FinalWin Prob.pScore
2628%87
76
1472%95
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.08083.8
PHI logo PHI
108.78076.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHI
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI76
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0PHISalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)74
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0PHIColeman Dunk (6 PTS) (Snow 7 AST)74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T12)74
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0PHIMcKie 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)74
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)74
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 1:08MIAOdom 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)73
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16PHIMISS McKie 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAThomas STEAL (2 STL)71
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:45PHIMcKie 13' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)71
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 2:10MIAWade Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)71
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 2:16PHISnow Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)69
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 2:26PHISnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 2:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 2:39PHIMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 3:02PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot69
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 3:26PHISnow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)69
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 3:48MIAOdom 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)69
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 4:12PHIRobinson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Coleman 2 AST)67
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 4:34PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot67
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 4:47PHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 4:47PHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)67
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 5:14PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q4 - 5:29PHIMISS Snow 17' Jump Shot67
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 5:53MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 266
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 6:10PHIRobinson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 6:32MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T10)66
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 6:50PHIMcKie 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)66
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q4 - 7:08MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)66
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q4 - 7:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 7:13PHIMISS Korver 28' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMcKie STEAL (1 STL)63
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q4 - 7:45PHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)63
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)63
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q4 - 8:15PHIThomas Driving Layup (17 PTS)63
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q4 - 8:36MIAAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)63
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q4 - 9:01PHIKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)61
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q4 - 9:22PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q4 - 9:24MIADalembert BLOCK (2 BLK)61
8.9%
67
91.1%
Q4 - 9:38PHIKorver 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snow 6 AST)61
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q4 - 9:43PHISnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
12.8%
65
87.2%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q4 - 10:28PHIKorver 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)61
16.4%
65
83.6%
Q4 - 10:53MIASalmons STEAL (1 STL)61
19.4%
63
80.6%
Q4 - 11:15PHISnow 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
23.9%
63
76.1%
Q4 - 11:36MIAOdom 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)61
27.9%
61
72.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA58
20.2%
61
79.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHIThomas 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Snow 5 AST)58
20.2%
61
79.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
23.8%
59
76.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)57
23.3%
59
76.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0PHIDalembert 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)56
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
23.8%
57
76.2%
Q3 - 1:14PHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 1:14PHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 1:14PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
23.6%
55
76.4%
Q3 - 1:15PHIMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot54
26.2%
55
73.8%
Q3 - 1:38PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
23.6%
55
76.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot54
24.8%
55
75.2%
Q3 - 2:01PHIThomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)54
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q3 - 2:23PHI76ERS Rebound54
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot54
24.3%
55
75.7%
Q3 - 2:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q3 - 2:40PHIMISS McKie 13' Jump Shot54
25.8%
55
74.2%
Q3 - 3:00MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)54
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 3:19PHISnow 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McKie 6 AST)52
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q3 - 3:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
23.4%
53
76.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
23.0%
53
77.0%
Q3 - 4:07PHIDalembert 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McKie 5 AST)50
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q3 - 4:23PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
23.0%
51
77.0%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot50
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q3 - 4:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
26.7%
51
73.3%
Q3 - 4:39PHIMISS Coleman 14' Jump Shot50
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q3 - 4:58PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q3 - 5:00PHIMISS Robinson Layup50
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q3 - 5:22PHISnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
23.2%
51
76.8%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot50
24.2%
51
75.8%
Q3 - 5:47PHIMcKie 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)50
26.5%
51
73.5%
Q3 - 5:54PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
33.2%
48
66.8%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot50
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q3 - 6:20PHIMcKie 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)50
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q3 - 6:37MIAGrant Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)50
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q3 - 6:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
48.2%
45
51.8%
Q3 - 6:53PHIMISS Coleman Layup50
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q3 - 7:02MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
42.8%
45
57.2%
Q3 - 7:19PHIMcKie 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)48
39.6%
45
60.4%
Q3 - 7:40PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
46.7%
42
53.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones Layup48
48.0%
42
52.0%
Q3 - 8:02PHIRobinson 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McKie 4 AST)48
50.2%
42
49.8%
Q3 - 8:17PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
53.5%
40
46.5%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot48
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q3 - 8:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
57.8%
40
42.2%
Q3 - 8:31PHIMISS Coleman 13' Jump Shot48
56.5%
40
43.5%
Q3 - 8:49PHISnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
53.6%
40
46.4%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Odom 28' 3PT Jump Shot48
54.9%
40
45.1%
Q3 - 9:08PHIColeman 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q3 - 9:31MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)48
59.3%
38
40.7%
Q3 - 9:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)45
52.2%
38
47.8%
Q3 - 9:40PHIMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot45
51.1%
38
48.9%
Q3 - 9:49PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
48.5%
38
51.5%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot45
49.6%
38
50.4%
Q3 - 10:09PHIRobinson 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
50.9%
38
49.1%
Q3 - 10:29MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)45
54.1%
36
45.9%
Q3 - 10:29MIAOdom Driving Layup (6 PTS)44
50.5%
36
49.5%
Q3 - 10:43PHIRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)42
47.4%
36
52.6%
Q3 - 11:01PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q3 - 11:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
45.9%
36
54.1%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Grant Layup42
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade Layup42
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q3 - 11:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
46.0%
36
54.0%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot42
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q3 - 11:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q3 - 11:42PHIMISS McKie Free Throw 2 of 242
45.6%
36
54.4%
Q3 - 11:42PHIMISS McKie Free Throw 1 of 242
43.2%
36
56.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
44.5%
36
55.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0PHIMISS Robinson 7' Jump Shot42
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade Slam Dunk (17 PTS)42
42.2%
36
57.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0PHIMcKie Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)40
38.1%
36
61.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
35.3%
36
64.7%
Q2 - 1:02PHIMcKie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 1:02PHIMcKie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 1:23MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)38
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 1:52PHIColeman 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
37.5%
34
62.5%
Q2 - 2:05PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
40.6%
32
59.4%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade Layup38
41.5%
32
58.5%
Q2 - 2:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q2 - 2:14PHIMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot38
42.6%
32
57.4%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)38
40.7%
32
59.3%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)37
37.7%
32
62.3%
Q2 - 2:39PHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
34.6%
32
65.4%
Q2 - 2:39PHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
35.3%
31
64.7%
Q2 - 2:51PHISnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
37.8%
30
62.2%
Q2 - 2:52PHIMISS Thomas Layup35
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 3:20MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
36.4%
30
63.6%
Q2 - 3:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 3:44PHISalmons Layup (2 PTS) (Coleman 1 AST)33
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 4:00PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot33
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 4:18PHIColeman Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)33
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 4:31PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
35.7%
28
64.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot33
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 4:52PHIRobinson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)33
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 4:55PHI76ERS Rebound33
35.7%
28
64.3%
Q2 - 4:56PHIMISS Dalembert 6' Jump Shot33
37.6%
28
62.4%
Q2 - 5:20MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)33
35.1%
28
64.9%
Q2 - 5:45PHIDalembert Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)33
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 5:55PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
35.1%
28
64.9%
Q2 - 5:57PHIMISS McKie 20' Jump Shot33
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q2 - 6:27PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
34.5%
28
65.5%
Q2 - 6:29PHIMISS Snow 9' Jump Shot33
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q2 - 6:51MIAWoods Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)33
34.5%
28
65.5%
Q2 - 7:08PHIMcKie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)31
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q2 - 7:21MIADalembert STEAL (1 STL)31
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q2 - 7:43PHISnow Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
32.0%
28
68.0%
Q2 - 7:56MIAAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)31
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q2 - 8:16PHIDalembert 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)28
29.5%
26
70.5%
Q2 - 8:32PHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot28
32.2%
24
67.8%
Q2 - 8:59PHIHamilton 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)28
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q2 - 9:17PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot28
36.2%
22
63.8%
Q2 - 9:32MIAHeat Rebound28
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIADalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)28
36.2%
22
63.8%
Q2 - 9:44PHISalmons Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)28
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q2 - 9:48PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot28
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q2 - 10:03PHIKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q2 - 10:24MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)28
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q2 - 10:38MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot26
31.6%
22
68.4%
Q2 - 10:57MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q2 - 10:59PHIMISS Salmons 7' Jump Shot26
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q2 - 11:04PHI76ERS Rebound26
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q2 - 11:04PHIMISS McKie Layup26
31.8%
22
68.2%
Q2 - 11:09MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)26
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q2 - 11:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
32.5%
22
67.5%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q2 - 11:45PHIMcKie 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)26
32.5%
22
67.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHI26
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0PHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)26
36.1%
20
63.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0PHIRobinson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)26
41.1%
17
58.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHISalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
38.4%
17
61.6%
Q1 - 1:00MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)24
36.6%
17
63.4%
Q1 - 1:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
33.9%
17
66.1%
Q1 - 1:10PHIMISS Snow 9' Jump Shot22
33.4%
17
66.6%
Q1 - 1:31MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)22
32.3%
17
67.7%
Q1 - 1:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
28.7%
17
71.3%
Q1 - 2:02PHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)20
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 2:02PHIThomas Layup (8 PTS) (McKie 3 AST)20
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 2:23MIAOdom Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 2:32PHISnow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 2:36PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Wade Layup18
30.6%
14
69.4%
Q1 - 2:56PHIRobinson 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McKie 2 AST)18
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 3:02PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
33.8%
12
66.2%
Q1 - 3:26PHIRobinson 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 3:47MIAJones 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)18
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 4:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
34.8%
10
65.2%
Q1 - 4:10PHIMISS Coleman 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
34.1%
10
65.9%
Q1 - 4:18PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 4:19MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
34.8%
10
65.2%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Odom Dunk16
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade Layup16
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 4:41PHIThomas Running Layup (6 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)16
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 4:47PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot16
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot16
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 5:16PHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 5:16PHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 5:34MIAJones 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 6:02PHIThomas Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (McKie 1 AST)14
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 6:09MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)14
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 6:21MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 6:22PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 6:22PHIMISS Thomas Tip Shot14
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 6:25PHIMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot14
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 6:38MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 6:38MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 6:53PHISnow Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 7:04PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Odom Layup12
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 7:29MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 7:30PHIMISS Thomas Layup12
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 7:40PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot12
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 7:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 7:56PHIMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot12
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 8:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 8:23PHIMISS McKie 23' Jump Shot10
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 8:47MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)10
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 9:02PHIRobinson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 9:21MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)8
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 9:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 9:37PHIMISS Coleman Layup6
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 10:06PHIRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)4
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 10:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 10:29MIAJones Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Jones 3' Layup2
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 10:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot2
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 11:01PHIColeman Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:29PHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 11:41PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:44MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)0
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 12:00PHIJump Ball Coleman vs. Grant: Tip to Wade0
22.2%
0
77.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.7%
PHI
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
27
56%
PHI
9
16
56%
Midrange
MIA
10
29
34%
PHI
21
36
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
PHI
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
14
15
93%
PHI
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2258%11.0 / 19
E. Jones2045%10.0 / 22
L. Odom1753%8.5 / 16
B. Grant880%4.0 / 5
R. Alston536%2.5 / 7
C. Butler213%1.0 / 8
L. Woods2100%1.0 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. McKie2071%10.0 / 14
G. Robinson1959%9.5 / 16
K. Thomas1765%8.5 / 13
E. Snow857%4.0 / 7
K. Korver770%3.5 / 5
D. Coleman638%3.0 / 8
S. Dalembert675%3.0 / 4
J. Salmons250%1.0 / 2
Z. Hamilton2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+12
-10
82
PHI
62
+8
-18
70
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.7%
PHI
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
96.7
MIA 95.0 +13.8
PHI 108.8
Pace
90.6
90.3
MIA 83.8 +7.2
PHI 76.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.9
MIA 17.2 +1.6
PHI 18.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.6%
MIA 43.1%
PHI 60.5% +17.4%
TO %
14.4%
16.2%
MIA 13.2% +7.7%
PHI 20.9%
ORB %
27.5%
28.4%
MIA 26.8% +3.7%
PHI 23.1%
FTrt
29.8
32.1
MIA 20.8
PHI 22.6 +1.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
61.1%
MIA 48.3%
PHI 65.7% +17.4%
STL %
7.9%
8.8%
MIA 13.8% +5.0%
PHI 8.8%
BLK %
6.3%
7.1%
MIA 5.8% +0.4%
PHI 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
47.6%
MIA 44.7%
PHI 60.4% +15.7%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.2%
MIA 55.6%
PHI 56.3% +0.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.4%
MIA 34.5%
PHI 58.3% +23.8%
3P %
35.7%
34.2%
MIA 25.0%
PHI 50.0% +25.0%
FT %
76.2%
75.3%
MIA 93.3% +7.6%
PHI 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
35.5%
MIA 37.5% +11.7%
PHI 25.8%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
48.6%
MIA 40.3% +17.8%
PHI 58.1%
3P Att. %
21.1%
15.8%
MIA 22.2% +6.1%
PHI 16.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAPHI
Possessions8080
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points7687
Rebounds3136
Assists1423
Steals117
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals29-7235-62
At-the-Rim FG15-279-16
Midrange FG10-2921-36
2-Point FG25-5630-52
3-Point FG4-165-10
Free Throws14-1512-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
43.5
22
58%
3
3
4
0
4
1
0
3
3-3
100%
8-16
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
41.2
20
45%
3
0
0
0
1
4
1
2
5-6
83%
6-15
40%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
35.4
8
80%
9
2
4
0
1
3
4
5
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
28.9
2
13%
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
28.3
17
53%
3
4
1
1
3
5
1
2
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
22.0
5
36%
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
21.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
12.7
2
100%
1
1
1
2
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
2.3
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
45%
31
14
11
3
10
0
11
20
14-15
93%
25-56
45%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.