FinalWin Prob.pScore
662%91
87
2638%87
65
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
97.88986.3
MIA logo MIA
73.98890.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
100%
65
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAZhi-zhi Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAZhi-zhi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)83
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDHarrington Slam Dunk (13 PTS)83
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13MIAColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14INDMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 7' Turnaround Jump Shot81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51INDMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19INDMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Jones 11' Turnaround Jump Shot81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot79
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)78
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot77
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 4:12INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 4:33INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 4:49MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)75
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 4:50INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 275
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 4:50INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 5:06MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)74
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 5:14INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS)74
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q4 - 5:32MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
98.7%
61
1.3%
Q4 - 5:32MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 5:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)72
99.0%
59
1.0%
Q4 - 5:35INDMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot72
99.1%
59
0.9%
Q4 - 5:55MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
99.3%
59
0.7%
Q4 - 5:55MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q4 - 5:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q4 - 5:58INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 6:15INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 272
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q4 - 6:16MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q4 - 6:26INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (20 PTS)72
99.4%
56
0.6%
Q4 - 6:44INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
99.3%
56
0.7%
Q4 - 6:46INDMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot70
99.1%
56
0.9%
Q4 - 7:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
98.9%
56
1.1%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 270
98.9%
56
1.1%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 270
98.7%
56
1.3%
Q4 - 7:31INDO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)70
98.6%
56
1.4%
Q4 - 7:50INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
98.2%
56
1.8%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot68
98.0%
56
2.0%
Q4 - 8:17INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 168
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q4 - 8:17INDO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
96.9%
56
3.1%
Q4 - 8:28INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot66
95.8%
56
4.2%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Odom 6' Hook Shot66
95.8%
56
4.2%
Q4 - 8:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)66
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Odom 6' Hook Shot66
95.8%
56
4.2%
Q4 - 9:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 266
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q4 - 9:04MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)66
95.5%
55
4.5%
Q4 - 9:11INDMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot66
95.8%
55
4.2%
Q4 - 9:23INDPacers Rebound66
96.5%
55
3.5%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot66
96.2%
55
3.8%
Q4 - 9:44INDWorld Peace Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)66
95.5%
55
4.5%
Q4 - 10:01MIAColes Driving Layup (4 PTS)66
95.9%
55
4.1%
Q4 - 10:26INDWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)63
94.9%
53
5.1%
Q4 - 10:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
93.6%
53
6.4%
Q4 - 10:49INDOdom BLOCK (3 BLK)63
94.1%
53
5.9%
Q4 - 11:01INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
94.2%
53
5.8%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Butler 11' Running Jump Shot63
93.8%
53
6.2%
Q4 - 11:17INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)63
92.9%
53
7.1%
Q4 - 11:32INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
94.2%
53
5.8%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 263
94.1%
53
5.9%
Q4 - 11:34MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
93.4%
53
6.6%
Q4 - 11:48INDCroshere Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)63
94.2%
52
5.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound63
94.2%
52
5.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
95.0%
52
5.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)63
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDOdom BLOCK (2 BLK)63
94.0%
52
6.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
94.8%
52
5.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Odom Reverse Layup63
94.5%
52
5.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDHarrington Driving Layup (9 PTS)63
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 1:12MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)61
91.8%
52
8.2%
Q3 - 1:19MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 1:21INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot61
94.6%
49
5.4%
Q3 - 1:51INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
95.3%
49
4.7%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot61
95.0%
49
5.0%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
93.5%
49
6.5%
Q3 - 2:03INDMISS World Peace Layup61
93.9%
49
6.1%
Q3 - 2:20INDPacers Rebound61
94.7%
49
5.3%
Q3 - 2:30INDMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot61
93.9%
49
6.1%
Q3 - 2:45INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
94.7%
49
5.3%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot61
94.4%
49
5.6%
Q3 - 3:05INDHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)61
93.2%
49
6.8%
Q3 - 3:27MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)58
90.6%
49
9.4%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
88.9%
49
11.1%
Q3 - 3:43INDMISS World Peace 14' Fadeaway Jumper58
89.4%
49
10.6%
Q3 - 4:05MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 4:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
91.4%
47
8.6%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
92.4%
47
7.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)58
91.4%
47
8.6%
Q3 - 4:51INDMISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot58
91.9%
47
8.1%
Q3 - 5:11INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
92.3%
47
7.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot58
92.0%
47
8.0%
Q3 - 5:28INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
91.0%
47
9.0%
Q3 - 5:28INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 257
90.7%
47
9.3%
Q3 - 5:28INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
91.1%
47
8.9%
Q3 - 5:29INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
90.0%
47
10.0%
Q3 - 5:38INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
91.1%
47
8.9%
Q3 - 5:40INDMISS O'Neal 16' Turnaround Jump Shot57
90.1%
47
9.9%
Q3 - 6:05MIAOdom 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)57
90.6%
47
9.4%
Q3 - 6:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
91.8%
45
8.2%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot57
92.6%
45
7.4%
Q3 - 6:18MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)57
91.8%
45
8.2%
Q3 - 6:20INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
92.2%
45
7.8%
Q3 - 6:26MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)57
93.0%
45
7.0%
Q3 - 6:39INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
91.8%
45
8.2%
Q3 - 6:39INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
91.5%
45
8.5%
Q3 - 6:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
90.6%
45
9.4%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot55
90.2%
45
9.8%
Q3 - 7:22MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
88.3%
45
11.7%
Q3 - 7:24INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
88.9%
45
11.1%
Q3 - 7:38INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
90.0%
45
10.0%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Odom Driving Finger Roll55
89.5%
45
10.5%
Q3 - 8:01INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)55
88.1%
45
11.9%
Q3 - 8:01INDMiller 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
86.5%
45
13.5%
Q3 - 8:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
84.9%
45
15.1%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Alston 6' Turnaround Hook Shot52
84.2%
45
15.8%
Q3 - 8:31INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)52
82.5%
45
17.5%
Q3 - 8:51INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
78.1%
45
21.9%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Grant Dunk49
77.1%
45
22.9%
Q3 - 9:09INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)49
75.0%
45
25.0%
Q3 - 9:09INDPacers Rebound49
77.7%
45
22.3%
Q3 - 9:10INDMISS Foster 6' Turnaround Jump Shot49
75.8%
45
24.2%
Q3 - 9:36MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)49
77.7%
45
22.3%
Q3 - 9:51INDO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)49
80.1%
43
19.9%
Q3 - 10:01INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
77.9%
43
22.1%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
77.0%
43
23.0%
Q3 - 10:23INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)47
75.0%
43
25.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIAButler Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)45
72.5%
43
27.5%
Q3 - 11:02INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P4.T11)45
75.3%
41
24.7%
Q3 - 11:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
77.9%
41
22.1%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot45
77.1%
41
22.9%
Q3 - 11:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
75.3%
41
24.7%
Q3 - 11:25INDMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot45
76.1%
41
23.9%
Q3 - 11:46INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
77.9%
41
22.1%
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Grant Layup45
77.1%
41
22.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
75.3%
41
24.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDWorld Peace 7' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)45
75.3%
41
24.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)43
72.2%
41
27.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound43
70.3%
41
29.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
70.9%
41
29.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)43
72.3%
41
27.7%
Q2 - 1:13INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
70.4%
41
29.6%
Q2 - 1:21INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
66.3%
41
33.7%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Odom 5' Driving Hook Shot41
65.9%
41
34.1%
Q2 - 1:34INDButler STEAL (2 STL)41
64.8%
41
35.2%
Q2 - 1:51MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)41
66.3%
41
33.7%
Q2 - 2:11INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)41
69.8%
39
30.2%
Q2 - 2:18MIAGrant Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)41
72.2%
39
27.8%
Q2 - 2:37INDTinsley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)41
69.8%
39
30.2%
Q2 - 2:47INDMiller Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)38
64.0%
39
36.0%
Q2 - 3:00MIAOdom Layup (5 PTS)37
61.1%
39
38.9%
Q2 - 3:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
64.4%
37
35.6%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot37
66.5%
37
33.5%
Q2 - 3:10INDButler STEAL (1 STL)37
64.4%
37
35.6%
Q2 - 3:18INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
67.4%
37
32.6%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Jones 6' Hook Shot37
66.5%
37
33.5%
Q2 - 3:31INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q2 - 3:31INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
63.7%
37
36.3%
Q2 - 3:34INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Coles 16' Jump Shot35
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 3:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
58.7%
37
41.3%
Q2 - 3:48INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot35
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q2 - 3:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 3:52INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q2 - 3:57INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot35
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 4:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
59.4%
37
40.6%
Q2 - 4:14INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 235
59.8%
37
40.2%
Q2 - 4:14INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
61.5%
37
38.5%
Q2 - 4:27MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T5)34
59.4%
37
40.6%
Q2 - 4:39INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)34
56.6%
37
43.4%
Q2 - 4:39INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
59.4%
37
40.6%
Q2 - 4:40INDMISS Harrington 9' Fadeaway Jumper34
57.4%
37
42.6%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (7 PTS)34
59.9%
37
40.1%
Q2 - 5:26INDHarrington 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)34
62.3%
35
37.7%
Q2 - 5:46INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 232
59.4%
35
40.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
57.5%
35
42.5%
Q2 - 5:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
59.6%
34
40.4%
Q2 - 5:54INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot32
60.5%
34
39.5%
Q2 - 6:19MIAColes Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)32
63.1%
34
36.9%
Q2 - 6:24INDJones STEAL (1 STL)32
65.1%
32
34.9%
Q2 - 6:35MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
68.0%
32
32.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
70.4%
31
29.6%
Q2 - 6:49INDColes STEAL (1 STL)32
72.2%
29
27.8%
Q2 - 6:51INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
74.7%
29
25.3%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS Allen Driving Layup32
74.0%
29
26.0%
Q2 - 7:12INDJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
72.3%
29
27.7%
Q2 - 7:37MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
74.5%
29
25.5%
Q2 - 7:56INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
76.3%
27
23.7%
Q2 - 7:56INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
76.0%
27
24.0%
Q2 - 7:56INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
74.5%
27
25.5%
Q2 - 7:58INDMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot30
72.9%
27
27.1%
Q2 - 8:20INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
74.3%
27
25.7%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot30
73.6%
27
26.4%
Q2 - 8:44MIAColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
72.0%
27
28.0%
Q2 - 8:46INDMISS Harrington 10' Fadeaway Jumper30
72.7%
27
27.3%
Q2 - 9:06MIAAlston Layup (4 PTS)30
74.1%
27
25.9%
Q2 - 9:11MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
75.8%
25
24.2%
Q2 - 9:13INDMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot30
76.4%
25
23.6%
Q2 - 9:41MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)30
77.8%
25
22.2%
Q2 - 9:47MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)30
80.9%
22
19.1%
Q2 - 9:49INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot30
81.5%
22
18.5%
Q2 - 9:56INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
82.6%
22
17.4%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot30
82.1%
22
17.9%
Q2 - 10:19INDJones Layup (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)30
80.6%
22
19.4%
Q2 - 10:23MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
79.2%
22
20.8%
Q2 - 10:39INDBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)28
77.3%
22
22.7%
Q2 - 11:00INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
73.9%
22
26.1%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot25
73.1%
22
26.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
71.7%
22
28.3%
Q2 - 11:15INDMISS Harrington 18' Turnaround Jump Shot25
72.3%
22
27.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHEAT Rebound25
75.5%
20
24.5%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot25
76.7%
20
23.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
75.5%
20
24.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDCroshere Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)25
75.5%
20
24.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
76.7%
20
23.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
76.3%
20
23.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0INDWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
75.4%
20
24.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
71.3%
20
28.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Butler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot22
70.8%
20
29.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0INDHarrington 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
69.8%
20
30.2%
Q1 - 1:03INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
67.4%
20
32.6%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot20
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 1:30INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 120
65.9%
20
34.1%
Q1 - 1:30INDWorld Peace Dunk (7 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)20
65.7%
20
34.3%
Q1 - 1:34INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
63.0%
20
37.0%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q1 - 1:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)18
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 1:44INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)18
63.6%
20
36.4%
Q1 - 2:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
65.8%
18
34.2%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot18
67.2%
18
32.8%
Q1 - 2:22INDAlston STEAL (1 STL)18
65.8%
18
34.2%
Q1 - 2:38INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
67.8%
18
32.2%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot18
67.2%
18
32.8%
Q1 - 3:04INDWorld Peace Layup (5 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)18
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q1 - 3:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot16
63.2%
18
36.8%
Q1 - 3:37MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
61.5%
18
38.5%
Q1 - 3:39INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q1 - 3:58MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)16
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q1 - 4:24INDO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)16
65.9%
16
34.1%
Q1 - 4:45MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
64.3%
16
35.7%
Q1 - 4:48MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
61.8%
16
38.2%
Q1 - 4:50INDOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)14
62.5%
16
37.5%
Q1 - 5:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
64.5%
16
35.5%
Q1 - 5:06INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot14
63.0%
16
37.0%
Q1 - 5:28MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
64.5%
16
35.5%
Q1 - 5:45INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)14
62.3%
16
37.7%
Q1 - 6:08MIAGrant Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)11
58.8%
16
41.2%
Q1 - 6:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 6:19INDMISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot11
61.3%
14
38.7%
Q1 - 6:29MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
62.6%
14
37.4%
Q1 - 6:42INDMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 6:52MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
62.6%
14
37.4%
Q1 - 6:52MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)11
64.5%
13
35.5%
Q1 - 6:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
66.3%
11
33.7%
Q1 - 6:58INDMISS O'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot11
66.8%
11
33.2%
Q1 - 7:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
68.3%
11
31.7%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Odom 9' Running Jump Shot11
67.8%
11
32.2%
Q1 - 7:27INDFoster Layup (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)11
66.5%
11
33.5%
Q1 - 7:46MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
64.9%
11
35.1%
Q1 - 7:58INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)9
66.4%
9
33.6%
Q1 - 7:58INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
66.1%
9
33.9%
Q1 - 7:59INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
64.9%
9
35.1%
Q1 - 8:00INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
63.6%
9
36.4%
Q1 - 8:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
65.5%
9
34.5%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot7
64.9%
9
35.1%
Q1 - 8:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
63.6%
9
36.4%
Q1 - 8:15INDMISS Foster 4' Jump Shot7
64.2%
9
35.8%
Q1 - 8:26INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
65.5%
9
34.5%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup7
64.9%
9
35.1%
Q1 - 8:47INDO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)7
63.6%
9
36.4%
Q1 - 9:09MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)5
62.0%
9
38.0%
Q1 - 9:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
63.3%
7
36.7%
Q1 - 9:17INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot5
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 9:41MIAOdom Layup (3 PTS)5
65.5%
7
34.5%
Q1 - 9:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
66.8%
5
33.2%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
68.2%
5
31.8%
Q1 - 9:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
66.8%
5
33.2%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup5
68.2%
5
31.8%
Q1 - 10:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
66.9%
5
33.1%
Q1 - 10:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
66.5%
5
33.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
65.4%
5
34.6%
Q1 - 10:15MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)3
65.4%
5
34.6%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup3
68.1%
3
31.9%
Q1 - 10:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
66.8%
3
33.2%
Q1 - 10:33INDGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)3
67.4%
3
32.6%
Q1 - 10:46MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
68.7%
3
31.3%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 23
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 11:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
68.7%
2
31.3%
Q1 - 11:07INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 11:23MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)3
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 11:45INDWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)3
71.7%
0
28.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Foster: Tip to Tinsley0
68.6%
0
31.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.01 50.6%
MIA
0.71 35.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
10
17
59%
MIA
16
28
57%
Midrange
IND
10
31
32%
MIA
7
36
19%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
MIA
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
Free Throws
IND
23
28
82%
MIA
13
20
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace2265%11.0 / 17
J. O'Neal2250%11.0 / 22
A. Harrington1354%6.5 / 12
J. Tinsley1050%5.0 / 10
R. Miller750%3.5 / 7
F. Jones638%3.0 / 8
J. Brewer3150%1.5 / 1
J. Foster233%1.0 / 3
J. Jones233%1.0 / 3
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant1450%7.0 / 14
E. Jones1243%6.0 / 14
L. Odom1131%5.5 / 18
C. Butler1050%5.0 / 10
R. Butler770%3.5 / 5
R. Alston420%2.0 / 10
B. Coles467%2.0 / 3
W. Zhi-zhi233%1.0 / 3
S. Walker113%0.5 / 4
M. Allen0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+10
-13
86
MIA
76
+13
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.01 50.6%
MIA
0.71 35.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.1
99.3
IND 97.8 +23.9
MIA 73.9
Pace
89.9
90.6
IND 86.3
MIA 90.8 +4.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
IND 16.7
MIA 15.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
46.3%
IND 46.4% +11.7%
MIA 34.7%
TO %
15.0%
14.4%
IND 15.6%
MIA 13.4% +2.2%
ORB %
28.5%
27.5%
IND 19.0%
MIA 21.2% +2.2%
FTrt
31.9
29.8
IND 40.6 +13.9
MIA 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
57.3%
IND 50.0%
MIA 64.0% +14.0%
STL %
9.8%
7.9%
IND 6.7% +1.0%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
8.0%
6.3%
IND 7.8%
MIA 8.3% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
48.3%
IND 50.6% +14.9%
MIA 35.7%
Rim FG%
55.2%
53.9%
IND 58.8% +1.7%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
38.5%
36.9%
IND 32.3% +12.9%
MIA 19.4%
3P %
35.1%
35.7%
IND 38.1% +19.9%
MIA 18.2%
FT %
76.4%
76.2%
IND 82.1% +17.1%
MIA 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
34.4%
IND 24.6%
MIA 37.3% +12.7%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
44.5%
IND 44.9% +3.1%
MIA 48.0%
3P Att. %
20.3%
21.1%
IND 30.4% +15.8%
MIA 14.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.823.3
Points8765
Rebounds4945
Assists1416
Steals65
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals28-6925-75
At-the-Rim FG10-1716-28
Midrange FG10-317-36
2-Point FG20-4823-64
3-Point FG8-212-11
Free Throws23-2813-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
40.9
22
65%
7
4
1
2
1
1
1
6
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'11" 255 · 25
36.1
22
50%
11
2
1
2
2
4
1
10
8-11
73%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
30.5
10
50%
3
3
1
0
4
3
1
2
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
21.9
2
33%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 38
19.2
7
50%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 245 · 24
31.0
13
54%
7
0
0
0
1
4
0
7
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 225 · 25
24.4
6
38%
4
2
2
0
2
5
1
3
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 195 · 23
17.5
3
150%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
16.6
0
0%
7
0
0
1
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23
2.0
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
49
14
6
5
13
0
8
41
23-28
82%
20-48
42%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.