FinalWin Prob.pScore
2026%91
93
674%99
79
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
103.39088.3
IND logo IND
89.88889.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL93
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILFord 3' Finger Roll (11 PTS)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)91
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MILThomas 2' Driving Finger Roll (20 PTS)91
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 1:10INDMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot89
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 1:24INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 1:26MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 1:45MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 2:03MILRedd 3' Layup (21 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)89
97.4%
79
2.6%
Q4 - 2:24MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 2:26INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
95.9%
79
4.1%
Q4 - 2:40MILThomas Traveling Turnover (P5.T22)87
93.3%
79
6.7%
Q4 - 2:59INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)87
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q4 - 2:59INDHarrington 1' Dunk (25 PTS)87
96.8%
78
3.2%
Q4 - 3:13MILJohnson STEAL (2 STL)87
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 3:21INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
98.7%
76
1.3%
Q4 - 3:21INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 287
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 3:30INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Harrington87
98.4%
75
1.6%
Q4 - 3:31MILO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)87
97.1%
75
2.9%
Q4 - 3:54INDJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)87
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q4 - 4:05MILFord 3' Finger Roll (9 PTS)87
97.1%
75
2.9%
Q4 - 4:27MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
96.1%
75
3.9%
Q4 - 4:28INDMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot85
95.6%
75
4.4%
Q4 - 4:37INDJohnson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)85
94.4%
75
5.6%
Q4 - 4:50MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q4 - 4:50MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 284
95.8%
74
4.2%
Q4 - 5:08MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)84
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q4 - 5:09INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot84
93.0%
74
7.0%
Q4 - 5:25MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)84
91.3%
74
8.7%
Q4 - 5:49INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)84
93.8%
74
6.2%
Q4 - 5:49INDHarrington 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)84
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q4 - 5:52MILJohnson STEAL (1 STL)84
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q4 - 6:07INDJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)84
96.2%
71
3.8%
Q4 - 6:32MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
97.8%
68
2.2%
Q4 - 6:54INDJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)81
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q4 - 7:20MILRedd 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)81
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 7:27MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)79
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q4 - 7:29INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q4 - 7:47MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q4 - 7:47MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 278
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q4 - 7:47MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
94.6%
65
5.4%
Q4 - 7:49INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot78
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q4 - 8:04INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q4 - 8:06MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
91.4%
65
8.6%
Q4 - 8:14MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
92.7%
65
7.3%
Q4 - 8:15MILMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot78
91.4%
65
8.6%
Q4 - 8:31MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
92.8%
65
7.2%
Q4 - 8:33INDMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot78
92.3%
65
7.7%
Q4 - 8:45MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
90.9%
65
9.1%
Q4 - 8:45MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
90.5%
65
9.5%
Q4 - 8:45MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
88.6%
65
11.4%
Q4 - 8:46MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
86.7%
65
13.3%
Q4 - 9:02INDJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)76
86.2%
65
13.8%
Q4 - 9:19MILSkinner 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
91.0%
62
9.0%
Q4 - 9:37MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
89.0%
62
11.0%
Q4 - 9:40INDMISS Tinsley 6' Running Jump Shot74
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q4 - 9:53MILHarrington STEAL (3 STL)74
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q4 - 10:04INDO'Neal 2' Dunk (12 PTS)74
87.1%
62
12.9%
Q4 - 10:07INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
89.3%
60
10.7%
Q4 - 10:08INDMISS Tinsley 16' Jump Shot74
90.8%
60
9.2%
Q4 - 10:18MILSmith Foul Turnover (P4.T17)74
89.3%
60
10.7%
Q4 - 10:35INDTinsley 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)74
91.5%
60
8.5%
Q4 - 10:45MILO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)74
93.0%
58
7.0%
Q4 - 10:50MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)74
94.4%
58
5.6%
Q4 - 10:52MILMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
93.5%
58
6.5%
Q4 - 11:15INDHarrington 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)74
93.4%
58
6.6%
Q4 - 11:18MILHarrington STEAL (2 STL)74
94.6%
56
5.4%
Q4 - 11:40MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
95.7%
56
4.3%
Q4 - 11:42INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND74
94.6%
56
5.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILFoster STEAL (1 STL)74
94.6%
56
5.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
94.5%
56
5.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDFoster 3' Layup (6 PTS)74
94.5%
56
5.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
96.1%
54
3.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDPACERS Rebound74
95.5%
54
4.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
96.1%
54
3.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
95.6%
54
4.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 273
95.4%
54
4.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
95.6%
54
4.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot73
94.9%
54
5.1%
Q3 - 1:05INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
94.4%
54
5.6%
Q3 - 1:23MILMason 6' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
95.4%
52
4.6%
Q3 - 1:34MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
94.5%
52
5.5%
Q3 - 1:36INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup71
94.2%
52
5.8%
Q3 - 1:38INDPACERS Rebound71
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q3 - 1:40INDMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
94.2%
52
5.8%
Q3 - 1:50INDPACERS Rebound71
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q3 - 1:52INDMISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot71
94.2%
52
5.8%
Q3 - 2:08MILMISS Skinner 4' Hook Shot71
92.3%
52
7.7%
Q3 - 2:10MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
91.9%
52
8.1%
Q3 - 2:11MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 171
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 2:11MILSkinner 2' Layup (12 PTS)71
91.9%
52
8.1%
Q3 - 2:27INDWorld Peace 7' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)69
90.6%
52
9.4%
Q3 - 2:40MILMason 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)69
92.0%
50
8.0%
Q3 - 3:01INDHarrington 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)67
89.5%
50
10.5%
Q3 - 3:05INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
91.0%
48
9.0%
Q3 - 3:07MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot67
91.4%
48
8.6%
Q3 - 3:09MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q3 - 3:11MILMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot67
91.4%
48
8.6%
Q3 - 3:34INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q3 - 3:34INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
92.7%
47
7.3%
Q3 - 3:38MILWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)67
93.5%
46
6.5%
Q3 - 3:55MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)67
94.6%
46
5.4%
Q3 - 3:57INDMISS World Peace 12' Jump Shot67
94.3%
46
5.7%
Q3 - 4:22MILSkinner Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)67
92.4%
46
7.6%
Q3 - 4:26INDAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)67
93.7%
46
6.3%
Q3 - 4:43MILSkinner 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)67
92.4%
46
7.6%
Q3 - 5:02MILBucks Rebound65
90.1%
46
9.9%
Q3 - 5:04INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot65
89.6%
46
10.4%
Q3 - 5:23MILSmith 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
88.5%
46
11.5%
Q3 - 5:39INDO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)63
86.8%
46
13.2%
Q3 - 5:58INDPACERS Rebound63
84.6%
46
15.4%
Q3 - 5:59MILMISS Redd 4' Jump Shot63
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q3 - 6:20INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)63
85.1%
46
14.9%
Q3 - 6:43MILThomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)63
87.0%
44
13.0%
Q3 - 6:53MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)60
83.1%
44
16.9%
Q3 - 6:55MILMISS Skinner 4' Jump Shot60
81.4%
44
18.6%
Q3 - 7:13MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
81.6%
44
18.4%
Q3 - 7:14MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
79.7%
44
20.3%
Q3 - 7:26INDWorld Peace 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
81.6%
44
18.4%
Q3 - 7:41MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)60
83.6%
42
16.4%
Q3 - 7:41MILThomas 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
81.3%
42
18.7%
Q3 - 7:59MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
79.2%
42
20.8%
Q3 - 8:00INDMISS Pollard 16' Jump Shot57
78.3%
42
21.7%
Q3 - 8:12INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q3 - 8:14MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot57
75.9%
42
24.1%
Q3 - 8:18MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
78.1%
42
21.9%
Q3 - 8:20INDMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot57
77.2%
42
22.8%
Q3 - 8:38MILThomas 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q3 - 8:57INDAnderson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)55
72.5%
42
27.5%
Q3 - 9:21MILSkinner 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)55
73.1%
40
26.9%
Q3 - 9:27MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
70.3%
40
29.7%
Q3 - 9:28INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
69.3%
40
30.7%
Q3 - 9:54MILWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)53
67.1%
40
32.9%
Q3 - 10:19INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (6 PTS)53
68.5%
40
31.5%
Q3 - 10:24INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
71.2%
38
28.8%
Q3 - 10:26MILMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
72.2%
38
27.8%
Q3 - 10:47INDAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)53
74.4%
38
25.6%
Q3 - 10:51INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
71.3%
38
28.7%
Q3 - 10:53INDMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
73.5%
38
26.5%
Q3 - 11:09MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
69.5%
38
30.5%
Q3 - 11:24INDAnderson 4' Running Finger Roll (4 PTS)51
66.7%
38
33.3%
Q3 - 11:34INDPACERS Rebound51
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q3 - 11:35INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup51
71.7%
36
28.3%
Q3 - 11:48MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q3 - 11:48MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
69.1%
36
30.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL49
66.8%
36
33.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
64.3%
36
35.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDMISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot49
63.7%
36
36.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)49
62.3%
36
37.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILFord 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)48
59.1%
36
40.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
55.0%
36
45.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDMISS World Peace 3' Jump Shot46
54.2%
36
45.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILRedd 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
52.6%
36
47.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0INDWorld Peace 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)44
48.4%
36
51.6%
Q2 - 1:11MILMason 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)44
52.0%
34
48.0%
Q2 - 1:18MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
47.2%
34
52.8%
Q2 - 1:20INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot42
46.7%
34
53.3%
Q2 - 1:37MILRedd 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)42
45.6%
34
54.4%
Q2 - 1:40MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
40.9%
34
59.1%
Q2 - 1:42INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup40
40.4%
34
59.6%
Q2 - 1:58INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
39.3%
34
60.7%
Q2 - 1:59MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 240
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 1:59MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
41.7%
34
58.3%
Q2 - 2:01MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 2:03INDMISS World Peace 13' Jump Shot39
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 2:21MILMason 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)39
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 2:40INDO'Neal 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)37
32.0%
34
68.0%
Q2 - 2:53INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
35.1%
32
64.9%
Q2 - 2:55MILMISS Skinner 15' Jump Shot37
35.9%
32
64.1%
Q2 - 3:09MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
36.8%
32
63.2%
Q2 - 3:11INDMISS O'Neal 3' Hook Shot37
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 3:30MILSkinner 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)37
33.8%
32
66.2%
Q2 - 3:49INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)35
31.5%
32
68.5%
Q2 - 3:49INDHarrington 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)35
34.1%
31
65.9%
Q2 - 3:55INDAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
36.6%
29
63.4%
Q2 - 3:57MILO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)35
37.5%
29
62.5%
Q2 - 4:18INDAnderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)35
38.3%
29
61.7%
Q2 - 4:36MILFord 2' Finger Roll (4 PTS)35
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q2 - 4:39INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 4:47INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
35.6%
27
64.4%
Q2 - 4:48INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 4:54INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
35.6%
27
64.4%
Q2 - 4:56MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot33
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 5:14INDO'Neal 1' Dunk (6 PTS)33
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q2 - 5:15INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q2 - 5:17INDMISS Anderson 5' Jump Shot33
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q2 - 5:23MILHarrington STEAL (1 STL)33
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q2 - 5:52INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 5:52INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 233
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q2 - 6:03MILSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T9)33
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q2 - 6:03MILBucks Rebound33
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q2 - 6:03MILMISS Kukoc 6' Jump Shot33
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q2 - 6:05MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q2 - 6:07MILMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot33
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q2 - 6:22MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q2 - 6:23INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup33
44.2%
24
55.8%
Q2 - 6:42MILSmith 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)33
42.0%
24
58.0%
Q2 - 6:45MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 6:47MILO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)31
37.7%
24
62.3%
Q2 - 6:59INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 6:59INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 231
40.5%
23
59.5%
Q2 - 7:11MILMason 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)31
38.6%
23
61.4%
Q2 - 7:26INDHarrington 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)29
36.3%
23
63.7%
Q2 - 7:46MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)29
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q2 - 7:52MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
33.9%
21
66.1%
Q2 - 7:53INDMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot26
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q2 - 8:10MILThomas 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)26
31.0%
21
69.0%
Q2 - 8:16INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
29.1%
21
70.9%
Q2 - 8:25INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
26.8%
21
73.2%
Q2 - 8:27MILMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot24
27.5%
21
72.5%
Q2 - 8:38MILBucks Rebound24
29.1%
21
70.9%
Q2 - 8:38INDMISS Tinsley 5' Jump Shot24
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q2 - 9:00MILMason 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
26.8%
21
73.2%
Q2 - 9:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24.7%
21
75.3%
Q2 - 9:18INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q2 - 9:42MILMason 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)22
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q2 - 9:53MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q2 - 9:54INDMISS Tinsley 11' Jump Shot20
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q2 - 10:15INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q2 - 10:17MILMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q2 - 10:22MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q2 - 10:24MILMISS Mason 1' Layup20
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q2 - 10:28INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q2 - 10:34MILKukoc 2' Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q2 - 10:52INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)18
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q2 - 11:05MILSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)18
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q2 - 11:29INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to18
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q2 - 11:29INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot18
20.3%
19
79.8%
Q2 - 11:41MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q2 - 11:41MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 217
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL17
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound17
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)17
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0INDMISS Harrington 3' Jump Shot17
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
17.8%
19
82.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot17
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)17
17.8%
19
82.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDFoster 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)17
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 1:03INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 1:05MILMISS Kukoc 10' Jump Shot17
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 1:22INDHarrington 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 1:48MILSkinner 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS)17
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 2:08INDHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)15
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 2:29MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)15
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 2:58INDFoster 3' Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)15
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 3:17MILRedd Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)15
28.5%
10
71.5%
Q1 - 3:18MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
30.6%
10
69.4%
Q1 - 3:20MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 3:39INDHarrington 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
30.7%
10
69.3%
Q1 - 4:01MILThomas Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 4:14MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 4:16INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot15
33.2%
8
66.8%
Q1 - 4:37MILRedd 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)15
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 4:39MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
30.1%
8
69.9%
Q1 - 4:41INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot13
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 4:52MILThomas 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 4:53MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 4:55MILO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)11
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 4:59MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 5:01MILMISS Skinner 17' Jump Shot11
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 5:19INDO'Neal 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)11
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 5:27INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 5:28MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 5:48INDMiller 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)11
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 6:07MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)11
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 6:11MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 6:13INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup8
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 6:34INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 6:35MILMISS Ford 6' Jump Shot8
25.6%
4
74.4%
Q1 - 6:57MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 6:59INDMISS Pollard 3' Layup8
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 7:20MILFord 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 7:27MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 7:29INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot6
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 7:50MILSkinner 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)6
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 7:54INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 8:08INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 8:10MILMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot4
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 8:18MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 8:20INDMISS Anderson 3' Layup4
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 8:36MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 8:51MILBucks Rebound2
18.1%
4
81.9%
Q1 - 8:53INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 9:15MILSkinner Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)2
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 9:31INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 9:31INDPollard 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 9:33INDMISS Anderson 3' Layup2
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 9:40INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 9:42MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot2
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 9:58MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:01INDMISS Pollard 11' Jump Shot2
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 10:19MILPollard STEAL (1 STL)2
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 10:43INDO'Neal 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)2
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 10:46INDPACERS Rebound2
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 10:46INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup2
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 11:05MILSkinner Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:08MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:11INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot2
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:27MILSmith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:35INDAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.0%
0
80.0%
Q1 - 11:42INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 11:43INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot0
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to World Peace0
18.9%
0
81.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.4%
IND
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
17
25
68%
IND
17
34
50%
Midrange
MIL
18
32
56%
IND
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
IND
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIL
11
17
65%
IND
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2158%10.5 / 18
T. Thomas2067%10.0 / 15
D. Mason1777%8.5 / 11
B. Skinner1458%7.0 / 12
T. Ford1169%5.5 / 8
J. Smith836%4.0 / 11
T. Kukoc225%1.0 / 4
D. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington2668%13.0 / 19
M. World Peace1331%6.5 / 21
J. O'Neal1233%6.0 / 18
A. Johnson10100%5.0 / 5
K. Anderson643%3.0 / 7
J. Foster6100%3.0 / 3
R. Miller250%1.0 / 2
S. Pollard225%1.0 / 4
J. Tinsley211%1.0 / 9
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 1
F. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
70
+16
-20
86
IND
78
+13
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.4%
IND
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
101.1
MIL 103.3
IND 89.8 +13.6
Pace
94.2
89.9
MIL 88.3
IND 89.7 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
MIL 16.3
IND 16.0 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
47.1%
MIL 56.9% +15.7%
IND 41.2%
TO %
13.7%
15.0%
MIL 21.7%
IND 10.0% +11.7%
ORB %
27.6%
28.5%
MIL 45.2% +26.6%
IND 18.6%
FTrt
33.0
31.9
MIL 23.6 +9.5
IND 14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.0%
64.4%
MIL 51.3%
IND 60.6% +9.3%
STL %
7.1%
9.8%
MIL 8.9%
IND 11.4% +2.5%
BLK %
7.1%
8.0%
MIL 14.5% +7.5%
IND 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
49.2%
MIL 53.4% +10.9%
IND 42.5%
Rim FG%
55.7%
55.2%
MIL 68.0% +18.0%
IND 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
38.5%
MIL 56.3% +22.0%
IND 34.3%
3P %
35.0%
35.1%
MIL 26.7% +1.7%
IND 25.0%
FT %
77.5%
76.4%
MIL 64.7%
IND 75.0% +10.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.8%
34.4%
MIL 34.7%
IND 40.0% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
46.0%
45.4%
MIL 44.4%
IND 41.2% +3.3%
3P Att. %
17.2%
20.3%
MIL 20.8% +2.0%
IND 18.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILIND
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points9379
Rebounds4925
Assists2020
Steals810
Blocks104
Turnovers (Team)20 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)17 (2)
Field Goals39-7233-85
At-the-Rim FG17-2517-34
Midrange FG18-3212-35
2-Point FG35-5729-69
3-Point FG4-154-16
Free Throws11-179-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 255 · 27
39.7
14
58%
9
1
0
4
6
1
2
7
0-1
0%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
38.6
21
58%
6
3
0
0
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
7-13
54%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 21
34.8
11
69%
11
7
2
1
2
1
2
9
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 225 · 28
33.2
8
36%
8
1
3
3
4
5
5
3
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
33.0
20
67%
6
0
1
1
5
4
2
4
4-5
80%
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
G · 6'5" 222 · 26
29.8
17
77%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-6
50%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 35
17.2
2
25%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
13.7
0
0%
0
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 218 · 30
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
C · 7'0" 256 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
49
20
8
10
20
0
14
35
11-17
65%
35-57
61%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.