FinalWin Prob.pScore
2738%87
103
2562%91
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.78993.1
TOR logo TOR
110.09086.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR103
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:9 Def:8)103
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0TORMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.0%
99
1.0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)103
96.7%
99
3.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)102
95.8%
99
4.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)101
92.1%
99
7.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORPeterson 9' Running Jump Shot (32 PTS)101
97.0%
98
3.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAEllis Running Layup (13 PTS) (James 7 AST)101
98.2%
96
1.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
93.4%
96
6.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0TORMISS Jefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
91.5%
96
8.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)99
81.3%
96
18.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)99
90.4%
96
9.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 299
82.4%
96
17.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)99
87.6%
96
12.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)98
79.5%
96
20.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
69.9%
96
30.1%
Q4 - 1:10TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)98
76.7%
96
23.3%
Q4 - 1:21MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T9)98
61.0%
96
39.0%
Q4 - 1:32TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)98
72.9%
96
27.1%
Q4 - 1:53MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)98
59.2%
96
40.8%
Q4 - 2:11TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)96
49.8%
96
50.2%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
67.1%
93
32.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
65.0%
93
35.0%
Q4 - 2:39TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)94
61.7%
93
38.3%
Q4 - 2:39TORWilliams Layup (9 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)94
72.0%
92
28.0%
Q4 - 3:01MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)94
74.3%
90
25.7%
Q4 - 3:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)94
84.1%
90
15.9%
Q4 - 3:17TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 294
83.1%
90
16.9%
Q4 - 3:17TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)94
78.9%
90
21.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)94
77.8%
89
22.2%
Q4 - 3:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
63.5%
89
36.5%
Q4 - 3:43TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot91
60.8%
89
39.2%
Q4 - 3:56MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)91
54.4%
89
45.6%
Q4 - 3:56MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
52.2%
89
47.8%
Q4 - 3:56MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
45.6%
89
54.4%
Q4 - 3:58TORMISS Bradley 10' Turnaround Hook Shot89
42.7%
89
57.3%
Q4 - 4:16MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
36.1%
89
63.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
33.9%
89
66.1%
Q4 - 4:30TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
28.3%
89
71.7%
Q4 - 4:30TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 287
31.1%
88
68.9%
Q4 - 4:33TORBradley REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)87
27.8%
88
72.2%
Q4 - 4:34TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot87
33.8%
88
66.2%
Q4 - 4:51MIAEllis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)87
27.8%
88
72.2%
Q4 - 5:04TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)85
22.6%
88
77.4%
Q4 - 5:04TORRAPTORS Rebound85
17.1%
88
82.9%
Q4 - 5:04TORMISS Bradley 12' Jump Shot85
20.8%
88
79.2%
Q4 - 5:32MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
17.0%
88
83.0%
Q4 - 6:06TORBradley Tip Shot (8 PTS)82
11.2%
88
88.8%
Q4 - 6:07TORBradley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)82
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 6:09TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
17.1%
86
82.9%
Q4 - 6:28TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)82
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q4 - 6:30TORMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot82
17.1%
86
82.9%
Q4 - 6:31TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)82
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q4 - 6:32TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot82
17.1%
86
82.9%
Q4 - 6:34TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)82
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q4 - 6:36TORMISS Alston 3' Driving Hook Shot82
17.1%
86
82.9%
Q4 - 6:40TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIABradley BLOCK (1 BLK)82
15.2%
86
84.8%
Q4 - 6:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
18.6%
86
81.4%
Q4 - 6:56TORMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot82
17.0%
86
83.0%
Q4 - 7:17MIAJames 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
15.5%
86
84.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)80
12.6%
86
87.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
10.4%
86
89.6%
Q4 - 7:42TORBradley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)80
12.5%
86
87.5%
Q4 - 7:51TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
15.4%
84
84.6%
Q4 - 7:53TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
18.4%
84
81.6%
Q4 - 8:11MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lampley 4 AST)80
16.9%
84
83.1%
Q4 - 8:21TORWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)77
10.9%
84
89.1%
Q4 - 8:31MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)77
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 8:59TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (N'diaye 2 AST)77
16.9%
82
83.1%
Q4 - 9:23MIAStepania Tip Shot (8 PTS)77
25.7%
79
74.3%
Q4 - 9:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
21.6%
79
78.4%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup75
18.7%
79
81.3%
Q4 - 9:43MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
21.5%
79
78.5%
Q4 - 9:45TORMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot75
20.3%
79
79.7%
Q4 - 9:56TORRAPTORS Rebound75
17.6%
79
82.4%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot75
18.7%
79
81.3%
Q4 - 10:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
22.3%
79
77.7%
Q4 - 10:08MIAPeterson BLOCK (1 BLK)75
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 10:21TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)75
22.2%
79
77.8%
Q4 - 10:21TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)75
23.0%
78
77.0%
Q4 - 10:39MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)75
26.0%
77
74.0%
Q4 - 10:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
22.2%
77
77.8%
Q4 - 10:46TORMISS McCoy Layup73
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q4 - 11:03MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
19.1%
77
80.9%
Q4 - 11:03MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
17.8%
77
82.2%
Q4 - 11:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot71
14.0%
77
86.0%
Q4 - 11:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q4 - 11:24TORMISS Jefferies 16' Jump Shot71
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q4 - 11:40MIAStepania 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)71
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q4 - 11:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR69
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound69
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Peterson 49' 3PT Jump Shot69
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)69
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0TORMcCoy 8' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)67
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)67
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Stepania 11' Turnaround Jump Shot67
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
11.7%
75
88.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q3 - 1:13MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 266
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAHeat Rebound66
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q3 - 1:24TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q3 - 1:42TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 1:44TORMISS Jefferies 5' Running Jump Shot66
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q3 - 2:05MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)66
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 265
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 2:20TORJefferies Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
9.4%
75
90.6%
Q3 - 2:20TORJefferies Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q3 - 2:37MIABest 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 2:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q3 - 2:49TORMISS N'diaye 9' Fadeaway Jumper63
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 2:54TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)63
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 2:56TORMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot63
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 3:05TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot63
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 3:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 3:15TORMISS Peterson 11' Jump Shot63
9.4%
73
90.6%
Q3 - 3:18TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)63
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 3:20TORMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot63
9.4%
73
90.6%
Q3 - 3:41MIABest 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 3:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 3:50TORMISS Jefferies Free Throw 2 of 261
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q3 - 3:50TORJefferies Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 4:03TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Allen 9' Turnaround Jump Shot61
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 4:23TORN'diaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 4:23TORMISS N'diaye Free Throw 1 of 261
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 4:45MIAJohnson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)61
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 5:05TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)59
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q3 - 5:22MIAButler Driving Layup (7 PTS)59
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 5:32MIAHeat Rebound57
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot57
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 5:46MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot57
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 6:02TORAlston 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 6:14TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot57
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 6:31TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)57
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 6:31TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)57
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q3 - 6:46MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
14.8%
64
85.2%
Q3 - 6:46MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
14.4%
64
85.6%
Q3 - 6:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 6:53TORMISS Jefferies Layup55
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q3 - 7:07TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)55
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Johnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot55
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 7:25TORAlston 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 7:46MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)55
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q3 - 7:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
17.5%
62
82.5%
Q3 - 7:54TORMISS N'diaye 16' Jump Shot55
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)55
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 8:23TORJefferies Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)53
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q3 - 8:28MIAAlston STEAL (1 STL)53
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 8:48TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (N'diaye 1 AST)53
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 8:50TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
22.3%
57
77.7%
Q3 - 8:52TORMISS Peterson 13' Running Jump Shot53
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 9:08TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
22.5%
57
77.5%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Butler 8' Turnaround Jump Shot53
23.3%
57
76.7%
Q3 - 9:29TORN'diaye Layup (10 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)53
25.3%
57
74.7%
Q3 - 9:53MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)53
28.0%
55
72.0%
Q3 - 9:53MIAHeat Rebound53
31.2%
55
68.8%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Butler 34' 3PT Jump Shot53
29.0%
55
71.0%
Q3 - 10:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
31.2%
55
68.8%
Q3 - 10:21TORMISS Jefferies 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 10:39MIABest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)53
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q3 - 10:57TORJefferies 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
22.8%
55
77.2%
Q3 - 11:32MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)50
25.3%
53
74.7%
Q3 - 11:46TORN'diaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 11:46TORN'diaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
23.6%
52
76.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
25.3%
51
74.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound48
28.2%
51
71.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 50' 3PT Running Jump Shot48
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORJefferies 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)48
31.6%
49
68.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot46
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)46
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
26.1%
49
73.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAN'diaye BLOCK (3 BLK)46
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0TORAlston Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)46
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
31.5%
47
68.5%
Q2 - 1:04TORWilliams Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)43
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 1:20TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
24.2%
47
75.8%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Johnson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot43
24.6%
47
75.4%
Q2 - 1:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 1:33TORMISS Williams Driving Dunk43
25.0%
47
75.0%
Q2 - 1:51MIAButler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
24.2%
47
75.8%
Q2 - 2:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
21.6%
47
78.4%
Q2 - 2:17TORMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 241
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 2:17TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 241
20.1%
47
79.9%
Q2 - 2:39MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)41
19.7%
47
80.3%
Q2 - 2:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 2:46TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot39
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 2:48TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 2:50TORMISS Jefferies 10' Hook Shot39
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 3:08MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 3:08MIAAllen 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)38
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q2 - 3:20TORWilliams Layup (4 PTS)36
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 3:22TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)36
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q2 - 3:24TORMISS Williams 6' Hook Shot36
16.0%
45
84.0%
Q2 - 3:40MIAEllis Layup (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)36
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q2 - 3:51TORBradley 8' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)34
13.5%
45
86.5%
Q2 - 3:53TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 3:55TORMISS McCoy 10' Turnaround Hook Shot34
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAEllis Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)34
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 4:34TORAlston 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 4:58MIAHouse 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)32
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 5:04TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)30
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMcCoy STEAL (1 STL)30
12.7%
41
87.3%
Q2 - 5:21TORMcCoy Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)30
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 5:35TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 5:48TORBradley Layup (2 PTS) (McCoy 2 AST)30
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 6:08MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)30
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 6:25MIAHeat Rebound28
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 6:27TORMISS McCoy 13' Jump Shot28
16.9%
37
83.1%
Q2 - 6:48TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Lampley Reverse Layup28
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 6:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 7:10TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)28
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 7:38MIAJames Driving Layup (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)28
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 7:43TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)26
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 7:50TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 8:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 8:18TORMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot26
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 8:24TORRAPTORS Rebound26
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 8:24TORMISS Bradley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot26
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 8:43TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot26
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 8:55MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 8:56TORMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot26
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 9:05TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Ellis Layup26
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
15.5%
37
84.5%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Ellis 8' Turnaround Jump Shot26
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 9:12MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
15.5%
37
84.5%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot26
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 9:26TORMcCoy Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
15.5%
37
84.5%
Q2 - 9:26TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)26
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 9:44MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lampley 3 AST)26
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 9:54TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)23
14.2%
35
85.8%
Q2 - 10:06TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Lampley 20' Jump Shot23
17.4%
32
82.6%
Q2 - 10:28TORPeterson Driving Layup (19 PTS) (McCoy 1 AST)23
18.5%
32
81.5%
Q2 - 10:44MIAButler Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)23
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 10:50TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)21
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 10:56TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q2 - 10:56TORMISS McCoy Free Throw 2 of 221
23.2%
27
76.8%
Q2 - 10:56TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 11:11MIALampley 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q2 - 11:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q2 - 11:31TORMISS McCoy 6' Driving Hook Shot19
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup19
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)19
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Lampley 15' Jump Shot19
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 219
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 219
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)19
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0TORMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot19
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q1 - 1:02TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)19
20.4%
26
79.6%
Q1 - 1:04TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
21.2%
26
78.8%
Q1 - 1:13TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
20.4%
26
79.6%
Q1 - 1:16MIAN'diaye BLOCK (2 BLK)19
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 1:26TORWilliams Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)19
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q1 - 1:36TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot19
24.0%
24
76.0%
Q1 - 1:52TORN'diaye Tip Shot (6 PTS)19
25.0%
24
75.0%
Q1 - 1:53TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 1:56TORMISS Jefferies Driving Finger Roll19
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 2:16MIAJohnson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)19
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 2:27TORMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot17
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 2:31TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot17
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 2:47MIAButler Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)17
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q1 - 2:47TORAlston Palming Turnover (P1.T1)16
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 2:51TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot16
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q1 - 3:09TORPeterson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)16
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 3:16MIAJefferies STEAL (1 STL)16
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 3:25TORPeterson Running Layup (12 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)16
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 3:47MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)16
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 3:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 3:56TORMISS Jefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 4:02TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
25.8%
18
74.2%
Q1 - 4:32TORN'diaye 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 4:46TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Johnson Layup14
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 4:54TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 4:54TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
31.4%
15
68.6%
Q1 - 4:57TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 5:00MIAN'diaye BLOCK (1 BLK)14
33.2%
14
66.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIAHeat Rebound14
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 5:17TORMISS N'diaye 8' Running Jump Shot14
33.7%
14
66.3%
Q1 - 5:24TORRAPTORS Rebound14
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 5:24TORMISS Peterson 7' Jump Shot14
33.7%
14
66.3%
Q1 - 5:39TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup14
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 5:59TORPeterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 6:26MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 6:39TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 6:39TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 6:54MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
37.7%
9
62.3%
Q1 - 7:15TORN'diaye 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)10
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)10
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 7:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 7:50TORMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot8
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
33.7%
7
66.3%
Q1 - 8:13TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 8:21MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)8
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 8:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 8:31TORMISS Williams Driving Layup6
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 8:48MIAButler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot4
32.3%
4
67.7%
Q1 - 9:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 9:13TORMISS Jefferies 20' Jump Shot4
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 9:26MIAAllen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 9:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot2
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:36MIAHeat Rebound2
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot2
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:58TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot2
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 10:09TORRAPTORS Rebound2
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot2
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 10:24TORPeterson Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 10:41MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:51TORJefferies 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 11:02TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 11:17TORMISS Williams Layup0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:18TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 11:20TORMISS Williams Layup0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:43TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Allen 9' Turnaround Hook Shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball N'diaye vs. Grant: Tip to Butler0
33.4%
0
66.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
TOR
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
21
57%
TOR
14
27
52%
Midrange
MIA
22
49
45%
TOR
13
41
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
TOR
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
TOR
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler1956%9.5 / 17
M. James1583%7.5 / 9
L. Ellis1346%6.5 / 14
M. Allen1155%5.5 / 10
K. Johnson844%4.0 / 9
V. Stepania867%4.0 / 6
C. Butler739%3.5 / 9
S. Lampley739%3.5 / 9
T. Best7117%3.5 / 3
E. House660%3.0 / 5
A. Carter233%1.0 / 3
B. Grant0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Peterson3363%16.5 / 26
R. Alston1953%9.5 / 18
C. Jefferies1137%5.5 / 15
M. N'diaye1161%5.5 / 9
J. Williams1029%5.0 / 17
M. Bradley840%4.0 / 10
J. McCoy744%3.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+18
-8
99
TOR
83
+24
-7
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
TOR
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
98.1
MIA 115.7 +5.7
TOR 110.0
Pace
90.0
92.1
MIA 93.1 +6.8
TOR 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
MIA 15.5 +1.2
TOR 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
45.8%
MIA 50.6% +5.8%
TOR 44.8%
TO %
14.8%
14.6%
MIA 9.6%
TOR 8.2% +1.4%
ORB %
26.8%
28.3%
MIA 35.0%
TOR 38.8% +3.8%
FTrt
25.9
28.2
MIA 23.5
TOR 34.5 +11.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
55.6%
MIA 57.5% +11.8%
TOR 45.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.0%
MIA 3.4%
TOR 4.4% +1.0%
BLK %
6.4%
7.0%
MIA 2.9%
TOR 7.1% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
47.3%
MIA 52.0% +5.7%
TOR 46.3%
Rim FG%
53.7%
55.5%
MIA 57.1% +5.2%
TOR 51.9%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.8%
MIA 44.9% +13.2%
TOR 31.7%
3P %
31.6%
34.3%
MIA 40.0%
TOR 42.1% +2.1%
FT %
76.5%
71.8%
MIA 85.0% +15.0%
TOR 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.4%
MIA 24.7%
TOR 31.0% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
50.7%
MIA 57.6%
TOR 47.1% +10.5%
3P Att. %
16.9%
17.9%
MIA 17.6%
TOR 21.8% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10399
Rebounds4445
Assists2316
Steals34
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)19 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)26 (2)
Field Goals40-8535-87
At-the-Rim FG12-2114-27
Midrange FG22-4913-41
2-Point FG34-7027-68
3-Point FG6-158-19
Free Throws17-2021-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
41.8
19
56%
4
2
0
0
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
6-13
46%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
24.4
11
55%
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
22.2
7
39%
3
4
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
7.1
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
6.5
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
33.2
8
44%
10
0
1
1
1
5
1
9
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
26.9
7
39%
1
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
26.1
13
46%
7
1
0
0
1
3
3
4
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
24.6
15
83%
6
7
0
0
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
12.0
7
117%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
9.4
6
60%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
5.8
8
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
52%
44
23
3
2
8
0
14
30
17-20
85%
34-70
49%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.