FinalWin Prob.pScore
2937%94
101
2663%98
112
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
105.296103.4
MIA logo MIA
121.79285.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Pachulia 15' Turnaround Jump Shot101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)101
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Giricek Layup101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)101
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)101
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)101
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 2101
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 1:00ORLMISS Gooden Layup101
1.6%
107
98.4%
Q4 - 1:11MIAOdom Layup (19 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)101
3.0%
107
97.0%
Q4 - 1:27MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
5.7%
105
94.3%
Q4 - 1:29ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot101
7.0%
105
93.0%
Q4 - 1:53MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)101
11.6%
105
88.4%
Q4 - 1:53MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)101
12.4%
104
87.6%
Q4 - 2:12ORLGooden 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS)101
16.5%
103
83.5%
Q4 - 2:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)99
13.3%
103
86.7%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
11.0%
103
89.0%
Q4 - 2:52ORLHoward Layup (22 PTS)99
8.6%
103
91.4%
Q4 - 3:05ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)97
6.6%
103
93.4%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Odom Layup97
5.6%
103
94.4%
Q4 - 3:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 3:23ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot97
4.4%
103
95.6%
Q4 - 3:40MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)97
8.4%
103
91.6%
Q4 - 3:40MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)97
9.0%
102
91.0%
Q4 - 3:57ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)97
11.2%
101
88.8%
Q4 - 3:57ORLGooden Finger Roll (26 PTS)96
8.0%
101
92.0%
Q4 - 4:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
5.7%
101
94.3%
Q4 - 4:05ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 4:12ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)94
5.7%
101
94.3%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot94
5.0%
101
95.0%
Q4 - 4:36ORLMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)94
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 4:46MIAOdom 4' Hook Shot (15 PTS)91
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 5:04ORLGiricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 10 AST)91
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 5:12ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot88
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 5:35ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Giricek 3 AST)88
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 5:45MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)85
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 5:59MIAHEAT Rebound85
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Odom Layup85
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 6:17ORLGiricek 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 6:27ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Butler Layup83
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:51ORLMISS Giricek 20' Jump Shot83
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 7:14MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)83
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 7:36ORLOdom STEAL (1 STL)83
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 7:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 8:15ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 8:15ORLGooden Tip Shot (24 PTS)83
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 8:16ORLMISS Gooden Layup81
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 8:35MIAOdom Finger Roll (13 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)81
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 8:52ORLGooden 7' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)81
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q4 - 9:00ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 9:29ORLStrickland 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 9 AST)79
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 9:41MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T8)77
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 9:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 9:47ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 10:05MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 10:05MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 10:26ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)77
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 10:45MIAAlston Layup (17 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)77
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 10:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 11:00ORLMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot77
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 11:16MIAOdom 7' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)77
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 11:30MIAHEAT Rebound77
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 11:31ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup77
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 11:37ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Odom 15' Turnaround Jump Shot77
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL77
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound77
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWoods Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)77
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot77
5.8%
88
94.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)77
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot77
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
8.6%
86
91.4%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 276
8.4%
86
91.6%
Q3 - 1:38ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
8.2%
86
91.8%
Q3 - 2:00ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q3 - 2:00ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
7.0%
86
93.0%
Q3 - 2:00ORLMagic Rebound74
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q3 - 2:01ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot74
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q3 - 2:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
6.6%
86
93.4%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q3 - 2:28ORLGooden Layup (20 PTS)74
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q3 - 2:29ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q3 - 2:31ORLWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)72
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q3 - 2:43MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)72
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q3 - 2:56ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)72
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 2:56ORLHoward Layup (17 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)71
4.5%
84
95.5%
Q3 - 3:03ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Woods 6' Hook Shot69
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q3 - 3:25ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 3:25ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 268
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q3 - 3:25ORLMagic Rebound68
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Alston Layup68
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q3 - 3:27MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup68
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q3 - 3:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 3:51ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot68
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 4:00ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot68
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q3 - 4:19ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q3 - 4:19ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 4:29MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)66
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 4:49ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)66
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q3 - 4:57ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot63
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 5:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 5:12ORLMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot63
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 5:21ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Walker 7' Hook Shot63
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot63
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 5:49MIAHEAT Rebound63
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 5:50ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 5:57MIAAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)63
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 6:17ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 6:25MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)60
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 6:41ORLGooden Layup (18 PTS)60
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIAGrant 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)58
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot58
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 7:23ORLHoward 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)58
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 7:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot56
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 7:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 7:49ORLMISS Bogans 14' Jump Shot56
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 8:12MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 8:20ORLAlston STEAL (3 STL)56
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 8:32MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T4)56
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 8:35ORLAlston STEAL (2 STL)56
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 8:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 8:44ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 8:52MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)56
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 9:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 9:12ORLMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot56
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 9:16ORLMagic Rebound56
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 9:18ORLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot56
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 9:28ORLMagic Rebound56
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 9:29ORLMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot56
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 9:51MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)56
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 10:15ORLGooden 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)56
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 10:24MIAJones 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS)54
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 10:37ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 10:37ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 253
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 10:46MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)53
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 10:58ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 11:13MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)50
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 11:13MIAButler Layup (11 PTS)50
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 11:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot50
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 11:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Butler Layup50
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 11:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot50
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 11:47ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 11:47ORLHoward Layup (12 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)49
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)47
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot47
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Pachulia Layup47
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 247
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot47
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q2 - 1:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot47
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q2 - 1:22ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q2 - 1:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMagic Rebound45
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q2 - 1:23ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q2 - 1:39MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)45
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q2 - 2:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q2 - 2:06ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q2 - 2:08ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q2 - 2:11ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot45
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q2 - 2:12ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot45
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q2 - 2:32MIAJones Driving Layup (16 PTS)45
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q2 - 2:39ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)45
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q2 - 2:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot45
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q2 - 3:04ORLDeClercq Tip Shot (2 PTS)45
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q2 - 3:05ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q2 - 3:07ORLMISS DeClercq Reverse Layup43
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 243
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Butler Tip Shot43
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Grant 15' Turnaround Jump Shot43
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q2 - 3:43ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)43
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q2 - 3:55MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)41
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 4:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
7.4%
57
92.6%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.9%
57
92.1%
Q2 - 4:17ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
7.3%
57
92.7%
Q2 - 4:17ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 240
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q2 - 4:21ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
7.3%
57
92.7%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot40
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q2 - 4:30MIAHEAT Rebound40
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q2 - 4:49ORLHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)40
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q2 - 4:58ORLMagic Rebound38
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q2 - 4:59ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 238
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q2 - 4:59ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q2 - 5:03MIAColes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)37
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q2 - 5:15ORLGooden 6' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)37
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 5:34MIAColes 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)35
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 5:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot35
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q2 - 6:13ORLGooden 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)35
5.2%
55
94.8%
Q2 - 6:34MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)33
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 6:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 6:42ORLMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 7:00MIAButler Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)33
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q2 - 7:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 7:08ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot33
7.9%
50
92.1%
Q2 - 7:21MIAButler Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)33
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q2 - 7:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 7:37ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)33
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 7:37ORLGooden Layup (8 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)32
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q2 - 7:45ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
7.7%
48
92.3%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Butler Layup30
7.4%
48
92.6%
Q2 - 8:00MIAHEAT Rebound30
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q2 - 8:01ORLMISS Gooden 11' Jump Shot30
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 8:24MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)30
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 8:45MIAHEAT Rebound30
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q2 - 8:46ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot30
8.9%
46
91.1%
Q2 - 8:56ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Butler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot30
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 9:12ORLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
8.9%
46
91.1%
Q2 - 9:17MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 9:25ORLAllen STEAL (1 STL)27
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 9:38ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Butler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot27
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 9:55MIAHEAT Rebound27
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 9:57ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 3 of 327
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 9:57ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)27
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 9:57ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 326
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 10:03MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)26
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 10:16ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 10:16ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 10:33MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)24
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 10:36MIAHEAT Rebound24
6.3%
44
93.7%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Allen 13' Hook Shot24
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 10:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
6.3%
44
93.7%
Q2 - 10:49ORLMISS Gooden Layup24
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 11:00MIAWalker 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)24
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 11:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q2 - 11:14ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot24
8.0%
42
92.0%
Q2 - 11:29MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 11:46MIAHEAT Rebound24
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 11:48ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot24
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLWalker STEAL (1 STL)24
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)24
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)22
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q1 - 1:04ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)19
9.5%
36
90.5%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)19
9.7%
35
90.3%
Q1 - 1:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q1 - 1:26ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot19
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q1 - 1:44MIAWalker 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Alston 10' Running Jump Shot19
13.1%
32
86.9%
Q1 - 2:04ORLStrickland Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)19
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q1 - 2:14MIAJones Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)19
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q1 - 2:31ORLStrickland 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q1 - 2:36ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.6%
30
86.4%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot17
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q1 - 2:50ORLAlston STEAL (1 STL)17
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q1 - 3:19MIAOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q1 - 3:44ORLGooden 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)17
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q1 - 4:06MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)17
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 4:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 4:18ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q1 - 4:25ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Butler Layup17
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q1 - 4:51ORLGooden 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 5:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup15
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q1 - 5:17MIAJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)15
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q1 - 5:29ORLGooden 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)15
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 5:42ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 5:44ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot13
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q1 - 5:58MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q1 - 6:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Butler Layup13
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 6:16ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 6:16ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 6:19ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 6:21ORLMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot11
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 6:50MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
22.3%
17
77.7%
Q1 - 6:52ORLMISS Giricek 16' Jump Shot11
22.8%
17
77.2%
Q1 - 7:03MIAOdom 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)11
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q1 - 7:22ORLMcGrady Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
25.5%
15
74.5%
Q1 - 7:40MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)11
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 7:59ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)11
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 8:06MIAOdom 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 8:23ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
30.1%
10
69.9%
Q1 - 8:30ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
31.9%
10
68.1%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 8:51ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 19
30.3%
10
69.7%
Q1 - 8:51ORLMcGrady Finger Roll (2 PTS)9
30.1%
10
69.9%
Q1 - 9:04MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)7
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 9:28ORLGiricek Reverse Layup (2 PTS)7
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 9:37MIAButler Layup (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)5
30.2%
7
69.8%
Q1 - 9:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 9:47ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 9:52ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot5
32.8%
5
67.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 10:10ORLMISS Lue 13' Jump Shot5
31.9%
5
68.1%
Q1 - 10:19MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 25
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 10:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 10:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 10:52MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)3
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 11:07ORLLue 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)3
34.8%
1
65.2%
Q1 - 11:22ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.4%
1
68.6%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 20
31.2%
1
68.8%
Q1 - 11:24MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
30.1%
1
69.9%
Q1 - 11:31ORLDeClercq Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 11:39ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. DeClercq: Tip to Odom0
31.5%
0
68.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
21
57%
MIA
11
23
48%
Midrange
ORL
13
38
34%
MIA
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
MIA
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
24
32
75%
MIA
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gooden2960%14.5 / 24
T. McGrady2246%11.0 / 24
J. Howard2255%11.0 / 20
K. Bogans964%4.5 / 7
G. Giricek735%3.5 / 10
T. Lue675%3.0 / 4
R. Strickland450%2.0 / 4
A. DeClercq250%1.0 / 2
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones3366%16.5 / 25
L. Odom1968%9.5 / 14
R. Alston1869%9.0 / 13
M. Allen1454%7.0 / 13
C. Butler1233%6.0 / 18
S. Walker550%2.5 / 5
R. Butler542%2.5 / 6
B. Grant450%2.0 / 4
B. Coles2100%1.0 / 1
L. Woods0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+15
-13
98
MIA
83
+19
-9
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.3
99.3
ORL 105.2
MIA 121.7 +16.5
Pace
93.1
90.6
ORL 103.4 +17.5
MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.0
ORL 13.9 +2.8
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
46.3%
ORL 48.7%
MIA 52.8% +4.1%
TO %
13.8%
14.4%
ORL 12.3%
MIA 8.4% +3.9%
ORB %
28.1%
27.5%
ORL 25.0%
MIA 34.9% +9.9%
FTrt
29.6
29.8
ORL 40.5 +13.2
MIA 27.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.5%
57.3%
ORL 44.1%
MIA 70.7% +26.6%
STL %
7.1%
7.9%
ORL 7.3%
MIA 7.6% +0.3%
BLK %
5.6%
6.3%
ORL 4.5% +1.1%
MIA 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.1%
48.3%
ORL 51.5%
MIA 54.4% +2.9%
Rim FG%
52.9%
53.9%
ORL 57.1% +9.3%
MIA 47.8%
Mid FG%
40.2%
36.9%
ORL 34.2%
MIA 44.2% +10.0%
3P %
34.4%
35.7%
ORL 45.0%
MIA 50.0% +5.0%
FT %
73.7%
76.2%
ORL 75.0%
MIA 79.2% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.7%
34.4%
ORL 26.6% +0.4%
MIA 26.1%
Mid Att. %
51.8%
44.5%
ORL 48.1% +0.8%
MIA 48.9%
3P Att. %
18.4%
21.1%
ORL 25.3% +0.3%
MIA 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9692
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points101112
Rebounds3742
Assists1529
Steals77
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)27 (6)
Field Goals34-7941-88
At-the-Rim FG12-2111-23
Midrange FG13-3819-43
2-Point FG25-5930-66
3-Point FG9-2011-22
Free Throws24-3219-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 25
46.7
22
46%
5
10
1
2
6
1
1
4
8-12
67%
1-6
17%
4-12
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
40.6
22
55%
8
2
1
1
0
4
2
6
8-8
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 27
34.6
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
F · 6'6" 220 · 27
26.3
7
35%
1
3
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 255 · 31
16.4
2
50%
4
0
1
0
1
5
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 22
36.6
29
60%
11
0
2
0
3
4
3
8
5-6
83%
12-20
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24
23.1
9
64%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 185 · 37
13.4
4
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 20
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 201 · 29
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
C · 6'11" 290 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
52%
37
15
7
3
13
0
9
28
24-32
75%
25-59
42%
9-20
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.