for complete access.
All Games Friday, November 28, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Spurs
48%97
87
9
Lakers
52%98
103
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
93.59396.6
LAL logo LAL
108.49591.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASLAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0LALPargo Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0LALPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMISS Willis 16' Jump Shot84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0LALMISS Pargo 14' Fadeaway Jumper84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASBrown 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16LALGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29SASWillis 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50LALMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03SASHart Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03SASMISS Hart Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07SASHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09LALMISS Pargo 14' Jump Shot79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29SASBrown 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31SASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34SASMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39LALGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASWillis Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07LALRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10LALGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12LALMISS Walton 2' Layup75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16LALMISS Walton 9' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44SASBrown Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59LALRush Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Willis 4 AST)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43LALMISS Medvedenko 17' Jump Shot70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58SASWillis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19LALRush Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23LALRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26SASMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30SASMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39LALMISS Medvedenko 6' Running Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50SASBrown 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Willis 3 AST)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05LALMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Hart Free Throw 2 of 266
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Hart Free Throw 1 of 266
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49LALRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51SASMISS Willis 15' Jump Shot66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06LALMISS Russell 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17SASHart 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Willis 2 AST)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37LALMedvedenko Layup (6 PTS)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40LALMISS Medvedenko Layup64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53SASHart Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53SASHart Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04SASMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20LALMedvedenko Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:36LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:38LALMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56SASRose 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:13LALRush 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)60
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31SASWillis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)60
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 9:40SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 9:41LALMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot58
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:07LALLAKERS Rebound58
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Hart Free Throw 2 of 258
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09SASHart Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:30LALRush 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)57
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:53SASBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 10:58SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01LALMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot57
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:18SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:18SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:35LALFisher 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS55
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound55
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 43' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0LALPayton 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0SASMercer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0SASMercer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot53
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0LALGrant Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)53
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:00SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 253
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:00SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)53
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:00SASSpurs Rebound52
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:00SASMISS Mercer 15' Jump Shot52
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:16LALPayton Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)52
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:26SASNesterovic Foul Turnover (P2.T12)52
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 1:30SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 1:33LALMISS Grant 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 2:00SASMercer Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)52
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 2:09LALGeorge 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)50
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 2:32SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)50
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 2:32SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 2:36SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Nesterovic 10' Jump Shot48
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 2:59LALMalone 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 3:16SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)48
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 3:30LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)46
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 3:30LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)46
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 3:35LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 3:38LALMISS Malone 16' Turnaround Jump Shot46
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 3:48LALMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)46
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 3:51SASMISS Mercer Reverse Layup46
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 4:00SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 4:02SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 4:17LALGeorge 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Malone 10 AST)46
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 4:32SASParker Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)46
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 4:38LALO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)44
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 4:40LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 4:42SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot44
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 5:02LALGeorge 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Malone 9 AST)44
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 5:12SASGeorge STEAL (2 STL)44
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 5:31SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 5:32LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 244
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 5:32LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 5:32LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 5:32LALMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 5:32LALMISS Malone Tip Shot44
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 5:35LALMISS Bryant 8' Hook Shot44
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 5:43LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 5:45SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot44
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 5:58SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 5:59LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 244
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 5:59LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 6:03LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 6:05SASMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot44
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 6:18LALPayton Layup (13 PTS) (Malone 8 AST)44
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 6:21LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 6:23LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot44
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 6:26LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)44
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 6:28SASMalone BLOCK (1 BLK)44
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 6:37LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)44
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 6:42SASPayton STEAL (3 STL)44
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 6:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)44
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 6:49SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot44
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 7:04LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 144
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 7:04LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)44
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 7:11LALPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 7:13SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 7:33LALGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)44
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 7:38LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 7:40SASMISS Parker Layup44
9.3%
58
90.7%
Q3 - 7:55SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 7:57LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 244
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 7:57LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 244
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q3 - 8:17SASBowen Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)44
9.3%
58
90.7%
Q3 - 8:23LALGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)42
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 8:30SASPayton STEAL (2 STL)42
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 8:52LALPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 8:52LALPayton Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Malone 7 AST)42
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 9:03SASGinobili Layup (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)42
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 9:13LALBryant 7' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Malone 6 AST)40
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q3 - 9:39SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)40
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q3 - 9:51LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Malone 5 AST)38
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q3 - 10:06SASParker 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
11.9%
51
88.1%
Q3 - 10:13SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
10.7%
51
89.3%
Q3 - 10:15LALMISS Malone 20' Jump Shot36
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q3 - 10:21LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q3 - 10:26SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Hook Shot36
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q3 - 10:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)36
10.6%
51
89.4%
Q3 - 10:43LALMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot36
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q3 - 11:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q3 - 11:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q3 - 11:17LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q3 - 11:17LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 234
8.9%
50
91.1%
Q3 - 11:34LALLAKERS Rebound34
8.7%
50
91.3%
Q3 - 11:34SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q3 - 11:45LALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)34
9.9%
50
90.1%
Q3 - 11:45LALGeorge Slam Dunk (9 PTS)34
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q3 - 11:47SASGeorge STEAL (1 STL)34
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL34
14.3%
47
85.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALMISS Bryant 50' Jump Shot34
13.7%
47
86.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound34
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASBryant STEAL (1 STL)34
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)34
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
13.8%
47
86.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0LALMISS George 18' Jump Shot34
14.6%
47
85.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
13.7%
47
86.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0LALGeorge 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)32
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0LALMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 232
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 232
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)32
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASMISS Duncan Layup32
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASMISS Duncan Layup32
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 1:14LALBryant Layup (8 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)32
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 1:23LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 1:26SASMISS Duncan 11' Fadeaway Jumper32
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 1:40LALGeorge Foul Turnover (P2.T7)32
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 2:03SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 2:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
20.1%
43
79.9%
Q2 - 2:06LALMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot32
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 2:35SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)32
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 2:49SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)30
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 2:59LALGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 2:59LALGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan Layup (7 PTS)29
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 3:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
15.8%
41
84.2%
Q2 - 3:26SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 227
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q2 - 3:26SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)27
15.8%
41
84.2%
Q2 - 3:26SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 3:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q2 - 3:26SASMISS Horry Layup25
11.9%
41
88.1%
Q2 - 3:44LALMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 3:44LALMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 3:55LALLAKERS Rebound25
14.1%
39
85.9%
Q2 - 3:55LALMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot25
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q2 - 4:05LALLAKERS Rebound25
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 4:06SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 4:12SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 4:15LALMISS Bryant 8' Jump Shot25
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q2 - 4:24LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
14.9%
39
85.1%
Q2 - 4:28SASMISS Horry 12' Turnaround Jump Shot25
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 4:44LALPayton 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
16.4%
39
83.6%
Q2 - 4:50LALMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 4:53SASMISS Bowen Driving Layup25
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 5:04SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 5:06LALMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot25
19.8%
37
80.2%
Q2 - 5:28LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
18.5%
37
81.5%
Q2 - 5:31SASMISS Ginobili Layup25
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 5:39LALO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)25
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 5:50LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
18.5%
37
81.5%
Q2 - 5:53SASMISS Hart 17' Jump Shot25
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 6:02SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 6:03LALMISS Medvedenko 19' Jump Shot25
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 6:25SASGinobili Reverse Layup (9 PTS)25
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 6:44LALFisher 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)23
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 6:52SASFisher STEAL (1 STL)23
20.7%
34
79.3%
Q2 - 7:07SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 7:10LALMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot23
23.2%
34
76.8%
Q2 - 7:25SASNesterovic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)23
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 7:37SASHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot21
18.9%
34
81.1%
Q2 - 7:58SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 8:01LALMISS Bryant Layup21
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 8:15SASHart 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)21
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 8:27SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 8:29LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot19
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 8:34LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
15.7%
34
84.3%
Q2 - 8:36SASO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)19
16.2%
34
83.8%
Q2 - 8:50LALBryant Driving Layup (6 PTS)19
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 8:57LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 8:59SASMISS Rose Layup19
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q2 - 9:17LALBryant 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)19
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q2 - 9:27LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q2 - 9:30SASMISS Rose 9' Turnaround Jump Shot19
23.1%
30
76.9%
Q2 - 9:53LALRussell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)19
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q2 - 10:11LALLAKERS Rebound19
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q2 - 10:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 219
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q2 - 10:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
30.0%
27
70.0%
Q2 - 10:30LALMedvedenko Layup (2 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)18
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q2 - 10:32LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q2 - 10:37SASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)18
31.2%
25
68.8%
Q2 - 10:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
32.9%
25
67.1%
Q2 - 10:47LALMISS Fisher 16' Jump Shot18
32.1%
25
67.9%
Q2 - 11:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
30.9%
25
69.1%
Q2 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 217
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q2 - 11:10SASRose Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
30.8%
25
69.2%
Q2 - 11:27SASSpurs Rebound16
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q2 - 11:28LALMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot16
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q2 - 11:39LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q2 - 11:42SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot16
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS16
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALFisher 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)16
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASMISS Mercer 16' Jump Shot16
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0LALFisher 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)16
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 1:13SASTurkoglu 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)16
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 1:29LALMalone 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)14
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 1:43SASTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 1:49SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 1:51LALMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot14
36.7%
19
63.3%
Q1 - 1:59LALMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 2:00SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot14
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q1 - 2:09SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 2:11LALMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot14
37.1%
19
62.9%
Q1 - 2:26LALLAKERS Rebound14
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 2:28SASMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot14
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q1 - 2:43LALMalone 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)14
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 2:59SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 3:16LALGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
42.5%
17
57.5%
Q1 - 3:25SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 3:34SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
38.2%
17
61.8%
Q1 - 3:36SASMISS Parker Layup12
36.5%
17
63.5%
Q1 - 3:57LALPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)12
38.2%
17
61.8%
Q1 - 4:20LALLAKERS Rebound12
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 4:22LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 4:44LALPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 4:46SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot12
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 5:00LALMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 5:05LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 5:07SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot12
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 5:25LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 5:25LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
43.4%
14
56.6%
Q1 - 5:38SASGinobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)12
44.6%
13
55.4%
Q1 - 5:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 5:55SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot10
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 6:15LALGeorge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)10
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 6:29LALMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 6:30SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 210
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 6:30SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 210
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 6:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 6:51LALMISS Malone 16' Jump Shot10
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 7:08SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)10
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 7:28LALPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)8
43.0%
11
57.0%
Q1 - 7:32LALPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
44.7%
9
55.3%
Q1 - 7:35SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot8
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 7:51LALGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)8
46.8%
9
53.2%
Q1 - 8:04SASPayton STEAL (1 STL)8
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 8:09LALGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
52.8%
6
47.2%
Q1 - 8:17SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)8
50.6%
6
49.4%
Q1 - 8:17SASGinobili Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
48.8%
6
51.2%
Q1 - 8:32LALBryant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)5
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 8:48LALMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 8:49SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 25
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 8:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
50.2%
4
49.8%
Q1 - 9:03LALMalone 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 9:24SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)2
48.9%
2
51.1%
Q1 - 9:35SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot2
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 9:46LALO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
48.9%
2
51.1%
Q1 - 9:56LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 9:59SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot2
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 10:16LALPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 10:28SASNesterovic Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 10:29SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 10:31SASMISS Parker Layup0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 10:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 10:52LALMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 10:57LALPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:11LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 20
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:11LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:17LALMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 11:19SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:37LALMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball O'Neal vs. Duncan: Tip to Payton0
46.8%
0
53.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.87 43.5%
LAL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
27
52%
LAL
16
20
80%
Midrange
SAS
16
45
36%
LAL
20
50
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
LAL
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
Free Throws
SAS
21
34
62%
LAL
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili1350%6.5 / 13
T. Parker1235%6.0 / 17
T. Duncan1139%5.5 / 14
D. Brown1056%5.0 / 9
H. Turkoglu8100%4.0 / 4
J. Hart850%4.0 / 8
K. Willis867%4.0 / 6
M. Rose643%3.0 / 7
R. Nesterovic450%2.0 / 4
R. Mercer433%2.0 / 6
B. Bowen321%1.5 / 7
R. Horry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. George1995%9.5 / 10
K. Bryant1753%8.5 / 16
G. Payton1771%8.5 / 12
K. Rush1192%5.5 / 6
K. Malone1050%5.0 / 10
D. Fisher990%4.5 / 5
S. O'Neal732%3.5 / 11
S. Medvedenko643%3.0 / 7
H. Grant429%2.0 / 7
B. Russell375%1.5 / 2
L. Walton0-0.0 / 2
J. Pargo0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+19
-13
99
LAL
83
+12
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.87 43.5%
LAL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
102.4
SAS 93.5 +14.9
LAL 108.4
Pace
91.3
95.1
SAS 96.6 +4.9
LAL 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.1
SAS 14.9 +0.8
LAL 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
48.1%
SAS 40.2%
LAL 56.3% +16.1%
TO %
15.4%
13.9%
SAS 11.8% +1.8%
LAL 13.6%
ORB %
29.5%
28.1%
SAS 33.3% +10.2%
LAL 23.1%
FTrt
32.2
35.2
SAS 41.5 +15.2
LAL 26.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
64.3%
SAS 59.4%
LAL 69.0% +9.6%
STL %
8.8%
8.8%
SAS 8.6% +1.2%
LAL 7.4%
BLK %
9.9%
7.0%
SAS 1.4%
LAL 5.6% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
49.6%
SAS 43.5%
LAL 53.6% +10.1%
Rim FG%
57.6%
61.1%
SAS 51.9%
LAL 80.0% +28.1%
Mid FG%
37.0%
37.7%
SAS 35.6%
LAL 40.0% +4.4%
3P %
35.8%
32.7%
SAS 20.0%
LAL 60.0% +40.0%
FT %
68.1%
69.3%
SAS 61.8%
LAL 61.9% +0.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
36.2%
SAS 32.9% +7.9%
LAL 25.0%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
47.1%
SAS 54.9% +7.6%
LAL 62.5%
3P Att. %
17.7%
16.7%
SAS 12.2%
LAL 12.5% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASLAL
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points87103
Rebounds4743
Assists1929
Steals87
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)34 (5)
Field Goals32-8242-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2716-20
Midrange FG16-4520-50
2-Point FG30-7236-70
3-Point FG2-106-10
Free Throws21-3413-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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2 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
29.3
12
35%
2
4
0
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
6-13
46%
0-4
0%
Tim Duncan
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
26.4
11
39%
11
2
2
0
1
4
5
6
5-8
63%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27
26.2
4
50%
6
1
1
0
2
5
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
25.8
13
50%
1
1
3
0
5
1
0
1
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
18.6
3
21%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
22.3
4
33%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25
19.1
8
100%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26
18.8
8
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
18.3
10
56%
8
0
0
0
1
0
3
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
16.6
6
43%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
10.2
8
67%
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
8.8
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
44%
47
19
8
1
13
0
17
30
21-34
62%
30-72
42%
2-10
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.