for complete access.
All Games Friday, January 9, 2004
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Jazz
42%95
96
20
Nuggets
58%98
106
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
104.39289.5
DEN logo DEN
108.298100.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN96
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0UTAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0UTAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENNene 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Lenard 5 AST)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0UTAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)94
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 1:05DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)94
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:26DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)94
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 1:28UTACamby BLOCK (8 BLK)94
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 1:32UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)94
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 1:34DENMISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot94
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 1:53UTAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)94
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 1:53UTAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)93
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 1:56DENMiller Driving Layup (18 PTS)92
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 2:12UTAKirilenko Dunk (12 PTS)92
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 2:17UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 2:20DENMISS Lenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 2:48UTAStevenson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Ostertag 4 AST)90
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 3:07DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 3:07DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)88
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 3:19UTAOstertag Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 3:19UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 3:35DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 3:35DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 3:41UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 3:41UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 3:49UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 3:52DENMISS Camby 16' Fadeaway Jumper84
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 4:11DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)84
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 4:14UTACamby BLOCK (7 BLK)84
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:23UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)84
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 4:25UTAMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 284
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:25UTAMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 284
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 4:40DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (27 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)84
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 4:44UTACamby STEAL (5 STL)84
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 5:05DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)84
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 5:05DENAnthony Layup (24 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)84
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 5:07DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 5:09UTAMISS Kirilenko 21' Jump Shot84
6.6%
91
93.4%
Q4 - 5:29DENNene Layup (21 PTS) (Lenard 4 AST)84
8.1%
91
91.9%
Q4 - 5:49DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)84
10.8%
89
89.2%
Q4 - 5:51UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 284
11.3%
89
88.7%
Q4 - 5:51UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
13.5%
89
86.5%
Q4 - 6:08UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
12.9%
89
87.1%
Q4 - 6:10DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup83
11.7%
89
88.3%
Q4 - 6:26UTALopez 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kirilenko 5 AST)83
9.4%
89
90.6%
Q4 - 6:47DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 180
5.3%
89
94.7%
Q4 - 6:47DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll (22 PTS)80
5.5%
89
94.5%
Q4 - 7:10UTACollins Layup (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)80
8.7%
87
91.3%
Q4 - 7:29DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)78
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q4 - 7:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 7:34UTAMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot78
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 7:58DENCamby 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)78
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 8:17UTACamby STEAL (4 STL)78
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q4 - 8:32DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T15)78
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q4 - 8:48UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 8:48UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 277
9.6%
85
90.4%
Q4 - 8:49UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q4 - 8:52DENMISS Boykins 8' Running Jump Shot77
9.3%
85
90.7%
Q4 - 9:02UTABell 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lopez 4 AST)77
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q4 - 9:21DENElson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)74
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 9:33UTABell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)74
7.1%
83
92.9%
Q4 - 9:45DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)74
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q4 - 10:07UTAPavlovic Layup (5 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)74
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 10:13DENWhite Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)72
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q4 - 10:24UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 10:24UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 10:36UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)70
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q4 - 10:38UTAMISS Lopez 12' Jump Shot70
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q4 - 11:05DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 11:05DENElson Layup (2 PTS)70
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 11:08DENMISS White 14' Jump Shot70
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q4 - 11:18UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 11:18UTAMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 269
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 11:45DENWhite Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)69
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA69
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound69
8.6%
79
91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Arroyo 20' Running Jump Shot69
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0UTAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0UTAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)69
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENWhite 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)69
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)67
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 267
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 1:00UTAStevenson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)67
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q3 - 1:11DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)65
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q3 - 1:11DENAnthony Layup (18 PTS)65
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q3 - 1:23UTAStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)65
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q3 - 1:38UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q3 - 1:40DENMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot62
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 1:42DENNUGGETS Rebound62
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 1:42DENMISS Andersen Layup62
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 2:04UTAStevenson 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)62
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 2:18DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)60
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 2:18DENMiller Layup (13 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)60
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 2:28UTAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)60
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 2:46DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll (16 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)58
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 2:54UTANene STEAL (2 STL)58
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 3:03UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)58
11.7%
68
88.3%
Q3 - 3:06UTAMISS Kirilenko Reverse Layup58
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q3 - 3:08UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
11.7%
68
88.3%
Q3 - 3:12DENMISS Boykins 12' Running Jump Shot58
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q3 - 3:36UTAArroyo Layup (10 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST)58
9.8%
68
90.2%
Q3 - 3:40DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)56
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 4:01UTAKirilenko Foul Turnover (P2.T13)56
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 4:05DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)56
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q3 - 4:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 4:11UTAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot56
8.0%
68
92.0%
Q3 - 4:25DENLenard Finger Roll (7 PTS)56
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q3 - 4:26DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
10.3%
66
89.7%
Q3 - 4:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
10.3%
66
89.7%
Q3 - 4:28DENMISS Camby Tip Shot56
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 4:29DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
10.3%
66
89.7%
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot56
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 4:31DENMISS Lenard 6' Jump Shot56
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 4:52UTAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ostertag 3 AST)56
10.3%
66
89.7%
Q3 - 5:08UTAKirilenko Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)54
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 5:08DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 5:08DENCamby Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)53
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 5:10DENMISS Miller 12' Turnaround Jump Shot53
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 5:26DENMISS Miller Free Throw Technical53
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 5:27UTAStevenson Dunk (10 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)53
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 5:33DENLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 5:44UTAOstertag Layup (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)51
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 6:05DENCamby Driving Dunk (4 PTS)49
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 6:09DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 6:13DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot49
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 6:20DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 6:22UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 249
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 6:22UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 6:22UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)48
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 6:24UTACamby BLOCK (6 BLK)48
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 6:37DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 6:37DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 6:57UTAArroyo 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 7:21DENAnthony Layup (14 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)46
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 7:40UTARuffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)46
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 7:40UTAMISS Ruffin Free Throw 1 of 245
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q3 - 7:48UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q3 - 7:50DENMISS Anthony Layup45
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 7:52DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 7:54DENMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot45
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 8:08UTAOstertag Layup (10 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)45
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 8:30UTAJazz Rebound43
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q3 - 8:30DENMISS Lenard 17' Jump Shot43
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q3 - 8:37DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 8:40DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q3 - 8:57UTAStevenson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ostertag 2 AST)43
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 9:17DENLenard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Camby 5 AST)41
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q3 - 9:39UTAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)41
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 9:57DENMiller Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)39
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q3 - 10:21UTAKirilenko Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)39
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q3 - 10:39UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q3 - 10:41DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot37
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q3 - 10:51DENMISS Lenard Free Throw Technical37
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q3 - 11:09UTAArroyo Layup (2 PTS)37
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q3 - 11:19UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q3 - 11:22DENMISS Anthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper35
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q3 - 11:47UTACamby STEAL (3 STL)35
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN35
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)35
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENNene 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)35
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENMISS Miller Layup33
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0UTANene STEAL (1 STL)33
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
7.0%
50
93.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENMISS Anthony Driving Finger Roll33
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0UTAStevenson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)33
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q2 - 1:12DENLenard 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)31
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 1:23UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q2 - 1:23UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 1:24UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)29
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 1:26UTAMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot29
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 1:45DENMiller 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)29
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 1:49DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q2 - 1:52UTACamby BLOCK (5 BLK)29
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 2:14UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)29
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 2:15DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 229
7.8%
46
92.2%
Q2 - 2:15DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 2:27DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
8.0%
45
92.0%
Q2 - 2:29UTAMISS Lopez 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
8.3%
45
91.7%
Q2 - 2:44UTAJazz Rebound29
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 2:44UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)29
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 2:44UTACamby BLOCK (4 BLK)29
8.3%
45
91.7%
Q2 - 2:46UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)29
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 2:46UTAMISS Ostertag Layup29
8.3%
45
91.7%
Q2 - 2:48UTAMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot29
8.3%
45
91.7%
Q2 - 3:00DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)29
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 3:23UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)29
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q2 - 3:23UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (4 PTS)29
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q2 - 3:24UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 3:24UTAMISS Ostertag Layup27
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 3:27UTAMISS Kirilenko Driving Layup27
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 3:45DENNene 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)27
7.7%
45
92.3%
Q2 - 3:55DENLenard Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)27
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 4:01DENNUGGETS Rebound27
10.1%
42
89.9%
Q2 - 4:02UTAMISS Lopez 16' Fadeaway Jumper27
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 4:16UTAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 4:19UTAMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot27
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 4:35DENAnthony Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)27
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 4:51UTAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)27
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 4:56UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 4:58DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot25
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 5:03DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 5:05UTACamby BLOCK (3 BLK)25
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 5:06UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 5:09UTAMISS Lopez Driving Layup25
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 5:30DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)25
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 5:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 5:30DENNene Layup (14 PTS)25
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 5:31DENMISS Camby Finger Roll25
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 5:46DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 5:49UTAMISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 6:06DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)25
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 6:29UTAGrant 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 6:35UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
13.3%
37
86.7%
Q2 - 6:36DENMISS Boykins 21' Jump Shot23
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 6:43UTAPavlovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)23
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 7:00DENBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)20
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 7:08UTACollins Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Lopez 3 AST)20
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 7:21DENAnthony Layup (8 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)18
8.8%
37
91.2%
Q2 - 7:32DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
9.6%
35
90.4%
Q2 - 7:35UTAMISS Grant 11' Running Jump Shot18
9.8%
35
90.2%
Q2 - 7:53UTAJazz Rebound18
10.6%
35
89.4%
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 218
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 218
9.9%
35
90.1%
Q2 - 8:11UTABell 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)18
9.7%
35
90.3%
Q2 - 8:27DENAnthony 1' Layup (6 PTS)16
9.0%
35
91.0%
Q2 - 8:29DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 8:30DENMISS Anthony Layup16
10.5%
33
89.5%
Q2 - 8:48UTABell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)16
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 8:59DENWhite Foul Turnover (P1.T6)14
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q2 - 9:17UTACollins Foul Turnover (P1.T9)14
8.4%
33
91.6%
Q2 - 9:29UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 9:31DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 214
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 9:31DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q2 - 9:32UTAWhite STEAL (1 STL)14
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q2 - 9:38UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 9:42UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 9:42UTAMISS Kirilenko Tip Shot14
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 9:45UTAMISS Bell Reverse Layup14
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 9:50UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 9:53UTAWhite BLOCK (2 BLK)14
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 10:16DENWhite 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)14
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q2 - 10:39DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q2 - 10:41UTAMISS Collins Layup14
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q2 - 10:44UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q2 - 10:45UTAMISS Lopez 20' Jump Shot14
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q2 - 11:02DENElson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)14
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 11:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q2 - 11:07UTAWhite BLOCK (1 BLK)14
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 11:23DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 11:23DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q2 - 11:26UTABowen STEAL (1 STL)14
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q2 - 11:33UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)14
15.0%
28
85.0%
Q2 - 11:35DENMISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot14
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q2 - 11:42DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q2 - 11:45UTAMISS Kirilenko Driving Layup14
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN14
15.0%
28
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound14
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot14
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0UTAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)14
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
15.1%
28
84.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
15.1%
28
84.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMISS Boykins 7' Running Jump Shot14
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0UTAOstertag Tip Shot (8 PTS)14
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 5' Turnaround Jump Shot12
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 1:05DENBoykins 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q1 - 1:13UTAPavlovic Foul Turnover (P1.T6)12
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 1:16UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 1:19DENMISS Anthony Layup12
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 1:21DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 1:24UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 1:24UTAMISS Kirilenko Tip Shot12
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 1:25UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup12
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 1:32DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 1:36UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 1:36UTAStevenson Layup (4 PTS)12
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 1:38UTAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot10
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 1:41UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 1:44UTAMISS Pavlovic 8' Jump Hook Shot10
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 2:06DENBoykins 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 2:15UTAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)10
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 2:20DENCamby 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)10
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 2:36DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 2:38UTAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot10
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 3:06DENMiller Dunk (4 PTS) (Camby 4 AST)10
21.7%
20
78.3%
Q1 - 3:10UTACamby STEAL (2 STL)10
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 3:27DENNene 6' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)10
24.9%
18
75.1%
Q1 - 3:57UTAOstertag Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)10
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 4:13UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 4:15UTAMISS Ostertag Reverse Layup8
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 4:21DENLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 4:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 4:27UTAMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot8
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 4:43DENNene Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)8
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 4:47UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 4:47UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 5:17DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)6
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 5:31UTAOstertag 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)6
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 5:58DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 6:02DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 6:04UTAMISS Arroyo Layup4
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 6:06UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.9%
10
71.1%
Q1 - 6:08DENMISS Anthony Layup4
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 6:28UTAStevenson Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)4
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 6:30UTAJazz Rebound2
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 6:31UTAMISS Ostertag Layup2
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 6:33UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 6:35UTAMISS Kirilenko 30' 3PT Jump Shot2
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 7:00DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)2
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 7:00DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)2
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 7:01UTACamby STEAL (1 STL)2
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 7:03UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 7:05DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot2
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 7:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 7:14UTAMISS Ruffin 17' Jump Shot2
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 7:23DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 7:27DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 7:29UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 7:52DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)2
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 7:52DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)2
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 8:06UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 8:24DENNene 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)2
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 8:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 8:44UTAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot2
34.8%
4
65.2%
Q1 - 9:01DENAnthony Illegal Assist Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 9:01DENNUGGETS Rebound2
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 9:01DENMISS Lenard 16' Jump Bank Shot2
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:08UTAMiller STEAL (1 STL)2
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 9:19UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 9:21DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot2
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:40UTAOstertag Layup (2 PTS) (Ruffin 1 AST)2
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 10:02DENMiller 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)0
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:08DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 10:11UTACamby BLOCK (2 BLK)0
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 10:32DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 10:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 10:46UTAMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:00UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:03DENMISS Lenard 6' Fadeaway Jumper0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:13UTACamby BLOCK (1 BLK)0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:30UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:36DENMISS Nene 5' Jump Hook Shot0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Ostertag: Tip to Camby0
37.6%
0
62.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.97 48.5%
DEN
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
42
43%
DEN
26
38
68%
Midrange
UTA
12
32
38%
DEN
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
DEN
4
0%
Free Throws
UTA
24
31
77%
DEN
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Stevenson1968%9.5 / 14
C. Arroyo1650%8.0 / 16
G. Ostertag1554%7.5 / 14
A. Kirilenko1235%6.0 / 17
J. Collins1169%5.5 / 8
R. Bell1042%5.0 / 12
S. Pavlovic550%2.5 / 5
P. Grant467%2.0 / 3
R. Lopez321%1.5 / 7
M. Ruffin125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2750%13.5 / 27
Nene2583%12.5 / 15
A. Miller1864%9.0 / 14
V. Lenard945%4.5 / 10
M. Camby840%4.0 / 10
R. White675%3.0 / 4
E. Boykins425%2.0 / 8
F. Elson4100%2.0 / 2
C. Andersen338%1.5 / 4
R. Bowen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
74
+24
-18
98
DEN
82
+15
-16
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.97 48.5%
DEN
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.5
101.4
UTA 104.3
DEN 108.2 +3.8
Pace
88.8
95.7
UTA 89.5
DEN 100.9 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
14.9
UTA 16.1
DEN 14.3 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
46.7%
UTA 43.4%
DEN 52.6% +9.2%
TO %
17.2%
15.3%
UTA 15.7%
DEN 14.8% +0.9%
ORB %
34.1%
30.5%
UTA 43.8% +11.4%
DEN 32.4%
FTrt
35.6
31.9
UTA 37.3
DEN 41.0 +3.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
59.9%
UTA 79.4% +11.1%
DEN 68.3%
STL %
7.9%
9.5%
UTA 10.9%
DEN 12.2% +1.3%
BLK %
10.6%
9.3%
UTA 9.5%
DEN 14.9% +5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.0%
49.0%
UTA 48.5%
DEN 54.1% +5.6%
Rim FG%
53.4%
57.8%
UTA 42.9%
DEN 68.4% +25.5%
Mid FG%
38.8%
37.0%
UTA 37.5%
DEN 41.7% +4.2%
3P %
32.1%
33.6%
UTA 44.4% +44.4%
DEN 0.0%
FT %
74.6%
76.7%
UTA 77.4% +2.4%
DEN 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
37.4%
UTA 50.6% +1.9%
DEN 48.7%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
48.0%
UTA 38.6% +7.6%
DEN 46.2%
3P Att. %
12.7%
14.6%
UTA 10.8% +5.7%
DEN 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions9298
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points96106
Rebounds4639
Assists2728
Steals1012
Blocks711
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals34-8341-78
At-the-Rim FG18-4226-38
Midrange FG12-3215-36
2-Point FG30-7441-74
3-Point FG4-90-4
Free Throws24-3124-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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18 Utah Jazz
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
41.7
12
35%
11
5
3
0
2
2
7
4
6-7
86%
3-12
25%
0-2
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31
39.2
15
54%
13
4
0
4
4
4
7
6
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
30.6
16
50%
3
7
2
0
4
2
1
2
4-4
100%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
G · 6'5" 218 · 23
30.1
19
68%
5
4
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
8-13
62%
1-1
100%
Michael Ruffin
F · 6'8" 248 · 27
11.6
1
25%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25
26.8
11
69%
6
0
1
0
1
4
2
4
7-8
88%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
21.8
10
42%
2
2
2
0
2
6
1
1
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
1-1
100%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
17.4
3
21%
2
4
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-2
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20
14.1
5
50%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Paul Grant
C · 7'0" 245 · 30
6.8
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
49%
46
27
10
7
18
0
21
25
24-31
77%
30-74
41%
4-9
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.