FinalWin Prob.pScore
2638%93
91
2262%97
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.89699.1
GSW logo GSW
107.49491.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW91
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0GSWMISS Cardinal 3' Layup89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28GSWMISS Johnson Driving Layup86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56GSWDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cardinal 2 AST)86
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:07GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)86
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 286
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 2:08MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)86
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 2:08MIAHeat Rebound85
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Walker 11' Jump Shot85
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 2:21GSWCardinal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)85
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 2:42MIAAlston Driving Layup (10 PTS)85
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 2:52GSWDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 3:10MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:10MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25GSWMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIAWalker 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:51GSWRichardson Traveling Turnover (P5.T16)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:06MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:06MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIAHeat Rebound77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06GSWMISS Dunleavy Tip Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09GSWMISS Dunleavy 3' Layup77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57GSWRichardson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07GSWWARRIORS Rebound77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:19GSWDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:38GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 277
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:03GSWCardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:26MIAOdom 3' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)76
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 6:30GSWJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)74
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 6:50GSWWARRIORS Rebound74
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 7:01GSWDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T13)74
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 7:15MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T14)74
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 7:25GSWMISS Cardinal 4' Jump Shot74
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 7:35GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 7:37MIACardinal BLOCK (1 BLK)74
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 7:55MIAHeat Rebound74
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 8:19GSWJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)74
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 8:28GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 8:30MIARichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)74
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 8:33GSWRichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)74
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 8:54MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 273
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 8:56GSWParks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)73
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 9:00GSWParks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot73
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 9:19GSWCheaney Foul Turnover (P2.T10)73
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWade Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)73
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 9:35MIAHeat Rebound71
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 9:36MIAParks BLOCK (2 BLK)71
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 9:52GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)71
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 9:52GSWRichardson 4' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)71
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 10:17MIAOdom Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)71
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 10:40GSWParks 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)69
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 10:54GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 10:56MIAParks BLOCK (1 BLK)69
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 11:15GSWCheaney 3' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Richardson 6 AST)69
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 11:34MIAAlston 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 11:40GSWMISS Richardson 4' Jump Shot67
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAHeat Rebound67
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0GSWMISS Cheaney 12' Fadeaway Jumper67
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAWallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0GSWMISS Robinson 21' Jump Shot65
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 1:16MIAHill 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)65
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 1:37GSWDampier 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Dunleavy 5 AST)63
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 1:51MIAHill Foul Turnover (P1.T13)63
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 1:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 2:00GSWMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 263
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 2:00GSWRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)63
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWade 16' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)63
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 2:41GSWClaxton Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)61
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 2:42GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)61
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup61
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 2:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 2:48MIARobinson BLOCK (3 BLK)61
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 3:04GSWRobinson 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)61
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)61
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 3:35GSWRichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)59
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 3:52GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Grant 18' Turnaround Jump Shot59
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 4:06GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q3 - 4:06GSWMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 259
5.0%
73
95.0%
Q3 - 4:18GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 4:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 4:30GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)59
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 4:30GSWMISS Dampier Tip Shot59
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 4:32GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)59
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 5:03GSWRobinson Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)57
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 5:08MIARichardson STEAL (2 STL)57
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 5:15MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 5:17GSWMISS Robinson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot57
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 5:26MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)57
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 5:59GSWRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)57
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 6:08MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)57
8.6%
68
91.4%
Q3 - 6:30GSWDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
10.1%
68
89.9%
Q3 - 6:48MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
13.2%
65
86.8%
Q3 - 6:48MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
12.7%
65
87.3%
Q3 - 7:00GSWDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
11.6%
65
88.4%
Q3 - 7:00GSWDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q3 - 7:00GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)55
13.2%
63
86.8%
Q3 - 7:01GSWMISS Dunleavy 4' Jump Shot55
15.0%
63
85.0%
Q3 - 7:08GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot55
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 7:32GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)55
15.7%
63
84.3%
Q3 - 7:32GSWDampier Tip Shot (12 PTS)55
15.7%
63
84.3%
Q3 - 7:34GSWMISS Richardson 5' Jump Shot55
19.4%
61
80.6%
Q3 - 7:51MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)55
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q3 - 8:07GSWRichardson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
20.6%
61
79.4%
Q3 - 8:18GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)55
22.8%
59
77.2%
Q3 - 8:20MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot55
23.8%
59
76.2%
Q3 - 8:38GSWClaxton Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)55
26.0%
59
74.0%
Q3 - 8:41MIARichardson STEAL (1 STL)55
28.6%
57
71.4%
Q3 - 8:55GSWRichardson 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q3 - 8:56GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 8:58GSWMISS Richardson 5' Jump Shot55
37.9%
55
62.1%
Q3 - 9:07MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
34.9%
55
65.1%
Q3 - 9:07MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
34.3%
55
65.7%
Q3 - 9:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
31.7%
55
68.3%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot53
29.5%
55
70.5%
Q3 - 9:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
31.8%
55
68.2%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Hook Shot53
29.5%
55
70.5%
Q3 - 9:38GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
31.8%
55
68.2%
Q3 - 9:38GSWMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 253
32.8%
54
67.2%
Q3 - 9:49GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
31.7%
54
68.3%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Grant 13' Turnaround Jump Shot53
32.7%
54
67.3%
Q3 - 10:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
35.0%
54
65.0%
Q3 - 10:07GSWMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot53
33.9%
54
66.1%
Q3 - 10:16GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)53
31.5%
54
68.5%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 6' Running Jump Shot53
32.5%
54
67.5%
Q3 - 10:43GSWDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)53
35.0%
54
65.0%
Q3 - 11:02GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)53
37.8%
52
62.2%
Q3 - 11:03GSWMISS Dampier Tip Shot53
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 11:03GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
37.8%
52
62.2%
Q3 - 11:05GSWMISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot53
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 11:22MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)53
37.8%
52
62.2%
Q3 - 11:30GSWRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)51
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q3 - 11:42GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot51
32.5%
52
67.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0GSWClaxton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)51
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
32.2%
52
67.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
25.4%
52
74.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot48
24.7%
52
75.3%
Q2 - 1:00GSWRobinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)48
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 1:04GSWClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
32.6%
49
67.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIARobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)48
33.1%
49
66.9%
Q2 - 1:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
34.1%
49
65.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot48
33.0%
49
67.0%
Q2 - 1:22GSWRichardson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)48
34.1%
49
65.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)48
32.6%
49
67.4%
Q2 - 2:09GSWRichardson 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)45
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 2:29MIAWallace 7' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)45
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q2 - 2:50GSWRobinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)43
26.6%
47
73.4%
Q2 - 2:56GSWLampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot43
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 3:19GSWRobinson 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)43
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
37.2%
42
62.8%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 242
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 3:50GSWRichardson 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)42
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 4:13MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)42
39.8%
40
60.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 4:26GSWCheaney Foul Turnover (P1.T5)40
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 4:34MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)40
34.4%
40
65.6%
Q2 - 4:34MIAJones Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)39
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 4:49GSWRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 4:49GSWRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
30.1%
39
69.9%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWallace Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)37
31.7%
38
68.3%
Q2 - 5:14GSWRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
29.5%
38
70.5%
Q2 - 5:28GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
27.0%
38
73.0%
Q2 - 5:30GSWMISS Richardson 12' Running Finger Roll35
28.7%
38
71.3%
Q2 - 5:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
27.0%
38
73.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
26.4%
38
73.6%
Q2 - 6:05GSWRichardson Layup (11 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)33
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 6:09GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
27.1%
36
72.9%
Q2 - 6:11GSWMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot33
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 6:23MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T7)33
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAHeat Rebound33
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 6:36GSWMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot33
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 6:54GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot33
27.8%
36
72.2%
Q2 - 7:06GSWCardinal Foul Turnover (P1.T3)33
29.8%
36
70.2%
Q2 - 7:22MIAOdom 4' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)33
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 7:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
25.6%
36
74.4%
Q2 - 7:34GSWMISS Cheaney 14' Jump Shot31
25.0%
36
75.0%
Q2 - 7:58MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)31
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 8:06MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 8:08GSWMISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot28
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q2 - 8:17GSWJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 8:36GSWDunleavy Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Cardinal 1 AST)28
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 8:46GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
21.7%
34
78.3%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot28
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 8:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot28
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 9:17GSWClaxton 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)28
25.5%
32
74.5%
Q2 - 9:51MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
23.9%
32
76.1%
Q2 - 9:53GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 9:53GSWMISS Dampier Tip Shot26
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 9:55GSWMISS Dunleavy 15' Jump Shot26
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 10:00GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot26
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 10:22MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 10:24GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 10:24GSWMISS Dampier Tip Shot26
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 10:26GSWMISS Claxton 20' Jump Shot26
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 10:45GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 226
22.3%
32
77.7%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 10:59GSWClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 11:09GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot25
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q2 - 11:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q2 - 11:19GSWMISS Richardson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot25
21.6%
32
78.4%
Q2 - 11:34MIAOdom 6' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)25
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q2 - 11:48GSWMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 123
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 11:48GSWClaxton Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 11:50MIAClaxton STEAL (1 STL)23
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Odom 39' 3PT Jump Shot23
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22.0%
30
78.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0GSWMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot23
21.7%
30
78.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
20.8%
30
79.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0GSWCardinal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
22.0%
30
78.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0GSWCardinal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
24.1%
28
75.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot23
24.5%
28
75.5%
Q1 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound23
25.6%
28
74.4%
Q1 - 1:08GSWMISS Cardinal 8' Jump Shot23
25.1%
28
74.9%
Q1 - 1:23MIAAlston 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
24.2%
28
75.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical21
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q1 - 1:44GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)21
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q1 - 1:44GSWDampier 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q1 - 2:21GSWRobinson 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)19
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 2:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)19
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q1 - 3:05GSWRichardson 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q1 - 3:22GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
25.9%
21
74.1%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
26.5%
21
73.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q1 - 3:37GSWMISS Robinson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot17
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 3:49MIAOdom 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)17
25.9%
21
74.1%
Q1 - 4:10GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)14
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 4:10GSWRichardson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)14
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 4:18GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
25.8%
18
74.2%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 4:36GSWRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 4:36GSWMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 214
28.4%
17
71.6%
Q1 - 4:36GSWWARRIORS Rebound14
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot14
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 4:56GSWDampier Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)14
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 5:37GSWRichardson Layup (4 PTS)12
29.6%
15
70.4%
Q1 - 5:39GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 5:41GSWMISS Claxton 21' Jump Shot12
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 5:54MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T4)12
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 5:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 6:00GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 6:18MIAHill 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)12
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 6:44GSWDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)10
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 6:53MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T3)10
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 6:59GSWMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 110
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 6:59GSWRichardson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)10
33.0%
11
67.0%
Q1 - 7:02GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 7:04MIADampier BLOCK (1 BLK)10
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 7:24GSWRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)10
36.4%
9
63.6%
Q1 - 7:34GSWClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
39.8%
6
60.2%
Q1 - 7:36GSWMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot10
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAHill Layup (2 PTS)10
39.8%
6
60.2%
Q1 - 7:50MIAHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot8
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 8:03GSWMISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot8
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 8:19MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 8:26MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 8:28GSWMISS Dampier 6' Jump Shot8
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 8:40GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot8
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 8:55GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 8:55GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
38.7%
5
61.3%
Q1 - 8:55GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 8:58GSWMISS Claxton 11' Jump Shot8
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 9:04GSWWARRIORS Rebound8
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 9:05GSWMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot8
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 9:10GSWClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 9:12MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)8
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 9:29GSWMISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot8
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 9:39MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 9:39MIAOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound5
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 9:50GSWMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 10:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)5
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 10:15GSWMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot2
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 10:42MIAWade Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:48GSWClaxton Driving Layup (4 PTS)0
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 10:57MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 11:16GSWDunleavy Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:22GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Jones 11' Running Jump Shot0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:45GSWClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:45GSWClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
31.2%
1
68.8%
Q1 - 11:45GSWWARRIORS Rebound0
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 11:46GSWMISS Claxton 6' Jump Shot0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Dampier vs. Grant: Tip to Claxton0
32.6%
0
67.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.4%
GSW
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
24
63%
GSW
19
35
54%
Midrange
MIA
12
37
32%
GSW
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
GSW
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
Free Throws
MIA
19
25
76%
GSW
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2071%10.0 / 14
J. Wallace1488%7.0 / 8
D. Wade1334%6.5 / 19
R. Alston1250%6.0 / 12
E. Jones829%4.0 / 14
B. Grant844%4.0 / 9
T. Hill6100%3.0 / 3
U. Haslem433%2.0 / 6
C. Butler220%1.0 / 5
L. Woods250%1.0 / 2
S. Walker250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2958%14.5 / 25
C. Robinson2166%10.5 / 16
E. Dampier1644%8.0 / 18
M. Dunleavy1255%6.0 / 11
S. Claxton1255%6.0 / 11
B. Cardinal550%2.5 / 5
C. Cheaney220%1.0 / 5
A. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
C. Parks2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+15
-13
98
GSW
76
+16
-18
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.4%
GSW
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
100.9
MIA 94.8 +12.7
GSW 107.4
Pace
90.6
91.7
MIA 99.1 +7.9
GSW 91.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.8
MIA 14.5 +1.3
GSW 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.5%
MIA 44.4%
GSW 51.3% +6.9%
TO %
14.4%
15.2%
MIA 13.2% +3.3%
GSW 16.5%
ORB %
27.5%
28.4%
MIA 25.0%
GSW 35.9% +10.9%
FTrt
29.8
31.1
MIA 30.9
GSW 34.2 +3.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
58.5%
MIA 60.6% +1.1%
GSW 59.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
MIA 9.4% +6.2%
GSW 3.2%
BLK %
6.3%
7.0%
MIA 6.0%
GSW 13.1% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
49.1%
MIA 46.4%
GSW 52.6% +6.2%
Rim FG%
53.9%
57.2%
MIA 62.5% +8.2%
GSW 54.3%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.0%
MIA 32.4%
GSW 34.4% +2.0%
3P %
35.7%
33.4%
MIA 30.0%
GSW 58.3% +28.3%
FT %
76.2%
72.5%
MIA 76.0% +1.9%
GSW 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
36.8%
MIA 29.6%
GSW 44.3% +14.7%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
43.5%
MIA 45.7%
GSW 40.5% +5.2%
3P Att. %
21.1%
19.7%
MIA 24.7% +9.5%
GSW 15.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes23.324.8
Points91101
Rebounds3647
Assists2022
Steals93
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (5)33 (3)
Field Goals33-8137-79
At-the-Rim FG15-2419-35
Midrange FG12-3711-32
2-Point FG27-6130-67
3-Point FG6-207-12
Free Throws19-2520-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
40.0
20
71%
8
4
2
2
3
3
1
7
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
33.4
13
34%
6
3
2
0
4
3
4
2
3-4
75%
5-15
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
29.2
8
29%
1
4
1
1
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
1-5
20%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
27.6
8
44%
6
2
1
0
0
3
2
4
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
21.8
4
33%
4
0
0
0
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
35.4
12
50%
2
5
2
0
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
17.4
14
88%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 250 · 36
10.8
6
100%
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
10.7
2
20%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
9.6
2
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
4.1
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
46%
36
20
9
4
13
0
11
25
19-25
76%
27-61
44%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.