for complete access.
All Games Friday, January 9, 2004
FinalWin Prob.pScore
28
Heat
26%92
94
13
Bucks
74%100
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.88883.7
MIL logo MIL
117.08892.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAButler Dunk (12 PTS)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Skinner Tip Shot92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAGrant Dunk (14 PTS) (Jones 11 AST)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILSkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MILMISS Skinner 5' Jump Shot89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAJones Running Layup (14 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MILKukoc 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:53MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:53MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:08MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 2:10MILMISS Skinner 3' Hook Shot87
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 2:29MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 2:29MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 2:29MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)85
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 2:41MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)85
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Odom 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:08MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 185
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 3:08MILThomas Layup (13 PTS) (Kukoc 5 AST)85
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 3:12MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 3:34MILSkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 3:34MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 285
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 3:57MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 3:57MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 4:05MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)83
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 4:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)83
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 4:36MILMISS Kukoc 14' Jump Shot83
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 4:57MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 5:15MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)83
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 5:21MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 5:22MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 5:22MILMISS Skinner Tip Shot83
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 5:23MILMISS Kukoc Layup83
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 5:46MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)83
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 6:11MILJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)80
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 6:28MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)80
4.0%
87
96.0%
Q4 - 6:28MIAOdom Layup (21 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)79
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 6:34MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)77
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 6:36MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot77
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 6:56MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 6:57MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)77
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Woods Dunk77
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Odom Layup77
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 7:15MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)77
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 7:28MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 7:28MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 7:34MIAHeat Rebound75
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 7:44MILRedd Backcourt Turnover (P1.T8)75
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 8:06MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)75
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 8:13MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)72
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 8:16MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot72
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWoods Foul Turnover (P1.T9)72
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 8:40MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)72
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 8:42MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot72
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)72
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 9:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)69
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 9:27MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot69
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 9:40MIAWoods Dunk (6 PTS)69
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Woods Dunk67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 9:57MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:57MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 10:19MIAAllen Layup (4 PTS)67
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 10:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Woods 1' Layup65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:59MILJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 11:06MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot65
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 11:22MILKukoc 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)65
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)65
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWoods Tip Shot (4 PTS)65
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Odom Layup63
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL63
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)63
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)60
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWoods Tip Shot (2 PTS)60
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Odom Layup58
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)58
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot58
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot58
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 1:08MIAOdom Layup (19 PTS) (Jones 10 AST)58
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 1:23MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)56
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 1:33MIAThomas STEAL (2 STL)56
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 1:41MILMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot56
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 1:52MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:52MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 1:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Odom 5' Jump Shot54
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 2:13MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 2:13MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 2:29MIAAllen 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 9 AST)54
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 2:38MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)52
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 2:42MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)52
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 2:50MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)52
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 2:53MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot52
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 3:06MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)52
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 3:06MIAOdom Layup (16 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)51
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 3:32MILRedd Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)49
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 3:36MIAFord STEAL (1 STL)49
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q3 - 3:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 3:45MILMISS Skinner 16' Jump Shot49
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 4:16MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)49
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 4:44MILFord Driving Layup (14 PTS)47
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q3 - 4:56MIAOdom 6' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)47
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 5:16MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 5:16MILSmith Tip Shot (3 PTS)45
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 5:18MILMISS Skinner Layup45
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 5:25MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 5:47MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 6:02MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 244
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 6:22MILFord 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)44
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 6:45MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)44
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 7:06MILFord 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
1.0%
64
99.0%
Q3 - 7:32MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)41
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q3 - 7:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 7:45MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot38
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 8:04MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot38
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 8:22MILFord Reverse Layup (8 PTS)38
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q3 - 8:32MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Odom Layup38
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q3 - 8:47MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 9:05MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot38
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 9:27MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)38
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q3 - 9:49MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)38
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q3 - 9:56MIAHeat Rebound36
1.6%
57
98.4%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
1.4%
57
98.6%
Q3 - 10:21MILThomas 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)36
1.7%
57
98.3%
Q3 - 10:34MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
1.9%
55
98.1%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot36
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)36
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q3 - 11:04MILMISS Skinner 5' Hook Shot36
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q3 - 11:23MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot36
2.1%
55
97.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)36
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q3 - 11:40MILMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot36
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound36
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
2.1%
55
97.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MILMason 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)36
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)36
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
2.0%
53
98.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
2.1%
53
97.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)33
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q2 - 1:32MILSantiago 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)31
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q2 - 1:53MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)31
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 2:19MILFord Layup (6 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)29
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 2:22MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)29
2.3%
49
97.7%
Q2 - 2:43MILFord Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)29
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 3:05MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
3.1%
47
96.9%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 3:17MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 3:30MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
3.1%
47
96.9%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 3:51MILThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)29
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 3:58MIASantiago STEAL (2 STL)29
4.4%
44
95.6%
Q2 - 4:12MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)29
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 4:12MILKukoc Layup (13 PTS)29
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 4:12MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)29
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 4:13MILMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot29
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 4:29MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)29
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 4:32MIASantiago BLOCK (1 BLK)29
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 4:55MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 4:55MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 229
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 5:12MIAAlston Layup (5 PTS)29
7.2%
40
92.8%
Q2 - 5:34MILMason 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
6.5%
40
93.5%
Q2 - 5:48MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)27
7.2%
38
92.8%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot27
7.4%
38
92.6%
Q2 - 6:08MILJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 6:20MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)27
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 6:36MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q2 - 6:36MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 225
6.9%
37
93.1%
Q2 - 6:53MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
6.6%
37
93.4%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.9%
37
93.1%
Q2 - 7:09MILKukoc 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)25
7.8%
37
92.2%
Q2 - 7:24MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Coles 2 AST)25
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 7:45MILMason Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)23
7.8%
35
92.2%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)23
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q2 - 8:02MILThomas 5 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)23
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 8:11MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot23
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 8:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Coles 19' Jump Shot23
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 8:42MILKukoc Layup (7 PTS)23
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 8:57MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot23
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 9:17MILSantiago 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)23
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 9:31MIASantiago STEAL (1 STL)23
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q2 - 9:43MILSantiago Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q2 - 9:43MILSantiago Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 9:43MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q2 - 9:45MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot23
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q2 - 9:51MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Coles Layup23
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q2 - 10:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)23
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q2 - 10:07MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot23
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q2 - 10:21MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Coles 16' Jump Shot23
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q2 - 10:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q2 - 10:37MILMISS Kukoc Layup23
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q2 - 10:45MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot23
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q2 - 11:05MILKukoc Layup (5 PTS)23
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q2 - 11:08MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q2 - 11:10MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot23
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q2 - 11:32MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)23
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q2 - 11:44MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q2 - 11:44MILKukoc Reverse Layup (2 PTS)21
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound21
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot21
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)21
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0MILMISS Skinner 14' Jump Shot21
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot21
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)21
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0MILMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot21
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 1:02MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)21
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 1:03MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Walker Layup19
16.6%
22
83.4%
Q1 - 1:14MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)19
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 1:16MILMISS Mason 8' Jump Shot19
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 1:30MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
16.3%
22
83.7%
Q1 - 1:32MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 1:47MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
16.3%
22
83.7%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot19
16.6%
22
83.4%
Q1 - 1:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)19
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 1:58MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot19
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 2:09MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
16.2%
22
83.8%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 219
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 2:10MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 2:28MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
16.2%
22
83.8%
Q1 - 2:43MILBUCKS Rebound18
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot18
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Odom Layup18
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 2:50MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Walker 3' Layup18
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 3:09MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 3:17MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Odom 28' 3PT Jump Shot18
17.8%
20
82.2%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 3:29MILMISS Ford Layup18
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 3:34MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
17.4%
20
82.6%
Q1 - 3:36MILMISS Thomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 3:43MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.4%
20
82.6%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
17.8%
20
82.2%
Q1 - 4:05MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)18
18.6%
20
81.4%
Q1 - 4:18MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)18
21.2%
17
78.8%
Q1 - 4:34MILSkinner 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)18
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 118
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 5:00MIAOdom Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)18
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 5:16MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 5:16MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 5:26MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 5:26MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
23.4%
13
76.6%
Q1 - 5:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot14
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Odom Layup14
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 5:50MILSkinner Layup (4 PTS)14
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 5:51MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
23.7%
11
76.3%
Q1 - 5:52MILMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot14
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 6:11MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)14
23.4%
11
76.6%
Q1 - 6:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 6:19MILMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot12
21.6%
11
78.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)12
20.6%
11
79.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAOdom Tip Shot (10 PTS)12
20.6%
11
79.4%
Q1 - 6:39MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Odom Dunk10
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot10
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 7:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
19.2%
11
80.8%
Q1 - 7:02MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 210
19.0%
11
81.0%
Q1 - 7:02MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 7:08MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 7:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Butler Tip Shot10
19.5%
10
80.5%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Odom 3' Jump Shot10
19.5%
10
80.5%
Q1 - 7:30MILFord Layup (2 PTS)10
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 7:36MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot10
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 8:06MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 8:16MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot10
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 8:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 8:26MILMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot10
26.5%
5
73.5%
Q1 - 8:48MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)10
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 8:48MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)9
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 9:05MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)8
24.1%
5
75.9%
Q1 - 9:23MIAAlston 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)8
25.1%
3
74.9%
Q1 - 9:37MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
24.1%
3
75.9%
Q1 - 9:37MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 26
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 9:54MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot6
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:07MILMISS Skinner 8' Jump Shot6
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:21MIAOdom Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)6
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 10:41MILThomas 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 10:57MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 10:57MIAOdom Layup (4 PTS)4
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Odom Layup2
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 11:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 11:18MILMISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot2
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 11:42MIAOdom Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Skinner vs. Grant: Tip to Odom0
19.8%
0
80.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.5%
MIL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
39
44%
MIL
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIA
11
30
37%
MIL
14
37
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
MIL
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
MIL
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2239%11.0 / 28
R. Alston1753%8.5 / 16
E. Jones1554%7.5 / 14
B. Grant1458%7.0 / 12
R. Butler1275%6.0 / 8
L. Woods650%3.0 / 6
M. Allen440%2.0 / 5
C. Butler214%1.0 / 7
S. Walker220%1.0 / 5
B. Coles0-0.0 / 3
J. Wallace0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Kukoc2463%12.0 / 19
M. Redd1856%9.0 / 16
T. Thomas1568%7.5 / 11
T. Ford1478%7.0 / 9
B. Skinner932%4.5 / 14
D. Mason638%3.0 / 8
D. Jones660%3.0 / 5
D. Santiago6100%3.0 / 3
J. Smith536%2.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+26
-9
105
MIL
78
+14
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.5%
MIL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
103.6
MIA 106.8
MIL 117.0 +10.2
Pace
90.6
94.2
MIA 83.7
MIL 92.8 +9.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
MIA 17.2
MIL 15.5 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.7%
MIA 41.4%
MIL 53.9% +12.5%
TO %
14.4%
13.7%
MIA 8.1% +2.0%
MIL 10.1%
ORB %
27.5%
27.6%
MIA 40.0% +5.9%
MIL 34.1%
FTrt
29.8
33.0
MIA 22.6
MIL 35.1 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
63.0%
MIA 74.3% +16.4%
MIL 57.9%
STL %
7.9%
7.1%
MIA 8.0%
MIL 8.0%
BLK %
6.3%
7.1%
MIA 3.1% +1.7%
MIL 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
50.3%
MIA 43.5%
MIL 55.4% +11.9%
Rim FG%
53.9%
55.7%
MIA 43.6%
MIL 63.0% +19.4%
Mid FG%
36.9%
39.4%
MIA 36.7%
MIL 37.8% +1.1%
3P %
35.7%
35.0%
MIA 29.2%
MIL 53.8% +24.6%
FT %
76.2%
77.5%
MIA 81.0% +6.9%
MIL 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
36.8%
MIA 41.9% +6.9%
MIL 35.1%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
46.0%
MIA 32.3% +15.8%
MIL 48.1%
3P Att. %
21.1%
17.2%
MIA 25.8% +8.9%
MIL 16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points94103
Rebounds4947
Assists2622
Steals77
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)22 (4)14 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)33 (1)
Field Goals35-9338-77
At-the-Rim FG17-3917-27
Midrange FG11-3014-37
2-Point FG28-6931-64
3-Point FG7-247-13
Free Throws17-2120-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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28 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
45.1
15
54%
3
11
0
0
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
2-6
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
44.0
22
39%
15
3
2
0
4
4
5
10
4-5
80%
9-19
47%
0-5
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
42.6
17
53%
0
6
5
0
1
1
0
0
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
3-10
30%
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
29.9
14
58%
8
2
0
0
2
4
3
5
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
26.6
2
14%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
19.1
12
75%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
10.9
6
50%
8
0
0
0
1
1
5
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
7.2
2
20%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
6.8
4
40%
4
0
0
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
5.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
44%
49
26
7
2
9
0
22
27
17-21
81%
28-69
41%
7-24
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.