FinalWin Prob.pScore
2058%91
91
2742%88
87
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
98.99292.3
MIA logo MIA
96.79089.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS91
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0WASLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0WASLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 8 AST)89
95.4%
87
4.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0WASLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0WASLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)88
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJohnson 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 7 AST)87
96.3%
84
3.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
96.8%
82
3.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot87
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
97.6%
82
2.4%
Q4 - 1:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q4 - 1:05WASMISS Jordan 21' Jump Shot87
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 1:20MIAJohnson 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Lampley 4 AST)87
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 1:38WASLaettner 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)87
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 1:55MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lampley 3 AST)85
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIALampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot85
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 2:10MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 2:12WASMISS Jordan 8' Jump Shot85
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 2:33WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 285
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 285
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Lampley 18' Jump Shot85
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 2:49WASJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)85
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 3:11MIAButler 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 3:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 3:19WASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 285
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 3:19WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 3:37WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Lampley 9' Jump Shot84
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 3:59WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 3:59WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 4:17WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot82
96.7%
74
3.3%
Q4 - 4:35WASBrown Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)82
95.8%
74
4.2%
Q4 - 4:36WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 4:37WASMISS Lue Driving Layup82
96.2%
74
3.8%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)82
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q4 - 5:14WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot82
94.8%
74
5.2%
Q4 - 5:35MIAEllis Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Butler 6 AST)82
95.9%
74
4.1%
Q4 - 5:40WASLampley STEAL (1 STL)82
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q4 - 5:59WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
97.9%
72
2.1%
Q4 - 6:02WASMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
96.4%
72
3.6%
Q4 - 6:27MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)82
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 6:50WASLue 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)82
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 7:10WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q4 - 7:28WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)80
95.1%
70
4.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIALampley Foul Turnover (P2.T16)80
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q4 - 8:03WASHaywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)80
94.1%
70
5.9%
Q4 - 8:15MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T15)80
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q4 - 8:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
94.2%
70
5.8%
Q4 - 8:34WASMISS Russell 20' Jump Shot80
94.6%
70
5.4%
Q4 - 8:51MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q4 - 8:51MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 280
95.7%
69
4.3%
Q4 - 9:07WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)80
94.7%
69
5.3%
Q4 - 9:07WASHaywood Dunk (8 PTS)79
93.4%
69
6.6%
Q4 - 9:07WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
91.8%
69
8.2%
Q4 - 9:08WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot77
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q4 - 9:22MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)77
91.8%
69
8.2%
Q4 - 9:43MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
89.8%
69
10.2%
Q4 - 9:45WASMISS Jordan 14' Jump Shot77
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIALampley Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)77
90.9%
69
9.1%
Q4 - 10:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
92.5%
67
7.5%
Q4 - 10:18WASMISS Brown Layup77
93.0%
67
7.0%
Q4 - 10:34MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
94.1%
67
5.9%
Q4 - 10:34MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q4 - 10:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 10:42WASMISS Jordan Reverse Layup77
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q4 - 11:00MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
96.2%
65
3.8%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 277
96.4%
64
3.6%
Q4 - 11:11WASBrown 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
95.5%
64
4.5%
Q4 - 11:35WASRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
94.5%
64
5.5%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot75
94.1%
64
5.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
93.2%
64
6.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0WASEllis STEAL (1 STL)75
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)75
93.9%
64
6.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
95.0%
62
5.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
95.6%
62
4.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
95.0%
62
5.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 274
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q3 - 1:00WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
95.0%
62
5.0%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Butler Layup74
94.0%
62
6.0%
Q3 - 1:17WASHughes 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Laettner 6 AST)74
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q3 - 1:37MIAJohnson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
92.0%
62
8.0%
Q3 - 1:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
93.3%
60
6.7%
Q3 - 1:53WASMISS Lue 13' Jump Shot72
93.6%
60
6.4%
Q3 - 2:03MIAHouse 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
93.7%
60
6.3%
Q3 - 2:08WASBrown 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)72
94.6%
58
5.4%
Q3 - 2:20WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
93.7%
58
6.3%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Lampley Tip Shot70
93.3%
58
6.7%
Q3 - 2:23MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
92.4%
58
7.6%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot70
93.3%
58
6.7%
Q3 - 2:43WASHouse STEAL (1 STL)70
92.4%
58
7.6%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)70
93.7%
58
6.3%
Q3 - 3:22WASHughes 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
91.9%
58
8.1%
Q3 - 3:27WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
90.6%
58
9.4%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup68
90.1%
58
9.9%
Q3 - 3:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
88.9%
58
11.1%
Q3 - 3:46WASMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
89.4%
58
10.6%
Q3 - 4:11WASWizards Rebound68
90.1%
58
9.9%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot68
89.5%
58
10.5%
Q3 - 4:14WASLaettner 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)68
88.1%
58
11.9%
Q3 - 4:16WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
86.5%
58
13.5%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot66
85.8%
58
14.2%
Q3 - 4:27WASLaettner Layup (9 PTS) (Jordan 4 AST)66
84.0%
58
16.0%
Q3 - 4:49MIAButler Layup (15 PTS)64
82.0%
58
18.0%
Q3 - 4:51MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
84.1%
56
15.9%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup64
85.8%
56
14.2%
Q3 - 5:02WASBrown 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)64
83.6%
56
16.4%
Q3 - 5:18MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)62
81.3%
56
18.7%
Q3 - 5:28WASLue 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
78.5%
56
21.5%
Q3 - 5:34WASWizards Rebound60
75.8%
56
24.2%
Q3 - 5:35WASButler BLOCK (1 BLK)60
73.4%
56
26.6%
Q3 - 5:50MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)60
75.8%
56
24.2%
Q3 - 5:53MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
72.3%
56
27.7%
Q3 - 5:55WASMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
73.4%
56
26.6%
Q3 - 6:09WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot60
74.3%
56
25.7%
Q3 - 6:27WASBrown 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)60
71.9%
56
28.1%
Q3 - 6:43MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)58
68.8%
56
31.2%
Q3 - 6:56WASBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)58
65.0%
56
35.0%
Q3 - 7:16MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)58
68.3%
56
31.7%
Q3 - 7:30WASLaettner Layup (7 PTS) (Jordan 3 AST)58
64.4%
56
35.6%
Q3 - 7:50MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
61.3%
56
38.7%
Q3 - 8:10WASJordan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)56
64.6%
54
35.4%
Q3 - 8:21WASSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
68.4%
54
31.6%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup56
67.3%
54
32.7%
Q3 - 8:37WASButler STEAL (1 STL)56
64.6%
54
35.4%
Q3 - 9:04MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
68.0%
54
32.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
74.0%
51
26.0%
Q3 - 9:30WASAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)56
74.9%
51
25.1%
Q3 - 9:42WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
76.0%
51
24.0%
Q3 - 9:51MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
74.0%
51
26.0%
Q3 - 9:53WASMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot56
74.9%
51
25.1%
Q3 - 10:04WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot56
75.9%
51
24.1%
Q3 - 10:27WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)56
73.8%
51
26.2%
Q3 - 10:27WASWizards Rebound56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 10:27WASMISS Jordan 21' Jump Shot56
74.7%
51
25.3%
Q3 - 10:53MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)56
76.7%
51
23.3%
Q3 - 10:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
73.8%
51
26.2%
Q3 - 11:00WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot56
74.7%
51
25.3%
Q3 - 11:21MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)56
76.6%
51
23.4%
Q3 - 11:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
78.9%
49
21.1%
Q3 - 11:45WASMISS Brown 11' Hook Shot56
79.6%
49
20.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
81.2%
49
18.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASHughes 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)56
78.9%
49
21.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
75.8%
49
24.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0WASJordan 15' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)54
78.8%
47
21.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
75.9%
47
24.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot52
75.3%
47
24.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
74.1%
47
25.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 251
73.4%
47
26.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
73.4%
47
26.6%
Q2 - 1:02WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot51
71.8%
47
28.2%
Q2 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q2 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
73.2%
46
26.8%
Q2 - 1:14MIAHEAT Rebound51
76.4%
45
23.6%
Q2 - 1:15WASButler BLOCK (2 BLK)51
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q2 - 1:34MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
77.6%
45
22.4%
Q2 - 1:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
80.7%
43
19.3%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
81.4%
43
18.6%
Q2 - 2:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
80.7%
43
19.3%
Q2 - 2:03WASMISS Laettner 20' Jump Shot51
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q2 - 2:28MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)51
81.6%
43
18.4%
Q2 - 2:51WASJordan 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)51
85.3%
40
14.7%
Q2 - 3:06MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
83.0%
40
17.0%
Q2 - 3:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
83.3%
39
16.7%
Q2 - 3:12WASJordan 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)49
84.4%
38
15.6%
Q2 - 3:32MIAJames 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
83.0%
38
17.0%
Q2 - 3:52WASSimmons 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Laettner 5 AST)47
84.5%
36
15.5%
Q2 - 4:12MIABest 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)45
82.4%
36
17.6%
Q2 - 4:36WASLue 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Laettner 4 AST)45
84.0%
34
16.0%
Q2 - 4:51MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
82.4%
34
17.6%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 243
82.7%
33
17.3%
Q2 - 5:14WASHaywood 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)43
82.1%
33
17.9%
Q2 - 5:46MIAJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
80.6%
33
19.4%
Q2 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
82.1%
31
17.9%
Q2 - 5:56WASMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot41
82.7%
31
17.3%
Q2 - 6:16MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
83.6%
31
16.4%
Q2 - 6:16MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
84.0%
30
16.0%
Q2 - 6:32WASDixon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)41
84.8%
29
15.2%
Q2 - 6:35MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)41
86.4%
29
13.6%
Q2 - 6:38MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
84.8%
29
15.2%
Q2 - 6:40WASMISS Jordan Layup41
85.3%
29
14.7%
Q2 - 6:48WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
86.4%
29
13.6%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot41
86.0%
29
14.0%
Q2 - 6:59WASJordan 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)41
84.8%
29
15.2%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
82.5%
29
17.5%
Q2 - 7:42WASWizards Rebound39
83.0%
29
17.0%
Q2 - 7:42WASRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
81.3%
29
18.7%
Q2 - 7:42WASMISS Russell Free Throw 1 of 238
81.0%
29
19.0%
Q2 - 8:00MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)38
81.4%
29
18.6%
Q2 - 8:11WASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
82.4%
27
17.6%
Q2 - 8:11WASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 237
82.0%
27
18.0%
Q2 - 8:26MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
82.6%
27
17.4%
Q2 - 8:26MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
83.0%
26
17.0%
Q2 - 8:43WASHughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)37
83.9%
25
16.1%
Q2 - 8:47WASRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
81.1%
25
18.9%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Ellis Tip Shot34
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 8:51MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
79.2%
25
20.8%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Lampley 6' Jump Shot34
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 9:01MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
78.9%
25
21.1%
Q2 - 9:02WASMISS Dixon 20' Jump Shot34
79.4%
25
20.6%
Q2 - 9:14WASWizards Rebound34
80.7%
25
19.3%
Q2 - 9:14WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot34
79.4%
25
20.6%
Q2 - 9:26MIALampley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
80.7%
25
19.3%
Q2 - 9:40WASHughes Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
78.9%
25
21.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIALampley Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
77.4%
25
22.6%
Q2 - 10:13WASBrown Layup (2 PTS)32
78.5%
23
21.5%
Q2 - 10:14WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
77.0%
23
23.0%
Q2 - 10:16WASMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot30
75.6%
23
24.4%
Q2 - 10:26MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
77.0%
23
23.0%
Q2 - 10:26MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
77.3%
22
22.7%
Q2 - 10:38MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 10:40WASMISS Russell 14' Fadeaway Jumper30
79.1%
21
20.9%
Q2 - 11:02WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
79.9%
21
20.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot30
79.4%
21
20.6%
Q2 - 11:17WASHaywood Layup (4 PTS)30
78.3%
21
21.7%
Q2 - 11:29WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
76.6%
21
23.4%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Stepania Reverse Layup28
76.1%
21
23.9%
Q2 - 11:48WASButler STEAL (1 STL)28
74.8%
21
25.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
76.6%
21
23.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound28
74.8%
21
25.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot28
76.1%
21
23.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0WASHaywood Dunk (2 PTS)28
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0WASMISS Hughes Alley Oop Layup26
71.4%
21
28.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)26
72.4%
21
27.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0WASLaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
74.7%
19
25.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0WASLaettner 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
70.5%
19
29.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0WASMISS Jordan Finger Roll23
69.4%
19
30.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
70.5%
19
29.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Butler Dunk23
70.0%
19
30.0%
Q1 - 1:08WASJordan Layup (15 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)23
68.9%
19
31.1%
Q1 - 1:29MIAButler 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)21
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q1 - 1:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
68.9%
17
31.1%
Q1 - 1:55WASMISS Jordan 15' Fadeaway Jumper21
69.4%
17
30.6%
Q1 - 2:19MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
70.8%
17
29.2%
Q1 - 2:44WASJordan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)21
72.8%
15
27.2%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 119
70.3%
15
29.7%
Q1 - 3:01MIACarter Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)19
70.6%
15
29.4%
Q1 - 3:10WASLaettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 2 AST)19
72.2%
13
27.8%
Q1 - 3:25MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
70.6%
13
29.4%
Q1 - 3:36WASLue 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)17
72.3%
11
27.7%
Q1 - 3:55MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)15
70.6%
11
29.4%
Q1 - 4:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
72.1%
9
27.9%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Allen 9' Hook Shot15
73.6%
9
26.4%
Q1 - 4:26WASJordan 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)15
72.1%
9
27.9%
Q1 - 4:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
70.7%
9
29.3%
Q1 - 4:49MIAAllen Tip Shot (4 PTS)13
70.7%
9
29.3%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Allen Layup13
73.6%
7
26.4%
Q1 - 5:01WASSimmons Layup (4 PTS)13
71.8%
7
28.2%
Q1 - 5:02WASSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)11
70.3%
7
29.7%
Q1 - 5:04WASButler BLOCK (1 BLK)11
68.9%
7
31.1%
Q1 - 5:06WASSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
70.3%
7
29.7%
Q1 - 5:08WASMISS Brown 8' Hook Shot11
68.9%
7
31.1%
Q1 - 5:17WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
70.3%
7
29.7%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot11
69.7%
7
30.3%
Q1 - 5:34WASJordan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)11
68.3%
7
31.7%
Q1 - 5:55MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
66.7%
7
33.3%
Q1 - 6:14MIAHEAT Rebound9
69.8%
4
30.2%
Q1 - 6:16WASMISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot9
70.3%
4
29.7%
Q1 - 6:42MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)9
71.5%
4
28.5%
Q1 - 7:04MIAHEAT Rebound9
72.5%
2
27.5%
Q1 - 7:06WASMISS Lue 14' Jump Shot9
73.0%
2
27.0%
Q1 - 7:12MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)9
74.2%
2
25.8%
Q1 - 7:28WASJordan 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)9
72.5%
2
27.5%
Q1 - 7:40MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)7
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 7:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
69.4%
2
30.6%
Q1 - 7:58WASMISS Jordan 21' Jump Shot7
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 8:16MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 8:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot7
74.0%
0
26.0%
Q1 - 8:36WASJordan Driving Layup (5 PTS)7
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 8:45MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)5
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 9:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
69.7%
0
30.3%
Q1 - 9:01WASMISS Laettner Layup5
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 9:06WASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 9:08WASMISS Jordan 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 9:31MIACarter Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)5
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 9:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 9:35WASGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)5
70.2%
0
29.8%
Q1 - 9:42WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Butler Running Layup5
70.9%
0
29.1%
Q1 - 9:47MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 9:49WASMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot5
70.2%
0
29.8%
Q1 - 10:04WASWizards Rebound5
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot5
70.8%
0
29.2%
Q1 - 10:24WASSimmons 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)5
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 10:34WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot3
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 10:52WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 10:52WASJordan Layup (2 PTS)2
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 10:53WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
63.1%
0
36.9%
Q1 - 10:54WASMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot0
61.7%
0
38.3%
Q1 - 11:17MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 11:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:24WASMISS Jordan Driving Layup0
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 11:40WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot0
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Brown: Tip to Carter0
61.3%
0
38.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
12
23
52%
MIA
9
19
47%
Midrange
WAS
25
54
46%
MIA
21
42
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
WAS
14
19
74%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Jordan2545%12.5 / 28
C. Laettner1354%6.5 / 12
L. Hughes1350%6.5 / 13
K. Brown1255%6.0 / 11
T. Lue1255%6.0 / 11
B. Haywood990%4.5 / 5
B. Simmons638%3.0 / 8
B. Russell113%0.5 / 4
J. Dixon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1959%9.5 / 16
R. Butler1071%5.0 / 7
E. House1071%5.0 / 7
A. Carter850%4.0 / 8
L. Ellis844%4.0 / 9
M. James880%4.0 / 5
S. Lampley744%3.5 / 8
M. Allen633%3.0 / 9
K. Johnson643%3.0 / 7
B. Grant350%1.5 / 3
T. Best250%1.0 / 2
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
81
+14
-11
95
MIA
73
+11
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
94.5
WAS 98.9 +2.2
MIA 96.7
Pace
90.7
90.0
WAS 92.3 +2.5
MIA 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
WAS 15.6 +0.4
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.0%
43.9%
WAS 47.0%
MIA 50.7% +3.7%
TO %
13.8%
14.8%
WAS 11.7% +5.8%
MIA 17.5%
ORB %
27.3%
26.8%
WAS 28.2% +0.4%
MIA 27.8%
FTrt
32.5
25.9
WAS 23.2
MIA 29.6 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.2%
55.8%
WAS 50.0%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
WAS 8.7% +3.1%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
7.4%
6.4%
WAS 3.3%
MIA 7.8% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.8%
46.0%
WAS 47.9%
MIA 51.2% +3.3%
Rim FG%
56.7%
53.7%
WAS 52.2% +4.8%
MIA 47.4%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.6%
WAS 46.3%
MIA 50.0% +3.7%
3P %
31.2%
31.6%
WAS 20.0%
MIA 40.0% +20.0%
FT %
77.9%
76.5%
WAS 73.7% +2.3%
MIA 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.7%
28.9%
WAS 28.0% +1.3%
MIA 26.8%
Mid Att. %
59.6%
54.2%
WAS 65.9%
MIA 59.2% +6.7%
3P Att. %
12.7%
16.9%
WAS 6.1%
MIA 14.1% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9187
Rebounds3738
Assists1917
Steals85
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)28 (3)
Field Goals38-8234-71
At-the-Rim FG12-239-19
Midrange FG25-5421-42
2-Point FG37-7730-61
3-Point FG1-54-10
Free Throws14-1915-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 216 · 40
39.7
25
45%
2
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
11-25
44%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 290 · 21
39.0
12
55%
10
1
2
0
2
4
2
8
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 34
38.8
13
54%
8
6
2
1
2
0
3
5
1-1
100%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
38.1
12
55%
4
7
0
0
2
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 23
24.2
6
38%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
23.7
13
50%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 263 · 23
17.6
9
90%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32
12.9
1
13%
4
0
1
0
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 165 · 25
6.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 28
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27
F · 6'9" 245 · 39
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
37
19
8
2
11
0
11
26
14-19
74%
37-77
48%
1-5
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.