FinalWin Prob.pScore
2528%90
83
1172%97
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.38888.9
MEM logo MEM
105.49291.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM83
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)83
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MEMBell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MEMSwift Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Wells 2 AST)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIAHaslem 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MEMBell Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MEMBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MEMMISS Battier 20' Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAAlston Layup (13 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MEMWells Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T18)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MEMMISS Wells Free Throw 2 of 275
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MEMWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MEMBattier 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 11 AST)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MEMMISS Wells 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MEMMISS Swift Layup73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MEMMISS Watson 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIAGasol STEAL (3 STL)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Odom 15' Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MEMGasol 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Watson 10 AST)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32MIAOdom 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MEMPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:27MEMMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot71
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:38MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:56MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:58MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04MIAOutlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30MEMPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)69
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 8:05MEMPosey Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)67
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 8:24MEMPosey Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 8:40MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 9:00MEMMiller Layup (18 PTS)67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 9:21MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 9:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 9:34MEMMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot67
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade Layup (19 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 9:54MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 9:58MEMMISS Miller Driving Layup65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:17MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 10:34MEMMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 10:52MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:57MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 10:59MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 11:13MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)62
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 11:28MEMWright 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)60
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 11:43MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)60
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA58
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Swift Alley Oop Layup58
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Alston 8' Running Jump Shot58
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MEMWells 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)58
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAAlston Layup (7 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)58
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0MEMWells Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)56
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 1:07MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)56
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 255
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 1:23MEMOutlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 1:23MEMMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 255
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 1:23MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound55
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot55
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 1:42MEMWells Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)55
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 1:57MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot55
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 2:17MEMBattier Foul Turnover (P2.T12)55
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 2:32MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound55
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot55
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 2:49MEMWells 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)55
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 3:03MIAWells STEAL (2 STL)55
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 3:11MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 3:13MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 3:25MIASwift STEAL (2 STL)55
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 3:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 3:31MEMMISS Wells 21' Jump Shot55
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 3:48MEMOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 3:52MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 3:58MEMOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot55
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 4:22MEMSwift 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)55
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 4:35MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 4:42MEMWells Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)53
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 4:57MEMOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHeat Rebound53
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 5:20MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot53
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 5:29MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:34MIASwift BLOCK (3 BLK)53
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:51MEMWells 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)53
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 5:59MIAOutlaw STEAL (2 STL)53
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAHeat Rebound53
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 6:13MEMMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 6:34MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)53
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q3 - 6:49MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)50
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 6:49MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 6:58MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIAOdom Tip Shot (7 PTS)50
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot48
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 7:18MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Watson 9 AST)48
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 7:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot48
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 7:51MEMWatson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)48
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAHeat Rebound46
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 8:39MEMMISS Watson 6' Jump Shot46
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 8:43MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot46
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 9:00MEMMISS Posey 9' Hook Shot46
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 9:03MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 9:05MEMMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot46
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 9:24MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot46
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 9:46MEMMiller 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 10:04MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 10:07MEMMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot46
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 10:24MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 246
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 10:27MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 10:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 10:45MEMMISS Watson Layup45
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 11:01MIAGasol STEAL (2 STL)45
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 11:17MEMWright Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)45
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 11:23MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)45
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 11:41MEMPosey 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 8 AST)45
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)45
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup45
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MEMWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot45
9.7%
54
90.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot45
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 1:04MEMWatson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)45
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)45
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 1:21MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q2 - 1:24MEMMISS Gasol 7' Turnaround Jump Shot45
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 244
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)44
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup44
8.6%
54
91.4%
Q2 - 1:53MEMWells Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)44
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 2:03MEMWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 2:05MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot44
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q2 - 2:11MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot44
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 2:31MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)44
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 2:31MEMSwift Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)44
10.6%
53
89.4%
Q2 - 2:34MIAWells STEAL (1 STL)44
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 2:59MEMSwift 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)44
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 3:08MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIASwift BLOCK (2 BLK)44
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q2 - 3:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q2 - 3:32MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 244
16.4%
49
83.6%
Q2 - 3:32MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q2 - 3:46MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 3 of 344
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)44
17.7%
48
82.3%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)43
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 4:12MEMWells Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)42
15.0%
48
85.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIAWade Layup (15 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)42
16.5%
46
83.5%
Q2 - 4:31MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 4:50MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 4:50MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 4:50MIAHeat Rebound38
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 4:50MEMMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot38
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 4:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 4:55MEMMISS Wells 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 5:15MIAAlston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 5:33MEMGasol 7' Hook Shot (11 PTS)38
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)38
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 6:05MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)36
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 6:13MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
15.0%
41
85.0%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot36
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 6:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot36
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 6:45MEMGasol Driving Layup (9 PTS)36
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 6:56MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 6:57MEMMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot36
19.4%
39
80.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)36
18.3%
39
81.7%
Q2 - 7:15MEMWright Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)34
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 7:34MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 7:34MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
15.1%
39
84.9%
Q2 - 7:39MEMWatson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
14.1%
39
85.9%
Q2 - 7:53MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)32
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 8:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot30
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 8:19MEMMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot30
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 8:30MEMOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot30
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 8:51MEMWright 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)30
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 9:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
13.0%
37
87.0%
Q2 - 9:07MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)30
13.0%
37
87.0%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)28
12.0%
37
88.0%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Woods Tip Shot28
11.2%
37
88.8%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Jones Layup28
11.2%
37
88.8%
Q2 - 9:26MEMOutlaw Dunk (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)28
12.0%
37
88.0%
Q2 - 9:32MIAOutlaw STEAL (1 STL)28
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 9:45MEMWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)28
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 9:54MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot28
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 10:06MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 10:38MIAWallace 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)28
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 10:53MEMSwift Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
12.1%
35
87.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)26
11.1%
35
88.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
10.1%
35
89.9%
Q2 - 11:20MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.9%
35
90.1%
Q2 - 11:37MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 224
9.4%
35
90.6%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 224
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q2 - 11:49MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
10.1%
35
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 224
10.1%
35
89.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
9.6%
35
90.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MEMMISS Wells 20' Jump Shot24
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)24
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q1 - 1:02MEMWells 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)21
8.6%
34
91.4%
Q1 - 1:09MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q1 - 1:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q1 - 1:29MEMMISS Outlaw Layup21
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q1 - 1:34MIASwift STEAL (1 STL)21
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 1:39MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q1 - 1:50MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 1:50MIAWoods Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot19
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q1 - 2:05MEMWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)19
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q1 - 2:13MIAWallace Layup (2 PTS)19
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q1 - 2:16MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 2:19MIABattier BLOCK (1 BLK)17
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q1 - 2:20MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot17
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q1 - 2:30MIAHeat Rebound17
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot17
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q1 - 2:48MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 2:50MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 217
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 2:50MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)17
9.7%
28
90.3%
Q1 - 3:09MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)17
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q1 - 3:24MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
9.9%
27
90.1%
Q1 - 3:24MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 3:24MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 3:26MIASwift BLOCK (1 BLK)15
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot15
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 3:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 3:38MEMMISS Gasol 11' Hook Shot15
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 3:50MEMWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Odom 15' Jump Shot15
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 4:06MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 4:06MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 215
12.8%
23
87.2%
Q1 - 4:09MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 4:12MIAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot15
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot15
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 4:54MEMGasol 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q1 - 5:03MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 5:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot15
14.9%
21
85.1%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Odom 7' Running Jump Shot15
14.9%
21
85.1%
Q1 - 5:36MEMWright Layup (8 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)15
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)15
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 6:21MEMPosey 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)13
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 6:38MIAJones 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)13
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 6:59MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)11
15.7%
17
84.3%
Q1 - 7:02MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 7:03MEMMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
18.8%
14
81.2%
Q1 - 7:07MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup11
18.3%
14
81.7%
Q1 - 7:33MEMPosey 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)11
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)11
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 8:04MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)9
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 8:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 8:33MEMWright 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)9
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
24.1%
7
75.9%
Q1 - 8:48MIAGrant Tip Shot (2 PTS)9
24.1%
7
75.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup7
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 9:10MEMWright 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)7
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 9:20MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.8%
5
76.2%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Butler Layup7
24.3%
5
75.7%
Q1 - 9:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 9:30MEMMISS Posey 10' Fadeaway Jumper7
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 9:49MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS)7
23.8%
5
76.2%
Q1 - 9:54MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
22.8%
5
77.2%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 10:24MEMGasol 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
22.6%
5
77.4%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)5
23.8%
3
76.2%
Q1 - 11:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.1%
3
78.9%
Q1 - 11:02MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 22
21.0%
3
79.0%
Q1 - 11:02MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
20.2%
3
79.8%
Q1 - 11:06MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)2
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:27MEMWright 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Grant: Tip to Wade0
22.4%
0
77.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.1%
MEM
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
31
48%
MEM
10
15
67%
Midrange
MIA
11
36
31%
MEM
20
35
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
MEM
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
19
25
76%
MEM
13
20
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2150%10.5 / 21
R. Alston1354%6.5 / 12
E. Jones1233%6.0 / 18
L. Odom950%4.5 / 9
U. Haslem975%4.5 / 6
B. Grant867%4.0 / 6
J. Wallace433%2.0 / 6
L. Woods338%1.5 / 4
C. Butler225%1.0 / 4
R. Butler250%1.0 / 2
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller1875%9.0 / 12
L. Wright1464%7.0 / 11
P. Gasol1365%6.5 / 10
J. Posey1267%6.0 / 9
B. Wells1260%6.0 / 10
S. Swift1260%6.0 / 10
S. Battier536%2.5 / 7
E. Watson433%2.0 / 6
B. Outlaw450%2.0 / 4
J. Williams330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+18
-15
91
MEM
72
+13
-20
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.1%
MEM
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
102.5
MIA 94.3 +11.1
MEM 105.4
Pace
90.6
93.4
MIA 88.9
MEM 91.2 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
MIA 16.2
MEM 15.8 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.9%
MIA 40.5%
MEM 57.5% +17.0%
TO %
14.4%
15.3%
MIA 14.3% +5.3%
MEM 19.6%
ORB %
27.5%
29.5%
MIA 36.2% +0.1%
MEM 36.1%
FTrt
29.8
32.2
MIA 31.6 +4.2
MEM 27.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
64.6%
MIA 66.7%
MEM 81.6% +14.9%
STL %
7.9%
10.3%
MIA 14.8% +2.8%
MEM 12.0%
BLK %
6.3%
10.3%
MIA 6.0%
MEM 7.5% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
49.7%
MIA 44.1%
MEM 57.1% +13.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
57.4%
MIA 48.4%
MEM 66.7% +18.3%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.4%
MIA 30.6%
MEM 57.1% +26.5%
3P %
35.7%
34.0%
MIA 33.3%
MEM 34.8% +1.5%
FT %
76.2%
72.7%
MIA 76.0% +11.0%
MEM 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
38.9%
MIA 39.2% +18.7%
MEM 20.5%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
41.4%
MIA 45.6% +2.4%
MEM 47.9%
3P Att. %
21.1%
19.7%
MIA 15.2%
MEM 31.5% +16.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8892
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points8397
Rebounds4043
Assists2031
Steals1311
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)13 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)30 (4)
Field Goals30-7938-73
At-the-Rim FG15-3110-15
Midrange FG11-3620-35
2-Point FG26-6730-50
3-Point FG4-128-23
Free Throws19-2513-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
37.5
12
33%
3
0
3
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
1-6
17%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
35.5
21
50%
4
3
0
1
2
2
3
1
6-7
86%
6-17
35%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
32.9
9
50%
10
5
2
0
7
2
2
8
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
1-1
100%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
21.8
8
67%
5
0
1
0
1
4
4
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
18.9
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
32.6
13
54%
2
8
5
0
1
3
0
2
6-6
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
19.3
3
38%
5
0
1
0
0
1
4
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
16.3
9
75%
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
13.8
4
33%
3
1
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
5.8
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
44%
40
20
13
3
15
0
17
23
19-25
76%
26-67
39%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.