FinalWin Prob.pScore
2920%86
75
1280%96
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
82.49192.7
BOS logo BOS
106.59290.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0BOSLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSMISS Baker 8' Turnaround Jump Shot73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0BOSBanks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIALaFrentz BLOCK (3 BLK)73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:05BOSMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:11BOSBanks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:13BOSMISS Banks 2' Layup73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:28MIAWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:36BOSMISS Welsch 21' Jump Shot70
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:55MIABeasley 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)70
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:07BOSWelsch Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)68
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:14BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:16BOSMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:26MIALaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)68
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 2:49BOSBaker 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (LaFrentz 3 AST)68
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 3:04MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20BOSBanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20BOSBanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Coles 19' Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37BOSMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07BOSBanks 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35BOSMISS Baker Free Throw 1 of 166
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35BOSBaker 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAAlston 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19BOSJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01BOSPierce 7' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P3.T8)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIABattie BLOCK (2 BLK)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10BOSBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54BOSJames 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blount 5 AST)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAJones 2' Reverse Layup (22 PTS)64
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:36BOSWilliams 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Blount 4 AST)62
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:52BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 8:54MIABattie BLOCK (1 BLK)62
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 9:13BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)62
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 9:13BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 262
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 9:27BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 9:29BOSMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 9:44BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Coles 23' Jump Shot62
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 10:01BOSWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T6)62
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 10:10BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Walker 21' Jump Shot62
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 10:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 10:30BOSMISS LaFrentz 14' Turnaround Jump Shot62
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 10:49MIAColes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)62
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Coles Free Throw 1 of 261
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:01BOSBanks Foul Turnover (P1.T5)61
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 11:04BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup61
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:12MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 11:14BOSMISS Banks 22' Jump Shot61
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 11:31BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot61
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot61
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA61
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS LaFrentz 22' Jump Shot61
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAAllen 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0BOSLaFrentz 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Baker 2 AST)59
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)59
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 258
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)58
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIALaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)58
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Coles 10' Jump Shot58
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:13BOSWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)58
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 1:19BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot58
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 1:46BOSLaFrentz 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)58
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)58
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 2:24BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 2:24BOSMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 258
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 2:27MIAWilliams STEAL (3 STL)58
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 2:54BOSWilliams 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)58
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 2:58BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 3:15BOSLaFrentz 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)58
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 3:27BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 3:52BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)58
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 4:04MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)58
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 4:04MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)57
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 4:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 4:14BOSMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 4:32BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 4:48MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 4:50BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)56
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 5:31BOSBattie 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)53
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 5:48MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)53
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 6:07BOSLaFrentz 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)53
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 6:19MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)53
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 6:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 6:33BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIAHeat Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#10)51
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 6:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 6:57BOSMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 7:24MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q3 - 7:24MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 7:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 7:36BOSMISS James 3PT Jump Shot49
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 8:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)49
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 8:22BOSBaker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 8:22BOSBaker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 8:33MIAAlston 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical44
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 8:53BOSBrown Layup (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)44
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 8:55BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 9:00MIABlount BLOCK (4 BLK)44
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q3 - 9:13BOSBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q3 - 9:13BOSMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 244
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 9:35MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)44
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q3 - 9:52BOSBaker 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)44
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 10:10BOSJump Ball Pierce vs. Jones: Tip to Brown44
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q3 - 10:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q3 - 10:25BOSMISS Pierce 21' Jump Shot44
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q3 - 10:33BOSCELTICS Rebound44
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q3 - 10:33BOSMISS James 2' Layup44
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)44
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q3 - 11:09BOSBrown 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)41
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q3 - 11:29MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)41
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q3 - 11:45BOSBaker Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Blount 3 AST)39
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS39
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot39
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)39
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)39
6.1%
48
93.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAAllen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T7)39
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0BOSMISS Banks 3' Layup39
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 1:10MIAWalker 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)39
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 1:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 1:23BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot37
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)37
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 1:38MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)36
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 1:41BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)34
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 1:50BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Allen 8' Turnaround Jump Shot34
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 2:14BOSLaFrentz 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)34
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 2:30MIABattie STEAL (1 STL)34
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 2:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 2:45BOSMISS McCarty 17' Jump Shot34
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 2:52BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot34
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 3:11BOSBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 3:11BOSBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 3:29MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 3:29MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
6.5%
43
93.5%
Q2 - 3:42BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)32
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 3:42BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)32
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 3:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 3:43BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup32
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 3:58MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS)32
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 4:19BOSBattie 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)30
6.1%
41
93.9%
Q2 - 4:39MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
6.8%
39
93.2%
Q2 - 4:39MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
6.6%
39
93.4%
Q2 - 4:41MIAHeat Rebound28
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 4:42MIALaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)28
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 4:46BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIAHaslem 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)28
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)26
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 5:18BOSJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
4.5%
39
95.5%
Q2 - 5:18BOSJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
4.6%
38
95.4%
Q2 - 5:25MIAJames STEAL (2 STL)25
4.9%
37
95.1%
Q2 - 5:51BOSJames 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
5.5%
37
94.5%
Q2 - 6:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
6.2%
35
93.8%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 224
6.0%
35
94.0%
Q2 - 6:03MIAHeat Rebound24
6.3%
35
93.7%
Q2 - 6:06BOSMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q2 - 6:26MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
5.6%
35
94.4%
Q2 - 6:51BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)22
5.1%
35
94.9%
Q2 - 7:07BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
5.9%
33
94.1%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot22
6.1%
33
93.9%
Q2 - 7:33BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 2 AST)22
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q2 - 7:38BOSJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.9%
30
92.1%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot22
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q2 - 7:59BOSLaFrentz 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)22
8.7%
30
91.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAAllen 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q2 - 8:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8.8%
28
91.2%
Q2 - 8:22BOSMISS McCarty 3PT Jump Shot20
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q2 - 8:38MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q2 - 9:03BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)18
7.3%
28
92.7%
Q2 - 9:03BOSPierce 1' Layup (8 PTS)18
8.0%
27
92.0%
Q2 - 9:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
8.7%
25
91.3%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 217
8.5%
25
91.5%
Q2 - 9:36BOSBattie 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)17
8.8%
25
91.2%
Q2 - 9:45BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Allen 5' Hook Shot17
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q2 - 10:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q2 - 10:02BOSMISS Banks 20' Jump Shot17
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q2 - 10:08BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
9.7%
23
90.3%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup17
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q2 - 10:26BOSWilliams 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q2 - 10:36BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Woods 20' Jump Shot17
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q2 - 10:52BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q2 - 10:52BOSMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 217
13.0%
20
87.0%
Q2 - 11:00BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot17
12.8%
20
87.2%
Q2 - 11:08MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q2 - 11:10BOSMISS Banks 21' Jump Shot17
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q2 - 11:27MIAWallace 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
12.5%
20
87.5%
Q2 - 11:43MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q2 - 11:45BOSMISS LaFrentz 20' Jump Shot15
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS15
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Woods 11' Jump Shot15
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0BOSWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)15
11.3%
20
88.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 1:09BOSBattie 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
13.4%
18
86.6%
Q1 - 1:34MIAAllen 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)15
14.8%
16
85.2%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Wallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot13
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 2:14BOSMISS LaFrentz 2' Layup13
13.2%
16
86.8%
Q1 - 2:18MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)13
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 2:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 2:27BOSMISS Banks 15' Jump Shot13
13.2%
16
86.8%
Q1 - 2:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 3:01MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 3:04BOSMISS Blount 8' Jump Shot13
13.1%
16
86.9%
Q1 - 3:12MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)13
12.4%
16
87.6%
Q1 - 3:36BOSPierce 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 3:41BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Jones 3' Layup13
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 4:00BOSJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)13
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 4:03BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 4:06MIABlount BLOCK (3 BLK)13
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 4:16BOSBaker Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
17.9%
12
82.1%
Q1 - 4:29BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 4:31MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot13
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 4:51MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 4:54BOSMISS James 16' Jump Shot13
17.5%
12
82.5%
Q1 - 5:11MIAHaslem 5' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 5:22MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)11
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 5:41BOSBaker 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)10
14.0%
12
86.0%
Q1 - 5:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 5:57MIAGrant 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot8
13.3%
10
86.7%
Q1 - 6:15BOSWilliams 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Baker 1 AST)8
13.9%
10
86.1%
Q1 - 6:32BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
14.8%
8
85.2%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot8
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 6:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 6:58BOSMISS Baker Free Throw 2 of 28
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 6:58BOSBaker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 7:06BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.5%
7
84.5%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot8
15.9%
7
84.1%
Q1 - 7:31BOSPierce 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)8
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
17.7%
5
82.3%
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
15.7%
5
84.3%
Q1 - 7:53BOSMISS Baker 2' Tip Shot5
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 7:54BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 7:55BOSMISS Pierce 14' Fadeaway Jumper5
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 8:08BOSCELTICS Rebound5
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 8:09MIABlount BLOCK (2 BLK)5
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 8:21BOSPierce 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 8:34MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)5
16.3%
3
83.7%
Q1 - 8:54BOSBaker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)5
17.5%
3
82.5%
Q1 - 9:03BOSCELTICS Rebound5
18.2%
1
81.8%
Q1 - 9:04BOSMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot5
19.3%
1
80.7%
Q1 - 9:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
18.3%
1
81.7%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 24
17.9%
1
82.1%
Q1 - 9:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
18.6%
1
81.4%
Q1 - 9:34BOSMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 24
18.4%
1
81.6%
Q1 - 9:34BOSBlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
17.7%
1
82.3%
Q1 - 9:55MIAHaslem 3' Layup (2 PTS)4
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 9:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Jones 17' Fadeaway Jumper2
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 10:08MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 10:10BOSMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 10:24BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot2
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 10:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 10:43BOSMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 10:48BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIABlount BLOCK (1 BLK)2
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:01MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:03BOSMISS Pierce 21' Jump Shot2
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIAAlston 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:35BOSJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)0
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Blount vs. Grant: Tip to Jones0
15.1%
0
84.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.1%
BOS
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
25
36%
BOS
15
21
71%
Midrange
MIA
12
34
35%
BOS
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
BOS
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
18
24
75%
BOS
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2258%11.0 / 19
M. Allen1050%5.0 / 10
U. Haslem964%4.5 / 7
R. Alston857%4.0 / 7
B. Grant850%4.0 / 8
J. Wallace750%3.5 / 7
D. Wade521%2.5 / 12
S. Walker338%1.5 / 4
J. Beasley250%1.0 / 2
B. Coles113%0.5 / 4
L. Woods0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2361%11.5 / 19
V. Baker1568%7.5 / 11
E. Williams1583%7.5 / 9
M. James1255%6.0 / 11
R. LaFrentz1255%6.0 / 11
T. Battie10100%5.0 / 5
K. Brown550%2.5 / 5
M. Banks420%2.0 / 10
M. Blount233%1.0 / 3
W. McCarty0-0.0 / 2
J. Welsch0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+9
-15
85
BOS
82
+7
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.1%
BOS
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.2
MIA 82.4 +24.1
BOS 106.5
Pace
90.6
96.0
MIA 92.7 +2.3
BOS 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.2
MIA 15.5 +0.4
BOS 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
48.6%
MIA 40.1%
BOS 54.1% +14.0%
TO %
14.4%
16.4%
MIA 16.4%
BOS 10.6% +5.8%
ORB %
27.5%
25.2%
MIA 18.6% +4.7%
BOS 13.9%
FTrt
29.8
32.7
MIA 33.8
BOS 35.6 +1.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
59.2%
MIA 53.8%
BOS 75.7% +21.9%
STL %
7.9%
9.8%
MIA 4.4%
BOS 9.8% +5.4%
BLK %
6.3%
6.5%
MIA 3.5%
BOS 15.3% +11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
50.5%
MIA 44.1%
BOS 55.1% +11.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
56.3%
MIA 36.0%
BOS 71.4% +35.4%
Mid FG%
36.9%
40.4%
MIA 35.3%
BOS 47.2% +11.9%
3P %
35.7%
34.6%
MIA 41.7% +10.4%
BOS 31.3%
FT %
76.2%
75.0%
MIA 75.0% +1.9%
BOS 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
33.8%
MIA 35.2% +6.4%
BOS 28.8%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
41.2%
MIA 47.9% +1.4%
BOS 49.3%
3P Att. %
21.1%
24.9%
MIA 16.9%
BOS 21.9% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points7598
Rebounds3940
Assists1428
Steals49
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)35 (1)
Field Goals26-7137-73
At-the-Rim FG9-2515-21
Midrange FG12-3417-36
2-Point FG21-5932-57
3-Point FG5-125-16
Free Throws18-2419-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 32
39.2
22
58%
8
1
1
0
4
3
1
7
7-8
88%
3-10
30%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
36.0
8
57%
3
5
0
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
33.5
5
21%
2
4
1
0
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
1-10
10%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
28.4
8
50%
4
0
0
0
3
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
25.7
9
64%
7
2
0
0
0
0
1
6
3-6
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
25.7
10
50%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
19.8
7
50%
7
1
1
1
2
2
0
7
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
13.9
3
38%
4
0
0
0
2
3
3
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
9.4
1
13%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
5.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
2.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
44%
39
14
4
2
15
0
8
31
18-24
75%
21-59
36%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.