| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 DAL | 108.8 | 91 | 92.7 |
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Scoring Opportunities
DAL
82
+15
-9
97
LAC
80
+13
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DAL
1.00 50.0%
LAC
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DAL | LAC |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 99 0% | 100 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | LAC | Rice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 99 1.4% | 100 98.6% |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | LAC | Rice 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 99 1.4% | 100 98.6% |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | LAC | Maggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 99 94.4% | 98 5.6% |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | LAC | MISS Maggette Layup | 99 96.8% | 98 3.2% |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | LAC | MISS Brand 8' Jump Shot | 99 92.5% | 98 7.5% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | LAC | Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 99 68.6% | 98 31.4% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | DAL | MISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 2 | 99 72.1% | 98 27.9% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | DAL | MISS Nash Free Throw 1 of 2 | 99 84.9% | 98 15.1% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 99 87.6% | 98 12.4% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | LAC | MISS Rice 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 99 83.2% | 98 16.8% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | LAC | Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 99 68.4% | 98 31.6% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | LAC | MISS Jaric 9' Jump Shot | 99 82.6% | 98 17.4% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 99 65.1% | 98 34.9% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | LAC | MISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot | 99 79.1% | 98 20.9% |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | DAL | Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 99 64.7% | 98 35.3% |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | DAL | MISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 | 98 60.1% | 98 39.9% |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | DAL | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 98 66.3% | 98 33.7% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | DAL | MISS Finley 16' Jump Shot | 98 54.6% | 98 45.4% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | LAC | Wilcox Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Jaric 7 AST) | 98 66.7% | 98 33.3% |
| Q4 - 1:35 | LAC | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 98 75.7% | 96 24.3% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | DAL | Brand BLOCK (3 BLK) | 98 78.7% | 96 21.3% |
| Q4 - 1:56 | LAC | Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 98 83.9% | 96 16.1% |
| Q4 - 1:56 | LAC | MISS Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 | 98 85.7% | 95 14.3% |
| Q4 - 2:13 | DAL | Nash 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 10 AST) | 98 82.5% | 95 17.5% |
| Q4 - 2:27 | LAC | Maggette Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16) | 96 78.4% | 95 21.6% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | DAL | Walker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 96 64.7% | 95 35.3% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | LAC | Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 96 75.7% | 95 24.3% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | LAC | MISS Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 | 96 77.8% | 94 22.2% |
| Q4 - 3:06 | LAC | Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 96 72.9% | 94 27.1% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | DAL | MISS Nash Driving Layup | 96 76.4% | 94 23.6% |
| Q4 - 3:24 | LAC | Wilcox Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Maggette 6 AST) | 96 83.3% | 94 16.7% |
| Q4 - 3:38 | DAL | Wilcox STEAL (1 STL) | 96 84.7% | 92 15.3% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 96 89.1% | 92 10.9% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot | 96 86.2% | 92 13.8% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | LAC | Brand Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Jaric 6 AST) | 96 89.3% | 92 10.7% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | LAC | Jaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 96 92.3% | 90 7.7% |
| Q4 - 4:07 | DAL | MISS Finley 16' Jump Shot | 96 93.1% | 90 6.9% |
| Q4 - 4:29 | DAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 96 94.8% | 90 5.2% |
| Q4 - 4:31 | LAC | MISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 94.1% | 90 5.9% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | DAL | Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 96 92.4% | 90 7.6% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | LAC | Brand Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Jaric 5 AST) | 94 87.7% | 90 12.3% |
| Q4 - 5:24 | LAC | Jaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 94 90.8% | 88 9.2% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot | 94 91.7% | 88 8.3% |
| Q4 - 5:44 | DAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 94 93.4% | 88 6.6% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | LAC | MISS Jaric 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 92.7% | 88 7.3% |
| Q4 - 6:07 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 94 89.3% | 88 10.7% |
| Q4 - 6:09 | DAL | MISS Finley 14' Jump Shot | 94 90.3% | 88 9.7% |
| Q4 - 6:36 | LAC | Maggette Driving Layup (30 PTS) (Jaric 4 AST) | 94 92.3% | 88 7.7% |
| Q4 - 6:59 | DAL | Jamison Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 9 AST) | 94 94.0% | 86 6.0% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | DAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 92 91.2% | 86 8.8% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | LAC | MISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot | 92 90.4% | 86 9.6% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | LAC | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 92 88.4% | 86 11.6% |
| Q4 - 7:35 | DAL | Wilcox BLOCK (1 BLK) | 92 89.3% | 86 10.7% |
| Q4 - 8:05 | LAC | Wilcox Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Overton 3 AST) | 92 89.8% | 86 10.2% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | LAC | Overton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 92 91.9% | 84 8.1% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | DAL | MISS Finley 19' Jump Shot | 92 92.5% | 84 7.5% |
| Q4 - 8:20 | DAL | Delk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 92 93.6% | 84 6.4% |
| Q4 - 8:22 | LAC | MISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 93.2% | 84 6.8% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | DAL | Jamison 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 8 AST) | 92 91.9% | 84 8.1% |
| Q4 - 8:52 | LAC | Jaric 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 90 89.9% | 84 10.1% |
| Q4 - 9:01 | LAC | Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 90 91.2% | 82 8.8% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | DAL | MISS Finley 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 90 91.8% | 82 8.2% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | LAC | Brand Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15) | 90 93.0% | 82 7.0% |
| Q4 - 9:42 | DAL | Najera Layup (2 PTS) | 90 91.2% | 82 8.8% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | DAL | Najera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 88 89.2% | 82 10.8% |
| Q4 - 9:45 | DAL | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 87.4% | 82 12.6% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | LAC | Maggette 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Brand 3 AST) | 88 88.3% | 82 11.7% |
| Q4 - 10:13 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 88 92.1% | 79 7.9% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | LAC | MISS Overton 18' Jump Shot | 88 93.2% | 79 6.8% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | DAL | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 88 92.1% | 79 7.9% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | DAL | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 87 91.8% | 79 8.2% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | LAC | Brand Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14) | 86 90.5% | 79 9.5% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | DAL | Finley 19' Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Walker 7 AST) | 86 88.2% | 79 11.8% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | LAC | MISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 1 | 84 84.2% | 79 15.8% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | LAC | Brand Layup (14 PTS) (Wilcox 4 AST) | 84 84.6% | 79 15.4% |
| Q4 - 11:31 | DAL | Finley Reverse Layup (36 PTS) (Walker 6 AST) | 84 87.2% | 77 12.8% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | LAC | Wilcox Foul Turnover (P1.T13) | 82 84.7% | 77 15.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 82 81.5% | 77 18.5% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 82 84.7% | 77 15.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MISS Najera 54' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 82.5% | 77 17.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | Najera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 82 84.7% | 77 15.3% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | LAC | MISS Dooling Driving Layup | 82 83.2% | 77 16.8% |
| Q3 - 0:19.0 | DAL | Jamison Layup (4 PTS) | 82 81.2% | 77 18.8% |
| Q3 - 0:19.0 | DAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 80 77.8% | 77 22.2% |
| Q3 - 0:20.0 | DAL | MISS Jamison Layup | 80 75.2% | 77 24.8% |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | LAC | Wilcox Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Jaric 3 AST) | 80 77.8% | 77 22.2% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | DAL | Jaric STEAL (1 STL) | 80 81.2% | 75 18.8% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | DAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 80 83.6% | 75 16.4% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | LAC | MISS Dooling Layup | 80 82.8% | 75 17.2% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | LAC | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 80 80.7% | 75 19.3% |
| Q3 - 1:25 | DAL | MISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 | 80 81.1% | 75 18.9% |
| Q3 - 1:25 | DAL | Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 80 82.7% | 75 17.3% |
| Q3 - 1:27 | LAC | Dooling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12) | 79 80.8% | 75 19.2% |
| Q3 - 1:39 | LAC | Dooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 79 77.5% | 75 22.5% |
| Q3 - 1:41 | DAL | Richardson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 79 78.5% | 75 21.5% |
| Q3 - 1:54 | DAL | Finley Free Throw Technical (34 PTS) | 79 80.8% | 75 19.2% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | LAC | Richardson Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST) | 78 76.9% | 75 23.1% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | LAC | Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 78 79.8% | 73 20.2% |
| Q3 - 2:20 | DAL | MISS Najera Driving Layup | 78 80.8% | 73 19.2% |
| Q3 - 2:24 | DAL | Finley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 78 82.9% | 73 17.1% |
| Q3 - 2:25 | LAC | MISS Brand 15' Jump Shot | 78 82.0% | 73 18.0% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | DAL | Walker 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (19 PTS) | 78 79.8% | 73 20.2% |
| Q3 - 2:53 | DAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 76 77.0% | 73 23.0% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | LAC | MISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 75.8% | 73 24.2% |
| Q3 - 2:57 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 76 73.2% | 73 26.8% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | LAC | MISS Richardson 22' Jump Shot | 76 75.8% | 73 24.2% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 76 73.1% | 73 26.9% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | LAC | MISS Richardson Layup | 76 75.6% | 73 24.4% |
| Q3 - 3:40 | DAL | Bradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 76 73.0% | 73 27.0% |
| Q3 - 3:40 | DAL | Bradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 75 72.5% | 73 27.5% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | LAC | Maggette 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 74 69.6% | 73 30.4% |
| Q3 - 4:07 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 74 72.7% | 71 27.3% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | DAL | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 74 73.9% | 71 26.1% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | LAC | MISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 1 | 74 76.0% | 71 24.0% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | LAC | Richardson Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Maggette 5 AST) | 74 76.5% | 71 23.5% |
| Q3 - 4:40 | DAL | Walker Layup (17 PTS) | 74 79.1% | 69 20.9% |
| Q3 - 4:41 | DAL | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 72 76.5% | 69 23.5% |
| Q3 - 4:42 | DAL | MISS Walker Layup | 72 73.9% | 69 26.1% |
| Q3 - 4:51 | DAL | Finley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 72 76.5% | 69 23.5% |
| Q3 - 4:52 | LAC | MISS Dooling 14' Jump Shot | 72 75.4% | 69 24.6% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | DAL | Brand STEAL (1 STL) | 72 72.8% | 69 27.2% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | LAC | Maggette 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST) | 72 76.1% | 69 23.9% |
| Q3 - 5:37 | DAL | Walker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 72 81.4% | 66 18.6% |
| Q3 - 5:57 | LAC | Brand Layup (12 PTS) | 72 84.0% | 66 16.0% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 72 86.0% | 64 14.0% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | LAC | MISS Maggette 21' Jump Shot | 72 87.4% | 64 12.6% |
| Q3 - 6:17 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 72 85.5% | 64 14.5% |
| Q3 - 6:17 | DAL | MISS Walker 12' Jump Shot | 72 86.1% | 64 13.9% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | DAL | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 87.5% | 64 12.5% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | LAC | MISS Rice 18' Jump Shot | 72 86.9% | 64 13.1% |
| Q3 - 6:40 | DAL | Finley 18' Fadeaway Jumper (33 PTS) | 72 85.5% | 64 14.5% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | LAC | Brand 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST) | 70 82.9% | 64 17.1% |
| Q3 - 7:20 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 70 84.7% | 62 15.3% |
| Q3 - 7:21 | LAC | MISS Dooling 10' Jump Shot | 70 86.2% | 62 13.8% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | LAC | Rice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 70 84.7% | 62 15.3% |
| Q3 - 7:28 | DAL | Brand BLOCK (2 BLK) | 70 85.4% | 62 14.6% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | LAC | Richardson Foul Turnover (P2.T11) | 70 86.9% | 62 13.1% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | DAL | Fortson Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST) | 70 84.7% | 62 15.3% |
| Q3 - 8:04 | DAL | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 68 82.8% | 62 17.2% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | LAC | MISS Wilcox 11' Jump Shot | 68 82.1% | 62 17.9% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 68 80.2% | 62 19.8% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | LAC | MISS Brand 20' Jump Shot | 68 82.0% | 62 18.0% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | LAC | Rice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 68 80.2% | 62 19.8% |
| Q3 - 8:32 | DAL | MISS Nash 17' Jump Shot | 68 81.0% | 62 19.0% |
| Q3 - 8:43 | LAC | Dooling Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T10) | 68 82.8% | 62 17.2% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 68 80.2% | 62 19.8% |
| Q3 - 8:48 | DAL | MISS Finley Layup | 68 81.0% | 62 19.0% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 68 82.8% | 62 17.2% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | DAL | MISS Nash 7' Jump Shot | 68 81.0% | 62 19.0% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | LAC | MISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 1 | 68 82.0% | 62 18.0% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | LAC | Brand Layup (8 PTS) (Wilcox 3 AST) | 68 82.3% | 62 17.7% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | DAL | Fortson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 68 84.3% | 60 15.7% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | DAL | Fortson Layup (8 PTS) | 68 84.3% | 60 15.7% |
| Q3 - 9:19 | DAL | MISS Nash 6' Jump Shot | 66 80.8% | 60 19.2% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | LAC | Wilcox Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Rice 1 AST) | 66 82.4% | 60 17.6% |
| Q3 - 9:38 | LAC | Rice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 84.4% | 58 15.6% |
| Q3 - 9:39 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Layup | 66 85.0% | 58 15.0% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | LAC | Rice 18' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wilcox 2 AST) | 66 86.3% | 58 13.7% |
| Q3 - 10:10 | DAL | Fortson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 66 87.5% | 56 12.5% |
| Q3 - 10:10 | DAL | Fortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 65 87.2% | 56 12.8% |
| Q3 - 10:10 | DAL | Fortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 64 86.1% | 56 13.9% |
| Q3 - 10:11 | DAL | MISS Walker Driving Layup | 64 84.7% | 56 15.3% |
| Q3 - 10:20 | DAL | Nash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 64 86.1% | 56 13.9% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | DAL | MISS Walker 6' Hook Shot | 64 84.7% | 56 15.3% |
| Q3 - 10:39 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 64 86.1% | 56 13.9% |
| Q3 - 10:40 | LAC | MISS Wilcox 7' Hook Shot | 64 85.5% | 56 14.5% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | DAL | Finley 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (31 PTS) | 64 84.1% | 56 15.9% |
| Q3 - 11:19 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 62 82.3% | 56 17.7% |
| Q3 - 11:21 | LAC | MISS Rice 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 81.6% | 56 18.4% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | DAL | Walker Layup (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST) | 62 80.1% | 56 19.9% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 60 77.9% | 56 22.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 60 77.9% | 56 22.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot | 60 76.1% | 56 23.9% |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | LAC | Wilcox Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST) | 60 77.2% | 56 22.8% |
| Q2 - 0:24.0 | LAC | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 60 80.1% | 54 19.9% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | DAL | MISS Finley 20' Jump Shot | 60 80.6% | 54 19.4% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | DAL | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 81.6% | 54 18.4% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | LAC | MISS Rice 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 81.1% | 54 18.9% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | DAL | Finley 17' Running Jump Shot (29 PTS) | 60 80.1% | 54 19.9% |
| Q2 - 1:01 | LAC | Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 58 76.7% | 54 23.3% |
| Q2 - 1:01 | LAC | MISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 58 77.3% | 53 22.7% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | DAL | Rice STEAL (1 STL) | 58 77.8% | 53 22.2% |
| Q2 - 1:10 | DAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 58 78.9% | 53 21.1% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | DAL | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 78.2% | 53 21.8% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | DAL | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 58 79.0% | 53 21.0% |
| Q2 - 1:22 | LAC | MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 78.6% | 53 21.4% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | LAC | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 58 77.8% | 53 22.2% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | DAL | MISS Nash 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 78.2% | 53 21.8% |
| Q2 - 1:46 | LAC | Rice Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 58 79.0% | 53 21.0% |
| Q2 - 1:52 | LAC | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 82.0% | 51 18.0% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | LAC | MISS Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 | 58 82.8% | 51 17.2% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | LAC | Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 58 81.7% | 51 18.3% |
| Q2 - 2:17 | DAL | Nash 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 58 83.0% | 50 17.0% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | LAC | Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 55 79.0% | 50 21.0% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | LAC | Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 55 79.6% | 49 20.4% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 55 81.2% | 48 18.8% |
| Q2 - 2:40 | DAL | MISS Walker 10' Jump Shot | 55 81.8% | 48 18.2% |
| Q2 - 3:00 | LAC | Dooling 9' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) | 55 82.9% | 48 17.1% |
| Q2 - 3:21 | LAC | Rice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 84.1% | 46 15.9% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | DAL | MISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 84.7% | 46 15.3% |
| Q2 - 3:37 | LAC | Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 55 85.8% | 46 14.2% |
| Q2 - 3:37 | LAC | Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 55 86.2% | 45 13.8% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | DAL | Finley 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Nash 5 AST) | 55 86.7% | 44 13.3% |
| Q2 - 4:09 | DAL | Nash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 85.3% | 44 14.7% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | LAC | MISS Rice 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 84.9% | 44 15.1% |
| Q2 - 4:30 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 53 83.9% | 44 16.1% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 84.3% | 44 15.7% |
| Q2 - 5:00 | LAC | Dooling Layup (3 PTS) (Wilcox 1 AST) | 53 85.4% | 44 14.6% |
| Q2 - 5:05 | LAC | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 53 86.5% | 42 13.5% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | DAL | Maggette BLOCK (1 BLK) | 53 87.0% | 42 13.0% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | DAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 53 87.9% | 42 12.1% |
| Q2 - 5:10 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot | 53 87.0% | 42 13.0% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | LAC | Maggette Driving Layup (20 PTS) | 53 87.9% | 42 12.1% |
| Q2 - 5:30 | LAC | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 89.0% | 40 11.0% |
| Q2 - 5:31 | DAL | MISS Nash 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 89.3% | 40 10.7% |
| Q2 - 5:44 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 90.1% | 40 9.9% |
| Q2 - 5:45 | LAC | MISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2 | 53 90.0% | 40 10.0% |
| Q2 - 5:45 | LAC | Dooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 53 89.2% | 40 10.8% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | LAC | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 90.0% | 39 10.0% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | DAL | MISS Best Free Throw 2 of 2 | 53 90.2% | 39 9.8% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | DAL | Best Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 53 90.9% | 39 9.1% |
| Q2 - 6:06 | LAC | Wilcox Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Maggette 4 AST) | 52 89.9% | 39 10.1% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | DAL | Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Howard 2 AST) | 52 90.6% | 37 9.4% |
| Q2 - 6:41 | LAC | Maggette 23' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 49 88.8% | 37 11.2% |
| Q2 - 6:55 | DAL | Best Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 49 89.7% | 35 10.3% |
| Q2 - 7:10 | LAC | Wilcox 4' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Maggette 3 AST) | 49 90.3% | 35 9.7% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | DAL | Finley Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 49 91.1% | 33 8.9% |
| Q2 - 7:25 | LAC | Drobnjak Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 47 90.3% | 33 9.7% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | DAL | Finley 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Best 2 AST) | 47 89.3% | 33 10.7% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | LAC | Maggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 45 88.3% | 33 11.7% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | LAC | Maggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 45 88.5% | 32 11.5% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 45 88.9% | 31 11.1% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | DAL | MISS Best 17' Jump Shot | 45 89.3% | 31 10.7% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | LAC | Maggette Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS) | 45 90.0% | 31 10.0% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | LAC | Maggette Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Overton 2 AST) | 45 90.9% | 30 9.1% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | LAC | Rice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 91.6% | 28 8.4% |
| Q2 - 8:37 | DAL | MISS Best 18' Jump Shot | 45 91.9% | 28 8.1% |
| Q2 - 8:49 | DAL | Finley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 45 92.5% | 28 7.5% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | LAC | MISS Rice 11' Jump Shot | 45 92.2% | 28 7.8% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | DAL | Jamison 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 5 AST) | 45 91.3% | 28 8.7% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | LAC | Maggette Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 43 90.6% | 28 9.4% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | LAC | Maggette Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 43 91.4% | 27 8.6% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | DAL | Finley 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Best 1 AST) | 43 92.1% | 25 7.9% |
| Q2 - 9:44 | LAC | Wilcox 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 41 91.4% | 25 8.6% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | LAC | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 41 91.8% | 23 8.2% |
| Q2 - 10:08 | DAL | MISS Finley 12' Jump Shot | 41 92.1% | 23 7.9% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | LAC | Maggette 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Overton 1 AST) | 41 92.6% | 23 7.4% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | LAC | Simmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 41 93.2% | 21 6.8% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | DAL | MISS Howard 19' Jump Shot | 41 93.4% | 21 6.6% |
| Q2 - 10:49 | LAC | Drobnjak 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 41 93.9% | 21 6.1% |
| Q2 - 11:09 | LAC | Simmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 41 94.1% | 19 5.9% |
| Q2 - 11:10 | DAL | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 94.3% | 19 5.7% |
| Q2 - 11:21 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 41 94.6% | 19 5.4% |
| Q2 - 11:22 | LAC | MISS Simmons 22' Jump Shot | 41 94.5% | 19 5.5% |
| Q2 - 11:40 | DAL | Walker 5' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS) | 41 94.1% | 19 5.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 39 93.6% | 19 6.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | Fortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 39 93.6% | 19 6.4% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | LAC | MISS Overton 21' Jump Shot | 39 93.4% | 19 6.6% |
| Q1 - 0:19.0 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 39 92.7% | 19 7.3% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | LAC | MISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot | 39 93.1% | 19 6.9% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | DAL | Finley 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 39 92.7% | 19 7.3% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | LAC | Jaric Foul Turnover (P3.T8) | 37 91.9% | 19 8.1% |
| Q1 - 1:05 | DAL | Finley 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST) | 37 91.3% | 19 8.7% |
| Q1 - 1:20 | LAC | Jaric Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 35 90.3% | 19 9.7% |
| Q1 - 1:28 | DAL | Fortson Traveling Turnover (P2.T2) | 35 89.7% | 19 10.3% |
| Q1 - 1:35 | DAL | Finley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 35 90.3% | 19 9.7% |
| Q1 - 1:37 | LAC | MISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 90.1% | 19 9.9% |
| Q1 - 1:57 | DAL | Fortson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 35 89.7% | 19 10.3% |
| Q1 - 2:08 | LAC | Simmons 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST) | 35 90.4% | 19 9.6% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 35 91.2% | 17 8.8% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | DAL | MISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 91.4% | 17 8.6% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | LAC | Maggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 35 91.9% | 17 8.1% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | LAC | Maggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 35 92.0% | 16 8.0% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | DAL | Finley Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Walker 4 AST) | 35 92.6% | 15 7.4% |
| Q1 - 2:53 | LAC | Brand Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6) | 33 91.9% | 15 8.1% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | DAL | Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Fortson 1 AST) | 33 90.6% | 15 9.4% |
| Q1 - 3:17 | LAC | Richardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 30 89.1% | 15 10.9% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | DAL | Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST) | 30 88.1% | 15 11.9% |
| Q1 - 3:47 | DAL | Fortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 28 87.3% | 15 12.7% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | LAC | MISS Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 | 28 87.1% | 15 12.9% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | LAC | MISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 | 28 86.5% | 15 13.5% |
| Q1 - 4:05 | DAL | Finley Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 4 AST) | 28 85.9% | 15 14.1% |
| Q1 - 4:09 | DAL | Nash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 85.0% | 15 15.0% |
| Q1 - 4:11 | LAC | MISS Richardson Layup | 26 84.6% | 15 15.4% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | DAL | Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 26 83.6% | 15 16.4% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | LAC | Jaric 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST) | 23 81.3% | 15 18.7% |
| Q1 - 5:16 | DAL | Fortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 23 82.0% | 13 18.0% |
| Q1 - 5:16 | DAL | Fortson Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 23 82.0% | 13 18.0% |
| Q1 - 5:19 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Shot | 21 79.8% | 13 20.2% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | LAC | Kaman 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST) | 21 80.9% | 13 19.1% |
| Q1 - 5:57 | DAL | Fortson Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST) | 21 82.0% | 11 18.0% |
| Q1 - 6:05 | DAL | Fortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 80.3% | 11 19.7% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | LAC | MISS Jaric 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 79.9% | 11 20.1% |
| Q1 - 6:28 | DAL | Walker Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 2 AST) | 19 78.9% | 11 21.1% |
| Q1 - 6:32 | LAC | Brand Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 17 77.6% | 11 22.4% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | DAL | Walker 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 17 76.1% | 11 23.9% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | LAC | Maggette 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brand 2 AST) | 15 74.5% | 11 25.5% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | LAC | CLIPPERS Rebound | 15 75.8% | 9 24.2% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | LAC | MISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot | 15 76.8% | 9 23.2% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | DAL | Nash Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 15 75.8% | 9 24.2% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | DAL | Nowitzki Layup (5 PTS) (Walker 2 AST) | 14 74.4% | 9 25.6% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | LAC | Maggette Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 12 73.5% | 9 26.5% |
| Q1 - 8:12 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 71.8% | 9 28.2% |
| Q1 - 8:14 | DAL | MISS Nash Driving Layup | 12 72.3% | 9 27.7% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | LAC | Brand Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 73.5% | 9 26.5% |
| Q1 - 8:38 | DAL | Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 12 71.8% | 9 28.2% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | LAC | Brand 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST) | 9 68.8% | 9 31.2% |
| Q1 - 9:10 | DAL | Walker 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 9 70.0% | 7 30.0% |
| Q1 - 9:13 | DAL | Finley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 7 68.8% | 7 31.2% |
| Q1 - 9:16 | DAL | Brand BLOCK (1 BLK) | 7 67.4% | 7 32.6% |
| Q1 - 9:25 | LAC | Kaman Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 7 68.8% | 7 31.2% |
| Q1 - 9:40 | DAL | Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 1 AST) | 7 70.0% | 5 30.0% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | LAC | Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST) | 4 67.2% | 5 32.8% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | DAL | Finley Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 4 70.1% | 2 29.9% |
| Q1 - 10:13 | LAC | Jaric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 68.7% | 2 31.3% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | LAC | Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 66.8% | 2 33.2% |
| Q1 - 10:24 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper | 2 67.4% | 2 32.6% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | LAC | Maggette 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brand 1 AST) | 2 68.7% | 2 31.3% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | DAL | Walker Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST) | 2 70.2% | 0 29.8% |
| Q1 - 11:10 | DAL | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 68.5% | 0 31.5% |
| Q1 - 11:11 | LAC | MISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot | 0 68.1% | 0 31.9% |
| Q1 - 11:26 | LAC | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 67.1% | 0 32.9% |
| Q1 - 11:29 | DAL | MISS Nash 12' Running Jump Shot | 0 67.5% | 0 32.5% |
| Q1 - 11:36 | DAL | Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 68.5% | 0 31.5% |
| Q1 - 11:39 | LAC | MISS Kaman 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 0 68.1% | 0 31.9% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | LAC | Jump Ball Kaman vs. Fortson: Tip to Jaric | 0 67.1% | 0 32.9% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
DAL
1.00 50.0%
LAC
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
21
35
60%
LAC
23
28
82%
Midrange
DAL
14
38
37%
LAC
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
LAC
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
DAL
11
16
69%
LAC
15
25
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Mavericks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Finley | 38 | 73% | 19.0 / 26 | |
| A. Walker | 21 | 50% | 10.5 / 21 | |
| D. Fortson | 10 | 100% | 5.0 / 5 | |
| A. Jamison | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| D. Nowitzki | 9 | 38% | 4.5 / 12 | |
| S. Nash | 6 | 23% | 3.0 / 13 | |
| E. Najera | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| S. Bradley | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| T. Best | 1 | 17% | 0.5 / 3 | |
| J. Howard | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Clippers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Maggette | 30 | 65% | 15.0 / 23 | |
| C. Wilcox | 21 | 75% | 10.5 / 14 | |
| E. Brand | 18 | 60% | 9.0 / 15 | |
| Q. Richardson | 8 | 33% | 4.0 / 12 | |
| G. Rice | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| K. Dooling | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| M. Jaric | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| C. Kaman | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| P. Drobnjak | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| B. Simmons | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| D. Overton | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
DAL
82
+15
-9
97
LAC
80
+13
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DAL
1.00 50.0%
LAC
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 109.8 100.2 | DAL 108.8 +4.6 LAC 104.2 |
| Pace | 95.3 94.0 | DAL 92.7 LAC 94.3 +1.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.9 15.2 | DAL 15.5 LAC 15.3 +0.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.5% 45.3% | DAL 50.0% LAC 54.5% +4.5% |
| TO % | 12.3% 16.5% | DAL 8.7% +6.5% LAC 15.2% |
| ORB % | 31.4% 32.9% | DAL 25.6% +6.2% LAC 19.4% |
| FTrt | 25.6 35.0 | DAL 18.2 LAC 32.1 +13.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 59.1% 58.7% | DAL 58.5% LAC 73.2% +14.7% |
| STL % | 8.3% 7.7% | DAL 8.8% +4.6% LAC 4.2% |
| BLK % | 8.2% 6.9% | DAL 3.1% LAC 8.2% +5.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.4% 48.4% | DAL 50.0% LAC 53.8% +3.8% |
| Rim FG% | 59.0% 55.4% | DAL 60.0% LAC 82.1% +22.1% |
| Mid FG% | 41.4% 35.8% | DAL 36.8% LAC 41.7% +4.9% |
| 3P % | 34.8% 32.1% | DAL 40.0% +18.6% LAC 21.4% |
| FT % | 79.6% 78.5% | DAL 68.8% +8.8% LAC 60.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 33.5% 38.6% | DAL 39.8% +3.9% LAC 35.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 46.4% 45.8% | DAL 43.2% +3.0% LAC 46.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 20.1% 15.6% | DAL 17.0% LAC 17.9% +0.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | DAL | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 96 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.6 | 24.4 |
| Points | 99 | 100 |
| Rebounds | 40 | 39 |
| Assists | 24 | 30 |
| Steals | 8 | 4 |
| Blocks | 2 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 9 (0) | 16 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (4) | 7 (6) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 29 (1) | 32 (3) |
| Field Goals | 41-88 | 41-78 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 21-35 | 23-28 |
| Midrange FG | 14-38 | 15-36 |
| 2-Point FG | 35-73 | 38-64 |
| 3-Point FG | 6-15 | 3-14 |
| Free Throws | 11-16 | 15-25 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.