FinalWin Prob.pScore
2517%84
70
283%96
73
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
84.38393.6
SAS logo SAS
85.98576.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS70
0%
73
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 270
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot70
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0TORBosh 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)70
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)68
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 268
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q4 - 1:08SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q4 - 1:10TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q4 - 1:10TORDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)68
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 1:13TORMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot68
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q4 - 1:39TORRaptors Rebound68
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q4 - 1:41SASMISS Mercer 17' Jump Shot68
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q4 - 2:03TORCarter 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)68
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 2:20SASMercer 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)66
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q4 - 2:39SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q4 - 2:41TORMISS Carter 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q4 - 2:54TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)66
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q4 - 2:56SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot66
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q4 - 3:07SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)66
7.0%
69
93.0%
Q4 - 3:07TORRose Foul Turnover (P7.T15)66
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q4 - 3:27TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)66
17.3%
68
82.7%
Q4 - 3:29SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup66
14.7%
68
85.3%
Q4 - 3:44TORMercer STEAL (2 STL)66
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q4 - 3:48TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
17.1%
68
82.9%
Q4 - 3:49SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot66
15.4%
68
84.6%
Q4 - 4:14TORWilliams 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q4 - 4:33SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q4 - 4:33SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q4 - 4:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q4 - 4:42TORNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)64
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q4 - 5:02SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)64
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q4 - 5:22TORMarshall 6' Finger Roll (19 PTS)64
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q4 - 5:34TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)62
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q4 - 5:37SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Hook Shot62
8.5%
66
91.5%
Q4 - 5:52SASSPURS Rebound62
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q4 - 5:53TORMISS Carter 8' Running Jump Shot62
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q4 - 6:05TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)62
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q4 - 6:07SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot62
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q4 - 6:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)62
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q4 - 6:13TORMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot62
7.8%
66
92.2%
Q4 - 6:29TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)62
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q4 - 6:31SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q4 - 6:44TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)62
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q4 - 7:00TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q4 - 7:02SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot62
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q4 - 7:17TORCarter 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS)62
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q4 - 7:29TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)60
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q4 - 7:30SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot60
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q4 - 7:50SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q4 - 7:51TORMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot60
5.0%
66
95.0%
Q4 - 8:09TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q4 - 8:11SASMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot60
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q4 - 8:25SASSPURS Rebound60
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q4 - 8:26TORMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot60
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q4 - 8:49TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q4 - 8:52SASMISS Duncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot60
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q4 - 9:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q4 - 9:03SASMISS Bowen 4' Running Jump Shot60
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q4 - 9:18TORBowen STEAL (1 STL)60
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q4 - 9:34SASMercer 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q4 - 9:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)60
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q4 - 10:00TORMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot60
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q4 - 10:19SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 160
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q4 - 10:19SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)60
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q4 - 10:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q4 - 10:42TORDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)60
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q4 - 11:06TORRaptors Rebound60
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q4 - 11:07SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 260
16.6%
62
83.4%
Q4 - 11:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)60
14.8%
62
85.2%
Q4 - 11:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
16.9%
61
83.1%
Q4 - 11:23TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q4 - 11:40TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
20.3%
61
79.7%
Q4 - 11:42SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot60
19.2%
61
80.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS60
16.8%
61
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound60
16.8%
61
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 33' 3PT Jump Shot60
19.2%
61
80.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)60
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORRaptors Rebound60
19.7%
61
80.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)60
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASDuncan 2' Driving Layup (27 PTS)60
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T10)60
23.3%
59
76.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)60
27.2%
59
72.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)60
28.2%
58
71.8%
Q3 - 1:06TORBaxter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)60
30.0%
57
70.0%
Q3 - 1:06TORBaxter 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)59
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q3 - 1:17SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)57
22.6%
57
77.4%
Q3 - 1:35TORMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)57
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q3 - 1:54TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)54
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 1:56SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot54
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q3 - 2:13TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 2:13TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 2:23SASRose 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)52
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q3 - 2:44TORBosh 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 3:08SASDuncan 2' Dunk (23 PTS)50
10.2%
55
89.8%
Q3 - 3:21SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 3:23TORMISS Rose 13' Turnaround Jump Shot50
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q3 - 3:40SASParker 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)50
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 3:46SASSPURS Rebound50
16.1%
51
83.9%
Q3 - 3:48SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Bank Shot50
18.0%
51
82.0%
Q3 - 4:04TORCarter 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)50
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q3 - 4:10TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q3 - 4:12SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup48
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q3 - 4:25TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
11.6%
51
88.4%
Q3 - 4:25TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q3 - 4:42SASParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)46
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q3 - 5:04TORCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
13.7%
48
86.3%
Q3 - 5:04TORMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 245
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q3 - 5:15TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q3 - 5:17SASMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot45
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q3 - 5:36TORMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)45
11.8%
48
88.2%
Q3 - 5:54SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)42
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q3 - 5:54SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 242
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q3 - 5:59SASSPURS Rebound42
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q3 - 6:01SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot42
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q3 - 6:20TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q3 - 6:20TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q3 - 6:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q3 - 6:39SASNesterovic 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)40
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q3 - 6:41SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot40
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q3 - 6:56SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q3 - 6:57TORMISS Bosh 3' Layup40
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q3 - 7:13SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
10.4%
45
89.6%
Q3 - 7:25TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)40
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q3 - 7:42SASNesterovic Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)40
10.4%
45
89.6%
Q3 - 7:56TORMarshall 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)40
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q3 - 7:58TORCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)38
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q3 - 8:00TORDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)38
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q3 - 8:09TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q3 - 8:10TORMISS Marshall 20' Jump Shot38
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q3 - 8:27SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q3 - 8:37TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q3 - 8:37TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q3 - 8:48TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q3 - 8:50SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q3 - 9:12TORCarter 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)36
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q3 - 9:30SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q3 - 9:30SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q3 - 9:47TORWilliams 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)34
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q3 - 9:51TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q3 - 9:53SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot32
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q3 - 10:07TORMarshall 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)32
3.9%
43
96.1%
Q3 - 10:23TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)30
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q3 - 10:25SASMISS Bowen 5' Jump Shot30
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q3 - 10:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)30
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q3 - 10:39SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot30
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q3 - 11:03TORWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)30
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q3 - 11:27SASParker 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)28
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q3 - 11:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
3.0%
41
97.0%
Q3 - 11:45TORMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot28
3.1%
41
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR28
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound28
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot28
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0TORMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 228
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASParker 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)27
3.7%
39
96.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
4.0%
39
96.0%
Q2 - 1:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)27
4.0%
39
96.0%
Q2 - 1:09TORMISS Carter 13' Jump Bank Shot27
4.0%
39
96.0%
Q2 - 1:32TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
4.2%
39
95.8%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Ginobili 11' Fadeaway Jumper27
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q2 - 1:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
4.0%
39
96.0%
Q2 - 1:48SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 227
4.2%
39
95.8%
Q2 - 1:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)27
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q2 - 1:52TORGinobili STEAL (2 STL)27
4.5%
38
95.5%
Q2 - 2:06SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 127
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 2:06SASDuncan 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)27
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 2:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 2:10SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 2:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 2:29TORMISS Carter 5' Jump Shot27
5.9%
36
94.1%
Q2 - 2:31TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 2:33TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.9%
36
94.1%
Q2 - 2:54SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS)27
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 3:10SASSPURS Rebound27
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 3:11TORNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)27
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q2 - 3:30SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)27
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 3:48SASSPURS Rebound27
9.0%
32
91.0%
Q2 - 3:49TORMISS Carter 20' Fadeaway Jumper27
9.4%
32
90.6%
Q2 - 4:06SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T6)27
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 4:15SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
9.0%
32
91.0%
Q2 - 4:17TORMISS Baxter 9' Jump Shot27
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 4:30TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)27
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 4:32SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot27
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q2 - 4:47TORBaxter 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)27
9.0%
32
91.0%
Q2 - 5:05SASMercer 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)25
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 5:24TORCarter 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)25
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 5:48SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)23
8.2%
30
91.8%
Q2 - 6:04SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 6:06TORMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot23
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q2 - 6:22TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
10.1%
28
89.9%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot23
9.7%
28
90.3%
Q2 - 6:52TORMarshall 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 7:06SASNesterovic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)21
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q2 - 7:19TORWilliams 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q2 - 7:42SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q2 - 7:54TORBosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)19
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q2 - 7:55TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)19
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 7:57TORMISS Peterson 3' Driving Layup19
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q2 - 8:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)19
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 8:10SASMISS Nesterovic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot19
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q2 - 8:22SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q2 - 8:25TORNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)19
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q2 - 8:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Mercer 14' Jump Shot19
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q2 - 9:00SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q2 - 9:01TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 219
7.7%
26
92.3%
Q2 - 9:01TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 219
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q2 - 9:23TORBaxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 9:25SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q2 - 9:38TORBaxter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)19
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q2 - 10:00SASHorry 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)19
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 10:18SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
9.3%
24
90.7%
Q2 - 10:19TORMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot19
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q2 - 10:27TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)19
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q2 - 10:29TORMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot19
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q2 - 10:53SASHart 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q2 - 11:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q2 - 11:16TORMISS Palacio 14' Fadeaway Jumper19
11.2%
22
88.8%
Q2 - 11:40TORBaxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q2 - 11:41SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 219
11.8%
22
88.2%
Q2 - 11:41SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 219
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q2 - 11:44TORGinobili STEAL (1 STL)19
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Palacio 2' Layup19
11.2%
22
88.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASHart 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)19
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0TORMarshall 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)19
13.0%
20
87.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0SASHart Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0TORMercer STEAL (1 STL)17
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASMercer 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)17
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0TORMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 1:12TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)17
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 1:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 217
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 1:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 217
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 1:25SASSPURS Rebound17
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 1:26TORMISS Carter 16' Fadeaway Jumper17
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 1:50SASHart Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 1:50SASHart Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 1:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
15.3%
16
84.7%
Q1 - 1:54TORDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)17
15.6%
16
84.4%
Q1 - 2:02TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 2:04SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot17
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 2:24TORMarshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)17
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 2:44SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 2:58TORCarter 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)14
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 3:10SASTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 3:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9.9%
16
90.1%
Q1 - 3:26TORMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot12
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 3:44SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)12
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 3:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 3:48SASMISS Horry 16' Jump Shot12
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 4:03TORWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)12
11.4%
14
88.6%
Q1 - 4:24SASDuncan 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)10
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 4:36TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 4:36TORBosh 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 4:38TORMISS Bosh 3' Layup8
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 4:43TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
10.7%
12
89.3%
Q1 - 4:45TORMISS Marshall 3' Layup8
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 5:05TORRaptors Rebound8
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 5:07SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot8
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 5:21TORRose 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
9.7%
12
90.3%
Q1 - 5:37SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 5:53TORCarter 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 6:11TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
7.8%
12
92.2%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
7.6%
12
92.4%
Q1 - 6:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.2%
12
92.8%
Q1 - 6:38TORMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
7.4%
12
92.6%
Q1 - 7:01SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)4
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 7:20TORRose 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)4
8.4%
10
91.6%
Q1 - 7:34SASDuncan 1' Layup (5 PTS)2
7.9%
10
92.1%
Q1 - 7:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
8.4%
8
91.6%
Q1 - 7:50TORMISS Bosh 11' Fadeaway Jumper2
8.6%
8
91.4%
Q1 - 8:16SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
8.9%
8
91.1%
Q1 - 8:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.2%
5
89.8%
Q1 - 8:32TORMISS Rose 23' Jump Shot2
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 8:50TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
11.0%
5
89.0%
Q1 - 8:53SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot2
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 9:14TORRose Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)2
10.0%
5
90.0%
Q1 - 9:23TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
10.9%
5
89.1%
Q1 - 9:25TORMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot2
10.3%
5
89.7%
Q1 - 9:34TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.9%
5
89.1%
Q1 - 9:35SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot2
10.6%
5
89.4%
Q1 - 9:59TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
10.0%
5
90.0%
Q1 - 10:17SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
10.8%
5
89.2%
Q1 - 10:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 22
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 10:33TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
10.7%
4
89.3%
Q1 - 10:38TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.6%
4
88.4%
Q1 - 10:40SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot2
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 10:53TORRose 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
10.7%
4
89.3%
Q1 - 11:13SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
10.1%
4
89.9%
Q1 - 11:21SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 11:23TORMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot0
11.0%
2
89.0%
Q1 - 11:41SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.5%
2
88.5%
Q1 - 11:41SASNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
11.5%
2
88.5%
Q1 - 11:43SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup0
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bosh: Tip to Parker0
12.3%
0
87.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.88 43.8%
SAS
0.83 41.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
10
22
45%
SAS
13
21
62%
Midrange
TOR
15
39
38%
SAS
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
SAS
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
Free Throws
TOR
11
15
73%
SAS
15
27
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Marshall1973%9.5 / 13
V. Carter1636%8.0 / 22
J. Rose1454%7.0 / 13
A. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
C. Bosh623%3.0 / 13
L. Baxter563%2.5 / 4
M. Peterson0-0.0 / 2
M. Palacio0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3050%15.0 / 30
T. Parker1657%8.0 / 14
R. Mercer857%4.0 / 7
J. Hart6100%3.0 / 3
R. Nesterovic422%2.0 / 9
M. Ginobili425%2.0 / 8
R. Horry330%1.5 / 5
M. Rose233%1.0 / 3
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
69
+10
-14
79
SAS
74
+13
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.88 43.8%
SAS
0.83 41.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
100.0
TOR 84.3
SAS 85.9 +1.5
Pace
89.2
91.3
TOR 93.6 +17.2
SAS 76.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.0
TOR 15.4 +3.5
SAS 18.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.4%
47.3%
TOR 42.1% +1.3%
SAS 40.8%
TO %
14.7%
15.4%
TOR 16.4%
SAS 11.7% +4.7%
ORB %
23.9%
29.5%
TOR 23.7% +1.0%
SAS 22.7%
FTrt
26.0
32.2
TOR 21.4
SAS 38.0 +16.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
59.0%
TOR 67.9% +14.3%
SAS 53.6%
STL %
8.1%
8.8%
TOR 7.2% +1.3%
SAS 5.9%
BLK %
7.3%
9.9%
TOR 1.8%
SAS 13.1% +11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.0%
48.6%
TOR 43.8% +2.3%
SAS 41.5%
Rim FG%
56.0%
57.6%
TOR 45.5%
SAS 61.9% +16.4%
Mid FG%
36.6%
37.0%
TOR 38.5% +2.4%
SAS 36.1%
3P %
35.6%
35.8%
TOR 33.3% +19.0%
SAS 14.3%
FT %
75.0%
68.1%
TOR 73.3% +17.7%
SAS 55.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.0%
35.9%
TOR 31.4% +1.9%
SAS 29.6%
Mid Att. %
51.6%
46.4%
TOR 55.7%
SAS 50.7% +5.0%
3P Att. %
20.4%
17.7%
TOR 12.9%
SAS 19.7% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsTORSAS
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points7073
Rebounds4339
Assists1915
Steals65
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)29 (5)
Field Goals28-7028-71
At-the-Rim FG10-2213-21
Midrange FG15-3913-36
2-Point FG25-6126-57
3-Point FG3-92-14
Free Throws11-1515-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
42.3
19
73%
14
1
1
1
0
4
1
13
0-0
-
5-7
71%
3-6
50%
G · 6'8" 215 · 31
39.1
14
54%
4
2
0
0
7
3
0
4
8-8
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 220 · 27
39.0
16
36%
4
5
1
0
2
4
3
1
2-4
50%
7-20
35%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 20
36.0
6
23%
12
1
0
0
2
0
5
7
0-2
0%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 29
33.0
10
63%
4
7
2
0
1
6
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 260 · 25
17.7
5
63%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
16.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
12.0
0
0%
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 23
F · 6'7" 235 · 31
F · 6'10" 260 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
44%
43
19
6
1
14
0
9
34
11-15
73%
25-61
41%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.