9%
22
53.1%
Q2 - 11:21MILSantiago Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q2 - 11:35MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
49.3%
20
50.7%
Q2 - 11:36BOSMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot27
50.1%
20
49.9%
Q2 - 11:49MILKukoc Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)27
51.8%
20
48.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
49.3%
20
50.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSBlount 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)27
49.1%
20
50.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0MILMason 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)25
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
49.1%
18
50.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
49.6%
18
50.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 225
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
49.1%
18
50.9%
Q1 - 1:03MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 1:05BOSMISS McCarty 3PT Jump Shot25
51.9%
17
48.1%
Q1 - 1:11MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)25
53.2%
17
46.8%
Q1 - 1:17BOSFord STEAL (1 STL)25
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 1:18BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
53.2%
17
46.8%
Q1 - 1:19BOSMISS Blount Layup25
51.9%
17
48.1%
Q1 - 1:33MILFord Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)25
53.2%
17
46.8%
Q1 - 1:43BOSPierce Layup (2 PTS)25
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 1:49MILThomas Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)23
48.4%
17
51.6%
Q1 - 2:13BOSBlount Layup (10 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)23
51.0%
15
49.0%
Q1 - 2:28MILSkinner 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q1 - 2:45BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 2:59MILFord Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 3:19BOSJames Layup (7 PTS)21
54.4%
11
45.6%
Q1 - 3:25MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)19
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 3:40BOSBlount 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)19
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 3:51BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
48.0%
11
52.0%
Q1 - 3:52MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 3:52MILMISS Smith Tip Shot17
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 3:53MILMISS Thomas Layup17
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 4:02MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 4:04MILMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot17
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 4:13BOSRedd STEAL (1 STL)17
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 4:34MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T6)17
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 4:35BOSSkinner STEAL (1 STL)17
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 4:37BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 4:39MILMISS Redd Layup17
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 4:43MILRedd Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)17
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 4:54BOSJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
47.1%
10
52.9%
Q1 - 4:58MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)17
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 5:17BOSJames 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 5:29BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 5:31MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot15
43.6%
10
56.4%
Q1 - 5:50BOSWelsch 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)15
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 5:54BOSCeltics Rebound13
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 5:55BOSSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)13
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 6:18BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
39.6%
10
60.4%
Q1 - 6:20MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 6:41BOSMihm Dunk (4 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)13
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 7:00MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)11
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 7:13BOSBlount Layup (6 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)11
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 7:18MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 7:20MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
30.3%
10
69.7%
Q1 - 7:22MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot9
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 7:41BOSMihm Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)9
30.3%
10
69.7%
Q1 - 7:58MILSkinner Dunk (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)7
28.9%
10
71.1%
Q1 - 8:06MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 8:08BOSSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)7
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 8:26MILSmith 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)7
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 8:40MILBUCKS Rebound7
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 8:40BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 8:40BOSMISS Blount Tip Shot7
34.2%
6
65.8%
Q1 - 8:41BOSMISS Pierce Layup7
34.2%
6
65.8%
Q1 - 8:56MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 9:17BOSJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)7
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 9:37MILSmith 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 9:46MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 9:48BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot4
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 10:08MILSmith Layup (2 PTS)4
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 10:09MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 10:10MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot4
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 10:21MILBUCKS Rebound4
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 10:21BOSMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot4
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 10:33BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 10:35MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 10:56BOSBlount 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:09MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:21BOSBlount 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:31MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 11:47MILBUCKS Rebound0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 11:49BOSMISS Pierce 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Skinner vs. Mihm: Tip to Pierce0
33.3%
0
66.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.05 52.6%
MIL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
20
30
67%
MIL
14
24
58%
Midrange
BOS
12
32
38%
MIL
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
MIL
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
BOS
15
19
79%
MIL
31
38
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis3369%16.5 / 24
P. Pierce2252%11.0 / 21
M. James1575%7.5 / 10
M. Blount1250%6.0 / 12
M. Banks1071%5.0 / 7
C. Mihm563%2.5 / 4
W. McCarty429%2.0 / 7
J. Welsch214%1.0 / 7
J. Jones0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2056%10.0 / 18
T. Kukoc1673%8.0 / 11
E. Strickland1488%7.0 / 8
J. Smith1255%6.0 / 11
D. Mason1250%6.0 / 12
B. Skinner850%4.0 / 8
T. Ford880%4.0 / 5
D. Santiago880%4.0 / 5
T. Thomas739%3.5 / 9
D. Jones643%3.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
81
+14
-21
95
MIL
80
+14
-24
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.05 52.6%
MIL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.2
103.6
BOS 101.0
MIL 106.7 +5.8
Pace
96.0
94.2
BOS 104.8 +3.4
MIL 101.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.0
BOS 13.7 +0.5
MIL 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
47.7%
BOS 51.2%
MIL 54.1% +2.9%
TO %
16.4%
13.7%
BOS 18.2% +2.7%
MIL 20.9%
ORB %
25.2%
27.6%
BOS 23.7%
MIL 28.9% +5.2%
FTrt
32.7
33.0
BOS 22.1
MIL 51.4 +29.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.2%
63.0%
BOS 67.5%
MIL 69.4% +1.9%
STL %
9.8%
7.1%
BOS 10.8% +2.1%
MIL 8.7%
BLK %
6.5%
7.1%
BOS 1.9%
MIL 4.8% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
50.3%
BOS 52.6%
MIL 57.8% +5.2%
Rim FG%
56.3%
55.7%
BOS 66.7% +8.4%
MIL 58.3%
Mid FG%
40.4%
39.4%
BOS 37.5%
MIL 50.0% +12.5%
3P %
34.6%
35.0%
BOS 33.3%
MIL 36.4% +3.1%
FT %
75.0%
77.5%
BOS 78.9%
MIL 81.6% +2.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
36.8%
BOS 34.9% +2.5%
MIL 32.4%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
46.0%
BOS 37.2% +0.6%
MIL 37.8%
3P Att. %
24.9%
17.2%
BOS 27.9%
MIL 29.7% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIL
Possessions102104
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points103111
Rebounds3640
Assists2725
Steals119
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)24 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)29 (4)
Field Goals40-8636-74
At-the-Rim FG20-3014-24
Midrange FG12-3214-28
2-Point FG32-6228-52
3-Point FG8-248-22
Free Throws15-1931-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 235 · 26
42.8
22
52%
6
8
3
1
3
5
1
5
7-8
88%
3-10
30%
3-7
43%
F · 6'7" 208 · 24
35.5
2
14%
3
4
0
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
F · 7'0" 250 · 28
35.1
12
50%
13
1
1
0
4
3
3
10
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 29
27.5
15
75%
2
9
2
0
4
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 265 · 24
20.4
5
63%
3
0
0
0
2
4
3
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 24
31.0
33
69%
5
0
2
0
2
4
1
4
4-6
67%
10-17
59%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 205 · 22
21.6
10
71%
4
4
2
0
3
3
1
3
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 245 · 30
19.5
4
29%
0
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 25
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 32
F · 6'7" 266 · 23
C · 6'10" 230 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
53%
36
27
11
1
21
0
9
27
15-19
79%
32-62
52%
8-24
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.