FinalWin Prob.pScore
2612%87
83
388%102
98
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
93.38988.8
SAS logo SAS
110.18989.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS83
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLPachulia 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)83
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Jump Shot81
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Hunter 6' Jump Shot81
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39ORLBowen STEAL (3 STL)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASParker 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04ORLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27SASParker 11' Jump Shot (20 PTS)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52ORLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 3:07SASParker 1' Layup (18 PTS)81
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 3:12SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:14ORLMISS Giricek 14' Running Jump Shot81
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 3:36SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)81
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 3:53SASSPURS Rebound81
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 3:54SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot81
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 4:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 4:10ORLDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)81
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 4:17ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 4:18SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot81
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 4:34SASSPURS Rebound81
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 4:35SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 281
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 4:35SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 4:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)81
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 4:52ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 5:02SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)81
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)81
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 5:43ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 5:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 5:44SASMISS Ginobili 3' Tip Shot81
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 5:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 281
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 5:46SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)81
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 5:49ORLTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)81
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 6:08SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)81
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q4 - 6:34ORLGooden 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)81
10.1%
83
89.9%
Q4 - 6:47ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot79
7.2%
83
92.8%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMcGrady 2' Layup (24 PTS) (DeClercq 2 AST)79
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 7:19SASParker 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 7:43ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 7:59ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 8:01SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot75
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q4 - 8:13ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)75
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 8:41SASParker 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
5.4%
81
94.6%
Q4 - 9:02SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q4 - 9:04ORLMISS Gooden 5' Hook Shot75
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 9:40ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
8.8%
79
91.2%
Q4 - 9:41SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 275
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 9:41SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 275
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 9:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)75
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q4 - 9:44SASMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot75
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 9:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)75
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q4 - 9:51SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 275
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 9:51SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 9:58ORLDuncan STEAL (3 STL)75
8.7%
78
91.3%
Q4 - 10:13ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot75
10.4%
78
89.6%
Q4 - 10:32ORLGooden 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)75
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q4 - 10:46SASTurkoglu 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)73
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q4 - 11:10ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)73
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q4 - 11:35SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q4 - 11:35SASTurkoglu 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)70
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q4 - 11:38SASMISS Hart 18' Jump Shot70
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS70
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound70
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0ORLMagic Rebound70
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot70
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLBogans 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS)70
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLMagic Rebound68
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)68
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)68
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)68
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Lue 37' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 1:25SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)68
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 1:45SASSPURS Rebound68
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 1:47ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot68
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 2:03SASSPURS Rebound68
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 2:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 2:03SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 268
11.5%
70
88.5%
Q3 - 2:05ORLParker STEAL (2 STL)68
10.9%
70
89.1%
Q3 - 2:19ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q3 - 2:19SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 268
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 2:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
11.5%
70
88.5%
Q3 - 2:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)68
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q3 - 2:25ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.6%
69
86.4%
Q3 - 2:43SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)68
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 3:14ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS)68
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q3 - 3:27ORLMagic Rebound66
11.2%
69
88.8%
Q3 - 3:28SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot66
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 3:49ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)66
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 4:01ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 4:03ORLNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)64
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q3 - 4:21SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)64
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 4:42ORLLue 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)64
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 4:44ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 4:47SASMISS Turkoglu 3' Driving Layup62
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 4:54SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 4:56ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 4:59ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 5:01SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 5:01SASMISS Nesterovic 1' Layup62
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 5:03SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot62
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 5:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)62
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 5:15ORLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 5:29SASNesterovic 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)62
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 5:50ORLLue 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)62
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 6:09SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)60
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 6:27ORLGiricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)60
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 6:47SASParker 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)57
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 7:05SASSPURS Rebound57
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 7:07ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot57
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 7:22SASDuncan 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)57
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 7:46ORLStrickland 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 7:55SASNesterovic 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)55
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 8:09ORLHoward 3' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)55
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 8:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)53
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q3 - 8:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)53
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q3 - 8:54ORLGiricek 3' Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)53
10.5%
55
89.5%
Q3 - 8:58SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)51
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q3 - 9:17ORLHoward 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)51
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q3 - 9:25SASGinobili 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)49
6.9%
55
93.1%
Q3 - 9:32ORLDeClercq 1' Layup (8 PTS)49
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q3 - 9:33ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q3 - 9:34ORLMISS McGrady 7' Running Jump Shot47
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q3 - 9:37ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q3 - 9:41SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot47
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q3 - 10:04ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q3 - 10:04ORLDeClercq Layup (6 PTS)47
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q3 - 10:09ORLNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)45
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q3 - 10:27SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)45
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q3 - 10:30SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
6.7%
50
93.3%
Q3 - 10:32SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot45
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q3 - 10:53ORLGiricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)45
6.7%
50
93.3%
Q3 - 10:59ORLMagic Rebound42
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q3 - 11:00ORLMISS McGrady 18' Turnaround Jump Shot42
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q3 - 11:16ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q3 - 11:18SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot42
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q3 - 11:42ORLMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)42
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS40
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
3.4%
50
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Bogans 44' 3PT Jump Bank Shot40
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASDuncan 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)40
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)40
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot40
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASParker 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
5.1%
48
94.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 1:08SASRose 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)38
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 1:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 1:28SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 1:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 1:42ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot38
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 1:51ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 1:53SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot38
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 2:11ORLParker STEAL (1 STL)38
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 2:25SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)38
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 2:46ORLMcGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)38
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 2:59SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)36
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 3:04ORLDuncan STEAL (2 STL)36
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 3:15ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 3:16SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot36
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 3:32ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)36
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 3:32ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)35
4.8%
44
95.2%
Q2 - 3:37ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
4.4%
44
95.6%
Q2 - 3:39SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot34
4.2%
44
95.8%
Q2 - 3:57ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
3.9%
44
96.1%
Q2 - 4:16SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 4:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)32
3.2%
44
96.8%
Q2 - 4:20ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot32
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 4:32SASDuncan 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)32
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 4:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
3.9%
42
96.1%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 232
4.0%
42
96.0%
Q2 - 4:45ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 4:56ORLMagic Rebound31
3.9%
42
96.1%
Q2 - 4:57ORLMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
3.6%
42
96.4%
Q2 - 5:16SASParker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)31
4.0%
42
96.0%
Q2 - 5:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)31
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
4.5%
40
95.5%
Q2 - 5:36ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 5:37SASMISS Bowen 10' Running Jump Shot31
4.8%
40
95.2%
Q2 - 6:08ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 6:08ORLDeClercq 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)31
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 6:10ORLMISS McGrady 4' Running Jump Shot29
3.7%
40
96.3%
Q2 - 6:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)29
4.1%
40
95.9%
Q2 - 6:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)29
4.2%
39
95.8%
Q2 - 6:36ORLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)29
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 6:37ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 6:39ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot29
4.6%
38
95.4%
Q2 - 6:45ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 6:47SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot29
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 7:05ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)29
4.6%
38
95.4%
Q2 - 7:05ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)28
4.5%
38
95.5%
Q2 - 7:16SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)27
4.2%
38
95.8%
Q2 - 7:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
5.1%
35
94.9%
Q2 - 7:27ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot27
5.2%
35
94.8%
Q2 - 7:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
5.6%
35
94.4%
Q2 - 7:40SASMISS Nesterovic 11' Fadeaway Jumper27
5.5%
35
94.5%
Q2 - 7:57ORLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
5.1%
35
94.9%
Q2 - 8:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q2 - 8:12SASMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot25
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 8:22SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q2 - 8:24ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot25
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q2 - 8:57SASGinobili 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)25
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q2 - 9:13SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q2 - 9:15ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q2 - 9:18ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q2 - 9:20SASMISS Hart 14' Jump Shot25
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q2 - 9:22SASHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q2 - 9:25SASMISS Horry 10' Jump Bank Shot25
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q2 - 9:27SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q2 - 9:31SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Jump Shot25
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q2 - 9:47ORLLue 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q2 - 10:07SASHart 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)23
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q2 - 10:26ORLGooden 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)23
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q2 - 10:31ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
4.8%
31
95.2%
Q2 - 10:33SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
4.7%
31
95.3%
Q2 - 10:46ORLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
4.3%
31
95.7%
Q2 - 11:10SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)21
4.7%
31
95.3%
Q2 - 11:25ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
5.7%
28
94.3%
Q2 - 11:25ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 220
5.5%
28
94.5%
Q2 - 11:28ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
5.7%
28
94.3%
Q2 - 11:30SASMISS Turkoglu 6' Jump Bank Shot20
5.5%
28
94.5%
Q2 - 11:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)20
5.2%
28
94.8%
Q2 - 11:37ORLMISS Gooden 8' Jump Shot20
5.3%
28
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL20
5.7%
28
94.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
5.7%
28
94.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot20
5.5%
28
94.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
5.3%
28
94.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0ORLMISS Lue 22' Jump Shot20
5.4%
28
94.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASDuncan 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)20
5.6%
28
94.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLHorry STEAL (1 STL)20
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLMagic Rebound20
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Horry 1' Follow Up Dunk20
6.6%
26
93.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Hook Shot20
6.6%
26
93.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q1 - 1:00ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 1:00ORLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)20
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q1 - 1:04ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)20
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q1 - 1:24SASTurkoglu 4' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)20
6.8%
26
93.2%
Q1 - 1:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
7.5%
24
92.5%
Q1 - 1:35ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot20
7.7%
24
92.3%
Q1 - 1:46SASHorry 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)20
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 2:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q1 - 2:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 2:18SASDuncan 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)18
8.1%
22
91.9%
Q1 - 2:34ORLGooden 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)18
8.8%
20
91.2%
Q1 - 2:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 2:55SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 116
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 2:55SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)16
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 3:16SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)16
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 3:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 3:17ORLMISS Gooden 5' Jump Shot16
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 3:35SASHorry 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)16
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 3:52ORLHoward 3' Layup (4 PTS)16
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 4:02SASGinobili 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)14
11.8%
13
88.2%
Q1 - 4:09SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12.5%
11
87.5%
Q1 - 4:11ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot14
12.9%
11
87.1%
Q1 - 4:29SASHorry 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)14
13.8%
11
86.2%
Q1 - 4:43ORLGiricek 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)14
14.6%
9
85.4%
Q1 - 4:59ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
13.8%
9
86.2%
Q1 - 5:01SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 5:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
12.1%
9
87.9%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 5:33ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 5:34SASMISS Ginobili 9' Fadeaway Jumper12
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 5:42ORLBowen STEAL (2 STL)12
12.1%
9
87.9%
Q1 - 5:46ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 5:49SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot12
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 5:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
12.1%
9
87.9%
Q1 - 5:57ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 6:18SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 6:18SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 212
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 6:38ORLMcGrady 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
12.7%
8
87.3%
Q1 - 6:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 7:02ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 7:02ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
10.5%
8
89.5%
Q1 - 7:09ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 7:12SASMISS Parker 1' Running Layup8
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 7:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 7:18ORLMISS Giricek 21' Jump Shot8
9.5%
8
90.5%
Q1 - 7:39ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 28
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 28
9.5%
8
90.5%
Q1 - 7:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 7:46ORLMISS Strickland 9' Jump Shot8
9.5%
8
90.5%
Q1 - 8:00SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)8
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 8:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 8:02SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot8
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 8:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 8:11ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot8
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 8:20SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)8
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:33ORLDeClercq 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 8:52SASBowen 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)6
9.8%
6
90.2%
Q1 - 9:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.3%
4
89.7%
Q1 - 9:06ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)6
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 9:13SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 9:17ORLBowen STEAL (1 STL)6
10.3%
4
89.7%
Q1 - 9:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 9:25SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 9:27SASMISS Bowen 10' Running Jump Shot6
12.5%
2
87.5%
Q1 - 9:39SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical6
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 9:57ORLMcGrady 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 10:11SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
11.0%
2
89.0%
Q1 - 10:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.2%
2
89.8%
Q1 - 10:27ORLMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot4
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 10:38ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 10:40SASMISS Ginobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper4
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 10:56ORLStrickland 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
10.2%
2
89.8%
Q1 - 11:08SASNesterovic Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
9.5%
2
90.5%
Q1 - 11:30ORLHoward 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
9.0%
2
91.0%
Q1 - 11:42SASParker 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)0
8.3%
2
91.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. DeClercq: Tip to Parker0
9.0%
0
91.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.93 46.6%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
26
62%
SAS
19
27
70%
Midrange
ORL
15
33
45%
SAS
16
41
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
3
4.5
20
15%
23%
SAS
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
12
14
86%
SAS
13
25
52%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2448%12.0 / 25
J. Howard1346%6.5 / 14
G. Giricek1056%5.0 / 9
A. DeClercq8100%4.0 / 4
D. Gooden840%4.0 / 10
R. Strickland650%3.0 / 6
T. Lue643%3.0 / 7
K. Bogans643%3.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia250%1.0 / 2
S. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2761%13.5 / 22
T. Parker2248%11.0 / 23
R. Horry1464%7.0 / 11
M. Ginobili1139%5.5 / 14
H. Turkoglu950%4.5 / 9
B. Bowen770%3.5 / 5
R. Nesterovic429%2.0 / 7
J. Hart233%1.0 / 3
M. Rose2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+10
-12
87
SAS
78
+17
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.93 46.6%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.3
100.0
ORL 93.3 +16.9
SAS 110.1
Pace
93.1
91.3
ORL 88.8
SAS 89.2 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.0
ORL 16.2
SAS 16.1 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
47.3%
ORL 44.9%
SAS 51.2% +6.3%
TO %
13.8%
15.4%
ORL 14.1%
SAS 10.5% +3.6%
ORB %
28.1%
29.5%
ORL 17.1%
SAS 29.5% +12.4%
FTrt
29.6
32.2
ORL 17.7
SAS 30.1 +12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.5%
59.0%
ORL 47.1%
SAS 72.5% +25.4%
STL %
7.1%
8.8%
ORL 5.6%
SAS 12.4% +6.8%
BLK %
5.6%
9.9%
ORL 5.9%
SAS 11.9% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.1%
48.6%
ORL 46.6%
SAS 50.0% +3.4%
Rim FG%
52.9%
57.6%
ORL 61.5%
SAS 70.4% +8.9%
Mid FG%
40.2%
37.0%
ORL 45.5% +6.5%
SAS 39.0%
3P %
34.4%
35.8%
ORL 15.0%
SAS 33.3% +18.3%
FT %
73.7%
68.1%
ORL 85.7% +33.7%
SAS 52.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.7%
35.9%
ORL 32.9% +0.4%
SAS 32.5%
Mid Att. %
51.8%
46.4%
ORL 41.8% +7.6%
SAS 49.4%
3P Att. %
18.4%
17.7%
ORL 25.3% +7.2%
SAS 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8398
Rebounds3847
Assists1629
Steals511
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)34 (2)
Field Goals34-7940-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2619-27
Midrange FG15-3316-41
2-Point FG31-5935-68
3-Point FG3-205-15
Free Throws12-1413-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 25
42.2
24
48%
8
4
0
2
4
2
0
8
8-8
100%
8-15
53%
0-6
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
34.5
13
46%
3
1
3
0
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 220 · 27
31.5
10
56%
5
1
0
1
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 255 · 31
24.8
8
100%
7
2
1
1
0
5
3
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 37
21.8
6
50%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 22
27.1
8
40%
4
2
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 27
24.4
6
43%
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24
22.8
6
43%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 20
4.3
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 201 · 29
1.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
47%
38
16
5
4
12
0
7
31
12-14
86%
31-59
53%
3-20
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.