FinalWin Prob.pScore
1559%91
94
2741%88
86
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
97.99690.2
MIA logo MIA
91.594100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)94
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 294
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)94
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot93
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 292
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIALampley Layup (7 PTS)92
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)92
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)91
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)90
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot90
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0BOSMISS McCarty Free Throw 2 of 290
98.4%
84
1.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0BOSMISS McCarty Free Throw 1 of 290
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)90
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS House Free Throw 1 of 290
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHEAT Rebound90
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot90
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 1:11MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)90
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 1:23BOSWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)90
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 1:39MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)87
93.0%
83
7.0%
Q4 - 1:51BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)87
87.8%
83
12.2%
Q4 - 1:51BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 286
86.8%
83
13.2%
Q4 - 2:03MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)86
88.8%
83
11.2%
Q4 - 2:27BOSMcCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)86
80.5%
83
19.5%
Q4 - 2:44MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)83
67.0%
83
33.0%
Q4 - 2:44MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
50.2%
83
49.8%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot83
62.2%
83
37.8%
Q4 - 3:08MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
50.1%
83
49.9%
Q4 - 3:10BOSMISS McCarty 3PT Jump Shot83
54.8%
83
45.2%
Q4 - 3:32BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
62.4%
83
37.6%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 283
61.2%
83
38.8%
Q4 - 3:33MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
54.5%
83
45.5%
Q4 - 3:55MIAHEAT Rebound83
61.8%
82
38.2%
Q4 - 3:56BOSMISS McCarty 12' Jump Shot83
64.6%
82
35.4%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
70.7%
82
29.3%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
71.6%
81
28.4%
Q4 - 4:20MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
77.5%
80
22.5%
Q4 - 4:22BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot83
79.6%
80
20.4%
Q4 - 4:29BOSCeltics Rebound83
83.7%
80
16.3%
Q4 - 4:30BOSJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)83
79.6%
80
20.4%
Q4 - 4:45MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
83.8%
80
16.2%
Q4 - 4:45MIAEllis Tip Shot (10 PTS)83
83.8%
80
16.2%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Lampley Layup83
90.7%
78
9.3%
Q4 - 4:51MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
88.1%
78
11.9%
Q4 - 4:55BOSLampley BLOCK (1 BLK)83
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)83
89.7%
78
10.3%
Q4 - 5:27MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
86.1%
78
13.9%
Q4 - 5:29BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot83
87.3%
78
12.7%
Q4 - 5:47MIABest Running Layup (6 PTS)83
89.8%
78
10.2%
Q4 - 5:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
92.4%
76
7.6%
Q4 - 5:53BOSMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot83
93.1%
76
6.9%
Q4 - 6:08BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)83
93.3%
76
6.7%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot83
92.6%
76
7.4%
Q4 - 6:20MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
90.8%
76
9.2%
Q4 - 6:22BOSMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot83
91.7%
76
8.3%
Q4 - 6:37BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q4 - 6:39BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
91.7%
76
8.3%
Q4 - 7:05MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)83
92.1%
76
7.9%
Q4 - 7:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q4 - 7:11BOSMISS Battie 6' Jump Shot83
94.2%
74
5.8%
Q4 - 7:27MIAEllis Layup (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)83
95.3%
74
4.7%
Q4 - 7:37BOSBattie Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)83
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q4 - 7:37BOSBattie Dunk (11 PTS) (Delk 2 AST)82
95.2%
72
4.8%
Q4 - 7:56BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)80
94.0%
72
6.0%
Q4 - 7:58BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot80
92.6%
72
7.4%
Q4 - 8:00BOSCeltics Rebound80
94.0%
72
6.0%
Q4 - 8:01BOSMISS Delk 14' Jump Shot80
91.3%
72
8.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIAHouse 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
92.7%
72
7.3%
Q4 - 8:39BOSEllis STEAL (1 STL)80
94.3%
70
5.7%
Q4 - 8:51BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Lampley 7' Jump Shot80
95.2%
70
4.8%
Q4 - 9:17BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)80
93.5%
70
6.5%
Q4 - 9:36MIALampley Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)77
90.0%
70
10.0%
Q4 - 9:39MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
91.9%
68
8.1%
Q4 - 9:41BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
92.4%
68
7.6%
Q4 - 9:58BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
93.6%
68
6.4%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
93.1%
68
6.9%
Q4 - 10:22BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)77
90.9%
68
9.1%
Q4 - 10:40MIAButler Running Dunk (20 PTS)77
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q4 - 10:43BOSButler STEAL (3 STL)77
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q4 - 10:49BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q4 - 10:51BOSMISS Bremer 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
94.5%
66
5.5%
Q4 - 11:13MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)77
94.6%
66
5.4%
Q4 - 11:13MIAHEAT Rebound77
93.3%
66
6.7%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q4 - 11:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
93.3%
66
6.7%
Q4 - 11:39BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot77
93.7%
66
6.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS77
94.6%
66
5.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound77
94.6%
66
5.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Williams 60' 3PT Jump Shot77
93.7%
66
6.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)77
93.9%
66
6.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
92.7%
66
7.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
93.1%
66
6.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
94.0%
66
6.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot77
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
92.7%
66
7.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0BOSMISS McCarty Layup77
93.1%
66
6.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0BOSCeltics Rebound77
94.0%
66
6.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
93.1%
66
6.9%
Q3 - 1:11MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
93.4%
66
6.6%
Q3 - 1:11MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)77
93.6%
65
6.4%
Q3 - 1:27BOSBremer 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)77
94.5%
64
5.5%
Q3 - 1:42BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
93.4%
64
6.6%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 275
93.2%
64
6.8%
Q3 - 1:43MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
92.4%
64
7.6%
Q3 - 1:51BOSBremer Driving Layup (7 PTS)75
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q3 - 2:10BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
91.2%
63
8.8%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Butler 6' Hook Shot73
90.7%
63
9.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
89.5%
63
10.5%
Q3 - 2:32BOSMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot73
90.1%
63
9.9%
Q3 - 2:48MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
91.3%
63
8.7%
Q3 - 2:48MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
91.5%
62
8.5%
Q3 - 2:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
92.6%
61
7.4%
Q3 - 2:52BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
93.0%
61
7.0%
Q3 - 3:18MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
93.3%
61
6.7%
Q3 - 3:32BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)73
94.3%
59
5.7%
Q3 - 3:32BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)72
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q3 - 3:42MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)71
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 3:46BOSBremer Driving Layup (5 PTS)71
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 4:06BOSLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
90.2%
59
9.8%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 269
90.0%
59
10.0%
Q3 - 4:07MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
89.0%
59
11.0%
Q3 - 4:23BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS)69
90.0%
58
10.0%
Q3 - 4:30BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
88.6%
58
11.4%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup67
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 4:41MIAHEAT Rebound67
86.5%
58
13.5%
Q3 - 4:42BOSMISS McCarty 3PT Jump Shot67
87.2%
58
12.8%
Q3 - 5:01MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)67
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHEAT Rebound67
89.5%
56
10.5%
Q3 - 5:20BOSMISS Pierce 6' Hook Shot67
90.0%
56
10.0%
Q3 - 5:38MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)67
91.1%
56
8.9%
Q3 - 5:48MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
92.3%
54
7.7%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
93.1%
54
6.9%
Q3 - 6:12BOSPierce Driving Layup (26 PTS)67
91.7%
54
8.3%
Q3 - 6:20BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
90.5%
54
9.5%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot65
90.0%
54
10.0%
Q3 - 6:31MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
88.9%
54
11.1%
Q3 - 6:33BOSMISS Battie 18' Jump Shot65
89.4%
54
10.6%
Q3 - 6:52BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
90.5%
54
9.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot65
90.1%
54
9.9%
Q3 - 7:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
88.1%
54
11.9%
Q3 - 7:10BOSMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot65
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 7:29MIACarter 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
89.9%
54
10.1%
Q3 - 7:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
91.0%
52
9.0%
Q3 - 7:44BOSMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
91.5%
52
8.5%
Q3 - 7:50MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)65
92.4%
52
7.6%
Q3 - 8:04BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)65
90.8%
52
9.2%
Q3 - 8:18MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)62
88.1%
52
11.9%
Q3 - 8:18MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)62
89.6%
51
10.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 8:25BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot62
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q3 - 8:49MIAButler Driving Dunk (14 PTS)62
92.1%
49
7.9%
Q3 - 9:04BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)62
92.6%
47
7.4%
Q3 - 9:04BOSPierce 12' Jump Shot (23 PTS)61
91.5%
47
8.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAAllen 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
90.4%
47
9.6%
Q3 - 9:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
91.6%
45
8.4%
Q3 - 9:40BOSMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
91.9%
45
8.1%
Q3 - 9:53BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
92.7%
45
7.3%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot59
92.4%
45
7.6%
Q3 - 10:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
91.2%
45
8.8%
Q3 - 10:14BOSMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 259
91.3%
45
8.7%
Q3 - 10:14BOSBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
92.0%
45
8.0%
Q3 - 10:25BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
91.3%
45
8.7%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot58
90.9%
45
9.1%
Q3 - 10:41BOSWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)58
90.0%
45
10.0%
Q3 - 10:47BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
91.3%
45
8.7%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot58
90.9%
45
9.1%
Q3 - 11:10BOSPierce Driving Layup (21 PTS)58
89.7%
45
10.3%
Q3 - 11:16BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
88.5%
45
11.5%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot56
88.0%
45
12.0%
Q3 - 11:27BOSBattie 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)56
86.9%
45
13.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIAButler Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
85.3%
45
14.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
86.9%
43
13.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
86.9%
43
13.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 55' 3PT Jump Shot54
88.0%
43
12.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSWalker Layup (12 PTS)54
86.6%
43
13.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
84.4%
43
15.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0BOSMISS Walker Finger Roll52
83.6%
43
16.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
84.5%
43
15.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
84.1%
43
15.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAButler Free Throw Clear Path (3 PTS)52
83.2%
43
16.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
85.4%
42
14.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)52
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q2 - 1:12BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)52
87.7%
40
12.3%
Q2 - 1:21MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)49
83.9%
40
16.1%
Q2 - 1:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
82.9%
40
17.1%
Q2 - 1:27BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
83.2%
40
16.8%
Q2 - 1:47MIAJohnson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)49
83.9%
40
16.1%
Q2 - 2:06BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
85.4%
38
14.6%
Q2 - 2:06BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
85.1%
38
14.9%
Q2 - 2:06BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
83.7%
38
16.3%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot47
83.2%
38
16.8%
Q2 - 2:21BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)47
82.1%
38
17.9%
Q2 - 2:21BOSWalker Layup (9 PTS)46
80.2%
38
19.8%
Q2 - 2:27BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot44
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 2:52BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)44
75.9%
38
24.1%
Q2 - 2:52BOSPierce 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)43
73.6%
38
26.4%
Q2 - 3:09MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)41
70.8%
38
29.2%
Q2 - 3:18BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)41
75.3%
35
24.7%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJohnson 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)39
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q2 - 3:51BOSButler STEAL (2 STL)39
75.3%
33
24.7%
Q2 - 4:10MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
77.2%
33
22.8%
Q2 - 4:26BOSMcCarty Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
79.2%
31
20.8%
Q2 - 4:43MIABest Layup (4 PTS)39
81.0%
31
19.0%
Q2 - 4:45BOSBest STEAL (1 STL)39
82.7%
29
17.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIABest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)39
84.3%
29
15.7%
Q2 - 5:09BOSDelk 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)39
85.5%
27
14.5%
Q2 - 5:13BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
82.6%
27
17.4%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Best 9' Running Jump Shot36
82.0%
27
18.0%
Q2 - 5:32BOSPierce 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McCarty 2 AST)36
80.7%
27
19.3%
Q2 - 5:47MIAEllis Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)34
79.1%
27
20.9%
Q2 - 5:58BOSDelk 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)34
80.7%
25
19.3%
Q2 - 6:04BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
77.0%
25
23.0%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q2 - 6:25MIAHEAT Rebound31
74.6%
25
25.4%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 231
76.7%
25
23.3%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 231
75.5%
25
24.5%
Q2 - 6:50MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
74.6%
25
25.4%
Q2 - 6:51BOSMISS Brown Layup31
75.4%
25
24.6%
Q2 - 7:05MIAJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)31
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q2 - 7:19BOSWalker Driving Layup (7 PTS)31
78.2%
23
21.8%
Q2 - 7:37BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
76.5%
23
23.5%
Q2 - 7:39BOSMISS Bremer 16' Jump Shot29
75.1%
23
24.9%
Q2 - 7:55MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)29
76.6%
23
23.4%
Q2 - 8:12BOSBattie Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Bremer 3 AST)29
77.8%
21
22.2%
Q2 - 8:16BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
76.2%
21
23.8%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Johnson 9' Hook Shot27
75.6%
21
24.4%
Q2 - 8:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
74.1%
21
25.9%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot27
75.6%
21
24.4%
Q2 - 8:43MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
74.1%
21
25.9%
Q2 - 8:45BOSJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)27
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q2 - 8:52BOSCeltics Rebound27
76.2%
21
23.8%
Q2 - 8:53BOSMISS Bremer 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q2 - 9:01BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
75.9%
21
24.1%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Ellis Layup27
75.3%
21
24.7%
Q2 - 9:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
73.8%
21
26.2%
Q2 - 9:15BOSMISS Brown Driving Layup27
74.5%
21
25.5%
Q2 - 9:43MIAJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
76.0%
21
24.0%
Q2 - 9:59BOSWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Bremer 2 AST)27
77.5%
19
22.5%
Q2 - 10:05BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
75.6%
19
24.4%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot25
75.0%
19
25.0%
Q2 - 10:24MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
73.5%
19
26.5%
Q2 - 10:26BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
74.2%
19
25.8%
Q2 - 10:53MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
75.6%
19
24.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
77.0%
17
23.0%
Q2 - 11:21BOSMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot25
77.5%
17
22.5%
Q2 - 11:35BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q2 - 11:36BOSMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot25
77.5%
17
22.5%
Q2 - 11:45BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot25
78.2%
17
21.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS25
77.0%
17
23.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound25
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot25
78.2%
17
21.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
76.8%
17
23.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0BOSMISS Williams Driving Layup25
77.2%
17
22.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)25
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0BOSBremer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)25
76.8%
17
23.2%
Q1 - 1:06BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
72.9%
17
27.1%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot22
72.4%
17
27.6%
Q1 - 1:32BOSWilliams 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)22
71.4%
17
28.6%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
72.8%
17
27.2%
Q1 - 1:59BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bremer 1 AST)22
71.4%
17
28.6%
Q1 - 2:17MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)19
67.3%
17
32.7%
Q1 - 2:32BOSWilliams 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
69.4%
15
30.6%
Q1 - 2:53MIAEllis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
67.2%
15
32.8%
Q1 - 3:04MIAButler Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)17
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 3:16BOSBlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)17
70.8%
12
29.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
72.9%
12
27.1%
Q1 - 3:30MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
73.2%
11
26.8%
Q1 - 3:43BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
74.5%
10
25.5%
Q1 - 3:43BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
74.2%
10
25.8%
Q1 - 3:56MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
72.9%
10
27.1%
Q1 - 4:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
70.8%
10
29.2%
Q1 - 4:09BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
71.4%
10
28.6%
Q1 - 4:18BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
72.9%
10
27.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot15
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 4:34MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
70.7%
10
29.3%
Q1 - 4:36BOSMISS McCarty 21' Jump Shot15
71.4%
10
28.6%
Q1 - 4:51BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
72.9%
10
27.1%
Q1 - 4:53BOSMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot15
71.4%
10
28.6%
Q1 - 5:10BOSCeltics Rebound15
72.5%
10
27.5%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot15
71.9%
10
28.1%
Q1 - 5:16BOSButler STEAL (1 STL)15
70.6%
10
29.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)15
72.5%
10
27.5%
Q1 - 5:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
74.0%
8
26.0%
Q1 - 5:48BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot15
74.5%
8
25.5%
Q1 - 5:57BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot15
75.2%
8
24.8%
Q1 - 6:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
73.5%
8
26.5%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot15
74.6%
8
25.4%
Q1 - 6:20BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
73.5%
8
26.5%
Q1 - 6:32MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
75.1%
8
24.9%
Q1 - 6:32MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
75.4%
7
24.6%
Q1 - 6:43BOSDelk Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
76.6%
6
23.4%
Q1 - 6:48MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)13
75.1%
6
24.9%
Q1 - 7:07BOSWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Delk 1 AST)13
73.0%
6
27.0%
Q1 - 7:21MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
70.1%
6
29.9%
Q1 - 7:21MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
70.3%
5
29.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
71.5%
4
28.5%
Q1 - 7:27BOSMISS Pierce Tip Shot10
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 7:28BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 7:30BOSMISS Delk 20' Jump Shot10
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 7:36BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot10
72.7%
4
27.3%
Q1 - 8:03BOSBattie Dunk (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)10
71.9%
4
28.1%
Q1 - 8:19MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)8
70.5%
4
29.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot8
73.0%
2
27.0%
Q1 - 8:35BOSDelk 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)8
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 8:40BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
70.4%
2
29.6%
Q1 - 8:42BOSMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot6
69.2%
2
30.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
70.5%
2
29.5%
Q1 - 9:29BOSWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
71.6%
0
28.4%
Q1 - 9:39BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
70.5%
0
29.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot4
69.9%
0
30.1%
Q1 - 9:56MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 24
70.2%
0
29.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 24
69.3%
0
30.7%
Q1 - 10:08BOSBattie Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 10:09BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 10:11BOSMISS Delk 21' Jump Shot2
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 10:20BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 10:42BOSPierce Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 10:50BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot0
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 11:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 11:08BOSButler BLOCK (1 BLK)0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:24BOSCeltics Rebound0
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot0
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 11:30MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 11:32BOSMISS Williams 13' Running Jump Shot0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:41MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 11:49BOSWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Battie: Tip to Walker0
63.5%
0
36.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.94 47.0%
MIA
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
24
67%
MIA
13
16
81%
Midrange
BOS
8
33
24%
MIA
19
45
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
MIA
1
1.5
16
6%
9%
Free Throws
BOS
16
22
73%
MIA
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3255%16.0 / 29
A. Walker2460%12.0 / 20
T. Battie1267%6.0 / 9
T. Delk1063%5.0 / 8
J. Bremer956%4.5 / 8
E. Williams417%2.0 / 12
W. McCarty317%1.5 / 9
M. Blount0-0.0 / 1
K. Brown0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2067%10.0 / 15
R. Butler1036%5.0 / 14
L. Ellis1050%5.0 / 10
E. House945%4.5 / 10
K. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
B. Grant770%3.5 / 5
S. Lampley750%3.5 / 7
T. Best750%3.5 / 7
M. Allen643%3.0 / 7
A. Carter220%1.0 / 5
M. James0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
84
+15
-12
99
MIA
81
+13
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.94 47.0%
MIA
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.4
94.5
BOS 97.9 +6.4
MIA 91.5
Pace
93.6
90.0
BOS 90.2
MIA 100.5 +10.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
BOS 16.0
MIA 14.3 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
43.9%
BOS 45.9% +2.4%
MIA 43.5%
TO %
14.3%
14.8%
BOS 11.2% +3.2%
MIA 14.4%
ORB %
23.6%
26.8%
BOS 21.7% +2.2%
MIA 19.5%
FTrt
30.6
25.9
BOS 25.9
MIA 35.1 +9.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
55.8%
BOS 52.9%
MIA 54.5% +1.6%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
BOS 7.3% +2.0%
MIA 5.3%
BLK %
6.0%
6.4%
BOS 4.9%
MIA 7.0% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.9%
46.0%
BOS 47.0% +1.3%
MIA 45.7%
Rim FG%
56.2%
53.7%
BOS 66.7%
MIA 81.3% +14.6%
Mid FG%
35.8%
37.6%
BOS 24.2%
MIA 42.2% +18.0%
3P %
33.4%
31.6%
BOS 35.7% +29.4%
MIA 6.3%
FT %
74.2%
76.5%
BOS 72.7% +2.3%
MIA 70.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
28.9%
BOS 28.2% +7.5%
MIA 20.8%
Mid Att. %
35.0%
54.2%
BOS 38.8% +19.6%
MIA 58.4%
3P Att. %
33.1%
16.9%
BOS 32.9% +12.2%
MIA 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.15 and 3.15.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points9486
Rebounds4344
Assists1818
Steals75
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)36 (3)
Field Goals34-8533-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2413-16
Midrange FG8-3319-45
2-Point FG24-5732-61
3-Point FG10-281-16
Free Throws16-2219-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
41.1
24
60%
12
4
1
0
1
3
1
11
4-5
80%
4-7
57%
4-10
40%
G · 6'7" 235 · 25
39.5
32
55%
9
5
1
0
3
2
1
8
10-12
83%
8-18
44%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 220 · 31
34.3
4
17%
4
2
2
0
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 29
21.7
10
63%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
19.9
12
67%
8
0
0
1
0
4
4
4
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 29
27.5
3
17%
6
2
1
1
2
3
2
4
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
26.3
9
56%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 37
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 35
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
47%
43
18
7
3
12
0
10
33
16-22
73%
24-57
42%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.