FinalWin Prob.pScore
557%94
98
1643%92
74
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
103.29592.5
DEN logo DEN
79.69395.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS98
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENMISS Trepagnier Driving Layup98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASWillis Dunk (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASBrown Tip Shot (6 PTS)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASMISS Garcia Driving Layup94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Garcia Driving Layup94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34DENMISS Elson 18' Jump Shot94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SASMISS Willis 19' Jump Shot94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59DENTskitishvili 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Trepagnier 1 AST)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18SASBoykins STEAL (1 STL)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23SASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27SASMISS Garcia 23' Jump Shot94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43DENMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 294
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06DENTskitishvili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06DENMISS Tskitishvili Free Throw 1 of 292
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24DENNUGGETS Rebound92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45DENMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:09SASParker 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 7 AST)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28DENTskitishvili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:34DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36DENTrepagnier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36DENMISS Trepagnier Tip Shot90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38DENMISS Tskitishvili 18' Jump Shot90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47SASMiller STEAL (4 STL)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07DENMiller 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:27SASDuncan 12' Hook Shot (29 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:41DENMISS Trepagnier 14' Jump Shot87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)87
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 5:52SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 286
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 5:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)86
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 5:56SASMISS Mercer 3PT Jump Shot86
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 6:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)86
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 6:17DENMISS Boykins Driving Layup86
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 6:29SASBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)86
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 6:51DENBoykins 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tskitishvili 1 AST)86
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 6:57DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:00SASElson BLOCK (1 BLK)86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:01SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:03SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot86
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:31DENTrepagnier Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)86
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:43DENTrepagnier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 7:44SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 7:55SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:57SASMISS Hart 21' Jump Shot86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 8:23DENTskitishvili Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 8:31SASNesterovic 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)86
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 8:58DENBoykins 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 9:00DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:03DENMISS Trepagnier Dunk84
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:08SASMiller STEAL (3 STL)84
99.7%
60
0.3%
Q4 - 9:11SASMercer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:13DENMISS Tskitishvili 10' Jump Shot84
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:31DENNUGGETS Rebound84
99.7%
60
0.3%
Q4 - 9:31DENMISS Boykins 10' Jump Shot84
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:44SASRose Foul Turnover (P4.T14)84
99.7%
60
0.3%
Q4 - 9:58DENElson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)84
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 10:04DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q4 - 10:07SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot84
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q4 - 10:18SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q4 - 10:20DENMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot84
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q4 - 10:28SASBrown 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)84
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q4 - 10:44SASMercer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 10:46DENMISS Miller 9' Fadeaway Jumper82
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 10:51DENTrepagnier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
99.6%
58
0.4%
Q4 - 10:54DENMISS Trepagnier Layup82
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 11:06SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 282
99.5%
58
0.5%
Q4 - 11:06SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
99.6%
58
0.4%
Q4 - 11:19SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)81
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q4 - 11:19SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 181
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q4 - 11:19SASNesterovic Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)81
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q4 - 11:30SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q4 - 11:32DENMISS Trepagnier 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q4 - 11:47SASRose Foul Turnover (P3.T13)79
99.1%
58
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN79
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound79
99.1%
58
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Boykins 12' Jump Shot79
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0SASBrown Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)79
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)77
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASTrepagnier STEAL (1 STL)77
98.4%
58
1.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot77
98.5%
58
1.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENMISS Lenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASRose 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)77
98.4%
58
1.6%
Q3 - 1:19DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)75
97.7%
58
2.3%
Q3 - 1:19DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 275
97.8%
57
2.2%
Q3 - 1:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)75
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 1:32SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 275
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 1:32SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 1:41SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 1:42SASMISS Mercer Free Throw 2 of 274
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q3 - 1:42SASMercer Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
97.6%
57
2.4%
Q3 - 1:43SASMercer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)73
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q3 - 1:46SASMISS Horry 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot73
96.8%
57
3.2%
Q3 - 2:04DENAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Camby 4 AST)73
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 2:16SASHorry 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
97.2%
55
2.8%
Q3 - 2:29SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
96.7%
55
3.3%
Q3 - 2:32DENMISS Trepagnier Layup71
96.5%
55
3.5%
Q3 - 2:34DENTrepagnier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
96.0%
55
4.0%
Q3 - 2:36DENMISS Lenard 13' Jump Shot71
96.5%
55
3.5%
Q3 - 2:56DENNUGGETS Rebound71
96.0%
55
4.0%
Q3 - 2:59SASMISS Rose Reverse Layup71
96.3%
55
3.7%
Q3 - 3:20DENLenard Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)71
96.4%
55
3.6%
Q3 - 3:37SASMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 3:37SASMercer Tip Shot (12 PTS)71
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 3:40SASMISS Rose Layup69
95.9%
53
4.1%
Q3 - 3:59DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
96.4%
53
3.6%
Q3 - 3:59DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
96.5%
52
3.5%
Q3 - 4:07DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
96.5%
51
3.5%
Q3 - 4:09SASMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot69
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 4:24SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q3 - 4:25DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 269
97.0%
51
3.0%
Q3 - 4:25DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 269
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 4:36DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
96.5%
51
3.5%
Q3 - 4:38SASMISS Horry 16' Jump Shot69
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 4:56SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q3 - 4:57DENMISS Camby Free Throw 2 of 269
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q3 - 4:57DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
96.8%
51
3.2%
Q3 - 4:59DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
97.1%
50
2.9%
Q3 - 5:01DENMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
97.1%
50
2.9%
Q3 - 5:21SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)69
96.7%
50
3.3%
Q3 - 5:21SASDuncan Layup (25 PTS) (Horry 4 AST)68
96.2%
50
3.8%
Q3 - 5:23SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
95.6%
50
4.4%
Q3 - 5:25SASMISS Duncan Slam Dunk66
95.0%
50
5.0%
Q3 - 5:47DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
95.6%
50
4.4%
Q3 - 5:47DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
95.7%
49
4.3%
Q3 - 6:00SASCamby STEAL (2 STL)66
96.2%
48
3.8%
Q3 - 6:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)66
96.4%
48
3.6%
Q3 - 6:11DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot66
96.2%
48
3.8%
Q3 - 6:25SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)66
95.7%
48
4.3%
Q3 - 6:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
95.1%
48
4.9%
Q3 - 6:45DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot64
94.9%
48
5.1%
Q3 - 7:02SASAndersen STEAL (1 STL)64
93.6%
48
6.4%
Q3 - 7:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)64
94.6%
48
5.4%
Q3 - 7:18DENCamby Tip Shot (10 PTS)64
94.6%
48
5.4%
Q3 - 7:20DENMISS Andersen Layup64
95.8%
46
4.2%
Q3 - 7:41SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)64
95.3%
46
4.7%
Q3 - 7:41SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
95.1%
46
4.9%
Q3 - 8:03DENMiller 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
94.4%
46
5.6%
Q3 - 8:19SASNesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)62
95.0%
44
5.0%
Q3 - 8:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)60
94.4%
44
5.6%
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 260
94.3%
44
5.7%
Q3 - 8:33DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
93.7%
44
6.3%
Q3 - 8:38SASMiller STEAL (2 STL)60
94.3%
43
5.7%
Q3 - 8:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
95.1%
43
4.9%
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup60
94.9%
43
5.1%
Q3 - 8:52DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
94.3%
43
5.7%
Q3 - 8:54SASMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup60
94.6%
43
5.4%
Q3 - 8:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
95.1%
43
4.9%
Q3 - 9:00DENMISS Miller Driving Layup60
94.9%
43
5.1%
Q3 - 9:18SASBowen 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)60
93.9%
43
6.1%
Q3 - 9:33DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)58
93.0%
43
7.0%
Q3 - 9:46SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)58
93.9%
41
6.1%
Q3 - 9:57DENCamby 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)58
94.7%
41
5.3%
Q3 - 10:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)58
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q3 - 10:13SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 258
95.1%
39
4.9%
Q3 - 10:13SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 258
95.5%
39
4.5%
Q3 - 10:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
95.7%
39
4.3%
Q3 - 10:36DENMISS Anthony Layup58
95.5%
39
4.5%
Q3 - 10:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)58
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q3 - 10:43SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot58
95.3%
39
4.7%
Q3 - 10:55SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
95.7%
39
4.3%
Q3 - 10:58DENMISS Lenard Layup58
95.5%
39
4.5%
Q3 - 11:04DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
94.8%
39
5.2%
Q3 - 11:06SASCamby BLOCK (3 BLK)58
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q3 - 11:23DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)58
95.5%
39
4.5%
Q3 - 11:43SASDuncan 7' Hook Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)58
96.0%
37
4.0%
Q3 - 11:50DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)56
95.5%
37
4.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN56
94.8%
37
5.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
94.4%
37
5.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 256
94.5%
37
5.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 256
94.9%
37
5.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
94.9%
37
5.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot56
94.8%
37
5.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASRose Layup (4 PTS)56
94.4%
37
5.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
93.5%
37
6.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Turkoglu 9' Jump Shot54
93.1%
37
6.9%
Q2 - 1:16DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
93.0%
37
7.0%
Q2 - 1:25SASTurkoglu Driving Layup (3 PTS)54
94.8%
34
5.2%
Q2 - 1:30SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
93.8%
34
6.2%
Q2 - 1:33DENMISS Anthony 7' Jump Bank Shot52
93.6%
34
6.4%
Q2 - 1:51SASDuncan Turnaround Finger Roll (17 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)52
93.4%
34
6.6%
Q2 - 2:07DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)50
91.8%
34
8.2%
Q2 - 2:09DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
90.8%
34
9.2%
Q2 - 2:11SASCamby BLOCK (2 BLK)50
91.1%
34
8.9%
Q2 - 2:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
91.8%
34
8.2%
Q2 - 2:25DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot50
91.5%
34
8.5%
Q2 - 2:45SASRose Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)50
90.9%
34
9.1%
Q2 - 3:02DENWhite Foul Turnover (P2.T10)48
89.1%
34
10.9%
Q2 - 3:14SASMiller STEAL (1 STL)48
87.7%
34
12.3%
Q2 - 3:21DENMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)48
89.1%
34
10.9%
Q2 - 3:23DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
87.7%
34
12.3%
Q2 - 3:25SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot48
88.2%
34
11.8%
Q2 - 3:44DENNene Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)48
89.1%
34
10.9%
Q2 - 3:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
90.1%
32
9.9%
Q2 - 3:50SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot48
90.5%
32
9.5%
Q2 - 4:16DENMiller Layup (4 PTS) (White 1 AST)48
90.6%
32
9.4%
Q2 - 4:31SASRose Foul Turnover (P2.T6)48
91.6%
30
8.4%
Q2 - 4:31DENCamby Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)48
92.4%
30
7.6%
Q2 - 4:31DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
91.6%
30
8.4%
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Turnaround Jump Shot48
91.8%
30
8.2%
Q2 - 4:52SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
92.4%
30
7.6%
Q2 - 4:54DENMISS Miller 10' Turnaround Jump Shot48
92.2%
30
7.8%
Q2 - 5:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
91.3%
30
8.7%
Q2 - 5:16SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot48
91.6%
30
8.4%
Q2 - 5:25DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)48
92.2%
30
7.8%
Q2 - 5:28SASCamby STEAL (1 STL)48
91.3%
30
8.7%
Q2 - 5:49DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)48
92.2%
30
7.8%
Q2 - 6:08SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)48
90.8%
30
9.2%
Q2 - 6:12SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
91.9%
30
8.1%
Q2 - 6:15DENMISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot48
91.6%
30
8.4%
Q2 - 6:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
90.8%
30
9.2%
Q2 - 6:20DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
91.6%
30
8.4%
Q2 - 6:46SASParker 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
90.9%
30
9.1%
Q2 - 7:06DENWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
89.3%
30
10.7%
Q2 - 7:06DENWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
89.5%
29
10.5%
Q2 - 7:22SASParker 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
90.3%
28
9.7%
Q2 - 7:47DENWhite Dunk (2 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)44
89.4%
28
10.6%
Q2 - 7:50DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
90.3%
26
9.7%
Q2 - 7:51SASMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot44
90.6%
26
9.4%
Q2 - 8:12DENLenard Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)44
90.9%
26
9.1%
Q2 - 8:27SASMercer 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)44
89.9%
26
10.1%
Q2 - 8:39DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
89.1%
26
10.9%
Q2 - 8:39DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
89.3%
25
10.7%
Q2 - 9:10SASMercer 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)42
89.5%
24
10.5%
Q2 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
88.6%
24
11.4%
Q2 - 9:30DENMISS Anthony 9' Fadeaway Jumper40
88.3%
24
11.7%
Q2 - 9:52SASHorry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)40
87.4%
24
12.6%
Q2 - 9:57SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
85.2%
24
14.8%
Q2 - 9:58SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 237
83.9%
24
16.1%
Q2 - 9:58SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)37
84.7%
24
15.3%
Q2 - 10:02SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
83.5%
24
16.5%
Q2 - 10:03DENMISS Tskitishvili Layup36
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q2 - 10:06DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 10:08DENMISS Elson Tip Shot36
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q2 - 10:10DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 10:13DENMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot36
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q2 - 10:34SASMercer 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)36
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 10:53DENLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
80.6%
24
19.4%
Q2 - 10:57DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
78.8%
24
21.2%
Q2 - 10:59SASMISS Brown Tip Shot34
79.4%
24
20.6%
Q2 - 11:05SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
80.1%
24
19.9%
Q2 - 11:05SASMISS Mercer Layup34
79.0%
24
21.0%
Q2 - 11:05DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)34
80.1%
24
19.9%
Q2 - 11:14SASMercer 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)34
78.5%
24
21.5%
Q2 - 11:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
76.8%
24
23.2%
Q2 - 11:30DENMISS Tskitishvili 20' Jump Shot32
76.3%
24
23.7%
Q2 - 11:37SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)32
75.0%
24
25.0%
Q2 - 11:42DENBoykins 8' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)32
76.8%
24
23.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN32
78.5%
22
21.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
78.2%
22
21.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 231
77.8%
22
22.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
77.9%
22
22.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENMISS Lenard 8' Jump Shot31
77.5%
22
22.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASMercer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
76.6%
22
23.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASSpurs Rebound29
74.5%
22
25.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)29
73.5%
22
26.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
74.5%
22
25.5%
Q1 - 1:13SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)29
73.0%
22
27.0%
Q1 - 1:21SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
68.7%
22
31.3%
Q1 - 1:23SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 226
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q1 - 1:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)26
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q1 - 1:36SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
66.6%
22
33.4%
Q1 - 1:38DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
66.1%
22
33.9%
Q1 - 1:52SASLenard STEAL (1 STL)25
64.9%
22
35.1%
Q1 - 2:01SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
66.9%
22
33.1%
Q1 - 2:03DENMISS Elson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot25
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q1 - 2:22SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)25
65.0%
22
35.0%
Q1 - 2:48DENAnthony Dunk (6 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)23
62.6%
22
37.4%
Q1 - 2:55SASNesterovic Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)23
65.0%
20
35.0%
Q1 - 3:02SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
62.7%
20
37.3%
Q1 - 3:04DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot21
62.0%
20
38.0%
Q1 - 3:26SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)21
60.3%
20
39.7%
Q1 - 3:47DENMiller 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)19
58.4%
20
41.6%
Q1 - 3:50DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
60.3%
18
39.7%
Q1 - 3:53SASMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup19
61.1%
18
38.9%
Q1 - 4:07DENBoykins 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)19
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 4:31SASParker 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
64.4%
16
35.6%
Q1 - 4:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
62.8%
16
37.2%
Q1 - 4:40DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot17
62.1%
16
37.9%
Q1 - 4:54SASDuncan 5' Finger Roll (8 PTS)17
60.3%
16
39.7%
Q1 - 5:13DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 5:27SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 5:27SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 214
60.0%
14
40.0%
Q1 - 5:42DENCamby Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)14
60.7%
14
39.3%
Q1 - 5:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
62.5%
12
37.5%
Q1 - 5:57SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot14
63.1%
12
36.9%
Q1 - 6:10DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)14
64.3%
12
35.7%
Q1 - 6:10DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)14
64.6%
11
35.4%
Q1 - 6:23SASBowen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)14
66.0%
10
34.0%
Q1 - 6:44DENLenard 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
64.3%
10
35.7%
Q1 - 6:52DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
66.0%
8
34.0%
Q1 - 6:55SASMISS Turkoglu 16' Fadeaway Jumper12
66.6%
8
33.4%
Q1 - 7:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 7:08DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot12
67.0%
8
33.0%
Q1 - 7:14DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
65.7%
8
34.3%
Q1 - 7:16SASCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)12
66.3%
8
33.7%
Q1 - 7:31DENLenard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 7:49SASParker Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 8:02DENLenard 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)10
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 8:15SASDuncan Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)10
69.4%
4
30.6%
Q1 - 8:34DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
67.9%
4
32.1%
Q1 - 8:34DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
68.3%
3
31.7%
Q1 - 8:44SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
69.4%
2
30.6%
Q1 - 8:49SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 8:52DENMISS Camby 9' Jump Shot6
67.4%
2
32.6%
Q1 - 9:12SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 9:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
65.4%
2
34.6%
Q1 - 9:26DENLenard 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
64.6%
2
35.4%
Q1 - 10:06SASParker 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 10:13DENAnthony Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)2
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 10:15SASDuncan Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)2
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
64.4%
0
35.6%
Q1 - 10:29DENMISS Camby 7' Turnaround Jump Shot2
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 10:48SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:56SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 10:57DENMISS Nene 6' Turnaround Jump Shot0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 11:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 11:14DENMISS Anthony 7' Jump Shot0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 11:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 11:44SASMISS Turkoglu 8' Running Jump Shot0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Duncan: Tip to Bowen0
60.7%
0
39.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
DEN
0.81 40.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
18
31
58%
DEN
11
24
46%
Midrange
SAS
20
40
50%
DEN
16
44
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
2
3.0
5
40%
60%
DEN
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
SAS
16
29
55%
DEN
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3065%15.0 / 23
T. Parker1470%7.0 / 10
R. Mercer1359%6.5 / 11
R. Nesterovic950%4.5 / 9
R. Horry975%4.5 / 6
D. Brown660%3.0 / 5
M. Rose650%3.0 / 6
B. Bowen440%2.0 / 5
K. Willis467%2.0 / 3
H. Turkoglu317%1.5 / 9
J. Hart0-0.0 / 1
A. Garcia0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Camby1359%6.5 / 11
V. Lenard1250%6.0 / 12
A. Miller1139%5.5 / 14
C. Anthony941%4.5 / 11
E. Boykins836%4.0 / 11
N. Tskitishvili536%2.5 / 7
Nene450%2.0 / 4
R. White4100%2.0 / 2
F. Elson330%1.5 / 5
C. Andersen350%1.5 / 3
J. Trepagnier213%1.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+16
-18
93
DEN
78
+13
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
DEN
0.81 40.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
101.4
SAS 103.2
DEN 79.6 +23.6
Pace
91.3
95.7
SAS 92.5
DEN 95.6 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
SAS 15.6
DEN 15.1 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
46.7%
SAS 53.9% +16.4%
DEN 37.5%
TO %
15.4%
15.3%
SAS 16.9%
DEN 14.8% +2.1%
ORB %
29.5%
30.5%
SAS 36.6% +14.2%
DEN 22.4%
FTrt
32.2
31.9
SAS 38.2 +6.6
DEN 31.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
59.9%
SAS 62.5%
DEN 64.3% +1.8%
STL %
8.8%
9.5%
SAS 7.4%
DEN 10.8% +3.4%
BLK %
9.9%
9.3%
SAS 7.4% +0.4%
DEN 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
49.0%
SAS 52.7% +12.0%
DEN 40.7%
Rim FG%
57.6%
57.8%
SAS 58.1% +12.3%
DEN 45.8%
Mid FG%
37.0%
37.0%
SAS 50.0% +13.6%
DEN 36.4%
3P %
35.8%
33.6%
SAS 40.0% +27.5%
DEN 12.5%
FT %
68.1%
76.7%
SAS 55.2%
DEN 70.8% +15.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
37.4%
SAS 40.8% +9.2%
DEN 31.6%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
48.0%
SAS 52.6% +5.3%
DEN 57.9%
3P Att. %
17.7%
14.6%
SAS 6.6%
DEN 10.5% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points9874
Rebounds5337
Assists2518
Steals710
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)26 (2)
Field Goals40-7628-76
At-the-Rim FG18-3111-24
Midrange FG20-4016-44
2-Point FG38-7127-68
3-Point FG2-51-8
Free Throws16-2917-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
32.0
30
65%
12
7
2
3
3
3
1
11
10-14
71%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
29.8
9
50%
7
0
1
2
1
2
2
5
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 200 · 33
29.1
4
40%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
28.7
14
70%
3
5
0
0
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 25
25.9
3
17%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-4
25%
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
22.1
13
59%
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
18.9
6
60%
5
1
0
0
1
2
4
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
18.8
6
50%
5
3
0
0
4
3
3
2
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
12.3
9
75%
7
4
0
0
2
4
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 180 · 26
12.3
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'3" 195 · 24
7.0
0
0%
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
3.1
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
53
25
7
5
18
0
15
38
16-29
55%
38-71
54%
2-5
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.