FinalWin Prob.pScore
2121%87
75
279%97
114
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
75.899102.0
SAS logo SAS
114.010097.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASTurkoglu 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)73
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 273
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 273
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASHart 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)73
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:12ATLBrown STEAL (1 STL)73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:17ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:20SASMISS Horry 4' Driving Layup73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:23SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:26ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:26ATLMISS Diaw 3' Follow Up Dunk73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:29ATLMISS Diaw 4' Jump Shot73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:49ATLDickau REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:50ATLMISS Hansen 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 2:08SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 2:08SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 2:08SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:08SASMISS Horry 3' Layup73
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:12SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:15ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:24ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:31SASMISS Turkoglu 16' Turnaround Jump Shot73
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:57ATLHansen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:57ATLHansen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:11ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Horry 3' Layup71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:32ATLHart STEAL (1 STL)71
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)71
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57ATLMohammed 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 4:03ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 4:05SASMISS Hart 21' Jump Shot69
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 4:21SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 4:23ATLMISS Mohammed 14' Jump Shot69
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 4:28ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 4:31SASMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 4:52ATLDiaw 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 5:07ATLHawks Rebound67
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08SASMISS Willis 11' Jump Hook Shot67
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 5:22ATLMISS Crawford 15' Jump Shot67
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 5:46SASBrown 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)67
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)67
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28ATLMISS Diaw Tip Shot65
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30ATLMISS Diaw Layup65
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45SASBrown 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)65
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50ATLHorry STEAL (1 STL)65
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14ATLMISS Hansen 16' Jump Shot65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38SASRose 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16ATLDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42ATLDiaw 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56SASMISS Willis 16' Jump Shot63
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04ATLMISS Dickau 17' Jump Shot63
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23SASCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25ATLMISS Hansen 9' Jump Shot63
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:34SASWillis Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)63
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:16SASWillis 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:23SASCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:25ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot61
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)61
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:05ATLMohammed 10' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)61
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:13ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16SASMISS Horry 5' Layup59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40ATLDickau 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS57
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMohammed 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)57
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0SASWillis Foul Turnover (P2.T12)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLWillis STEAL (1 STL)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Dickau 11' Running Jump Shot55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:14SASCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:20SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:22ATLMISS Diaw 2' Layup55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:28ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:30SASMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:58ATLMohammed 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:02ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:04ATLMISS Dickau 3' Jump Shot53
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:06ATLDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:11ATLHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)53
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:35SASWillis 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)53
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:39SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 2:41ATLMISS Diaw 20' Jump Shot53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 2:58SASGinobili 3' Layup (20 PTS)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 3:04ATLBowen STEAL (4 STL)53
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:15SASBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)53
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:25SASSPURS Rebound53
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:26SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot53
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:39ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:39ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 252
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:39ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:42ATLMISS Dickau 20' Jump Shot52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:45ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:49SASMISS Willis 7' Jump Shot52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 4:01ATLMISS Dickau 3' Driving Layup52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 4:16SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 4:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:23SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot52
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:41ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)52
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:41ATLJackson 3' Layup (7 PTS)51
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:41ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:44SASMISS Willis Layup49
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:54ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)49
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:54ATLAbdur-Rahim 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:09SASCarter 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:15SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 5:21SASMISS Willis 4' Jump Shot46
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 5:36ATLGlover 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)46
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 5:40ATLDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 5:44SASMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot43
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 5:50ATLGinobili STEAL (2 STL)43
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 6:05SASWillis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)43
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 6:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 6:17ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 6:17ATLMISS Jackson Tip Shot43
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 6:21ATLMISS Ratliff Free Throw 2 of 243
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 6:21ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 6:37SASGinobili 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)42
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 6:54ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 142
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q3 - 6:54ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (12 PTS) (Ratliff 1 AST)42
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q3 - 7:15SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)40
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q3 - 7:15SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)40
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q3 - 7:34SASSPURS Rebound40
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 7:34ATLNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)40
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 7:58SASGinobili 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)40
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 8:15ATLAbdur-Rahim Tip Shot (10 PTS)40
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 8:16ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 8:18ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 2' Layup38
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 8:30ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 8:32SASMISS Duncan 14' Running Jump Shot38
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 8:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 8:44ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot38
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 8:56SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)38
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 9:11SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 9:14SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q3 - 9:30ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 9:30ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 9:37SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)36
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 9:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)36
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 9:53ATLMISS Glover 14' Jump Shot36
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 10:15SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)36
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 10:15SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)36
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q3 - 10:27SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q3 - 10:29ATLMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 10:36ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 10:39SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 10:50ATLRatliff Foul Turnover (P2.T15)36
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q3 - 11:05ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 11:05ATLMISS Glover 6' Jump Shot36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 11:06ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 11:12ATLDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 11:23ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 11:26SASMISS Bowen 12' Jump Shot36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 11:40ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 11:40ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 11:48ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q3 - 11:49SASMISS Nesterovic Layup34
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS34
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound34
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLBowen STEAL (3 STL)34
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)34
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)34
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLHawks Rebound34
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)34
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASGinobili 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)34
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)34
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 3PT Jump Shot34
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q2 - 1:09ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q2 - 1:11SASMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot34
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q2 - 1:38ATLDiaw 3' Layup (2 PTS)34
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q2 - 1:54SASGinobili 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)32
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q2 - 1:59ATLBowen STEAL (2 STL)32
0.4%
64
99.6%
Q2 - 2:12SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)32
0.5%
64
99.5%
Q2 - 2:28ATLGlover 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)32
0.5%
62
99.5%
Q2 - 2:48ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
0.5%
62
99.5%
Q2 - 2:49SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 230
0.5%
62
99.5%
Q2 - 2:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)30
0.4%
62
99.6%
Q2 - 3:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
0.5%
61
99.5%
Q2 - 3:03ATLMISS Glover 12' Jump Shot30
0.6%
61
99.4%
Q2 - 3:18SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)30
0.6%
61
99.4%
Q2 - 3:18SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 230
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q2 - 3:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q2 - 3:32ATLMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot30
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q2 - 3:44SASDuncan 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)30
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q2 - 3:50SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 3:52ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 8' Jump Shot30
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 3:59ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 4:01SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot30
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 4:23ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 4:23ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 4:28ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 4:30SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup28
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 4:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 4:41ATLMISS Terry 14' Jump Shot28
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 4:47SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)28
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 5:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 5:04ATLMISS Ratliff 5' Jump Hook Shot28
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 5:23SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)28
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 5:40ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 5:40ATLGlover 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q2 - 5:45SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)25
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 6:08ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q2 - 6:08ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
0.9%
53
99.1%
Q2 - 6:25SASParker 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)23
0.9%
53
99.1%
Q2 - 6:27ATLRose STEAL (1 STL)23
1.0%
51
99.0%
Q2 - 6:31SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
1.1%
51
98.9%
Q2 - 6:41ATLMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
1.0%
51
99.0%
Q2 - 6:41ATLMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
0.9%
51
99.1%
Q2 - 6:57SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)21
0.9%
51
99.1%
Q2 - 7:09SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
0.9%
51
99.1%
Q2 - 7:11ATLMISS Glover 4' Driving Layup21
0.9%
51
99.1%
Q2 - 7:24SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)21
1.0%
51
99.0%
Q2 - 7:29SASSPURS Rebound21
1.1%
49
98.9%
Q2 - 7:31SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot21
1.2%
49
98.8%
Q2 - 7:42ATLParker STEAL (2 STL)21
1.1%
49
98.9%
Q2 - 7:59SASRose 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
1.2%
49
98.8%
Q2 - 8:14ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 8:14ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 8:30SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
1.3%
47
98.7%
Q2 - 8:30SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
1.3%
46
98.7%
Q2 - 8:35ATLNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)19
1.4%
45
98.6%
Q2 - 8:48SASParker 3' Layup (7 PTS)19
1.6%
45
98.4%
Q2 - 8:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 8:55ATLMISS Mohammed 5' Jump Hook Shot19
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 9:12SASTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
2.0%
43
98.0%
Q2 - 9:27ATLNailon 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)19
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 9:32ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
1.6%
43
98.4%
Q2 - 9:34SASMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot17
1.6%
43
98.4%
Q2 - 9:47SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
1.5%
43
98.5%
Q2 - 9:49ATLMISS Glover 16' Jump Shot17
1.5%
43
98.5%
Q2 - 10:01ATLHawks Rebound17
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 10:03ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
1.6%
43
98.4%
Q2 - 10:14SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 10:14SASTurkoglu 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)17
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 10:16SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
1.9%
41
98.1%
Q2 - 10:16SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Layup17
2.0%
41
98.0%
Q2 - 10:18SASMISS Turkoglu 3' Driving Layup17
2.0%
41
98.0%
Q2 - 10:37ATLGlover 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)17
1.9%
41
98.1%
Q2 - 10:41ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot15
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q2 - 11:01ATLTerry 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q2 - 11:23SASBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)13
1.4%
41
98.6%
Q2 - 11:28ATLTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)13
1.6%
39
98.4%
Q2 - 11:45SASTurkoglu 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)13
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL13
1.9%
37
98.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)13
2.2%
37
97.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLAbdur-Rahim 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
2.7%
34
97.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)11
2.4%
34
97.6%
Q1 - 1:10SASSPURS Rebound11
2.7%
32
97.3%
Q1 - 1:11ATLMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot11
2.8%
32
97.2%
Q1 - 1:26SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
2.9%
32
97.1%
Q1 - 1:26SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
3.0%
31
97.0%
Q1 - 1:31SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
3.3%
30
96.7%
Q1 - 1:34SASMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot11
3.4%
30
96.6%
Q1 - 1:42SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
3.3%
30
96.7%
Q1 - 1:45ATLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)11
3.3%
30
96.7%
Q1 - 2:18SASCarter 2' Layup (2 PTS)11
3.6%
30
96.4%
Q1 - 2:22ATLCarter STEAL (1 STL)11
3.9%
28
96.1%
Q1 - 2:35SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)11
4.3%
28
95.7%
Q1 - 2:35SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 211
4.4%
27
95.6%
Q1 - 2:52ATLAbdur-Rahim 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
4.3%
27
95.7%
Q1 - 3:08SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
4.1%
27
95.9%
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
3.7%
27
96.3%
Q1 - 3:13ATLMISS Vaughn 5' Running Hook Shot9
3.8%
27
96.2%
Q1 - 3:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)9
4.1%
27
95.9%
Q1 - 3:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)9
4.2%
26
95.8%
Q1 - 3:40ATLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)9
4.4%
25
95.6%
Q1 - 3:58SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 19
4.8%
25
95.2%
Q1 - 3:58SASDuncan 3' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)9
4.9%
25
95.1%
Q1 - 4:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
5.3%
23
94.7%
Q1 - 4:03ATLBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)9
5.4%
23
94.6%
Q1 - 4:22SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)9
5.8%
23
94.2%
Q1 - 4:39ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)9
6.2%
21
93.8%
Q1 - 4:53ATLHawks Rebound9
6.9%
21
93.1%
Q1 - 4:54ATLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)9
6.4%
21
93.6%
Q1 - 5:01SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)9
7.0%
21
93.0%
Q1 - 5:17ATLVaughn 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
7.5%
19
92.5%
Q1 - 5:42SASDuncan 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)7
6.9%
19
93.1%
Q1 - 5:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
7.4%
17
92.6%
Q1 - 5:49ATLMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot7
7.6%
17
92.4%
Q1 - 6:11SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
8.2%
17
91.8%
Q1 - 6:16ATLBowen STEAL (1 STL)7
7.6%
17
92.4%
Q1 - 6:30SASNesterovic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
8.2%
17
91.8%
Q1 - 6:45ATLAbdur-Rahim 2' Dunk (2 PTS)7
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 6:49SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
8.2%
15
91.8%
Q1 - 6:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
7.6%
15
92.4%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Terry 6' Jump Shot5
7.8%
15
92.2%
Q1 - 7:06SASParker 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)5
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 7:13SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
9.0%
13
91.0%
Q1 - 7:15ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
9.2%
13
90.8%
Q1 - 7:29ATLHawks Rebound5
9.7%
13
90.3%
Q1 - 7:31SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 7:47ATLRatliff 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Glover 2 AST)5
9.0%
13
91.0%
Q1 - 7:57ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
8.4%
13
91.6%
Q1 - 7:59SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot3
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 8:10ATLTerry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)3
7.7%
13
92.3%
Q1 - 8:19SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)3
8.4%
13
91.6%
Q1 - 8:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 8:27ATLNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)3
9.8%
10
90.2%
Q1 - 8:37ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot3
10.1%
10
89.9%
Q1 - 8:44ATLRatliff Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)3
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 8:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 8:46SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)3
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 8:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
10.9%
8
89.1%
Q1 - 8:48SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Shot3
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 8:50SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 23
11.7%
8
88.3%
Q1 - 8:50SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 23
11.1%
8
88.9%
Q1 - 8:59SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
10.9%
8
89.1%
Q1 - 9:00ATLMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 23
11.0%
8
89.0%
Q1 - 9:00ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 9:04ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.0%
8
89.0%
Q1 - 9:06SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot2
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 9:18ATLMISS Jackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot2
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 9:38SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)2
10.9%
8
89.1%
Q1 - 9:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
12.3%
5
87.7%
Q1 - 9:53SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot2
13.0%
5
87.0%
Q1 - 10:01SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.3%
5
87.7%
Q1 - 10:03ATLMISS Glover 15' Jump Shot2
12.6%
5
87.4%
Q1 - 10:25SASGinobili 1' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
13.3%
5
86.7%
Q1 - 10:30ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)2
14.0%
3
86.0%
Q1 - 10:46SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 10:54SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 10:56ATLMISS Glover 9' Running Jump Shot2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:06ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:08ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)2
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 11:17ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:19SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Shot2
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:45ATLJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)2
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Ratliff: Tip to Abdur-Rahim0
15.9%
0
84.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.77 38.7%
SAS
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
33
42%
SAS
24
38
63%
Midrange
ATL
12
39
31%
SAS
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
SAS
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
ATL
20
26
77%
SAS
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Abdur-Rahim1647%8.0 / 17
D. Glover1447%7.0 / 15
N. Mohammed1050%5.0 / 10
S. Jackson833%4.0 / 12
C. Crawford850%4.0 / 8
B. Diaw630%3.0 / 10
T. Ratliff350%1.5 / 3
J. Terry217%1.0 / 6
D. Dickau217%1.0 / 6
T. Hansen225%1.0 / 4
J. Vaughn233%1.0 / 3
L. Nailon2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2566%12.5 / 19
M. Ginobili2091%10.0 / 11
T. Parker1777%8.5 / 11
H. Turkoglu1169%5.5 / 8
B. Bowen857%4.0 / 7
D. Brown857%4.0 / 7
K. Willis844%4.0 / 9
M. Rose660%3.0 / 5
A. Carter433%2.0 / 6
R. Horry319%1.5 / 8
R. Nesterovic220%1.0 / 5
J. Hart250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+15
-20
94
SAS
87
+13
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.77 38.7%
SAS
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.7
100.0
ATL 75.8 +38.2
SAS 114.0
Pace
93.1
91.3
ATL 102.0 +4.9
SAS 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.0
ATL 14.1 +0.7
SAS 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
47.3%
ATL 34.4%
SAS 56.5% +22.1%
TO %
16.6%
15.4%
ATL 18.7%
SAS 12.0% +6.7%
ORB %
28.7%
29.5%
ATL 23.1%
SAS 25.6% +2.5%
FTrt
30.3
32.2
ATL 32.5 +4.3
SAS 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
59.0%
ATL 40.7%
SAS 63.6% +22.9%
STL %
8.1%
8.8%
ATL 9.1%
SAS 16.0% +6.9%
BLK %
7.6%
9.9%
ATL 8.6%
SAS 12.5% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.8%
48.6%
ATL 38.7%
SAS 56.4% +17.7%
Rim FG%
54.7%
57.6%
ATL 42.4%
SAS 63.2% +20.8%
Mid FG%
38.5%
37.0%
ATL 30.8%
SAS 37.5% +6.7%
3P %
33.5%
35.8%
ATL 12.5%
SAS 53.3% +40.8%
FT %
77.6%
68.1%
ATL 76.9% +1.9%
SAS 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.6%
35.9%
ATL 41.3%
SAS 44.7% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
46.4%
ATL 48.8%
SAS 37.6% +11.1%
3P Att. %
19.1%
17.7%
ATL 10.0%
SAS 17.6% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points75114
Rebounds4150
Assists1128
Steals916
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)40 (2)
Field Goals27-8044-85
At-the-Rim FG14-3324-38
Midrange FG12-3912-32
2-Point FG26-7236-70
3-Point FG1-88-15
Free Throws20-2618-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 225 · 25
27.4
14
47%
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
3
5-5
100%
3-11
27%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
26.3
16
47%
7
0
3
0
2
1
3
4
4-6
67%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 26
25.1
8
33%
4
1
0
0
2
3
1
3
4-5
80%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 235 · 31
18.9
3
50%
2
1
0
3
2
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
18.2
2
17%
1
0
0
0
4
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 250 · 26
29.1
10
50%
7
0
3
1
2
1
1
6
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22
22.9
6
30%
6
3
1
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 180 · 25
19.3
2
17%
4
2
1
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
18.3
8
50%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 26
16.0
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
15.3
2
33%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 29
3.5
2
100%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
39%
41
11
9
6
20
0
12
29
20-26
77%
26-72
36%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.