FinalWin Prob.pScore
2722%90
107
578%100
114
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
118.99090.7
IND logo IND
123.99291.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND107
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLDeClercq 4' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Lue 10 AST)107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 2105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 2105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (43 PTS)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDWorld Peace 2' Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ORLMagic Rebound103
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 1:03ORLMISS Lue 3' Layup103
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 1:10ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)103
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 1:13ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot103
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 1:21ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:23INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 1:35ORLHoward 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lue 9 AST)103
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)101
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 1:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)101
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 1:53INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot101
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 2:15ORLHoward 11' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)101
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 2:18ORLMagic Rebound99
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 2:19ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 2:27ORLO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 2:34ORLMISS DeClercq 10' Jump Shot99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 2:37ORLMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58INDMiller 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)99
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 3:03INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 3:05ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 3:23INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)99
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 3:37ORLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (41 PTS)99
2.6%
106
97.4%
Q4 - 3:48ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
1.8%
106
98.2%
Q4 - 3:50INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot97
1.6%
106
98.4%
Q4 - 4:06ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)97
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 4:33INDWorld Peace 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)97
1.7%
106
98.3%
Q4 - 4:54INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 4:57ORLTinsley BLOCK (1 BLK)97
2.7%
104
97.3%
Q4 - 5:06ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
4.3%
104
95.7%
Q4 - 5:08INDMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot97
3.9%
104
96.1%
Q4 - 5:25ORLStrickland 1' Finger Roll (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)97
3.1%
104
96.9%
Q4 - 5:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 5:31INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup95
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 5:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
1.6%
104
98.4%
Q4 - 5:47ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot95
1.8%
104
98.2%
Q4 - 6:05INDWorld Peace Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T11)95
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 6:24ORLTinsley STEAL (2 STL)95
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 6:27ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 6:29INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot95
2.5%
104
97.5%
Q4 - 6:50ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)95
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 6:50ORLGiricek Finger Roll (10 PTS)94
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 6:53INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)92
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 7:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 7:07ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot92
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 7:22INDWorld Peace 4' Hook Shot (18 PTS)92
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 7:37ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (39 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)92
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 7:49INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)90
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 7:49INDWorld Peace 2' Finger Roll (15 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)90
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 8:07ORLStrickland 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Giricek 4 AST)90
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 8:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 8:27INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot88
2.2%
99
97.8%
Q4 - 8:50INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 8:51ORLMISS Nailon 11' Jump Shot88
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 9:10ORLMagic Rebound88
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 9:10INDMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot88
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 9:28ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 9:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 9:43INDJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)86
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 9:48INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 9:50ORLMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot86
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 10:12INDJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pollard 1 AST)86
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 10:18INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 10:19INDMISS Croshere 2' Layup86
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 10:22ORLCroshere STEAL (1 STL)86
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 10:24INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)86
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 10:46INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 10:48INDMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot86
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 10:59ORLStrickland 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Giricek 3 AST)86
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 11:19INDHarrington 11' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)83
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 11:43ORLNailon 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)83
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 11:44ORLNailon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)81
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 11:45ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot81
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND81
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLGiricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)81
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0INDO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (25 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)78
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)78
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q3 - 1:21ORLGiricek 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)78
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q3 - 1:36INDO'Neal 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)76
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q3 - 2:02ORLGiricek 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)76
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q3 - 2:08ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q3 - 2:10INDMISS Harrington 1' Dunk73
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q3 - 2:26INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 2:27ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot73
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q3 - 2:48INDHarrington 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q3 - 2:57INDFoster REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)73
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 3:01ORLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)73
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q3 - 3:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)73
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q3 - 3:18INDFoster 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)73
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q3 - 3:20INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot73
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q3 - 3:26INDPACERS Rebound73
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q3 - 3:26INDMISS Foster 3' Jump Shot73
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q3 - 3:35ORLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)73
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q3 - 3:48INDHarrington 9' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)73
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q3 - 4:03INDPACERS Rebound73
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q3 - 4:05ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q3 - 4:22INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)73
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q3 - 4:22INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)73
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q3 - 4:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)73
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 4:27INDMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot73
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q3 - 4:30INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 4:31INDMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot73
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q3 - 4:44ORLGooden 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 8 AST)73
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 5:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)71
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q3 - 5:08INDFoster 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)71
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q3 - 5:10INDMISS Jones 3' Layup71
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q3 - 5:16INDPACERS Rebound71
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 5:16INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot71
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q3 - 5:37ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)71
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 5:49ORLLue Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)69
6.8%
78
93.2%
Q3 - 6:05INDFoster 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)68
6.1%
78
93.9%
Q3 - 6:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 6:08INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot68
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q3 - 6:20INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 6:21ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot68
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 6:36INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)68
8.2%
76
91.8%
Q3 - 6:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 6:37INDMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot68
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q3 - 6:59INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 7:00ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 268
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 7:00ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)68
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q3 - 7:17INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)67
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 7:24ORLFoster STEAL (1 STL)67
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q3 - 7:28INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)67
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q3 - 8:00ORLHoward 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)67
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q3 - 8:08ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 8:11ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot65
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 8:24INDWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P3.T5)65
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 8:28INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 8:30ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 8:37ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 8:38INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot65
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q3 - 8:55ORLMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)65
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 9:02ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 9:03INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup62
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 9:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 9:18ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 262
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 9:18ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)62
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 9:38INDWorld Peace 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)61
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 10:07ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)61
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 10:13ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 10:15INDMISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot58
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 10:27INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 10:29ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 10:45INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 10:45INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)58
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q3 - 11:02ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)58
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 11:08ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 11:10INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot55
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 11:29ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)55
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 11:42INDWorld Peace Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)53
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND53
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound53
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLBogans 3' Tip Shot (9 PTS)53
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)51
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 251
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLHarrington STEAL (2 STL)51
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q2 - 1:09INDHarrington 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)51
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q2 - 1:17INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q2 - 1:19ORLMISS Bogans 19' Jump Shot51
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q2 - 1:39INDTinsley 2' Layup (13 PTS)51
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q2 - 1:43ORLTinsley STEAL (1 STL)51
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q2 - 1:52INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
4.7%
64
95.3%
Q2 - 1:52INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q2 - 2:13ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)51
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q2 - 2:18INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)48
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q2 - 2:28ORLLue Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)48
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q2 - 2:28ORLLue 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)47
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q2 - 2:42INDO'Neal 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)45
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q2 - 2:44INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q2 - 2:46INDMISS Miller 4' Jump Shot45
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 2:50INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q2 - 2:52INDMISS Harrington 3' Layup45
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 3:09ORLBogans 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS)45
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q2 - 3:09ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q2 - 3:11ORLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q2 - 3:29INDHarrington 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)43
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q2 - 3:40ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (9 PTS)43
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 4:06INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)41
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q2 - 4:30ORLGooden 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)41
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 4:42INDMiller Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)39
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 4:42INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q2 - 4:42INDMiller 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 4:48INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.4%
51
94.6%
Q2 - 4:50ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)39
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 5:12INDO'Neal 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)39
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q2 - 5:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 5:20ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot39
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q2 - 5:32INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
7.6%
49
92.4%
Q2 - 5:32INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 5:34ORLHarrington STEAL (1 STL)39
8.4%
47
91.6%
Q2 - 5:42INDO'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)39
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 5:44INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 5:46INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 6:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 6:11ORLMISS Gooden 1' Layup39
10.7%
45
89.3%
Q2 - 6:18INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)39
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 6:34ORLGooden 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)39
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 6:49INDWorld Peace 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)37
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 7:00ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)37
10.3%
43
89.7%
Q2 - 7:00ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)36
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 7:22INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)35
9.7%
43
90.3%
Q2 - 7:22INDWorld Peace 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)35
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 7:26INDMISS Harrington Free Throw Technical35
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 7:49ORLMcGrady 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)35
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 7:52ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 7:54INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot33
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 8:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 8:03INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot33
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 8:09INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 8:10ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot33
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 8:26ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 8:28INDMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot33
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 8:47ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)33
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 8:56ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 8:57INDMISS World Peace 13' Jump Shot30
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 9:00INDPACERS Rebound30
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 9:00INDMISS Pollard 2' Layup30
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 9:22ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)30
7.4%
40
92.6%
Q2 - 9:22ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)29
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 9:31ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 9:33INDMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot28
6.6%
40
93.4%
Q2 - 9:49ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)28
6.1%
40
93.9%
Q2 - 9:56INDHarrington 8' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)25
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 10:20ORLMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)25
5.7%
38
94.3%
Q2 - 10:27INDJones 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)22
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 10:42ORLNailon 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)22
5.2%
36
94.8%
Q2 - 10:56INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
4.8%
36
95.2%
Q2 - 10:56INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 220
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 11:20ORLMcGrady 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)20
4.8%
35
95.2%
Q2 - 11:35INDCroshere 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q2 - 11:37INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q2 - 11:39INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot18
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL18
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
4.9%
33
95.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Nailon 5' Jump Shot18
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDMISS Jones 2' Layup18
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
4.9%
33
95.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLMISS DeClercq 1' Tip Shot18
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Nailon 2' Layup18
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Giricek 15' Jump Shot18
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
5.4%
32
94.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot18
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q1 - 1:01ORLNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 1:03ORLMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot18
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 1:22ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 1:23INDMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot18
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q1 - 1:39ORLStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)18
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q1 - 1:52INDHarrington 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)18
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 2:09ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)18
7.1%
29
92.9%
Q1 - 2:13ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
5.9%
29
94.1%
Q1 - 2:16INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot15
5.8%
29
94.2%
Q1 - 2:23INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
5.5%
29
94.5%
Q1 - 2:30ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot15
5.6%
29
94.4%
Q1 - 2:53INDJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
5.9%
29
94.1%
Q1 - 3:17ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
7.2%
26
92.8%
Q1 - 3:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 214
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q1 - 3:34INDO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)14
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 3:54ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)14
7.8%
24
92.2%
Q1 - 4:06INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 4:23ORLLue Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 4:30INDFoster 3' Layup (4 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)14
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 4:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 4:42INDMISS World Peace 14' Jump Shot14
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 4:58ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)14
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 5:22ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 5:23INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup14
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 5:35ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 5:35ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 213
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 5:47ORLMagic Rebound13
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 5:50INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot13
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 6:12ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 6:12ORLBogans 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)13
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 6:14ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot11
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 6:32INDTinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)11
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 6:48ORLHoward 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 6:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
10.1%
17
89.9%
Q1 - 6:54ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 7:08INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 7:08INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 7:16INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 7:18ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot9
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 7:32INDO'Neal 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)9
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 7:45ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
12.5%
13
87.5%
Q1 - 7:45ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
12.4%
13
87.6%
Q1 - 8:01INDWorld Peace 5' Finger Roll (4 PTS)7
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 8:28ORLLue 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 8:52INDMiller 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)5
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 9:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 9:03ORLMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot5
12.5%
9
87.5%
Q1 - 9:16INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)5
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 9:40ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)5
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 9:57INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)3
14.2%
6
85.8%
Q1 - 10:14ORLWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)3
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 10:21ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 10:22INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot3
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 10:35ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)3
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 10:50INDWorld Peace 4' Running Layup (2 PTS)0
13.2%
4
86.8%
Q1 - 11:00INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot0
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 11:20INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)0
14.9%
2
85.1%
Q1 - 11:32INDPACERS Rebound0
15.9%
0
84.1%
Q1 - 11:33INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot0
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 11:41INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.9%
0
84.1%
Q1 - 11:43ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. DeClercq: Tip to Howard0
16.8%
0
83.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.5%
IND
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
19
53%
IND
18
31
58%
Midrange
ORL
18
42
43%
IND
19
44
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
19
63%
95%
IND
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
Free Throws
ORL
15
19
79%
IND
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady4367%21.5 / 32
J. Howard1963%9.5 / 15
G. Giricek1179%5.5 / 7
K. Bogans964%4.5 / 7
R. Strickland758%3.5 / 6
T. Lue650%3.0 / 6
D. Gooden650%3.0 / 6
L. Nailon433%2.0 / 6
A. DeClercq233%1.0 / 3
S. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2545%12.5 / 28
M. World Peace2357%11.5 / 20
A. Harrington1953%9.5 / 18
J. Tinsley1673%8.0 / 11
R. Miller1192%5.5 / 6
J. Foster1083%5.0 / 6
F. Jones550%2.5 / 5
A. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
A. Croshere250%1.0 / 2
S. Pollard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+15
-13
92
IND
82
+21
-10
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.5%
IND
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.3
101.1
ORL 118.9
IND 123.9 +5.0
Pace
93.1
89.9
ORL 90.7
IND 91.3 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
ORL 15.9
IND 15.8 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
47.1%
ORL 57.5% +2.9%
IND 54.6%
TO %
13.8%
15.0%
ORL 14.5%
IND 10.1% +4.4%
ORB %
28.1%
28.5%
ORL 33.3%
IND 42.1% +8.8%
FTrt
29.6
31.9
ORL 23.8
IND 28.7 +4.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.5%
64.4%
ORL 72.5% +15.7%
IND 56.8%
STL %
7.1%
9.8%
ORL 6.7%
IND 9.8% +3.1%
BLK %
5.6%
8.0%
ORL 9.3% +1.1%
IND 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.1%
49.2%
ORL 57.5% +2.7%
IND 54.8%
Rim FG%
52.9%
55.2%
ORL 52.6%
IND 58.1% +5.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
38.5%
ORL 42.9%
IND 43.2% +0.3%
3P %
34.4%
35.1%
ORL 63.2% +4.9%
IND 58.3%
FT %
73.7%
76.4%
ORL 78.9% +2.9%
IND 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.7%
34.4%
ORL 23.8%
IND 35.6% +11.9%
Mid Att. %
51.8%
45.4%
ORL 52.5%
IND 50.6% +1.9%
3P Att. %
18.4%
20.3%
ORL 23.8% +10.0%
IND 13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLIND
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points107114
Rebounds3542
Assists2925
Steals69
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)26 (1)
Field Goals40-8044-87
At-the-Rim FG10-1918-31
Midrange FG18-4219-44
2-Point FG28-6137-75
3-Point FG12-197-12
Free Throws15-1919-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 25
40.4
43
67%
0
4
2
2
4
2
0
0
7-10
70%
6-16
38%
8-11
73%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
31.9
19
63%
4
1
1
1
1
5
1
3
5-6
83%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 31
26.1
2
33%
7
0
1
1
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 27
23.0
6
50%
1
10
0
0
2
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'5" 215 · 24
21.1
9
64%
5
3
1
0
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
25.8
11
79%
5
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 250 · 22
25.7
6
50%
3
0
1
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 37
25.0
7
58%
6
6
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
12.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 29
8.8
4
33%
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 201 · 29
C · 6'11" 270 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
57%
35
29
6
7
13
0
13
22
15-19
79%
28-61
46%
12-19
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.