FinalWin Prob.pScore
1354%95
88
2846%94
91
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
94.69396.8
MIA logo MIA
95.89591.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM88
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 288
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)88
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0MEMMISS Gasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot88
9.3%
90
90.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
23.2%
90
76.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 288
26.9%
89
73.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)88
19.9%
89
80.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
5.7%
89
94.3%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)85
10.7%
87
89.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0MEMMISS Gasol Driving Layup85
14.6%
87
85.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAOdom 8' Running Hook Shot (29 PTS)85
25.7%
87
74.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)85
43.7%
85
56.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 285
46.6%
85
53.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
56.7%
85
43.3%
Q4 - 1:02MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
45.8%
85
54.2%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Alston 8' Running Jump Shot84
40.7%
85
59.3%
Q4 - 1:21MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)84
32.0%
85
68.0%
Q4 - 1:21MEMWatson Driving Layup (12 PTS)83
21.4%
85
78.6%
Q4 - 1:25MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
15.3%
85
84.7%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
13.3%
85
86.7%
Q4 - 1:47MEMMiller 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)81
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 1:57MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
7.5%
85
92.5%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot79
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q4 - 2:25MEMOdom STEAL (2 STL)79
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 2:32MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Odom 7' Running Jump Shot79
7.9%
85
92.1%
Q4 - 2:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)79
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 2:58MEMMISS Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q4 - 3:15MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#18)79
10.9%
85
89.1%
Q4 - 3:37MEMPosey 9' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)79
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q4 - 4:02MIAAlston Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)77
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 4:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)77
9.2%
83
90.8%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 4:32MEMGasol 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)77
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q4 - 4:48MIAOdom 9' Hook Shot (27 PTS)75
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q4 - 4:49MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)75
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Odom Layup75
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q4 - 4:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)75
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup75
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q4 - 5:14MIAHEAT Rebound75
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot75
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q4 - 5:30MIAHEAT Rebound75
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q4 - 5:32MEMMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot75
12.8%
81
87.2%
Q4 - 5:38MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
15.8%
81
84.2%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
14.4%
81
85.6%
Q4 - 6:02MEMPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)75
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 6:19MIAOdom 7' Hook Shot (25 PTS)72
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q4 - 6:36MEMMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T17)72
10.6%
79
89.4%
Q4 - 6:46MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T17)72
14.4%
79
85.6%
Q4 - 6:59MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)72
10.6%
79
89.4%
Q4 - 7:08MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)70
10.7%
79
89.3%
Q4 - 7:37MEMPosey 8' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)70
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q4 - 7:50MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)68
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q4 - 8:04MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q4 - 8:04MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q4 - 8:04MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 8:05MEMMISS Gasol Tip Shot66
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 8:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 8:07MEMMISS Watson 6' Jump Shot66
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 8:08MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 8:11MEMMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot66
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 8:16MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 8:40MIAHEAT Rebound66
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Alston Layup66
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 8:46MEMAlston STEAL (1 STL)66
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 8:47MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 8:51MEMMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot66
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 9:09MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)66
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q4 - 9:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q4 - 9:18MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot66
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 9:36MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)66
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q4 - 10:02MEMWells 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)66
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q4 - 10:15MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 10:17MEMMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 10:21MEMWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot64
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 10:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)64
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Walker Layup64
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 10:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Walker Layup64
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 10:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 10:42MEMMISS Swift Layup64
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 11:02MIAOdom 10' Hook Shot (23 PTS)64
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot64
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q4 - 11:29MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)64
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q4 - 11:31MEMMISS Swift 19' Jump Shot64
9.5%
75
90.5%
Q4 - 11:46MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)64
10.9%
75
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Watson 11' Jump Shot64
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)64
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
20.5%
71
79.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0MEMMISS Watson 20' Jump Shot64
21.5%
71
78.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)64
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)64
28.0%
70
72.0%
Q3 - 1:04MEMWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
33.6%
68
66.4%
Q3 - 1:04MEMWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
32.6%
68
67.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)62
29.5%
68
70.5%
Q3 - 1:18MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)62
30.5%
67
69.5%
Q3 - 1:26MEMHaslem STEAL (2 STL)62
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)62
38.1%
66
61.9%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHEAT Rebound62
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 1:45MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot62
36.7%
66
63.3%
Q3 - 2:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
34.0%
66
66.0%
Q3 - 2:11MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)62
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 2:16MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)62
38.7%
66
61.3%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
34.0%
66
66.0%
Q3 - 2:29MEMMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 2:48MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)62
38.7%
66
61.3%
Q3 - 3:07MEMBattier 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wells 2 AST)62
48.0%
63
52.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
43.8%
63
56.2%
Q3 - 3:28MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
48.0%
61
52.0%
Q3 - 3:30MEMWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)60
49.4%
61
50.6%
Q3 - 3:52MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
52.7%
61
47.3%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
51.2%
61
48.8%
Q3 - 4:08MEMWright 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)60
48.0%
61
52.0%
Q3 - 4:25MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
44.3%
61
55.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot58
42.8%
61
57.2%
Q3 - 4:50MEMPosey Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)58
39.5%
61
60.5%
Q3 - 4:53MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup56
34.6%
61
65.4%
Q3 - 5:02MEMWalker STEAL (1 STL)56
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 5:19MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)56
36.6%
61
63.4%
Q3 - 5:35MEMWright 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)56
40.2%
59
59.8%
Q3 - 5:46MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot54
35.3%
59
64.7%
Q3 - 6:15MEMMiller 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
33.4%
59
66.6%
Q3 - 6:32MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)52
30.1%
59
69.9%
Q3 - 6:32MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)52
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 6:55MEMMiller Layup (2 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)52
33.3%
57
66.7%
Q3 - 6:59MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Grant Layup50
29.5%
57
70.5%
Q3 - 7:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
27.0%
57
73.0%
Q3 - 7:24MEMMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
28.1%
57
71.9%
Q3 - 7:37MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
30.6%
57
69.4%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.5%
57
70.5%
Q3 - 7:46MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
27.0%
57
73.0%
Q3 - 7:48MEMMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot50
28.1%
57
71.9%
Q3 - 7:55MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)50
30.6%
57
69.4%
Q3 - 8:13MEMWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)50
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 8:33MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T10)47
22.5%
57
77.5%
Q3 - 8:49MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)47
19.6%
57
80.4%
Q3 - 8:57MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
17.6%
57
82.4%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot45
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 9:23MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)45
16.2%
57
83.8%
Q3 - 9:35MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 9:37MEMMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
13.1%
57
86.9%
Q3 - 9:58MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 10:23MEMPosey 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)43
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 10:31MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
15.3%
54
84.7%
Q3 - 10:50MEMWright 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)40
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q3 - 11:08MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)38
12.8%
54
87.2%
Q3 - 11:25MEMWatson Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q3 - 11:30MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot36
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q3 - 11:48MEMWright 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)36
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM36
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAOdom 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)36
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAGrant Tip Shot (7 PTS)34
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Odom 6' Running Jump Shot34
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot32
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 1:17MEMBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)32
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q2 - 1:32MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Grant Layup29
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q2 - 1:48MEMSwift Foul Turnover (P1.T12)29
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAButler Layup (5 PTS)29
11.0%
48
89.0%
Q2 - 2:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot29
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAHEAT Rebound29
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 2:26MEMMISS Swift Alley Oop Dunk29
12.7%
46
87.3%
Q2 - 2:30MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)29
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 2:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 2:42MEMMISS Gasol 13' Jump Shot29
12.7%
46
87.3%
Q2 - 3:03MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)29
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 3:21MEMHaslem STEAL (1 STL)29
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 3:35MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)29
18.2%
44
81.8%
Q2 - 3:35MIAHEAT Rebound29
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot29
17.6%
44
82.4%
Q2 - 4:06MEMBattier 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q2 - 4:21MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Butler Tip Shot27
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 4:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup27
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 4:30MEMGrant STEAL (1 STL)27
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 4:41MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot27
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 4:59MEMOdom STEAL (1 STL)27
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 5:03MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)27
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 5:12MEMMISS Swift 5' Running Jump Shot27
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 5:38MIAOdom Reverse Layup (15 PTS)27
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 5:58MEMPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)27
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 6:10MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot24
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 6:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)24
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 6:18MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot24
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 6:33MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot24
15.2%
42
84.8%
Q2 - 6:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 6:46MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot24
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 7:03MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 7:03MIAButler Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)24
18.5%
41
81.5%
Q2 - 7:09MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)24
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 7:10MEMMISS Wright 9' Hook Shot24
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 7:27MIAOdom Layup (13 PTS)24
21.8%
39
78.2%
Q2 - 7:32MEMButler STEAL (1 STL)24
23.5%
37
76.5%
Q2 - 7:46MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 224
25.2%
37
74.8%
Q2 - 7:48MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 8:14MEMWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)24
25.6%
36
74.4%
Q2 - 8:34MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)21
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 8:53MEMWatson 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)21
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 8:59MEMWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot19
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 9:19MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 9:21MEMMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot19
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 9:27MEMOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.8%
34
77.2%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q2 - 9:44MEMWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)19
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 9:49MEMWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.8%
34
77.2%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot19
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q2 - 10:08MEMWright Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)19
21.2%
34
78.8%
Q2 - 10:36MIAOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)19
23.1%
34
76.9%
Q2 - 10:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 10:51MEMMISS Wells 16' Jump Shot19
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 11:06MIAOdom 2' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)19
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 11:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
31.2%
29
68.8%
Q2 - 11:26MEMMISS Wells Driving Layup19
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 11:31MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q2 - 11:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31.2%
29
68.8%
Q2 - 11:43MEMWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)19
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM19
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound19
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Battier Driving Layup19
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0MEMOutlaw Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)19
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)19
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
37.7%
27
62.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0MEMMISS Wells 4' Jump Shot19
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
37.9%
27
62.1%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 1:30MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
43.0%
24
57.0%
Q1 - 1:30MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 218
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 1:30MEMGrizzlies Rebound18
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 1:31MEMMISS Wells 19' Jump Shot18
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 1:46MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q1 - 1:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Odom Layup18
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q1 - 1:54MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Haslem 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q1 - 2:17MEMOutlaw Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)18
40.9%
24
59.1%
Q1 - 2:33MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)16
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q1 - 2:47MEMSwift 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 3:03MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
41.5%
21
58.5%
Q1 - 3:03MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q1 - 3:23MEMBattier 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
43.3%
19
56.7%
Q1 - 3:27MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
41.4%
19
58.6%
Q1 - 3:29MEMMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot12
39.7%
19
60.3%
Q1 - 3:46MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)12
41.4%
19
58.6%
Q1 - 4:02MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
45.8%
16
54.2%
Q1 - 4:02MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 4:17MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
43.2%
16
56.8%
Q1 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 4:32MEMMISS Watson 5' Running Jump Shot10
42.2%
16
57.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 4:58MEMSwift 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 5:14MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 5:14MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 5:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
42.2%
14
57.8%
Q1 - 5:26MEMMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot8
42.9%
14
57.1%
Q1 - 5:40MIAOdom Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
44.5%
14
55.5%
Q1 - 5:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
46.3%
12
53.7%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot8
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
46.3%
12
53.7%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot8
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
46.7%
12
53.3%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
47.2%
12
52.8%
Q1 - 6:21MEMPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)8
46.7%
12
53.3%
Q1 - 6:38MIAOdom Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
48.8%
12
51.2%
Q1 - 6:48MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
46.7%
12
53.3%
Q1 - 6:51MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
48.8%
12
51.2%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup8
48.1%
12
51.9%
Q1 - 7:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 7:11MEMMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot8
47.9%
12
52.1%
Q1 - 7:34MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)8
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 7:58MEMPosey Layup (4 PTS)8
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 8:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
47.7%
10
52.3%
Q1 - 8:06MEMMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot6
48.4%
10
51.6%
Q1 - 8:28MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 8:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
51.5%
8
48.5%
Q1 - 8:35MEMMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot6
52.1%
8
47.9%
Q1 - 8:43MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.6%
8
46.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot6
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 9:06MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 9:06MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 9:14MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
49.8%
8
50.2%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 24
50.1%
7
49.9%
Q1 - 9:18MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
49.2%
7
50.8%
Q1 - 9:20MEMMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot4
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 9:35MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
51.7%
7
48.3%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
50.9%
7
49.1%
Q1 - 9:44MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.3%
7
50.7%
Q1 - 9:45MEMMISS Wright Layup4
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 10:04MIAOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 10:12MEMJones STEAL (1 STL)4
53.2%
5
46.8%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
55.3%
5
44.7%
Q1 - 10:38MEMPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 10:38MEMPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
56.6%
3
43.4%
Q1 - 10:54MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.3%
3
44.7%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Odom 13' Jump Shot2
54.6%
3
45.4%
Q1 - 11:18MEMWright Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)2
53.4%
3
46.6%
Q1 - 11:41MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)0
51.5%
3
48.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Gasol: Tip to Wade0
55.2%
0
44.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.01 50.6%
MIA
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
8
20
40%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
MEM
17
38
45%
MIA
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
MEM
17
19
89%
MIA
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Posey1986%9.5 / 11
E. Watson1653%8.0 / 15
P. Gasol1038%5.0 / 13
L. Wright1056%5.0 / 9
S. Swift1045%5.0 / 11
S. Battier956%4.5 / 8
M. Miller857%4.0 / 7
B. Wells422%2.0 / 9
B. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2966%14.5 / 22
D. Wade1450%7.0 / 14
B. Grant1142%5.5 / 13
R. Alston1142%5.5 / 13
E. Jones831%4.0 / 13
C. Butler850%4.0 / 8
S. Walker850%4.0 / 8
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
75
+11
-18
86
MIA
80
+18
-15
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.01 50.6%
MIA
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.5
99.3
MEM 94.6
MIA 95.8 +1.2
Pace
93.4
90.6
MEM 96.8 +5.3
MIA 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.0
MEM 14.9 +0.9
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
46.3%
MEM 48.0% +2.3%
MIA 45.7%
TO %
15.3%
14.4%
MEM 17.9%
MIA 16.5% +1.4%
ORB %
29.5%
27.5%
MEM 21.1%
MIA 31.8% +10.7%
FTrt
32.2
29.8
MEM 25.7
MIA 28.4 +2.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
57.3%
MEM 62.5% +9.6%
MIA 52.9%
STL %
10.3%
7.9%
MEM 12.9% +3.4%
MIA 9.5%
BLK %
10.3%
6.3%
MEM 17.2% +12.0%
MIA 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.7%
48.3%
MEM 50.6% +4.2%
MIA 46.4%
Rim FG%
57.4%
53.9%
MEM 40.0%
MIA 55.2% +15.2%
Mid FG%
37.4%
36.9%
MEM 44.7% +10.4%
MIA 34.3%
3P %
34.0%
35.7%
MEM 43.8% +8.5%
MIA 35.3%
FT %
72.7%
76.2%
MEM 89.5% +15.6%
MIA 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
34.4%
MEM 27.0%
MIA 35.8% +8.8%
Mid Att. %
41.4%
44.5%
MEM 51.4%
MIA 43.2% +8.1%
3P Att. %
19.7%
21.1%
MEM 21.6% +0.6%
MIA 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8891
Rebounds3844
Assists2018
Steals129
Blocks113
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)15 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals32-7434-81
At-the-Rim FG8-2016-29
Midrange FG17-3812-35
2-Point FG25-5828-64
3-Point FG7-166-17
Free Throws17-1917-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 199 · 25
38.7
16
53%
8
3
3
0
2
2
3
5
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
3-5
60%
G · 6'8" 218 · 24
38.3
8
57%
5
9
2
0
4
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
F · 7'0" 250 · 23
34.6
10
38%
5
2
0
1
2
3
2
3
4-4
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 27
29.7
19
86%
5
2
3
0
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 255 · 28
24.5
10
56%
5
0
0
2
2
4
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24
23.5
10
45%
3
1
0
5
1
2
0
3
6-8
75%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27
19.0
4
22%
3
2
2
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 25
18.3
9
56%
3
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
13.4
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 28
G · 6'1" 180 · 23
C · 7'2" 290 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
51%
38
20
12
11
18
0
8
30
17-19
89%
25-58
43%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.