for complete access.
All Games Saturday, December 6, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
3
Spurs
66%95
86
25
Heat
34%89
70
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
94.59192.3
MIA logo MIA
80.58785.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS86
100%
70
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 286
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASHart Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)86
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASHart Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)84
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASBowen 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)80
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 1:19SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)79
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 1:19SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)78
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot78
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 1:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)78
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 1:33SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot78
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 1:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)78
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup78
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 1:59SASOdom STEAL (1 STL)78
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)78
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 2:29SASSpurs Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#11)78
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 2:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)78
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 278
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 2:53MIAHEAT Rebound78
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 2:55SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWade Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)78
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 3:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot78
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40SASParker 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)78
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 3:54MIAOdom 6' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)76
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 3:59MIAHEAT Rebound76
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup76
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 4:18SASTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)76
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 4:42MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)74
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q4 - 4:56SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)74
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot74
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 5:27SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 5:27SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 273
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 5:48MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)73
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 6:03SASNesterovic Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T10)73
99.6%
56
0.4%
Q4 - 6:12SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
99.7%
56
0.3%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
99.7%
56
0.3%
Q4 - 6:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
99.6%
56
0.4%
Q4 - 6:23SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
99.7%
56
0.3%
Q4 - 6:37MIAOdom 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
99.7%
56
0.3%
Q4 - 6:58SASNesterovic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)73
99.8%
54
0.2%
Q4 - 7:19MIAColes Foul Turnover (P1.T15)71
99.6%
54
0.4%
Q4 - 7:30SASNesterovic 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)71
99.5%
54
0.5%
Q4 - 7:42MIAWalker Dunk (8 PTS)69
99.3%
54
0.7%
Q4 - 7:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
99.5%
52
0.5%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Coles 14' Jump Shot69
99.6%
52
0.4%
Q4 - 8:10SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)69
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q4 - 8:34MIAOdom 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
98.8%
52
1.2%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
99.0%
50
1.0%
Q4 - 8:48SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
99.1%
50
0.9%
Q4 - 9:07SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)66
99.1%
50
0.9%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot66
99.0%
50
1.0%
Q4 - 9:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
98.8%
50
1.2%
Q4 - 9:23SASMISS Horry 19' Jump Shot66
98.9%
50
1.1%
Q4 - 9:27SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)66
99.1%
50
0.9%
Q4 - 9:28SASMISS Horry 15' Jump Shot66
98.9%
50
1.1%
Q4 - 9:48MIAWalker Driving Layup (6 PTS)66
99.1%
50
0.9%
Q4 - 10:07SASGinobili Driving Layup (9 PTS)66
99.1%
48
0.9%
Q4 - 10:15MIAOdom Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)64
98.8%
48
1.2%
Q4 - 10:34SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)64
98.5%
48
1.5%
Q4 - 10:53MIAWalker 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)61
97.8%
48
2.2%
Q4 - 11:12SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)61
97.8%
46
2.2%
Q4 - 11:12SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 260
97.7%
46
2.3%
Q4 - 11:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)60
97.9%
46
2.1%
Q4 - 11:26SASMISS Hart 18' Jump Shot60
97.5%
46
2.5%
Q4 - 11:43SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
97.9%
46
2.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 260
97.8%
46
2.2%
Q4 - 11:45MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
97.5%
46
2.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound60
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup60
98.2%
45
1.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
97.5%
45
2.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 259
97.3%
45
2.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)59
97.5%
45
2.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
97.0%
45
3.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASMISS Ginobili Reverse Layup59
97.2%
45
2.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
97.6%
45
2.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot59
97.4%
45
2.6%
Q3 - 1:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
96.6%
45
3.4%
Q3 - 1:06SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot59
96.8%
45
3.2%
Q3 - 1:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)59
97.2%
45
2.8%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot59
97.1%
45
2.9%
Q3 - 1:34MIAHEAT Rebound59
96.6%
45
3.4%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot59
97.1%
45
2.9%
Q3 - 1:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
96.7%
45
3.3%
Q3 - 1:47SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot59
96.8%
45
3.2%
Q3 - 1:55SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)59
97.3%
45
2.7%
Q3 - 1:55SASHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
96.7%
45
3.3%
Q3 - 1:56SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot58
96.2%
45
3.8%
Q3 - 1:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)58
96.7%
45
3.3%
Q3 - 1:59SASMISS Hart Layup58
96.2%
45
3.8%
Q3 - 2:19MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T12)58
96.2%
45
3.8%
Q3 - 2:23MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
95.4%
45
4.6%
Q3 - 2:25SASMISS Parker Driving Layup58
95.7%
45
4.3%
Q3 - 2:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)58
96.2%
45
3.8%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup58
96.0%
45
4.0%
Q3 - 2:48SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)58
95.4%
45
4.6%
Q3 - 3:11MIAOdom Layup (9 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)55
93.2%
45
6.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
94.2%
43
5.8%
Q3 - 3:26SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
94.5%
43
5.5%
Q3 - 3:45MIAWalker 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)55
95.2%
43
4.8%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
95.9%
41
4.1%
Q3 - 4:02SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 255
95.6%
41
4.4%
Q3 - 4:02SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 255
96.0%
41
4.0%
Q3 - 4:21MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
96.3%
41
3.7%
Q3 - 4:41SASBowen Driving Layup (4 PTS)55
96.8%
39
3.2%
Q3 - 4:53MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)53
96.3%
39
3.7%
Q3 - 5:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)53
95.2%
39
4.8%
Q3 - 5:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 252
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q3 - 5:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)52
95.3%
39
4.7%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q3 - 5:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)52
94.4%
39
5.6%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup52
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q3 - 6:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
94.0%
39
6.0%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Mercer 20' Jump Shot52
94.3%
39
5.7%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade Tip Shot (10 PTS)52
94.9%
39
5.1%
Q3 - 6:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
95.6%
37
4.4%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Jones 12' Turnaround Jump Shot52
96.1%
37
3.9%
Q3 - 6:39SASGrant STEAL (3 STL)52
95.6%
37
4.4%
Q3 - 6:55MIAWade Running Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)52
96.3%
37
3.7%
Q3 - 7:02MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
96.4%
35
3.6%
Q3 - 7:03SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot52
96.6%
35
3.4%
Q3 - 7:04SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)52
97.0%
35
3.0%
Q3 - 7:06SASMISS Ginobili Reverse Layup52
96.6%
35
3.4%
Q3 - 7:14MIAOdom Running Layup (7 PTS)52
97.0%
35
3.0%
Q3 - 7:20MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
97.3%
33
2.7%
Q3 - 7:22SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Hook Shot52
97.5%
33
2.5%
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)52
97.8%
33
2.2%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHEAT Rebound52
97.2%
33
2.8%
Q3 - 8:07SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
97.4%
33
2.6%
Q3 - 8:26SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
97.6%
33
2.4%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 6' Running Jump Shot52
97.5%
33
2.5%
Q3 - 8:44SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
97.2%
33
2.8%
Q3 - 8:55SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
97.6%
33
2.4%
Q3 - 8:57SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 252
97.3%
33
2.7%
Q3 - 8:57SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)52
97.5%
33
2.5%
Q3 - 9:12MIAJones 13' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
97.0%
33
3.0%
Q3 - 9:31SASNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)51
97.4%
31
2.6%
Q3 - 9:48MIAOdom Driving Layup (5 PTS)49
97.1%
31
2.9%
Q3 - 9:57MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
97.4%
29
2.6%
Q3 - 9:59SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot49
97.5%
29
2.5%
Q3 - 10:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)49
97.6%
29
2.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Woods 17' Jump Shot49
97.5%
29
2.5%
Q3 - 10:37SASBowen 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)49
97.3%
29
2.7%
Q3 - 10:52SASSpurs Rebound47
96.9%
29
3.1%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup47
96.8%
29
3.2%
Q3 - 10:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)47
96.4%
29
3.6%
Q3 - 11:00SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot47
96.6%
29
3.4%
Q3 - 11:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
96.7%
29
3.3%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot47
96.6%
29
3.4%
Q3 - 11:42SASNesterovic Dunk (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)47
96.3%
29
3.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
95.8%
29
4.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)45
95.1%
29
4.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)42
93.2%
29
6.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot42
93.0%
29
7.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
92.6%
29
7.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot42
92.8%
29
7.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)42
93.2%
29
6.8%
Q2 - 1:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
94.0%
27
6.0%
Q2 - 1:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 241
93.8%
27
6.2%
Q2 - 1:19MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
93.6%
27
6.4%
Q2 - 1:19MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
93.8%
26
6.2%
Q2 - 1:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)41
94.7%
25
5.3%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
94.9%
25
5.1%
Q2 - 1:29MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
94.7%
25
5.3%
Q2 - 1:32SASMISS Mercer 6' Running Jump Shot41
94.8%
25
5.2%
Q2 - 1:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
95.0%
25
5.0%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot41
94.9%
25
5.1%
Q2 - 1:59SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)41
94.7%
25
5.3%
Q2 - 2:13MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)39
93.4%
25
6.6%
Q2 - 2:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
92.7%
25
7.3%
Q2 - 2:30SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot39
92.9%
25
7.1%
Q2 - 2:49MIAAlston 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
93.4%
25
6.6%
Q2 - 2:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
94.2%
23
5.8%
Q2 - 3:00SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
94.4%
23
5.6%
Q2 - 3:17SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
94.5%
23
5.5%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup39
94.3%
23
5.7%
Q2 - 3:34SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (15 PTS)39
93.8%
23
6.2%
Q2 - 3:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)37
93.1%
23
6.9%
Q2 - 3:37SASMISS Mercer Driving Layup37
92.5%
23
7.5%
Q2 - 3:57MIAWade Dunk (6 PTS)37
93.1%
23
6.9%
Q2 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
93.8%
21
6.2%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot37
93.9%
21
6.1%
Q2 - 4:26SASDuncan Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)37
93.5%
21
6.5%
Q2 - 4:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)35
92.8%
21
7.2%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot35
92.5%
21
7.5%
Q2 - 4:46MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
92.0%
21
8.0%
Q2 - 4:48SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot35
92.2%
21
7.8%
Q2 - 5:08MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)35
92.6%
21
7.4%
Q2 - 5:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
91.8%
21
8.2%
Q2 - 5:10SASMISS Parker Driving Layup35
92.0%
21
8.0%
Q2 - 5:22SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
92.6%
21
7.4%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Alston 9' Running Jump Shot35
92.4%
21
7.6%
Q2 - 5:49SASNesterovic 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)35
91.8%
21
8.2%
Q2 - 5:58SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
90.9%
21
9.1%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot33
90.6%
21
9.4%
Q2 - 6:18SASParker Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)33
89.6%
21
10.4%
Q2 - 6:33MIAOdom 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
88.8%
21
11.2%
Q2 - 6:57SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T7)31
89.6%
19
10.4%
Q2 - 7:11MIAAlston 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
90.3%
19
9.7%
Q2 - 7:24SASGrant STEAL (2 STL)31
91.1%
17
8.9%
Q2 - 7:36MIAJump Ball Wallace vs. Ginobili: Tip to Ginobili31
92.0%
17
8.0%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Wallace Running Dunk31
91.8%
17
8.2%
Q2 - 7:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)31
91.2%
17
8.8%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot31
91.8%
17
8.2%
Q2 - 8:07SASHorry Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)31
90.9%
17
9.1%
Q2 - 8:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
90.1%
17
9.9%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot29
89.8%
17
10.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
89.0%
17
11.0%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot29
89.8%
17
10.2%
Q2 - 8:43SASTurkoglu Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)29
89.0%
17
11.0%
Q2 - 8:53SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)27
88.1%
17
11.9%
Q2 - 9:04MIAGrant Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)26
86.7%
17
13.3%
Q2 - 9:24SASHart Foul Turnover (P2.T5)26
85.4%
17
14.6%
Q2 - 9:47MIAAlston Running Layup (2 PTS)26
86.7%
17
13.3%
Q2 - 9:51SASHaslem STEAL (1 STL)26
87.7%
15
12.3%
Q2 - 10:03MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)26
88.6%
15
11.4%
Q2 - 10:16SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)26
87.4%
15
12.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
88.6%
15
11.4%
Q2 - 10:41SASWade STEAL (1 STL)26
89.4%
13
10.6%
Q2 - 10:54SASSpurs Rebound26
90.5%
13
9.5%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
90.2%
13
9.8%
Q2 - 11:21SASGinobili Running Dunk (2 PTS)26
89.3%
13
10.7%
Q2 - 11:25MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
88.3%
13
11.7%
Q2 - 11:35MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
87.3%
13
12.7%
Q2 - 11:37SASMISS Hart 19' Jump Shot24
87.6%
13
12.4%
Q2 - 11:41SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
88.3%
13
11.7%
Q2 - 11:43SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
87.6%
13
12.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS24
88.3%
13
11.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)24
87.9%
13
12.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot24
87.7%
13
12.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
87.1%
13
12.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASDuncan Tip Shot (11 PTS)24
87.1%
13
12.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASMISS Hart 12' Jump Shot22
85.1%
13
14.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
85.7%
13
14.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup22
85.5%
13
14.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
84.8%
13
15.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot22
85.1%
13
14.9%
Q1 - 1:01MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
85.7%
13
14.3%
Q1 - 1:21SASDuncan 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)22
84.8%
13
15.2%
Q1 - 1:40MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)20
83.2%
13
16.8%
Q1 - 1:40MIAHEAT Rebound20
82.2%
13
17.8%
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS Alston 14' Jump Shot20
82.9%
13
17.1%
Q1 - 2:07SASDuncan Layup (7 PTS)20
82.2%
13
17.8%
Q1 - 2:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
80.7%
13
19.3%
Q1 - 2:10SASMISS Horry Driving Layup18
79.8%
13
20.2%
Q1 - 2:28MIAWoods 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
80.7%
13
19.3%
Q1 - 2:43MIAHEAT Rebound18
82.2%
11
17.8%
Q1 - 2:44SASOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)18
82.6%
11
17.4%
Q1 - 2:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
83.5%
11
16.5%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Odom Dunk18
83.1%
11
16.9%
Q1 - 3:14SASNesterovic 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)18
81.8%
11
18.2%
Q1 - 3:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)16
80.6%
11
19.4%
Q1 - 3:26SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot16
79.5%
11
20.5%
Q1 - 3:43MIAWoods 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)16
80.6%
11
19.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
79.0%
11
21.0%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot16
79.5%
11
20.5%
Q1 - 4:00MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
80.6%
11
19.4%
Q1 - 4:17SASParker 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)16
79.0%
11
21.0%
Q1 - 4:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot14
77.2%
11
22.8%
Q1 - 4:45SASGrant STEAL (1 STL)14
75.9%
11
24.1%
Q1 - 4:47SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Odom 4' Jump Shot14
77.2%
11
22.8%
Q1 - 5:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
76.0%
11
24.0%
Q1 - 5:10SASMISS Bowen 5' Running Hook Shot14
76.6%
11
23.4%
Q1 - 5:26MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
77.7%
11
22.3%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 214
78.1%
10
21.9%
Q1 - 5:41SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)14
77.5%
10
22.5%
Q1 - 5:41SASNesterovic 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
76.0%
10
24.0%
Q1 - 5:43SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
74.6%
10
25.4%
Q1 - 5:44SASMISS Nesterovic 10' Hook Shot11
73.4%
10
26.6%
Q1 - 5:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
74.6%
10
25.4%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS Grant 5' Running Jump Shot11
74.1%
10
25.9%
Q1 - 6:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
72.8%
10
27.2%
Q1 - 6:11SASDuncan 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)10
71.2%
10
28.8%
Q1 - 6:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
69.6%
10
30.4%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot8
69.0%
10
31.0%
Q1 - 6:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
67.8%
10
32.2%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot8
69.0%
10
31.0%
Q1 - 6:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
67.8%
10
32.2%
Q1 - 6:42SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot8
68.3%
10
31.7%
Q1 - 7:02MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)8
70.1%
10
29.9%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
71.5%
8
28.5%
Q1 - 7:15SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot8
72.0%
8
28.0%
Q1 - 7:32MIAJones Driving Layup (6 PTS)8
73.1%
8
26.9%
Q1 - 7:53SASDuncan 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
73.7%
6
26.3%
Q1 - 8:25SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
75.0%
4
25.0%
Q1 - 8:34SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
73.7%
4
26.3%
Q1 - 8:35SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot4
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 8:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
73.7%
4
26.3%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot4
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 9:13SASNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 9:30MIAJones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
70.7%
4
29.3%
Q1 - 9:56SASNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 10:06SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot0
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 10:23MIAHEAT Rebound0
68.8%
2
31.2%
Q1 - 10:24SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 10:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Woods 17' Jump Shot0
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 10:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
68.7%
2
31.3%
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS Nesterovic 12' Jump Shot0
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 11:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.5%
2
29.5%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot0
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 11:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot0
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 11:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 11:32SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot0
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 11:48MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
70.5%
2
29.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Duncan: Tip to Wade0
72.1%
0
27.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.92 46.2%
MIA
0.80 39.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
28
61%
MIA
15
35
43%
Midrange
SAS
12
36
33%
MIA
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIA
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
Free Throws
SAS
16
24
67%
MIA
6
10
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2148%10.5 / 22
R. Nesterovic2166%10.5 / 16
M. Ginobili1161%5.5 / 9
T. Parker1042%5.0 / 12
B. Bowen1050%5.0 / 10
H. Turkoglu643%3.0 / 7
R. Horry542%2.5 / 6
J. Hart220%1.0 / 5
R. Mercer0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom1743%8.5 / 20
E. Jones1450%7.0 / 14
D. Wade1447%7.0 / 15
S. Walker867%4.0 / 6
R. Alston735%3.5 / 10
B. Grant625%3.0 / 12
L. Woods233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
B. Coles0-0.0 / 1
J. Wallace0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+13
-11
93
MIA
72
+14
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.92 46.2%
MIA
0.80 39.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
99.3
SAS 94.5 +14.0
MIA 80.5
Pace
91.3
90.6
SAS 92.3 +6.6
MIA 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.0
SAS 15.6 +1.2
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
46.3%
SAS 44.9% +4.9%
MIA 40.0%
TO %
15.4%
14.4%
SAS 11.9% +4.0%
MIA 15.9%
ORB %
29.5%
27.5%
SAS 31.0% +8.8%
MIA 22.2%
FTrt
32.2
29.8
SAS 30.8 +18.3
MIA 12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
57.3%
SAS 66.7% +31.2%
MIA 35.5%
STL %
8.8%
7.9%
SAS 6.6%
MIA 6.9% +0.3%
BLK %
9.9%
6.3%
SAS 12.9% +11.3%
MIA 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
48.3%
SAS 46.2% +6.4%
MIA 39.8%
Rim FG%
57.6%
53.9%
SAS 60.7% +17.8%
MIA 42.9%
Mid FG%
37.0%
36.9%
SAS 33.3%
MIA 40.0% +6.7%
3P %
35.8%
35.7%
SAS 28.6% +8.6%
MIA 20.0%
FT %
68.1%
76.2%
SAS 66.7% +6.7%
MIA 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
34.4%
SAS 35.9%
MIA 43.8% +7.9%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
44.5%
SAS 46.2%
MIA 43.8% +2.4%
3P Att. %
17.7%
21.1%
SAS 17.9% +5.4%
MIA 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9187
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8670
Rebounds4839
Assists2211
Steals66
Blocks91
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (0)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)29 (5)
Field Goals33-7831-80
At-the-Rim FG17-2815-35
Midrange FG12-3614-35
2-Point FG29-6429-70
3-Point FG4-142-10
Free Throws16-246-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
3 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tim Duncan
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
39.8
21
48%
19
2
0
5
0
2
5
14
4-7
57%
7-17
41%
1-1
100%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
37.8
21
66%
13
1
1
3
2
3
6
7
3-3
100%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
35.6
10
42%
3
11
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-2
0%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
F · 6'6" 205 · 26
34.4
11
61%
3
4
1
1
3
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
Bruce Bowen
G · 6'7" 200 · 32
33.1
10
50%
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25
21.3
6
43%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
17.8
5
42%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26
12.3
2
20%
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
46%
48
22
6
9
11
0
13
35
16-24
67%
29-64
45%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.