for complete access.
All Games Saturday, December 13, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Rockets
30%86
73
2
Spurs
70%92
86
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
89.08278.5
SAS logo SAS
106.28184.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS73
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Norris 20' Jump Shot73
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMercer 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUPadgett Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUPadgett 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)72
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0HOUFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01HOUMISS Norris 17' Jump Shot70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08HOUNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34HOUMISS Piatkowski 13' Jump Bank Shot70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41SASMercer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52HOUPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52HOUMISS Padgett Free Throw 1 of 269
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58HOUPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00SASMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16HOUPadgett 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21HOUPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23HOUMISS Taylor 7' Jump Hook Shot66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48SASMercer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 12 AST)66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HOUTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HOUMISS Taylor Free Throw 1 of 265
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21SASWillis 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)65
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43HOUTaylor 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)65
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 3:50HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Willis 12' Jump Shot63
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15HOUNorris 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)63
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23HOUMISS Francis 12' Jump Shot61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37SASMISS Mercer 11' Running Jump Shot61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54HOUMISS Padgett 13' Jump Shot61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07SASMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17HOUPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17HOUPadgett Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47HOUFrancis 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09SASTurkoglu 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)56
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57SASHart 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)56
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11HOUFrancis 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 7:24HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)54
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26SASMISS Horry 4' Layup54
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Hart 20' Jump Shot54
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 252
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)52
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 2 of 252
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 1 of 252
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)52
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q4 - 8:58HOUMISS Piatkowski 11' Running Jump Shot52
0.3%
72
99.7%
Q4 - 9:25SASTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q4 - 9:50HOUYao 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)52
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q4 - 9:54HOURockets Rebound50
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q4 - 9:54HOUNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)50
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q4 - 10:19SASGinobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)50
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q4 - 10:33SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q4 - 10:35HOUMISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 250
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q4 - 10:35HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q4 - 10:52HOURockets Rebound49
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q4 - 10:53SASMISS Hart 16' Jump Shot49
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q4 - 11:11SASJump Ball Turkoglu vs. Yao: Tip to Hart49
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q4 - 11:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q4 - 11:14HOUMISS Norris 6' Running Jump Shot49
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q4 - 11:39SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)49
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS49
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Taylor 7' Jump Shot49
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)49
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Yao 7' Turnaround Jump Shot49
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOURockets Rebound49
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Taylor 4' Driving Layup49
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASWillis 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)49
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q3 - 1:12HOUMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)49
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q3 - 1:24HOUPiatkowski Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)46
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 1:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q3 - 1:40SASHorry 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS)45
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q3 - 1:43SASMISS Turkoglu 5' Dunk45
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 1:54SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 1:55HOUMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot45
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 2:22SASTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)45
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 2:37SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot45
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 2:58HOUFrancis 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)45
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q3 - 3:15SASParker 1' Running Layup (10 PTS)43
2.6%
59
97.4%
Q3 - 3:25SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q3 - 3:27HOUMISS Yao 7' Jump Shot43
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 3:44HOURockets Rebound43
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 3:45SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 243
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q3 - 3:45SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 4:04SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q3 - 4:06HOUMISS Piatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 4:09HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 4:11HOUMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot43
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 4:37SASTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)43
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 4:51HOUJackson 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)43
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q3 - 5:09SASBowen 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)41
4.9%
54
95.1%
Q3 - 5:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q3 - 5:24HOUMISS Francis 3' Driving Layup41
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q3 - 5:39SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)41
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 5:57HOUPiatkowski 15' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)41
9.0%
49
91.0%
Q3 - 6:18SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
8.2%
49
91.8%
Q3 - 6:18SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
8.6%
48
91.4%
Q3 - 6:18SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q3 - 6:20HOUMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot39
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q3 - 6:39SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T8)39
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q3 - 6:56HOUFrancis 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)39
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q3 - 7:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
8.5%
47
91.5%
Q3 - 7:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q3 - 7:18HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)37
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q3 - 7:32HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q3 - 7:33SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot37
10.7%
45
89.3%
Q3 - 7:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q3 - 7:47HOUMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot37
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q3 - 8:08HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
11.4%
45
88.6%
Q3 - 8:10SASMISS Duncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot37
10.9%
45
89.1%
Q3 - 8:26SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)37
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q3 - 8:29HOUFrancis 4' Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)37
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q3 - 8:48HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q3 - 8:50SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup35
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q3 - 8:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)35
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q3 - 8:56HOUMISS Francis 3' Driving Layup35
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q3 - 9:16SASDuncan 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)35
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q3 - 9:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q3 - 9:44HOUMISS Francis 2' Reverse Layup35
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q3 - 9:54HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q3 - 9:57SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup35
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q3 - 10:09HOUJackson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)35
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q3 - 10:33SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)33
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q3 - 10:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)33
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q3 - 10:47HOUDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)33
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q3 - 10:57HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q3 - 11:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)33
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q3 - 11:11HOUMISS Mobley 6' Running Jump Shot33
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q3 - 11:22HOURockets Rebound33
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q3 - 11:22SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q3 - 11:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q3 - 11:36HOUMISS Mobley 11' Jump Shot33
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU33
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)33
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0HOUJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)33
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 133
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASBowen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)33
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Francis 5' Running Jump Shot33
19.5%
36
80.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot33
20.1%
36
79.9%
Q2 - 1:11HOUYao 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)33
19.5%
36
80.5%
Q2 - 1:31SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
16.7%
36
83.3%
Q2 - 1:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
17.2%
35
82.8%
Q2 - 1:39SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
19.5%
34
80.5%
Q2 - 1:41HOUMISS Yao 5' Hook Shot31
19.8%
34
80.2%
Q2 - 1:51SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)31
20.6%
34
79.4%
Q2 - 2:09HOUJackson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)31
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 2:18HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q2 - 2:20SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot28
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 2:39HOUJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 2:39HOUJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 2:53SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)26
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 3:09HOUMobley 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)26
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 3:29SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 3:33SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q2 - 3:34HOUMISS Francis 4' Jump Shot24
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 3:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 3:44SASMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot24
12.4%
32
87.6%
Q2 - 4:03HOUYao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)24
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 4:17SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q2 - 4:17SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 4:29HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)24
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 4:45HOURockets Rebound24
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 4:46SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot24
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 4:58HOUPiatkowski 6' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)24
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 5:20SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 5:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q2 - 5:38HOUMISS Taylor 14' Jump Shot22
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 5:51SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q2 - 6:04HOUTaylor Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)22
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q2 - 6:05HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q2 - 6:08HOUMISS Francis 28' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q2 - 6:20HOURockets Rebound22
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q2 - 6:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot22
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q2 - 6:47HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q2 - 6:47HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q2 - 6:55HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q2 - 6:57SASMISS Ginobili 1' Slam Dunk20
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q2 - 7:18HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q2 - 7:18HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q2 - 7:34HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
12.4%
27
87.6%
Q2 - 7:36SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot18
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 7:51SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q2 - 7:53HOUMISS Francis 7' Jump Shot18
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q2 - 8:03SASNesterovic 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)18
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 8:17HOUTaylor 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)18
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q2 - 8:34HOURockets Rebound16
12.6%
25
87.4%
Q2 - 8:34SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot16
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q2 - 8:51HOUPiatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)16
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q2 - 8:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)13
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q2 - 8:56HOUMISS Jackson 3' Layup13
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q2 - 9:15HOURockets Rebound13
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q2 - 9:15HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q2 - 9:15HOUMISS Taylor 1' Tip Shot13
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q2 - 9:17HOUMISS Piatkowski 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q2 - 9:29HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q2 - 9:31HOUMISS Piatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q2 - 9:43HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 213
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q2 - 9:44SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q2 - 10:01HOUJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q2 - 10:07HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q2 - 10:09SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q2 - 10:18SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q2 - 10:20HOUMISS Piatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q2 - 10:36HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q2 - 10:38SASMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot11
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q2 - 10:53HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q2 - 10:53HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q2 - 10:53HOUYao 1' Layup (4 PTS)10
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q2 - 10:54HOUMISS Jackson 3' Layup8
6.4%
24
93.6%
Q2 - 11:13SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)8
6.9%
24
93.1%
Q2 - 11:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)8
8.3%
21
91.7%
Q2 - 11:35HOUMISS Taylor 12' Turnaround Jump Shot8
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU8
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)8
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
8.3%
21
91.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot8
8.8%
21
91.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0HOUMobley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)8
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
9.1%
21
90.9%
Q1 - 1:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)8
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 1:11SASMISS Hart 10' Jump Shot8
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 1:17HOUTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)8
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 1:34SASTurkoglu 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)8
9.1%
21
90.9%
Q1 - 2:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)8
10.2%
19
89.8%
Q1 - 2:05HOUHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)8
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 2:21SASTurkoglu 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)8
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 2:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)8
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 2:38HOUMISS Cato 14' Jump Shot8
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 2:52SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 3:11HOUTaylor 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 3:12HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
11.3%
17
88.7%
Q1 - 3:14HOUMISS Norris 16' Jump Shot6
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 3:38HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
11.3%
17
88.7%
Q1 - 3:40SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot6
11.0%
17
89.0%
Q1 - 4:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 4:03HOUMISS Mobley 10' Jump Shot6
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 4:26SASBowen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)6
11.4%
17
88.6%
Q1 - 4:43HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)6
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 4:49HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
13.3%
15
86.7%
Q1 - 4:51SASMISS Ginobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper6
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 5:07SASSPURS Rebound6
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 5:08HOUMISS Taylor 15' Jump Shot6
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 5:14HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 5:18HOUMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 5:38HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 5:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot6
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 5:54HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
12.3%
15
87.7%
Q1 - 5:54HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 6:11SASNesterovic 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)4
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 6:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 6:25SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot4
13.3%
13
86.7%
Q1 - 6:46HOUGinobili STEAL (3 STL)4
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 7:05SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)4
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 7:11SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
15.7%
10
84.3%
Q1 - 7:13HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot4
16.1%
10
83.9%
Q1 - 7:35SASParker 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
16.9%
10
83.1%
Q1 - 7:43HOUGinobili STEAL (2 STL)4
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 7:55HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 7:57SASMISS Duncan 9' Fadeaway Jumper4
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 8:07SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 8:09HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Hook Shot4
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 8:26HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 8:28SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot4
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 8:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 8:40HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Shot4
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 8:56SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 9:08HOUMobley 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 9:21SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
19.0%
6
81.0%
Q1 - 9:29HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)2
17.5%
6
82.5%
Q1 - 9:48SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.0%
6
81.0%
Q1 - 9:48SASNesterovic 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)2
19.0%
6
81.0%
Q1 - 9:50SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup2
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 10:03HOUFrancis Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 10:15HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 10:17HOUMISS Yao 4' Jump Shot2
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 10:34SASNesterovic 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 10:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 10:51SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 11:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:08HOUMISS Jackson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:19HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 11:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Shot2
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 11:22SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 22
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:22SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 22
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:32HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:32HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 11:47SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Cato: Tip to Parker0
22.4%
0
77.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.83 41.5%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
8
21
38%
SAS
8
15
53%
Midrange
HOU
11
38
29%
SAS
20
44
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
SAS
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
HOU
20
25
80%
SAS
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis1743%8.5 / 20
Yao1146%5.5 / 12
J. Jackson1161%5.5 / 9
S. Padgett975%4.5 / 6
M. Taylor833%4.0 / 12
E. Piatkowski844%4.0 / 9
C. Mobley750%3.5 / 7
M. Norris214%1.0 / 7
K. Cato0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili1662%8.0 / 13
R. Nesterovic1470%7.0 / 10
H. Turkoglu1354%6.5 / 12
T. Parker1045%5.0 / 11
B. Bowen956%4.5 / 8
T. Duncan833%4.0 / 12
R. Horry675%3.0 / 4
K. Willis467%2.0 / 3
R. Mercer440%2.0 / 5
J. Hart225%1.0 / 4
D. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
69
+17
-13
86
SAS
73
+11
-8
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.83 41.5%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.5
100.0
HOU 89.0 +17.1
SAS 106.2
Pace
90.1
91.3
HOU 78.5
SAS 84.8 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.0
HOU 18.3
SAS 17.0 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
47.3%
HOU 36.8%
SAS 50.0% +13.2%
TO %
17.3%
15.4%
HOU 14.4%
SAS 9.9% +4.5%
ORB %
26.4%
29.5%
HOU 30.4% +2.2%
SAS 28.2%
FTrt
28.6
32.2
HOU 34.7 +10.4
SAS 24.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.7%
59.0%
HOU 58.3%
SAS 70.6% +12.3%
STL %
7.5%
8.8%
HOU 6.1%
SAS 6.2% +0.1%
BLK %
8.6%
9.9%
HOU 10.2% +5.1%
SAS 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
48.6%
HOU 41.5%
SAS 50.0% +8.5%
Rim FG%
57.1%
57.6%
HOU 38.1%
SAS 53.3% +15.2%
Mid FG%
39.5%
37.0%
HOU 28.9%
SAS 45.5% +16.6%
3P %
36.6%
35.8%
HOU 38.5%
SAS 40.0% +1.5%
FT %
77.3%
68.1%
HOU 80.0% +13.3%
SAS 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
35.9%
HOU 29.2% +8.9%
SAS 20.3%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
46.4%
HOU 52.8% +6.7%
SAS 59.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
17.7%
HOU 18.1%
SAS 20.3% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions8281
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points7386
Rebounds4243
Assists1424
Steals55
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (6)32 (1)
Field Goals24-7234-74
At-the-Rim FG8-218-15
Midrange FG11-3820-44
2-Point FG19-5928-59
3-Point FG5-136-15
Free Throws20-2512-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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12 Houston Rockets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28
36.4
7
50%
6
1
1
0
2
4
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23
32.1
11
46%
9
2
0
3
3
1
4
5
5-5
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27
32.0
17
43%
5
5
1
0
2
4
2
3
6-6
100%
4-15
27%
1-2
50%
Jim Jackson
F · 6'6" 220 · 33
29.4
11
61%
4
0
0
0
3
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
Kelvin Cato
F · 6'11" 275 · 29
22.4
0
0%
2
0
1
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27
30.8
8
33%
8
1
1
1
2
3
4
4
2-4
50%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33
21.9
8
44%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30
21.3
2
14%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
8.4
9
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23
3.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Alton Ford
F · 6'9" 280 · 23
2.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
42%
42
14
5
6
13
0
14
28
20-25
80%
19-59
32%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.