FinalWin Prob.pScore
2441%93
83
2359%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.49597.6
ATL logo ATL
105.69087.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL83
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot83
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAAlston Layup (13 PTS)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)78
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)78
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)78
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 277
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAGrant Tip Shot (6 PTS)77
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade Layup75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)75
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Alston Layup75
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)75
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)75
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 1:20ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 1:32ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)75
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 1:32ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)75
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 1:32ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 1:34ATLMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot75
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 2:02MIAAlston Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)75
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 2:09MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 2:10ATLMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot73
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 2:33ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 2:44ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)73
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 2:56ATLAbdur-Rahim 8' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)73
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 3:06MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)73
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 3:31ATLRatliff Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
13.2%
78
86.8%
Q4 - 3:31ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
14.4%
77
85.6%
Q4 - 3:31ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot73
21.8%
76
78.2%
Q4 - 3:40MIAJackson STEAL (2 STL)73
17.4%
76
82.6%
Q4 - 3:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
23.6%
76
76.4%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Alston 11' Jump Shot73
19.1%
76
80.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)73
23.4%
76
76.6%
Q4 - 3:52ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
21.3%
76
78.7%
Q4 - 4:09ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
16.9%
76
83.1%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot73
18.7%
76
81.3%
Q4 - 4:39ATLTerry 6' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)73
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAAbdur-Rahim STEAL (3 STL)73
30.0%
74
70.0%
Q4 - 5:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
39.0%
74
61.0%
Q4 - 5:03ATLMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
36.5%
74
63.5%
Q4 - 5:29MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)73
31.1%
74
68.9%
Q4 - 5:35ATLJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)71
24.6%
74
75.4%
Q4 - 5:51ATLHAWKS Rebound71
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q4 - 5:57MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
24.6%
74
75.4%
Q4 - 6:00ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot71
22.7%
74
77.3%
Q4 - 6:18MIAOdom 11' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
19.9%
74
80.1%
Q4 - 6:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)69
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot69
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q4 - 7:04ATLHAWKS Rebound69
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q4 - 7:04ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q4 - 7:04ATLMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 269
18.6%
73
81.4%
Q4 - 7:08MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)69
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q4 - 7:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q4 - 7:22ATLMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
20.6%
73
79.4%
Q4 - 7:55MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)69
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q4 - 8:04ATLMISS Jackson 9' Jump Shot67
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q4 - 8:25ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot67
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q4 - 8:47ATLVaughn 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)67
15.2%
73
84.8%
Q4 - 9:04MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)67
19.7%
71
80.3%
Q4 - 9:06MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q4 - 9:10ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 164
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q4 - 9:31MIAAlston Layup (9 PTS)64
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q4 - 9:34ATLJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)62
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q4 - 9:48MIAAlston Layup (7 PTS)62
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q4 - 9:51ATLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)60
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q4 - 9:56MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)60
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q4 - 9:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q4 - 10:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q4 - 10:07ATLMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot58
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q4 - 10:30MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)58
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q4 - 10:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q4 - 10:38ATLMISS Glover 21' Jump Shot55
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q4 - 10:58ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot55
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q4 - 11:16MIAHeat Rebound55
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q4 - 11:18ATLMISS Glover 13' Jump Shot55
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q4 - 11:43MIAJones 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA53
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLNailon Dunk (6 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)53
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAGlover STEAL (1 STL)53
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAHeat Rebound53
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot53
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLDiaw 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)53
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 1:02MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)53
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 1:16ATLMISS Nailon 9' Jump Shot50
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 1:28ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 1:56ATLDiaw Foul Turnover (P1.T9)50
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 2:08ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot50
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 2:25ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)50
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 2:32ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Alston 14' Jump Shot50
4.7%
64
95.3%
Q3 - 2:58ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)50
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 2:58ATLHAWKS Rebound50
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 2:58ATLMISS Nailon 7' Jump Shot50
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 3:22ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 3:24MIARatliff BLOCK (5 BLK)50
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q3 - 3:48ATLRatliff 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)50
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 3:54ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 3:57MIARatliff BLOCK (4 BLK)50
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 4:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 4:08ATLMISS Ratliff 7' Jump Shot50
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 4:21ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 4:40ATLAbdur-Rahim 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Vaughn 7 AST)50
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 5:00MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T11)50
9.9%
60
90.1%
Q3 - 5:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Alston 14' Jump Shot50
11.2%
60
88.8%
Q3 - 5:26MIAHeat Rebound50
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q3 - 5:26ATLMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 5:34MIARatliff STEAL (1 STL)50
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 5:58ATLTerry 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vaughn 6 AST)50
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q3 - 6:18MIAOdom Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)50
14.8%
58
85.2%
Q3 - 6:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q3 - 6:26ATLMISS Jackson Layup48
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q3 - 6:42ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot48
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 7:13ATLRatliff Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)48
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q3 - 7:29ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 7:32ATLMISS Terry 10' Jump Shot48
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q3 - 7:36ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot48
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q3 - 8:00ATLJackson Layup (12 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)48
17.4%
56
82.6%
Q3 - 8:04MIATerry STEAL (2 STL)48
19.9%
54
80.1%
Q3 - 8:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
22.8%
54
77.2%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot48
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q3 - 8:48ATLTerry 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Vaughn 5 AST)48
22.8%
54
77.2%
Q3 - 8:53ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
25.1%
52
74.9%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot48
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 9:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
28.3%
52
71.7%
Q3 - 9:03ATLMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
27.4%
52
72.6%
Q3 - 9:30MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)48
25.4%
52
74.6%
Q3 - 9:45ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)46
22.8%
52
77.2%
Q3 - 9:45ATLAbdur-Rahim 9' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)46
25.5%
51
74.5%
Q3 - 9:55MIAGrant Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)46
28.3%
49
71.7%
Q3 - 10:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
31.7%
49
68.3%
Q3 - 10:03ATLMISS Glover 22' Jump Shot46
30.6%
49
69.4%
Q3 - 10:22ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
28.3%
49
71.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 246
28.8%
49
71.2%
Q3 - 10:23MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)46
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 10:42ATLJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
28.6%
49
71.4%
Q3 - 10:50ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
34.4%
46
65.6%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot45
35.5%
46
64.5%
Q3 - 11:17ATLAbdur-Rahim 8' Jump Shot (20 PTS)45
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q3 - 11:35MIAHaslem 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
41.1%
44
58.9%
Q3 - 11:49ATLRatliff Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)43
37.9%
44
62.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL43
34.6%
44
65.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound43
34.6%
44
65.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot43
35.6%
44
64.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
37.5%
44
62.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Glover Layup43
36.8%
44
63.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)43
35.3%
44
64.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAAbdur-Rahim BLOCK (1 BLK)43
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLAbdur-Rahim 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)43
37.5%
44
62.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMohammed STEAL (1 STL)43
41.6%
42
58.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)43
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
48.2%
40
51.8%
Q2 - 1:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
43.5%
40
56.5%
Q2 - 1:26ATLMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot41
43.0%
40
57.0%
Q2 - 1:40ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIARatliff BLOCK (3 BLK)41
42.4%
40
57.6%
Q2 - 1:57ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
43.5%
40
56.5%
Q2 - 1:57ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (14 PTS)41
43.5%
40
56.5%
Q2 - 1:59ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Layup41
49.4%
38
50.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)41
47.2%
38
52.8%
Q2 - 2:35ATLJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)38
40.8%
38
59.2%
Q2 - 2:46MIAOdom 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)38
47.3%
35
52.7%
Q2 - 2:54ATLAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)35
40.8%
35
59.2%
Q2 - 3:18ATLHAWKS Rebound35
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIARatliff BLOCK (2 BLK)35
38.7%
35
61.3%
Q2 - 3:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
40.9%
35
59.1%
Q2 - 3:27ATLMISS Terry 5' Jump Shot35
39.9%
35
60.1%
Q2 - 3:33ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot35
38.7%
35
61.3%
Q2 - 3:59MIAHeat Rebound35
40.9%
35
59.1%
Q2 - 3:59ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMISS Diaw Tip Shot35
39.9%
35
60.1%
Q2 - 4:02ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 4:26MIAWallace 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)35
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 4:38ATLAbdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)33
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 4:58ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
37.7%
33
62.3%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot33
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 5:21ATLMISS Glover 6' Jump Shot33
39.6%
33
60.4%
Q2 - 5:22ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
37.6%
33
62.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot33
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot33
38.5%
33
61.5%
Q2 - 6:00ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (10 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)33
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 6:16MIAAlston 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
42.7%
31
57.3%
Q2 - 6:21ATLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)31
37.4%
31
62.6%
Q2 - 6:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
35.4%
31
64.6%
Q2 - 6:53ATLMISS Diaw 7' Jump Shot29
34.5%
31
65.5%
Q2 - 6:57ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 7:00ATLMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 229
35.0%
31
65.0%
Q2 - 7:00ATLDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
33.7%
31
66.3%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)29
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade Layup29
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 7:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q2 - 7:14ATLMISS Mohammed 8' Jump Shot29
37.1%
30
62.9%
Q2 - 7:40MIAWalker 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
35.2%
30
64.8%
Q2 - 7:54MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
33.0%
30
67.0%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMISS Diaw Layup27
32.3%
30
67.7%
Q2 - 8:12ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
30.5%
30
69.5%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot27
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 8:42ATLDiaw 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)27
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 8:59MIAWoods Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
35.1%
28
64.9%
Q2 - 9:18ATLAbdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hansen 1 AST)27
37.7%
28
62.3%
Q2 - 9:31MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)27
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q2 - 9:31MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)26
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 9:31MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)25
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q2 - 9:48ATLAbdur-Rahim Driving Layup (6 PTS)24
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q2 - 10:00ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)24
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
38.2%
24
61.8%
Q2 - 10:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
40.0%
24
60.0%
Q2 - 10:22ATLMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot24
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q2 - 10:38ATLHAWKS Rebound24
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot24
38.2%
24
61.8%
Q2 - 10:51MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
40.0%
24
60.0%
Q2 - 10:53ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 12' Jump Shot24
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q2 - 11:16ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
37.2%
24
62.8%
Q2 - 11:18ATLMISS Hansen 19' Jump Shot24
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q2 - 11:33ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
37.2%
24
62.8%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot24
37.9%
24
62.1%
Q2 - 11:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
39.5%
24
60.5%
Q2 - 11:48ATLMISS Mohammed Layup24
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
37.2%
24
62.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)24
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLTerry 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
37.0%
22
63.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLNailon Layup (4 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)20
34.6%
22
65.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Haslem Layup20
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 1:08ATLMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 1:09ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 1:11ATLMISS Mohammed Layup20
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 1:24ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS Woods Layup20
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 1:44ATLJackson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)20
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 1:57ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
41.9%
18
58.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 220
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 1:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
43.6%
18
56.4%
Q1 - 1:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 2:01ATLNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 2:01ATLMISS Nailon Tip Shot19
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 2:03ATLMISS Mohammed 6' Jump Shot19
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 2:33ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 2:33ATLMISS Mohammed Tip Shot16
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 2:34ATLMISS Nailon Layup16
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 2:48ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS Grant 10' Jump Shot16
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 2:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 3:01ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 3:01ATLMISS Jackson Tip Shot16
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 3:02ATLMISS Mohammed Layup16
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 3:20MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 3:43ATLTerry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)14
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 3:52ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Odom 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 4:23ATLNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 4:23ATLNailon Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 4:24ATLMISS Glover Layup14
40.6%
13
59.4%
Q1 - 4:49MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 4:49MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
38.5%
13
61.5%
Q1 - 5:03ATLRatliff Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
36.8%
13
63.2%
Q1 - 5:14MIAOdom 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
34.7%
13
65.3%
Q1 - 5:29ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
33.0%
13
67.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)10
31.0%
13
69.0%
Q1 - 6:05ATLGlover 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
33.0%
13
67.0%
Q1 - 6:21MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)10
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 6:48ATLGlover 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
38.5%
10
61.5%
Q1 - 6:57MIAAbdur-Rahim STEAL (2 STL)10
40.4%
8
59.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
42.4%
8
57.6%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot10
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 7:32ATLJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 7:39ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot10
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 7:52MIARatliff BLOCK (1 BLK)10
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 7:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot10
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 8:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 8:05ATLMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
43.8%
6
56.2%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 8:31ATLMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot8
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 8:40MIAAbdur-Rahim STEAL (1 STL)8
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 8:56ATLAbdur-Rahim 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 9:08MIAOdom Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 9:20ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 9:20ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
42.3%
3
57.7%
Q1 - 9:21ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 9:22ATLMISS Terry 7' Jump Shot6
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS)6
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 9:48ATLAbdur-Rahim Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 9:50ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade Layup4
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 9:55MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 9:57ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 9:57ATLMISS Glover Tip Shot4
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 9:59ATLMISS Jackson Layup4
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 10:30MIAWade Layup (2 PTS)4
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:37ATLMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot2
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:45ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot2
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 11:10ATLTerry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)2
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 11:13ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:16ATLMISS Glover 15' Jump Shot2
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 11:22MIATerry STEAL (1 STL)2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:24MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 11:26ATLMISS Ratliff Layup2
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 11:45MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Ratliff vs. Grant: Tip to Wade0
38.0%
0
62.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.6%
ATL
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
25
56%
ATL
11
28
39%
Midrange
MIA
11
37
30%
ATL
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
ATL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
ATL
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2874%14.0 / 19
L. Odom1547%7.5 / 16
R. Alston1346%6.5 / 14
D. Wade1134%5.5 / 16
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
B. Grant633%3.0 / 9
S. Walker233%1.0 / 3
J. Wallace225%1.0 / 4
L. Woods0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Abdur-Rahim3481%17.0 / 21
J. Terry2158%10.5 / 18
S. Jackson1539%7.5 / 19
T. Ratliff660%3.0 / 5
L. Nailon643%3.0 / 7
D. Glover525%2.5 / 10
B. Diaw542%2.5 / 6
J. Vaughn330%1.5 / 5
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 6
T. Hansen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+12
-15
92
ATL
79
+17
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.6%
ATL
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
98.7
MIA 87.4 +18.2
ATL 105.6
Pace
90.6
93.1
MIA 97.6 +10.0
ATL 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
MIA 14.7 +1.7
ATL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.5%
MIA 43.3% +1.0%
ATL 42.3%
TO %
14.4%
16.6%
MIA 15.2%
ATL 11.1% +4.1%
ORB %
27.5%
28.7%
MIA 22.9%
ATL 30.6% +7.7%
FTrt
29.8
30.3
MIA 19.5
ATL 33.3 +13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
58.3%
MIA 59.4%
ATL 66.7% +7.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
MIA 8.4%
ATL 11.1% +2.7%
BLK %
6.3%
7.6%
MIA 5.8%
ATL 9.7% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.8%
MIA 44.6%
ATL 47.0% +2.4%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.7%
MIA 56.0% +16.7%
ATL 39.3%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.5%
MIA 29.7%
ATL 41.5% +11.8%
3P %
35.7%
33.5%
MIA 35.0% +1.7%
ATL 33.3%
FT %
76.2%
77.6%
MIA 75.0%
ATL 85.7% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
35.6%
MIA 30.5%
ATL 33.3% +2.8%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
45.2%
MIA 45.1% +3.7%
ATL 48.8%
3P Att. %
21.1%
19.1%
MIA 24.4% +6.5%
ATL 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9590
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8395
Rebounds4552
Assists1922
Steals810
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)37 (4)
Field Goals32-8233-84
At-the-Rim FG14-2511-28
Midrange FG11-3717-41
2-Point FG25-6228-69
3-Point FG7-205-15
Free Throws12-1624-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
40.0
11
34%
5
8
2
0
4
2
3
2
1-2
50%
5-14
36%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
36.6
28
74%
3
3
0
0
1
4
0
3
8-9
89%
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
34.5
15
47%
9
1
0
2
4
4
1
8
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
34.1
6
43%
11
1
0
0
2
3
2
9
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
33.4
6
33%
10
1
3
1
3
3
5
5
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
26.6
13
46%
2
4
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
13.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
12.9
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
8.6
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 36
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
45%
45
19
8
4
15
0
11
34
12-16
75%
25-62
40%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.