| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 98.9 | 91 | 81.8 |
 TOR | 98.9 | 90 | 101.4 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
79
+18
-12
97
TOR
79
+8
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.93 46.4%
TOR
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | TOR |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 90 100% | 89 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 90 94.4% | 89 5.6% |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Bosh 33' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 96.8% | 89 3.2% |
| Q4 - 0:01.0 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 90 94.4% | 89 5.6% |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | TOR | MISS Carter 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 90 92.5% | 89 7.5% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 90 50.9% | 89 49.1% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | TOR | MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot | 90 69.7% | 89 30.3% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | MIA | Wade 6' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Odom 2 AST) | 90 47.5% | 89 52.5% |
| Q4 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13) | 88 33.2% | 89 66.8% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | TOR | MISS Carter 13' Fadeaway Jumper | 88 28.2% | 89 71.8% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 88 20.1% | 89 79.9% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | MIA | MISS Odom Driving Layup | 88 23.7% | 89 76.3% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7) | 88 33.0% | 89 67.0% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | TOR | MISS Carter 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 88 28.8% | 89 71.2% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | MIA | Jones 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 88 20.9% | 89 79.1% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | TOR | Carter 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) | 86 15.6% | 89 84.4% |
| Q4 - 2:11 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 86 21.3% | 87 78.7% |
| Q4 - 2:12 | MIA | MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 24.9% | 87 75.1% |
| Q4 - 2:32 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6) | 86 34.9% | 87 65.1% |
| Q4 - 2:33 | TOR | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 30.2% | 87 69.8% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | MIA | Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS) | 86 22.6% | 87 77.4% |
| Q4 - 3:14 | TOR | Williams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST) | 84 18.2% | 87 81.8% |
| Q4 - 3:35 | MIA | Odom Follow Up Dunk (17 PTS) | 84 25.1% | 85 74.9% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12) | 82 19.1% | 85 80.9% |
| Q4 - 3:38 | MIA | MISS Alston Driving Layup | 82 15.3% | 85 84.7% |
| Q4 - 3:43 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 82 19.0% | 85 81.0% |
| Q4 - 3:45 | TOR | MISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot | 82 17.2% | 85 82.8% |
| Q4 - 4:08 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 82 13.5% | 85 86.5% |
| Q4 - 4:10 | MIA | MISS Grant Layup | 82 14.9% | 85 85.1% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12) | 82 18.7% | 85 81.3% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | TOR | MISS Curry 3PT Jump Shot | 82 17.0% | 85 83.0% |
| Q4 - 4:41 | MIA | Odom Layup (15 PTS) | 82 13.3% | 85 86.7% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11) | 80 9.7% | 85 90.3% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | MIA | MISS Odom 6' Jump Shot | 80 7.5% | 85 92.5% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | TOR | Peterson 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 80 11.2% | 85 88.8% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | MIA | Grant Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Odom 1 AST) | 80 14.7% | 83 85.3% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | TOR | Marshall 8' Jump Hook Shot (25 PTS) | 78 11.1% | 83 88.9% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 78 15.4% | 81 84.6% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 16.9% | 81 83.1% |
| Q4 - 6:27 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 78 20.5% | 81 79.5% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 16.9% | 81 83.1% |
| Q4 - 6:32 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5) | 78 20.5% | 81 79.5% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | MIA | MISS Grant 16' Jump Shot | 78 16.9% | 81 83.1% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 78 20.5% | 81 79.5% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | TOR | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 18.8% | 81 81.2% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 78 16.6% | 81 83.4% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 77 15.8% | 81 84.2% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 77 17.1% | 81 82.9% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 77 17.8% | 80 82.2% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | MIA | Haslem Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST) | 77 20.7% | 79 79.3% |
| Q4 - 8:03 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 75 17.9% | 79 82.1% |
| Q4 - 8:03 | TOR | MISS Baxter Free Throw 2 of 2 | 75 17.4% | 79 82.6% |
| Q4 - 8:03 | TOR | Baxter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 75 15.4% | 79 84.6% |
| Q4 - 8:21 | MIA | Odom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13) | 75 17.8% | 78 82.2% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | TOR | Baxter 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 9 AST) | 75 21.9% | 78 78.1% |
| Q4 - 8:51 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 75 26.4% | 76 73.6% |
| Q4 - 8:52 | MIA | MISS Odom 13' Jump Shot | 75 28.0% | 76 72.0% |
| Q4 - 9:03 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 75 31.7% | 76 68.3% |
| Q4 - 9:05 | TOR | MISS Marshall 17' Jump Shot | 75 30.0% | 76 70.0% |
| Q4 - 9:13 | TOR | Curry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 75 26.5% | 76 73.5% |
| Q4 - 9:15 | MIA | MISS Alston 5' Driving Layup | 75 28.0% | 76 72.0% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11) | 75 31.7% | 76 68.3% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | TOR | MISS Marshall Free Throw 2 of 2 | 75 31.0% | 76 69.0% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | TOR | Marshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 75 27.8% | 76 72.2% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 75 31.5% | 75 68.5% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 74 30.2% | 75 69.8% |
| Q4 - 10:12 | TOR | Williams Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS) | 73 27.0% | 75 73.0% |
| Q4 - 10:31 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 73 31.3% | 73 68.7% |
| Q4 - 10:31 | TOR | MISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 36.0% | 73 64.0% |
| Q4 - 10:31 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 73 32.6% | 73 67.4% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | MIA | Haslem Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 73 36.4% | 72 63.6% |
| Q4 - 11:05 | TOR | Baxter Layup (4 PTS) | 71 31.8% | 72 68.2% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 71 36.4% | 70 63.6% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 70 35.2% | 70 64.8% |
| Q4 - 11:37 | TOR | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 69 31.8% | 70 68.2% |
| Q4 - 11:37 | TOR | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 69 32.7% | 69 67.3% |
| Q4 - 11:37 | TOR | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 69 36.4% | 68 63.6% |
| Q4 - 11:37 | TOR | MISS Curry 8' Jump Shot | 69 40.2% | 68 59.8% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 69 36.4% | 68 63.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 69 36.1% | 68 63.9% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | MISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 35.3% | 68 64.7% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 68 36.1% | 68 63.9% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | MISS Odom Layup | 68 32.9% | 68 67.1% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | TOR | Baxter Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 68 36.1% | 68 63.9% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | TOR | Baxter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 68 41.0% | 66 59.0% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | TOR | MISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot | 68 44.5% | 66 55.5% |
| Q3 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P4.T12) | 68 41.0% | 66 59.0% |
| Q3 - 1:00 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 68 46.1% | 66 53.9% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | TOR | MISS Rose Driving Layup | 68 43.5% | 66 56.5% |
| Q3 - 1:08 | MIA | Williams STEAL (2 STL) | 68 40.1% | 66 59.9% |
| Q3 - 1:32 | TOR | Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 4 AST) | 68 45.1% | 66 54.9% |
| Q3 - 1:43 | TOR | Baxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 68 54.7% | 63 45.3% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 68 56.3% | 63 43.7% |
| Q3 - 1:57 | TOR | Peterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 68 59.7% | 63 40.3% |
| Q3 - 2:11 | MIA | Wade 6' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 68 52.7% | 63 47.3% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 66 48.6% | 63 51.4% |
| Q3 - 2:22 | TOR | MISS Baxter Layup | 66 47.0% | 63 53.0% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | MIA | Butler Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 66 43.6% | 63 56.4% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | TOR | Rose Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10) | 66 48.6% | 63 51.4% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 66 43.6% | 63 56.4% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | MIA | MISS Butler 14' Jump Shot | 66 45.1% | 63 54.9% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | TOR | Williams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 3 AST) | 66 47.9% | 63 52.1% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIA | Grant Layup (17 PTS) | 66 52.2% | 61 47.8% |
| Q3 - 3:48 | TOR | Rose Foul Turnover (P4.T9) | 64 48.0% | 61 52.0% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 64 42.0% | 61 58.0% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 63 41.0% | 61 59.0% |
| Q3 - 4:10 | TOR | Rose Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8) | 62 38.5% | 61 61.5% |
| Q3 - 4:23 | MIA | Jones 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 62 33.9% | 61 66.1% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 60 30.7% | 61 69.3% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | MIA | Marshall BLOCK (2 BLK) | 60 27.9% | 61 72.1% |
| Q3 - 4:42 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 60 30.7% | 61 69.3% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | TOR | MISS Marshall 21' Jump Shot | 60 29.5% | 61 70.5% |
| Q3 - 4:56 | MIA | Wade Tip Shot (14 PTS) | 60 26.7% | 61 73.3% |
| Q3 - 4:58 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 23.9% | 61 76.1% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 58 21.5% | 61 78.5% |
| Q3 - 5:20 | TOR | Carter Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 58 24.0% | 61 76.0% |
| Q3 - 5:30 | TOR | Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 20.8% | 61 79.2% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 21.8% | 61 78.2% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 58 24.0% | 61 76.0% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | TOR | MISS Bosh Reverse Layup | 58 23.0% | 61 77.0% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 58 20.8% | 61 79.2% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 57 20.4% | 61 79.6% |
| Q3 - 6:14 | TOR | Carter 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 56 18.6% | 61 81.4% |
| Q3 - 6:31 | MIA | Grant 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 56 21.0% | 59 79.0% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 54 18.6% | 59 81.4% |
| Q3 - 6:55 | TOR | MISS Williams Jump Shot | 54 17.8% | 59 82.2% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | TOR | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 54 16.1% | 59 83.9% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | MIA | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 54 17.0% | 59 83.0% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 54 18.8% | 59 81.2% |
| Q3 - 7:12 | TOR | MISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 54 18.0% | 59 82.0% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | MIA | Odom Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Grant 4 AST) | 54 16.2% | 59 83.8% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | TOR | Marshall Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6) | 52 14.5% | 59 85.5% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 52 12.7% | 59 87.3% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MIA | Odom 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 51 11.2% | 59 88.8% |
| Q3 - 8:24 | TOR | Rose 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 8 AST) | 49 9.9% | 59 90.1% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | Jones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 3 AST) | 49 11.1% | 57 88.9% |
| Q3 - 9:09 | TOR | Marshall 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Williams 7 AST) | 46 8.8% | 57 91.2% |
| Q3 - 9:18 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 46 10.0% | 55 90.0% |
| Q3 - 9:20 | MIA | MISS Odom Dunk | 46 10.4% | 55 89.6% |
| Q3 - 9:44 | TOR | Marshall Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Carter 2 AST) | 46 11.4% | 55 88.6% |
| Q3 - 9:47 | TOR | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 46 12.9% | 53 87.1% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 46 13.4% | 53 86.6% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | TOR | Carter 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 46 15.0% | 53 85.0% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | MIA | Grant Tip Shot (13 PTS) | 46 16.6% | 51 83.4% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 44 14.9% | 51 85.1% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | MIA | MISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot | 44 13.6% | 51 86.4% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 44 14.9% | 51 85.1% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | TOR | MISS Marshall 9' Hook Shot | 44 14.3% | 51 85.7% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | MIA | Grant Foul Turnover (P2.T9) | 44 13.0% | 51 87.0% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | TOR | Marshall 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Carter 1 AST) | 44 15.0% | 51 85.0% |
| Q3 - 11:32 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 44 16.7% | 49 83.3% |
| Q3 - 11:33 | MIA | MISS Butler 18' Jump Shot | 44 17.4% | 49 82.6% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 44 18.9% | 49 81.1% |
| Q3 - 11:42 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 44 17.4% | 49 82.6% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 44 18.9% | 49 81.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 44 16.7% | 49 83.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 38' 3PT Running Jump Shot | 44 17.4% | 49 82.6% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 44 18.9% | 49 81.1% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | TOR | MISS Rose 8' Running Jump Shot | 44 18.5% | 49 81.5% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Grant 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 44 17.5% | 49 82.5% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | TOR | Marshall 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rose 2 AST) | 42 15.1% | 49 84.9% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 2 AST) | 42 19.4% | 46 80.6% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 39 15.1% | 46 84.9% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | MISS Grant 20' Jump Shot | 39 14.3% | 46 85.7% |
| Q2 - 1:14 | TOR | Rose 20' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 39 15.3% | 46 84.7% |
| Q2 - 1:21 | TOR | Baxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 18.0% | 44 82.0% |
| Q2 - 1:22 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 18.3% | 44 81.7% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | TOR | Marshall 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rose 1 AST) | 39 19.0% | 44 81.0% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | MIA | Grant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 39 22.1% | 42 77.9% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | MIA | MISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 21.6% | 42 78.4% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 38 21.0% | 42 79.0% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | TOR | MISS Carter 6' Running Jump Shot | 38 20.7% | 42 79.3% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 | 38 20.0% | 42 80.0% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 38 19.7% | 42 80.3% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | TOR | Marshall Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS) | 36 17.7% | 42 82.3% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | TOR | Marshall Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS) | 36 18.1% | 41 81.9% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | TOR | Marshall Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS) | 36 18.6% | 40 81.4% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 36 21.8% | 39 78.2% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | TOR | Marshall Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5) | 36 23.8% | 39 76.2% |
| Q2 - 3:11 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 36 21.7% | 39 78.3% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | MIA | MISS Haslem Layup | 36 22.4% | 39 77.6% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 36 24.0% | 39 76.0% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | TOR | MISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 23.3% | 39 76.7% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | MIA | Marshall STEAL (1 STL) | 36 21.7% | 39 78.3% |
| Q2 - 3:45 | TOR | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 36 24.0% | 39 76.0% |
| Q2 - 3:45 | TOR | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 36 24.3% | 38 75.7% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | MIA | Rose STEAL (1 STL) | 36 26.0% | 37 74.0% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 36 28.2% | 37 71.8% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | TOR | MISS Carter Driving Layup | 36 27.5% | 37 72.5% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 36 25.9% | 37 74.1% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 35 25.4% | 37 74.6% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 35 25.9% | 37 74.1% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 35 26.3% | 36 73.7% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | MIA | Butler 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 35 28.2% | 35 71.8% |
| Q2 - 5:03 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 33 26.0% | 35 74.0% |
| Q2 - 5:03 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 33 26.3% | 34 73.7% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | MIA | Grant Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST) | 33 28.0% | 33 72.0% |
| Q2 - 5:48 | TOR | Marshall Finger Roll (8 PTS) | 31 25.9% | 33 74.1% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | MIA | Grant 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 31 27.8% | 31 72.2% |
| Q2 - 6:15 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 29 26.1% | 31 73.9% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | MIA | MISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot | 29 24.3% | 31 75.7% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 29 26.1% | 31 73.9% |
| Q2 - 6:31 | TOR | MISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot | 29 25.3% | 31 74.7% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | MIA | Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST) | 29 23.6% | 31 76.4% |
| Q2 - 6:52 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 26 20.2% | 31 79.8% |
| Q2 - 6:54 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 26 18.8% | 31 81.2% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 20.4% | 31 79.6% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | TOR | MISS Rose 19' Jump Shot | 26 19.9% | 31 80.1% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 26 18.6% | 31 81.4% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 24 17.2% | 31 82.8% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | MIA | MISS Alston 17' Jump Shot | 24 16.1% | 31 83.9% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 24 17.2% | 31 82.8% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | TOR | MISS Curry 18' Jump Shot | 24 16.7% | 31 83.3% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | MIA | Walker Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 24 15.6% | 31 84.4% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | TOR | Curry Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 24 17.3% | 31 82.7% |
| Q2 - 8:27 | TOR | Baxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 18.6% | 29 81.4% |
| Q2 - 8:28 | MIA | MISS Jones 16' Jump Bank Shot | 24 19.2% | 29 80.8% |
| Q2 - 8:47 | TOR | Curry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 24 20.5% | 29 79.5% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | MIA | Odom Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 24 23.8% | 26 76.2% |
| Q2 - 9:23 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 25.8% | 26 74.2% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | TOR | MISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 2 | 24 25.6% | 26 74.4% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | TOR | Curry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 24 24.3% | 26 75.7% |
| Q2 - 9:29 | MIA | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 24 25.6% | 25 74.4% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 24 27.8% | 25 72.2% |
| Q2 - 9:35 | TOR | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot | 24 27.2% | 25 72.8% |
| Q2 - 9:41 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 25.6% | 25 74.4% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 24 26.3% | 25 73.7% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | TOR | Baxter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 24 27.8% | 25 72.2% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 24 25.6% | 25 74.4% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | TOR | MISS Baxter 6' Jump Shot | 24 27.2% | 25 72.8% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 24 25.7% | 25 74.3% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 23 25.3% | 25 74.7% |
| Q2 - 10:26 | TOR | Peterson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST) | 22 24.1% | 25 75.9% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 22 27.6% | 22 72.4% |
| Q2 - 10:40 | MIA | MISS Walker 7' Jump Hook Shot | 22 28.3% | 22 71.7% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw Technical | 22 29.9% | 22 70.1% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | TOR | Curry 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 22 29.3% | 22 70.7% |
| Q2 - 11:39 | TOR | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 31.5% | 20 68.5% |
| Q2 - 11:41 | MIA | MISS Odom 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 22 32.1% | 20 67.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 22 33.6% | 20 66.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 22 31.4% | 20 68.6% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | TOR | Marshall 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 20 29.0% | 20 71.0% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 20 31.4% | 18 68.6% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 19 31.1% | 18 68.9% |
| Q1 - 0:43.0 | TOR | Rose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 18 29.0% | 18 71.0% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 18 27.5% | 18 72.5% |
| Q1 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 15 23.5% | 18 76.5% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | TOR | MISS Rose 7' Turnaround Jump Shot | 15 23.1% | 18 76.9% |
| Q1 - 1:14 | MIA | Odom Reverse Layup (3 PTS) | 15 22.2% | 18 77.8% |
| Q1 - 1:23 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 13 20.3% | 18 79.7% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | TOR | MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot | 13 19.9% | 18 80.1% |
| Q1 - 1:48 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 13 19.1% | 18 80.9% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | TOR | Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 5 AST) | 11 17.6% | 18 82.4% |
| Q1 - 2:27 | MIA | Grant Dunk (4 PTS) | 11 20.6% | 15 79.4% |
| Q1 - 2:29 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 9 19.0% | 15 81.0% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 9 18.1% | 15 81.9% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 9 19.0% | 15 81.0% |
| Q1 - 2:41 | TOR | MISS Bosh 6' Running Jump Shot | 9 18.6% | 15 81.4% |
| Q1 - 2:52 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 9 17.7% | 15 82.3% |
| Q1 - 2:53 | MIA | MISS Butler Layup | 9 18.1% | 15 81.9% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 9 19.0% | 15 81.0% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | MIA | MISS Odom 9' Jump Hook Shot | 9 18.1% | 15 81.9% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | TOR | Marshall Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 9 19.3% | 15 80.7% |
| Q1 - 3:34 | MIA | Wade Driving Dunk (4 PTS) | 9 17.7% | 15 82.3% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 7 16.6% | 15 83.4% |
| Q1 - 3:42 | TOR | MISS Williams 16' Jump Shot | 7 16.2% | 15 83.8% |
| Q1 - 3:51 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 7 15.2% | 15 84.8% |
| Q1 - 3:53 | MIA | MISS Grant 7' Jump Hook Shot | 7 15.6% | 15 84.4% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 7 16.6% | 15 83.4% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 7 16.8% | 14 83.2% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | MIA | Butler Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 7 17.6% | 13 82.4% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 5 16.7% | 13 83.3% |
| Q1 - 4:27 | MIA | MISS Grant 17' Jump Shot | 5 15.6% | 13 84.4% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 16.7% | 13 83.3% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | TOR | MISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 16.2% | 13 83.8% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 5 15.2% | 13 84.8% |
| Q1 - 4:41 | MIA | MISS Jones 16' Jump Shot | 5 15.6% | 13 84.4% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 5 16.8% | 13 83.2% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 5 16.6% | 13 83.4% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 5 15.9% | 13 84.1% |
| Q1 - 5:17 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2) | 5 16.6% | 12 83.4% |
| Q1 - 5:40 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 5 18.0% | 12 82.0% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 5 17.8% | 12 82.2% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 5 17.0% | 12 83.0% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 5 16.6% | 12 83.4% |
| Q1 - 5:50 | MIA | Marshall BLOCK (1 BLK) | 5 17.0% | 12 83.0% |
| Q1 - 6:04 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 18.1% | 12 81.9% |
| Q1 - 6:05 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 5 17.9% | 12 82.1% |
| Q1 - 6:05 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 5 17.2% | 12 82.8% |
| Q1 - 6:10 | TOR | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 18.0% | 11 82.0% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | MIA | MISS Grant 18' Jump Shot | 5 18.4% | 11 81.6% |
| Q1 - 6:28 | TOR | Marshall 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST) | 5 19.3% | 11 80.7% |
| Q1 - 6:38 | TOR | Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 20.6% | 9 79.4% |
| Q1 - 6:40 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 5 21.0% | 9 79.0% |
| Q1 - 6:55 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 5 22.0% | 9 78.0% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 21.0% | 9 79.0% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | TOR | Marshall 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 5 22.1% | 9 77.9% |
| Q1 - 7:31 | MIA | Wade 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 5 23.3% | 7 76.7% |
| Q1 - 7:37 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 3 22.1% | 7 77.9% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | TOR | MISS Bosh Layup | 3 21.7% | 7 78.3% |
| Q1 - 7:39 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 3 20.7% | 7 79.3% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | TOR | MISS Carter 12' Running Jump Shot | 3 21.6% | 7 78.4% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 3 20.7% | 7 79.3% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 2 20.4% | 7 79.6% |
| Q1 - 7:58 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 20.8% | 7 79.2% |
| Q1 - 8:00 | TOR | MISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 20.4% | 7 79.6% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | TOR | Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 19.4% | 7 80.6% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 2 19.8% | 7 80.2% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | TOR | Rose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 20.8% | 7 79.2% |
| Q1 - 8:37 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 2 19.4% | 7 80.6% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | MIA | MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot | 2 19.8% | 7 80.2% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | TOR | Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 20.8% | 7 79.2% |
| Q1 - 9:09 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 21.6% | 5 78.4% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | MIA | MISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 22.1% | 5 77.9% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 2 23.3% | 5 76.7% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Jump Bank Shot | 2 22.1% | 5 77.9% |
| Q1 - 9:35 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 23.3% | 5 76.7% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | TOR | MISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot | 2 22.8% | 5 77.2% |
| Q1 - 9:48 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 21.6% | 5 78.4% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | MIA | MISS Jones 14' Jump Shot | 2 22.1% | 5 77.9% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | TOR | Rose 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 2 23.2% | 5 76.8% |
| Q1 - 10:23 | MIA | Grant Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 2 24.3% | 3 75.7% |
| Q1 - 10:29 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 23.2% | 3 76.8% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | TOR | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 0 22.7% | 3 77.3% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 21.7% | 3 78.3% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | MIA | MISS Jones 15' Jump Shot | 0 22.1% | 3 77.9% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | TOR | Rose 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 0 23.0% | 3 77.0% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | MIA | Grant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 25.8% | 0 74.2% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 27.2% | 0 72.8% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | TOR | MISS Carter 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 0 26.8% | 0 73.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | TOR | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Grant: Tip to Marshall | 0 25.8% | 0 74.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.93 46.4%
TOR
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
31
55%
TOR
6
12
50%
Midrange
MIA
13
38
34%
TOR
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
TOR
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
18
25
72%
TOR
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 23 | 55% | 11.5 / 21 | |
| B. Grant | 19 | 59% | 9.5 / 16 | |
| L. Odom | 17 | 43% | 8.5 / 20 | |
| E. Jones | 14 | 41% | 7.0 / 17 | |
| R. Alston | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| U. Haslem | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| C. Butler | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| S. Walker | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marshall | 25 | 74% | 12.5 / 17 | |
| V. Carter | 12 | 40% | 6.0 / 15 | |
| A. Williams | 11 | 46% | 5.5 / 12 | |
| J. Rose | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| M. Peterson | 11 | 92% | 5.5 / 6 | |
| M. Curry | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
| L. Baxter | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| C. Bosh | 4 | 18% | 2.0 / 11 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
79
+18
-12
97
TOR
79
+8
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.93 46.4%
TOR
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 99.3 94.5 | MIA 98.9 +0.0 TOR 98.9 |
| Pace | 90.6 89.2 | MIA 81.8 TOR 101.4 +19.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.0 16.7 | MIA 17.6 TOR 14.2 +3.4 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 46.3% 45.4% | MIA 43.4% TOR 48.6% +5.2% |
| TO % | 14.4% 14.7% | MIA 12.1% TOR 11.7% +0.4% |
| ORB % | 27.5% 23.9% | MIA 30.4% +17.9% TOR 12.5% |
| FTrt | 29.8 26.0 | MIA 30.1 TOR 41.4 +11.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.3% 59.3% | MIA 44.1% TOR 54.8% +10.7% |
| STL % | 7.9% 8.1% | MIA 5.5% +1.1% TOR 4.4% |
| BLK % | 6.3% 7.3% | MIA 5.5% +1.2% TOR 4.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 48.3% 47.0% | MIA 46.4% TOR 50.6% +4.2% |
| Rim FG% | 53.9% 56.0% | MIA 54.8% +4.8% TOR 50.0% |
| Mid FG% | 36.9% 36.6% | MIA 34.2% TOR 44.2% +10.0% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 35.6% | MIA 28.6% TOR 40.0% +11.4% |
| FT % | 76.2% 75.0% | MIA 72.0% TOR 72.4% +0.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.4% 28.0% | MIA 37.3% +20.2% TOR 17.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.5% 51.6% | MIA 45.8% +15.6% TOR 61.4% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.1% 20.4% | MIA 16.9% TOR 21.4% +4.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | MIA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 90 |
| Possession Minutes | 26.7 | 21.3 |
| Points | 90 | 89 |
| Rebounds | 49 | 37 |
| Assists | 15 | 17 |
| Steals | 5 | 4 |
| Blocks | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (1) | 11 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 14 (4) | 5 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 35 (3) | 32 (0) |
| Field Goals | 34-83 | 31-70 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 17-31 | 6-12 |
| Midrange FG | 13-38 | 19-43 |
| 2-Point FG | 30-69 | 25-55 |
| 3-Point FG | 4-14 | 6-15 |
| Free Throws | 18-25 | 21-29 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.