FinalWin Prob.pScore
247%98
93
453%99
72
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
97.99598.5
SAS logo SAS
74.29793.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS93
100%
72
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALJohnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Griffin 5 AST)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASBateer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALBradley 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DALMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04DALBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06SASMISS Bateer 21' Jump Shot89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24SASFerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DALMISS Griffin 18' Jump Shot89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SASFerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SASFerry 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08DALMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30DALBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32DALMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55SASMISS Bateer 8' Turnaround Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17DALLaFrentz 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35SASMISS Ferry 4' Jump Shot87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37SASMISS Bateer 4' Layup87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00DALGriffin 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 4:07SASMISS Claxton 16' Jump Shot85
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 4:21SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 4:24DALMISS Griffin 7' Fadeaway Jumper85
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 4:49SASKerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)85
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 4:57DALMISS Johnson 8' Running Finger Roll85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36SASMISS Bateer 16' Jump Shot85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 5:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 5:54SASBateer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T22)83
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:16SASSPURS Rebound83
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 6:17DALMISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot83
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 6:24DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 6:26SASMISS Kerr 21' Jump Shot83
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 6:46DALVan Exel 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 7:09DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 7:11SASMISS Robinson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot81
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q4 - 7:24SASBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q4 - 7:27DALMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.6%
65
1.4%
Q4 - 7:30SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)81
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 7:32DALRobinson STEAL (2 STL)81
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q4 - 7:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 7:43SASMISS Claxton 15' Jump Shot81
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q4 - 7:51SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q4 - 7:53DALMISS Nash 19' Jump Shot81
98.6%
65
1.4%
Q4 - 8:11SASClaxton 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bateer 1 AST)81
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q4 - 8:30DALGriffin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)81
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q4 - 8:49SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)79
98.4%
63
1.6%
Q4 - 9:02DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Griffin 4 AST)79
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q4 - 9:16SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)77
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q4 - 9:40SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
95.9%
63
4.1%
Q4 - 9:41DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot77
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q4 - 9:57SASKerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)77
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q4 - 10:13SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
97.4%
60
2.6%
Q4 - 10:15DALMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot77
97.6%
60
2.4%
Q4 - 10:22SASBateer Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)77
98.0%
60
2.0%
Q4 - 10:28SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
97.5%
60
2.5%
Q4 - 10:30DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot77
97.6%
60
2.4%
Q4 - 10:37SASBateer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)77
98.0%
60
2.0%
Q4 - 10:54DALLaFrentz 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)77
97.5%
60
2.5%
Q4 - 10:56DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
96.9%
60
3.1%
Q4 - 10:58DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Fadeaway Jumper75
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q4 - 11:20SASKerr Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)75
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q4 - 11:36DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)75
95.4%
60
4.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL72
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Smith 3' Running Layup72
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALSmith STEAL (1 STL)72
90.5%
60
9.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASClaxton 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALLaFrentz 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)72
93.6%
58
6.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASRobinson 3' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)70
92.2%
58
7.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)70
93.6%
56
6.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Ferry 9' Jump Shot70
93.5%
56
6.5%
Q3 - 1:26DALBradley 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)70
92.6%
56
7.4%
Q3 - 1:35DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
91.3%
56
8.7%
Q3 - 1:38SASMISS Ferry 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
90.8%
56
9.2%
Q3 - 1:54DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
89.5%
56
10.5%
Q3 - 1:54DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 267
89.3%
56
10.7%
Q3 - 2:09SASClaxton 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)67
88.3%
56
11.7%
Q3 - 2:31DALVan Exel 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
90.0%
54
10.0%
Q3 - 2:37DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
88.4%
54
11.6%
Q3 - 2:40SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
87.8%
54
12.2%
Q3 - 3:00DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)65
86.2%
54
13.8%
Q3 - 3:17SASSmith 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
83.1%
54
16.9%
Q3 - 3:45DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)63
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 3:56DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
80.5%
52
19.5%
Q3 - 3:58SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup60
79.5%
52
20.5%
Q3 - 4:08DALBell 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)60
76.0%
52
24.0%
Q3 - 4:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
73.3%
52
26.7%
Q3 - 4:15SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
72.1%
52
27.9%
Q3 - 4:25SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
69.3%
52
30.7%
Q3 - 4:27DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot58
70.5%
52
29.5%
Q3 - 4:46SASSmith 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
73.4%
52
26.6%
Q3 - 5:01SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
75.4%
50
24.6%
Q3 - 5:03DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot58
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q3 - 5:12DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
78.5%
50
21.5%
Q3 - 5:14SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
77.6%
50
22.4%
Q3 - 5:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
75.4%
50
24.6%
Q3 - 5:31DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q3 - 5:49SASParker 4' Layup (10 PTS)58
78.6%
50
21.4%
Q3 - 5:54SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
81.1%
48
18.9%
Q3 - 5:57DALMISS Nash 3' Layup58
81.9%
48
18.1%
Q3 - 6:02DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
82.5%
48
17.5%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Parker 3' Layup58
81.8%
48
18.2%
Q3 - 6:16SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
80.0%
48
20.0%
Q3 - 6:18DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
80.8%
48
19.2%
Q3 - 6:31SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)58
82.6%
48
17.4%
Q3 - 6:57DALBradley 4' Driving Layup (10 PTS)58
80.1%
48
19.9%
Q3 - 7:17SASFerry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)56
76.5%
48
23.5%
Q3 - 7:36DALNash 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)56
78.9%
46
21.1%
Q3 - 7:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
73.7%
46
26.3%
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot53
72.6%
46
27.4%
Q3 - 8:05SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
69.7%
46
30.3%
Q3 - 8:07DALMISS Bradley 6' Hook Shot53
70.8%
46
29.2%
Q3 - 8:22SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)53
73.2%
46
26.8%
Q3 - 8:41DALNowitzki 3' Alley Oop Layup (19 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)53
75.7%
44
24.3%
Q3 - 8:47DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
73.2%
44
26.8%
Q3 - 8:48SASMISS Parker 16' Fadeaway Jumper51
72.2%
44
27.8%
Q3 - 9:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
69.0%
44
31.0%
Q3 - 9:12DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot51
70.0%
44
30.0%
Q3 - 9:22SASRose Foul Turnover (P6.T14)51
72.2%
44
27.8%
Q3 - 9:49DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)51
69.1%
44
30.9%
Q3 - 10:01SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
65.5%
44
34.5%
Q3 - 10:01SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
66.1%
43
33.9%
Q3 - 10:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
68.3%
42
31.7%
Q3 - 10:02SASMISS Rose 3' Layup49
70.6%
42
29.4%
Q3 - 10:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
68.3%
42
31.7%
Q3 - 10:14DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot49
69.3%
42
30.7%
Q3 - 10:26DALMavericks Rebound49
71.6%
42
28.4%
Q3 - 10:27SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot49
70.6%
42
29.4%
Q3 - 10:47DALNash 2' Layup (6 PTS)49
68.3%
42
31.7%
Q3 - 10:54DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
65.5%
42
34.5%
Q3 - 10:56SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot47
64.4%
42
35.6%
Q3 - 11:19DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)47
61.6%
42
38.4%
Q3 - 11:31SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
58.5%
42
41.5%
Q3 - 11:31SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 245
59.1%
41
40.9%
Q3 - 11:43DALRobinson STEAL (1 STL)45
58.3%
41
41.7%
Q3 - 11:47SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)45
61.8%
41
38.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
58.3%
41
41.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
58.3%
41
41.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Willis 5' Jump Shot45
60.0%
41
40.0%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T7)45
58.5%
41
41.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASSmith 3' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)45
60.8%
41
39.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
64.8%
39
35.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot45
65.4%
39
34.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T12)45
66.9%
39
33.1%
Q2 - 1:13DALNash Foul Turnover (P2.T6)45
64.6%
39
35.4%
Q2 - 1:17DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
66.1%
39
33.9%
Q2 - 1:19SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot45
65.6%
39
34.4%
Q2 - 1:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
64.6%
39
35.4%
Q2 - 1:29DALWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)45
65.0%
39
35.0%
Q2 - 1:43SASParker 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)45
66.1%
39
33.9%
Q2 - 1:48DALRose STEAL (1 STL)45
70.2%
37
29.8%
Q2 - 1:53DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
71.6%
37
28.4%
Q2 - 1:55SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
71.2%
37
28.8%
Q2 - 2:26DALNash 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
69.0%
37
31.0%
Q2 - 2:28DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
66.0%
37
34.0%
Q2 - 2:31DALMISS Nash 10' Running Jump Shot43
64.2%
37
35.8%
Q2 - 2:37DALMavericks Rebound43
66.0%
37
34.0%
Q2 - 2:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
66.0%
37
34.0%
Q2 - 2:38DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Tip Shot43
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q2 - 2:41DALMISS Van Exel Layup43
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q2 - 2:57DALMavericks Rebound43
66.0%
37
34.0%
Q2 - 2:58SASMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot43
65.3%
37
34.7%
Q2 - 3:19DALVan Exel 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)43
62.4%
37
37.6%
Q2 - 3:24SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)41
59.9%
37
40.1%
Q2 - 3:32SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
56.6%
37
43.4%
Q2 - 3:35DALMISS Nash 10' Jump Shot41
57.6%
37
42.4%
Q2 - 3:40SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)41
59.9%
37
40.1%
Q2 - 3:56SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
56.7%
37
43.3%
Q2 - 3:58DALMISS Najera 3' Reverse Layup41
57.7%
37
42.3%
Q2 - 4:07SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
59.1%
37
40.9%
Q2 - 4:07SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
59.5%
36
40.5%
Q2 - 4:19SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 4:21DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
62.7%
35
37.3%
Q2 - 4:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
64.6%
35
35.4%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Ferry 19' Jump Shot41
63.8%
35
36.2%
Q2 - 5:06DALJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 5:11SASFerry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)39
59.0%
35
41.0%
Q2 - 5:25SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
56.0%
35
44.0%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
57.0%
35
43.0%
Q2 - 5:42SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
59.0%
35
41.0%
Q2 - 5:42SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)39
60.4%
34
39.6%
Q2 - 5:48DALNajera 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)39
61.5%
33
38.5%
Q2 - 5:58DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
59.0%
33
41.0%
Q2 - 6:00SASMISS Claxton 11' Jump Shot37
58.1%
33
41.9%
Q2 - 6:05SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
55.7%
33
44.3%
Q2 - 6:07DALRobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)37
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 6:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
58.9%
33
41.1%
Q2 - 6:23SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 237
58.5%
33
41.5%
Q2 - 6:23SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
57.5%
33
42.5%
Q2 - 6:29SASSPURS Rebound37
58.4%
32
41.6%
Q2 - 6:29DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
61.6%
32
38.4%
Q2 - 6:29DALMISS Najera 5' Jump Shot37
59.4%
32
40.6%
Q2 - 6:33DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot37
59.4%
32
40.6%
Q2 - 6:56SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)37
61.6%
32
38.4%
Q2 - 7:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
58.1%
32
41.9%
Q2 - 7:17DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot37
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 7:33SASRobinson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)37
60.9%
32
39.1%
Q2 - 7:52SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
58.1%
32
41.9%
Q2 - 7:54DALMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot37
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 8:03SASClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
60.5%
32
39.5%
Q2 - 8:03SASClaxton 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
63.0%
31
37.0%
Q2 - 8:13SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
65.0%
29
35.0%
Q2 - 8:15DALMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot37
65.9%
29
34.1%
Q2 - 8:27SASKerr 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)37
67.7%
29
32.3%
Q2 - 8:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
69.6%
27
30.4%
Q2 - 8:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
69.4%
27
30.6%
Q2 - 8:56SASFerry 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)35
67.7%
27
32.3%
Q2 - 9:14DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)35
69.0%
25
31.0%
Q2 - 9:32SASKerr 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)32
64.8%
25
35.2%
Q2 - 9:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
66.8%
23
33.2%
Q2 - 9:37DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q2 - 9:37DALMISS Bell 3' Follow Up Dunk32
67.6%
23
32.4%
Q2 - 9:39DALRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
67.6%
23
32.4%
Q2 - 9:46DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q2 - 9:47SASMISS Kerr 17' Jump Shot32
68.5%
23
31.5%
Q2 - 10:01DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)32
66.4%
23
33.6%
Q2 - 10:27SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)32
68.9%
23
31.1%
Q2 - 10:33SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q2 - 10:35SASMISS Claxton 12' Jump Shot32
74.2%
20
25.8%
Q2 - 10:58DALBradley 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)32
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q2 - 11:15SASKerr Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
70.1%
20
29.9%
Q2 - 11:29SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q2 - 11:31DALMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot30
68.7%
20
31.3%
Q2 - 11:43DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
70.2%
20
29.8%
Q2 - 11:45SASMISS Ferry 13' Jump Shot30
69.6%
20
30.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS30
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound30
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 6' Running Jump Shot30
68.8%
20
31.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
67.7%
20
32.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASWillis 3' Layup (2 PTS)30
69.3%
20
30.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0DALBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
71.8%
18
28.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
73.2%
18
26.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Claxton 16' Jump Shot30
72.8%
18
27.2%
Q1 - 1:11DALVan Exel 3' Layup (5 PTS)30
71.7%
18
28.3%
Q1 - 1:16DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
69.3%
18
30.7%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Ferry 14' Jump Shot28
68.8%
18
31.2%
Q1 - 1:34DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
67.7%
18
32.3%
Q1 - 1:52SASWillis Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)28
69.2%
18
30.8%
Q1 - 2:04SASSPURS Rebound28
67.4%
18
32.6%
Q1 - 2:06DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
68.0%
18
32.0%
Q1 - 2:12DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
69.4%
18
30.6%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Willis 18' Jump Shot28
68.8%
18
31.2%
Q1 - 2:34DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)28
67.5%
18
32.5%
Q1 - 2:54DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
63.1%
18
36.9%
Q1 - 2:56SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot25
62.5%
18
37.5%
Q1 - 3:07DALBradley 3' Dunk (6 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)25
60.1%
18
39.9%
Q1 - 3:14SASRose 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
58.2%
18
41.8%
Q1 - 3:33DALBradley 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
60.2%
16
39.8%
Q1 - 3:37DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
58.2%
16
41.8%
Q1 - 3:39DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot21
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 3:53DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
58.3%
16
41.7%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Kerr 16' Jump Shot21
57.5%
16
42.5%
Q1 - 4:14DALBradley 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)21
55.4%
16
44.6%
Q1 - 4:27SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 4:27SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
54.1%
15
45.9%
Q1 - 4:40SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
55.4%
14
44.6%
Q1 - 4:42DALMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot19
56.2%
14
43.8%
Q1 - 4:48SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)19
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 5:08SASSPURS Rebound19
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 5:09SASMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot19
56.5%
14
43.5%
Q1 - 5:29DALFinley 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)19
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 5:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 5:39SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot17
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 5:45SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 5:47DALMISS Nash 2' Reverse Layup17
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 6:02SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
52.5%
14
47.5%
Q1 - 6:02SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
52.9%
13
47.1%
Q1 - 6:10SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 6:12DALMISS Nowitzki 6' Jump Shot17
55.1%
12
44.9%
Q1 - 6:25SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
56.5%
12
43.5%
Q1 - 6:38SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
54.5%
12
45.5%
Q1 - 6:40DALMISS Nash 14' Fadeaway Jumper17
55.1%
12
44.9%
Q1 - 6:52DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
56.6%
12
43.4%
Q1 - 6:54SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 7:07SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
53.8%
12
46.2%
Q1 - 7:09DALMISS LaFrentz 13' Jump Shot17
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 7:25SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 7:25SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
57.8%
11
42.2%
Q1 - 7:25SASRobinson 2' Layup (4 PTS)17
57.8%
11
42.2%
Q1 - 7:26SASMISS Robinson 3' Layup17
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 7:43DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)17
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 7:46DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 7:48DALMISS Finley 11' Fadeaway Jumper14
54.5%
9
45.5%
Q1 - 7:54SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 8:04DALBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
54.0%
9
46.0%
Q1 - 8:04DALBell 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)13
52.1%
9
47.9%
Q1 - 8:08SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
50.4%
9
49.6%
Q1 - 8:19DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 8:19DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)10
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 8:34DALMavericks Rebound8
44.8%
9
55.2%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 8:47SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 8:49DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot8
43.3%
9
56.7%
Q1 - 8:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
44.8%
9
55.2%
Q1 - 8:58SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot8
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 9:08DALNash 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
42.3%
9
57.7%
Q1 - 9:16SASParker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 9:21DALParker STEAL (1 STL)6
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 9:33SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 9:33SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 9:33SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 9:33SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot6
47.8%
5
52.2%
Q1 - 9:53DALFinley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 10:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.5%
5
55.5%
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
43.9%
5
56.1%
Q1 - 10:21DALNowitzki 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)4
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 10:34SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 10:49DALBell 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:08DALMavericks Rebound0
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 11:10DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 11:18SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 11:39SASSPURS Rebound0
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 11:40DALMISS Finley 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Nowitzki0
46.2%
0
53.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.95 47.4%
SAS
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
16
26
62%
SAS
13
21
62%
Midrange
DAL
18
48
38%
SAS
9
35
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
SAS
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
DAL
7
8
88%
SAS
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2546%12.5 / 27
S. Bradley1583%7.5 / 9
N. Van Exel1470%7.0 / 10
S. Nash938%4.5 / 12
R. Bell744%3.5 / 8
M. Finley758%3.5 / 6
R. LaFrentz633%3.0 / 9
A. Griffin433%2.0 / 6
A. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
E. Najera220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Smith1146%5.5 / 12
T. Parker1038%5.0 / 13
S. Kerr1063%5.0 / 8
S. Claxton945%4.5 / 10
D. Robinson758%3.5 / 6
M. Rose739%3.5 / 9
D. Ferry633%3.0 / 9
M. Ginobili5125%2.5 / 2
B. Bowen338%1.5 / 4
K. Willis233%1.0 / 3
M. Bateer220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
85
+11
-10
96
SAS
76
+9
-21
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.95 47.4%
SAS
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
102.7
DAL 97.9 +23.7
SAS 74.2
Pace
94.9
92.6
DAL 98.5 +4.8
SAS 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.6
DAL 14.6 +0.8
SAS 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
49.7%
DAL 47.3% +8.4%
SAS 38.9%
TO %
11.6%
16.5%
DAL 10.4% +11.2%
SAS 21.6%
ORB %
25.5%
28.8%
DAL 20.0% +3.3%
SAS 16.7%
FTrt
25.7
34.8
DAL 8.8
SAS 25.0 +16.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
56.3%
DAL 70.0% +16.2%
SAS 53.8%
STL %
8.5%
8.3%
DAL 12.6% +7.4%
SAS 5.2%
BLK %
8.5%
9.3%
DAL 3.6%
SAS 4.1% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
51.4%
DAL 47.4% +5.5%
SAS 41.9%
Rim FG%
58.2%
59.3%
DAL 61.5%
SAS 61.9% +0.4%
Mid FG%
40.7%
38.8%
DAL 37.5% +11.8%
SAS 25.7%
3P %
38.1%
35.4%
DAL 35.3% +10.3%
SAS 25.0%
FT %
82.9%
72.5%
DAL 87.5%
SAS 88.9% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
39.3%
DAL 28.6%
SAS 29.2% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
40.6%
DAL 52.7%
SAS 48.6% +4.1%
3P Att. %
23.9%
20.2%
DAL 18.7%
SAS 22.2% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points9372
Rebounds4443
Assists2814
Steals125
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)36 (4)
Field Goals40-9126-72
At-the-Rim FG16-2613-21
Midrange FG18-489-35
2-Point FG34-7422-56
3-Point FG6-174-16
Free Throws7-816-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 25
37.7
25
46%
10
6
4
0
3
3
1
9
5-5
100%
7-21
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
35.3
7
44%
9
0
1
0
2
2
2
7
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 178 · 29
31.3
9
38%
5
10
0
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
29.0
6
33%
3
0
1
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 30
17.4
7
58%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
27.3
14
70%
3
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 29
22.8
4
33%
3
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 275 · 31
18.8
15
83%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 38
12.7
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
7.7
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 28
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 33
F · 6'8" 265 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
44
28
12
2
10
0
9
35
7-8
88%
34-74
46%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.