FinalWin Prob.pScore
2642%93
79
2858%96
97
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
88.88988.7
MIA logo MIA
110.28888.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL79
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMohammed Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)79
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMohammed Driving Layup (5 PTS)78
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLButler STEAL (3 STL)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHEAT Rebound76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20ATLMISS Nailon 7' Jump Shot76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35ATLMISS Hansen 13' Jump Shot76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ATLNailon 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26ATLMISS Mohammed 19' Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53ATLMISS Dickau 6' Running Jump Shot74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23ATLMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23ATLMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30ATLMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02ATLMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAWade Layup (32 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 4:24ATLOdom STEAL (2 STL)73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:31ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:53ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (16 PTS)73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:56ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:58ATLMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 5:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:29ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 9' Jump Shot71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:38ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)71
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 6:06ATLMISS Ratliff Free Throw 2 of 271
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 6:06ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 6:23MIAWade Driving Layup (30 PTS)70
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 6:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)70
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 6:41ATLMISS Glover 18' Jump Shot70
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 7:00MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T7)70
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 7:10ATLAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)70
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 7:27MIAOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)70
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 7:45MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Haslem Layup70
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 7:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)70
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup70
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)70
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 8:33ATLHansen Dunk (2 PTS)70
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 8:34ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 8:37ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot68
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 168
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWoods 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)68
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 9:47ATLAbdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 10:04ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)66
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Haslem 6' Hook Shot66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)66
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Haslem Layup66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)66
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 10:19ATLMISS Hansen 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 10:39ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 11:03ATLMISS Glover Free Throw 1 of 166
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 11:03ATLGlover Driving Layup (9 PTS)66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 11:06ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Woods 5' Jump Shot64
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 11:09MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup64
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 11:17MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 11:19ATLMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot64
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 11:39ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL64
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound64
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLOdom STEAL (1 STL)64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot64
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup62
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 1:16ATLAlston STEAL (1 STL)62
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAOdom 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)62
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 1:51ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)62
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q3 - 1:51ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 1:53ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)59
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWade Dunk (28 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)59
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 2:26ATLButler STEAL (2 STL)59
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 2:46ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Butler Layup59
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 2:58ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 8' Jump Shot59
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 3:16MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)59
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 3:32ATLTerry 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWade Layup (26 PTS)57
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Grant Layup57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 4:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)57
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 4:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q3 - 4:14ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 12' Jump Shot57
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 4:28ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 4:30ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 4:42ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 5:00MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)57
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q3 - 5:02ATLMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 5:17MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)57
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 5:38ATLTerry Layup (11 PTS) (Vaughn 9 AST)57
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 5:41ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
8.9%
67
91.1%
Q3 - 5:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 6:00ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 6:22MIAJones 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)55
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 6:27ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)55
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 6:54MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
13.2%
65
86.8%
Q3 - 7:20ATLRatliff 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)55
17.5%
62
82.5%
Q3 - 7:30ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 7:32MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot53
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 7:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 7:41ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot53
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (24 PTS)53
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 8:14MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)53
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 8:16ATLMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot53
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 8:24MIAOdom Driving Layup (9 PTS)53
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 8:45ATLJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 3 AST)53
22.8%
58
77.2%
Q3 - 8:58MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)50
18.2%
58
81.8%
Q3 - 9:20ATLJackson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vaughn 8 AST)50
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 9:37MIAWade Dunk (22 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)48
14.4%
58
85.6%
Q3 - 9:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)48
16.2%
56
83.8%
Q3 - 9:47ATLOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)48
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 10:07MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)48
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 10:26ATLRatliff 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)48
16.6%
56
83.4%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)46
14.9%
56
85.1%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)46
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 10:49ATLMISS Terry 6' Running Jump Shot46
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 11:06MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)46
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
19.1%
53
80.9%
Q3 - 11:19ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 9' Hook Shot46
19.8%
53
80.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)46
21.4%
53
78.6%
Q3 - 11:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
26.3%
50
73.7%
Q3 - 11:43ATLMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
29.3%
50
70.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
26.3%
50
73.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
28.7%
50
71.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
27.4%
50
72.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot46
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLJackson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
27.3%
50
72.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 244
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 1:07ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)44
25.4%
49
74.6%
Q2 - 1:07ATLRatliff 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 2 AST)43
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
19.8%
49
80.2%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 1:40ATLGlover Dunk (4 PTS) (Vaughn 7 AST)41
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 2:01MIAJones 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
20.7%
47
79.3%
Q2 - 2:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot39
24.4%
45
75.6%
Q2 - 2:36ATLGlover 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 6 AST)39
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 2:56MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)37
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 3:14ATLRatliff 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vaughn 5 AST)37
23.3%
43
76.7%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWade Layup (17 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)35
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 3:46ATLAbdur-Rahim 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)35
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 4:07MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
21.7%
41
78.3%
Q2 - 4:41ATLVaughn Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
23.7%
39
76.3%
Q2 - 4:59ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 5:01ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 17' Jump Shot31
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 5:28MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS)31
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 5:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
23.9%
37
76.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup31
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 5:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)31
23.9%
37
76.1%
Q2 - 5:42ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)31
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 5:55MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 5:55MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 6:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q2 - 6:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q2 - 6:31MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)31
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 6:45ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
30.6%
34
69.4%
Q2 - 6:45ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
30.3%
34
69.7%
Q2 - 6:55ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
28.8%
34
71.2%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Alston 9' Running Jump Shot29
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 7:16MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q2 - 7:18ATLMISS Mohammed 18' Jump Shot29
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 7:26ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot29
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 7:48ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Woods 10' Hook Shot29
28.4%
34
71.6%
Q2 - 7:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 8:01ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 8:06MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
29.2%
34
70.8%
Q2 - 8:12MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 8:14ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 6' Running Jump Shot29
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 8:30MIAWoods Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)29
29.2%
34
70.8%
Q2 - 8:52MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)29
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 8:54ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 229
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 8:54ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
28.6%
34
71.4%
Q2 - 9:00ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 9:23ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q2 - 9:23ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)27
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 9:43MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)26
23.4%
34
76.6%
Q2 - 10:05ATLJackson 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q2 - 10:22MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)24
25.5%
31
74.5%
Q2 - 10:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
29.1%
28
70.9%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot24
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q2 - 10:50ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)24
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 11:11MIAWade Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)21
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q2 - 11:18ATLButler STEAL (1 STL)21
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 11:31ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot21
28.6%
26
71.4%
Q2 - 11:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 11:41ATLWoods BLOCK (1 BLK)21
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q2 - 11:42ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q2 - 11:44ATLMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot21
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)21
29.0%
26
71.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)21
31.0%
25
69.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLNailon 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)21
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31.1%
23
68.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot19
30.6%
23
69.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.5%
23
70.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Mohammed Reverse Layup19
30.0%
23
70.0%
Q1 - 1:03ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
31.1%
23
68.9%
Q1 - 1:05ATLMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot19
30.0%
23
70.0%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 119
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q1 - 1:12MIAOdom Driving Layup (5 PTS)19
31.1%
23
68.9%
Q1 - 1:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 1:25ATLMISS Nailon 18' Jump Shot19
34.2%
21
65.8%
Q1 - 1:47MIAButler Reverse Layup (2 PTS)19
35.3%
21
64.7%
Q1 - 1:58MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
38.0%
19
62.0%
Q1 - 2:00ATLMISS Glover Driving Layup19
38.5%
19
61.5%
Q1 - 2:08ATLNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot19
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 2:21ATLNailon Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 2:39ATLHawks Rebound19
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 2:41ATLMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot19
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 2:45ATLHawks Rebound19
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 2:46ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)19
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)19
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 3:20ATLNailon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)19
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q1 - 3:39MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)17
40.0%
17
60.0%
Q1 - 3:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 3:47ATLMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot17
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 3:56ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot17
43.7%
15
56.3%
Q1 - 4:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 4:08ATLMISS Ratliff 7' Hook Shot17
42.4%
15
57.6%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
44.2%
15
55.8%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWade Tip Shot (8 PTS)17
44.2%
15
55.8%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup17
47.8%
13
52.2%
Q1 - 4:47ATLRatliff 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)17
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 5:12MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 5:32ATLJackson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
47.6%
10
52.4%
Q1 - 5:52MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
45.7%
10
54.3%
Q1 - 5:52MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)13
47.8%
9
52.2%
Q1 - 5:52MIAOdom 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 6:00MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
51.8%
6
48.2%
Q1 - 6:01ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Reverse Layup13
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 6:07ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
53.2%
6
46.8%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Butler Layup13
52.5%
6
47.5%
Q1 - 6:21ATLAbdur-Rahim Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)13
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 6:33MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
53.2%
6
46.8%
Q1 - 6:49ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)13
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 6:56ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
51.2%
4
48.8%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot10
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 7:08ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)10
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 7:13ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
50.3%
4
49.7%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot10
49.7%
4
50.3%
Q1 - 7:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 7:32ATLMISS Glover 22' Jump Shot10
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIAWade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 8:09ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
52.0%
2
48.0%
Q1 - 8:09ATLAbdur-Rahim 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)9
50.2%
2
49.8%
Q1 - 8:12MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 8:18MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 8:20ATLGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)7
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 8:39ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot7
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 8:53MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 8:55ATLMISS Jackson Layup7
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)7
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 9:22MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 9:24ATLMISS Vaughn Layup7
50.5%
0
49.5%
Q1 - 9:28ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup7
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 9:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 9:47ATLMISS Ratliff 13' Jump Shot7
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 9:51ATLHawks Rebound7
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 9:53ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot7
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 10:03ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
51.8%
0
48.2%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Grant Dunk7
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 10:25ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)7
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 10:32MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 10:48ATLVaughn Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)4
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 10:56ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.5%
0
57.5%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot2
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 11:18ATLAbdur-Rahim 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 11:39ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot0
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Ratliff: Tip to Wade0
37.0%
0
63.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.85 42.5%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
11
19
58%
MIA
20
37
54%
Midrange
ATL
16
50
32%
MIA
11
29
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
ATL
13
17
76%
MIA
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Abdur-Rahim1636%8.0 / 22
J. Terry1346%6.5 / 14
T. Ratliff1260%6.0 / 10
S. Jackson1146%5.5 / 12
D. Glover945%4.5 / 10
N. Mohammed643%3.0 / 7
L. Nailon643%3.0 / 7
J. Vaughn450%2.0 / 4
T. Hansen233%1.0 / 3
D. Dickau0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3267%16.0 / 24
E. Jones2285%11.0 / 13
L. Odom1959%9.5 / 16
R. Alston620%3.0 / 15
B. Grant422%2.0 / 9
C. Butler425%2.0 / 8
U. Haslem433%2.0 / 6
L. Woods440%2.0 / 5
R. Butler250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
78
+15
-11
93
MIA
81
+19
-7
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.85 42.5%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.7
99.3
ATL 88.8 +21.5
MIA 110.2
Pace
93.1
90.6
ATL 88.7 +0.4
MIA 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.0
ATL 16.2 +0.1
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
46.3%
ATL 41.3%
MIA 46.5% +5.2%
TO %
16.6%
14.4%
ATL 11.2%
MIA 6.8% +4.4%
ORB %
28.7%
27.5%
ATL 23.4%
MIA 34.6% +11.2%
FTrt
30.3
29.8
ATL 21.3
MIA 25.6 +4.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
57.3%
ATL 54.8% +3.4%
MIA 51.4%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
ATL 4.5%
MIA 9.1% +4.6%
BLK %
7.6%
6.3%
ATL 12.1% +3.4%
MIA 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.8%
48.3%
ATL 42.5%
MIA 48.5% +6.0%
Rim FG%
54.7%
53.9%
ATL 57.9% +3.8%
MIA 54.1%
Mid FG%
38.5%
36.9%
ATL 32.0%
MIA 37.9% +5.9%
3P %
33.5%
35.7%
ATL 36.4% +6.4%
MIA 30.0%
FT %
77.6%
76.2%
ATL 76.5%
MIA 77.3% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.6%
34.4%
ATL 23.8%
MIA 43.0% +19.3%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
44.5%
ATL 62.5%
MIA 33.7% +28.8%
3P Att. %
19.1%
21.1%
ATL 13.8%
MIA 23.3% +9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points7997
Rebounds4554
Assists1719
Steals48
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)18 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)36 (1)
Field Goals31-8037-86
At-the-Rim FG11-1920-37
Midrange FG16-5011-29
2-Point FG27-6931-66
3-Point FG4-116-20
Free Throws13-1717-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
35.7
13
46%
2
1
2
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-8
38%
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
34.8
16
36%
9
3
1
1
2
3
4
5
6-7
86%
5-18
28%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
34.8
4
50%
7
9
1
0
2
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 26
26.7
11
46%
5
2
0
0
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 235 · 31
26.5
12
60%
3
0
0
3
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25
26.6
9
45%
4
1
0
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 26
21.5
6
43%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
4-5
80%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 26
14.4
2
33%
3
0
0
2
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 241 · 29
8.8
6
43%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
6.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 180 · 25
3.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
43%
45
17
4
8
11
0
11
34
13-17
76%
27-69
39%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.