FinalWin Prob.pScore
1420%89
74
280%100
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
78.79498.2
SAS logo SAS
95.79389.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL74
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASParker 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)74
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Turkoglu 17' Turnaround Jump Shot74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILMISS Mason 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MILMISS Redd 16' Turnaround Jump Shot74
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)74
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 274
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25MILMISS Gadzuric 1' Follow Up Dunk73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Kukoc 1' Driving Layup73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38SASParker 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)73
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:58MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 1:58MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 2:11SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)71
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 2:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 2:28MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot71
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 2:35MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 2:37SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot71
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 2:58MILMason 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)71
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 3:13MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot69
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 3:32MILGinobili STEAL (3 STL)69
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 3:35MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 3:37SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot69
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 3:58MILGadzuric 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)69
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 4:12MILBucks Rebound67
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 4:14SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot67
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 4:38MILRedd 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)67
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 4:57SASTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 5:06SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 5:08MILParker BLOCK (1 BLK)65
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 5:25SASGinobili 2' Reverse Dunk (25 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)65
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 5:41SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 5:43MILNesterovic BLOCK (4 BLK)65
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 5:57SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)65
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 5:57SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 265
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 5:59MILGinobili STEAL (2 STL)65
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q4 - 6:00MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 6:03SASMISS Turkoglu 4' Driving Layup65
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 6:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 6:08SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 6:22SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 6:24SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 6:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 6:38MILMISS Thomas 13' Turnaround Jump Shot65
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 6:53SASGinobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)65
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 7:08MILKukoc Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)65
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q4 - 7:15MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 265
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 265
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q4 - 7:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q4 - 7:31MILMISS Skinner 6' Jump Shot65
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q4 - 7:48SASTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)65
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q4 - 7:51SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q4 - 7:54MILMISS Kukoc 3' Jump Shot65
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q4 - 8:11SASNesterovic 7' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)65
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q4 - 8:27SASSPURS Rebound65
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q4 - 8:27MILMISS Thomas 3' Layup65
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 8:44MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot65
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q4 - 8:59SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q4 - 9:02MILMISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot65
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q4 - 9:30SASGinobili 13' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)65
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q4 - 9:34SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q4 - 9:35SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot65
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q4 - 10:01MILJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q4 - 10:15SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)63
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q4 - 10:40MILSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q4 - 10:50MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q4 - 10:52MILMISS Skinner 19' Jump Shot61
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q4 - 11:19MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q4 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot61
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q4 - 11:43MILMason 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)61
8.5%
66
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL59
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound59
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hart 16' Jump Shot59
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)59
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot59
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILMason 1' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)59
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILMISS Skinner 10' Turnaround Jump Shot57
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 257
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 257
4.2%
66
95.8%
Q3 - 1:03MILMason 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)57
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 1:12MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 1:14SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 1:33MILRedd Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)55
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 1:48SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)55
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 2:00SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 2:01MILMISS Ford 3' Driving Finger Roll55
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 2:22MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 2:24SASMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot55
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 2:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 2:41SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 255
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 2:41SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 2:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)55
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 2:58MILMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot55
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 3:08MILBucks Rebound55
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 3:09MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot55
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 3:14MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 3:17MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 3:17MILMISS Skinner 1' Layup55
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 3:19MILHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)55
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 3:31SASDuncan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)55
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 3:43MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)55
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 3:43MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)54
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 3:58MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
5.7%
62
94.3%
Q3 - 4:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 253
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q3 - 4:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 253
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 4:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 4:17MILMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot53
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 4:23MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 4:25SASMISS Ginobili 18' Turnaround Jump Shot53
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 4:56MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Santiago 2 AST)53
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 5:15SASBowen 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)50
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 5:31SASSPURS Rebound50
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 5:31MILMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot50
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 5:55SASNesterovic Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T15)50
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 6:06MILSantiago Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 6:06MILSantiago Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 6:33SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)48
3.9%
60
96.1%
Q3 - 6:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 6:37SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot48
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 6:59SASSPURS Rebound48
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 7:00MILMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot48
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q3 - 7:10MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
6.4%
57
93.6%
Q3 - 7:13SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot48
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 7:20SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 7:22MILMISS Ford 8' Running Jump Shot48
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q3 - 7:37MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
6.4%
57
93.6%
Q3 - 7:39SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot48
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 7:55MILFord 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q3 - 8:17MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 246
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 246
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 8:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)46
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 8:27MILMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot46
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 8:39SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T14)46
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 8:54MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)46
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 9:02MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 9:03SASMISS Ginobili 13' Fadeaway Jumper43
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q3 - 9:21MILThomas 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Santiago 1 AST)43
2.8%
57
97.2%
Q3 - 9:32MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
2.4%
57
97.6%
Q3 - 9:34SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot41
2.3%
57
97.7%
Q3 - 9:46MILSantiago 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)41
2.1%
57
97.9%
Q3 - 10:05SASNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)39
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q3 - 10:23MILSantiago Foul Turnover (P1.T11)39
1.6%
57
98.4%
Q3 - 10:39SASNesterovic 8' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)39
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q3 - 10:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)39
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q3 - 10:55MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot39
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q3 - 11:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot39
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q3 - 11:22MILFord 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q3 - 11:43SASGinobili 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)37
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL37
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Shot37
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)37
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)34
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILDuncan STEAL (1 STL)34
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASDuncan 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)34
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILBowen STEAL (1 STL)34
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 1:11SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)34
2.5%
51
97.5%
Q2 - 1:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
3.0%
49
97.0%
Q2 - 1:20MILNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)34
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 1:41SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)34
3.2%
49
96.8%
Q2 - 2:03MILThomas 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)34
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 2:15MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 2:17SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 2:17SASMISS Nesterovic 3' Tip Shot32
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 2:19SASMISS Parker 2' Layup32
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 2:36MILThomas 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)32
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 2:41MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 2:43SASMISS Turkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot30
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 3:07MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)30
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 3:07MILBucks Rebound30
2.3%
49
97.7%
Q2 - 3:07MILDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)30
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 3:31MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
2.3%
49
97.7%
Q2 - 3:32SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
2.2%
49
97.8%
Q2 - 3:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)30
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 3:57MILDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)30
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 4:18SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 4:18SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
2.5%
48
97.5%
Q2 - 4:32MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)30
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 4:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
2.4%
47
97.6%
Q2 - 4:39MILRose BLOCK (1 BLK)28
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 5:00SASTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
2.4%
47
97.6%
Q2 - 5:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 5:10MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 5:15SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)28
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 5:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 5:19SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot28
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 5:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 5:27MILNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)28
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 5:46SASRose 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)28
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 5:49MILHart STEAL (1 STL)28
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 5:54SASTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)28
3.9%
43
96.1%
Q2 - 6:00MILTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)28
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 6:19SASGinobili 2' Layup (13 PTS)28
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 6:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
4.4%
41
95.6%
Q2 - 6:24MILNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)28
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 6:27SASTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)28
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 6:28SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
4.4%
41
95.6%
Q2 - 6:31MILMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot28
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 6:44SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)28
4.9%
41
95.1%
Q2 - 6:54SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
4.4%
41
95.6%
Q2 - 6:56MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot28
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 7:09SASTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 7:27SASSPURS Rebound28
5.7%
39
94.3%
Q2 - 7:28MILMISS Skinner 13' Jump Shot28
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 7:44SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)28
6.3%
39
93.7%
Q2 - 7:44SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q2 - 7:55MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
6.9%
37
93.1%
Q2 - 7:55MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
6.7%
37
93.3%
Q2 - 8:10SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 8:10SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)26
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 8:13MILTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)26
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q2 - 8:28MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
7.7%
35
92.3%
Q2 - 8:29SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 226
7.6%
35
92.4%
Q2 - 8:29SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)26
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)26
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Hart 15' Jump Shot26
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 8:52MILSkinner 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)26
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q2 - 9:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)24
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 9:18SASDuncan 2' Dunk (9 PTS)24
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 9:20SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot24
8.3%
32
91.7%
Q2 - 9:31SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q2 - 9:32MILMISS Skinner 15' Jump Shot24
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 9:54SASHart 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)24
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 10:05SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q2 - 10:07MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot24
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q2 - 10:13SASTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q2 - 10:19SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q2 - 10:20MILMISS Kukoc 18' Jump Shot24
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q2 - 10:40SASGinobili 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)24
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q2 - 10:57MILSkinner 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q2 - 11:10MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.2%
28
89.8%
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Duncan 7' Layup22
9.9%
28
90.1%
Q2 - 11:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)22
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q2 - 11:26MILMISS Skinner 6' Jump Shot22
9.6%
28
90.4%
Q2 - 11:44SASHorry 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)22
10.2%
28
89.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
12.1%
26
87.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Turkoglu 2' Layup22
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)20
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASMISS Turkoglu 1' Tip Shot20
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot20
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASBowen 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)20
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)20
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILMISS Redd 8' Running Jump Shot20
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q1 - 1:02MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 1:04SASMISS Turkoglu 5' Running Finger Roll20
11.7%
24
88.3%
Q1 - 1:18MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 1:33SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)18
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 1:40SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 1:42MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 1:50MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q1 - 1:52SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot18
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 2:08MILSkinner 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
12.1%
21
87.9%
Q1 - 2:19MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 2:21SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot16
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 2:37MILJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)16
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 2:51SASParker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)16
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 2:58SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 3:00MILMISS Jones 12' Running Jump Shot16
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 3:22MILBucks Rebound16
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Turkoglu 23' Jump Shot16
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q1 - 3:31SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 3:33MILMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot16
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 3:37MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 3:38MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot16
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 3:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)16
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 3:56SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)16
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 216
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 3:57SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 3:57SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 3:59SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot16
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 4:23MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
12.7%
18
87.3%
Q1 - 4:26MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 4:29MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)14
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:48SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 4:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 4:54MILMISS Santiago 13' Jump Bank Shot14
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 5:03SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 5:03SASNesterovic 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 5:07SASMISS Duncan 3' Dunk14
13.2%
16
86.8%
Q1 - 5:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 5:15MILMISS Santiago 7' Running Hook Shot14
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 5:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 5:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 5:40MILSantiago 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 5:55MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 5:56SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 212
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 5:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 6:13MILRedd 1' Layup (6 PTS)12
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 6:18SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
12.5%
13
87.5%
Q1 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 6:32MILMISS Redd 1' Driving Layup10
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 6:38MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.5%
13
87.5%
Q1 - 6:40SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot10
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 6:55MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)10
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 7:08SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
10.9%
13
89.1%
Q1 - 7:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
11.6%
11
88.4%
Q1 - 7:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 28
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 7:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 28
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 7:30MILSmith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)8
11.6%
11
88.4%
Q1 - 7:36MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 7:37MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot6
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 7:48MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 7:50SASMISS Parker 3' Layup6
10.6%
11
89.4%
Q1 - 7:56MILNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)6
10.1%
11
89.9%
Q1 - 8:09SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)6
10.7%
11
89.3%
Q1 - 8:09SASGinobili 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 8:18SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 8:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 8:31MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot6
12.5%
8
87.5%
Q1 - 8:44SASNesterovic Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 8:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 8:58MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
12.5%
8
87.5%
Q1 - 9:07SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 9:13MILParker STEAL (1 STL)6
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 9:25MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 9:27SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot6
12.7%
8
87.3%
Q1 - 9:36MILGinobili STEAL (1 STL)6
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 9:55SASParker 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 10:07MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 10:29SASGinobili 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)4
12.9%
6
87.1%
Q1 - 10:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 10:44MILMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot4
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 11:02SASGinobili 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 11:09MILThomas 13' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 11:21SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:21SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
14.8%
1
85.2%
Q1 - 11:39MILThomas 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Santiago: Tip to Ford0
14.5%
0
85.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.78 38.9%
SAS
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
8
22
36%
SAS
14
27
52%
Midrange
MIL
19
53
36%
SAS
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
SAS
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIL
11
12
92%
SAS
19
35
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2258%11.0 / 19
T. Thomas1350%6.5 / 13
D. Mason857%4.0 / 7
J. Smith638%3.0 / 8
T. Ford630%3.0 / 10
D. Santiago660%3.0 / 5
B. Skinner625%3.0 / 12
D. Gadzuric350%1.5 / 3
D. Jones217%1.0 / 6
T. Kukoc214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2563%12.5 / 20
T. Duncan1226%6.0 / 23
T. Parker1240%6.0 / 15
H. Turkoglu1238%6.0 / 16
R. Nesterovic1071%5.0 / 7
B. Bowen758%3.5 / 6
R. Horry5125%2.5 / 2
M. Rose467%2.0 / 3
J. Hart233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+13
-14
93
SAS
76
+17
-17
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.78 38.9%
SAS
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
100.0
MIL 78.7
SAS 95.7 +17.0
Pace
94.2
91.3
MIL 98.2 +8.9
SAS 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.0
MIL 14.7 +1.5
SAS 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
47.3%
MIL 37.5%
SAS 45.5% +8.0%
TO %
13.7%
15.4%
MIL 14.4% +1.1%
SAS 15.5%
ORB %
27.6%
29.5%
MIL 22.4%
SAS 34.0% +11.6%
FTrt
33.0
32.2
MIL 14.3
SAS 45.5 +31.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.0%
59.0%
MIL 53.3% +1.8%
SAS 51.5%
STL %
7.1%
8.8%
MIL 9.6%
SAS 10.8% +1.2%
BLK %
7.1%
9.9%
MIL 7.7%
SAS 14.7% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
48.6%
MIL 38.9%
SAS 46.8% +7.9%
Rim FG%
55.7%
57.6%
MIL 36.4%
SAS 51.9% +15.5%
Mid FG%
39.4%
37.0%
MIL 35.8%
SAS 39.5% +3.7%
3P %
35.0%
35.8%
MIL 33.3%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
77.5%
68.1%
MIL 91.7% +37.4%
SAS 54.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.8%
35.9%
MIL 26.2%
SAS 35.1% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
46.0%
46.4%
MIL 63.1%
SAS 49.4% +13.7%
3P Att. %
17.2%
17.7%
MIL 10.7%
SAS 15.6% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points7489
Rebounds4455
Assists1617
Steals910
Blocks511
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)17 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)38 (4)
Field Goals30-8433-77
At-the-Rim FG8-2214-27
Midrange FG19-5315-38
2-Point FG27-7529-65
3-Point FG3-94-12
Free Throws11-1219-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
42.1
22
58%
6
4
1
0
3
2
2
4
2-2
100%
7-16
44%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
32.1
13
50%
5
1
1
1
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
30.7
6
38%
8
0
1
4
1
1
4
4
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 21
29.1
6
30%
0
6
2
0
2
5
0
0
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 256 · 28
17.0
6
60%
6
2
0
0
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 28
22.4
6
25%
7
0
2
0
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
3-12
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 222 · 26
21.8
8
57%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
18.9
2
17%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 35
17.3
2
14%
2
0
1
0
3
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
8.5
3
50%
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
G · 6'3" 218 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
39%
44
16
9
5
14
0
11
33
11-12
92%
27-75
36%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.