FinalWin Prob.pScore
3033%90
72
2767%95
79
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
83.78686.8
MIA logo MIA
90.88786.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA72
0%
79
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0WASBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jeffries 3 AST)72
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)69
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0WASMISS Jeffries 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWade Layup (20 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)69
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 1:03WASMISS Thomas Layup69
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 1:08WASBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Hook Shot69
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 1:30WASMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 1:47MIAAlston Layup (10 PTS)69
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 1:50WASAlston STEAL (3 STL)69
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 1:58MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q4 - 1:58MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q4 - 2:01WASAlston STEAL (2 STL)69
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q4 - 2:10WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
11.7%
73
88.3%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q4 - 2:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot69
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q4 - 2:28MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade Layup69
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q4 - 2:48WASJeffries 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q4 - 3:09WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q4 - 3:35WASHayes Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)67
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q4 - 3:54MIAButler Layup (9 PTS)65
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q4 - 4:16WASJeffries 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)65
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)63
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q4 - 4:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q4 - 4:56WASMISS Hayes 23' Jump Shot63
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q4 - 5:15MIAOdom Dunk (10 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)63
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q4 - 5:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
11.2%
67
88.8%
Q4 - 5:23WASMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot63
12.3%
67
87.7%
Q4 - 5:40MIAWade Layup (16 PTS)63
15.2%
67
84.8%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot63
24.0%
65
76.0%
Q4 - 6:06WASDixon Layup (11 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)63
20.2%
65
79.8%
Q4 - 6:21WASDixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
16.4%
65
83.6%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot61
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q4 - 6:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q4 - 6:37WASMISS Hayes 20' Jump Shot61
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q4 - 6:48WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q4 - 7:01WASHughes Foul Turnover (P3.T14)61
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)61
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
26.2%
62
73.8%
Q4 - 7:30WASMISS Laettner 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q4 - 7:35WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
32.7%
62
67.3%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot61
30.6%
62
69.4%
Q4 - 8:01WASDixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)61
27.0%
62
73.0%
Q4 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)58
18.2%
62
81.8%
Q4 - 8:25MIAWade Dunk (13 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)58
22.3%
61
77.7%
Q4 - 8:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
27.0%
59
73.0%
Q4 - 8:31WASMISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q4 - 8:52MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)58
32.4%
59
67.6%
Q4 - 9:05MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
43.2%
56
56.8%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade Layup58
47.5%
56
52.5%
Q4 - 9:33WASLaettner 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dixon 3 AST)58
43.3%
56
56.7%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)56
37.8%
56
62.2%
Q4 - 10:04WASAlston STEAL (1 STL)56
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q4 - 10:25MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
48.5%
54
51.5%
Q4 - 10:45WASHayes 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dixon 2 AST)56
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q4 - 11:00MIAButler 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)54
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q4 - 11:18WASDixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
53.0%
50
47.0%
Q4 - 11:18WASDixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
52.0%
50
48.0%
Q4 - 11:32WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
47.8%
50
52.2%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
46.1%
50
53.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA52
42.2%
50
57.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
42.2%
50
57.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
43.9%
50
56.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
46.7%
50
53.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot52
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
41.7%
50
58.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0WASMISS Laettner 8' Jump Shot52
43.2%
50
56.8%
Q3 - 1:05WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
45.7%
50
54.3%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
44.2%
50
55.8%
Q3 - 1:16WASOdom STEAL (2 STL)52
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q3 - 1:20WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
45.8%
50
54.2%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Jones Layup52
44.2%
50
55.8%
Q3 - 1:37MIAHEAT Rebound52
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q3 - 1:38WASMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q3 - 2:00MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)52
45.8%
50
54.2%
Q3 - 2:10WASJeffries Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)52
53.4%
47
46.6%
Q3 - 2:10WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)52
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot52
56.9%
47
43.1%
Q3 - 2:22MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
53.5%
47
46.5%
Q3 - 2:26WASOdom BLOCK (5 BLK)52
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q3 - 2:30WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
58.5%
47
41.5%
Q3 - 2:33WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot52
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q3 - 3:00MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)52
58.6%
47
41.4%
Q3 - 3:20WASJeffries 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)52
65.8%
44
34.2%
Q3 - 3:42WASBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
61.9%
44
38.1%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade Layup50
60.5%
44
39.5%
Q3 - 3:58WASHayes Foul Turnover (P3.T10)50
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)50
60.4%
44
39.6%
Q3 - 4:26WASHughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)50
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q3 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
47.8%
44
52.2%
Q3 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
48.7%
43
51.3%
Q3 - 5:11WASHayes Dunk (9 PTS) (Jeffries 2 AST)47
50.7%
42
49.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWade Layup (7 PTS)45
46.9%
42
53.1%
Q3 - 5:34MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
50.7%
40
49.3%
Q3 - 5:36WASMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
52.1%
40
47.9%
Q3 - 5:39WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)45
55.2%
40
44.8%
Q3 - 5:41WASOdom BLOCK (4 BLK)45
52.1%
40
47.9%
Q3 - 5:45WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)45
55.2%
40
44.8%
Q3 - 5:47WASMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot45
52.1%
40
47.9%
Q3 - 5:59WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
55.2%
40
44.8%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q3 - 6:30WASHughes Driving Layup (13 PTS)45
49.7%
40
50.3%
Q3 - 6:53MIAJones Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
46.0%
40
54.0%
Q3 - 7:06WASBlake 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
48.5%
38
51.5%
Q3 - 7:11WASBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot41
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q3 - 7:24WASJeffries Foul Turnover (P1.T9)41
40.9%
38
59.1%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)41
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q3 - 7:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
48.6%
36
51.4%
Q3 - 8:00WASMISS Hayes Layup41
49.9%
36
50.1%
Q3 - 8:04WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
52.3%
36
47.7%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot41
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q3 - 8:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
48.0%
36
52.0%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Grant Layup41
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q3 - 8:31WASHayes 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)41
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q3 - 8:55MIAOdom 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
41.1%
36
58.9%
Q3 - 9:17WASJeffries Driving Layup (8 PTS)38
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q3 - 9:28WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
40.0%
34
60.0%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot36
38.9%
34
61.1%
Q3 - 9:48WASHayes Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)36
36.5%
34
63.5%
Q3 - 9:52WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade Layup34
32.2%
34
67.8%
Q3 - 10:08WASHayes Foul Turnover (P2.T8)34
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q3 - 10:10WASBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot34
31.8%
34
68.2%
Q3 - 10:39WASJeffries Layup (6 PTS)34
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q3 - 10:55WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
26.0%
34
74.0%
Q3 - 11:26WASHughes Driving Layup (11 PTS)32
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q3 - 11:32WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)30
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q3 - 11:34WASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)30
20.0%
34
80.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS30
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound30
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASMISS Hughes 16' Jump Shot30
20.5%
34
79.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)30
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
20.0%
34
80.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0WASMISS Jeffries 7' Jump Shot30
20.5%
34
79.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0WASWizards Rebound30
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0WASMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0WASBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0WASOdom BLOCK (3 BLK)30
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0WASMISS Thomas Layup30
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)30
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 1:21WASJeffries Tip Shot (4 PTS)30
20.5%
34
79.5%
Q2 - 1:22WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 1:25WASMISS Jeffries Layup28
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 1:33WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 1:53WASHayes 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)28
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 2:05WASWizards Rebound26
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot26
14.3%
34
85.7%
Q2 - 2:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
13.4%
34
86.6%
Q2 - 2:29WASMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 2:54MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T10)26
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 3:15WASHughes 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)24
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 3:58WASDixon 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
11.0%
34
89.0%
Q2 - 4:13MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
10.3%
34
89.7%
Q2 - 4:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q2 - 4:21WASMISS Jeffries Layup22
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 4:36MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)22
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q2 - 4:38WASButler BLOCK (2 BLK)22
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 4:40WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 4:42WASMISS Jeffries 6' Jump Shot22
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (3 PTS)22
12.8%
32
87.2%
Q2 - 5:20MIAHEAT Rebound22
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot22
15.1%
30
84.9%
Q2 - 5:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)22
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 5:27WASJones BLOCK (2 BLK)22
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 5:37MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)22
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 5:40MIAHEAT Rebound22
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Jones Layup22
15.0%
30
85.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 5:56WASMISS Dixon 9' Jump Shot22
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)22
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 6:35MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot22
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q2 - 7:03WASDixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q2 - 7:03WASDixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q2 - 7:11MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P4.T6)20
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q2 - 7:24WASLaettner 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)20
14.7%
28
85.3%
Q2 - 7:33WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot18
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 7:51WASBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)18
12.3%
28
87.7%
Q2 - 8:04WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q2 - 8:28WASLaettner Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)18
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q2 - 8:41MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T5)16
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q2 - 8:55WASHaslem STEAL (1 STL)16
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 8:58MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q2 - 8:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 9:03WASMISS Laettner 8' Jump Shot16
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q2 - 9:25MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)16
11.6%
28
88.4%
Q2 - 9:40WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
12.6%
26
87.4%
Q2 - 9:40WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q2 - 9:43WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot14
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q2 - 10:11MIAHEAT Rebound14
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q2 - 10:13WASMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot14
11.0%
26
89.0%
Q2 - 10:30MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q2 - 10:30MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q2 - 10:36WASMISS Dixon 21' Jump Shot14
13.1%
24
86.9%
Q2 - 10:41MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q2 - 10:47WASJones STEAL (1 STL)14
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q2 - 11:01WASWizards Rebound14
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q2 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q2 - 11:25WASMISS Dixon 12' Jump Shot14
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q2 - 11:36WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q2 - 11:38WASMISS Haywood 7' Hook Shot14
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA14
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound14
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 22' Jump Shot14
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0WASMISS Knight 15' Jump Shot12
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0WASHughes Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)12
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAButler Layup (7 PTS)11
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Alston Layup11
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 1:01MIAJump Ball Odom vs. Hughes: Tip to Alston11
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 1:27MIAOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)11
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 1:39MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 1:41WASMISS Hayes 10' Jump Shot11
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 2:00WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot11
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 2:15WASHayes Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 2:20WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16.8%
19
83.2%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Alston Layup11
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 2:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 2:38WASMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot11
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 2:56MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
16.8%
19
83.2%
Q1 - 3:15WASHughes 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 3:29MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 3:29MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)9
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 3:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
18.3%
15
81.7%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 3:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
18.3%
15
81.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 3:53WASKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
18.3%
15
81.7%
Q1 - 4:07WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot9
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 4:18MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 4:20WASMISS Jeffries 22' Jump Shot9
18.7%
15
81.3%
Q1 - 4:32WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Jones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot9
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 4:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 4:44WASMISS Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 29
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 4:44WASMISS Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 29
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 4:44WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 4:45WASOdom BLOCK (2 BLK)9
18.7%
15
81.3%
Q1 - 5:11MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 29
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 5:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 5:24WASMISS Thomas Layup9
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 5:41WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot9
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 6:00WASBlake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jeffries 1 AST)9
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 6:21MIAJones Driving Layup (7 PTS)6
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 6:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 6:30WASMISS Hughes 23' Jump Shot6
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 6:36WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 6:53WASMISS Hayes 19' Jump Shot6
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 7:11MIAButler 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 7:17MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)6
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 7:30WASThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 7:31WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Odom Layup6
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 7:56WASHughes 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 8:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 24
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 8:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.3%
8
78.7%
Q1 - 8:16WASMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 8:24WASWizards Rebound4
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 8:24WASMISS Blake 18' Jump Shot4
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 8:28WASBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Odom 7' Hook Shot4
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 9:00WASHughes 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)4
21.3%
8
78.7%
Q1 - 9:07WASWizards Rebound2
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 9:07WASOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)2
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 9:19MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 9:26MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 9:28WASButler BLOCK (1 BLK)2
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 9:46MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 9:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 9:56WASMISS Thomas 5' Hook Shot2
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 10:08WASWizards Rebound2
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 10:08WASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)2
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 10:26MIAJones 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 10:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 10:42WASMISS Hughes 12' Jump Shot2
24.2%
4
75.8%
Q1 - 11:01MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)2
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 11:19WASJeffries 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:40MIAJones 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Thomas: Tip to Wade0
26.6%
0
73.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.85 42.4%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
10
24
42%
MIA
14
27
52%
Midrange
WAS
14
40
35%
MIA
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
WAS
9
11
82%
MIA
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Hughes1650%8.0 / 16
J. Jeffries1439%7.0 / 18
J. Hayes1346%6.5 / 14
J. Dixon1161%5.5 / 9
S. Blake850%4.0 / 8
C. Laettner650%3.0 / 6
B. Haywood250%1.0 / 2
B. Knight233%1.0 / 3
E. Thomas0-0.0 / 7
K. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
E. Jones1137%5.5 / 15
L. Odom1033%5.0 / 15
R. Alston1045%5.0 / 11
C. Butler975%4.5 / 6
R. Butler975%4.5 / 6
B. Grant650%3.0 / 6
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
70
+15
-16
85
MIA
73
+12
-14
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.85 42.4%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
95.6
99.3
WAS 83.7
MIA 90.8 +7.1
Pace
95.4
90.6
WAS 86.8 +0.7
MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.0
WAS 16.6 +0.1
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.4%
46.3%
WAS 39.9%
MIA 44.1% +4.2%
TO %
17.4%
14.4%
WAS 16.0%
MIA 14.6% +1.4%
ORB %
30.7%
27.5%
WAS 22.7% +0.2%
MIA 22.5%
FTrt
33.7
29.8
WAS 13.9
MIA 18.4 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
57.3%
WAS 55.2%
MIA 61.3% +6.1%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
WAS 7.0%
MIA 8.0% +1.0%
BLK %
7.4%
6.3%
WAS 8.9%
MIA 15.6% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.4%
48.3%
WAS 42.4%
MIA 45.9% +3.5%
Rim FG%
54.8%
53.9%
WAS 41.7%
MIA 51.9% +10.2%
Mid FG%
34.5%
36.9%
WAS 35.0%
MIA 41.4% +6.4%
3P %
34.2%
35.7%
WAS 33.3% +8.3%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
71.4%
76.2%
WAS 81.8%
MIA 85.7% +3.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
34.4%
WAS 30.4%
MIA 35.5% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
44.5%
WAS 50.6%
MIA 38.2% +12.5%
3P Att. %
19.4%
21.1%
WAS 19.0%
MIA 26.3% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points7279
Rebounds4143
Assists1619
Steals67
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals29-7931-76
At-the-Rim FG10-2414-27
Midrange FG14-4012-29
2-Point FG24-6426-56
3-Point FG5-155-20
Free Throws9-1112-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 185 · 25
38.3
16
50%
2
4
2
0
3
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 228 · 22
34.7
13
46%
6
0
2
0
5
5
0
6
0-0
-
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 240 · 22
34.0
14
39%
10
3
0
0
2
3
6
4
0-2
0%
7-16
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 172 · 24
32.9
8
50%
6
3
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 260 · 26
32.5
0
0%
7
1
0
4
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-7
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34
18.2
6
50%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 165 · 25
15.2
11
61%
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 290 · 22
14.0
0
0%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 263 · 24
10.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 166 · 28
9.6
2
33%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
42%
41
16
6
5
16
0
10
31
9-11
82%
24-64
38%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.