FinalWin Prob.pScore
2841%92
95
2759%95
102
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
106.78981.9
MIA logo MIA
110.992100.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)95
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)95
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHICurry Driving Layup (14 PTS)95
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)93
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)93
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHIDupree Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHIDupree Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)91
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHIMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot91
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAOdom 4' Driving Hook Shot (24 PTS)91
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHIMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot91
5.4%
95
94.6%
Q4 - 1:17CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
10.2%
95
89.8%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Odom 3PT Jump Shot91
8.7%
95
91.3%
Q4 - 1:37MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
7.2%
95
92.8%
Q4 - 1:39CHIMISS Dupree 21' Jump Shot91
8.6%
95
91.4%
Q4 - 1:52MIAJones Foul Turnover (P4.T15)91
12.7%
95
87.3%
Q4 - 1:57CHIButler STEAL (1 STL)91
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 2:13CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
14.5%
95
85.5%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot91
12.1%
95
87.9%
Q4 - 2:39CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 2:39CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 2:44CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot89
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 3:13CHIDavis 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dupree 3 AST)89
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)87
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 4:04CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q4 - 4:04CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q4 - 4:04CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 4:05CHIMISS Curry 4' Hook Shot85
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 4:18MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
6.2%
92
93.8%
Q4 - 4:18MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
6.7%
91
93.3%
Q4 - 4:32MIAHEAT Rebound85
8.5%
90
91.5%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
11.0%
90
89.0%
Q4 - 4:57CHIRobinson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)85
8.5%
90
91.5%
Q4 - 5:11MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
7.9%
90
92.1%
Q4 - 5:11MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 5:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 5:24CHIMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot83
11.5%
88
88.5%
Q4 - 5:39MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)83
14.1%
88
85.9%
Q4 - 6:07CHIDupree 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)83
19.7%
86
80.3%
Q4 - 6:10CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
16.0%
86
84.0%
Q4 - 6:12CHIMISS Dupree 21' Jump Shot81
13.0%
86
87.0%
Q4 - 6:29MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)81
15.9%
86
84.1%
Q4 - 6:41CHICurry 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)81
11.7%
86
88.3%
Q4 - 6:52MIAButler 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)79
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 7:10MIAHEAT Rebound79
13.5%
84
86.5%
Q4 - 7:10CHIMISS Robinson 21' Jump Shot79
14.7%
84
85.3%
Q4 - 7:29CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)79
17.5%
84
82.5%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS Woods 19' Jump Shot79
16.2%
84
83.8%
Q4 - 7:53CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
13.4%
84
86.6%
Q4 - 7:53CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
12.5%
84
87.5%
Q4 - 8:12MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
12.1%
84
87.9%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 277
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q4 - 8:28CHIDupree Finger Roll (14 PTS)77
12.0%
83
88.0%
Q4 - 8:30CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)75
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 8:32CHIMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot75
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 8:54MIAButler 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 9:16CHIBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
13.0%
81
87.0%
Q4 - 9:16CHIMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 274
12.0%
81
88.0%
Q4 - 9:32MIAColes Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)74
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q4 - 9:42MIAHEAT Rebound74
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q4 - 9:44CHIMISS Robinson 20' Jump Shot74
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q4 - 9:58CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
13.0%
81
87.0%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot74
12.2%
81
87.8%
Q4 - 10:21CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P1.T12)74
11.3%
81
88.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)74
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 10:55CHIBlount 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)74
16.7%
79
83.3%
Q4 - 11:09MIAAllen 4' Running Hook Shot (3 PTS)72
14.8%
79
85.2%
Q4 - 11:29CHIRobinson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dupree 2 AST)72
17.5%
77
82.5%
Q4 - 11:49MIAColes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q4 - 11:49MIAMISS Coles Free Throw 1 of 270
15.1%
76
84.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI70
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0CHIDupree 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWoods Tip Shot (5 PTS)68
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot68
24.3%
72
75.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
21.7%
72
78.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
20.9%
72
79.1%
Q3 - 1:07MIAWoods Layup (3 PTS)66
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
22.4%
70
77.6%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS Woods Layup66
25.0%
70
75.0%
Q3 - 1:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
22.4%
70
77.6%
Q3 - 1:22CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
23.5%
70
76.5%
Q3 - 1:30CHIBulls Rebound66
26.1%
70
73.9%
Q3 - 1:30CHIMISS Robinson 21' Jump Shot66
23.5%
70
76.5%
Q3 - 1:45MIAOdom 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
26.1%
70
73.9%
Q3 - 2:04CHIDupree Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)66
29.8%
68
70.2%
Q3 - 2:23MIAOdom 4' Running Hook Shot (18 PTS)66
34.2%
68
65.8%
Q3 - 2:46CHIRobinson Driving Dunk (4 PTS)66
38.2%
66
61.8%
Q3 - 2:49MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)64
34.2%
66
65.8%
Q3 - 3:10CHIDavis 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Brunson 1 AST)64
30.3%
66
69.7%
Q3 - 3:21CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q3 - 3:23CHIOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)62
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q3 - 3:37CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot62
25.7%
66
74.3%
Q3 - 3:51MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 3:53CHIMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q3 - 4:00CHIBulls Rebound62
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 4:02CHIMISS Dupree 18' Jump Shot62
24.5%
66
75.5%
Q3 - 4:17MIAOdom Driving Layup (16 PTS)62
27.2%
66
72.8%
Q3 - 4:20CHIOdom STEAL (3 STL)62
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 4:28CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
34.5%
64
65.5%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 4:48CHIDupree 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)62
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)60
27.2%
64
72.8%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
30.7%
63
69.3%
Q3 - 5:12CHIDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q3 - 5:12CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
33.6%
61
66.4%
Q3 - 5:32MIAButler Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)58
30.9%
61
69.1%
Q3 - 5:47CHIGill Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)58
34.2%
59
65.8%
Q3 - 5:59CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
38.4%
59
61.6%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot58
37.0%
59
63.0%
Q3 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound58
34.3%
59
65.7%
Q3 - 6:17CHIMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot58
35.5%
59
64.5%
Q3 - 6:38MIAAlston 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)58
38.3%
59
61.7%
Q3 - 6:56CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)58
41.9%
57
58.1%
Q3 - 7:15MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)56
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 7:38CHIWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)56
41.3%
55
58.7%
Q3 - 7:45CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot54
36.8%
55
63.2%
Q3 - 7:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
34.0%
55
66.0%
Q3 - 7:55CHIMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot54
35.2%
55
64.8%
Q3 - 8:29CHIGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
36.9%
55
63.1%
Q3 - 8:37CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)54
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 8:53MIAJones Layup (13 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)54
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q3 - 8:57CHIOdom STEAL (2 STL)54
41.3%
53
58.7%
Q3 - 9:10MIAButler Layup (11 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)54
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 9:29CHIGill 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)54
48.2%
51
51.8%
Q3 - 9:48MIAOdom Layup (14 PTS)52
44.8%
51
55.2%
Q3 - 9:50MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup52
50.9%
49
49.1%
Q3 - 10:12CHICrawford 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q3 - 10:19CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
44.5%
49
55.5%
Q3 - 10:21CHIMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot50
41.8%
49
58.2%
Q3 - 10:44MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)50
44.5%
49
55.5%
Q3 - 10:51MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
51.2%
46
48.8%
Q3 - 10:53CHIMISS Hinrich 4' Running Jump Shot50
52.4%
46
47.6%
Q3 - 11:15CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
54.4%
46
45.6%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot50
53.3%
46
46.7%
Q3 - 11:42CHIDavis 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
50.8%
46
49.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI48
47.6%
46
52.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)48
47.6%
46
52.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0CHIDupree Driving Layup (8 PTS)48
51.0%
44
49.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)46
46.7%
44
53.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIGill 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
44.3%
44
55.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T10)44
40.2%
44
59.8%
Q2 - 1:01CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
38.3%
44
61.7%
Q2 - 1:01CHIDavis Tip Shot (8 PTS)43
35.3%
44
64.7%
Q2 - 1:02CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 1:03CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)41
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 1:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q2 - 1:14CHIMISS Hinrich 5' Running Jump Shot41
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 1:26MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)41
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 1:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
35.3%
42
64.7%
Q2 - 1:35CHIMISS Davis 6' Turnaround Jump Shot41
35.7%
42
64.3%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)41
36.8%
42
63.2%
Q2 - 2:01CHIOdom STEAL (1 STL)41
40.5%
40
59.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAButler Layup (5 PTS)41
43.4%
40
56.6%
Q2 - 2:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot41
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 2:22MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Grant 5' Hook Shot41
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 2:46CHICrawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)41
46.8%
38
53.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIAOdom Driving Layup (12 PTS)38
40.3%
38
59.7%
Q2 - 3:20CHIWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)38
43.0%
36
57.0%
Q2 - 3:31MIAJones Foul Turnover (P2.T8)36
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 3:45CHIGill Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)36
37.2%
36
62.8%
Q2 - 3:51CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot34
33.9%
36
66.1%
Q2 - 4:14CHIHinrich Layup (4 PTS)34
32.0%
36
68.0%
Q2 - 4:19MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)32
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 4:42CHIGill 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 5:03MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)30
25.3%
36
74.7%
Q2 - 5:19CHIGill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)30
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 5:34CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup30
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q2 - 5:41MIAColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 5:43CHIMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot30
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 5:54CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 230
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 5:55MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
27.8%
34
72.2%
Q2 - 5:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot30
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 6:20CHIBlount 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)30
29.6%
33
70.4%
Q2 - 6:26CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
27.8%
33
72.2%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup28
27.0%
33
73.0%
Q2 - 6:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
25.2%
33
74.8%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Jones 5' Running Jump Shot28
27.0%
33
73.0%
Q2 - 6:50MIAHEAT Rebound28
25.2%
33
74.8%
Q2 - 6:51CHIMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q2 - 7:05CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 7:08CHIMISS Davis 5' Hook Shot28
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 7:27MIAColes 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)28
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 7:36MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
30.1%
31
69.9%
Q2 - 7:38CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot28
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 7:50MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 8:13CHIGill 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)28
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 8:31MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 226
28.8%
30
71.2%
Q2 - 8:39MIAColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q2 - 8:41CHIMISS Blount 12' Turnaround Jump Shot26
28.7%
30
71.3%
Q2 - 9:02MIAJones Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
30.4%
30
69.6%
Q2 - 9:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
32.3%
28
67.7%
Q2 - 9:24CHIMISS Robinson 21' Jump Shot26
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q2 - 9:29CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)26
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q2 - 9:30CHIMISS Crawford Layup26
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q2 - 9:35CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot26
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q2 - 10:06CHICrawford 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
32.3%
28
67.7%
Q2 - 10:24CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot24
29.7%
28
70.3%
Q2 - 10:42CHIRobinson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blount 3 AST)24
28.2%
28
71.8%
Q2 - 10:58CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
26.4%
28
73.6%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup22
25.8%
28
74.2%
Q2 - 11:09CHIDupree Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
24.5%
28
75.5%
Q2 - 11:09CHIDupree Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q2 - 11:09CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
22.7%
28
77.3%
Q2 - 11:10CHIMISS Curry 4' Hook Shot20
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q2 - 11:25MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)20
22.7%
28
77.3%
Q2 - 11:34MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q2 - 11:36CHIMISS Robinson 21' Jump Shot20
26.9%
25
73.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHIDupree Layup (4 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)20
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAWallace 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0CHICurry Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)18
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup16
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 1:00CHIBlount 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)16
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 1:10CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 214
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 1:11MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
19.9%
23
80.1%
Q1 - 1:11MIAAlston Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)14
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 1:26CHICurry Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q1 - 1:41MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
24.5%
21
75.5%
Q1 - 1:41MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
24.9%
20
75.1%
Q1 - 2:03CHICurry Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Dupree 1 AST)14
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 2:07CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 2:09CHIMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 2:32MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T5)12
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 2:51CHIDupree 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)12
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 2:53CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Alston 14' Jump Shot10
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 3:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
20.0%
19
80.0%
Q1 - 3:02CHIMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot10
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)10
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 3:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
20.3%
19
79.7%
Q1 - 3:29CHIMISS Dupree 17' Jump Shot10
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 3:49MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 210
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 4:14CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 4:18CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 4:35MIAHEAT Rebound8
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q1 - 4:38CHIMISS Curry 5' Hook Shot8
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 5:07MIAOdom Reverse Layup (7 PTS)8
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 5:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 5:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 5:42CHIMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot8
22.8%
16
77.2%
Q1 - 5:53MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)8
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 5:53MIAOdom Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)8
25.6%
15
74.4%
Q1 - 6:13CHIDavis 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
27.3%
13
72.7%
Q1 - 6:36MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)6
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 6:52CHIGill Backcourt Turnover (P2.T3)6
28.9%
10
71.1%
Q1 - 7:02CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot6
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)6
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 7:26CHIGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
30.8%
9
69.2%
Q1 - 7:32CHIGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
32.6%
9
67.4%
Q1 - 7:34CHIMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot6
31.3%
9
68.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
32.6%
9
67.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
30.8%
9
69.2%
Q1 - 8:00CHIMISS Davis 5' Running Jump Shot6
31.3%
9
68.7%
Q1 - 8:19MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)6
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 8:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
35.9%
6
64.1%
Q1 - 8:34CHIMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot6
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 8:40CHIGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Odom Layup6
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:03CHIDavis Layup (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)6
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 9:25MIAGrant Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 9:48CHIDavis 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 10:04CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot2
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 10:27CHIWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
32.3%
4
67.7%
Q1 - 10:47MIAOdom Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 11:04CHIGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 11:04CHIGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 11:04MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 11:08CHIMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot0
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 11:22MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:28MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:30CHIMISS Davis 4' Running Jump Shot0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:43MIAAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Davis: Tip to Odom0
35.8%
0
64.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
16
25
64%
MIA
18
29
62%
Midrange
CHI
21
45
47%
MIA
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
1
1.5
10
10%
15%
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
CHI
18
19
95%
MIA
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Dupree1869%9.0 / 13
A. Davis1761%8.5 / 14
E. Curry1470%7.0 / 10
K. Gill1275%6.0 / 8
K. Hinrich836%4.0 / 11
E. Robinson831%4.0 / 13
J. Crawford744%3.5 / 8
C. Blount744%3.5 / 8
J. Williams440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2771%13.5 / 19
L. Odom2566%12.5 / 19
C. Butler1956%9.5 / 17
R. Alston867%4.0 / 6
B. Grant542%2.5 / 6
L. Woods550%2.5 / 5
M. Allen563%2.5 / 4
B. Coles375%1.5 / 2
R. Butler350%1.5 / 3
J. Wallace233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
76
+14
-13
90
MIA
77
+9
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.7
99.3
CHI 106.7
MIA 110.9 +4.1
Pace
94.2
90.6
CHI 81.9
MIA 100.7 +18.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.0
CHI 17.6
MIA 14.3 +3.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
44.6%
46.3%
CHI 48.1%
MIA 57.9% +9.8%
TO %
16.1%
14.4%
CHI 12.8% +2.6%
MIA 15.4%
ORB %
28.1%
27.5%
CHI 34.3% +10.8%
MIA 23.5%
FTrt
27.2
29.8
CHI 23.8
MIA 40.0 +16.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.1%
57.3%
CHI 52.6%
MIA 55.3% +2.7%
STL %
8.5%
7.9%
CHI 6.7% +1.3%
MIA 5.4%
BLK %
7.4%
6.3%
CHI 6.8% +5.4%
MIA 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.3%
48.3%
CHI 51.6%
MIA 59.3% +7.7%
Rim FG%
51.5%
53.9%
CHI 64.0% +1.9%
MIA 62.1%
Mid FG%
37.7%
36.9%
CHI 46.7%
MIA 50.0% +3.3%
3P %
34.2%
35.7%
CHI 10.0%
MIA 45.5% +35.5%
FT %
72.6%
76.2%
CHI 94.7% +19.7%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.7%
34.4%
CHI 31.3%
MIA 41.4% +10.2%
Mid Att. %
49.7%
44.5%
CHI 56.3%
MIA 42.9% +13.4%
3P Att. %
18.6%
21.1%
CHI 12.5%
MIA 15.7% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points95102
Rebounds3831
Assists2021
Steals65
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)23 (5)
Field Goals38-8038-70
At-the-Rim FG16-2518-29
Midrange FG21-4515-30
2-Point FG37-7033-59
3-Point FG1-105-11
Free Throws18-1921-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 23
43.5
8
36%
6
5
1
0
1
4
0
6
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 35
28.6
17
61%
4
0
1
2
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
25.8
7
44%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'5" 216 · 36
23.1
12
75%
3
3
1
0
5
3
1
2
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 206 · 31
20.8
4
40%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 209 · 23
26.5
18
69%
9
3
0
0
1
3
5
4
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 210 · 28
25.7
8
31%
0
3
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35
21.7
7
44%
8
3
0
1
0
3
1
7
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 295 · 21
21.2
14
70%
4
1
0
0
2
6
2
2
6-6
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 32
3.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 262 · 25
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
38
20
6
4
13
0
12
26
18-19
95%
37-70
53%
1-10
10%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.