FinalWin Prob.pScore
2842%92
90
2758%94
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.18990.8
CHI logo CHI
94.38886.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI90
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)88
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIMISS Gill 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
98.3%
83
1.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIHinrich Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)86
97.0%
83
3.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
89.7%
83
10.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
88.1%
83
11.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)84
80.3%
83
19.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
74.4%
83
25.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)84
53.4%
83
46.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot84
59.5%
83
40.5%
Q4 - 1:01CHIGill 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)84
68.6%
83
31.4%
Q4 - 1:13MIAButler 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)84
85.3%
80
14.7%
Q4 - 1:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
75.3%
80
24.7%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
66.9%
80
33.1%
Q4 - 2:01CHICrawford 20' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)82
74.4%
80
25.6%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)82
79.2%
78
20.8%
Q4 - 2:50CHIWilliams Finger Roll (14 PTS)80
75.1%
78
24.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
77.0%
76
23.0%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)79
75.9%
76
24.1%
Q4 - 3:19CHIWilliams 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)78
72.3%
76
27.7%
Q4 - 3:32CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)78
73.8%
74
26.2%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 278
74.9%
74
25.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
78.9%
74
21.1%
Q4 - 3:52CHIDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
74.8%
74
25.2%
Q4 - 3:52CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
76.2%
73
23.8%
Q4 - 3:52CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)77
80.9%
72
19.1%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Alston Layup77
82.7%
72
17.3%
Q4 - 3:57CHICrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)77
86.3%
72
13.7%
Q4 - 4:01CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)77
81.0%
72
19.0%
Q4 - 4:04CHIMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot77
84.9%
72
15.1%
Q4 - 4:10CHIGill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
81.1%
72
18.9%
Q4 - 4:12CHIMISS Crawford 15' Jump Shot77
85.0%
72
15.0%
Q4 - 4:32MIAOdom 7' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)77
81.3%
72
18.7%
Q4 - 4:48CHICrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
75.4%
72
24.6%
Q4 - 4:48CHIMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 275
76.4%
71
23.6%
Q4 - 4:54CHIGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
75.0%
71
25.0%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot75
77.3%
71
22.7%
Q4 - 5:14CHIWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)75
78.0%
71
22.0%
Q4 - 5:35MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)75
71.6%
71
28.4%
Q4 - 5:53CHIGill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)72
56.7%
71
43.3%
Q4 - 6:06CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
46.6%
71
53.4%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
49.3%
71
50.7%
Q4 - 6:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
55.4%
71
44.6%
Q4 - 6:29CHIMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot72
52.7%
71
47.3%
Q4 - 6:32CHIGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
46.7%
71
53.3%
Q4 - 6:34CHIMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
52.7%
71
47.3%
Q4 - 6:38CHIGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
46.7%
71
53.3%
Q4 - 6:41CHIMISS Williams Layup72
52.8%
71
47.2%
Q4 - 6:57CHIGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
46.7%
71
53.3%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
49.4%
71
50.6%
Q4 - 7:21CHIDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
54.3%
71
45.7%
Q4 - 7:21CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
55.6%
70
44.4%
Q4 - 7:40MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)72
60.2%
69
39.8%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
46.6%
69
53.4%
Q4 - 8:04CHIMISS Blount 14' Jump Shot69
44.6%
69
55.4%
Q4 - 8:18CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
40.2%
69
59.8%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 5' Fadeaway Jumper69
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q4 - 8:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
46.7%
69
53.3%
Q4 - 8:37CHIMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot69
44.7%
69
55.3%
Q4 - 8:43CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
40.2%
69
59.8%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q4 - 8:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
46.7%
69
53.3%
Q4 - 8:56CHIMISS Curry 9' Jump Shot69
44.7%
69
55.3%
Q4 - 8:59CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
40.2%
69
59.8%
Q4 - 9:01CHIMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot69
44.5%
69
55.5%
Q4 - 9:13MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
40.2%
69
59.8%
Q4 - 9:13MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
38.5%
69
61.5%
Q4 - 9:31CHIBlount 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)67
34.8%
69
65.2%
Q4 - 9:48CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
40.2%
67
59.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 267
41.0%
67
59.0%
Q4 - 9:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)67
44.9%
67
55.1%
Q4 - 10:11CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Crawford 12 AST)66
40.5%
67
59.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)66
51.3%
64
48.7%
Q4 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
40.5%
64
59.5%
Q4 - 10:58CHIMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot63
38.7%
64
61.3%
Q4 - 11:10CHIBULLS Rebound63
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
36.7%
64
63.3%
Q4 - 11:34CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 163
39.7%
64
60.3%
Q4 - 11:34CHICurry Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Crawford 11 AST)63
40.4%
64
59.6%
Q4 - 11:38MIACrawford STEAL (2 STL)63
45.5%
62
54.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
51.2%
62
48.8%
Q4 - 11:44CHIMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
49.4%
62
50.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI63
45.5%
62
54.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)63
45.5%
62
54.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot63
47.2%
62
52.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
50.6%
62
49.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Williams Dunk63
49.0%
62
51.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)63
45.5%
62
54.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Alston 12' Jump Shot63
47.0%
62
53.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0CHICrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)63
50.6%
62
49.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)63
45.5%
62
54.5%
Q3 - 1:14CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)61
40.5%
62
59.5%
Q3 - 1:38CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
35.7%
62
64.3%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 261
36.3%
62
63.7%
Q3 - 1:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 2:00CHICurry Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Crawford 10 AST)60
35.8%
62
64.2%
Q3 - 2:20MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)60
39.8%
60
60.2%
Q3 - 2:37CHICurry 5' Hook Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)58
35.8%
60
64.2%
Q3 - 2:51MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)58
39.8%
58
60.2%
Q3 - 3:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
36.1%
58
63.9%
Q3 - 3:05CHIMISS Gill 13' Jump Shot56
34.8%
58
65.2%
Q3 - 3:22MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)56
31.8%
58
68.2%
Q3 - 3:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)56
36.0%
58
64.0%
Q3 - 3:42CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 256
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q3 - 3:42CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 256
33.1%
58
66.9%
Q3 - 3:57CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
31.8%
58
68.2%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
33.0%
58
67.0%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound56
36.2%
58
63.8%
Q3 - 4:17CHIMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot56
34.8%
58
65.2%
Q3 - 4:20CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)56
31.7%
58
68.3%
Q3 - 4:22CHIMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
34.8%
58
65.2%
Q3 - 4:29CHIGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
31.7%
58
68.3%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMISS Butler Layup56
33.0%
58
67.0%
Q3 - 4:38CHIGill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)56
36.2%
58
63.8%
Q3 - 4:50CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)56
31.7%
58
68.3%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot56
33.0%
58
67.0%
Q3 - 5:12CHIGill 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Crawford 9 AST)56
36.2%
58
63.8%
Q3 - 5:26MIAOdom 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)56
39.8%
56
60.2%
Q3 - 5:46CHIHinrich 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Crawford 8 AST)54
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q3 - 6:00MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)54
39.8%
54
60.2%
Q3 - 6:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)52
36.2%
54
63.8%
Q3 - 6:18CHIMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 252
35.7%
54
64.3%
Q3 - 6:18CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
33.3%
54
66.7%
Q3 - 6:30MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q3 - 6:30MIAOdom Layup (17 PTS)52
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS Butler Layup50
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q3 - 6:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
32.6%
53
67.4%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Butler Layup50
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q3 - 6:38CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)50
32.6%
53
67.4%
Q3 - 6:41CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
28.9%
53
71.1%
Q3 - 6:43MIAGill BLOCK (1 BLK)50
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q3 - 6:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
32.6%
53
67.4%
Q3 - 6:52CHIMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
31.5%
53
68.5%
Q3 - 7:06MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)50
28.9%
53
71.1%
Q3 - 7:30CHIHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Crawford 7 AST)48
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 148
32.7%
50
67.3%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
32.2%
50
67.8%
Q3 - 7:59CHIGill 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Crawford 6 AST)46
29.3%
50
70.7%
Q3 - 8:20MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)46
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q3 - 8:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Jones Layup44
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q3 - 8:29MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q3 - 8:30CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)44
26.2%
48
73.8%
Q3 - 8:30CHIMISS Davis Tip Shot44
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q3 - 8:31CHIMISS Davis Layup44
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q3 - 8:33CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
26.2%
48
73.8%
Q3 - 8:34CHIMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot44
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q3 - 8:50CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)44
26.2%
48
73.8%
Q3 - 8:52CHIMISS Hinrich Layup44
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q3 - 9:14MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)44
26.5%
48
73.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAJones Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)42
23.8%
48
76.2%
Q3 - 9:37CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)41
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q3 - 9:55MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)41
26.5%
45
73.5%
Q3 - 10:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q3 - 10:06CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot38
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q3 - 10:30MIAOdom Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)38
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q3 - 10:46CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)36
17.3%
45
82.7%
Q3 - 10:47CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)36
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q3 - 10:49CHIMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot36
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q3 - 11:08CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
15.7%
45
84.3%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Wade Layup36
16.3%
45
83.7%
Q3 - 11:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q3 - 11:26CHIMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot36
17.0%
45
83.0%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)35
13.9%
45
86.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA33
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHICrawford Backcourt Turnover (P2.T6)33
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)33
10.9%
45
89.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
11.9%
45
88.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIMISS Davis Tip Shot33
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIMISS Brunson Layup33
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)33
11.8%
45
88.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHIBrunson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
9.0%
45
91.0%
Q2 - 1:05MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)30
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 1:16CHIDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 1:16CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 1:19CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)28
8.8%
43
91.2%
Q2 - 1:22CHIMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWade Reverse Dunk (4 PTS)28
8.8%
43
91.2%
Q2 - 2:22CHICrawford Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)26
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 2:26MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)26
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 2:48CHICrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)26
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 3:05MIAOdom Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 3:18CHIMISS Jefferies 20' Jump Shot24
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)24
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 3:33MIAOdom Driving Layup (7 PTS)23
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 3:49CHIWilliams Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)21
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 4:00CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Jones Layup21
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 4:13CHIDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 4:13CHIMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 221
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 4:22CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q2 - 4:24CHIMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot21
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 4:38MIAWalker Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)21
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q2 - 4:51MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q2 - 4:54CHIMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot19
9.9%
35
90.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIACrawford STEAL (1 STL)19
9.5%
35
90.5%
Q2 - 5:22CHIDavis 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)19
10.6%
35
89.4%
Q2 - 5:30CHIBULLS Rebound19
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 5:32CHIMISS Gill Layup19
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 5:39CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Walker Layup19
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Odom Layup19
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 6:01CHIMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot19
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 6:08CHIBULLS Rebound19
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 6:08CHIMISS Gill Layup19
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 6:25MIAOdom 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q2 - 6:55CHIGill 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)17
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 7:04CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup17
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 7:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)17
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q2 - 7:21CHIMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot17
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q2 - 7:33CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 7:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Grant Layup17
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 14' Jump Shot17
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 8:10CHIRobinson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q2 - 8:32CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 8:34CHIMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot17
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q2 - 8:42MIABlount STEAL (1 STL)17
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 8:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot17
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q2 - 9:21CHICurry Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)17
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q2 - 9:34CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.8%
27
81.2%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Alston Layup17
19.4%
27
80.6%
Q2 - 9:54CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)17
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 10:00CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q2 - 10:01CHIMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 217
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q2 - 10:01CHIMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 217
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q2 - 10:05CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q2 - 10:18MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q2 - 10:19CHIMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot17
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q2 - 10:44CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 217
24.4%
24
75.6%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 217
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q2 - 11:20CHICurry Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)17
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q2 - 11:38CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.0%
22
72.0%
Q2 - 11:40MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)17
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI17
30.1%
22
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
28.0%
22
72.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHIGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHIMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 214
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)14
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHIMISS Robinson 22' Jump Shot11
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 1:05CHIGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Walker Layup11
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 1:27CHIWilliams Layup (8 PTS) (Brunson 2 AST)11
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 1:39MIABrunson STEAL (1 STL)11
23.0%
19
77.0%
Q1 - 1:46CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 1:46CHICurry Layup (2 PTS) (Brunson 1 AST)11
26.1%
18
73.9%
Q1 - 1:51CHIBrunson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot11
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 2:02CHIRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)11
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 2:15CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 2:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 2:26CHIMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot11
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 2:39CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)11
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 2:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot11
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade Layup11
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 3:04CHIDavis Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 3:07CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)11
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 3:09CHIMISS Davis Layup11
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 3:16CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)11
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Odom Layup11
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 3:23CHIRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 3:40CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot11
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 3:58CHIBrunson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 4:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 111
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 4:19MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 4:21CHIMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot9
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 4:27CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Layup9
29.2%
14
70.8%
Q1 - 4:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 4:37CHIMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot9
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 4:56MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)9
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 5:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
27.4%
14
72.6%
Q1 - 5:07CHIMISS Crawford 14' Jump Shot7
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 5:12CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)7
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 5:21MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
27.4%
14
72.6%
Q1 - 5:22CHIMISS Williams Layup7
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)7
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 5:53CHIWilliams 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)7
27.4%
14
72.6%
Q1 - 6:11MIAOdom Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 6:25CHIRobinson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)5
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 6:44CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 25
29.4%
10
70.6%
Q1 - 6:45MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 6:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 6:57CHIMISS Gill 12' Jump Shot4
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 7:22MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)4
28.0%
10
72.0%
Q1 - 7:38CHIWilliams Layup (4 PTS)2
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 8:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 8:13CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)0
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 8:41CHIDavis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)0
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 8:51CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Odom 6' Jump Shot0
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 9:11CHIGill Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 9:25CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Butler Layup0
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 9:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Wade Layup0
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 9:35CHICrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 9:47CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot0
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 10:03CHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 10:03CHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
33.5%
3
66.5%
Q1 - 10:16CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot0
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:27CHIMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 10:47CHIBULLS Rebound0
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Grant Layup0
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 11:08CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 11:30CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:54CHIMISS Gill Layup0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Davis vs. Grant: Tip to Gill0
38.0%
0
62.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
CHI
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
35
34%
CHI
11
24
46%
Midrange
MIA
14
26
54%
CHI
15
42
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
CHI
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
17
25
68%
CHI
13
22
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2560%12.5 / 21
B. Grant1869%9.0 / 13
E. Jones1250%6.0 / 12
R. Butler11110%5.5 / 5
D. Wade1036%5.0 / 14
R. Alston836%4.0 / 11
S. Walker440%2.0 / 5
C. Butler211%1.0 / 9
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Hinrich1689%8.0 / 9
J. Williams1464%7.0 / 11
A. Davis1441%7.0 / 17
E. Curry1372%6.5 / 9
K. Gill1240%6.0 / 15
J. Crawford824%4.0 / 17
E. Robinson422%2.0 / 9
C. Blount250%1.0 / 2
R. Brunson0-0.0 / 1
C. Jefferies0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+10
-9
90
CHI
75
+19
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
CHI
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
94.7
MIA 101.1
CHI 94.3 +6.8
Pace
90.6
94.2
MIA 90.8 +4.4
CHI 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.3
MIA 15.9 +0.8
CHI 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
44.6%
MIA 46.8% +3.6%
CHI 43.2%
TO %
14.4%
16.1%
MIA 10.1% +4.1%
CHI 14.2%
ORB %
27.5%
28.1%
MIA 20.0%
CHI 32.7% +12.7%
FTrt
29.8
27.2
MIA 32.1 +4.9
CHI 27.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
64.1%
MIA 81.8% +0.5%
CHI 81.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.5%
MIA 7.9%
CHI 9.1% +1.2%
BLK %
6.3%
7.4%
MIA 6.1% +1.2%
CHI 4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
46.3%
MIA 47.9% +5.6%
CHI 42.3%
Rim FG%
53.9%
51.5%
MIA 34.3%
CHI 45.8% +11.5%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.7%
MIA 53.8% +18.1%
CHI 35.7%
3P %
35.7%
34.2%
MIA 41.2% +1.2%
CHI 40.0%
FT %
76.2%
72.6%
MIA 68.0% +8.9%
CHI 59.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
31.7%
MIA 44.9% +15.2%
CHI 29.6%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
49.7%
MIA 33.3% +18.5%
CHI 51.9%
3P Att. %
21.1%
18.6%
MIA 21.8% +3.3%
CHI 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points9083
Rebounds4356
Assists2726
Steals78
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)40 (2)
Field Goals33-7832-81
At-the-Rim FG12-3511-24
Midrange FG14-2615-42
2-Point FG26-6126-66
3-Point FG7-176-15
Free Throws17-2513-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
43.8
25
60%
13
8
2
1
2
2
2
11
3-5
60%
8-14
57%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
35.9
10
36%
4
8
0
0
3
1
1
3
2-6
33%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
33.1
12
50%
2
4
2
1
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
31.0
18
69%
12
1
2
1
0
3
3
9
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
24.2
2
11%
3
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-9
11%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
27.6
8
36%
0
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
23.3
11
110%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
13.3
4
40%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 26
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
48%
43
27
7
4
9
0
10
33
17-25
68%
26-61
43%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.