FinalWin Prob.pScore
2714%87
77
386%100
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.58684.5
MIN logo MIN
97.68586.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN77
0%
83
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MINCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)77
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MINCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MINHassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0MINMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot77
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T14)77
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)77
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0MINMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot77
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 1:11MINHassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 1:13MINMISS Madsen Free Throw 2 of 277
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q4 - 1:13MINMISS Madsen Free Throw 1 of 277
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMadsen STEAL (1 STL)77
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 1:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q4 - 1:33MINMISS Sprewell 14' Jump Shot77
4.8%
81
95.2%
Q4 - 1:48MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 1:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 1:50MINSprewell Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)75
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 1:56MINMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Odom Layup75
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 2:07MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q4 - 2:08MINMISS Miller Layup75
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 2:24MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot75
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 2:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 3:01MINMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 3:01MINMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 275
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 3:22MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)75
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 3:49MINGarnett 9' Jump Bank Shot (28 PTS)73
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q4 - 4:03MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot73
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q4 - 4:29MINCassell 17' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)73
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q4 - 4:41MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)73
15.4%
74
84.6%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
17.1%
74
82.9%
Q4 - 5:05MINGarnett 17' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)73
20.2%
74
79.8%
Q4 - 5:28MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)73
25.9%
72
74.1%
Q4 - 5:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
33.2%
72
66.8%
Q4 - 5:42MINMISS Garnett 9' Jump Shot73
30.9%
72
69.1%
Q4 - 5:59MINMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
26.0%
72
74.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot73
28.1%
72
71.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
30.6%
72
69.4%
Q4 - 6:17MINMISS Garnett 10' Jump Shot73
28.4%
72
71.6%
Q4 - 6:34MIAGrant 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)73
23.8%
72
76.2%
Q4 - 6:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q4 - 6:49MINMISS Hassell 18' Jump Shot71
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q4 - 7:02MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)71
14.5%
72
85.5%
Q4 - 7:02MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)70
11.4%
72
88.6%
Q4 - 7:23MINGarnett Layup (24 PTS)68
9.2%
72
90.8%
Q4 - 7:25MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)68
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q4 - 7:27MINMISS Sprewell 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.8%
70
86.2%
Q4 - 7:42MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)68
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
12.4%
70
87.6%
Q4 - 7:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q4 - 7:54MINMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot68
13.8%
70
86.2%
Q4 - 8:09MIAJones 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)68
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q4 - 8:30MINMadsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q4 - 8:30MINMISS Madsen Free Throw 1 of 266
10.4%
69
89.6%
Q4 - 8:43MINGoldwire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot66
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q4 - 8:57MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q4 - 8:59MINMISS Garnett 22' Jump Shot66
11.2%
69
88.8%
Q4 - 9:15MINHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q4 - 9:17MIAGarnett BLOCK (2 BLK)66
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q4 - 9:41MINSprewell 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hoiberg 3 AST)66
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T11)66
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q4 - 10:19MINMadsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q4 - 10:19MINMadsen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
19.3%
66
80.7%
Q4 - 10:34MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
21.4%
65
78.6%
Q4 - 10:34MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q4 - 10:52MINMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q4 - 10:52MINMiller Layup (5 PTS)64
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q4 - 10:53MINMISS Miller Layup64
24.4%
63
75.6%
Q4 - 11:06MINHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
21.7%
63
78.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Woods 10' Jump Shot64
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q4 - 11:24MINSprewell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)64
25.8%
63
74.2%
Q4 - 11:43MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)64
21.7%
63
78.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN61
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINMadsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
12.6%
63
87.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot61
13.4%
63
86.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
15.1%
63
84.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0MINMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot61
14.3%
63
85.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWoods Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)61
12.6%
63
87.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0MINHoiberg Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0MINHoiberg Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
10.8%
62
89.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 1:24MINGoldwire 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hoiberg 2 AST)57
10.5%
61
89.5%
Q3 - 1:28MINMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 1:30MINMISS Sprewell 17' Jump Shot57
16.6%
58
83.4%
Q3 - 1:39MINMadsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS Woods Layup57
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q3 - 1:57MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
17.5%
58
82.5%
Q3 - 1:59MINMISS Madsen Free Throw 2 of 257
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 1:59MINMadsen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)57
15.7%
58
84.3%
Q3 - 1:59MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound57
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot57
18.3%
57
81.7%
Q3 - 2:10MIAHeat Rebound57
19.8%
57
80.2%
Q3 - 2:12MINMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q3 - 2:22MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)57
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Woods Layup57
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 2:39MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
19.8%
57
80.2%
Q3 - 2:41MINMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot57
18.9%
57
81.1%
Q3 - 2:52MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound57
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 2:53MINMISS Hoiberg 19' Jump Shot57
18.9%
57
81.1%
Q3 - 3:06MIAOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)57
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 3:27MINGarnett 14' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)54
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 3:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q3 - 3:52MIAGrant Tip Shot (10 PTS)54
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Odom Layup52
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 4:00MINGarnett Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)52
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q3 - 4:08MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
10.3%
55
89.7%
Q3 - 4:08MIAWoods Tip Shot (5 PTS)52
10.3%
55
89.7%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Odom 7' Running Jump Shot50
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q3 - 4:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q3 - 4:21MINMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot50
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q3 - 4:30MINSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q3 - 4:49MINHoiberg 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 6 AST)50
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q3 - 4:59MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)50
10.3%
53
89.7%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 250
10.7%
53
89.3%
Q3 - 5:01MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
11.6%
53
88.4%
Q3 - 5:12MIAHeat Rebound49
10.6%
53
89.4%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot49
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q3 - 5:30MINSprewell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
10.6%
53
89.4%
Q3 - 5:30MINSprewell Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)49
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 5:35MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)49
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q3 - 5:37MINMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot49
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q3 - 6:00MIAJones 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q3 - 6:22MINJohnson Dunk (10 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)47
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q3 - 6:38MIAOdom 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)47
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q3 - 7:02MINCassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q3 - 7:04MINCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q3 - 7:06MINMISS Sprewell 18' Jump Shot45
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q3 - 7:24MINSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Odom 4' Running Jump Shot45
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q3 - 7:50MINGarnett 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Sprewell 2 AST)45
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q3 - 8:11MIAAlston Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)45
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q3 - 8:17MINGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)43
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q3 - 8:29MIAAllen 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)43
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q3 - 8:48MINJohnson Layup (8 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)41
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q3 - 8:58MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)41
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q3 - 9:07MIAHeat Rebound39
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot39
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q3 - 9:27MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)39
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q3 - 9:27MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 239
11.9%
41
88.1%
Q3 - 9:39MIAAllen 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)39
11.5%
41
88.5%
Q3 - 10:02MINJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
10.0%
41
90.0%
Q3 - 10:02MINJohnson Layup (6 PTS)37
10.0%
41
90.0%
Q3 - 10:03MINMISS Sprewell 17' Jump Shot37
12.3%
39
87.7%
Q3 - 10:15MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T10)37
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q3 - 10:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q3 - 10:33MINMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot37
12.3%
39
87.7%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical37
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q3 - 10:39MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound37
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q3 - 10:40MINMISS Hassell 20' Jump Shot37
12.3%
39
87.7%
Q3 - 10:50MINJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Alston Layup37
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q3 - 10:55MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q3 - 11:20MINGarnett 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)37
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q3 - 11:28MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)37
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q3 - 11:43MINGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)37
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN37
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound37
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINMISS Sprewell 34' 3PT Jump Shot37
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)37
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0MINJohnson Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)37
15.3%
37
84.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0MINJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot37
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0MINMISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot37
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0MINJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot37
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 1:12MINJohnson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Sprewell 1 AST)37
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 1:27MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T8)37
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 1:39MINGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T6)37
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 1:52MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)37
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 1:52MIAHeat Rebound37
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 1:54MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)37
22.2%
33
77.8%
Q2 - 2:17MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 2:19MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot37
22.3%
33
77.7%
Q2 - 2:40MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 2:40MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
20.7%
33
79.3%
Q2 - 2:43MINCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)35
18.8%
33
81.2%
Q2 - 2:46MINCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 2:47MINMISS Cassell 8' Jump Shot35
18.3%
33
81.7%
Q2 - 2:50MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)35
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 2:52MINMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot35
18.3%
33
81.7%
Q2 - 3:14MIAAlston 29' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)35
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 3:17MIAHeat Rebound32
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 3:18MIAHassell BLOCK (3 BLK)32
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 3:39MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 3:40MINMISS Sprewell Layup32
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 3:55MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 4:17MINCassell 15' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)30
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 4:31MIAOdom Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)30
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q2 - 4:49MINCassell 18' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 5:00MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 5:21MINGarnett Tip Shot (15 PTS)28
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q2 - 5:21MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)28
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q2 - 5:22MINMISS Hassell 16' Jump Shot28
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)28
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q2 - 5:51MINCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q2 - 5:51MINCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)28
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q2 - 6:18MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
15.6%
25
84.4%
Q2 - 6:20MINMISS Sprewell 10' Jump Shot26
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q2 - 6:44MIAWoods Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)26
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q2 - 7:05MINMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot24
12.4%
25
87.6%
Q2 - 7:23MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q2 - 7:23MIAHeat Rebound24
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)24
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q2 - 7:48MINMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T4)24
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q2 - 8:01MIAButler 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)24
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q2 - 8:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q2 - 8:20MINMISS Madsen Free Throw 2 of 222
10.4%
25
89.6%
Q2 - 8:20MINMadsen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q2 - 8:34MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q2 - 8:36MIAHassell BLOCK (2 BLK)22
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q2 - 8:50MINMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 222
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q2 - 8:50MINMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q2 - 9:08MIAAlston 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)22
11.3%
23
88.7%
Q2 - 9:30MINGarnett 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)20
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q2 - 9:42MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)20
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot20
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q2 - 10:11MINHassell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Goldwire 1 AST)20
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q2 - 10:26MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q2 - 10:29MINMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q2 - 10:41MINMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot18
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q2 - 10:50MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q2 - 10:52MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot18
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q2 - 11:19MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q2 - 11:19MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q2 - 11:40MINMiller Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)16
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIN16
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound16
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MINMISS Garnett 44' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAGoldwire STEAL (1 STL)16
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 216
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)16
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)16
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0MINMISS Sprewell Free Throw 2 of 216
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0MINSprewell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
12.1%
16
87.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)16
13.3%
15
86.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Jones Layup16
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0MINGarnett 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hoiberg 1 AST)16
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 1:14MINMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 1:16MIAGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)16
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 1:27MINMISS Hoiberg 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 1:41MINMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot16
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 2:07MINGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
16.5%
13
83.5%
Q1 - 2:28MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
18.0%
11
82.0%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Odom 11' Hook Shot16
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 2:55MINCassell Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)16
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 3:04MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot16
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 3:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
18.8%
11
81.2%
Q1 - 3:31MINMISS Sprewell 3PT Jump Shot16
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 3:39MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
17.4%
11
82.6%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot16
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 3:53MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 3:55MINMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 4:12MIAOdom 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
16.7%
11
83.3%
Q1 - 4:37MINGarnett Dunk (6 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)14
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 5:03MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 5:32MINCassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)12
15.1%
9
84.9%
Q1 - 5:41MINSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 5:57MINGarnett 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)12
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 6:13MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 6:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 6:22MINMISS Hassell 20' Jump Shot12
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 6:29MINMadsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 6:30MINMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot12
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 6:51MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 7:12MINMISS Sprewell 18' Jump Shot12
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 7:30MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)12
18.3%
4
81.7%
Q1 - 7:30MIAOdom Driving Layup (5 PTS)11
17.2%
4
82.8%
Q1 - 7:52MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 7:53MINMISS Cassell 9' Jump Shot9
15.9%
4
84.1%
Q1 - 8:00MIACassell STEAL (1 STL)9
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 8:16MINGarnett 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)9
15.9%
4
84.1%
Q1 - 8:36MIAOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)9
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.9%
2
85.1%
Q1 - 8:51MINMISS Hassell 17' Jump Shot6
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 9:07MIAAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)6
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 9:11MINCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 9:24MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)4
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 9:30MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 9:32MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHeat Rebound2
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 9:48MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)2
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 9:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot2
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 10:16MINCassell 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 10:37MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 10:40MIAHassell BLOCK (1 BLK)2
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 10:56MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
12.9%
0
87.1%
Q1 - 10:58MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot2
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:13MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Allen 15' Turnaround Jump Shot2
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 11:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:33MINMISS Johnson Layup2
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 11:47MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)2
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Garnett vs. Grant: Tip to Allen0
11.1%
0
88.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.3%
MIN
0.89 44.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
18
56%
MIN
11
15
73%
Midrange
MIA
16
42
38%
MIN
17
50
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIN
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
13
15
87%
MIN
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant1765%8.5 / 13
L. Odom1544%7.5 / 17
R. Alston1275%6.0 / 8
L. Woods1155%5.5 / 10
E. Jones822%4.0 / 18
M. Allen643%3.0 / 7
R. Butler650%3.0 / 6
C. Butler225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett2854%14.0 / 26
S. Cassell1847%9.0 / 19
E. Johnson1083%5.0 / 6
L. Sprewell725%3.5 / 14
O. Miller643%3.0 / 7
M. Madsen550%2.5 / 5
F. Hoiberg450%2.0 / 4
A. Goldwire3150%1.5 / 1
T. Hassell214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+12
-11
87
MIN
75
+17
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.3%
MIN
0.89 44.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
103.3
MIA 89.5
MIN 97.6 +8.1
Pace
90.6
91.2
MIA 84.5
MIN 86.6 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.1
MIA 17.0
MIN 16.6 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
48.6%
MIA 42.1%
MIN 43.3% +1.2%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
MIA 14.5%
MIN 10.3% +4.2%
ORB %
27.5%
26.8%
MIA 15.0%
MIN 28.9% +13.9%
FTrt
29.8
26.5
MIA 19.7
MIN 37.3 +17.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
62.3%
MIA 80.0% +18.7%
MIN 61.3%
STL %
7.9%
7.5%
MIA 7.0% +2.3%
MIN 4.7%
BLK %
6.3%
8.5%
MIA 1.5%
MIN 13.3% +11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
50.3%
MIA 44.3%
MIN 44.6% +0.3%
Rim FG%
53.9%
59.8%
MIA 55.6%
MIN 73.3% +17.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
42.9%
MIA 38.1% +4.1%
MIN 34.0%
3P %
35.7%
36.3%
MIA 25.0%
MIN 30.0% +5.0%
FT %
76.2%
78.1%
MIA 86.7% +22.4%
MIN 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
24.5%
MIA 23.7% +3.7%
MIN 20.0%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
61.8%
MIA 55.3% +11.4%
MIN 66.7%
3P Att. %
21.1%
13.7%
MIA 21.1% +7.7%
MIN 13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.5 and 3.5.
Game TotalsMIAMIN
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points7783
Rebounds3847
Assists2419
Steals64
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (6)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals30-7631-75
At-the-Rim FG10-1811-15
Midrange FG16-4217-50
2-Point FG26-6028-65
3-Point FG4-163-10
Free Throws13-1518-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
41.9
12
75%
5
9
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
40.0
8
22%
4
4
1
0
1
1
0
4
4-5
80%
2-9
22%
0-7
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
39.5
15
44%
11
5
1
0
4
4
2
9
1-1
100%
4-12
33%
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
39.4
17
65%
9
3
0
0
2
5
2
7
1-1
100%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
24.1
6
43%
2
2
1
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
19.1
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
18.3
11
55%
5
0
1
1
0
4
1
4
5-6
83%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
17.8
6
50%
1
0
1
0
2
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
44%
38
24
6
1
11
0
6
32
13-15
87%
26-60
43%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.