for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, December 3, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
27
Heat
19%86
73
4
Pistons
81%97
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
83.08894.4
DET logo DET
96.79084.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA73
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETOkur REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)73
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETOkur REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAOkur BLOCK (5 BLK)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Grant Layup73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Odom 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DETMISS Williamson Layup71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 171
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:47MIAOdom Layup (22 PTS)71
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:48MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Odom Layup69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIAHeat Rebound69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWallace BLOCK (6 BLK)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01DETBillups Layup (14 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWilliamson STEAL (1 STL)69
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 2:13DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)69
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 269
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:42DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:42DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 2:56MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)68
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 3:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 3:06DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot66
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 3:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)66
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 3:41DETWallace Foul Turnover (P3.T11)66
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 3:45DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Alston 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 4:02DETWallace Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T10)66
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 4:07DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 4:09DETMISS Williamson 7' Jump Shot66
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 4:13DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 4:14DETMISS Wallace Layup66
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 4:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)66
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot66
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 4:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 4:46DETMISS Wallace Dunk66
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 5:11MIAAlston Driving Layup (13 PTS)66
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 5:32DETWallace Dunk (10 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)64
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 5:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)64
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Odom 15' Jump Shot64
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 6:12DETHamilton Palming Turnover (P3.T9)64
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 6:15MIAHamilton STEAL (3 STL)64
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 6:36DETWilliamson Layup (8 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)64
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 6:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)64
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Odom 7' Hook Shot64
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 7:11DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q4 - 7:11DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 7:11DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw Technical64
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q4 - 7:23MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P6.T14)64
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q4 - 7:54DETWallace Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Fowlkes 2 AST)64
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q4 - 8:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)64
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q4 - 8:14MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)64
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q4 - 8:15DETMISS Sura Layup64
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)64
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical61
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q4 - 9:08DETWilliamson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)61
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q4 - 9:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot61
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q4 - 9:43DETWilliamson Layup (6 PTS) (Fowlkes 1 AST)61
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q4 - 9:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)61
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q4 - 9:51DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot61
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q4 - 10:08MIAOdom 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)61
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q4 - 10:26MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)59
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q4 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q4 - 10:56DETMISS Hamilton 6' Jump Shot59
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q4 - 11:16MIAWoods Tip Shot (6 PTS)59
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q4 - 11:19MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)57
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Alston Layup57
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q4 - 11:25MIAHeat Rebound57
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 11:25MIAWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)57
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q4 - 11:43MIAHeat Rebound57
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS Williamson Tip Shot57
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q4 - 11:44DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q4 - 11:46DETMISS Williamson Layup57
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA57
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound57
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Layup57
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)57
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMISS Billups 7' Jump Shot57
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T13)57
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETWilliamson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)57
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETPISTONS Rebound57
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Hamilton 10' Running Jump Shot57
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAOdom Layup (18 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)57
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0DETMISS Williamson 11' Jump Shot55
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 1:13MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)55
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 1:20MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)55
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 1:28MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 1:30DETMISS Fowlkes Layup55
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 1:33DETFowlkes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 1:36DETMISS Hamilton 10' Running Jump Shot55
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 1:47DETFowlkes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot55
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 1:50MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot55
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 2:13DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)55
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 2:28MIAAlston Reverse Layup (11 PTS)55
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot53
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 2:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)53
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 2:41DETMISS Okur Layup53
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 2:42DETOkur REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)53
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 2:43DETMISS Okur Layup53
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 3:05MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 3:17DETMISS Okur 22' Jump Shot50
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q3 - 3:36MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)50
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q3 - 4:00DETOkur Dunk (15 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)47
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)47
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)46
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 4:32MIAHeat Rebound45
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 4:33MIAPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)45
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 4:38DETOkur Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)45
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 4:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Odom 17' Jump Shot45
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 5:20DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)45
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWade Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)45
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWade Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)43
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q3 - 5:55DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)42
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q3 - 5:55DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)42
1.2%
61
98.8%
Q3 - 5:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)42
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q3 - 6:00DETMISS Wallace 8' Hook Shot42
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q3 - 6:32MIAOdom Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)42
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 6:43DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot40
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 7:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)40
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 240
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 240
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 7:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q3 - 7:18DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot40
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 7:40MIAWoods Tip Shot (4 PTS)40
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 7:42MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)38
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot38
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 8:07DETWallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 8:30DETPISTONS Rebound38
1.3%
57
98.7%
Q3 - 8:32MIAOkur BLOCK (4 BLK)38
1.3%
57
98.7%
Q3 - 8:53DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)38
1.5%
57
98.5%
Q3 - 8:53DETBillups Layup (11 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 8:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)38
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 9:00DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot38
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 9:22MIAOdom Layup (14 PTS)38
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q3 - 9:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 9:33DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q3 - 9:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)36
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q3 - 9:39DETMISS Wallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot36
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q3 - 9:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)36
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot36
1.6%
54
98.4%
Q3 - 9:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 10:01DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 10:07DETPISTONS Rebound36
1.6%
54
98.4%
Q3 - 10:08DETMISS Hamilton 13' Running Jump Shot36
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 10:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)36
1.6%
54
98.4%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Odom Layup36
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q3 - 10:50DETOkur Layup (13 PTS)36
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 10:51DETOkur REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)36
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q3 - 10:52DETMISS Prince Layup36
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q3 - 10:58MIAHamilton STEAL (2 STL)36
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q3 - 11:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
2.5%
52
97.5%
Q3 - 11:13DETMISS Okur Layup36
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q3 - 11:17DETOkur REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)36
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q3 - 11:18DETMISS Billups Layup36
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q3 - 11:39MIAOdom Layup (12 PTS)36
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q3 - 11:44MIAWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)34
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET34
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETMISS Okur Layup34
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)34
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Jones 7' Running Jump Shot34
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETMISS Okur 19' Jump Shot34
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 1:04DETOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 1:07MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)34
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 1:22DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)34
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 1:22DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)34
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 1:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)34
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot34
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
2.8%
50
97.2%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot34
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q2 - 1:51DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)34
2.8%
50
97.2%
Q2 - 1:51DETHamilton 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
3.2%
49
96.8%
Q2 - 1:58MIAHamilton STEAL (1 STL)34
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q2 - 1:59MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 2:03DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot34
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 2:05MIASura STEAL (2 STL)34
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 2:10DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)34
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P5.T8)34
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 2:49DETPrince 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 3:03MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)34
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 3:12DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q2 - 3:31MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 3:45DETPrince 10' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)32
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 3:54DETOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot32
5.2%
43
94.8%
Q2 - 4:24DETHamilton 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade Tip Shot (10 PTS)32
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Odom Layup30
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 4:53DETOkur Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 5:00DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHeat Rebound30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 5:22DETMISS Prince Layup30
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 5:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 5:53DETFowlkes Foul Turnover (P1.T2)30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 6:38DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)28
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 6:56MIAOdom Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
5.8%
38
94.2%
Q2 - 7:14DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)26
6.1%
36
93.9%
Q2 - 7:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 7:44MIAFowlkes BLOCK (1 BLK)24
5.2%
36
94.8%
Q2 - 8:03DETFowlkes 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)24
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)24
6.2%
34
93.8%
Q2 - 8:33MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
5.7%
34
94.3%
Q2 - 8:35DETMISS Williamson 15' Jump Shot22
5.5%
34
94.5%
Q2 - 9:04MIAOdom 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)22
5.2%
34
94.8%
Q2 - 9:25DETWilliamson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)20
4.7%
34
95.3%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)20
5.2%
32
94.8%
Q2 - 10:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
4.9%
32
95.1%
Q2 - 10:12DETMISS Sura 21' Jump Shot18
4.7%
32
95.3%
Q2 - 10:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)18
4.4%
32
95.6%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot18
4.5%
32
95.5%
Q2 - 10:49DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)18
4.9%
32
95.1%
Q2 - 11:08MIAHaslem Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)18
4.4%
32
95.6%
Q2 - 11:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
4.8%
32
95.2%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Odom 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
4.5%
32
95.5%
Q2 - 11:28MIAHeat Rebound18
4.8%
32
95.2%
Q2 - 11:29DETMISS Williamson Layup18
4.7%
32
95.3%
Q2 - 11:41DETFowlkes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
4.4%
32
95.6%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
4.5%
32
95.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET18
4.8%
32
95.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound18
4.4%
32
95.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Fowlkes 32' 3PT Jump Shot18
4.7%
32
95.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAFowlkes STEAL (1 STL)18
4.6%
32
95.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
4.9%
32
95.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 218
4.8%
32
95.2%
Q1 - 0:17.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
4.6%
32
95.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)18
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMISS Sura 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETMISS Williamson Layup18
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAAlston 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 1:04DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
4.1%
31
95.9%
Q1 - 1:04DETPrince Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
4.5%
30
95.5%
Q1 - 1:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
5.0%
28
95.0%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot15
5.1%
28
94.9%
Q1 - 1:27DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
5.4%
28
94.6%
Q1 - 1:27DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 215
5.6%
27
94.4%
Q1 - 1:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
5.5%
27
94.5%
Q1 - 1:28DETMISS Davis Layup15
5.7%
27
94.3%
Q1 - 1:43MIAWoods Dunk (2 PTS)15
5.5%
27
94.5%
Q1 - 1:46MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
4.9%
27
95.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot13
4.7%
27
95.3%
Q1 - 2:05DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)13
5.0%
27
95.0%
Q1 - 2:17MIAWalker Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
5.5%
25
94.5%
Q1 - 2:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
5.0%
25
95.0%
Q1 - 2:20MIAMISS Woods Tip Shot11
4.7%
25
95.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
5.0%
25
95.0%
Q1 - 2:23MIAMISS Alston Layup11
4.7%
25
95.3%
Q1 - 2:31DETSura Layup (2 PTS)11
5.0%
25
95.0%
Q1 - 2:34MIASura STEAL (1 STL)11
5.5%
23
94.5%
Q1 - 2:49DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)11
5.9%
23
94.1%
Q1 - 2:49DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)11
6.1%
22
93.9%
Q1 - 3:02MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 3:16DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)11
7.3%
21
92.7%
Q1 - 3:16DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)11
7.4%
20
92.6%
Q1 - 3:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
7.8%
19
92.2%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot11
8.0%
19
92.0%
Q1 - 3:47DETPrince 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
8.6%
19
91.4%
Q1 - 3:57DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
9.2%
17
90.8%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Jones 14' Running Jump Shot11
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 4:09DETMISS Billups Layup11
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 4:13DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 4:15MIAOkur BLOCK (3 BLK)11
9.3%
17
90.7%
Q1 - 4:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot11
9.3%
17
90.7%
Q1 - 4:39DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 4:39DETMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 211
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 4:39DETOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 4:41DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot11
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 5:00MIAOdom Tip Shot (6 PTS)11
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 5:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
9.1%
16
90.9%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Odom Layup9
8.6%
16
91.4%
Q1 - 5:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
9.1%
16
90.9%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot9
8.6%
16
91.4%
Q1 - 5:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
9.1%
16
90.9%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)9
8.6%
16
91.4%
Q1 - 5:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
9.1%
16
90.9%
Q1 - 5:19DETMISS Billups Layup9
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
8.4%
16
91.6%
Q1 - 5:28MIAJones 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
7.8%
16
92.2%
Q1 - 5:40DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
7.2%
16
92.8%
Q1 - 5:40DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)6
7.3%
15
92.7%
Q1 - 5:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
7.8%
14
92.2%
Q1 - 5:45MIAOkur BLOCK (2 BLK)6
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 5:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
8.5%
14
91.5%
Q1 - 5:49MIAOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)6
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 5:58DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
8.5%
14
91.5%
Q1 - 5:58DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
8.5%
13
91.5%
Q1 - 6:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.2%
12
90.8%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot6
9.4%
12
90.6%
Q1 - 6:36DETOkur 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
9.9%
12
90.1%
Q1 - 6:53MIAOdom 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 7:07MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 7:10DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot4
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 7:14DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot4
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 7:20MIAHeat Rebound4
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 7:21MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)4
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 7:35DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 7:35DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 7:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)4
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 7:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 7:46DETMISS Hamilton Layup4
11.1%
8
88.9%
Q1 - 8:00MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 8:14DETBillups Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 8:21DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot4
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 8:43DETOkur Layup (4 PTS)4
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 8:44DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 8:46DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot4
14.3%
4
85.7%
Q1 - 9:12MIAOdom 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
13.4%
4
86.6%
Q1 - 9:43DETOkur Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 9:44DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 9:45DETMISS Hamilton Layup2
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 9:54MIAOkur STEAL (1 STL)2
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:19DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS)2
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 10:20DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 10:22DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot2
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 10:52MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 11:03DETMISS Billups 7' Jump Shot0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 11:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 11:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 11:39DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Grant: Tip to Billups0
13.4%
0
86.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.73 36.5%
DET
0.86 43.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
40
48%
DET
15
37
41%
Midrange
MIA
8
30
27%
DET
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
DET
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
Free Throws
MIA
7
12
58%
DET
28
33
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2234%11.0 / 32
D. Wade1575%7.5 / 10
R. Alston1547%7.5 / 16
E. Jones924%4.5 / 19
L. Woods660%3.0 / 5
B. Grant422%2.0 / 9
S. Walker233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 3
J. Wallace0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1845%9.0 / 20
M. Okur1757%8.5 / 15
C. Billups1650%8.0 / 16
T. Prince1350%6.5 / 13
B. Wallace1036%5.0 / 14
C. Williamson833%4.0 / 12
B. Sura330%1.5 / 5
T. Fowlkes233%1.0 / 3
H. Davis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+28
-16
100
DET
79
+22
-11
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.73 36.5%
DET
0.86 43.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.1
MIA 83.0
DET 96.7 +13.7
Pace
90.6
90.5
MIA 94.4 +10.2
DET 84.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.9
MIA 15.3 +1.8
DET 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.1%
MIA 35.9%
DET 36.4% +0.5%
TO %
14.4%
15.8%
MIA 14.1%
DET 10.3% +3.8%
ORB %
27.5%
30.2%
MIA 39.7%
DET 40.4% +0.7%
FTrt
29.8
32.8
MIA 13.0
DET 40.7 +27.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
62.0%
MIA 41.9%
DET 51.7% +9.8%
STL %
7.9%
8.9%
MIA 5.7%
DET 8.9% +3.2%
BLK %
6.3%
11.0%
MIA 8.0%
DET 20.0% +12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.5%
MIA 36.5%
DET 43.1% +6.6%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.7%
MIA 47.5% +7.0%
DET 40.5%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.6%
MIA 26.7%
DET 34.2% +7.5%
3P %
35.7%
34.4%
MIA 18.2% +1.5%
DET 16.7%
FT %
76.2%
75.3%
MIA 58.3%
DET 84.8% +26.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
37.4%
MIA 43.5%
DET 45.7% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
47.3%
MIA 32.6% +14.3%
DET 46.9%
3P Att. %
21.1%
15.3%
MIA 23.9% +16.5%
DET 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points7387
Rebounds5154
Assists1315
Steals58
Blocks614
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)23 (5)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals31-9229-81
At-the-Rim FG19-4015-37
Midrange FG8-3013-38
2-Point FG27-7028-75
3-Point FG4-221-6
Free Throws7-1228-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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27 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
43.0
22
34%
14
2
1
1
6
6
6
8
0-1
0%
11-27
41%
0-4
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
40.9
15
75%
7
4
1
0
4
3
4
3
3-3
100%
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
33.1
9
24%
3
1
0
1
1
3
0
3
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
1-9
11%
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
31.1
4
22%
7
0
1
1
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
23.8
0
0%
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
33.1
15
47%
4
5
2
1
2
5
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
3-8
38%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
21.3
6
60%
8
0
0
2
1
1
6
2
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
11.1
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
37%
51
13
5
6
16
0
23
28
7-12
58%
27-70
39%
4-22
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.