FinalWin Prob.pScore
2625%91
98
1675%100
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.29592.1
PHX logo PHX
106.49497.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHX
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX98
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Odom 30' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
5.6%
100
94.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
6.4%
99
93.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAOdom 13' Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
11.8%
98
88.2%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0PHXMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot95
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
5.6%
98
94.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot95
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 1:13PHXMarbury Foul Turnover (P5.T18)95
11.3%
98
88.7%
Q4 - 1:31MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS)95
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 1:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
4.7%
98
95.3%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
3.2%
98
96.8%
Q4 - 1:48PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
5.3%
98
94.7%
Q4 - 1:48PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 293
6.0%
97
94.0%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (27 PTS)93
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 2:12MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
3.8%
97
96.2%
Q4 - 2:15PHXMISS Marbury 8' Jump Shot91
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 2:20PHXWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot91
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 2:36PHXMarbury Driving Layup (9 PTS)91
3.8%
97
96.2%
Q4 - 3:00MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 3:00MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)90
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 3:16PHXMarion 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marbury 10 AST)89
4.5%
95
95.5%
Q4 - 3:33MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
11.1%
92
88.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
10.2%
92
89.8%
Q4 - 3:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
8.0%
92
92.0%
Q4 - 3:42PHXMISS White Free Throw 2 of 287
7.6%
92
92.4%
Q4 - 3:42PHXWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)87
6.4%
92
93.6%
Q4 - 3:50PHXWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
8.6%
91
91.4%
Q4 - 4:09PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)87
11.0%
91
89.0%
Q4 - 4:09PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)87
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q4 - 4:30MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)87
14.9%
89
85.1%
Q4 - 4:47PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 4:47PHXJohnson Follow Up Dunk (17 PTS)84
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 4:49PHXMISS Marion Layup84
13.6%
87
86.4%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)84
10.6%
87
89.4%
Q4 - 5:05PHXMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)84
15.7%
87
84.3%
Q4 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
11.6%
87
88.4%
Q4 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
10.8%
87
89.2%
Q4 - 5:40PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
8.7%
87
91.3%
Q4 - 5:40PHXMarion Layup (11 PTS)82
8.7%
87
91.3%
Q4 - 5:41PHXMISS Johnson Layup82
14.3%
85
85.7%
Q4 - 5:43PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
11.6%
85
88.4%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMarion BLOCK (3 BLK)82
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 6:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
15.7%
85
84.3%
Q4 - 6:02PHXMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot82
14.8%
85
85.2%
Q4 - 6:11PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
12.0%
85
88.0%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot82
13.2%
85
86.8%
Q4 - 6:36PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)82
16.1%
85
83.9%
Q4 - 6:36PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
17.3%
84
82.7%
Q4 - 6:40PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
20.0%
83
80.0%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot82
21.8%
83
78.2%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
26.2%
83
73.8%
Q4 - 7:01PHXMISS Marbury 23' Jump Shot82
24.0%
83
76.0%
Q4 - 7:23PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
20.3%
83
79.7%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 282
20.9%
83
79.1%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 282
23.6%
83
76.4%
Q4 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)82
25.8%
83
74.2%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot82
21.8%
83
78.2%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
25.8%
83
74.2%
Q4 - 7:56PHXMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
24.0%
83
76.0%
Q4 - 8:08PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Walker Layup82
22.3%
83
77.7%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
25.6%
83
74.4%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Odom 18' Jump Shot82
22.3%
83
77.7%
Q4 - 8:36PHXJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)82
25.6%
83
74.4%
Q4 - 8:53MIAOdom Layup (15 PTS)82
36.3%
80
63.7%
Q4 - 9:21PHXWilliams 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)80
30.0%
80
70.0%
Q4 - 9:37MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)80
35.1%
78
64.9%
Q4 - 10:00MIAHeat Rebound77
25.2%
78
74.8%
Q4 - 10:01PHXMISS Hardaway 3PT Jump Shot77
23.8%
78
76.2%
Q4 - 10:20PHXCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot77
22.1%
78
77.9%
Q4 - 10:33MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
25.2%
78
74.8%
Q4 - 10:35PHXMISS Hardaway 17' Jump Shot77
23.8%
78
76.2%
Q4 - 10:51MIAJones Driving Layup (19 PTS)77
20.8%
78
79.2%
Q4 - 11:02MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
18.1%
78
81.9%
Q4 - 11:04PHXMISS Cabarkapa 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
17.1%
78
82.9%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 175
15.3%
78
84.7%
Q4 - 11:28MIAJones Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)75
14.9%
78
85.1%
Q4 - 11:49PHXCabarkapa 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hardaway 5 AST)73
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
14.9%
76
85.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
18.1%
76
81.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot73
15.8%
76
84.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0PHXJohnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hardaway 4 AST)73
18.1%
76
81.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)73
25.0%
73
75.0%
Q3 - 1:08PHXCabarkapa Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q3 - 1:08PHXCabarkapa Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
22.2%
72
77.8%
Q3 - 1:08PHXCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
24.5%
71
75.5%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot71
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q3 - 1:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 1:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Walker Dunk71
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Haslem Layup71
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q3 - 1:43PHXHardaway Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)71
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)71
24.6%
71
75.4%
Q3 - 2:12PHXVoskuhl Foul Turnover (P1.T15)71
27.8%
71
72.2%
Q3 - 2:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
23.9%
71
76.1%
Q3 - 2:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
23.0%
71
77.0%
Q3 - 2:29MIAHeat Rebound69
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
18.7%
71
81.3%
Q3 - 2:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot69
18.7%
71
81.3%
Q3 - 2:44MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 2:46PHXMISS Voskuhl Free Throw 2 of 269
20.5%
71
79.5%
Q3 - 2:46PHXVoskuhl Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
18.8%
71
81.2%
Q3 - 2:46PHXSUNS Rebound69
20.7%
70
79.3%
Q3 - 2:46PHXMISS Cabarkapa 16' Jump Shot69
23.1%
70
76.9%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
20.9%
70
79.1%
Q3 - 3:16PHXHardaway 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marbury 9 AST)67
18.3%
70
81.7%
Q3 - 3:35MIAWalker 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T13)67
20.9%
68
79.1%
Q3 - 3:49PHXMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)67
24.2%
68
75.8%
Q3 - 4:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)67
20.4%
68
79.6%
Q3 - 4:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)66
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 4:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
18.1%
68
81.9%
Q3 - 4:06PHXMISS Marbury 22' Jump Shot65
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q3 - 4:21PHXSUNS Rebound65
15.4%
68
84.6%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot65
16.2%
68
83.8%
Q3 - 4:48PHXStoudemire Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)65
18.2%
68
81.8%
Q3 - 5:01MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q3 - 5:01MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 5:11MIAHeat Rebound63
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot63
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 5:34PHXVoskuhl Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 5:34PHXVoskuhl Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
14.2%
67
85.8%
Q3 - 5:53PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
16.4%
66
83.6%
Q3 - 6:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
18.1%
66
81.9%
Q3 - 6:09PHXMISS Marion 11' Jump Shot63
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q3 - 6:25MIAWade Layup (19 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)63
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 6:40MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 6:42PHXMISS Marbury 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q3 - 6:52MIAOdom 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS)61
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q3 - 7:09PHXMarbury 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)59
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 7:32MIAOdom 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 7:47PHXWilliams 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST)57
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 8:03MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 8:09PHXMISS Stoudemire Alley Oop Layup55
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q3 - 8:55PHXStoudemire 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)52
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P5.T12)52
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 9:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)52
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 9:27PHXMarbury Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)52
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 9:31PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 9:40PHXMarbury Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)52
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMarbury STEAL (1 STL)52
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 9:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 9:56PHXMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 10:16PHXSUNS Rebound52
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot52
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 10:34PHXMarion Dunk (9 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)52
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q3 - 10:39MIAStoudemire STEAL (2 STL)52
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 10:51PHXJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)52
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 11:00PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot52
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q3 - 11:25PHXStoudemire 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)52
13.6%
57
86.4%
Q3 - 11:45MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound50
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 76' 3PT Jump Shot50
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot50
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJones Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)48
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0PHXWhite Foul Turnover (P1.T9)47
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0PHXGugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot47
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 1:17MIAHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot47
9.3%
55
90.7%
Q2 - 1:43PHXJohnson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q2 - 2:04MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)47
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q2 - 2:24PHXMarion Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Marbury 8 AST)45
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 2:26PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot45
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 2:40PHXStoudemire Foul Turnover (P2.T8)45
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 2:53MIAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)45
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 3:06PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)45
12.8%
51
87.2%
Q2 - 3:06PHXMarion 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marbury 7 AST)45
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 3:16MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)45
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 3:17MIAHeat Rebound45
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)45
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 3:23PHXMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 3:34MIAStoudemire STEAL (1 STL)45
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 3:55PHXJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marbury 6 AST)45
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 4:08PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot45
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 4:19MIAJones Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)45
22.6%
45
77.4%
Q2 - 4:35PHXWilliams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marbury 5 AST)44
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q2 - 4:48MIAOdom 10' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)44
22.6%
43
77.4%
Q2 - 5:11PHXJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)42
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 5:16PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 5:18MIAStoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK)42
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 5:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
24.5%
41
75.5%
Q2 - 5:34PHXMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
23.8%
41
76.2%
Q2 - 5:43PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Haslem 13' Hook Shot42
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 6:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
24.3%
41
75.7%
Q2 - 6:03PHXMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot42
23.6%
41
76.4%
Q2 - 6:13PHXWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
22.0%
41
78.0%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot42
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 6:34PHXWilliams 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
24.3%
41
75.7%
Q2 - 6:45MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)42
26.0%
39
74.0%
Q2 - 6:54PHXWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 7:02PHXWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 7:29PHXBarbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)40
24.0%
39
76.0%
Q2 - 7:46PHXHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot40
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 7:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 8:01PHXMISS Barbosa 10' Jump Shot40
29.2%
36
70.8%
Q2 - 8:24MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)40
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 8:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 8:34PHXMISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot38
25.1%
36
74.9%
Q2 - 8:44PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
23.6%
36
76.4%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Walker 10' Hook Shot38
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 9:07PHXHardaway Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)38
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 9:22PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 238
23.6%
36
76.4%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 238
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 9:37PHXStoudemire Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)38
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 9:41MIAJohnson STEAL (3 STL)38
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q2 - 10:05PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 10:05PHXStoudemire Tip Shot (13 PTS)38
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 10:07PHXMISS Johnson Layup38
32.9%
32
67.1%
Q2 - 10:11PHXHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot38
31.9%
32
68.1%
Q2 - 10:30PHXStoudemire 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Voskuhl 1 AST)38
33.6%
32
66.4%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
35.6%
30
64.4%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
35.2%
30
64.8%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Walker 11' Jump Shot36
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 10:52MIAHeat Rebound36
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot36
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 11:14PHXCabarkapa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 11:16PHXCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
30.5%
30
69.5%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot36
31.1%
30
68.9%
Q2 - 11:31PHXVoskuhl Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 11:31PHXMISS Voskuhl Free Throw 1 of 236
33.2%
29
66.8%
Q2 - 11:32PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 11:33PHXMISS Hardaway 18' Jump Shot36
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q2 - 11:49PHXSUNS Rebound36
32.7%
29
67.3%
Q2 - 11:49MIAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot36
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX36
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound36
32.7%
29
67.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Hardaway Layup36
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)36
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0PHXJohnson Layup (2 PTS)36
34.0%
29
66.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)36
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0PHXMISS Voskuhl Free Throw 1 of 136
38.1%
27
61.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0PHXVoskuhl Layup (6 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)36
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
40.8%
25
59.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
38.4%
25
61.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0PHXMISS Cabarkapa 17' Jump Shot34
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q1 - 1:10MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
36.5%
25
63.5%
Q1 - 1:10MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
35.9%
25
64.1%
Q1 - 1:10PHXMarbury Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)32
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q1 - 1:20PHXCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot32
32.8%
25
67.2%
Q1 - 1:39PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q1 - 1:39PHXVoskuhl Layup (4 PTS)32
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q1 - 1:42PHXMISS Marbury Layup32
37.7%
23
62.3%
Q1 - 1:47PHXCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36.5%
23
63.5%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot32
37.1%
23
62.9%
Q1 - 2:10PHXMarbury Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
38.2%
23
61.8%
Q1 - 2:23MIAWalker Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)32
40.6%
21
59.4%
Q1 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
38.2%
21
61.8%
Q1 - 2:33PHXMISS Cabarkapa Reverse Layup30
37.6%
21
62.4%
Q1 - 2:48MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T3)30
36.2%
21
63.8%
Q1 - 3:03PHXCabarkapa Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)30
37.2%
21
62.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 3:29MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 3:31PHXMISS Marbury 17' Jump Shot28
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 3:43MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 3:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.2%
19
66.8%
Q1 - 3:53PHXMISS Voskuhl Layup26
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)26
30.2%
19
69.8%
Q1 - 4:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 4:28PHXMISS Marion 17' Jump Shot24
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIAJones 7' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)24
26.6%
19
73.4%
Q1 - 5:06PHXVoskuhl Layup (2 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)22
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 5:23MIAHeat Rebound19
22.9%
17
77.1%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot19
21.8%
17
78.2%
Q1 - 5:39PHXMarbury 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)19
22.9%
17
77.1%
Q1 - 5:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)19
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 5:48MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)18
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 5:51PHXMarbury Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 6:00MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS)16
19.9%
15
80.1%
Q1 - 6:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.5%
15
81.5%
Q1 - 6:07PHXMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot14
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 6:19PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 6:22PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 214
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 6:22PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)14
17.7%
15
82.3%
Q1 - 6:40MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 6:55PHXStoudemire Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 7:13MIAOdom 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)14
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 7:29MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)11
16.2%
14
83.8%
Q1 - 7:43PHXMarion 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marbury 4 AST)10
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 8:22PHXStoudemire Dunk (8 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)7
14.1%
12
85.9%
Q1 - 8:28PHXWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot7
15.3%
10
84.7%
Q1 - 8:51PHXWilliams Dunk (4 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)7
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 9:08MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
16.7%
8
83.3%
Q1 - 9:08MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 9:19MIAHeat Rebound5
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
15.1%
8
84.9%
Q1 - 9:35PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 9:35PHXStoudemire Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)5
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 9:37PHXMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot5
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:52MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 9:58PHXMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot5
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 10:09MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Odom 13' Jump Shot2
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 10:32PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 10:32PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
15.2%
5
84.8%
Q1 - 10:52MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 11:15PHXWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)0
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 11:19PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Haslem Layup0
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 11:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:26MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot0
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 11:42PHXStoudemire 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Williams vs. Grant: Tip to Marion0
17.9%
0
82.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.0%
PHX
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
17
59%
PHX
18
26
69%
Midrange
MIA
15
48
31%
PHX
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
PHX
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
30
36
83%
PHX
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2761%13.5 / 22
L. Odom2463%12.0 / 19
E. Jones2248%11.0 / 23
B. Grant1169%5.5 / 8
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
S. Walker627%3.0 / 11
J. Wallace225%1.0 / 4
R. Alston0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Stoudemire2480%12.0 / 15
J. Johnson1765%8.5 / 13
S. Marion1454%7.0 / 13
S. Williams1267%6.0 / 9
S. Marbury1150%5.5 / 11
J. Voskuhl1063%5.0 / 8
Z. Cabarkapa643%3.0 / 7
L. Barbosa375%1.5 / 2
A. Hardaway220%1.0 / 5
J. White150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+21
-15
101
PHX
76
+9
-18
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.0%
PHX
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.4
MIA 103.2
PHX 106.4 +3.2
Pace
90.6
94.6
MIA 92.1
PHX 97.0 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.8
MIA 15.6
PHX 14.8 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.5%
MIA 41.5%
PHX 57.7% +16.2%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
MIA 13.3% +4.8%
PHX 18.1%
ORB %
27.5%
26.6%
MIA 31.8% +11.2%
PHX 20.6%
FTrt
29.8
28.0
MIA 43.9 +10.1
PHX 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
53.6%
MIA 54.8%
PHX 65.8% +11.0%
STL %
7.9%
9.4%
MIA 5.3%
PHX 8.5% +3.2%
BLK %
6.3%
7.2%
MIA 0.0%
PHX 6.2% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
49.2%
MIA 48.0%
PHX 58.1% +10.1%
Rim FG%
53.9%
57.3%
MIA 58.8%
PHX 69.2% +10.4%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.1%
MIA 31.3%
PHX 43.8% +12.5%
3P %
35.7%
34.5%
MIA 35.3%
PHX 46.2% +10.9%
FT %
76.2%
74.6%
MIA 83.3% +8.3%
PHX 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
35.8%
MIA 20.7%
PHX 36.6% +15.9%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
46.2%
MIA 58.5%
PHX 45.1% +13.5%
3P Att. %
21.1%
18.0%
MIA 20.7% +2.4%
PHX 18.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAPHX
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.823.3
Points98100
Rebounds4137
Assists1725
Steals58
Blocks04
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (7)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals31-8238-71
At-the-Rim FG10-1718-26
Midrange FG15-4814-32
2-Point FG25-6532-58
3-Point FG6-176-13
Free Throws30-3618-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
41.4
22
48%
4
6
1
0
0
3
0
4
6-9
67%
5-13
38%
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
40.7
6
33%
10
1
0
0
1
4
5
5
4-4
100%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
39.5
24
63%
5
3
0
0
7
5
0
5
8-8
100%
5-11
45%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
37.5
27
61%
4
5
1
0
4
1
2
2
7-7
100%
7-15
47%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
26.2
11
69%
4
0
1
0
1
5
2
2
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
24.2
6
27%
9
0
2
0
1
2
3
6
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
17.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
8.4
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 36
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
0.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
48%
41
17
5
0
15
0
14
27
30-36
83%
25-65
38%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.