FinalWin Prob.pScore
2047%95
93
2753%96
104
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
98.994100.9
MIA logo MIA
110.69489.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 193
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade Layup (33 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0GSWMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0GSWMurphy 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0GSWDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAAlston Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0GSWMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20GSWMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 187
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:20GSWDunleavy Driving Layup (10 PTS)87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)85
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)85
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 1:41GSWDunleavy Layup (8 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)85
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:59MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)83
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 2:17GSWMurphy Layup (4 PTS)83
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 2:23GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Grant 8' Hook Shot81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Grant Layup81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59GSWMISS Cheaney Driving Layup81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)81
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29GSWJones BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup81
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:00GSWCheaney 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)81
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:09GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:11GSWMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot79
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:28GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot79
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:52GSWHaslem STEAL (1 STL)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Woods 16' Jump Shot79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:27GSWJones STEAL (3 STL)79
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:32MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T13)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:50GSWMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:12GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 6:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 6:33GSWMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot79
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 6:43GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)79
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot79
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 7:00GSWOdom STEAL (2 STL)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 7:07MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)79
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 7:20GSWRichardson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)79
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 7:24GSWWarriors Rebound79
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 7:25GSWOdom BLOCK (2 BLK)79
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAAlston Driving Layup (15 PTS)79
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 8:18GSWRichardson 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)79
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 8:30MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)77
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 8:47GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 8:47GSWMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 276
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 8:47GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)76
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 8:48GSWMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot76
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 9:14MIAAlston 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 9:27GSWClaxton Foul Turnover (P4.T14)76
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)76
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 10:04GSWDampier Tip Shot (14 PTS)76
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 10:05GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)74
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 10:07GSWMISS Cheaney Driving Layup74
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 10:27MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)74
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 10:47GSWVan Exel Driving Layup (17 PTS)74
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 11:14MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)72
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 11:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q4 - 11:48GSWButler STEAL (2 STL)72
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW72
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot72
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0GSWDampier Layup (12 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)72
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)70
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 1:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q3 - 1:06GSWMISS Claxton Free Throw 2 of 270
9.1%
81
90.9%
Q3 - 1:06GSWClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q3 - 1:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
9.3%
80
90.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
10.6%
79
89.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup69
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
10.6%
79
89.4%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Hook Shot69
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 1:54GSWWarriors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)69
10.6%
79
89.4%
Q3 - 2:18MIAWoods 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q3 - 2:19MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot69
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q3 - 2:41GSWRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)69
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q3 - 2:49GSWVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 2:51GSWMISS Van Exel 15' Jump Shot66
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q3 - 3:02MIAWoods Foul Turnover (P1.T10)66
12.3%
77
87.7%
Q3 - 3:19GSWVan Exel 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q3 - 3:34MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)64
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 3:55GSWRichardson Driving Layup (15 PTS)64
12.1%
74
87.9%
Q3 - 4:14MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)62
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 4:29MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)62
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q3 - 4:31GSWMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
13.4%
72
86.6%
Q3 - 4:37GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
15.1%
72
84.9%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot62
14.3%
72
85.7%
Q3 - 5:13GSWClaxton 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)62
13.6%
72
86.4%
Q3 - 5:23MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P4.T9)60
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 5:35GSWVan Exel 13' Hook Shot (13 PTS)60
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 5:54MIAAlston 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)58
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 6:01GSWJones STEAL (2 STL)58
10.9%
70
89.1%
Q3 - 6:14MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)58
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 6:29GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)58
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q3 - 6:29GSWRichardson Driving Layup (12 PTS)57
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 6:39MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)55
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 7:08GSWVan Exel 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)55
9.8%
68
90.2%
Q3 - 7:31MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)52
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 7:50GSWVan Exel Driving Layup (8 PTS)52
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 8:13MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 8:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 8:20GSWWade BLOCK (1 BLK)50
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 8:42GSWWarriors Rebound50
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Odom 8' Running Jump Shot50
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 8:47MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)50
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 8:49GSWMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot50
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 9:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)50
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)50
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 9:03MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)50
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 9:05GSWMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot50
16.6%
60
83.4%
Q3 - 9:17GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
18.1%
60
81.9%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup50
17.4%
60
82.6%
Q3 - 9:31GSWOdom STEAL (1 STL)50
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 9:42MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)50
18.1%
60
81.9%
Q3 - 9:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
20.3%
58
79.7%
Q3 - 9:53GSWMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
21.1%
58
78.9%
Q3 - 10:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q3 - 10:07MIAGrant Tip Shot (10 PTS)50
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup50
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 10:31GSWDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)50
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 10:41GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot50
28.1%
56
71.9%
Q3 - 11:06GSWDampier Tip Shot (10 PTS)50
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q3 - 11:07GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
24.2%
56
75.8%
Q3 - 11:09GSWMISS Dunleavy Reverse Layup48
22.4%
56
77.6%
Q3 - 11:13GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
24.1%
56
75.9%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade Running Dunk48
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q3 - 11:26MIAHEAT Rebound48
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q3 - 11:27GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones 7' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)48
24.1%
56
75.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound48
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Grant 75' 3PT Jump Shot48
28.6%
54
71.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWVan Exel Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)48
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)47
26.0%
54
74.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 346
25.3%
54
74.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)46
24.6%
54
75.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0GSWVan Exel Driving Layup (4 PTS)46
27.9%
52
72.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
27.8%
50
72.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Butler Layup44
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q2 - 1:07GSWCardinal 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q2 - 1:22MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)42
24.9%
50
75.1%
Q2 - 1:41GSWCheaney Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)42
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q2 - 1:46GSWVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
27.4%
47
72.6%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot40
27.0%
47
73.0%
Q2 - 1:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 1:59GSWMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot40
26.4%
47
73.6%
Q2 - 2:03GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot40
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q2 - 2:28GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
26.1%
47
73.9%
Q2 - 2:28GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
25.5%
47
74.5%
Q2 - 2:37GSWVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
22.9%
47
77.1%
Q2 - 2:58GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
21.6%
47
78.4%
Q2 - 2:58GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade Layup (13 PTS)36
20.5%
47
79.5%
Q2 - 3:28GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
22.2%
45
77.8%
Q2 - 3:28GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 3:28GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 3:29GSWMISS Cardinal 20' Jump Shot34
19.0%
45
81.0%
Q2 - 3:37GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Haslem 10' Hook Shot34
19.8%
45
80.2%
Q2 - 4:00GSWCardinal 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)34
18.3%
45
81.7%
Q2 - 4:20MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
21.0%
42
79.0%
Q2 - 4:35GSWAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)32
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 5:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 5:14GSWMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot32
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 5:35GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
27.0%
40
73.0%
Q2 - 6:06GSWClaxton Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
25.8%
40
74.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
24.2%
40
75.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 230
24.6%
39
75.4%
Q2 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
23.8%
39
76.2%
Q2 - 6:28GSWMISS Cheaney 20' Jump Shot30
24.5%
39
75.5%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 7:00GSWCardinal 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)30
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q2 - 7:07GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
29.1%
36
70.9%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot28
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 7:22GSWClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
26.8%
36
73.2%
Q2 - 7:22GSWClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 7:24GSWClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 7:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
22.8%
36
77.2%
Q2 - 7:32GSWMISS Dunleavy Reverse Layup26
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 7:52MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)26
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 8:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q2 - 8:02GSWMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot26
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q2 - 8:15GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
29.2%
34
70.8%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup26
28.5%
34
71.5%
Q2 - 8:43GSWDunleavy Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)26
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q2 - 8:45MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)26
29.2%
34
70.8%
Q2 - 9:08GSWClaxton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)26
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 9:28GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Butler Layup26
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)26
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 9:42GSWMISS Murphy Driving Layup26
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)26
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 10:15GSWClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 10:17GSWClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 10:19GSWMISS Cardinal 22' Jump Shot26
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 10:31MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)26
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 10:49GSWCardinal 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)26
33.8%
31
66.2%
Q2 - 11:01MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)24
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q2 - 11:16GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
29.8%
31
70.2%
Q2 - 11:16GSWMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 11:38MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
27.8%
31
72.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
29.8%
29
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)22
29.8%
29
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Murphy 21' Jump Shot22
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWoods Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot22
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
34.4%
27
65.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot22
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q1 - 1:09GSWRichardson 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
34.5%
27
65.5%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
32.4%
26
67.6%
Q1 - 1:42GSWRichardson 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 1:58MIAOdom 8' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)18
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q1 - 2:17GSWRichardson 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
34.6%
23
65.4%
Q1 - 2:32MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)16
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 2:46GSWVan Exel Foul Turnover (P3.T5)16
34.6%
21
65.4%
Q1 - 2:50GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup16
36.0%
21
64.0%
Q1 - 3:12GSWRichardson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)16
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 3:26MIAJones 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)14
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q1 - 3:36MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)14
34.7%
19
65.3%
Q1 - 3:38GSWMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot14
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 3:51MIAJones 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)14
37.0%
19
63.0%
Q1 - 4:10GSWDunleavy Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
38.9%
17
61.1%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
37.3%
17
62.7%
Q1 - 4:21MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)12
34.8%
17
65.2%
Q1 - 4:23GSWMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot12
35.5%
17
64.5%
Q1 - 4:29GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
37.3%
17
62.7%
Q1 - 4:31MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot12
36.5%
17
63.5%
Q1 - 4:49GSWDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
34.8%
17
65.2%
Q1 - 4:49GSWDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 4:59MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)10
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 5:17GSWRobinson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)10
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 5:26MIAOdom Running Dunk (6 PTS)8
33.6%
15
66.4%
Q1 - 5:29GSWJones STEAL (1 STL)8
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 6:05GSWDunleavy 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)8
35.7%
13
64.3%
Q1 - 6:25MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)6
33.9%
13
66.1%
Q1 - 6:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)6
35.6%
11
64.4%
Q1 - 6:35GSWMISS Dampier 7' Jump Shot6
36.2%
11
63.8%
Q1 - 6:45MIAOdom 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 6:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 6:56GSWMISS Dunleavy Driving Layup6
40.1%
9
59.9%
Q1 - 7:07GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
41.8%
9
58.2%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Odom Layup6
41.2%
9
58.8%
Q1 - 7:11MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot6
41.2%
9
58.8%
Q1 - 7:26GSWWade STEAL (1 STL)6
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 7:35MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
41.8%
9
58.2%
Q1 - 7:51GSWDampier Layup (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)6
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 8:27GSWDampier Dunk (2 PTS)4
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 8:30GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 8:32GSWMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 8:49GSWWarriors Rebound2
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot2
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 9:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)2
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 9:04GSWMISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot2
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 9:25MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 9:56GSWDampier Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 10:10GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Grant Running Dunk2
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 10:18MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
41.6%
4
58.4%
Q1 - 10:19GSWMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot2
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 10:40MIAOdom 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 10:47GSWButler STEAL (1 STL)2
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 10:51GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup2
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 10:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 11:01GSWOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)2
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 11:17MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)2
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 11:26GSWVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 11:26GSWVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 11:32MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:39MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:41GSWMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Dampier: Tip to0
47.2%
0
52.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
16
25
64%
MIA
8
21
38%
Midrange
GSW
16
37
43%
MIA
23
42
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
MIA
10
15.0
16
63%
94%
Free Throws
GSW
20
24
83%
MIA
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel1761%8.5 / 14
J. Richardson1757%8.5 / 15
E. Dampier1583%7.5 / 9
M. Dunleavy1341%6.5 / 16
B. Cardinal867%4.0 / 6
S. Claxton758%3.5 / 6
T. Murphy750%3.5 / 7
C. Robinson550%2.5 / 5
C. Cheaney425%2.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3372%16.5 / 23
E. Jones21105%10.5 / 10
R. Alston1558%7.5 / 13
B. Grant1250%6.0 / 12
L. Odom1150%5.5 / 11
C. Butler417%2.0 / 12
L. Woods467%2.0 / 3
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
77
+10
-17
87
MIA
79
+10
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
99.3
GSW 98.9 +11.7
MIA 110.6
Pace
91.7
90.6
GSW 100.9 +11.9
MIA 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.0
GSW 14.3 +1.9
MIA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
46.3%
GSW 50.0%
MIA 58.2% +8.2%
TO %
15.2%
14.4%
GSW 17.7%
MIA 15.8% +1.9%
ORB %
28.4%
27.5%
GSW 21.6%
MIA 25.0% +3.4%
FTrt
31.1
29.8
GSW 32.9 +15.2
MIA 17.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
57.3%
GSW 40.0%
MIA 53.7% +13.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
GSW 8.5%
MIA 9.6% +1.1%
BLK %
7.0%
6.3%
GSW 12.7% +4.6%
MIA 8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.1%
48.3%
GSW 52.8%
MIA 57.1% +4.3%
Rim FG%
57.2%
53.9%
GSW 64.0% +25.9%
MIA 38.1%
Mid FG%
38.0%
36.9%
GSW 43.2%
MIA 54.8% +11.6%
3P %
33.4%
35.7%
GSW 27.3%
MIA 62.5% +35.2%
FT %
72.5%
76.2%
GSW 83.3%
MIA 85.7% +2.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.8%
34.4%
GSW 34.2% +7.7%
MIA 26.6%
Mid Att. %
43.5%
44.5%
GSW 50.7% +2.5%
MIA 53.2%
3P Att. %
19.7%
21.1%
GSW 15.1%
MIA 20.3% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes22.425.4
Points93104
Rebounds3538
Assists1422
Steals89
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)29 (1)
Field Goals35-7341-79
At-the-Rim FG16-258-21
Midrange FG16-3723-42
2-Point FG32-6231-63
3-Point FG3-1110-16
Free Throws20-2412-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
38.0
15
83%
9
0
2
5
2
2
5
4
5-6
83%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
35.8
17
61%
3
3
1
0
5
1
1
2
4-5
80%
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 225 · 23
33.2
17
57%
2
0
1
1
2
1
0
2
3-3
100%
7-11
64%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
28.3
13
41%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 245 · 37
22.6
5
50%
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32
24.4
4
25%
1
2
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 26
22.3
7
58%
2
4
0
0
4
5
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
20.4
8
67%
5
0
2
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24
12.4
7
50%
3
1
0
2
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 22
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31
G · 5'11" 185 · 39
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
35
14
8
8
17
0
8
27
20-24
83%
32-62
52%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.